Alcohol, tobacco and breast cancer--collaborative reanalysis of individual data from 53 epidemiological studies, including 58,515 women with breast cancer and 95,067 women without the disease

Alcohol and tobacco consumption are closely correlated and published results on their association with breast cancer have not always allowed adequately for confounding between these exposures. Over 80% of the relevant information worldwide on alcohol and tobacco consumption and breast cancer were collated, checked and analysed centrally. Analyses included 58,515 women with invasive breast cancer and 95,067 controls from 53 studies. Relative risks of breast cancer were estimated, after stratifying by study, age, parity and, where appropriate, women's age when their first child was born and consumption of alcohol and tobacco. The average consumption of alcohol reported by controls from developed countries was 6.0 g per day, i.e. about half a unit/drink of alcohol per day, and was greater in ever-smokers than never-smokers, (8.4 g per day and 5.0 g per day, respectively). Compared with women who reported drinking no alcohol, the relative risk of breast cancer was 1.32 (1.19-1.45, P<0.00001) for an intake of 35-44 g per day alcohol, and 1.46 (1.33-1.61, P<0.00001) for >/=45 g per day alcohol. The relative risk of breast cancer increased by 7.1% (95% CI 5.5-8.7%; P<0.00001) for each additional 10 g per day intake of alcohol, i.e. for each extra unit or drink of alcohol consumed on a daily basis. This increase was the same in ever-smokers and never-smokers (7.1% per 10 g per day, P<0.00001, in each group). By contrast, the relationship between smoking and breast cancer was substantially confounded by the effect of alcohol. When analyses were restricted to 22 255 women with breast cancer and 40 832 controls who reported drinking no alcohol, smoking was not associated with breast cancer (compared to never-smokers, relative risk for ever-smokers=1.03, 95% CI 0.98-1.07, and for current smokers=0.99, 0.92-1.05). The results for alcohol and for tobacco did not vary substantially across studies, study designs, or according to 15 personal characteristics of the women; nor were the findings materially confounded by any of these factors. If the observed relationship for alcohol is causal, these results suggest that about 4% of the breast cancers in developed countries are attributable to alcohol. In developing countries, where alcohol consumption among controls averaged only 0.4 g per day, alcohol would have a negligible effect on the incidence of breast cancer. In conclusion, smoking has little or no independent effect on the risk of developing breast cancer; the effect of alcohol on breast cancer needs to be interpreted in the context of its beneficial effects, in moderation, on cardiovascular disease and its harmful effects on cirrhosis and cancers of the mouth, larynx, oesophagus and liver.

Urinary androgens and breast cancer risk: results from a long-term prospective study based in Guernsey

Between 1961 and 1967 a cohort of over 5000 women volunteered for a prospective study to determine the relationship between the urinary androgen metabolites, androsterone (A) and aetiocholanolone (E), and risk of breast cancer. During the first 10 years of the study the concentration of urinary A and E was determined in 1887 of the urine specimens. In 1971 we reported that subnormal amounts of urinary A and E were associated with a significantly increased risk of breast cancer. The cohort has been followed regularly during the 37 years since inception of the study and, by May 1998, 248 women had been diagnosed with breast cancer. Urinary androgen metabolites had been measured in 116 of these cases. Analysis of these data confirmed that women diagnosed in the first decade of the study were more likely to have low levels of urinary androgen metabolites. In the following decades, however, those who developed breast cancer were more likely to have manifested an increased A and E excretion. The reversal in the relationship between androgen metabolite excretion and risk suggests that age, or probably more importantly, menopausal status at diagnosis is an important modifying factor. Dichotomizing at age 50 it was found that in the younger age group (predominantly premenopausal) the rate ratios in the lowest tertile of A or E excretion were two- to threefold greater than for those in the highest tertile (chi2(1) = 3.57; P = 0.06: chi2(1) = 4.70; P = 0.03 for A and E respectively). In contrast, in the older age group comprising predominantly post-menopausal women, the rate ratios associated with the lowest tertile of A or E were half that of those in the highest tertile (chi2(1) = 4.10; P = 0.04; chi2(1) = 8.72; P = 0.003 for A and E respectively). This suggests that there may be different endocrine promotional factors for pre-and post-menopausal breast cancer. Hormonal risk factors may vary during the lifetime of an individual woman and this may have profound consequences for prevention strategies.

Breast cancer risk is positively associated with height

Inter- and intra-national epidemiological studies point to an association between socio-economic status and breast cancer risk. Although there is no direct evidence, the most favoured reason for this relationship is nutritional. An enhanced dietary status, especially during childhood, would be reflected in adult body build. It is, therefore, surprising that there is uncertainty in the literature concerning the association between height and breast cancer risk. In reviewing the publications on this topic it became apparent that case-control studies which found no association between height and risk tended to use self-reported height. In contrast reports claiming a significant, and positive, correlation tended to use heights which were measured by the investigators. In a prospective study we found in a cohort of 2731 ostensibly normal women that, although there was a highly significant linear correlation between self-reported and measured height, the shortest women over-estimated their height whilst the tallest volunteers under-estimated theirs. The significance of crude relative risk and height in this cohort was markedly attenuated when self-reported height was used compared to measured height. Such a systematic error could have a profound effect on the conclusions of studies in this field which relied on self-reporting and could explain the conflicting reports in the literature.

Breast cancer and hormonal contraceptives: further results. Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer

The Collaborative Group on Hormonal Factors in Breast Cancer has brought together and reanalysed the worldwide epidemiological evidence on breast cancer risk and use of hormonal contraceptives. Original data from 54 studies, representing about 90% of the information available on the topic, were collected, checked and analysed centrally. The 54 studies were performed in 26 countries and include a total of 53,297 women with breast cancer and 100,239 women without breast cancer. The studies were varied in their design, setting and timing. Most information came from case-control studies with controls chosen from the general population; most women resided in Europe or North America and most cancers were diagnosed during the 1980s. Overall 41% of the women with breast cancer and 40% of the women without breast cancer had used oral contraceptives at some time; the median age at first use was 26 years, the median duration of use was 3 years, the median year of first use was 1968, the median time since first use was 16 years, and the median time since last use was 9 years. The main findings, summarised elsewhere, are that there is a small increase in the risk of having breast cancer diagnosed in current users of combined oral contraceptives and in women who had stopped use in the past 10 years but that there is no evidence of an increase in the risk more than 10 years after stopping use. In addition, the cancers diagnosed in women who had used oral contraceptives tended to be less advanced clinically than the cancers diagnosed in women who had not used them. Despite the large number of possibilities investigated, few factors appeared to modify the main findings either in recent or in past users. For recent users who began use before age 20 the relative risks are higher than for recent users who began at older ages. For women whose use of oral contraceptives ceased more than 10 years before there was some suggestion of a reduction in breast cancer risk in certain subgroups, with a deficit of tumors that had spread beyond the breast, especially among women who had used preparations containing the highest doses of oestrogen and progestogen. These findings are unexpected and need to be confirmed. Although these data represent most of the epidemiological evidence on the topic to date, there is still insufficient information to comment reliably about the effects of specific types of oestrogen or of progestogen. What evidence there is suggests, however, no major differences in the effects for specific types of oestrogen or of progestogen and that the pattern of risk associated with use of hormonal contraceptives containing progestogens alone may be similar to that observed for preparations containing both oestrogens and progestogens. On the basis of these results, there is little difference between women who have and have not used combined oral contraceptives in terms of the estimated cumulative number of breast cancers diagnosed during the period from starting use up to 20 years after stopping. The cancers diagnosed in women who have used oral contraceptives are, however, less advanced clinically than the cancers diagnosed in never users. Further research is needed to establish whether the associations described here are due to earlier diagnosis of breast cancer in women who have used oral contraceptives, to the biological effects of the hormonal contraceptives or to a combination of both. Little information is as yet available about the effects on breast cancer risk of oral contraceptive use that ceased more than 20 years before and as such data accumulate it will be necessary to re-examine the worldwide evidence.

Ovarian irradiation and prednisone following surgery and radiotherapy for carcinoma of the breast

Following mastectomy, patients aged 35 to 76 years with operable breast cancer underwent postoperative irradiation of the chest wall and regional lymph nodes. They were then assigned at random to receive no further therapy (NT), ovarian irradiation (R) 2000 rads in 5 days, or ovarian irradiation in the same dosage plus prednisone (R + P) 7.5 mg daily for up to five years. A total of 703 eligible patients received the randomly assigned treatment. The median follow up was 21 years with a range of 14 to 25 years. Overall, there was a delay in recurrence (p = 0.03) and survival was prolonged (p = 0.19) for patients who received R, but in neither case was the difference significant after adjusting for the multiplicity in our data. Overall, patients who received R + P experienced a significant delay in recurrence (p = 0.0003) and a significantly prolonged survival (p = 0.005), even after adjusting for multiple comparisons. In premenopausal patients who received R, the recurrence of breast cancer was delayed and survival prolonged, but not significantly. In premenopausal women aged 45 years or more, R + P therapy significantly prolonged survival (p = 0.0004), while the delay in recurrence although significant (p = 0.02) was only marginally so after allowance for multiple comparisons. No value was demonstrated for ovarian irradiation with or without prednisone therapy in postmenopausal patients. A new finding in this review was that contralateral breast cancer as the first failure was reduced by R + P compared to NT in the overall group.

The association of height, weight, menstrual and reproductive events with breast cancer: results from two prospective studies on the island of Guernsey (United Kingdom)

The association with breast cancer of menstrual and reproductive events, family history of breast cancer, and body size have been studied on two cohorts of 6,706 volunteers on the island of Guernsey (United Kingdom), 168 of whom had breast cancer detected during follow-up. The median follow-up time of the non-cases was 21 years in the first study and 10 years in the second. A time-dependent Cox regression model was fitted to the data with age as the time-dependent variable in order to represent the effect of changing menopausal status. Other variables examined in the model were age at menarche, parity, age at first birth, family history of breast cancer, height, weight (both directly measured), relative weight (weight [kg]/height[m]), and Quetelet's body mass index (weight[kg]/height[m]2). Interactions between age and all other covariates also were examined. Family history was found to be the most important risk factor for women aged less than 51 years (relative risk [RR] = 3.5, 95 percent confidence interval [CI] = 2.0-6.0), and intervals between menarche and first birth longer than 14 years were found to increase significantly the risk of breast cancer in women older than 61 years (RR = 2.4, CI = 1.3-4.4). Height was the only indicator of body size which was associated significantly with risk of breast cancer, the estimated regression coefficient indicating an increase in risk of about 70 percent for women on the 90th centile of height relative to those on the 10th centile. A survey of the literature showed that the association between risk of breast cancer and height was found in those studies which used direct measurements of height but not in others which used self-reported values.

Copper in human mammary carcinogenesis: a case-cohort study

In 1968-1975, a cohort of 5,100 ostensibly healthy women was established on the island of Guernsey, England, for investigation of the influence of hormonal factors on breast cancer. At the women's entry into the study, blood samples were drawn from each participant, and each woman completed a questionnaire that provided information on established risk indicators in human mammary carcinogenesis. Plasma copper levels were measured in 46 breast cancer cases diagnosed an average of 11 years (standard deviation (SD), 4) after entry into the study cohort and in an age-stratified random sample of 138 women drawn from the total initial cohort at risk. Plasma copper levels were 1.31 mg/liter (SD, 0.37) in the cases and 1.26 mg/liter (SD, 0.36) in the controls; the 95% confidence interval for the overall difference was -0.07 to 0.17. A U-shaped relation between premorbid plasma copper levels and the risk of developing breast cancer was seen. Adjusted odds ratios for breast cancer were 1.8, 1.0, 1.6, and 3.2, respectively, in the four quartiles of the copper distribution. No major changes in the risk estimates were observed when statistical evaluation was restricted to cases diagnosed more than 10 years after collection of blood samples.

Relationship of blood prolactin levels and the risk of subsequent breast cancer

Between 1968 and 1976 a total of 5162 women volunteers were enrolled into a prospective study conducted on the Island of Guernsey. Up to February 1990 145 women subsequently developed breast cancer. Blood samples were taken at the time of enrollment and prolactin levels were known for 85% of the volunteers. In calculating the relationship between blood prolactin levels and subsequent breast cancer risk, women were excluded if they had a hysterectomy or an oophorectomy or had cancer at any site before enrollment. The final analysis was based on 2596 premenopausal and 1180 naturally postmenopausal women and, of these respectively, there were 71 and 40 volunteers who subsequently developed breast cancer. The total follow-up for these two groups was 49,941 and 22,360 woman-years, respectively. In assessing the relationship between blood prolactin levels and risk of subsequent breast cancer the cohort was divided into quintiles according to prolactin concentration and relative risks (RR) were estimated. In calculating these values possible confounding by age at entry, age at menarche, parity, age at first birth, years since menopause, body build, history of benign breast disease and family history of breast cancer were taken into consideration. There was no significant relation between risk of breast cancer and prolactin in either pre- or postmenopausal women. Hence prolactin appears not to be an important determinant of breast cancer risk.

Mastectomy or conservation for early breast cancer: psychological morbidity

A consecutive series of 197 women under 70 years of age with operable breast cancer, randomised to treatment by a conservation technique in comparison to mastectomy, were assessed using structured interviews. The prevalence of cases of anxiety and depression was high before treatment commenced, there were fewer cases in the conservation group but no significant difference at 3 or 12 months in the number of new cases, social adjustment, or capacity to return to work. Attitudes to treatment showed significant differences between the groups, more women in the conservation group were able to wear their usual clothes and most women rated the cosmetic result highly. Patients were more likely to stop sexual intercourse completely after mastectomy. An effective conservation technique should be an attractive treatment choice available to selected women with early breast cancer.

Selenium in human mammary carcinogenesis: a case-cohort study

In a prospective study conducted on the island of Guernsey a cohort of 5162 ostensibly healthy women was enrolled between 1967 and 1976. Blood samples were drawn from each participant, who also completed a questionnaire, which provided information on established risk indicators in human mammary carcinogenesis. Plasma selenium levels were measured in 46 breast cancer cases diagnosed a mean of 11 (S.D. 4) years after entry into the study cohort and in an age-stratified sample of 138 women drawn from the study base. Plasma selenium level in the cases was 109 (28) micrograms/l and in the base sample 103 (22) micrograms/l (95% confidence interval for the overall difference, -2 to 14 micrograms/l). The adjusted relative risk of developing breast cancer in the different quartiles of the selenium distribution was 0.80, 0.79, 0.72 and 1.00, respectively. Thus, in the present study selenium was not a strong indicator of human breast cancer risk.

Recurrence and survival rates in British and Japanese women with breast cancer

The biology of breast cancer in Japan appears to be changing in that, while post-menopausal Japanese patients have a better prognosis than comparable British women, no differences in recurrence or survival rates can now be found in pre-menopausal patients.

Breast cancer in English and Japanese women: prognostic significance of sinus histiocytosis and germinal center hyperplasia in axillary lymph nodes

A prospective study of comparable Japanese and British breast cancer patients treated by radical mastectomy confirmed previously reported findings that sinus histiocytosis and germinal center hyperplasia are more frequently seen in axillary lymph nodes from Japanese than in those from British patients. In Japanese, but not British, cases of either of these two morphologic findings had favorable prognostic significance for recurrence. Sinus histiocytosis also had favorable prognostic significance in Japanese cases for five year survival. In a separate review of axillary nodes from Japanese autopsy cases sinus histiocytosis was absent, suggesting that this finding in Japanese breast cancer cases was related to presence of the disease.

Clinical features of breast cancer--Anglo-Japanese comparative study

A comparative study was undertaken at Guy's Hospital in the UK and the Aichi Cancer Center in Japan of the clinical picture of breast cancer in the UK and Japan. Target patients were 221 UK and 200 Japanese primary operable patients who were recruited from April 1979 through August 1980. No difference was seen between the two countries in the side and site of the lesion and the size of the lesion. The localized tenderness of the tumor site was higher in Japanese patients than in UK patients (25.5% vs 0%). Difference was observed in tumor characteristics: breast cancers of the UK patients were irregular, ill-defined, and not so mobile, whereas those of the Japanese patients were round or oval, well-defined, and mobile. Skin fixation was higher in Japanese patients (71.0% vs 44.8%). Clinical node involvement was higher in UK patients (32.5% vs 19.0%).

Blood concentrations of estradiol and sex hormone-binding globulin in relation to age at menarche in premenopausal British and Japanese women

In a cross-sectional study, serum estradiol (E2) and sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG) concentrations were not significantly related to age at menarche in premenopausal British women in the luteal or follicular phases of the cycle. In Japanese subjects in the luteal phase, a marginally higher concentration of E2 was observed in those who had undergone an early rather than a late menarche. In British women, previous oral contraceptive users had significantly lower luteal phase E2 concentrations than never users.

A comparison of epidemiological characteristics in breast cancer patients and normal women in Great Britain and Japan: results of a prospective study

The epidemiological characteristics of normal women and women with early breast cancer in Great Britain were prospectively compared with similar subjects from Japan. The study consisted of 204 women with early breast cancer and 792 normal controls from Great Britain and 200 breast cancers and 335 Japanese controls. The risk factors examined were age, height and weight, menopausal status, age at menarche and menopause, parity, age at first birth, use of oral contraceptives, and family history of breast cancer. The cancers and cases were divided into pre- and postmenopausal groups. There was a striking trend for a protective effect of multiparity in both countries and a weak but inconstant protective effect of age at first birth. In premenopausal British women increase in body mass was significantly associated with a decreased risk of breast cancer but this association was not found for postmenopausal women or in the Japanese women. The results showed that the classical risk factors did not fully account for the differences in breast cancer risk between Great Britain and Japan. The possibility that aetiological factors might be changing warrants investigation.

Patterns of recurrence and relapse--Anglo-Japanese comparative study

A prospective study was undertaken to compare the recurrent sites of breast cancer patients in Japan and the UK. The number of patients collected between April 1979 and August 1980 were 205 in the UK and 199 in Japan, of which those who had recurrence were 89 and 49 respectively. A comparison of the distribution of the first recurrence sites demonstrated that the Japanese patients had significantly higher rates of local recurrence in the supraclavicular fossa and distant metastasis to the lung than UK patients. When comparing the distribution of all recurrent sites seen in the study, Japanese patients showed a significantly higher incidence of metastasis to the supraclavicular fossa and the lung while the UK patients showed a significantly higher incidence of skin metastasis. Bone metastases were observed more often in Japanese patients and liver metastases in UK patients, but neither of the differences were statistically significant.

A comparison of mammographic parenchymal patterns in premenopausal Japanese and British women

Normal premenopausal Japanese women have significantly more favourable mammographic parenchymal patterns (Wolfe Grades) than comparable British women. This finding is unaffected when the women are stratified by age, Quetelet's Index, age at menarche, age at first birth, and parity.

Relationship of mammographic parenchymal patterns with breast cancer risk factors and risk of breast cancer in a prospective study

A prospective study has been conducted on 4954 female volunteers from the Island of Guernsey between 1977 and 1985 to examine risk factors for breast cancer and their relationship to mammographic parenchymal patterns as assessed by Wolfe's method of grading. Up to September 1988, 69 women had developed breast cancer, 11 of whom were prevalent cases being diagnosed within six months of mammography. The remaining incident cases were diagnosed six to 126 months (median 65 months) after entry to the study. Univariate analysis showed that the distribution of Wolfe grades in the population was significantly associated with menopausal status, age, parity, adiposity, age at menarche, age at first childbirth and use of oral contraception, but not with a family history of breast cancer. Multivariate analysis of the data for these variables from either pre- and/or post-menopausal women indicated that age, parity and adiposity were significantly related to Wolfe grade pattern. Age had an opposite effect in pre- compared with postmenopausal women thus the probability of either a P2 or DY pattern increased with increasing age in premenopausal but decreased in postmenopausal women so that incidence peaked around the menopause. Other variables did not achieve significance in the multivariate analysis. Odds ratios (ORs) were calculated for women with P2 or DY patterns using those with N1 or P1 grades as the reference group. The ORs were determined at two censoring times; one at five years and the other to include the most recent follow-up of this cohort. The ORs were adjusted for years of follow-up, age and adiposity and in postmenopausal women adjustment was also made for age at menarche.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

Influence of radiotherapy on the dose of adjuvant chemotherapy in early breast cancer

399 patients with early breast cancer were randomly allocated to treatment by either modified radical mastectomy or lumpectomy and radiotherapy. 169 had histologically involved axillary nodes and were randomised to receive either adjuvant cytotoxic chemotherapy (76 patients) or no systemic adjuvant treatment (93 patients). Chemotherapy comprised a combination of oral cyclophosphamide and intravenous methotrexate and 5-fluorouracil (CMF) for 12 cycles over one year. Patients in the mastectomy group received a significantly higher percentage of the planned chemotherapy dose compared with those in the radiotherapy group (median 85% v. 71% p less than 0.05). Patients treated with radiotherapy were more frequently nauseated and developed more severe alopecia, but these differences were not statistically significant. At median follow-up of 37 months the relapse-rate and pattern of relapse were similar in both groups of patients receiving CMF.

Locally advanced breast cancer: the contribution of cytotoxic and endocrine treatment to radiotherapy. An EORTC Breast Cancer Co-operative Group Trial (10792)

Patients with locally advanced carcinoma of the breast were randomized to receive either radiotherapy alone, radiotherapy + endocrine therapy, radiotherapy + chemotherapy or radiotherapy + endocrine therapy + chemotherapy. In 363 evaluable patients, time to first progression was delayed significantly by both endocrine treatment and chemotherapy, the greatest effect being achieved by the combination of endocrine treatment and chemotherapy. This effect was almost entirely due to a major effect of systemic treatment on time to loco-regional progression, for which the result is highly significant, rather than time to distant metastasis in which only a non-significant trend was observed. For survival, a trend was seen in favour of the combination of hormone treatment and chemotherapy, but this effect did not achieve statistical significance. This trial suggests that current endocrine and cytotoxic treatments are only of marginal value in improving the prognosis in locally advanced breast cancer.

Sex hormone-binding globulin and the natural history of breast cancer

Low concentrations of SHBG in the blood appear to be related to rapid tumour growth rates whereas normal values are associated with slower rates. The inferences drawn from these and other experimental results are as follows: 1. It is no longer necessary to postulate that an abnormal endocrine environment is related to the risk of breast cancer. 2. Variation within the normal range of endocrine function may be sufficient to account for marked differences in the growth rates of transformed cells. 3. It is suggested that women whose tumours arise in an environment characterised by SHBG concentrations at the lower end of the normal range (and, hence, non-SHBG-bound oestradiol levels at the top end of the range) will tend to have an earlier age at diagnosis, a lower frequency of oestrogen-receptor positive tumours and a lower proportion of hormone responsive tumours than women with SHBG levels at the top of the range. 4. Case/control studies in which growth rates are not taken into account may be difficult to interpret.

The permanent effect of reproductive events on blood prolactin levels and its relation to breast cancer risk: a population study of postmenopausal women

In each of two population-based studies conducted on the Island of Guernsey between 1967-1976 and 1977-1984, respectively, single specimens of blood were taken from over 5000 normal women. From these two studies there were 1173 and 946 postmenopausal women in whom blood prolactin was determined and multivariate analysis was used to establish the association between blood prolactin concentration and possible determinants of risk of breast cancer. Since prolactin levels were log-normally distributed these analyses were done on log-transformed data. The age at menarche or menopause, age at first or last childbirth, length of reproductive life (i.e. time from menarche to menopause) or post-menopausal life (i.e. time from menopause to time of blood sampling), contraceptive use and history of breast cancer were not significantly associated with blood prolactin concentration. Of significance were age, parity, time of blood sampling and assay drift. Ponderosity (Quetelet's Index) was positively associated with prolactin concentration and this was significant using a one-tail criterion. Women with a mammographic pattern designated DY by Wolfe had significantly higher prolactin levels than those with N1 patterns. However, the main finding to emerge was that after standardizing for all the other variables increasing parity was related to a step-wise reduction in blood prolactin levels. Since this had occurred in women who had had their last child up to 35 years previously it implies this effect is permanent. It could therefore be that the protective effect on breast cancer risk of multiparity and early first pregnancy could be mediated by such a life-long reduction in blood prolactin levels.

New lumps in the breast following conservation treatment for early breast cancer

A new lump in the breast following conservation treatment for early breast cancer may represent a recurrence of the disease or may be a benign lesion. Clinical evaluation of these lumps is often extremely difficult and, potentially, mammography would seem to be of great importance in the assessment. Between November 1981 and March 1986, 214 patients with operable breast cancers of 4 cm or less in diameter underwent conservative treatment. The conservation technique comprised synchronous excision of the primary tumour without a wide margin, axillary clearance, interstitial irradiation with iridium 192 (2000 cGy), and subsequent external beam radiotherapy to the breast (4600 cGy). After an average follow-up of 26 months, 17 patients developed a new lump in the treated breast necessitating further biopsy. Seven of these were malignant and 10 benign. In the latter category the most frequent finding was fat necrosis. Clinically, the lesions were indistinguishable from each other. The mammographic signs, which best predicted malignancy, were either of a mass or of a malignant type of microcalcification. This study illustrates the problems associated with deciding the nature of a new lump in the breast following conservation treatment. Mammography is complementary to physical examination, and a base-line mammogram six months after completion of therapy is helpful. Despite the use of mammography, biopsy is the only definitive way of excluding recurrence.

Assessment of skin dose and its relation to cosmesis in the conservative treatment of early breast cancer

A conservation technique has been developed for the treatment of early breast cancer which involved removal of the tumor, axillary clearance, tumor site implantation with Iridium-192 wires for a boost dose and subsequent treatment of the breast with radical megavoltage external beam therapy. Although the cosmetic results were satisfactory in the majority of the patients, for some it was rated as fair or poor. One variable factor which could have carried some morbidity was the dose of radiation received by the skin. In 51 patients, doses were measured at several points over the treated breast using Thermoluminescent Dosimetry (TLD) at the time of the iridium implant and during the subsequent external beam therapy. Development of skin pigmentation, oedema, and fibrosis were unrelated to the dose received by the skin but the findings suggested that doses greater than 50 Gy to the skin increased the possibility of late (greater than 24 months) telangiectasia over the boosted area. Treatment of tumors in the lower half of the breast, or in large breasts, was associated with a higher incidence of poor cosmesis. This may have been the result of varying posture on the interstitial dose distribution from the Iridium-192 wires and comparison of dose distribution in both supine and erect positions was carried out.

The relationship between blood prolactin levels and risk of breast cancer in premenopausal women

Single specimens of blood have been taken from over 5000 normal volunteer women in each of two sequential (1967-1976, 1977-1984) population-based studied on the Island of Guernsey. Multivariate analysis was used to determine the relationship between prolactin levels and risk factors in breast cancer in 2591 and 1959 premenopausal women in whom blood prolactin had been measured. In both populations the prolactin concentrations appeared to be log-normally distributed and therefore all analyses have been done on log-transformed data. Initially the variables in the statistical model were age at menarche, ages at first and last baby, parity, ponderosity (Quetelet Index), mammographic pattern (as graded by Wolfe), family history of breast cancer, age, menstrual cycle status, time of day of blood sampling, oral contraceptive use, history of breast feeding and methodological changes in the laboratory measurement of prolactin. Of these variables age at menarche, ages at first and last child and family history of breast cancer were found not to be significant and were excluded from the final model. The main finding to emerge was that after standardizing for all the other variables, prolactin levels in the follicular phase were significantly lower than those found at midcycle or during the luteal phase of the menstrual cycle. A peak level of prolactin was found at day 12 of the cycle. Increasing parity was related to a steady decrease in prolactin concentration. Increasing ponderosity was associated with an increased prolactin level as was a DY compared to an N1 mammographic pattern. Women with a history of oral contraceptive use had lowered prolactin concentration. All these effects occurred evenly over the menstrual cycle and were generally found for both data sets. Thus body weight, parity and, indirectly, age at first baby might influence breast cancer risk by being associated with changes in blood prolactin concentration.

A trial of human alpha interferon as an adjuvant agent in breast cancer after loco-regional recurrence

Thirty-two women who had developed loco-regional recurrence of breast carcinoma were entered into a controlled trial of adjuvant alpha-interferon. All patients had histological confirmation of recurrence, local treatment with radiotherapy and negative staging investigations. They were then randomized to either observation alone, or treatment with human alpha interferon 3 x 10(6) units subcutaneously daily for 1 year. There were no differences detected in the rate of local or distant relapse. With this lack of clinically significant efficacy and a high incidence of side effects, it is concluded that alpha interferon is of doubtful value in the adjuvant treatment of breast cancer.

Adjuvant androgen treatment of operable breast cancer--a 20 year analysis

One hundred and fifty-five patients with carcinoma of the breast treated by mastectomy were randomised to receive no additional treatment or to receive adjuvant testosterone. After a minimum follow up of 15 years there is no difference in either relapse free survival or overall survival between the treated and control groups. Stratification by pathological nodal status showed no benefit either for those with negative or positive axillary lymph node involvement.

Binding of oestradiol to blood proteins and aetiology of breast cancer

A prospective study of 5,000 women has shown that, compared to controls, those who subsequently developed breast cancer had a higher proportion of their blood oestradiol in the non-protein-bound and albumin-bound fractions (the bio-available fraction) and a lower proportion in the sex-hormone-bound fraction. The increased proportion of bio-available oestradiol was partly due to a lower concentration of sex-hormone-binding globulin. Weight was excluded as a confounding factor.

Thyroid function and the incidence of breast cancer in Hawaiian, British and Japanese women

Serum-free thyroxine (FT4) concentrations are lower in Hawaiian and Hawaiian Caucasian women than in Hawaiian Japanese, Hawaiian Filipino, Hawaiian Chinese, and English and Japanese mainland women. There is a high inverse correlation between FT4 and risk of breast cancer in these ethnic groups. Thyroid-stimulating hormone (TSH) concentrations, which are inversely correlated with FT4, generally show the same relationship.

In situ ductal carcinoma of the breast: implications of disease pattern and treatment

Ninety-seven patients with in situ ductal carcinoma (DCIS) of the breast have been reviewed. The commonest presenting feature was a breast lump, and residual carcinoma was found in the mastectomy specimen in 63% of patients. Furthermore, 13 cases had evidence of infiltrating carcinoma when the mastectomy specimen was examined. Thus excision alone would have left residual in situ or infiltrating carcinoma in two-thirds of the cases. A wide excision, by removing local residual disease, would still have left multifocal disease in one-third of cases. Studies need to be conducted to determine whether conservative treatment of DCIS can yield results which are as good as those following total mastectomy.

A comparison of intracavitary talc and tetracycline for the control of pleural effusions secondary to breast cancer

Forty-one patients with malignant pleural effusions secondary to breast cancer were randomly allocated to treatment with either intracavitary talc or intracavitary tetracycline. Of 33 evaluable patients, radiological control was achieved in 11/12 (92%) of the talc group compared with 10/21 (48%) of the tetracycline group (P = 0.022). Intracavitary talc provides effective palliation of metastatic pleural effusions secondary to breast cancer.

Effect of the method of biopsy on the prognosis of and reliability of receptor assays in patients with operable breast cancer

A comparison has been made of the survival of contemporary patients treated by mastectomy in whom the original diagnosis was made by either Tru-cut biopsy or by excision biopsy. After a minimum of 5 years of follow-up there was no difference in survival between those biopsied by either method. When subdivided by tumour size again no differences emerged. Among those patients in whom the original Tru-cut biopsy was false negative there was no difference in survival compared with those treated by excision biopsy. This suggests that Tru-cut biopsy is a safe method for obtaining a histological diagnosis in operable breast cancer. Furthermore, when the receptor status of the tumours from the two groups was determined, there was no difference in the percentage of oestrogen receptor positive tumours, nor in the mean receptor value. However, there were more progesterone receptor positive tumours among the Tru-cut group, suggesting that a better tumour sample could have been submitted for analysis. This may be yet another advantage for the use of Tru-cut biopsy for the diagnosis of breast cancer.

A prospective study of mammographic parenchymal patterns and risk of breast cancer

Breast parenchymal patterns have been assessed by the method of Wolfe in a prospective study in Guernsey. Women with P2 or DY grades had approximately four times the risk of developing breast cancer compared with those with N1 or P1 grades. Age, weight, parity and age at birth of first child are all related to the distribution of mammographic patterns. The combination of these variables with Wolfe grades may identify subsets of the population at very high risk.

Salivary oestradiol and progesterone levels in premenopausal women with breast cancer

The concentrations of oestradiol and progesterone have been measured in salivary specimens collected daily over a complete menstrual cycle in 12 patients with operable breast cancer and 12 normal control volunteers. There was no significant difference (P greater than 0.05) for either hormone between these two groups. Both showed a mid-cycle rise in oestradiol levels followed by a smaller but sustained increase during the luteal phase. The progesterone concentration increased markedly during the luteal phase of the cycle. Total or non-protein bound oestradiol levels measured in blood samples from 19 normal women were both linearly correlated (P less than 0.001) with the concentration of oestradiol in matched saliva samples. The amount of free oestradiol in blood was about twice that found in saliva.

Serum prolactin levels in women with breast cancer and their relationship to survival

Serum prolactin (HPr) has been measured in 459 patients 1 day before (HPr-1) and in 433 patients 10 days after (HPr-2) treatment. These came from an unselected sequence of 739 patients with operable breast cancer who had been referred to Guy's Hospital over a period of 5 yr. In addition HPr was measured in 100, or more, women at 3, 6 or 12 months after mastectomy. The median levels of either HPr-1 or HPr-2 were higher in pre-menopausal compared with postmenopausal patients (P = 0.03 and 0.06, respectively). Mastectomy was associated with increased serum HPr in both pre- and post-menopausal patients (P less than 0.001 in both cases). Average levels at 3 months, or after, were similar to those found before treatment. Nulliparous women had a higher median amount of HPr-1 than parous which was significant in premenopausal patients (P less than 0.008) whilst HPr-2 levels were not related to parity. Thus the rise in HPr associated with surgery was greater in parous than nulliparous women. Prolactin levels were not related to nodal status or tumour size. However, the amounts of HPR-2 were significantly greater in women with histological grade 3 tumours than those with grade 1 or 2. Standardising for either nodal status, tumour size or histological grade seven situations were found in which HPr-1 or HPr-2 levels were of prognostic significance. Although some of these significant associations could be fortuitous all shared a common feature that the least favourable prognosis was associated with the highest HPr levels.

The significance of supraclavicular fossa node recurrence after radical mastectomy

The clinical and pathologic features of 35 patients who had ipsilateral supraclavicular node (SCF) recurrence after radical mastectomy were reviewed. These were compared with the features of 70 patients who had a local skin recurrence after radical mastectomy, 48 of whom had a single nodule and 22 of whom had multiple skin nodules. There were no significant differences between age at diagnosis, disease-free interval, menstrual status, tumor type and grade, and extent and location of axillary node metastases in the three groups. Survival of the SCF group was intermediate between those of the single-nodule and multiple-nodule groups. SCF recurrence is an almost invariable signal of micrometastatic disease; thus, such patients are ideal candidates for trials of adjuvant therapy.

Double-blind controlled trial of tamoxifen therapy for mastalgia

60 patients with severe mastalgia of more than 6 months' duration were randomly selected for treatment with either tamoxifen 20 mg daily or placebo for 3 months. As measured by linear analogue scoring, pain relief was achieved in 22/31 (71%) of those receiving tamoxifen and 11/29 (38%) of those taking placebo. Patients who did not respond to the first course of treatment were allocated to the alternative treatment for 3 months. Pain control was achieved in 8/12 (75%) of those receiving tamoxifen and 2/6 (33%) of those receiving placebo. The commonest side-effects were hot flushes (27% of patients receiving tamoxifen and 11% of those receiving placebo) and vaginal discharge (17% tamoxifen, 7% placebo). Side-effects caused 6 patients in each group to discontinue treatment. Tamoxifen is of value in the management of severe cyclical and non-cyclical mastalgia, and relief can be achieved without undue side-effects in the majority of patients.

Sensory changes after treatment of operable breast cancer

A study has been conducted to compare the nature and severity of post-operative sensory changes (sensory loss, paraesthesiae, and pain) among patients with breast cancer treated by either modified radical mastectomy or a conservative procedure (tumourectomy, axillary clearance, iridium implant, and external radiotherapy). There was a similar incidence of post-operative sensory loss in the two groups, reported by 82% of the mastectomy group and 77% of the iridium group, and an equivalent rate of improvement (76 and 80% respectively). Post-operative paraesthesiae occurred in 61% of the mastectomy group and 63% of the iridium group; maximum severity of paraesthesiae was similar as was the percentage improving. Among the mastectomy group 55% reported phantom breast sensation and 61% of the iridium group had post-operative breast pain. Improvement occurred in 58% of those with breast pain. These findings may have implications for the counseling of patients with breast cancer who are going to be treated by certain conservative procedures.

Influence of reproductive history on age at diagnosis of breast cancer and prognosis

The effect on age at breast cancer diagnosis of age at menarche, age at first baby, parity and age at menopause has been determined for 739 unselected patients diagnosed between 1975 and 1980 as having operable breast cancer. Age at diagnosis was significantly and positively associated with ages at menarche, first baby and menopause. The average number of children significantly declined with increasing age at diagnosis. This was largely due to a change in the proportion of patients who were nulliparous (15% in women aged 41-50 years compared to about 30% in those over 60 years). A group of 1,989 normal women whose reproductive history was also collected between 1975 and 1980 showed similar trends between age and age at menarche, age at first baby and parity as the patients. Thus it appears that these reproductive parameters do not alter the time of onset of breast cancer but could be explained by temporal changes in reproductive patterns. There was no significant correlation between age at menopause and age at diagnosis for patients whose age at menopause was no more than 54 years and age at diagnosis no less than 55 years, respectively. It is therefore unlikely that age at menopause affects age at diagnosis. Postmenopausal patients with 3 or more children had a significantly shorter disease-free interval and lower survival rate than those with less children. None of the other parameters was associated with prognosis.

Family history and bilateral primary breast cancer

The prevalence of a family history of breast cancer was established in 54 women with bilateral primary breast cancer and 208 women with unilateral disease. Women with bilateral disease had significantly greater prevalence of family history than women with unilateral breast cancer (P less than 0.01). Compared with the unilateral cancers, a significantly greater proportion of bilateral cancers had first degree affected relatives (P less than 0.05). Moreover the affected relatives of probands with bilateral disease showed a significantly higher prevalence of bilateral breast cancer compared with the relatives of women with unilateral disease (P = 0.04). The findings suggested that bilateral disease was a characteristic of familial breast cancer.

Optimal surgical approaches to the local management of early breast cancer. A panel discussion

In recent years, a trend has developed toward more conservative surgery for early breast cancer, often in combination with axillary dissection or sampling and with radiotherapy. Here, three prominent breast cancer surgeons discuss the proper role of these procedures and several areas of contention concerning them.