Potential and limitations of machine meta-learning (ensemble) methods for predicting COVID-19 mortality in a large inhospital Brazilian dataset

The majority of early prediction scores and methods to predict COVID-19 mortality are bound by methodological flaws and technological limitations (e.g., the use of a single prediction model). Our aim is to provide a thorough comparative study that tackles those methodological issues, considering multiple techniques to build mortality prediction models, including modern machine learning (neural) algorithms and traditional statistical techniques, as well as meta-learning (ensemble) approaches. This study used a dataset from a multicenter cohort of 10,897 adult Brazilian COVID-19 patients, admitted from March/2020 to November/2021, including patients [median age 60 (interquartile range 48-71), 46% women]. We also proposed new original population-based meta-features that have not been devised in the literature. Stacking has shown to achieve the best results reported in the literature for the death prediction task, improving over previous state-of-the-art by more than 46% in Recall for predicting death, with AUROC 0.826 and MacroF1 of 65.4%. The newly proposed meta-features were highly discriminative of death, but fell short in producing large improvements in final prediction performance, demonstrating that we are possibly on the limits of the prediction capabilities that can be achieved with the current set of ML techniques and (meta-)features. Finally, we investigated how the trained models perform on different hospitals, showing that there are indeed large differences in classifier performance between different hospitals, further making the case that errors are produced by factors that cannot be modeled with the current predictors.

Circulating extracellular vesicle-associated TGFβ3 modulates response to cytotoxic therapy in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Management of locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) requires a multi-prong approach comprising surgery, radiation and/or chemotherapy, yet outcomes are limited. This is largely due to a paucity of biomarkers that can predict response to specific treatment modalities. Here, we evaluated TGFβ3 protein levels in extracellular vesicles (EVs) released by HNSCC cells as a predictor for response to chemoradiation therapy (CRT). To this end, specific EV-fractions were isolated from cell lines or HNSCC patient plasma, and TGFβ3 protein was quantified. In patients treated with CRT, TGFβ3 levels were found to be significantly higher in plasma EV-fractions or non-responders compared with responders. High levels of TGFβ3 levels in Annexin V-EVs were associated with the worst progression-free survival. In vitro experiments demonstrated that TGFβ3 silencing sensitized HNSCC cells to cytotoxic therapies, and this phenotype could be rescued by treatment with exogenous. In addition, specific EV-fractions shed by cisplatin-resistant cells were sufficient to transfer the resistant phenotype to sensitive cells through activation of TGFβ-signaling pathway. Therefore, our data show that TGFβ3 transmitted through EV plays a significant role in response to cytotoxic therapy, which can be exploited as a potential biomarker for CRT response in HNSCC patients treated with curative intent.

The role of single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) in toxicity of induction chemotherapy based on cisplatin and paclitaxel in patients with advanced head and neck cancer

BACKGROUND

Induction chemotherapy in locally-advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (LAHNSCC) patients is potentially associated to serious adverse events. Biomarkers associated with toxicity could tailor its indication. This study evaluated the association between single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in metabolic genes and toxicity to induction chemotherapy.

METHODS

59 LAHNSCC phase II clinical trial patients (NCT00959387) were assessed regarding 47 metabolic genes (366 SNPs). Toxicities were graded (CTCAE 3.0) and statistical analysis was performed.

RESULTS

The SNPs rs8187710 (ABCC2) and rs1801131 (MTHFR) were associated to increased risk of gastrointestinal toxicity, whereas the SNPs rs3788007 (ABCG1) and rs4148943 (CHST3) were associated to decreased risk. Two other SNPs, rs2301159 (SLC10A2) and rs2470890 (CYP1A2), were associated with increased risk of hematological toxicity. Nevertheless, these SNPs did not remain significant after adjusting for multiple comparisons.

CONCLUSIONS

This study could not demonstrate relationship between SNPs and toxicity to induction chemotherapy in LAHNSCC patients. The small number of patients may have affected the results.

Afatinib as second-line treatment in patients with recurrent/metastatic squamous cell carcinoma of the head and neck: Subgroup analyses of treatment adherence, safety and mode of afatinib administration in the LUX-Head and Neck 1 trial

OBJECTIVES

Patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) can experience severe symptom burden and/or difficulty swallowing, leading to problems with treatment adherence/administration. In LUX-Head and Neck 1 (LH&N1; NCT01345682), second-line afatinib improved progression-free survival (PFS) versus methotrexate in patients with recurrent/metastatic HNSCC. We report adherence and safety across pre-specified and additional subgroups potentially linked to afatinib PFS benefit in LH&N1 (p16 status, smoking history), and afatinib adherence, safety and efficacy by administration (oral versus feeding tube; post-hoc analysis).

METHODS

Patients were randomized (2:1) to afatinib (40 mg/day) or intravenous methotrexate (40 mg/m²/week).

RESULTS

Among 320 afatinib-treated and 160 methotrexate-treated patients, 83-92% and 76-92% (of patients with data available) across all subgroups took ≥80% of treatment. Across p16 status and smoking history subgroups, the most common treatment-related adverse events (AEs) were diarrhea (70-91%), rash/acne (72-84%), stomatitis (34-73%) with afatinib; and included stomatitis (39-100%), fatigue (22-50%), nausea (19-36%) with methotrexate. Dose reduction decreased AE incidence/severity. Baseline characteristics were generally similar between oral/feeding tube (n = 276/n = 46) groups. 89%/89% (of patients with data available) took ≥80% of assigned afatinib. Median PFS was 2.6 versus 2.7 months (hazard ratio: 0.997; 95% confidence interval: 0.72-1.38). The most common afatinib-related AEs were: rash/acne (74% versus 74%), diarrhea (73% versus 65%), stomatitis (40% versus 30%).

CONCLUSION

Subgroup analyses of LH&N1 demonstrate that afatinib has predictable and manageable safety across patient subgroups, with high treatment adherence, and is effective via oral and feeding tube administration.

Afatinib vs Placebo as Adjuvant Therapy After Chemoradiotherapy in Squamous Cell Carcinoma of the Head and Neck: A Randomized Clinical Trial

Importance

Locoregionally advanced head and neck squamous cell cancer (HNSCC) is treated curatively; however, risk of recurrence remains high among some patients. The ERBB family blocker afatinib has shown efficacy in recurrent or metastatic HNSCC.

Objective

To assess whether afatinib therapy after definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT) improves disease-free survival (DFS) in patients with HNSCC.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This multicenter, phase 3, double-blind randomized clinical trial (LUX-Head & Neck 2) studied 617 patients from November 2, 2011, to July 4, 2016. Patients who had complete response after CRT, comprising radiotherapy with cisplatin or carboplatin, with or without resection of residual disease, for locoregionally advanced high- or intermediate-risk HNSCC of the oral cavity, hypopharynx, larynx, or oropharynx were included in the study. Data analysis was of the intention-to-treat population.

Interventions

Patients were randomized (2:1) to treatment with afatinib (40 mg/d) or placebo, stratified by nodal status (N0-2a or N2b-3) and Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (0 or 1). Treatment continued for 18 months or until disease recurrence, unacceptable adverse events, or patient withdrawal.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary end point was DFS, defined as time from the date of randomization to the date of tumor recurrence or secondary primary tumor or death from any cause. Secondary end points were DFS at 2 years, overall survival (defined as time from the date of randomization to death), and health-related quality of life.

Results

A total of 617 patients were studied (mean [SD] age, 58 [8.4] years; 528 male [85.6%]). Recruitment was stopped after a preplanned interim futility analysis on July 4, 2016, on recommendation from an independent data monitoring committee. Treatment was discontinued. Median DFS was 43.4 months (95% CI, 37.4 months to not estimable) in the afatinib group and not estimable (95% CI, 40.1 months to not estimable) in the placebo group (hazard ratio, 1.13; 95% CI, 0.81-1.57; stratified log-rank test P = .48). The most common grade 3 and 4 drug-related adverse effects were acneiform rash (61 [14.8%] of 411 patients in the afatinib group vs 1 [0.5%] of 206 patients in the placebo group), stomatitis (55 [13.4%] in the afatinib group vs 1 [0.5%] in the placebo group), and diarrhea (32 [7.8%] in the afatinib group vs 1 [0.5%] in the placebo group).

Conclusions and Relevance

This study's findings indicate that treatment with afatinib after CRT did not improve DFS and was associated with more adverse events than placebo in patients with primary, unresected, clinically high- to intermediate-risk HNSCC. The use of adjuvant afatinib after CRT is not recommended.

Trial Registration

ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT01345669.

A preliminary investigation of circulating extracellular vesicles and biomarker discovery associated with treatment response in head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

There is a paucity of plasma-based biomarkers that prospectively segregate the outcome of patients with head and neck squamous-cell carcinoma (HNSCC) treated with chemoradiation therapy (CRT). Plasma extracellular vesicles (EVs) might be an alternative source for discovery of new specific markers present in patients with HNSCC, which could help to re-direct patients to appropriate curative therapies without delay.

METHODS

In order to identify new markers in plasma compartments, Cholerae toxin B chain (CTB) and Annexin V (AV) were used to isolate EVs from pooled plasma samples from patients with locally advanced HNSCC who responded (CR, n = 6) or presented incomplete response (NR, n = 6) to CRT. The crude plasma and EVs cargo were screened by antibody array.

RESULTS

Of the 370 polypeptides detected, 119 proteins were specific to NR patients while 38 were exclusive of the CR subjects. The Gene Set Enrichment Analysis (GSEA) and Search Tool for the Retrieval of Interacting Genes (STRING) database analysis indicated that the content of circulating plasma EVs might have a relevant function for the tumor intercellular communication in the HNSCC patients.

CONCLUSION

This study provides a list of potential markers present in plasma compartments that might contribute to the development of tools for prediction and assessment of CRT response and potentially guide therapeutic decisions in this context.

High expression of MLANA in the plasma of patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma as a predictor of tumor progression

BACKGROUND

There is a paucity of plasma-based biomarkers that predict outcome in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) treated with chemoradiation therapy (CRT). Here, we evaluate the prognostic potential of plasma Melanoma-Antigen Recognized by T-cells 1 (MLANA) in this setting.

METHODS

MLANA expression in HNSCC lines were evaluated by reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction, whereas plasma levels were quantified using ELISA in 48 patients with locally advanced HNSCC undergoing a phase 2 trial with CRT.

RESULTS

MLANA is expressed at variable levels in a panel of HNSCC lines. In plasma, levels were elevated in patients with tumor relapse compared to those without (P < .004); 73.9% of the patients expressing high plasma MLANA levels progressed with recurrent disease (P = .020). Multivariate analysis showed that plasma MLANA levels and tumor resectability were independent prognostic factors for progression free survival.

CONCLUSION

Plasma MLANA expression appears to be an effective noninvasive biomarker for outcomes in patients treated with CRT, and could potentially guide therapeutic decisions in this context.

EGF+61 A>G polymorphism is not associated with lung cancer risk in the Brazilian population

Epidermal growth factor (EGF) and its receptor (EGFR) play an important role in lung carcinogenesis. A functional single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in EGF promoter region (EGF+61 A>G-rs4444903) has been associated with cancer susceptibility. Yet, in lung cancer, the EGF+61 A>G role is unclear. The aim of this study was to evaluate the risk of lung cancer associated with EGF+61 A>G SNP in the Brazilian population. For that, 669 lung cancer patients and 1104 controls were analyzed. EGF+61 A>G genotype was assessed by PCR-RFLP and TaqMan genotyping assay. Both patients and controls were in Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium. As expected, uni- and multivariate analyses showed that tobacco consumption and age were significant risk factors for lung cancer. The genotype frequencies in lung cancer patients were 27.3% of AA, 47.4% of AG and 25.3% of GG, and for controls were 25.3% of AA, 51.6% of AG and 23.1% of GG. The allele frequencies were 51.1% of A and 48.9% of G for both cases and controls. No significant differences for the three genotypes (AA, AG and GG-codominant model) were observed between cases and controls. We then grouped AG and GG (recessive model) genotypes, as well as AA and AG (dominant model), and again, no significant differences were also found. This is the largest study to explore EGF+61 A>G polymorphism association with lung cancer risk and suggests that this SNP is not a risk factor for lung cancer in the Brazilian population.

Effect of Induction Chemotherapy on Swallowing in Head and Neck Cancer Patients

Objective:

To evaluate the effect of induction chemotherapy on swallowing and swallowing-related quality of life of patients with oropharyngeal, laryngeal and hypopharyngeal cancer.

Study design:

Prospective study of 33 patients with locally advanced tumors who were eligible for treatment with neoadjuvant chemotherapy followed by radiotherapy and concurrent chemotherapy. A multidimensional assessment of swallowing was performed using the following tools: (1) Clinical analysis, numerical scale for general pain and painful swallowing, American Speech and Hearing Association (ASHA) Functional Communication Measures (FCM) swallowing assessment scales, (2) assessment of Swallowing-Related Quality of Life (The MD Anderson Dysphagia Inventory - MDADI), and (3) swallowing videofluoroscopy.

Results:

There was a reduction in general pain scale (p=0.021), and quality of life (emotional, functional and physical) improved from average limitation (score of 61-80) to minimal limitation (81-100) after induction chemotherapy. According to the swallowing videofluoroscopy results, 26 (78.7%) of the patients had some degree of dysphagia pre-treatment, which decreased to 21 (63.6%) after induction.

Conclusion:

Our results suggest that induction chemotherapy improves numerous aspects of swallowing and has a positive impact on the quality of life of pre-chemoradiotherapy patients.

Feasibility of concomitant cisplatin with hypofractionated radiotherapy for locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

Background

The evolution of radiotherapy over recent decades has reintroduced the hypofractionation for many tumor sites with similar outcomes to those of conventional fractionated radiotherapy. The use of hypofractionation in locally advanced head and neck cancer (LAHNC) has been already used, however, its use has been restricted to only a few countries. The aim of this trial was to evaluate the safety and feasibility of moderate hypofractionated radiotherapy (HYP-RT) with concomitant cisplatin (CDDP).

Methods

This single-arm trial was designed to evaluate the safety and feasibility of HYP-RT with concomitant CDDP in LAHNC. Stage III and IV patients withnonmetastatic disease were enrolled. Patients were submitted to intensity modulatedradiation therapy, which comprised 55 Gy/20 fractions to the gross tumor and44–48 Gy/20 fractions to the areas of subclinical disease. Concomitant CDDPconsisted of 4 weekly cycles of 35 mg/m2. The primary endpoints were the treatment completion rate and acute toxicity.

Results

Twenty patients were enrolled from January 2015 to September 2016, and 12 (60%) were classified as unresectable. All patients completed the total dose of radiotherapy, and 19 patients (95%) received at least 3 of 4 cycles of chemotherapy. The median overall treatment time was 29 days (27–34). Grade 4 toxicity was reported twice (1 fatigue and 1 lymphopenia). The rates of grade 3 dermatitis and mucositis were 30% and 40%, respectively, with spontaneous resolution. Nasogastric tubes were offered to 15 patients (75%) during treatment; 4 patients (20%) needed feeding tubes after 2 months, and only 1 patient needed a feeding tube after 12 months.

Conclusion

HYP-RT with concomitant CDDP was considered feasible for LAHNC, and the rate of acute toxicity was comparable to that of standard concomitant chemoradiation. A feeding tube was necessary for most patients during treatment. Further investigation of this strategy is warranted.

Trial registration

ClinicalTrials, NCT03194061. Registered 21 Jun 2017 – Retrospectively registered.

Abstract A78: EGF+61 A&gt;G polymorphism is not associated with lung cancer risk in Brazilian population

Lung cancer is a malignancy with high incidence and mortality, being in Brazil the second most common cancer in men and the fourth in women. Epidermal growth factor (EGF) and its receptor (EGFR) play a central role in lung carcinogenesis, once EGF/EGFR interaction activates several intracellular pathways that control cellular growth, proliferation, differentiation, migration, and apoptosis. The association has been described between a single nucleotide polymorphism (SNP) in EGF promoter region (EGF+61 A&gt;G – rs4444903) and cancer susceptibility to distinct tumors, including melanoma, gliomas, gastric cancer, hepatocellular carcinoma, and others. In lung cancer, the results are still scarce and unclear, with different reports showing discrepant results. Therefore, the aim of this study is to evaluate the risk of lung cancer development associated with the EGF+61 A&gt;G SNP in a Brazilian population. For that, 437 lung cancer patients and 1104 controls were included in this study. Following DNA isolation from both tumor (FFPE) and controls (blood), the EGF+61 A&gt;G genotype was assessed by polymerase chain reaction–restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR-RFLP), and TaqMan Genotyping Assay, respectively. Statistical analysis included chi-square and Mann-Whitney tests, and logistic regression model to estimate Odds Ratios. As expected, uni- and multivariate analyses showed that tobacco consumption (p&lt;0.001; OR=4.6; 95% CI 3.53-6.2 for smokers and p&lt;0.001; OR 1.9; 95% CI 1.48-2.56 for ex-smokers) and age (p&lt;0.001; OR=1.03; 95% CI 1.02-1.04 per year) were important risk factors for lung cancer. The genotype frequencies observed in lung cancer patients were 27.9% of AA, 45.1% of AG, and 20% of GG, and for controls were 25.3% of AA, 51.6% of AG, and 23.1% of GG. The allele frequencies were 51% of A and 49% of G in patients, and 50% of each allele in controls. Hardy-Weinberg equilibrium was estimated among patients and controls and no deviation was found in control group. However, patient's group revealed a p=0.039. No significant differences for the three genotypes (AA, AG, and GG) were observed between cases and controls (p=0.064; AG genotype: OR=0.79; 95% CI 0.605-1.033 and GG genotype: OR=1.05; 95% CI 0.78-1.43). We further grouped AG and GG genotypes and compared with the AA genotype, and also did not found significant differences (p=0.3; OR=0.87; 95% CI 0.681-1.120). Moreover, overall survival was calculated for patients considering AG/GG versus AA genotypes, and no significant differences were observed (p=0.21). In conclusion, the present study suggests that EGF+61 A&gt;G polymorphism is not a risk factor for lung cancer in the Brazilian population.

Citation Format: Ana Carolina Laus, Flavia Escremim de Paula, Marcos Alves de Lima, Carolina Dias Carlos, Izabela Natalia Faria Gomes, Pedro Rafael Martins de Marchi, Luciano de Souza Viana, Rui Manuel Vieira Reis. EGF+61 A&gt;G polymorphism is not associated with lung cancer risk in Brazilian population [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR International Conference held in cooperation with the Latin American Cooperative Oncology Group (LACOG) on Translational Cancer Medicine; May 4-6, 2017; São Paulo, Brazil. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Clin Cancer Res 2018;24(1_Suppl):Abstract nr A78.

Lung cancer in Brazil

Lung cancer is one of the most incident types of cancer and a leading cause of cancer mortality in Brazil. We reviewed the current status of lung cancer by searching relevant data on prevention, diagnosis, and treatment in the country. This review highlights several issues that need to be addressed, including smoking control, patient lack of awareness, late diagnosis, and disparities in the access to cancer health care facilities in Brazil. We propose strategies to help overcome these limitations and challenge health care providers, as well as the society and governmental representatives, to work together and to take a step forward in fighting lung cancer.

Abstract 4091: AKT can modulate the in vitro response of HNSCC cell to irreversible EGFR inhibitors

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) is overexpressed in up to 90% of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) tumors. Cetuximab is the first targeted (anti-EGFR) therapy approved for the treatment of patients with locally advanced HNSCC. However, its efficacy is limited due to primary and secondary resistance, and there is no predict biomarkers of response. New generation of EGFR inhibitors with pan HER targeting and irreversible action, such as afatinib and allitinib represents a significant therapeutic promise in HNSCC treatment. In this study, we intend to compare the potential cytotoxicity of two irreversible anti-EGFR inhibitors (afatinib and allitinib) with cetuximab and to identify potential predictive biomarkers of response in a panel of HNSCC cell lines. The mutational analysis in hotspot regions of EGFR, KRAS, NRAS, PIK3CA and PTEN in the eight HNSCC cell lines revealed an EGFR mutation (p.H773Y) and gene amplification in the HN13 cells, and KRAS mutation in the JHU-28 cell line. According to the growth inhibition score (GI), allitinib was the most cytotoxic drug, followed by afatinib and finally cetuximab. The HN13 cell line exhibited a less responsive behavior to all drugs assessed, and interestingly, also displayed the higher levels of AKT phosphorylation. Therefore, we further performed drug combinations and found that with anti-AKT agent (MK2206), afatinib and allitinib, but not cetuximab, sensitivity was restored. Additionally, AKT1gene editing in afatinib and allitinib-treated cell lines showed that AKT1 silencing-induced cell line decreased viability and increased cytotoxicity through caspases 3/7activation.Additionally, in silico analysis of TCGA database showed that AKT1 overexpression was present in 14.7% (41/279) of HNSCC cases, and was associated with perineural invasion in advanced stage. In conclusion, allitinib presented a greater cytotoxic profile when compared to afatinib and cetuximab, and the AKT pathway constitutes a predictive marker of allitinib response. Importantly, in allitinib and afatinib-resistant cases, the pharmacological combination with AKT inhibitors could restore response and increase treatment success.

Citation Format: Renato José Silva-Oliveira, Matias Melendez, Olga Martinho, Maicon Fernando Zanon, Luciano de Souza Viana, André Lopes Carvalho, Rui Manuel Reis. AKT can modulate the in vitro response of HNSCC cell to irreversible EGFR inhibitors [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2017; 2017 Apr 1-5; Washington, DC. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 4091. doi:10.1158/1538-7445.AM2017-4091

Anti-EGFR Therapy: Strategies in Head and Neck Squamous Cell Carcinoma

Epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR) is a tyrosine kinase receptor that activates downstream signaling pathways, including the Ras-MEK-Erk and PI3K-AKT pathways, leading to cell proliferation, resistance to apoptosis, angiogenesis and the ability to metastasize. EGFR overexpression is a significant finding in cancer, particularly in head and neck cancer, where it is also associated with a poor prognosis. In recent years, several molecules have been designed to inhibit EGFR activation. Among the many available anti-EGFR drugs, only cetuximab was approved for the treatment of head and neck cancers. However, no predictive biomarkers of cetuximab response are currently known. In the present review, we provide an updated assessment of EGFR biology and its clinical impact in head and neck cancers. A special emphasis is placed on novel patents of EGFR-inhibitors that are anticipated to diversify the anti-EGFR therapies available to treat head and neck cancers. In particular, we outline a new class of irreversible multi-target inhibitors (e.g. afatinib, icotinib, CUDC-101), which may significantly contribute to new head and neck cancer therapies.

Genetic and Immunohistochemical Expression of Integrins ITGAV, ITGA6, and ITGA3 As Prognostic Factor for Colorectal Cancer: Models for Global and Disease-Free Survival

Objective

To evaluate the relationship between the expression profiles of 84 extracellular matrix (ECM) genes and the prognosis of patients with colorectal cancer (CRC).

Methods

This retrospective study included 114 patients with stage I–IV CRC who underwent primary tumour resection. Quantitative real-time PCR and immunohistochemistry assays were conducted using primary tumour samples. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were also generated to identify differences in global survival (GS) and disease-free survival (DFS) for the hypo- or hyperexpression status of each marker. The log-rank test was used to verify whether the differences were significant. Stepwise Cox regression models were also used to identify the risk factors associated with GS and DFS in a multivariate mode, and then were used to score the risk of death associated with each marker, either independently or in association.

Results

In the univariate analyses, significant differences in GS in relation to the expression profiles of ITGAV (p = 0.001), ITGA3 (p = 0.002), ITGA6 (p = 0.001), SPARC (p = 0.036), MMP9 (p = 0.034), and MMP16 (p = 0.038) were observed. For DFS, significant differences were observed in associated with ITGAV (p = 0.004) and ITGA3 (p = 0.001). However, only the ITGAV and ITGA6 gene markers for GS (hazard ratio (HR) = 3.209, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 1.412–7.293, p = 0.005 and HR = 3.105, 95% CI = 1.367–7.055, p = 0.007, respectively), and ITGA3 for DFS (HR = 3.806, 95% CI = 1.573–9.209, p = 0.003), remained in the final Cox regression models. A scoring system was developed to evaluate the risk of patient death based on the number of markers for the components of the final GS model. Scores of 0, 1, or 2 were associated with the following mean survival rates [CI]: 47.162 [44.613–49.711], 39.717 [35.471–43.964], 30.197 [24.030–36.327], respectively.

Conclusions

Multivariate mathematical models demonstrated an association between hyperexpression of the ITGAV and ITGA6 integrins and GS, and also between the ITGA3 integrin and DFS, in patients with colorectal tumours. A risk scoring system based on detected hyperexpression of 0, 1, or 2 markers (e.g., ITGAV and/or ITGA6) was also found to accurately correlate with the GS curves generated for the present cohort.

Efficacy and safety of a cisplatin and paclitaxel induction regimen followed by chemoradiotherapy for patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The purpose of this phase II trial was to evaluate the tolerability, safety, and efficacy of a non-5-fluorouracil (5-FU)-based induction chemotherapy followed by chemoradiotherapy (CRT) for patients with locally advanced head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC).

METHODS

Sixty patients with stage III to IV HNSCC were treated with induction paclitaxel and cisplatin (TP; paclitaxel 175 mg/m(2) and cisplatin 80 mg/m(2) , 3 cycles) followed by CRT (cisplatin 100 mg/m(2) ; D1, 22, and 43 of radiotherapy).

RESULTS

Fifty-six patients (93.3%) completed 3 cycles of induction TP (no treatment-related deaths), 52 (86.7%) completed definitive CRT per protocol (adverse event [AE] grade ≥2 in 53.3%). The overall response rate after induction TP was 82.5% for patients with resectable disease and 55.5% for unresectable disease (p = .023), and complete response (CR) rate after CRT was 70.0% for patients with resectable disease and 30.0% for unresectable disease (p = .005).

CONCLUSION

Induction TP followed by cisplatin based-CRT was well-tolerated, safe, and had high overall response rate in selected patients with locally advanced HNSCC. © 2015 Wiley Periodicals, Inc. Head Neck 38: E970-E980, 2016.

Fatal sepsis after intravesical instillation of BCG: case report

Intravesical instillation of bacillus Calmette-Guérin (BCG) is the treatment of choice for carcinoma in situ and non-invasive high-grade superficial tumors of the urinary bladder. This treatment is well tolerated overall, but serious complications can occur. An elderly man with coronary disease and recurrent high-grade superficial carcinoma of the bladder underwent intravesical instillation of BCG and developed septic shock. He received wide range antibiotics, tuberculostatic and vasoactive drugs, corticosteroids, mechanical ventilation and renal replacement therapy without improvement. He died nine days after the intravesical instillation of BCG because of multiple organ failure.

Performance of a modified MASCC index score for identifying low-risk febrile neutropenic cancer patients

GOALS OF WORK

This is a prospective and observational study comparing the efficacy of risk-assessment models in patients with neutropenic fever in a reference treatment center. The meaning of the complex infection was evaluated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients were recruited throughout a 9-month period. Inclusion criteria were histologic diagnosis of malignancy, neutropenic febrile secondary to chemotherapy and/or radiotherapy (absolute neutrophil count of <500/microl and axillary temperature > or = 38 degrees C), and > or = 18 years of age.

MAIN RESULTS

Fifty-three febrile neutropenic patients were included. Twenty one of them were classified as low risk by the Multinational Association of Supportive Care in Cancer (MASCC) risk-index score. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), negative predictive value (NPV) and accuracy of the MASCC risk-index scores were, respectively 87.9, 85.0, 90.6, 80.9, and 86.8%. None of the low-risk patients died, but four patients classified as low risk by the MASCC model developed serious medical complications during febrile neutropenic episodes. When we subtracted patients with complex infections from the group of patients with the MASCC risk-index score of > or = 21, we got 15 patients that were classified as low risk by a proposed adjustment by complex infection (PACI) model. None of them developed serious medical complications. The sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and the accuracy of this new model were, respectively, 100, 75.0, 86.8, 100, and 90.6%.

CONCLUSION

The MASCC risk-index score had high sensitivity and specificity to predict the absence of complications, but the PACI model was better than MASCC for predicting the absence of complications in this febrile neutropenic patients.