de Vries BS, Morton R, Burton AE, Kumar P, Hyett JA, Phipps H, Mcgeechan K. Attributable factors for the rising cesarean delivery rate over three decades: an observational cohort study.
Am J Obstet Gynecol MFM 2021;
4:100555. [PMID:
34971814 DOI:
10.1016/j.ajogmf.2021.100555]
[Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2021] [Revised: 12/08/2021] [Accepted: 12/14/2021] [Indexed: 11/24/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND
Cesarean delivery rates continue to rise globally the reasons for which are incompletely understood.
OBJECTIVES
We aimed to characterize attributable factors for increasing cesarean delivery rates over a 30-year period within our health network.
STUDY DESIGN
This was a planned observational cohort study across two hospitals (a large tertiary referral hospital and a metropolitan hospital) in Sydney, Australia using data from a previously published study. Two time periods were compared: 1989-1999 and 2009-2016, between which the cesarean delivery rate increased from 19% to 30%. Participants were all women who had a cesarean delivery after 24 weeks gestational age. Data were analyzed using multiple imputation and robust Poisson regression to calculate differences in the adjusted and unadjusted relative risk of cesarean delivery and estimate the changes in the cesarean delivery rate attributable to maternal and clinical factors. The primary outcome was cesarean delivery.
RESULTS
After 576 exclusions, 102 589 births were included in the analysis. Fifty-six percent of the increase in the rate of cesarean delivery was attributed to changes in the distribution of maternal age, body mass index, parity and history of previous cesarean delivery. An additional 10% of the increase was attributed to changes in the obstetric management of the following high-risk pregnancies: multiple gestation, malpresentation (mainly breech) and preterm singleton birth. When pre-labor cesarean deliveries for maternal choice, suspected fetal compromise, previous pregnancy issues and suspected large fetus were excluded, 78% of the increase was attributed to either maternal factors or changes in the obstetric management of these high-risk pregnancies.
CONCLUSIONS
Most of the steep rise in the cesarean delivery rate from 19% to 30% was attributed to changes in maternal demographic and clinical factors. This observation is relevant to developing preventative strategies which account for nulliparity, age, body mass index, and the management of high-risk pregnancies.
TWEETABLE ABSTRACT
More than half of the increase in the rate of cesarean delivery is attributable to changes in maternal age, BMI, parity and history of cesarean delivery.
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