Validation of the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti-HIV Drugs (D:A:D) chronic kidney disease risk score in HIV-infected patients in the USA

Objectives

The aim of the study was to assess the validity of an easy‐to‐calculate chronic kidney disease (CKD) risk score developed by the Data Collection on Adverse Events of Anti‐HIV Drugs (D:A:D) group in a longitudinal observational study of people living with HIV (PLWH) in the USA.

Methods

PLWH (2002–2016) without prior exposure to potentially nephrotoxic antiretroviral agents and with at least three estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) test results were identified in the Observational Pharmaco‐Epidemiology Research and Analysis (OPERA^®) cohort. Three samples were drawn independently using the same eligibility criteria but each using a different eGFR equation, specifically the Cockcroft–Gault (C‐G), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) or Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD‐EPI) eGFR estimation method. Full and short D:A:D risk scores were applied. CKD was defined as a confirmed decrease in eGFR to < 60 mL/min/1.73 m² (stages 3–5). Poisson models estimated the association between CKD incidence and a one‐point increase in the continuous risk score. The incidence rate ratio (IRR), adjusted IRR (aIRR), and Harrell's discrimination statistic were used to assess validity.

Results

There were 19 444, 22 727 and 22 748 PLWH in the OPERA C‐G, CKD‐EPI and MDRD samples, respectively. The median (minimum–maximum) follow‐up duration was 6.1 (0.3–9.1) years in the D:A:D cohort and ranged from 3.2 to 3.5 (0.2–15.5) years in the OPERA validation samples. The observation time for the majority of PLWH in the D:A:D cohort began prior to 2006, in stark contrast to the OPERA validation samples, where the majority of PLWH were observed after 2011. The CKD incidence ranged from 7.3 per 1000 person‐years [95% confidence interval (CI) 6.8, 7.9 per 1000 person‐years] in OPERA C‐G to 11.0 (95% CI 10.4, 11.6 per 1000 person‐years) in OPERA MDRD. In OPERA samples, IRRs by risk group and adjusted IRRs (full risk score) were similar to those in the D:A:D derivation cohort (adjusted IRR 1.3; 95% CI 1.3, 1.3). Harrell's c‐statistic ranged from 0.87 to 0.92 in the OPERA samples, comparable to that in the derivation cohort (0.92). Results for short scores were similar.

Conclusions

The findings support the validity of the D:A:D risk scoring method for assessing CKD (stages 3–5) probability in an exclusively USA‐based sample regardless of eGFR method.

Zidovudine and stavudine sequencing in HIV treatment planning: findings from the CHORUS HIV cohort

BACKGROUND

Optimal sequencing of zidovudine and stavudine in antiretroviral therapy has not been elucidated.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the impact of the sequence of therapeutic regimens containing zidovudine and stavudine on HIV-1 RNA and CD4 lymphocyte counts over 12 months.

DESIGN

Observational, multicenter, longitudinal cohort study.

SETTING

Four large outpatient, HIV practices participating in the community-based Collaborations in HIV Outcomes Research-U.S. (CHORUS) cohort study.

PARTICIPANTS

940 HIV-infected patients.

METHODS

Comparison of HIV-1 RNA and CD4 lymphocyte responses in patients sequenced from zidovudine to stavudine or from stavudine to zidovudine using repeated measures regression models fit to outcomes by application of generalized estimating equation (GEE) methodology.

RESULTS

Patients treated with zidovudine prior to stavudine (n = 834) achieved a greater mean drop from baseline HIV-1 RNA (p = .01) and higher proportion of undetectable HIV-1 RNA results (p = .05) over 12 months than those sequenced from stavudine to zidovudine (n = 106). CD4+ lymphocyte increases did not differ between the groups (p = .6).

CONCLUSIONS

Prior zidovudine therapy was not associated with long-term attenuation of HIV-1 RNA or CD4 response to subsequent stavudine-containing regimens. Zidovudine before stavudine may have benefit in a strategic long-term therapeutic plan.