Investigation of the added value of CT-based radiomics in predicting the development of brain metastases in patients with radically treated stage III NSCLC

Introduction:

Despite radical intent therapy for patients with stage III non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC), cumulative incidence of brain metastases (BM) reaches 30%. Current risk stratification methods fail to accurately identify these patients. As radiomics features have been shown to have predictive value, this study aims to develop a model combining clinical risk factors with radiomics features for BM development in patients with radically treated stage III NSCLC.

Methods:

Retrospective analysis of two prospective multicentre studies. Inclusion criteria: adequately staged [¹⁸F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (18-FDG-PET-CT), contrast-enhanced chest CT, contrast-enhanced brain magnetic resonance imaging/CT] and radically treated stage III NSCLC, exclusion criteria: second primary within 2 years of NSCLC diagnosis and prior prophylactic cranial irradiation. Primary endpoint was BM development any time during follow-up (FU). CT-based radiomics features (N = 530) were extracted from the primary lung tumour on 18-FDG-PET-CT images, and a list of clinical features (N = 8) was collected. Univariate feature selection based on the area under the curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic was performed to identify relevant features. Generalized linear models were trained using the selected features, and multivariate predictive performance was assessed through the AUC.

Results:

In total, 219 patients were eligible for analysis. Median FU was 59.4 months for the training cohort and 67.3 months for the validation cohort; 21 (15%) and 17 (22%) patients developed BM in the training and validation cohort, respectively. Two relevant clinical features (age and adenocarcinoma histology) and four relevant radiomics features were identified as predictive. The clinical model yielded the highest AUC value of 0.71 (95% CI: 0.58–0.84), better than radiomics or a combination of clinical parameters and radiomics (both an AUC of 0.62, 95% CIs of 0.47–076 and 0.48–0.76, respectively).

Conclusion:

CT-based radiomics features of primary NSCLC in the current setup could not improve on a model based on clinical predictors (age and adenocarcinoma histology) of BM development in radically treated stage III NSCLC patients.

Clinical Value of EGFR Copy Number Gain Determined by Amplicon-Based Targeted Next Generation Sequencing in Patients with EGFR-Mutated NSCLC

BACKGROUND

The clinical relevance of epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) copy number gain in patients with EGFR mutated advanced non-small cell lung cancer on first-line tyrosine kinase inhibitor treatment has not been fully elucidated.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to estimate EGFR copy number gain using amplicon-based next generation sequencing data and explored its prognostic value.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Next generation sequencing data were obtained for 1566 patients with non-small cell lung cancer. EGFR copy number gain was defined based on an increase in EGFR read counts relative to internal reference amplicons and normal controls in combination with a modified z-score ≥ 3.5. Clinical follow-up data were available for 60 patients treated with first-line EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitors.

RESULTS

Specificity and sensitivity of next generation sequencing-based EGFR copy number estimations were above 90%. EGFR copy number gain was observed in 27.9% of EGFR mutant cases and in 7.4% of EGFR wild-type cases. EGFR gain was not associated with progression-free survival but showed a significant effect on overall survival with an adjusted hazard ratio of 3.14 (95% confidence interval 1.46-6.78, p = 0.003). Besides EGFR copy number gain, osimertinib in second or subsequent lines of treatment and the presence of T790M at relapse revealed significant effects in a multivariate analysis with adjusted hazard ratio of 0.43 (95% confidence interval 0.20-0.91, p = 0.028) and 0.24 (95% confidence interval 0.1-0.59, p = 0.001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-treatment EGFR copy number gain determined by amplicon-based next generation sequencing data predicts worse overall survival in EGFR-mutated patients treated with first-line EGFR-tyrosine kinase inhibitors. T790M at relapse and subsequent treatment with osimertinib predict longer overall survival.

Which patients with ES-SCLC are most likely to benefit from more aggressive radiotherapy: A secondary analysis of the Phase III CREST trial

INTRODUCTION

In ES-SCLC patients with residual intrathoracic disease after first-line chemotherapy, the addition of thoracic radiotherapy reduces the risk of intrathoracic recurrence, and improves 2-year survival. To identify patient subgroups for future trials investigating higher dose (extra)thoracic radiotherapy, we investigated the prognostic importance of number and sites of metastases in patients included in the CREST trial.

MATERIALS/ METHODS

Additional data on sites and numbers of metastases were collected from individual records of 260 patients from the top 9 recruiting centers in the randomized CREST trial (53% of 495 study patients), which compared thoracic radiotherapy (TRT) to no TRT in ES-SCLC patients after any response to chemotherapy. All patients received prophylactic cranial irradiation.

RESULTS

The clinical characteristics and outcomes of the 260 patients analyzed here did not differ significantly from that of the other 235 patients included in the CREST trial, except that fewer patients had a WHO=0 performance status (24% vs 45%), and a higher proportion had WHO=2 (15% vs 5%; p<0.0001). No distant metastases were recorded in 5%, 39% had metastases confined to one organ, 34% to two, and 22% to three or more organ sites. Metastases were present in the liver (47%), bone (40%), lung (28%), extrathoracic (non-supraclavicular) lymph nodes (19%), supraclavicular nodes (18%), adrenals (17%) and other sites (12%). The OS (p=0.02) and PFS (p=0.04) were significantly better in patients with 2 or fewer metastases, with OS significantly worse if liver (p=0.03) and/or bone metastases (p=0.04) were present.

DISCUSSION

This analysis of patients recruited from the top 9 accruing centers in the CREST trial suggests that future studies evaluating more intensive thoracic and extra-thoracic radiotherapy in ES-SCLC should focus on patients with fewer than 3 distant metastases.

Prophylactic cranial irradiation (PCI) versus observation in radically treated stage III non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC): A randomized phase III NVALT11 study

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Background: Brain metastases are one of the major sites of tumor failure in patients (pts) with radically treated stage III NSCLC. The value of PCI in these pts remains unsettled. This study is designed to investigate whether PCI reduces the incidence of symptomatic brain metastases (sBM). Methods: Pts were randomized between observation and PCI after concurrent or sequential chemo-RT with or without surgery. PCI dose was left to the physician(36 Gy/18F, 30 Gy/12F, 30 Gy/10F). Pts were registered before randomization, those progressing after chemo-RT were not randomized. Pts were followed for sBM (defined as increased intracranial pressure, headache, nausea, vomiting, cognitive, affective disturbances, seizures, focal neurological symptoms andMRI/CT), side effects, survival, quality of life (QLQ-C30, EuroQol 5D). The primary endpoint is the proportion of patients developing sBM. Randomizing 300 pts the study has 90% (2-sided p = 0.05) power to detect 17% decrease in pts developing sBM at 24 months (mo). Results: Between 2009 and 2015, 195 pts were registered, 175 were randomized, 87 received PCI and 88 pts were in the observation arm. In 2013 due to slow accrual, it was decided to reduce the number of randomized pts to 175 pts. With 75 events a 2-sided log-rank test would have 80% power to detect HR 0.52 and alpha 0.05. One pt in PCI arm was withdrawn after randomization. Pts characteristics were male (n = 114, 66%); adeno/squa/other 72 (41%), 62 (36%), 40 (23%); PS 0/1/2 66 (38%), 99 (57%), 9 (5%); stage IIIA/B 93 (53%), 80 (46%), unknown 1 (1%). Median follow up was 48.5 mo (95% CI, 39 - 54). Proportion of pts with sBM was 4/86 (4.6%) in PCI and 25/88 (28.4 %) in observation (p < 0.00001). Seven (8.1%) pts in PCI and 26 (29.7%) pts in observation arm had BM on imaging (p < 0.001). Median time to sBM was not reached in either arm. Median OS was 24.2 mo in PCI and 21.9 mo in observation arm (p = 0.52). Global QoL at 3 mo was worse in PCI arm (p = 0.02) but not afterwards. Conclusions: PCI significantly decreases the proportion of patients developing both symptomatic BM without influencing overall survival. PCI decreases 3 months global quality of life measures but not beyond. Clinical trial information: NTR 1601.

Direct costs associated with the disease management of patients with unresectable advanced non-small-cell lung cancer in The Netherlands

INTRODUCTION

Disease management and costs of treatment of patients with unresectable advanced non-small-cell lung cancer (NSCLC) in The Netherlands are not well known.

METHODS

A retrospective medical chart review was performed by collecting data from the time of diagnosis until the time of death or the end of the evaluation period. In addition to the demographic data, information was collected on the overall management of the patient. Hospital resource utilisation data collected included number of outpatient specialist visits, number and length of hospitalisation, type and number of diagnostic and laboratory procedures, type and number of radiotherapy cycles and detailed information on chemotherapy. To evaluate the economic impact of second-line treatment, a distinction was made between patients who received only best supportive care (BSC, group A) and those who received chemotherapy as a second-line treatment in addition to BSC (group B). The study was performed from the hospital perspective and reports on 2005 costs.

RESULTS

Of 102 patients, 74 belonged to group A and 28 to group B. Patient management included a multidisciplinary approach, the extent of which depended on symptoms of the disease and presence of metastases. The average total treatment cost per patient per year of unresectable advanced NSCLC in The Netherlands was euro32,840 in group A and euro31,187 in group B. In both groups, hospitalisation was the major cost driver. In group B second-line chemotherapy was the second largest contributor of the costs. In spite of the difference in numbers of treatment lines provided to patients in groups A and B the total average costs per patient per year were comparable. Overall, the management of unresectable advanced NSCLC appeared to conform with current guidelines in The Netherlands.

CONCLUSION

These patients show high medical resource consumption, with hospitalisation being the main cost driver in both groups. As economic arguments are becoming increasingly important in medical decision making on both national and local levels, this information is relevant for both policy makers and specialists. These data can also be used in future research to evaluate the economic impact of new therapies in NSCLC, especially of those that aim to treat patients in an outpatient setting.

Can baseline complete geriatric assessment (CGA) predict toxicity in elderly non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) patients (pts) receiving combination chemotherapy? Results from the first 100 pts in the prospective multicenter NVALT-3 study

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Background: Nearly 50% of NSCLC pts are aged over 70 years, but only few receive combination chemotherapy. Undertreatment results from a fear of associated toxicities. CGA may predict which patients are prone to toxicities, and thus allow patient selection for such treatment. Methods: A total of 182 NSCLC pts = 70 years with stage IIIb/IV disease were randomized to 4 cycles carboplatin/gemcitabine (group 1) or carboplatin/paclitaxel (group 2). Before treatment, CGA was performed using the following instruments: WHO Performance Scale (PS), Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), Cumulative Illness Rating Scale-Geriatrics (CIRS-G), Activities of Daily Living (ADL), Instrumental Activities of Daily Living (IADL), Timed “Up&Go” (TUG), Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), Geriatric Depression Score (GDS-15), Groningen Frailty Indicator (GFI). Toxicity was scored using NCI-CTC v2. Toxicity related outcomes were defined as all grade III/IV toxicities, toxicity related SAEs, = grade II neurological toxicity and the ability to finish all cycles. Results: In the first 100 pts mean age was 75 yrs (range 70–85). PS was 0 in 30%, 1 in 56% and 2 in 14%. 57% completed all 4 cycles. 11% stopped treatment prematurely due to toxicity and 12% due to PD. Overall, grade III/IV toxicity occurred in 66% of pts, toxicity related SAEs in 12%, and 35% experienced = grade 2 neurological toxicity (n=13 group 1, n=22 group 2). Median (range) baseline CGA scores were as follows: CCI 1.0 (0–7), CIRS-G 3.0 (0–14), ADL independent 72%, IADL independent 50%, TUG 12.0 sec.(5–40), MMSE 29 (19–30), GDS-15 normal (score 0–4) 71%, GFI 3.0 (0–10). Multivariate logistic regression indicated that, for experiencing toxicity related SAEs CIRS-G provided extra information, for experiencing neurological toxicities MMSE was predictive and for finishing all cycles, IADL provided extra information in addition to PS and stage. Conclusions: CGA can predict toxicity in elderly NSCLC pts receiving combination chemotherapy. Data on all 182 patients will be presented.

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Carboplatin and paclitaxol (Taxol) as an induction regimen for patients with biopsy-proven stage IIIA N2 non-small cell lung cancer. an EORTC phase II study (EORTC 08958)

The aim of this study was to document the activity and toxicity of paclitaxel (Taxol)/carboplatin when used as induction chemotherapy in patients with stage IIIA N2 non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) prior to definitive local treatment within a large, ongoing comparative study (EORTC 08941). 52 eligible, consenting, chemotherapy-naïve patients with NSCLC, median age of 60 years, stage IIIA N2 disease and the ability to tolerate a pneumonectomy received paclitaxel 200 mg/m2 as a 3-h infusion followed by carboplatin at an area under the concentration curve (AUC) of 6 every 3 weeks for three courses. Most patients received three courses. No grade 3/4 anaemia or thrombocytopenia was documented. Over all of the cycles, 6% (3 patients) experienced grade 3 leucopenia while 63% (32/51 patients) experienced grade 3-4 neutropenia. There was 1 patient (2%) with febrile neutropenia, no early or toxic deaths and no hypersensitivity reactions. Severe non-haematological toxicity was uncommon, with the exception of grade 3 alopecia in 39%, lethargy in 8% and myalgia in 6%. Of the eligible patients (n=52), there was one complete response (CR) and 32 partial responses (PR), resulting in a response rate of 64% (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 49%-76%). Of the 15 eligible patients randomised to surgery after induction chemotherapy, 3 patients did not receive surgery and 2 patients (n=12) had no tumour in the mediastinal nodes (17%). Resections were considered complete in 2 of the 12. Median survival for all eligible patients (n=52) was 20.5 months (95% CI 16.1-31.2), with an estimated 1-year survival rate of 68.5% (95% CI 55.2-81.7). In patients with N2 stage IIIA NSCLC, paclitaxel/carboplatin is an active and very well-tolerated induction regimen.

Pulmonary function in Parkinson's disease

Pulmonary function was investigated in 31 consecutive patients with relatively severe Parkinson's disease. Clinical disability was assessed by Hoehn and Yahr scale, Northwestern University Disability Scale and Websterscore. All patients were on levodopa substitution therapy and used anticholinergics. Pulmonary function was investigated by spirography, determination of a maximal inspiratory and expiratory flow-volume curve and, when possible, maximal static mouth pressures were determined. Peak inspiratory and expiratory flow, maximal expiratory flow at 50% and maximal static mouth pressures were significantly below normal values. Vital capacity, forced inspiratory volume in 1 s and the ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 s and vital capacity were relatively normal. Nine patients had upper airway obstruction (UAO) as judged by abnormal values for peak inspiratory flow, the ratio of forced expiratory volume in 1 s and peak expiratory flow and the ratio of maximal expiratory and inspiratory flow at 50%. Flow-volume curves were normal in eight patients; four patients demonstrated flow decelerations and accelerations (type A) and 16 had a rounded off flow-volume curve (type B). Type A can be explained by UAO and type B by a combination of decreased effective muscle strength and possible UAO. Overall results of pulmonary function tests in patients without any clinical signs or symptoms of pulmonary disease point to subclinical upper airway obstruction and decreased effective muscle strength in a significant proportion of patients.

Maximal expiratory and inspiratory flow-volume curves in Parkinson's disease

In order to investigate the type and degree of upper airway obstruction (UAO) in a group of patients with Parkinson's disease in different stages of the disease, we obtained maximal expiratory and inspiratory flow-volume (MEFV and MIFV) curves and maximal static mouth pressures. The clinical disability was indicated by a Hoehn-Yahr (H-Y) scale, ranging from III to V, and a more continuous Northwestern University Disability Scale (NUDS), ranging from zero to 50. Twelve patients were in H-Y Group III, and eleven and eight were in Groups IV and V, respectively. The pattern of the flow-volume curves was classified as either normal, or with superimposed regular or irregular oscillations (A), or with rounded-off and delayed expiratory peak appearance (B). Mean MEFV curves in Groups III and IV were not appreciably different from reference. In Group V, the mean curve showed a lower peak expiratory flow (PEF) and a more convex tail. Only the effort-dependent variables PEF, peak inspiratory flow (PIF), and maximal mouth pressures at RV and TLC (PmTLC and PmRV) appeared to be significantly correlated with the NUDS index and decreased with increasing clinical disability. The mean values of those variables were also significantly different between the H-Y groups. The number of normal curves decreased from H-Y Group III to Group V. The contribution of A and B curves was relatively equal in the groups, with only a small number of A curves.(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)