Intensity of human prion disease surveillance predicts observed disease incidence

BACKGROUND

Prospective national screening and surveillance programmes serve a range of public health functions. Objectively determining their adequacy and impact on disease may be problematic for rare disorders. We undertook to assess whether objective measures of disease surveillance intensity could be developed for the rare disorder sporadic Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (CJD) and whether such measures correlate with disease incidence.

METHOD

From 10 countries with national human prion disease surveillance centres, the annual number of suspected prion disease cases notified to each national unit (n=17,610), referrals for cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) 14-3-3 protein diagnostic testing (n=28,780) and the number of suspect cases undergoing diagnostic neuropathological examination (n=4885) from 1993 to 2006 were collected. Age and survey year adjusted incidence rate ratios with 95% CIs were estimated using Poisson regression models to assess risk factors for sporadic, non-sporadic and all prion disease cases.

RESULTS

Age and survey year adjusted analysis showed all three surveillance intensity measures (suspected human prion disease notifications, 14-3-3 protein diagnostic test referrals and neuropathological examinations of suspect cases) significantly predicted the incidence of sporadic CJD, non-sporadic CJD and all prion disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Routine national surveillance methods adjusted as population rates allow objective determination of surveillance intensity, which correlates positively with reported incidence for human prion disease, especially sporadic CJD, largely independent of national context. The predictive relationship between surveillance intensity and disease incidence should facilitate more rapid delineation of aberrations in disease occurrence and assessment of the adequacy of disease monitoring by national registries.

β-Amyloid protein oligomers induced by metal ions and acid pH are distinct from those generated by slow spontaneous ageing at neutral pH

Amyloid protein (Abeta1-40) aggregation and conformation was examined using native and sodium dodecyl sulfate/polyacrylamide gel electrophoresis, and the results compared with those obtained by atomic force microscopy, and with Congo red binding, sedimentation and turbidity assays. The amount of Abeta aggregation measured was different, depending upon the method used. Incubation for 15 min at pH 5.0 or in the presence of Fe2+, Cu2+ or Zn2+ did not alter the level of Abeta oligomers observed on SDS and native gels. However, the slow aggregation of Abeta to form high molecular mass species over 5 days was inhibited. In contrast, when Abeta aggregation was monitored using a Congo red binding assay or sedimentation assay, a rapid increase in Abeta aggregation was observed after incubation for 15 min at pH 5.0, or in the presence of Fe2+, Cu2+ or Zn2+. The low pH-, Zn2+- or Cu2+-induced Abeta aggregation measured in a turbidity assay was reversible. In contrast, a considerable proportion of the Abeta aggregation measured by native and SDS/PAGE was stable. Atomic force microscopy studies showed that Abeta aged at pH 5.0 or in the presence of Zn2+ produced larger looser rod-shaped aggregates than at pH 7.4. Abeta that had been aged at pH 7.4 was more cytotoxic than Abeta aged at pH 5.0. Taken together, the results suggest that Abeta oligomerizes via two mutually exclusive mechanisms to form two different types of aggregates, which differ in their cytotoxic properties.