Long-term cost-effectiveness of insertion of a biological mesh during stoma-site closure: 5-8-year follow-up of the ROCSS randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

The original ROCSS trial demonstrated a significant reduction in clinically detectable incisional hernias at 2 years in patients receiving prophylactic biological mesh during stoma closure. ROCSS-Ex was designed to investigate the 5-8-year cost-effectiveness of mesh in the surviving cohort using an abdominal wall-specific quality of life score.

METHODS

Eligible participants from original UK centres were identified. The primary outcome (abdominal wall-specific quality of life) was measured using the HerQLes score and EQ-5D-5L. Assessors remained blind to patients' original allocation, even if the patient was aware of their treatment.

RESULTS

Of the original 790 patients, 598 were available for long-term follow-up. HerQLes scores were available for 396 patients (no mesh: 191, mesh: 205). There was no difference in primary outcome between the two groups (mean difference of 1.48, 95% c.i. (-2.35, 5.32), P = 0.45) and no cost benefit of routine insertion of prophylactic biological mesh across the entire cohort in the long term. However, patients who received mesh experienced significantly fewer stoma site complications within the first 3 years after reversal and needed fewer surgical reinterventions (32 versus 54 for the no mesh group; incidence rate ratio of 0.55, 95% c.i. (0.31, 0.97), P = 0.04).

CONCLUSIONS

ROCSS-Ex has shown equivocal outcomes for prophylactic mesh insertion versus standard repair on abdominal wall-specific quality of life 5-8 years after surgery. As most reinterventions occurred within the first 3 years post-surgery, there may be a role for prophylactic mesh in a subset of patients who would be most adversely affected by repeated surgery early on.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN25584182 (http://www.clinicaltrials.gov).

Long-Term Health Outcomes of Huntington Disease and the Impact of Future Disease-Modifying Treatments: A Decision-Modeling Analysis

Background and Objectives

Disease-modifying treatments (DMTs) such as gene therapy are currently under investigation as a potential treatment for Huntington disease (HD). Our objective was to estimate the long-term natural history of HD progression and explore the potential efficacy impacts and value of a hypothetical DMT using a decision-analytic modeling framework.

Methods

We developed a health state transition model that separately analyzed 40-year-old individuals with prefunctional decline (PFD, HD Integrated Staging System [HD-ISS] stage <3, total functional score [TFC] 13), active functional decline Shoulson and Fahn category 1 (SF1, HD-ISS stage 3, TFC 13-11), and SF2 (HD-ISS stage 3, TFC 10-7). Three-year outcomes from the TRACK-HD longitudinal study were linearly extrapolated to estimate the long-term health outcomes and costs of each population. For PFD individuals, we used the HD-ISS to predict the onset of functional decline. HD costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) were estimated over a lifetime horizon by applying health state-specific costs and utilities derived from a related HD burden-of-illness study. We then estimated the long-term health impacts of hypothetical DMTs that slowed or delayed onset of functional decline. We conducted sensitivity analyses to assess model uncertainties.

Results

The expected life years for 40-year-old PFD, SF1, and SF2 populations were 20.46 (95% credible range [CR]: 19.05-22.30), 13.93 (10.82-19.08), and 10.99 (8.28-22.07), respectively. The expected QALYs for PFD, SF1, and SF2 populations were 15.93 (14.91-17.44), 8.29 (6.36-11.79), and 5.79 (4.14-12.91), respectively. The lifetime costs of HD were $508,200 ($310,300 to $803,700) for the PFD population, $1.15 million ($684,500 to $1.89 million) for SF1 individuals, and $1.07 million ($571,700 to $2.26 million) for SF2 individuals. Although hypothetical DMTs led to cost savings in the PFD population by delaying the cost burdens of functional decline, they increased costs in SF1 and SF2 populations by prolonging time spent in expensive progressive HD states.

Discussion

Our novel HD-modeling framework estimates HD progression over a lifetime and the associated costs and QALYs. Our approach can be used for future cost-effectiveness models as positive DMT clinical trial evidence becomes available.