Prognostic value of serum tartrate‑resistant acid phosphatase‑5b for bone metastasis in patients with resectable breast cancer

Bone metastasis significantly affects the quality of life of patients with metastatic breast cancer, and can shorten overall survival. Identifying patients with early-stage breast cancer at high risk for bone metastasis and preventing bone metastasis may lead to a better quality of life and prolonged survival. The present study investigated whether serum tartrate-resistant acid phosphatase-5b (TRACP-5b), a bone turnover marker, can be a prognostic factor for bone metastasis. Female patients who underwent resectable breast surgery between May 2002 and August 2006 were consecutively investigated. A total of 304 patients with a median follow-up of 3,722 days were retrospectively analyzed. TRACP-5b levels in sera prepared from patients' blood drawn preoperatively without any presurgical treatments were measured using an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. The cutoff of TRACP-5b levels, in order to separate patients into high and low TRACP-5b groups, was set at median (347 mU/dl). The associations of clinicopathological factors, including TRACP-5b, with bone metastasis-free interval (BMFI), which was defined as the duration between surgery and the diagnosis of bone metastasis at any time point, were examined. Multivariate analysis of various clinicopathological features revealed that lymph node metastasis and histological grade were independent factors associated with BMFI (P=0.017 and 0.030, respectively). In patients with node-positive breast cancer (n=114), a high TRACP-5b level and a high grade were significantly and independently associated with worse BMFI (log-rank P=0.041 and 0.011, respectively). In conclusion, these findings indicated that TRACP-5b may predict bone metastasis in patients with node-positive breast cancer.

High HER2 Intratumoral Heterogeneity Is a Predictive Factor for Poor Prognosis in Early-Stage and Locally Advanced HER2-Positive Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Breast cancer tumors frequently have intratumoral heterogeneity (ITH). Tumors with high ITH cause therapeutic resistance and have human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2) heterogeneity in response to HER2-targeted therapies. This study aimed to investigate whether high HER2 heterogeneity levels were clinically related to a poor prognosis for HER2-targeted adjuvant therapy resistance in primary breast cancers.

METHODS

This study included patients with primary breast cancer (n = 251) treated with adjuvant HER2-targeted therapies. HER2 heterogeneity was manifested by the shape of HER2 fluorescence in situ hybridization amplification (FISH) distributed histograms with the HER2 gene copy number within a tumor sample. Each tumor was classified into a biphasic grade graph (high heterogeneity [HH]) group or a monophasic grade graph (low heterogeneity [LH]) group based on heterogeneity. Both groups were evaluated for disease-free survival (DFS) and overall survival (OS) for a median of ten years of annual follow-up.

RESULTS

Of 251 patients with HER2-positive breast cancer, 46 (18.3%) and 205 (81.7%) were classified into the HH and LH groups, respectively. The HH group had more distant metastases and a poorer prognosis than the LH group (DFS: p < 0.001 (HH:63% vs. LH:91% at 10 years) and for the OS: p = 0.012 (HH:78% vs. LH:95% at 10 years).

CONCLUSIONS

High HER2 heterogeneity is a poor prognostic factor in patients with HER2-positive breast cancer. A novel approach to heterogeneity, which is manifested by the shape of HER2 FISH distributions, might be clinically useful in the prognosis prediction of patients after HER2 adjuvant therapy.

Evaluation of RASSF1A methylation in the lysate of sentinel lymph nodes for detecting breast cancer metastasis: A diagnostic accuracy study

The restriction enzyme-based digital methylation-specific polymerase chain reaction (RE-dMSP) assay is useful for diagnosing sentinel lymph node (SN) metastasis in patients with breast cancer, by detecting tumor-derived methylated Ras association domain-containing protein 1 (RASSF1A). In addition, this assay has high concordance (95.0%) with one-step nucleic acid amplification (OSNA). The present study aimed to perform RE-dMSP using OSNA lysate from more patients and to re-evaluate its clinical usage. Overall, 418 SNs from 347 patients were evaluated using both OSNA and RE-dMSP. The concordance rate was 83.3% (348/418). RASSF1A methylation of the primary tumors was negative in 36 patients. When these patients were excluded, the concordance rate improved to 88.2% (330/374). Of the 79 OSNA-negative cases, 19 were RE-dMSP-positive, although all were positive for cytokeratin 19 expression in the primary tumor, suggesting that RE-dMSP can detect tumor-derived DNA with a higher sensitivity. The percent of methylated reference of the breast tumors showed a wide variety in the 16 OSNA-positive/RE-dMSP-negative cases, and such variability of methylation could have affected the results in these patients. In conclusion, although RE-dMSP can diagnose SN metastasis with high sensitivity and accuracy, and can be a supplementary tool to OSNA in breast cancer, RE-dMSP showed certain discordance with OSNA and critically depended on the absence or heterogeneity of DNA methylation in breast tumors. Further research is expected to develop an assay targeting other DNA alterations, such as mutations.

Detection of Ultra-Rare ESR1 Mutations in Primary Breast Cancer Using LNA-Clamp ddPCR

ESR1 mutations in breast cancer are one of the mechanisms of resistance to aromatase inhibitors. These mutations are common in metastatic breast cancer; however, these are rare in primary breast cancer. However, these data have been analyzed mainly in formalin-fixed, paraffin-embedded tissue; thus, rare mutations that may be present in primary breast cancer may be overlooked. In this study, we developed a highly sensitive mutation detection method called locked nucleic acid (LNA)-clamp droplet digital PCR (ddPCR) and validated it. The mutation detection sensitivity was substantiated to 0.003%. Then, we used this method to analyze ESR1 mutations in fresh-frozen (FF) tissues of primary breast cancer. cDNA extracted from the FF tissues of 212 patients with primary breast cancers were measured. Twenty-eight ESR1 mutations were found in twenty-seven (12.7%) patients. Sixteen (7.5%) patients had Y537S mutations and twelve (5.7%) had D538G mutations. Two mutations with a variant allele frequency (VAF) of ≥0.1% and twenty-six mutations with a VAF of <0.1% were found. By using this LNA-clamp ddPCR, this study demonstrated the presence of minor clones with a VAF of <0.1% in primary breast cancer.

Hypercalcemia affected in metastatic breast cancer patients without bone metastasis: report of three cases

Background

Since humoral hypercalcemia of malignancy (HHM) in breast cancer patients without bone metastasis is rare, the clinical features of this condition are not fully understood.

Case presentation

During the recent 12 years, 3602 patients were diagnosed with breast cancer in our institution, and only three patients developed HHM without bone metastasis. They were all recurrent breast cancer patients with visceral metastases including the lung and the liver. It took no more than 2 months since symptomatic onset to hospitalization because of hypercalcemia. The maximum serum calcium concentrations were 15.0 mg/dL or higher. All patients had symptoms related to hypercalcemia. Treatment of hypercalcemia including hydration, calcitonin, bisphosphonate, and diuretics was initially effective in the three patients. However, two of three cases were eventually fatal because of unsuccessful treatment of breast cancer.

Conclusions

The common features of HHM without bone metastasis in breast cancer patients include acute onset, severe symptomatic hypercalcemia, and presence of visceral metastasis. Treatment of hypercalcemia decreased serum calcium level in a short period, while successful treatment of breast cancer was essential for a long-term management of HHM. This report provides a consideration to help elucidate the pathophysiology and medical care of breast cancer patients with HHM without bone metastasis.

Association of beta blocker use with new-onset heart failure and mortality in atrial fibrillation without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Heart failure (HF) is one of the major complications in atrial fibrillation (AF). We previously reported that not a few AF patients without pre-existing HF (defined as prior HF hospitalization, New York Heart Association functional class≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF)&lt;40%) subsequently developed new-onset HF. Beta blockers are the established therapy for HF, but it remains unclear whether beta blockers prevent new-onset HF and improve outcomes in AF patients without preexisting HF.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF registry, 778 of 3,262 patients without pre-existing HF were receiving beta blockers at baseline. We investigated the incidence of new-onset HF defined as cardiac death or HF hospitalization, and all-cause death in a propensity-matched cohort (N=1,198; mean age, 71 years; 39% female; mean LVEF, 66%). Additionally, annual follow-up prescription data before the onset of events were collected in 294 of patients with beta blockers and 395 of those without beta blockers. We also investigated the association of starting or stopping beta blockers with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death.

Results

During the median follow-up of 5.8 years, new-onset HF and all-cause death occurred in 77 (12.9%) and 118 (19.7%) of patients with beta blockers, and 70 (11.7%) and 131 (21.9%) of those without beta blockers, respectively. Incidence of new-onset HF was comparable between patients with and without beta blockers (Figure 1), and incidence of all-cause death was also comparable between the two groups (Figure 2). In exploratory subgroup analyses, there was no interaction in the association of beta blockers with the incidence of events, except for pulse rate for new-onset HF and left atrial size for all-cause death. Hazard ratio of beta blockers for new-onset HF tended to be lower in patients with higher pulse rates (&gt;84 bpm) (Figure 1), and that for all-cause death was lower in those without left atrial enlargement (Figure 2). Of patients with follow-up prescription data, beta blockers were stopped in 55 (18.7%) and started in 97 (24.6%) patients, respectively. Patients with starting beta blockers had higher pulse rate (78.5±17.3 vs 74.9±13.9 bpm; p=0.03) and more symptomatic AF (58.8% vs 46.0%; p=0.03) compared to those without starting beta blockers, while there was no difference in baseline characteristics between those with and without stopping beta blockers. During the follow-up, the incidences of new-onset HF and all-cause death were also comparable between the patients with and without stopping beta blockers and those with and without starting beta blockers.

Conclusion

Beta blockers were not associated with the incidence of new-onset HF and all-cause death in AF patients without pre-existing HF. However, the exploratory subgroup analyses suggested the existence of subjects who may benefit from beta blockers.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with peripheral artery disease: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) represents the common arrhythmia and increases the risk of thromboembolism. Risk assessment for thromboembolism is important for the management of AF patients. Peripheral artery disease (PAD) is identified as a risk factor for thromboembolism in CHA2DS2-VASc score. However, there are little data on clinical characteristics and cardiovascular events of AF patients with PAD.

Purpose

In this study, we investigated the clinical characteristics and outcomes of AF patients with PAD.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients who visited the participating medical institutions in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011 and follow up data including prescription status were available in 4,464 patients from March 2011 to August 2021. Median follow-up period was 1,848 days.

Results

Of 4,464 patients, 183 patients had PAD (4.1%; PAD group). The mean age was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (PAD group vs. no-PAD group: 76.7 vs. 73.5; p&lt;0.01). Patients with PAD had more co-morbidities such as stroke, systemic embolism, congestive heart failure, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, dyslipidemia coronary artery disease and chronic kidney disease than those without PAD. Thus, CHADS2 score, CHA2DS2-VASc score and HAS-BLED score were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (2.81 vs. 2.00; p&lt;0.01, 5.17 vs. 3.30; p&lt;0.01, 2.42 vs. 1.71; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The proportion of patients with oral anticoagulant was similar between the two groups and the proportion of patients with antiplatelet drug was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (59.0% vs. 55.6%; p=0.36, 62.9% vs. 24.7%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The incidences of all-cause death, cardiac death and myocardial infarction were higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (11.4 vs. 4.6 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01, 1.7 vs. 0.8 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01, 1.2 vs. 0.2 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01). However, the incidence of stroke or systemic embolism was similar between the two groups (2.9 vs. 2.2 per 100 person-years, log-rank p=0.19). Finally, the incidence of composite of cardiac death, stroke, systemic embolism or myocardial infarction was higher in PAD group than no-PAD group (6.0 vs. 3.0 per 100 person-years; log-rank p&lt;0.01).

Conclusion

AF patients with PAD had significantly higher risk for death and cardiac events, whereas the incidence of thromboembolism was similar between AF patients with and without PAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development

Association of cardiothoracic ratio with heart failure hospitalization in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Chest radiography is the most common diagnostic imaging test in clinical medicine, and the cardiothoracic ratio (CTR) is a readily available and non-invasive tool with which to assess the volume status and cardiomegaly. However, it remains unknown whether CTR on chest radiography is associated with the incidence of HF hospitalization in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, 3,727 patients with available data of CTR were examined. We divided the patients into two groups according to their CTR at baseline; Higher group (CTR ≥50.0%, n=2,696) and Lower group (CTR &lt;50.0%, n=1,031), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between the two groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in Higher group, and the patients in Higher group were older. The patients in Higher group had higher prevalence of HF, hypertension and chronic kidney disease. During the median follow-up of 3,033 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization were higher in Higher group (Higher group: 2.5% per person-year vs. Lower group: 1.1%; p&lt;0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that higher CTR (≥50.0%) was an independent determinant of the incidence of HF hospitalization. Furthermore, when we divided the patients into four groups based on the quartile of CTR; Q1 (CTR&lt;49.0%), Q2 (49.0≤CTR&lt;53.8%), Q3 (53.8≤CTR&lt;59.0%), Q4 (59.0%≤CTR), the incidence of HF hospitalization was more frequent in patients with higher CTR, regardless of the presence or absence of prior hospitalization for HF (Figure).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients, patients with higher CTR had significantly higher incidence of HF hospitalization, regardless of the prevalence of prior hospitalization for HF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

The association of left ventricular ejection fraction with incident heart failure in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of incident heart failure (HF). Left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) is an important prognostic parameter in patients with HF. However, little is known regarding the association of LVEF with incident HF in patients with AF.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between LVEF at enrollment and incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period in patients with AF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of patients with AF in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,489 patients by the end of August 2021. In the present study, we investigated 3,544 patients with the data of LVEF at enrollment. We divided the patients into 4 groups stratified by LVEF (reduced LVEF [LVEF &lt;40%], mildly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 40–49%], slightly reduced LVEF [LVEF: 50–59%], and normal LVEF [LVEF ≥60%]), and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups.

Results

Of 3,544 patients, the mean age was 73.6±10.7 years, 1,420 (40%) were female, 1,781 (50%) were paroxysmal AF, and 1,085 (30%) had pre-existing HF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 2.1±1.3 and 3.4±1.7, respectively. The mean LVEF at enrollment was 63±12% (reduced LVEF: 197 [6%], mildly reduced LVEF: 250 [7%], slightly reduced LVEF: 532 [15%] and normal LVEF: 2,565 [72%], respectively). Patients with lower LVEF demonstrated lower prevalence of female and paroxysmal AF, and had a higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores (all P&lt;0.01). A total of 605 patients were hospitalized for HF during the median follow-up period of 5.5 years, corresponding to an annual incidence of 3.4% per person-year. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up in patients with AF (Picture 1). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that lower LVEF strata were significantly associated with the increased risk of HF hospitalization even after adjustment by age, sex, type of AF and CHA2DS2-VASc score (Picture 1). An increased risk of HF hospitalization was observed even in patients with mildly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.56, 95% CI: 1.99–3.29) as well as in those with slightly reduced LVEF (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.45–2.22) compared with those with normal LVEF. These results were also the case in AF patients without pre-existing HF (Picture 2).

Conclusion

LVEF at enrollment could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization in patients with AF, suggesting the importance of measuring LVEF in all patients with AF. Even mildly (LVEF: 40–49%) or slightly (LVEF: 50–59%) reduced LVEF was independently associated with the risk of incident HF in patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Association of low total cholesterol level with clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hyperlipidemia is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease. However, low cholesterol is also reported to be associated with poor outcome in patients with chronic disease, which is called “cholesterol paradox”, and the association of cholesterol level with the incidence of clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear.

Methods

In the Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan, follow-up data and baseline total cholesterol levels were available in 3,054 patients. We excluded 767 patients who were taking statins, and 2,267 patients were included in the analyses. We defined low cholesterol as total cholesterol &lt;150 mg/dl, and examined the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism (SE), heart failure (HF) hospitalization, and major bleeding.

Results

Patients with low cholesterol (N=464 (20.4%)) were older, more often male, and had higher prevalence of low body weight (&lt;50 kg), permanent/persistent AF, prior stroke/SE, HF, chronic kidney disease, and anemia (hemoglobin &lt;11 g/dl). CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with low cholesterol (low cholesterol vs others; 3.6±1.6 vs 3.2±1.7: P&lt;0.001). Prescription of oral anti-coagulants was comparable between the groups (50.0% vs 54.5%: P=0.09). During the median follow-up of 1,805 days, the incidence of all-cause death, stroke/SE, HF hospitalization, and major bleeding was significantly higher in patients with low cholesterol (all-cause death, 10.9 vs 3.8 /100 person-years; stroke/SE, 3.4 vs 1.9 /100 person-years; HF hospitalization, 4.7 vs 2.5 /100 person-years; major bleeding, 2.7 vs 1.4 /100 person-years) (Figure 1). After adjustment for the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score, low body weight, permanent/persistent AF, chronic kidney disease, anemia, and prescription of oral anti-coagulants, low cholesterol was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause death and stroke/SE, but not with that of HF hospitalization or major bleeding (Figure 2, model 3). Total cholesterol levels were still significantly and inversely associated with the incidence of all-cause death (hazard ratio, 0.94; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.96 for 10 mg/dl increase) and stroke/SE (hazard ratio, 0.96; 95% confidence interval, 0.92–0.999 for 10 mg/dl increase), when analyzed as continuous variables. Subgroup analysis revealed that the risk of low cholesterol for all-cause death was more pronounced in female (interaction P, 0.049), patient without prior stroke/SE (interaction P, 0.01), those without HF (interaction P, 0.01), and those without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.001). The risk for stroke/SE was more pronounced in patients without vascular disease (interaction P, 0.01).

Conclusion

Low total cholesterol level was significantly associated with the incidence of all-cause and stroke/SE in AF patients not taking statins, suggesting the existence of cholesterol paradox in AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Avent

The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Low diastolic blood pressure (DBP) has been reported to be associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events, but current guidelines recommend an intensive blood pressure target of less than 130/80 mmHg for AF patients taking oral anticoagulants without mentioning the lower limits of DBP.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,472 patients, and hypertensive patients who received prescription of any antihypertensive agents and whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg were available were examined (n=1,319). We divided the patients into four groups according to their DBP at baseline; G1 (DBP&lt;60 mmHg, n=349), G2 (60≤DBP&lt;70, n=434), G3 (70≤DBP&lt;80, n=386) and G4 (80≤DBP, n=150), and compared the clinical background and outcomes among groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older. During the median follow-up of 2,458 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke, systemic embolism, non-fatal myocardial infarction and heart failure hospitalization during follow up) were the highest in G1 group and the lowest in G3 group (G1: 7.2% per person-year vs. G2: 4.9% vs. G3: 2.2% vs. G4: 4.4%; p&lt;0.01). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 vs. G3; hazard ratio (HR): 1.96, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.39–2.76, G2 vs. G3; HR: 1.79, 95% CI: 1.28–2.50, G4 vs. G3; HR: 1.56, 95% CI: 0.99–2.45) (Figure 1). When we examined the association of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with excessively low DBP (&lt;50 mmHg) had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (HR: 2.80, 95% CI: 1.81–4.33), and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 2).

Conclusion

In Japanese AF patients whose systolic blood pressure was treated to less than 130 mmHg, patients with excessively low DBP had significantly higher incidence of cardiovascular events, and DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Previous pacemaker therapy was not associated with the risk of clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) occasionally require pacemaker implantation. Meanwhile, patients with implanted pacemaker are occasionally found to have subclinical AF and develop clinical AF. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of AF patients with implanted pacemaker.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the clinical outcomes in AF patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in a city of Japan. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,447 patients. After exclusion of patients with implantable cardioverter defibrillator and cardiac resynchronization therapy, we investigated 293 AF patients with pacemaker implantation at baseline. We performed propensity score-matching analysis to assess the impact of pacemaker therapy in AF patients.

Results

Of a total cohort, patients with pacemaker were more often female (51.2% vs. 39.7%; p&lt;0.01) and older (78.0 vs. 73.3 years of age; p&lt;0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more likely to have pre-existing heart failure (33.1% vs. 26.6%; p&lt;0.01), valvular heart disease (22.9% vs. 16.8%; p&lt;0.01), chronic kidney disease (48.8% vs. 34.7%; p&lt;0.01), and history of performing direct current cardioversion (7.2% vs. 3.1%; p&lt;0.01), compared with patients without pacemaker. Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was higher in patients with pacemaker (3.80 vs. 3.34; p&lt;0.01). Patients with pacemaker were more often prescribed oral anticoagulants (62.1% vs. 55.2%; p=0.02), verapamil (13.3% vs. 9.4%; p=0.03), and loop diuretics (30.7% vs. 21.8%; p&lt;0.01). Using propensity score-matching, 291 patients with pacemaker and 291 without pacemaker were matched and baseline characteristics were comparable. The median follow-up period was 1,819 days. All-cause death occurred in 91 patients with pacemaker (6.0 /100 person-years) and 79 patients without pacemaker (5.9 /100 person-years), with a hazard ratio (HR) for patients with pacemaker of 1.01 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.75 to 1.37; p=0.93). Furthermore, HR of cardiac death for patients with pacemaker was 1.00 (95% CI, 0.23 to 4.32; p=0.99), that of stroke or systemic embolism was 0.69 (95% CI, 0.44 to 1.07; p=0.10) and that of hospitalization for heart failure was 0.94 (95% CI, 0.65 to 1.37; p=0.76).

Conclusion

We identified that patients undergoing previous pacemaker therapy were not associated with the incidence of various adverse clinical events in Japanese AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, Takeda Pharmaceutical, and the Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development.

Association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is associated with an increased risk of mortality in general population. We have previously reported that atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with thrombocytopenia have a higher mortality than those without thrombocytopenia. However, association of the degree of thrombocytopenia with cause of death in AF patients is unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the association of baseline platelet count with cause of death including cardiac death, intracranial death, malignancy, infection, extracranial bleeding death, renal failure death, respiratory failure death and undetermined death.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data with baseline platelet counts less than 150,000/μL were available in 853 patients by the end of September 2020. We divided them into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=703), Moderate thrombocytopenia (50,000–99,999/μL, n=120), and Severe thrombocytopenia (&lt;50,000/μL, n=30).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 76 years, 34% were women, the mean body weight and body mass index was 59.3 kg and 22.9 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 121,000/μL (interquartile range 109,000 to 141,000/μL). Compared to Mild thrombocytopenia, patients with Moderate or Severe thrombocytopenia were more likely to have chronic kidney disease (42.2% vs 54.2% vs 73.3%, p=0.0003), have higher HAS-BLED score (1.90 vs 2.14 vs 2.00, p=0.047) and lower hemoglobin (12.8g/dL vs 11.7g/dL vs 11.2g/dL, p&lt;0.0001) and were less often prescribed anti platelet drugs. Age, sex, body weight, systolic blood pressure, previous stroke, previous major bleeding, hypertension, diabetes mellitus, CHADS2 score and CHA2DS2-VASc score were comparable between three groups. During the median follow-up period, the incidence rate (per 100 person-years) of all-cause death was 6.82 vs 15.27 vs 9.64. (p&lt;0.001) On univariate analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Moderate group than Mild group. (HR: 2.15; 95% CI 1.61–2.87, p&lt;0.0001), but there was no significant difference between Mild and Severe groups. (HR: 1.44; 95% CI 0.78–2.64, p=0.243). The incidence of cardiac death was comparable between three groups. (Mild vs Moderate: HR 0.65; 95% CI 0.15–2.75, p=0.56, Mild vs Severe: HR 1.11; 95% CI 0.15–8.23, p=0.92) Regarding other causes of death such as intracranial bleeding, extracranial bleeding, malignancy, infection, renal failure, respiratory failure and undetermined cause, there was no significant difference.

Conclusion

Mortality was higher according to the degree of thrombocytopenia in AF patients, but the cause of death was not different among three groups.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Predictors and risk model for heart failure hospitalization in atrial fibrillation patients without pre-existing heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF), as well as that of thromboembolism. The strategy for prediction of thromboembolism has been well-established; however, little focus has been placed on the risk stratification for and prevention of HF hospitalization in AF patients.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the predictors and risk model of HF hospitalization in non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,472 patients by the end of October 2020. From the registry, we excluded patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction [LVEF] &lt;40%), and those with valvular AF (mitral stenosis or prosthetic heart valve). Among 3,188 non-valvular AF patients without pre-existing HF, we explored the risk factors for the HF hospitalization during follow-up period. The risk model for predicting HF hospitalization was determined by the cumulative numbers of risk factors which were significant on multivariate analysis.

Results

The mean age was 72.4±10.8 years, 1197 were female and 1787 were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were 1.7±1.2 and 2.9±1.6, respectively. During the median follow-up period of 5.1 years, HF hospitalization occurred in 285 (8.9%), corresponding to an annual incidence of 1.8 events per 100 person-years. In multivariable Cox regression analysis, advanced age (≥75 years), valvular heart disease, coronary artery disease, reduced LVEF (&lt;60%), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and anemia were independently associated with the higher incidence of HF hospitalization (all P&lt;0.001) (Picture 1). A risk model based on these 6 variables could stratify the incidence of HF hospitalization during follow-up period (log-rank; P&lt;0.001) (Picture 2). Patients with ≥3 risk factors had an 11-fold higher incidence of HF hospitalization compared with those not having any of these risk factors (hazard ratio: 11.3, 95% confidence interval: 7.0–18.4; P&lt;0.001).

Conclusions

Advanced age, coronary artery disease, valvular heart disease, reduced LVEF, COPD and anemia were independently associated with the risk of HF hospitalization in AF patients without pre-existing HF. There was good prediction for endpoint of HF hospitalization using these 6 variables, providing the opportunities for the implementation of strategies to reduce the incidence of HF among AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Derivation and validation of a novel score to detect heart failure with preserved ejection fraction in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) is an important comorbidity of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is sometimes difficult to detect HFpEF among AF patients with preserved EF, since AF and HF share similar symptoms.

Purpose

The aim of this study was to identify factors associated with having HFpEF in AF patients with preserved EF, and derive a new score for HFpEF in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, Japan. Follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients, and 3,083 patients had preserved EF (≥50%). Of the 3,083 patients, 444 had prior HF hospitalization at baseline and we defined these patients as HFpEF. We examined the factors associated with having HFpEF, and derived a new score for detecting HFpEF in AF patients. Thereafter, we validated this score in patients without prior HF hospitalization.

Result

The mean age of the patients with EF ≥50% was 73.6 years, and 41.3% were female. Compared with the patients without prior HF hospitalization, HFpEF patients were older, more often female, less in body weight, had more heart disease (valvular heart disease, cardiomyopathy, old myocardial infarction, and coronary artery disease), chronic kidney diseases (CKD), anemia (Hb &lt;11 g/dL), sustained AF (persistent or permanent), left atrial enlargement (&gt;45 mm), and dilation of cardio-thoracic ratio (CTR) (&gt;54%) at baseline. In multivariate analysis, heart diseases, CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia were significantly associated with HFpEF (Table 1). We derived a new score to diagnose HFpEF in AF patients (2 points for heart diseases, 1 point for CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia; range 0 to 7 points). In a receiver-operating characteristic curve, optimal cut-off point for detecting HFpEF was 3 (Figure 1). We validated this score in patients without prior hospitalization for HF (n=2,639). Of these, 298 patients had HF symptoms of NYHA 2–4 (Symptomatic-HF), and 2,341 patients had neither prior HF hospitalization nor HF symptoms (No-HF). Notably, 207 patients (69.5%) in symptomatic-HF group and 748 patients (32.0%) in No-HF group were classified into HFpEF based on this new score. Furthermore, patients diagnosed as HFpEF by this score had higher incidence of new hospitalization for HF during the follow-up in both symptomatic-HF group and No-HF group. (Figure 2).

Conclusion

We derived a new score to diagnose HFpEF in AF patients based on the presence of prior HF hospitalization (2 points for heart diseases, 1 point for CKD, sustained AF, dilatation of CTR, left atrial enlargement, and anemia). In patients without prior HF hospitalization, sizable number of patients had high HFpEF score (≥3), and those patients showed higher incidence of new HF hospitalization.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Clinical outcomes of Japanese atrial fibrillation patients with combined valvular heart disease: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

We previously reported that valvular heart disease (VHD) was not at the significant risk of stroke/systemic embolism (SE), but was associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for heart failure (HF) in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients. However, the impact of combined VHD on clinical outcomes has been little known.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the prevalence of combined VHD and its clinical characteristics and impact on outcomes such as stroke/SE, all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for HF.

Method

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in one of the wards of our city which is a typical urban district of Japan. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of November 2019. In the entire cohort, echocardiography data were available for 3,574 patients. 68 AF patients with prosthetic heart valves were excluded and we compared clinical characteristics and outcomes between 488 single VHD (103 Aortic valve disease (AVD), 315 mitral valve disease (MVD), 70 tricuspid valve disease (TVD)) and 158 combined VHD (46 AVD and MVD, 11 AVD and TVD, 66 MVD and TVD, 35 AVD and MVD and TVD).

Result

Compared with single VHD, patients with combined VHD were older (combined vs. single VHD: 78.5 vs. 76.0 years, respectively; p&lt;0.01), more likely to have persistent/permanent type AF (73.4% vs. 63.9%, p=0.02) and prescription of warfarin (63.1% vs. 53.8%, p=0.04). Combined VHD was less likely to have diabetes mellitus (13.9% vs. 23.6%, p=0.01) and dyslipidemia (26.6% vs. 40.4%, p&lt;0.01). Sex, body weight, hypertension, pre-existing HF were comparable between the two groups.

During the median follow-up of 1,474 days, the incidence rate of stroke/SE was not significantly different between the two groups (1.58 vs. 1.89 per 100 person-years, respectively, log rank p=0.10). The incidence rate of all-cause death (7.35 vs. 5.33, p=0.65), cardiac death (1.20 vs. 0.99, p=0.91) and hospitalization for HF (5.55 vs. 4.43, p=0.53) were also not significantly different. We previously reported AVD had significant impacts on cardiac adverse outcomes in AF patients, and we further analyzed event rates between combined VHD including AVD (AVD and MVD/TVD) and without AVD (MVD and TVD). Combined VHD with AVD group had higher incidence rate of all-cause death (10.7 vs. 5.79, p=0.03) than that without AVD group. However, the incidence rate of stroke/SE (1.98 vs. 1.56, p=0.59), cardiac death (0.98 vs. 1.14, p=0.68), hospitalization for HF (8.03 vs. 5.38, p=0.17) were not significantly different between the two groups.

Conclusion

As compared with single VHD, the risk of stroke/SE, all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for HF in combined VHD was not significantly different. Among patients with combined VHD, those having AVD had higher incidence rate of all-cause death than those without AVD.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

The relationship between diastolic blood pressure and the risk of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Hypertension is one of the major risk factors of cardiovascular events in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, relationship between diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and cardiovascular events in AF patients remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,466 patients, and 4,429 patients with available data of DBP were examined. We divided the patients into three groups; G1 (DBP&lt;70 mmHg, n=1,946), G2 (70≤DBP&lt;80, n=1,321) and G3 (80≤DBP, n=1,162), and compared the clinical background and outcomes between groups.

Results

The proportion of female was grater in G1 group, and the patients in G1 group were older and had higher prevalence of heart failure (HF), diabetes mellitus (DM), chronic kidney disease (CKD). Prescription of beta blockers was higher in G1 group, but that of renin-angiotensin system-inhibitors and calcium channel blocker was comparable. During the median follow-up of 1,589 days, in Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence rates of cardiovascular events (composite of cardiac death, ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, major bleeding and HF hospitalization during follow up) were higher in G1 group and G3 group than G2 group (Figure 1). When we divided the patients based on the systolic blood pressure (SBP) at baseline (≥130 mmHg or &lt;130 mmHg), the incidence of rates of cardiovascular events were comparable among groups. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including female gender, age (≥75 years), higher SBP (≥130 mmHg), DM, pre-existing HF, CKD, low left ventricular ejection fraction (&lt;40%) and DBP (G1, G2, G3) revealed that DBP was an independent determinant of cardiovascular events (G1 group vs. G2 group; hazard ratio (HR): 1.40, 95% confidence intervals (CI): 1.19–1.64, G3 group vs. G2 group; HR: 1.23, 95% CI: 1.01–1.49). When we examined the impact of DBP according to 10 mmHg increment, patients with very low DBP (&lt;60 mmHg) (HR: 1.50,95% CI:1.24–1.80) and very high DBP (≥90 mmHg) (HR: 1.51,95% CI:1.15–1.98) had higher incidence of cardiovascular events than patients with DBP of 70–79 mmHg (Figure 2). However, when we examined the impact of SBP according to 20 mmHg increment, SBP at baseline was not associated with the incidence of cardiovascular events (Figure 3).

Conclusion

In Japanese patients with AF, DBP exhibited J curve association with higher incidence of cardiovascular events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Adverse outcomes after worsening renal function in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly coexist with chronic kidney disease (CKD). Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC) are recommended for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF), and worsening renal function (WRF) as well as CKD is an important issue in using NOAC. However, little is known about the clinical outcomes of patients after WRF.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate outcomes after WRF in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in our city. Follow-up data including prescription status were available for 4,441 patients. Of them, 1,890 patients who have baseline and at least 1 follow-up creatinine clearance (CrCl) measurements, estimated by the Cockcroft-Gault formula, were analyzed in the present study. WRF was defined as a decrease of ≥20% from baseline CrCl measurement at any time point during follow-up. We evaluated demographics and outcomes after WRF in AF patients.

Results

During the median follow-up period of 2,194 days, mean CrCl decrease of 2.2 ml/min/year was observed and WRF occurred in 981 patients (51.9%). Patients with WRF were significantly more often female (with vs. without WRF; 40.3% vs. 35.4%; p=0.03), older (73.4 vs. 71.1 years of age; p&lt;0.01), more often paroxysmal type (49.9% vs. 47.1%; p&lt;0.01), and more likely to have prior stroke (17.9% vs. 12.7%; p&lt;0.01), heart failure (30.8% vs. 24.8%; p&lt;0.01), diabetes (31.7% vs. 27.1%; p=0.03), and coronary artery disease (19.9% vs. 12.1%; p&lt;0.01) than those without WRF. Co-existing of CKD and mean CrCl at baseline were comparable (37.4% vs. 36.9%; p=0.82, 65.3 vs. 63.5 ml/min; p=0.66, respectively). Mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was significantly higher in WRF patients (3.55 vs. 3.03; p&lt;0.01). On landmark analysis, all-cause mortality occurred in 135 patients (8.6 /100 person-years) after WRF and 82 patients (1.7 /100 person-years) without WRF, with an adjusted hazard ratio (HR) of 6.33 (95% confidence interval [CI], 4.33–9.50; p&lt;0.01), adjusted by sex, age, body weight, serum creatinine, type of AF, oral anticoagulant prescription and comorbidities. Stroke or systemic embolism occurred in 45 patients after WRF (3.0 /100 person-years) and 78 (1.7 /100 person-years) patients without WRF (adjusted HR 1.60 [95% CI, 1.04–2.49; p=0.03]) (Figure).

Conclusions

AF patients after WRF had higher incidence of various adverse events.

Incidence of Adverse Outcomes

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Other. Main funding source(s): The Practical Research Project for Life-Style related Diseases including Cardiovascular Diseases and Diabetes Mellitus from Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development. Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Astellas Pharma, AstraZeneca, Daiichi-Sankyo, Novartis Pharma, MSD, Sanofi-Aventis, and Takeda Pharmaceutical.

Clinical impact of regression from sustained to paroxysmal atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) commonly progresses from paroxysmal type to sustained type in the natural course of the disease, and we previously demonstrated that the progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events. There are some patients, though less frequently, who regress from sustained to paroxysmal AF, but the clinical impact of the regression of AF remains unknown.

Purpose

We sought to investigate whether regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF is associated with better clinical outcomes.

Methods

Using the dataset of the Fushimi AF Registry, patients who were diagnosed as sustained (persistent or permanent) AF at baseline were studied. Conversion of sustained AF to paroxysmal AF during follow-up was defined as regression of AF. Major adverse cardiac events (MACE) were defined as the composite of cardiac death, stroke, and hospitalization for heart failure (HF). Event rates were compared between the patients with and without regression of AF. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, predictors of MACE were identified using Cox proportional hazards model.

Results

Among 2,253 patients who were diagnosed as sustained AF at baseline, regression of AF was observed in 9.0% (202/2,253, 2.0 per 100 patient-years) during a median follow-up of 4.0 years. Of these, 24.3% (49/202, 4.6 per 100 patient-years) of the patients finally recurred to sustained AF during follow-up. The proportion of asymptomatic patients was lower in patients with regression of AF than those without (with vs without regression; 49.0% vs 69.5%, p&lt;0.01). The percentage of beta-blocker use at baseline was similar between the two groups (37.2% vs 33.8%, p=0.34). The prevalence of patients who underwent catheter ablation or electrical cardioversion during follow-up was higher in patients with regression of AF (catheter ablation: 15.8% vs 5.5%; p&lt;0.01, cardioversion: 4.0% vs 1.4%; p&lt;0.01, respectively). The rate of MACE was significantly lower in patients with regression of AF as compared with patients who maintained sustained AF (3.7 vs 6.2 per 100 patient-years, log-rank p&lt;0.01). Figure shows the Kaplan-Meier curves for MACE, cardiac death, hospitalization for heart failure, and stroke. In patients with sustained AF at baseline, multivariable Cox proportional hazards model demonstrated that regression of AF was an independent predictor of lower MACE (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 0.50, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.28 to 0.88, p=0.02), stroke (HR: 0.51, 95% CI: 0.30 to 0.88, p=0.02), and hospitalization for HF (HR: 0.50, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.85, p=0.01).

Conclusion

Regression from sustained to paroxysmal AF was associated with a lower incidence of adverse cardiac events.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

Plasma natriuretic peptide level is an independent determinant of major clinical outcomes in atrial fibrillation patients without heart failure: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of death, stroke/systemic embolism and heart failure (HF). Plasma natriuretic peptide (NP) level is an important prognostic marker in HF patients. However, little is known regarding the prognostic significance of plasma NP level in AF patients without HF.

Purpose

The aim of this study is to investigate the relationship between plasma NP level and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization during follow-up period in AF patients without HF.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city. The inclusion criterion of the registry is the documentation of AF at 12-lead electrocardiogram or Holter monitoring at any time, and there are no exclusion criteria. We started to enroll patients from March 2011, and follow-up data were available for 4,466 patients by the end of November 2019. From the registry, we excluded 1,220 patients without a pre-existing HF (defined as having one of the following; prior hospitalization for HF, New York Heart Association class ≥2, or left ventricular ejection fraction &lt;40%). Among 3,246 AF patients without HF, we investigated 1,189 patients with the data of plasma BNP (n=401) or N-terminal pro-BNP (n=788) level at the enrollment. We divided the patients according to the quartile of each plasma BNP or NT-pro BNP level and compared the backgrounds and outcomes between these 4 groups stratified by plasma NP level.

Results

Of 1,189 patients, the mean age was 72.1±10.2 years, 454 (38%) were female and 684 (58%) were paroxysmal AF. The mean CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc score were 1.6±1.1 and 2.9±1.5, respectively. Oral anticoagulants were prescribed in 671 (56%) at baseline. The median (interquartile range) BNP and N-terminal pro-BNP level were 84 (38, 176) and 500 (155, 984) pg/ml, respectively. Patients with high plasma NP level were older, and demonstrated lower prevalence of paroxysmal AF, higher CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores and higher prevalence of chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulants prescription (all P&lt;0.01). A total of 165 all-cause death, 114 stroke/systemic embolism and 103 HF hospitalization occurred during the median follow-up period of 5.0 years. Kaplan-Meier curves demonstrated that higher plasma NP level was significantly associated with the incidences of all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF (Figure 1A). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that plasma NP level could stratify the risk of clinical outcomes even after adjustment by type of AF, CHA2DS2-VASc score, chronic kidney disease and oral anticoagulant prescription (Figure 1B).

Conclusion

Plasma NP level is a significant prognostic marker for all-cause death, stroke/systemic embolism and HF hospitalization in AF patients without HF, suggesting the importance of measuring plasma NP level in AF patients even without HF.

Figure 1

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: None

P3771Validation of risk scoring system predicting for progression of atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risks of thromboembolism and death. Progression from paroxysmal to sustained types (persistent or permanent) of AF is sometimes seen in clinical practice. We recently reported that progression of AF was associated with increased risk of clinical adverse events in Japanese AF patients. However, risk stratification schemes of predicting the progression of AF has not been fully established.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry, a community-based prospective survey, was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto, which is a typical urban district of Japan with a population of 283,000. Follow-up data were available for 4,454 patients. We investigated the risk factors of AF progression and validated the performance of various risk scoring systems predicting for progression of AF, such as APPLE, BASE-AF2, HATCH, and MB-LATER score, using data from 995 paroxysmal AF patients (mean age; 72.6±11.4 years, female; 42.2%, mean CHA2DS2-VASc score; 3.26±1.67) whose echocardiogram data were obtained at baseline.

Results

Of 995 AF patients, during the median follow-up of 1,477 days, progression from paroxysmal to sustained AF occurred in 160 patients (16.1%; 4.0 per 100 person-years). On a multivariate model, we indicated that history of AF ≥2 years (odds ratio [OR] 1.83; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–2.61), left atrial diameter ≥40 mm (OR 1.45; 95% CI 1.02–2.08), daily drinker (OR 1.56; 95% CI 1.24–2.81), and cardiomyopathy (OR 2.58; 95% CI 1.17–5.69) were significantly associated with higher incidence of AF progression. Our model had better predictive potential for AF progression (area under curve [AUC] 0.612; 95% CI 0.566–0.658) than the APPLE (AUC 0.553; 95% CI 0.508–0.598; p=0.06), BASE-AF2 (AUC 0.571; 95% CI 0.526–0.617; p=0.04), CHADS2 (AUC 0.508; 95% CI 0.462–0.554; p<0.01), CHA2DS2-VASc (AUC 0.501; 95% CI 0.453–0.548; p<0.01), HATCH (AUC 0.502; 95% CI 0.456–0.548; p<0.01), and MB-LATER (AUC 0.528; 95% CI 0.483–0.572; p<0.01) score.

Conclusion

We identified 4 risk factors which may be useful to predict for progression of AF in Japanese patients. External validation of our model in other cohorts is needed.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Boehringer, Bayer, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers, Astellas, AstraZeneca, Daiichi Sankyo, Novartis, MSD, Sanofi and Takeda. Japan Agency for Medical Research

P5431The relationship between pulse rate and the risk of cardiac events in patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Relationship between pulse rate (PR) and cardiac events in patients with sustained (persistent and permanent) atrial fibrillation (AF) in routine clinical practice remains unclear.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Follow-up data were available for 4,454 patients, and we obtained PR at baseline in 2,209 patients of 2,248 sustained AF patients. We divided these patients into four groups based on their PR; G1 (PR≥100 bpm, n=249), G2 (80 bpm≤PR<100 bpm, n=821), G3 (60 bpm≤PR<80 bpm, n=986), and G4 (PR<60 bpm, n=153), and examined the relationship between PR and cardiac events (composite of cardiovascular death and hospitalization for heart failure (HF)).

Results

Proportion of female and symptomatic AF were more in G1 group, and diastolic blood pressure was higher in G1 group, despite that systolic blood pressure was similar between the four groups. Prevalence of anemia was higher in G1 group, and that of chronic kidney disease was higher in G4 group. Prevalence of HF and left ventricular dysfunction tended to be higher in G1 group but not statistically significant. Beta-blockers and non-dihydropyridine calcium blockers were more often prescribed in G1 group. During the median follow-up of 1,449 days, cardiac events occurred in 399 patients (358 hospitalization for HF and 41 cardiovascular death). In Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of cardiac events were comparable between the four groups (p=0.3). The incidence of all cause death (p=0.06) and stroke or systemic embolism (p=0.4) was also similar between the four groups. The incidence of cardiac events did not differ between the four groups when we divided the patients based on the presence of HF at baseline, and the incidence of cardiac events was also comparable between the four groups after adjusting potential confounders. However, when we examined the impact of PR according to 10 bpm increment, patients with very low PR (<50 bpm) (hazard ratio [95% confidence intervals], 2.22 [1.04–4.15]) and very high PR (≥110 bpm) (hazard ratio [95% confidence intervals], 1.67 [1.00–2.64]) had higher incidence of cardiac events than patients with PR of 70–79 bpm (Figure). Furthermore, we acquired the annual follow-up data of PR. Mean PR during the follow-up periods was not different between patients with cardiac events and those without (with vs without, 79.5±15.3 bpm vs 79.7±12.7 bpm; p=0.8), whereas maximum PR was less in patients with cardiac events (85.2±17.5 bpm vs 89.3±16.2 bpm; p<0.0001). Patients with maximum PR<60 bpm showed higher incidence of cardiac events, and the incidence of cardiac events was the lowest in patients with maximum PR of 80 to 99 bpm (maximum PR<60 bpm: 31.3%, 60–79 bpm: 24.5%, 80–99 bpm: 14.5%, 100 bpm: 16.1%; P<ehz746.03881).

Conclusion

PR did not appear to have strong impact on cardiac events in patients with sustained AF. However, low PR might be a risk for developing cardiac events.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Japan Agency for Medical Research and Development, AMED (15656344, 16768811), Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare, Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb

P3780Clinical characteristics and outcomes in Japanese atrial fibrillation patients with valvular heart disease: the Fushimi AF registry

Background

Previous studies have suggested that valvular atrial fibrillation (VAF), defined as atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with prosthetic valve or rheumatic mitral stenosis, increased the risks of thromboembolism. However, clinical characteristics and outcomes of VAF and non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with other valvular heart disease (VHD) has not been fully described.

Method

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients. In the entire cohort (4,454 patients), follow-up data including echocardiography data were available for 3,566 patients. We compared clinical characteristics and outcomes between 131 VAF patients (3.7%), 583 NVAF with VHD (NVAF-VHD: 16.3%) and 2,852 without VHD (Non-VHD: 80.0%).

Result

Compared with Non-VHD, patients in VAF and NVAF-VHD were older (VAF vs. NVAF-VHD vs. Non-VHD: 74.3 vs. 76.9 vs. 72.9 years, respectively; p≤0.0001), more often female (56.5% vs. 51.1% vs. 36.9%, p≤0.0001), less in body weight (54.3 vs. 54.7 vs. 60.6 kg, p≤0.0001), more persistent/permanent type (64.1% vs. 65.4% vs. 45.8%, p≤0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (61.8% vs. 53.2% vs. 23.3%, p≤0.0001), had higher CHADS2 score (2.18 vs. 2.49 vs. 1.96, p≤0.0001) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.71 vs. 4.02 vs. 3.26, p≤0.0001), and received oral anticoagulant prescription more frequently (78.6% vs. 63.0% vs. 55.6%, p0.0001). NVAF-VHD was more likely to have previous stroke/systemic embolism (SE) than VHD or Non-VHD (14.5% vs. 23.5% vs. 19.6%, p=0.03). VAF or NVAF-VHD had larger left atrium than Non-VHD (50.5 vs. 47.2 vs. 42.4 mm, p<0.0001). Heart rate, diabetes mellitus and previous bleeding were comparable between the groups.

During the median follow-up of 1,471 days, the incidence rate of stroke/SE was not significantly different between three groups, however, NVAF-VHD showed modestly higher rate than Non-VHD (1.67 vs. 1.96 vs. 1.28 per 100 person-years, respectively, log rank p=0.054) (Figure). The incidence rates of all-cause death (4.62 vs. 5.74 vs. 3.21, p≤0.0001), cardiac death (1.07 vs. 1.01 vs. 0.44, p=0.0003), and those of hospitalization for heart failure (3.29 vs. 4.41 vs. 1.80, p≤0.0001) were higher in NVAF-VHD and VAF, than Non-VHD. After adjustment by relevant factors including the components of CHA2DS2-VASc score and oral anticoagulant use, NVAF-VHD, but not VAF, was an independent predictor for hospitalization for heart failure. Neither VAF nor NVAF-VHD was predictors for all-cause death, cardiac death or stroke/SE.

Figure 1. Incidence of stroke/SE

Conclusion

As compared with Non-VHD, the risk of stroke/SE in VAF and NVAF-VHD was not particularly high; although NVAF-VHD had modestly higher rate than Non-VHD. VAF and NVAF-VHD were associated with higher incidence rates of all-cause death, cardiac death and hospitalization for heart failure. NVAF-VHD was an independent predictor for hospitalization for heart failure in multivariate analysis.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare and Daiichi Sankyo

P5663Impact of proteinuria on cardiovascular outcomes in Japanese diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Previous studies have suggested that proteinuria is independently associated with clinical outcomes in diabetic patients, irrespective of the presence of renal dysfunction. However, data regarding the impact of proteinuria on clinical outcomes in diabetic patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are limited.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry is a community-based prospective survey of AF patients in our city in Japan. Follow-up data were available in 4,454 patients, and 634 diabetic patients with available data of proteinuria and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) were examined. We compared the clinical background and outcomes between patients with proteinuria (n=251) and those without (n=383). Then, we divided the patients into 4 subgroups according to the presence of proteinuria and renal dysfunction, and compared the clinical outcomes between groups; group 1 (without proteinuria, eGFR ≥60 ml/min/1.73 m2; n=203), group 2 (with proteinuria, eGFR ≥60; n=96), group 3 (without proteinuria, eGFR <60; n=180), group 4 (with proteinuria, eGFR <60; n=155).

Results

Age was comparable between patients with or without proteinuria. Patients with proteinuria had higher prevalences of previous heart failure (HF), stroke/systemic embolism, hypertension and renal dysfunction. The prevalences of previous myocardial infarction, and major bleeding were similar between two groups. During the median follow-up of 1,505 days, the incidence rates of HF hospitalization (4.1/100 person-years vs. 2.5/100 person-years; p<0.01) and cardiovascular death (1.8/100 person-years vs. 0.4/100 person-years; p<0.01) were higher in patients with proteinuria. When we divided patients into 4 subgroups, the incidences of HF hospitalization (group 1: 1.8/100 person-years vs. group 2: 3.4/100 person-years vs. group 3: 3.8/100 person-years vs. group 4: 4.9/100 person-years; p<0.01) and cardiovascular death (group 1: 0.3/100 person-years vs. group 2: 1.8/100 person-years vs. group 3: 0.5/100 person-years vs. group 4: 2.2/100 person-years; p<0.01) tended to be higher in not only group 3 and group 4 but also group 2 than group 1 (Figure). Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression analysis including female gender, age (≥75 years), hypertension, pre-existing HF, renal dysfunction (eGFR <60),low left ventricular ejection fraction (<40%) and proteinuria revealed that proteinuria was an independent determinant of both of HF hospitalization (adjusted hazard ratio [HR]: 1.57, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.05–2.34) and cardiovascular death (HR: 3.76, 95% CI: 1.59–8.88).

Figure 1

Conclusion

In Japanese diabetic patients with AF, proteinuria was associated with higher incidences of HF hospitalization and cardiovascular death, irrespective of the presence of renal dysfunction.

P3758Clinical characteristics and outcomes of atrial fibrillation patients with thrombocytopenia: the Fushimi AF Registry

Background

Thrombocytopenia is sometimes found in routine blood tests and is reported as a risk factor of major bleeding events and incidence of all-cause death after percutaneous coronary intervention. However, the influence of thrombocytopenia on clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unknown.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate relationship between baseline platelet count and clinical outcomes such as all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and the major bleeding event in AF patients.

Methods

The Fushimi AF Registry was designed to enroll all of the AF patients in Fushimi-ku, Kyoto. Fushimi-ku is densely populated with a total population of 283,000 and is assumed to represent a typical urban community in Japan. Follow-up data with baseline platelet counts were available in 4,179 patients from March 2011 to November 2018. We divided the entire cohort into 3 groups according to baseline platelet level: No thrombocytopenia (≥150,000/μL, n=3,323), Mild thrombocytopenia (100,000–149,999/μL, n=707), and Moderate/severe thrombocytopenia (≤99,999/μL, n=149).

Results

In the entire cohort, the mean age was 73 years, 40% were women, and the mean body weight and body mass index was 59 kg and 23.1 kg/m2, and the median platelet count were 192,000/μL (interquartile range 156,000 to 232,000/μL), respectively.

Compared to No thrombocytopenia, patients with thrombocytopenia were older (No vs. Mild vs. Moderate/severe; 73.3 years vs. 76.5 years vs. 75.8 years, p<0.0001), more likely to have heart failure (27.0% vs. 32.8% vs. 41.6%, p<0.0001), more likely to have chronic renal disease (35.7% vs. 42.6% vs. 57.7%, p<0.0001), and had higher CHADS2 score (2.05 vs. 2.17 vs. 2.34, p=0.0039) and CHA2DS2-VASc score (3.40 vs. 3.52 vs. 3.71, p=0.0416). Patients with thrombocytopenia had lower hemoglobin (13.0 vs. 12.8 vs. 11.6, p<0.0001) than No thrombocytopenia. However, prevalence of previous major bleeding events was comparable between three groups (4.66% vs. 4.67% vs. 5.37%, p=0.92)

On Kaplan-Meier analysis, the incidence of all-cause death was higher in Mild group (hazard ratio [HR] 1.51; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.28–1.77) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.97; 95% CI 2.28–3.80) than No group (Figure 1). The incidence of hospitalization for heart failure was higher in Mild group (HR 1.62; 95% CI 1.31–1.99) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.64; 95% CI 1.76–3.81) than No group (Figure 2). The incidence of major bleeding event was higher in Mild group (HR 1.46; 95% CI 1.11–1.91) and Moderate/severe group (HR 2.45; 95% CI 1.41–3.91) than No group (Figure 3).

Conclusion

Thrombocytopenia in AF patients was associated with higher incidence of all-cause death, hospitalization for heart failure, and major bleeding event in the Fushimi AF Registry.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Pfizer, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer Healthcare,and Daiichi-Sankyo

Highly sensitive detection of ESR1 mutations in cell-free DNA from patients with metastatic breast cancer using molecular barcode sequencing

PURPOSE

We aimed to develop a highly sensitive method to detect ESR1 mutations in cell-free DNA (cfDNA) using next-generation sequencing with molecular barcode (MB-NGS) targeting the hotspot segment (c.1600-1713).

METHODS

The sensitivity of MB-NGS was tested using serially diluted ESR1 mutant DNA and then cfDNA samples from 34 patients with metastatic breast cancer were analyzed with MB-NGS. The results of MB-NGS were validated in comparison with conventional NGS and droplet digital PCR (ddPCR).

RESULTS

MB-NGS showed a higher sensitivity (0.1%) than NGS without barcode (1%) by reducing background errors. Of the cfDNA samples from 34 patients with metastatic breast cancer, NGS without barcode revealed seven mutations in six patients (17.6%) and MB-NGS revealed six additional mutations including three mutations not reported in the COSMIC database of breast cancer, resulting in total 13 ESR1 mutations in ten patients (29.4%). Regarding the three hotspot mutations, all the patients with mutations detected by MB-NGS had identical mutations detected by droplet digital PCR (ddPCR), and mutant allele frequency correlated very well between both (r = 0.850, p < 0.01). Moreover, all the patients without these mutations by MB-NGS were found to have no mutations by ddPCR.

CONCLUSION

In conclusion, MB-NGS could successfully detect ESR1 mutations in cfDNA with a higher sensitivity of 0.1% than conventional NGS and was considered as clinically useful as ddPCR.

[A child with iritis due to Chlamydia pneumoniae infection]

A case of uncommon iritis due to Chlamydia pneumoniae (C. pneumoniae) is reported. The patient was a 9-year-old boy who had suffered from cough, pharyngeal pain, and low grade fever. The symptoms persisted for more than 1 month in spite of an oral cephem antibiotic. Ophthalmalgia, congestion around the iris and cough had lasted with alleviation and exacerbation. A diagnosis of C. pneumoniae infection was made by specific polymerase chain reaction (PCR) method and microimmunofluorescence test (MIF). The symptoms subsided with administration of clarithromycin (CAM: 300 mg/day) for 2 weeks. Because of the simultaneous alleviation of iritis, C. pneumoniae infection was considered to introduce the iritis. Much remains to be clarified about this pathogenesis of iritis and more detailed evaluations are required.