Causes of Death Among Patients With Metastatic Prostate Cancer in the US From 2000 to 2016

IMPORTANCE

Owing to improved survival among US patients with prostate cancer (PC), patients tend to live long enough after a PC diagnosis for non-cancer-related comorbidities to be associated with their overall survival. Although studies have investigated causes of death among patients with localized PC, data are lacking regarding causes of death among patients with metastatic PC.

OBJECTIVE

To assess causes of death among US patients with metastatic PC from 2000 to 2016.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This retrospective cohort study used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program database to analyze a sample of 26 168 US men who received a diagnosis of metastatic PC from January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2016. Data were analyzed from February 2 to July 28, 2020.

EXPOSURE

Diagnosis of metastatic PC.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

Standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for different causes of death were calculated by dividing the observed number of deaths from each cause of death by the expected number of deaths in the age-matched US male population for the same period, adjusting for age and race/ethnicity.

RESULTS

Of 26 168 patients with metastatic PC included in the analysis, 48.9% were aged 50 to 70 years (mean age at diagnosis, 70.83 years); 74.5% were White individuals, and 72.7% received a diagnosis of stage M1b metastatic PC. A total of 16 732 patients (63.9%) died during the follow-up period. The mean age at death was 74.13 years. Most deaths (59.0%) occurred within the latency period of 2 years after diagnosis of metastatic PC, whereas 31.6% occurred 2 to 5 years after diagnosis and 9.4% occurred more than 5 years after diagnosis. Of the total deaths, 13 011 (77.8%) were from PC, 924 (5.5%) were from other cancers, and 2797 (16.7%) were from noncancer causes. During all latency periods, the most common noncancer causes of death were cardiovascular diseases (SMR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.26-1.42), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (SMR, 1.19; 95% CI, 1.03-1.36), and cerebrovascular diseases (SMR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.13-1.50).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cohort study, deaths from noncancer causes, including cardiovascular disease, constituted a substantial number of deaths among men with metastatic PC. Therapy and follow-up should be tailored to the needs of each patient with metastatic PC, and counseling regarding future health risks should be provided.

Causes of Death Following Nonmetastatic Colorectal Cancer Diagnosis in the U.S.: A Population-Based Analysis

INTRODUCTION

Because of the improved colorectal cancer (CRC) survival in the U.S., patients may live long enough after CRC diagnosis to the point where non-cancer-related comorbidities may considerably impact their overall survival. In this study, we perform a long-term analysis of causes of death (CODs) following nonmetastatic CRC with respect to different demographic and tumor-related criteria.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We gained access to the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data to review patients diagnosed with nonmetastatic CRC during 2000-2015. We calculated standardized mortality ratios (SMRs) for each COD following CRC. SMRs represented the change of risk of a specific COD following CRC diagnoses when compared with the risk in the general U.S.

POPULATION

RESULTS

We reviewed 302,345 patients, of whom 112,008 died during the study period. More deaths (68.3%) occurred within 5 years following nonmetastatic CRC diagnosis, with 76,486 deaths. CRC was the most common COD (51.4%) within 5 years of diagnosis followed by heart disease (15.2%) and other cancers (8.4%). As time passed after diagnosis, the number of CRC deaths decreased, and other noncancer causes increased to the point that after 10 years only 10.4% of deaths were attributed to CRC, 15.3% were attributed to other cancers, and 34.2% were secondary to heart disease.

CONCLUSION

Following nonmetastatic CRC diagnosis, most deaths remain secondary to CRC. Other causes, including other cancers and cardiovascular disease, represent a significant number of deaths, especially in the 5 years following initial CRC diagnosis. Our findings help guide counseling patients with CRC regarding future health risks.

IMPLICATIONS FOR PRACTICE

Most common causes of death following nonmetastatic colorectal cancer (CRC) are heart diseases, other cancers, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, and cerebrovascular diseases. Physicians should counsel patients regarding survivorship with cancer screening and focus on prevention of noncancer deaths. These findings should be considered by physicians who give care for survivors of nonmetastatic CRC.

Epidemiology of Cholangiocarcinoma; United States Incidence and Mortality Trends

BACKGROUND

Cholangiocarcinoma is an aggressive malignancy with few available studies assessing incidence and mortality. In this study, we aim to investigate trends of incidence and mortality in a large nation-wide epidemiologic study.

METHODS

We used SEER 18 database to study cholangiocarcinoma cases in the US during 2000-2015. Incidence and mortality rates of cholangiocarcinoma were calculated by race and were expressed by 1,000,000 person-years. Annual percent change (APC) was calculated using joinpoint regression software.

RESULTS

We reviewed 16,189 patients with cholangiocarcinoma, of which 64.4% were intrahepatic. Most patients were whites (78.4%), males (51.3%), and older than 65 years (63%). A total of 13,121 patients died of cholangiocarcinoma during the study period. Cholangiocarcinoma incidence and mortality were 11.977 and 10.295 and were both higher among Asians, males, and individuals older than 65 years. Incidence rates have significantly increased over the study period (APC=5.063%, P<.001), while mortality increased significantly over the study period (APC=5.964%, P<.001), but decreased after 2013 (APC=-25.029, P<.001).

CONCLUSION

The incidence and mortality of cholangiocarcinoma were increasing in the study period with significant observed disparities based on race and gender.

Causes of death in nodular lymphocyte predominant Hodgkin's lymphoma

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Background: Nodular lymphocyte-predominant Hodgkin’s lymphoma (NLPHL) accounts for 5% of all cases of HL. The outcomes of patients with NLPHL is generally regarded as better than those with classical HL. However, causes of death (COD) of patients with NLPHL have not been previously described. Methods: The National Cancer Institute’s Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program was used to identify all patients with NLPHL diagnosed between 1990 and 2015. Patient characteristics and disease stage, using the Ann-Arbor system, was extracted and tabulated. COD were identified and proportions were calculated for deaths within 5 years and after 5 years of diagnosis for patients with early and late stage NLPHL. Results: We identified 1,937 cases of NLPHL. The majority were younger than 65 years (86%), white (70%), male (67%), and diagnosed between 2001-2015 (85%), when rituximab was introduced. Of all cases, 1336 (69%) were classified as early stage. At a median follow-up of 91 months (IQR 41, 152) for early stage disease, and 73 months (IQR 30-123) for late stage disease, the median cancer-specific or overall survival were not reached. The estimated 5-year survival was 92% and 81% for early stage and late stage disease, respectively. Of all patients with early stage NLPHL, 186 (14%) died by the end of 2015, and 87 (46%) deaths occurred within 5 years of diagnosis. During the first 5 years after diagnosis, COD was NLPHL in 30 (35%). Beyond 5 years from diagnosis, NLPHL was the COD in 27% followed by other cancers (23%), and cardiovascular disease (18%). Of all patients with late stage NLPHL, 107 (21%) died, and 75 (70%) of deaths occurred within 5 years of diagnosis. During the first 5 years after diagnosis, COD was NLPHL in 44 (59%). Beyond 5 years from diagnosis, cardiovascular disease was the COD in 25%, followed by NLPHL (22%). Conclusions: The prognosis of NLPHL is excellent. Of all patients with NLPHL, those with advanced stage disease are more likely to die of their disease within 5 years of diagnosis. Patients with early and advanced stage disease beyond 5 years of diagnosis are more likely to die of causes other than NLPHL.

Gender impact on renal cell carcinoma survival: A population-based analysis

e17099

Background: Prior evidence has suggested that females diagnosed with renal cell carcinoma (RCC) present at an earlier stage compared to males, but a survival difference between males and females has been controversial. We aimed to evaluate the impact of gender on RCC survival in the US. Methods: Data of RCC patients diagnosed between 1973 and 2015 in the US was obtained using Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. We studied the overall and cancer-specific survival of patients diagnosed with RCC in the US according to gender using multivariable covariate-adjusted Cox models and Kaplan-Meier test. Results: We reviewed 155,430 RCC patients, of which 96,656 were males, and 58,774 were females. The median overall survival of female patients was 122 months and was significantly higher than male patients (98 months). Cancer-specific survival showed similar trends with females having significantly higher survival (p-value < 0.001). Adjusted for age, race, stage and grade of cancer, undergoing cancer-targeted surgery, and marital status, female sex was associated with improved overall and cancer-specific survival outcomes; HR = 0.829 (p-value < 0.001), and HR = 0.923 (p-value < 0.001), respectively. Conclusions: Females have a significantly better overall and cancer specific survival compared to males diagnosed with renal cell carcinoma. In previous studies this disparity was attributed to the lower grade and earlier stage of RCC presentation in females, but gender-based disparity persisted in this analysis after adjusting for patient baseline and tumor characteristics. This raises the question of the hormonal effects on the progression of RCC.

Gender disparities in anal cancer incidence and mortality: A long-term US population-based analysis

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Background: Anal cancer is an uncommon malignancy accounting for less than 3% of gastrointestinal malignancies in the US. In this large database study, we aimed to re-evaluate the difference in the incidence and mortality trend in both genders. Methods: We used SEER 18 database to study anal cancer cases in the US during 2000-2016. Incidence and mortality rates of anal cancer were calculated by gender and were expressed by 1,000,000 person-years. Annual percent change (APC) was calculated using join point regression software. Results: We reviewed 25,418 patients with anal cancer, of which 61.4% were females. Incidence of anal cancers was 14.375 and 19.427 per 1,000,000 person-years, in males and females, respectively. Incidence rates of anal cancer significantly increased over the study period, but this increase was sharper in females (APC = 2.220%, 95%CI [1.924-2.517], P < .001) when compared to males (APC = 0.915%, 95%CI [0.303-1.531], P = .006). Mortality rates from anal cancer over the study period were 7.425 and 7.532 per 1,000,000 person-years, in males and females, respectively. Overall anal cancer mortality rates did not change between 2000-2009 but started to decrease starting from 2010 and this decrease became sharpest between 2014-2016; APC = -44.905%, 95%CI [-57.572- -28.457], P = .001). Mortality rates followed the same trend in both genders. Conclusions: Anal cancer incidence is increasing with significant increase in the incidence trend is noticed in females compared to males which is a change from the previous trend that was seen from 1973-2000. On the other hand, anal cancer mortality has started to decrease for the first time starting from 2010 with no difference in the mortality trend between males and females. This improvement in mortality rate can be explained by the improvement in early detection rate and possibly improvement in the treatment approach for these high-risk patients.

Association of Brain Cancer With Risk of Suicide

This cohort study examines outcomes of patients with brain cancer to provide demographic details on the increase in suicide rate after brain cancer diagnosis.

Temporal trends of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma in young adults in the United States: A Population-Based Study

INTRODUCTION

Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is an uncommon yet fatal malignancy with numerous recent reports detailing a significant increase in the overall incidence lately. However, there is limited literature on recent incidence rates of the disease in young individuals. In this study we evaluate PDAC incidence in the US among young patients.

METHODS

Data from 2000 to 2017 was obtained from the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results 'SEER' database and analyzed using the SEER*stat software. The overall incidence, incidence trends, and survival were calculated.

RESULTS

We selected 667 PDAC patients who met our inclusion criteria. We found the incidence of PDAC among young individuals to be 1.016 (95% CI, 0.940-1.096) per 1,000,000 person-years. Incidence rates were stable over the study period. Higher incidence was found among males [1.240 (95% CI, 1.122-1.366)] and blacks [1.226 (95% CI, 0.999-1.490)]. The 5-year relative survival of young patients with PDAC was 6.8%.

CONCLUSIONS

Among young adults, pancreatic cancer incidence has been stable over the study duration. However, disparities between subpopulations exist and further studies are warranted to better understand those observed differences.

Racial disparities in the outcomes of transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder: A population-based analysis

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Background: Bladder cancer is the most common type of genitourinary malignancy and is the fourth most common cancer in men in the US. Transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) of the bladder accounts for most bladder cancer cases. Previous studies have observed racial disparities in the prognosis between white and black populations with very little mentioned about other ethnicities and race groups that are part of the United States population. We hereby, present a detailed and comprehensive analysis of racial disparities in TCC survival in the US. Methods: Using the data from surveillance Epidemiology and End results (SEER) database, we identified patients with TCC between 1992 and 2015. We used multivariable covariate-adjusted Cox models to analyze the overall and TCC-specific survival of patients according to their race. Results: We evaluated 176,388 patients with TCC and after we adjusted for age, sex, race, stage, grade, and undergoing cancer-targeted surgery, we found that Asians/Pacific Islanders and Hispanics had a better overall survival when compared to whites (HR= 0.792, 95% CI [0.761-0.824], P<.001 and HR = 0.941, 95% CI [0.909-0.974], P = .001, respectively). Asians/Pacific Islanders also showed better TCC specific survival (HR = 0.843, 95% CI [0.759-0.894], P<.001). Blacks had worse overall survival and TCC-specific survival (HR =1.221, 95% CI [1.181-1.262], P <.001 and HR =1.325, 95% CI [1.268- 1.384], P <.001, respectively). When stage IV TCC was analyzed separately, only Hispanics showed better overall and TCC specific survival when compared to whites (HR = 0.896, 95% CI [0.806-0.997], P = 0.044 and HR = 0.891, 95% CI [0.797-0.996], P = 0.42). Conclusions: Asians/Pacific Islanders have better overall and TCC-specific outcome while blacks have the worst outcome compared to whites. Hispanics have better overall and cancer specific survival in stage IV TCC. These disparities likely related to different and complex factors from lifestyle and chemical exposure to genetic factors. Further studies can help us more in understanding and approaching this malignancy in different race groups.

The impact of marital status on the survival of transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder

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Background: Marital status is one of the multiple lifestyle factors that affect the survival of several malignancies. Prior literature has demonstrated that married individuals have better survival in cases of transitional cell carcinoma (TCC). In this study, we aim to demonstrate the association in a large cohort of patients. Methods: Data of TCC patients with known marital status who were diagnosed between 1973 and 2015 in the US was obtained using the Surveillance Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database. We compared the overall and cancer-specific survival of patients according to their marital status using Kaplan-Meier test and multivariable covariate-adjusted Cox models. Results: We reviewed 204,862 TCC patients, of which 64.26%, 10.64%, 1.01%, 7.31%, and 16.78% were married, single, separated, divorced, and widowed, respectively. Married patients had the highest overall survival (median 123 months), followed by single patients (median 111 months), divorced (median 102 months), separated (median 60 months), and widowed (median 43 months). Bladder cancer-specific survival followed relatively similar trends with married patients having significantly better survival when compared to other groups. When we adjusted for age, sex, race, stage, grade, and undergoing cancer-targeted surgery, married patients had better survival outcomes when compared to single patients (HR = 1.322, p-value < 0.001), separated patients (HR = 1.409, p-value < 0.001), divorced patients (HR = 1.358, p-value < 0.001), and widowed patients (HR = 1.242, p-value < 0.001). Conclusions: Our results demonstrate a clear survival advantage in cases of transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder with married individuals having the highest overall and cancer-specific median survival. These results shed the light on the lifestyle and the psychosocial factors, including the social support that married patients may have comparing to unmarried patients, and their effect on the disease prognosis and survival. Understanding the social and psychological factors associated with the observed disparity may help enhance management plans for affected patients.

Temporal trends of incidence and mortality in Asian-Americans with pancreatic adenocarcinoma: an epidemiological study

Background

Pancreatic cancer is the fourth most common cause of cancer-related deaths in the United States, with an estimated 45,750 deaths in 2019. Mortality outcomes seem to differ based on the ethnicity of the patients, with most studies focusing on the mortality and survival of Caucasians and African Americans. Little attention has been given, however, to Asian-American patients diagnosed with pancreatic adenocarcinoma (PAC). In this study, we aimed to investigate mortality rates in Asian-American patients with PAC.

Methods

The SEER 13 registries (Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End-Results) of the National Cancer Institute were used to study PAC cases during 1992-2015. The incidence and incidence-based mortality rates per 100,000 person-years, and the annual percentage changes were calculated using SEER*stat software and Joinpoint regression software.

Results

A total of 5814 PAC cases in Asian-American patients were identified. Most patients were older than 60 years (77.6%) and had metastatic disease (55.8%). The overall incidence of PAC among Asian-Americans was 5.740 per 100,000 person-years (95% confidence interval [CI] 5.592-5.891]. Incidence rates were highest among males and patients older than 60 years. PAC incidence rates among Asian-Americans increased by 1.503% (95%CI 1.051-1.956; P<0.001) per year over the study period. PAC incidence rates increased over the study period for all sex, age, and stage subgroups. PAC incidence-based mortality among Asian-Americans increased by 4.535% (95%CI 3.538-5.541; P<0.001) per year over the study period.

Conclusion

The incidence of PAC in Asian-Americans, as well as incidence-based mortality rates, are on the rise, irrespective of age, sex or stage subgroup.

The risk of melanoma in patients with chronic lymphocytic leukemia; a population-based study

INTRODUCTION

Melanoma is a highly malignant tumor that has been repeatedly reported in chronic lymphocytic leukemia (CLL) patients. We aim to assess the epidemiologic characteristics of this association and emphasize the importance of carefully approaching such cases.

METHODS

Patients who were diagnosed with CLL between 2000 and 2015 and registered in the Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) database of the US National Cancer Institute were identified using the SEER*stat software (version 8.3.5). The Multiple Primary Standardized Incidence Ratios session of the SEER*stat software (version 8.3.5) was used to calculate the observed/expected (O/E) ratios of melanoma.

RESULTS

48,876 CLL cases were reviewed, of which 474 developed a second primary melanoma of the skin. O/E ratio was 2.07 (95% CI 1.89-2.27), and excess risk was 9.7 per 10,000. The increase in melanoma risk was higher within the first 5 years following CLL diagnosis; O/E = 2.22 (95% CI 1.56-2.14) and excess risk was 10.43 per 10,000. It was higher in males compared to females O/E was 2.10 (95% CI 1.89-2.33) and 1.98 (95% CI 1.62-2.40) in males and females, respectively, and in people aged 45-64; O/E = 2.30 (95% CI 1.95-2.70). Out of 7827 CLL patients receiving chemotherapy, 70 later developed melanoma with a significant O/E of 2.28 (95% CI 1.77-2.88) and an excess risk of 10.66 per 10,000.

CONCLUSION

CLL increases the risk of developing melanoma, especially within 5 years of the diagnosis, and in white males aged between 45-64 years. It is crucial to keep rigorous screening, high-suspicion and close follow-up for recurrence in consideration while managing these patients.

Impact of prior malignancies on outcome of colorectal cancer; revisiting clinical trial eligibility criteria

Background

Most clinical trials on colorectal cancer (CRC) exclude cases who have history of a prior malignancy. However, no prior research studied this history’s actual impact on the survival of CRC. In the paper, we study the effects of having a malignancy preceding CRC diagnosis on its survival outcomes.

Methods

CRC patients diagnosed during 1973–2008 were reviewed using the SEER 18 database. We calculated overall survival and cancer-specific survival of subsequent CRC, and more specifically stage IV CRC, using Kaplan-Meier test and adjusted Cox models.

Results

A total 550,325 CRC patients were reviewed, of whom 31,663 had history of a prior malignancy. The most commonly reported sites of a prior malignancy were: prostate, breast, urinary bladder, lung, and endometrium. Patients with history of a prior non-leukemic malignancy or history of a prior leukemia were found to have worse overall survival (HR = 1.165 95%CI = 1.148–1.183, P < 0.001) and (HR = 1.825 95%CI = 1.691–1.970, P < 0.001), respectively. However, CRC patients with history of a prior non-leukemic malignancy showed an improved colorectal cancer-specific survival (HR = .930 95%CI = .909–.952, P < 0.001). Analysis of stage IV CRC patients showed that patients with history of any non-leukemic malignancy did not have a significant change in overall survival. Whereas, patients with a prior leukemia showed a worse overall survival (HR = 1.535, 95%CI = 1.303–1.809, P < 0.001). When analyzed separately, right CRC and left CRC showed similar survival patterns.

Conclusion

A prior malignancy before CRC -in general- can be associated with worse clinical survival outcomes. These worse outcomes are not observed in stage IV CRC. Considering these results when including/excluding stage IV CRC patients with prior malignancies in clinical trials may play help improve their generalizability.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-019-6074-6) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Temporal trends, ethnic determinants, and short-term and long-term risk of cardiac death in cancer patients: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

We evaluated the risk of cardiac death in patients with prior cancer diagnoses and compared risk by cancer type and ethnicity in a large US population.

METHOD

Utilizing the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database, data on patients with a cancer diagnosis between 2000 and 2014 were obtained. We calculated the standardized mortality ratio (SMR) of cardiac death after a cancer diagnosis and the excess risk per 10,000 person-years. We stratified the analysis according to the time interval between cancer and cardiac events, cancer site, cancer stage, and race.

RESULTS

A total of 4,671,989 patients with a cancer diagnosis were included, of which 163,255 died due to cardiac causes within 10 years of diagnosis. We found a significantly higher rate of cardiac death for cancer patients [SMR=1.16, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.15-1.16] compared to the general population. When observed for each cancer site, the highest SMR was after a diagnosis of hepatocellular carcinoma (SMR=2.58, 95% CI 2.45-2.72), pancreatic cancer (SMR=2.36, 95% CI 2.25-2.47), and lung cancer (SMR=2.30, 95% CI 2.27-2.34). Patients with metastatic disease had a higher rate of cardiac death (SMR=2.16, 95% CI 2.13-2.19). When stratified by ethnicity, SMR for cardiac death was 1.76, 2.28, 3.68, 2.65, and 1.84 for whites, blacks, American Indians/Alaska Natives, Asians/Pacific Islanders, and Hispanics, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Cancer patients are more vulnerable to cardiac death than the general population, especially those with nonwhite ethnicity; liver, lung, and pancreatic cancers; and history of metastasis. Healthcare providers should be aware of this risk and pay particular attention to the highest-risk groups.

Does a history of malignancy impact the survival of a subsequent endometrial adenocarcinoma? Should clinical trials eligibility criteria be revisited?

We aimed at finding the impact of prior malignancies on the survival of patients with endometrial adenocarcinoma using SEER database (from 1973 to 2014). We identified 127,988 patients who were diagnosed with endometrial adenocarcinoma (6485 had a prior malignancy), and we compared the overall and cancer-specific survival based on the presence or absence of a prior malignancy and the latency period between the two diagnoses using Kaplan-Meier test and Cox models. Adjusted cox models showed that a history of a prior malignancy neither affected the overall survival nor the cancer-specific survival of stage IV cases in all latency groups except the one diagnosed within 1 year of the first cancer. Therefore, there is no rational explanation for excluding stage IV endometrial adenocarcinoma patients with a prior malignancy from clinical trials except for the group that was diagnosed with endometrial adenocarcinoma within 1 year from the first cancer.Impact statementWhat is already known on this subject? Not enough evidence is found on the impact of prior malignancies on the survival of patients with subsequent endometrial adenocarcinoma.What do the results of this study add? History of a prior malignancy neither affects the overall survival of stage IV endometrial adenocarcinoma nor the cancer-specific survival. Only patients who had their second malignancy diagnosed within one year of the first malignancy should be excluded from clinical trials, while patients diagnosed within one to five years of the first cancer should be encouraged to enrol in clinical trials as they have an enhanced survival than patients without a history of malignancy.What are the implications of these findings for clinical practice and/or further research? We recommend that future researchers should consider including the aforementioned group of patients in their trials to achieve more accurate results and in order not to strip the patients of potential therapeutic benefits of enrolling in clinical trials.

Outcome disparities in colorectal cancer: a SEER-based comparative analysis of racial subgroups

PURPOSE

Previous studies of ethnic disparities in colorectal cancer (CRC) have focused mainly on patients of Caucasian and African-American descent. We aimed to evaluate outcomes for a range of races, representing a broader demographic of the US population.

METHODS

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database was queried to identify patients with CRC diagnosed between 1994 and 2014. We performed unadjusted Kaplan-Meier test and multivariable covariate-adjusted Cox models to calculate the overall and CRC-specific survival of patients according to their race.

RESULTS

We identified 401,723 patients diagnosed with CRC between 1994 and 2014. Overall survival (OS) and CRC-specific survival were compared across different races stratified by age, sex, marital status, disease stage and grade, and undergoing surgery as a treatment. Overall, Asian/Pacific Islanders and Hispanics had improved CRC-specific survival compared to Whites (HR = 0.873, 95%CI 0.853-0.893, P < .001, and HR = 0.958, 95%CI 0.937-0.979, P < .001, respectively). Blacks had the worst CRC-specific survival outcomes when compared to Whites (HR = 1.215, 95%CI 1.192-1.238, P < .001). Racial disparity persisted when looking at two different time periods (1994-2003 and 2004-2014).

CONCLUSIONS

Asians/Pacific Islanders have improved outcomes from CRC compared to other races. Multifactorial, including genetic, environmental, and socioeconomic factors appear to influence outcomes and need to be addressed separately in order to reduce racial disparities among patients with CRC.

Trends in the incidence and mortality of transitional cell carcinoma of the bladder for the last four decades in the USA: a SEER-based analysis

BACKGROUND

Transitional cell carcinoma (TCC) accounts for around 95% of bladder cancers and is the 4th most common cancer among men and the tenth most common in women, in the US. There is a constant need to clarify current TCC incidence and mortality rates among different population groups for better clinical practice guidelines. We aimed to describe the TCC incidence and incidence-based mortality by demographic and tumor-related characteristics over the last 40 years in the US.

METHODS

We obtained data from the SEER 18 registries to study TCC cases that were diagnosed between the years 1973 and 2014. We calculated incidence rates and incidence-based mortality rates in different demographic and tumor-related characteristics and expressed rates by 100,000 person-years. We then calculated the annual changes in incidence and incidence-based mortality rates and displayed them as annual percent changes (APCs).

RESULTS

There were 182,114 patients with TCC between 1973 and 2014 in the United States. Overall incidence rates of TCC increased 0.16% (95% CI, 0.02-0.30, p = .02) per year over the study period. However, the incidence declined significantly since 2007; (95%CI,-1.89- -0.77, p < .001), except among the elderly and African Americans, which increased significantly over the study period. Overall TCC mortality rates did not change over the study period. However, since 2000 it started to decrease significantly.

CONCLUSION

TCC incidence and incidence-based mortality rates had been showing significant increases over the previous decades. However, significant declines in both incidence and incidence-based mortality rates have been observed over the recent years, except in some patients with certain racial groups. Improved understanding of the etiological and ecological factors of TCC could lead to further declines in incidence and incidence-based mortality rates.

Suicidal death within a year of a cancer diagnosis: A population-based study

BACKGROUND

The suicide risk after a new cancer diagnosis remains a controversial issue. This study examines the suicide risk within the year after a cancer diagnosis. This is the largest study to assess recent trends in suicide risk after a cancer diagnosis.

METHODS

Data were obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results Program. All patients diagnosed with cancer between 2000 and 2014 were selected. The event was defined as death due to suicide within the first year after a cancer diagnosis, and patients who experienced the event after their diagnosis were observed. The observed/expected (O/E) ratio was assessed as well as the excess risk per 10,000 person-years to determine the suicide risk change after the diagnosis in comparison with the general population.

RESULTS

A total of 4,671,989 patients with cancer were included; 1585 committed suicide within 1 year of their diagnosis. The risk of suicide increased significantly with an O/E ratio of 2.52 and with an excess risk of 2.51 per 10,000 person-years. When the risk of suicide was studied according to the cancer site, the highest increases in the O/E ratio came after diagnoses of pancreatic cancer (8.01) and lung cancer (6.05). The risk of suicide also increased significantly after a diagnosis of colorectal cancer with an O/E ratio of 2.08. However, the risk of suicidal death did not increase significantly after breast and prostate cancer diagnoses.

CONCLUSIONS

The risk of suicide increases significantly in the first year after a diagnosis of cancer in comparison with the general population, and this increase varies with the type and prognosis of cancer. Close observation and referral to mental health services, when indicated, are important for mitigating such risk.

Trends in Renal-Cell Carcinoma Incidence and Mortality in the United States in the Last 2 Decades: A SEER-Based Study

BACKGROUND

Renal-cell carcinoma (RCC) is one of the common malignancies in the United States. RCC incidence and mortality have been changing for many reasons. We performed a thorough investigation of incidence and mortality trends of RCC in the United States using the cell Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The 13 SEER registries were accessed for RCC cases diagnosed between 1992 and 2015. Incidence and mortality were calculated by demographic and tumor characteristics. We calculated annual percentage changes of these rates. Rates were expressed as 100,000 person-years.

RESULTS

A total of 104,584 RCC cases were reviewed, with 47,561 deaths. The overall incidence was 11.281 per 100,000 person-years. Incidence increased by 2.421% per year (95% confidence interval, 2.096, 2.747; P < .001) but later became stable since 2008. However, the incidence of clear-cell subtype continued to increase (1.449%; 95% confidence interval, 0.216, 2.697; P = .024). RCC overall mortality rates have been declining since 2001. However, mortality associated with distant RCC only started to decrease in 2012, with an annual percentage change of 18.270% (95% confidence interval, -28.775, -6.215; P = .006).

CONCLUSION

Despite an overall increase in the incidence of RCC, there has been a recent plateau in RCC incidence rates with a significant decrease in mortality.

Abstract 4242: Ethnic disparities in the risk of cardiac death following cancer diagnosis: A population-based study

Background: Cancer-related cardiac complications and mortality have been well studied. However, the disparities among racial and ethnic groups have not been addressed on a large scale. In this study, we aimed to investigate the racial and ethnic disparities associated with cardiac death in cancer patients.

Methods: Data were collected from The Surveillance, Epidemiology and End-Results program of the National Cancer Institute. We defined an "event" as death due to a cardiac cause within ten years after cancer diagnosis, and observed patients who experienced the event during that period. Then, we calculated the Observed/Expected (O/E) ratio and the excess risk per 10,000 person-years to estimate the change of risk following the diagnosis in different ethnicities, when compared to the general population.

Results: We reviewed 4,671,989 cancer patients, of whom 163,255 died due to a cardiac cause within the ten years following cancer diagnosis. The overall risk of cardiac death increased significantly in this period with an O/E ratio of 1.16 and an excess risk of 11.66 per 10,000. The sample was divided into 2 groups: Whites with a total O/E ratio of 1.11, and non-Whites with a total O/E ratio of 1.38. When examined for the risk in the first 5 years after diagnosis, Whites and non-Whites demonstrated significant increase in the risk with O/E of 1.12 and 1.39, respectively. However, when examined for the long-term risk more than 5 years after diagnosis, only non-Whites had a significant increase with an O/E of 1.21, while Whites with a cancer diagnosis had the same risk of cardiac death as Whites without cancer diagnosis with an O/E of 1.00. The sample was then further subdivided according to ethnicity into non-Hispanic Whites, Blacks, American Indians (or Alaska natives), Asians (or Pacific islanders), and Hispanics. All groups showed a significantly increased risk of cardiac death following a cancer diagnosis (O/E=1.13, 1.36, 2.33, 1.44, and 1.05, respectively).

Conclusion: Non-White patients with a prior cancer diagnosis had a significantly higher long-term risk of cardiac death compared to noncancer patients. Accordingly, careful attention should be paid to the cardiovascular status assessment of those patients to mitigate the added risk of cardiac mortality due to cancer-related morbidities. Further studies are warranted to determine why cardiac event risk increases at a discrepantly higher rate in minority patients with a cancer diagnosis.

Citation Format: Mohamed M. Gad, Anas M. Saad, Muneer J. Al-Husseini, Abdelrahman I. Abushouk, Haitham M. Ahmed. Ethnic disparities in the risk of cardiac death following cancer diagnosis: A population-based study [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2018; 2018 Apr 14-18; Chicago, IL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2018;78(13 Suppl):Abstract nr 4242.

Trends in pancreatic adenocarcinoma incidence and mortality in the United States in the last four decades; a SEER-based study

Background

Pancreatic cancer is the fourth-leading cause of cancer deaths in the United States. The silent nature of the disease and its poor prognosis, the need for further research, along with the need to assess the outcomes of current approaches necessitate an ongoing evaluation of the epidemiology and mortality-trends of this malignancy. Continuous monitoring of disease-patterns, on population-levels, may help scientists assess the quality of healthcare delivery, boost their understanding of diseases' characteristics and risk factors, and detect gaps whereby further research is needed. None of the previous reports shed light on pancreatic adenocarcinomas (PAC), the most common type of Pancreatic Cancer, as the primary outcome. In this study we aim to investigate PAC’s incidence and mortality trends over the last four decades in the United States.

Methods

We used SEER 9 database to study PAC cases during 1974-2014. Incidence and mortality rates were calculated by sex, age, race, state and stage of PAC. Annual percent change (APC) was calculated using joinpoint regression software.

Results

We reviewed 67,878 PAC cases; most of these cases were in the head of pancreas. Overall PAC incidence rates increased 1.03% (95% CI, 0.86-1.21, p <.001) per year over the study period. Rates of adenocarcinoma of the head of pancreas increased 0.87% (95% CI, 0.68-1.07, p <.001), and rates of adenocarcinoma of the body and tail of pancreas increased 3.42% (95% CI, 3.06-3.79, p <.001) per year during 1973-2014. PAC incidence-based mortality increased 2.22% (95% CI, 1.93-2.51, p <.001) per year. However, during 2012-2014 there was a statistically significant decrease in PAC incidence-based mortality; APC, -24.70% (95% CI, -31.78 - -16.88, p <.001).

Conclusion

PAC’s incidence and mortality rates have been increasing for decades. However, the last few years have shown a promising decrease in mortality. We believe that further advances in healthcare delivery and research can lead to a further mortality decrease. Future studies can use this paper as a baseline to keep monitoring the outcomes of PAC's therapy.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-018-4610-4) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Impact of prior malignancy on outcomes of stage IV esophageal carcinoma: SEER based study

INTRODUCTION

Usually, clinical trials on esophageal cancer exclude patients with a prior malignancy, assuming that this may influence survival outcomes. However, little is known about the impact of a prior malignancy on its prognosis.

METHODOLOGY

The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database (SEER) was used to review patients with stage IV squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) and adenocarcinoma (AC) of the esophagus during 1973-2014. We calculated overall and esophageal cancer-specific survival using unadjusted Kaplan-Meier and multivariable covariate-adjusted Cox models.

RESULTS

A total of 7,807 patients with stage IV SCC, and 11,238 patients with stage IV AC were reviewed, of which 652 and 840 patients, respectively, had a prior malignancy. Kaplan-Meier curves did not show difference in overall survival of SCC or AC in patients with prior malignancy. Stage IV AC patients with prior malignancy did not show different esophageal cancer-specific survival. However, esophageal cancer-specific survival was better among stage IV SCC patients with prior malignancy. Similar results were observed in Cox models after adjustment for: age, sex, race, marital status, grade, site in esophagus, and undergoing surgery.

CONCLUSION

Prior malignancy does not adversely impact survival of stage IV esophageal cancer. These results should be taken into consideration when designing clinical trials.

Characteristics, survival and incidence rates and trends of primary cardiac malignancies in the United States

BACKGROUND

The available literature on the incidence, management and prognosis of primary malignant cardiac tumors [PMCTs] is limited to single-center studies, prone to small sample size and referral bias. We used data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results [SEER]-18 registry (between 2000 and 2014) to investigate the distribution, incidence trends and the survival rates of PMCTs.

METHODS

We used SEER*Stat (version 8.3.4) and the National Cancer Institute's Joinpoint Regression software (version 4.5.0.1) to calculate the incidence rates and annual percentage changes [APC] of PMCTs, respectively. We later used SPSS software (version 23) to perform Kaplan-Meier survival tests and covariate-adjusted Cox models.

RESULTS

We identified 497 patients with PMCTs, including angiosarcomas (27.3%) and Non-Hodgkin's lymphomas [NHL] (26.9%). Unlike the incidence rate of NHL (0.108 per 10⁶ person-years) that increased significantly (APC=3.56%, 95% CI, [1.445 to 5.725], P=.003) over the study period, we detected no significant change (APC=1.73%, 95% CI [-3.354 to 7.081], P=.483) in the incidence of cardiac angiosarcomas (0.107 per 10⁶ person-years). Moreover, our analysis showed that the overall survival of NHL is significantly better than angiosarcomas (P<.001). In addition, surgical treatment was associated with a significant improvement (P=.027) in the overall survival of PMCTs.

CONCLUSION

Our analysis showed a significant increase in the incidence of cardiac-NHL over the past 14 years with a significantly better survival than angiosarcomas. To further characterize these rare tumors, future studies should report data on the medical history and diagnostic and treatment modalities in these patients.