The development and acceptability of an educational and training intervention for recruiters to neonatal trials: the TRAIN project

BACKGROUND

Suboptimal or slow recruitment affects 30-50% of trials. Education and training of trial recruiters has been identified as one strategy for potentially boosting recruitment to randomised controlled trials (hereafter referred to as trials). The Training tRial recruiters, An educational INtervention (TRAIN) project was established to develop and assess the acceptability of an education and training intervention for recruiters to neonatal trials. In this paper, we report the development and acceptability of TRAIN.

METHODS

TRAIN involved three sequential phases, with each phase contributing information to the subsequent phase(s). These phases were 1) evidence synthesis (systematic review of the effectiveness of training interventions and a content analysis of the format, content, and delivery of identified interventions), 2) intervention development using a Partnership (co-design/co-creation) approach, and 3) intervention acceptability assessments with recruiters to neonatal trials.

RESULTS

TRAIN, accompanied by a comprehensive intervention manual, has been designed for online or in-person delivery. TRAIN can be offered to recruiters before trial recruitment begins or as refresher sessions during a trial. The intervention consists of five core learning outcomes which are addressed across three core training units. These units are the trial protocol (Unit 1, 50 min, trial-specific), understanding randomisation (Unit 2, 5 min, trial-generic) and approaching and engaging with parents (Unit 3, 70 min, trial-generic). Eleven recruiters to neonatal trials registered to attend the acceptability assessment training workshops, although only four took part. All four positively valued the training Units and resources for increasing recruiter preparedness, knowledge, and confidence. More flexibility in how the training is facilitated, however, was noted (e.g., training divided across two workshops of shorter duration). Units 2 and 3 were considered beneficial to incorporate into Good Clinical Practice Training or as part of induction training for new staff joining neonatal units.

CONCLUSION

TRAIN offers a comprehensive co-produced training and education intervention for recruiters to neonatal trials. TRAIN was deemed acceptable, with minor modification, to neonatal trial recruiters. The small number of recruiters taking part in the acceptability assessment is a limitation. Scale-up of TRAIN with formal piloting and testing for effectiveness in a large cluster randomised trial is required.

Impact of time from symptom onset on the diagnostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin for type 1 myocardial infarction

Background

High-sensitivity cardiac troponin has enabled the rapid rule-out and rule-in of myocardial infarction at presentation. However, increases in cardiac troponin may not be detectable early after symptom onset, and uncertainty remains as to how time of symptom onset influences diagnostic performance.

Purpose

To evaluate the impact of time from symptom onset on the diagnostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin for type 1 myocardial infarction.

Methods

In a secondary analysis of a prospective multicentre randomised controlled trial of consecutive patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome, we evaluated the diagnostic performance of high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I measurements at presentation stratified by time of symptom onset to blood sampling. Diagnostic performance was evaluated in four groups (≤3 hours, 4–6 hours, 7–12 hours and >12 hours from symptom onset) for recommended thresholds to rule-out (sex-specific 99th centile and optimised threshold [64 ng/L]) type 1 myocardial infarction.

Results

This analysis included 41,104 patients (median 60 [interquartile range 49–74] years, 46% female) of which 12,595 (31%), 10,298 (25%), 7,171 (17%) and 11,040 (27%) presented ≤3 hours, 4–6 hours, 7–12 hours and >12 hours, respectively. Type 1 myocardial infarction was the adjudicated diagnosis in 3,692 (9%) patients. For the rule-out of type 1 myocardial infarction, sensitivity was highest in those tested 7–12 hours from symptom onset and lowest in those tested ≤3 hours. In early presenters, a threshold of <2 ng/L had greater sensitivity and negative predictive value (99.4% [95% CI 98.9 to 99.7%] and 99.7% [95% CI 99.5 to 99.9%]) compared to <5 ng/L (96.7% [95% CI 95.7 to 97.6%] and 99.3% [95% CI 99.1 to 99.5%], respectively). In those tested >3 hrs from symptom onset, the sensitivity and negative predictive value for both thresholds were similar, but a threshold of <5 ng/L correctly ruled out more patients (60% [17,056/28,506] versus 29% [8,316/28,506]). For the rule-in of myocardial infarction, the sensitivity of the 99th centile and 64 ng/L was lowest in patients tested within 3 hours (71.7% [95% CI 69.3 to 74.1%] and 46.5% [95% CI 44.1 to 49.2%], respectively), and increased in those tested later from symptom onset. The specificity and positive predictive value were highest when testing was performed 7–12 hours from symptom onset for the sex-specific 99th centile (92.4% [95% CI 91.8 to 93.0%] and 51.3% [95% CI 48.2–54.5%]) and 64 ng/L (96.2% [95% CI 95.7 to 96.7%] and 61.2% [95% CI 57.3 to 65.2%]).

Conclusions

The diagnostic performance of cardiac troponin for myocardial infarction is strongly influenced by the time from symptom onset to testing. In early presenters the limit of detection may facilitate immediate rule-out of myocardial infarction, but otherwise testing at least 3 hours from symptom onset is needed with the optimal time to rule-in myocardial infarction being 7–12 hours from the onset of symptoms.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): British Heart Foundation (BHF)Medical Research council UK (MRC)

Sex-differences in oral anticoagulation therapy in patients hospitalised with atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Important disparities in the treatment and outcomes of women and men with atrial fibrillation are well recognized. Whether introduction of direct oral anticoagulants has reduced disparities in treatment is uncertain.

Methods

All patients who had an incident hospitalization from 2010 to 2019 with non-valvular atrial fibrillation in Scotland were included in this cohort study. Community drug dispensing data were used to determine prescribed oral anticoagulation therapy and comorbidity status. Logistic regression modelling was used to evaluate patient factors associated with treatment with vitamin K antagonists and direct oral anticoagulants.

Results

A total of 172,989 patients (48% women [82,833/172,989]) had an incident hospitalization with non-valvular atrial fibrillation in Scotland between 2010 and 2019. The proportion of patients with thromboembolic risk factors (CHA2DS2VASc score >0 in men and >1 in women) treated with oral anticoagulation therapy increased from 36.8% to 66.3% over this 10-year period. By 2019, factor Xa inhibitors accounted for 83.6% of all oral anticoagulants prescribed, while treatment with vitamin K antagonists and direct thrombin inhibitors declined to 15.9% and 0.6%, respectively. Women were less likely to be prescribed any oral anticoagulation therapy compared to men (adjusted odds ratio, aOR 0.68 [95% CI, CI 0.67–0.70]). This disparity was mainly attributed to vitamin K antagonists (aOR 0.68 [95% CI 0.66–0.70]), whilst there was less disparity in use of factor Xa inhibitors between women and men (aOR 0.92 [95% CI 0.90–0.95]). At 1 year following hospitalization with atrial fibrillation, patients not prescribed oral anticoagulation therapy were more likely to have subsequent major adverse cardiovascular events compared to those prescribed with oral anticoagulation therapy (38.8% [15,380/39,608] versus 17.0% [6,761/39,671] in women and 35.2% [12,977/36,868] versus 16.4% [7,395/45,093] in men).

Conclusions

Women with non-valvular atrial fibrillation were significantly less likely to be prescribed vitamin K antagonists compared to men. Most patients admitted to hospital in Scotland with incident non-valvular atrial fibrillation are now treated with factor Xa inhibitors and this is associated with less treatment disparities between women and men.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): This study was supported by the British Heart Foundation through a Clinical Research Training Fellowship (FS/18/25/33454), Intermediate Clinical Research Fellowship (FS/19/17/34172), Senior Clinical Research Fellowship (FS/16/14/32023) and a Research Excellence Award (RE/18/5/34216), and a research grant to NHS Lothian from Bristol Myers Squibb Pharmaceuticals Ltd and Pfizer UK Ltd.

Machine learning to aid in the diagnosis of acute heart failure in the emergency department

Background

B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and mid-regional pro-atrial natriuretic peptide (MRproANP) testing are recommended to aid in the diagnosis of acute heart failure. However, the application of these biomarkers for optimal diagnostic performance is uncertain.

Methods

We performed a systematic review and harmonised individual patient-level data to evaluate the diagnostic performance of BNP and MRproANP for the diagnosis of acute heart failure using random-effects meta-analysis. We subsequently developed and externally validated a decision-support tool called CoDE-HF for both BNP and MRproANP that combines the natriuretic peptide concentrations with clinical variables using machine learning to report the probability of acute heart failure for an individual patient.

Results

Fourteen studies from 12 countries provided individual patient-level data in 8,493 patients for BNP and 3,847 patients for MRproANP, in whom, 48.3% (4,105/8,493) and 41.3% (1,611/3899) had an adjudicated diagnosis of acute heart failure, respectively. The negative and positive predictive values of guideline-recommended thresholds for BNP (100 pg/mL) and MR-proANP (120 pg/mL) were 93.6% (95% confidence interval 88.4–96.6%) and 68.8% (62.9–74.2%), and 95.6% (92.2–97.6%) and 64.8% (56.3–72.5%), respectively. However, we observed significant heterogeneity in the diagnostic performance across important patient subgroups (Figure 1). In the external validation cohort, CoDE-HF was well calibrated with excellent discrimination in those without prior acute heart failure for both BNP and MRproANP (area under the curve of 0.946 [0.933–0.958] and 0.943 [0.921–0.964], and Brier scores of 0.105 and 0.073, respectively). CoDE-HF performed consistently across all subgroups for both BNP and MRproANP, and identified 30% and 65.7% at low-probability (negative predictive value of 99.1% [98.8–99.3%] and 99.1% [98.8–99.4%]), and 30% and 17.3% at high-probability (positive predictive value of 91.3% [90.7–91.9%] and 70.0% [68.5–71.4%]) in those without prior heart failure, respectively (Figure 2).

Conclusion

In an international collaborative analysis, we observed that guideline-recommended thresholds for BNP and MRproANP to diagnose acute heart failure varied significantly across patient subgroups. A decision-support tool using machine learning to combine natriuretic peptides as a continuous measure and other clinical variables provides a more accurate and individualised approach.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Other. Main funding source(s): Medical Research Council and British Heart Foundation Figure 1. NPV of BNP threshold (100 pg/mL)Figure 2. NPV of the CoDE-HF rule-out score

29 Predicting Unplanned Readmission and Death After Hospital Discharge: How Do Frailty Tools Compare to Electronic Health Record Frailty Markers?

Introduction

Numerous frailty tools and definitions have been described. Amongst hospitalised patients, the validity of face-to-face instruments may be confounded by acute illness. However, patient assessment after recovery at the point of hospital discharge, or recognition of electronic health record (EHR) frailty markers, may overcome this issuep.

Methods

In a consented, prospective observational cohort study, we recruited patients ≥70 years old within 24 hours of expected discharge from the cardiology ward of the Royal Infirmary of Edinburgh. Three established frailty instruments were tested: the Fried phenotype, Short Physical Performance Battery and nurse-administered Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS). An unweighted 32-item EHR score was generated using frailty markers (e.g. falls risk, continence, cognition) recorded within mandated admission documentation. Comorbidity was assessed by count of chronic health conditions. Outcomes were a 90-day composite of unplanned readmission or death and 12-month mortality. Adjusted Cox modelling determined the hazard ratio (HR) per standard deviation increase in each frailty score.

Results

186 patients (mean age 79 ± 6 years, 64% male) were included, of whom 55 (30%) had a 90-day composite outcome, and 21 (11%) died within 12 months. All four frailty tools were moderately correlated with age and comorbidity (Pearson’s r 0.21 to 0.43, all p < 0.05). The Fried phenotype (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.18–1.81), CFS (HR 1.24, 95% CI 1.01–1.51) and EHR score (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.03–1.55) independently predicted 90-day readmission or death, after adjustment for age, sex and comorbidity. All frailty instruments were independent predictors of 12-month mortality, with age, sex and comorbidity losing predictive power (p > 0.05) once frailty was included in modelling.

Conclusions

At hospital discharge, the Fried phenotype and CFS added to age and comorbidity in risk prediction for future unplanned readmission or death. EHR frailty markers appeared comparable to face-to-face assessment. An automated trigger for high-risk patients using routine EHR data merits prospective evaluation.

Validation of a machine learned model to predict the diagnosis of myocardial infarction

Introduction

The myocardial-ischemic-injury-index (MI3) is a promising machine learned algorithm that predicts the likelihood of myocardial infarction in patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome. Whether this algorithm performs well in unselected patients or predicts recurrent events is unknown.

Methods

In an observational analysis from a multi-centre randomised trial, we included all patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome and serial high-sensitivity cardiac troponin I measurements without ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction. Using gradient boosting, MI3 incorporates age, sex, and two troponin measurements to compute a value (0–100) reflecting an individual's likelihood of myocardial infarction, and estimates the negative predictive value (NPV) and positive predictive value (PPV). Model performance for an index diagnosis of myocardial infarction, and for subsequent myocardial infarction or cardiovascular death at one year was determined using previously defined low- and high-probability thresholds (1.6 and 49.7, respectively).

Results

In total 20,761 of 48,282 (43%) patients (64±16 years, 46% women) were eligible of whom 3,278 (15.8%) had myocardial infarction. MI3 was well discriminated with an area under the receiver-operating-characteristic curve of 0.949 (95% confidence interval 0.946–0.952) identifying 12,983 (62.5%) patients as low-probability (sensitivity 99.3% [99.0–99.6%], NPV 99.8% [99.8–99.9%]), and 2,961 (14.3%) as high-probability (specificity 95.0% [94.7–95.3%], PPV 70.4% [69–71.9%]). At one year, subsequent myocardial infarction or cardiovascular death occurred more often in high-probability compared to low-probability patients (17.6% [520/2,961] versus 1.5% [197/12,983], P<0.001).

Conclusions

In unselected consecutive patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome, the MI3 algorithm accurately estimates the likelihood of myocardial infarction and predicts probability of subsequent adverse cardiovascular events.

Performance of MI3 at example thresholds

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Foundation. Main funding source(s): Medical Research Council

A randomised feasibility trial comparing needle fasciotomy with limited fasciectomy treatment for Dupuytren's contractures

Purpose

The purpose of this study is to assess the feasibility of conducting a large, multicentre randomised controlled trial (RCT) comparing needle fasciotomy with limited fasciectomy for treatment of Dupuytren’s contractures.

Design

The design of this study is a parallel, two-arm, multicentre, randomised feasibility trial with embedded QuinteT Recruitment Intervention.

Participants

Patients aged 18 years or over who were referred from primary to secondary care for treatment of a hand with Dupuytren’s contractures of one or more fingers of more than 30° at the metacarpophalangeal (MCP) and/or proximal interphalangeal (PIP) joints and well-defined cord(s). Patients were excluded if they had undergone previous Dupuytren’s contracture surgery on the same hand.

Methods

Potential participants were screened for eligibility. Recruited participants randomised (1:1) to treatment with either needle fasciotomy or limited fasciectomy and followed-up for up to 6 months after treatment. Data on recruitment rates, completion of follow-up, and procedure costs were collected. Four patient reported outcome measures (PROMs) and objective outcome measures were collected before intervention and 6 weeks and 6 months afterwards.

Results

One hundred and fifty-three of 267 (57%) primary-care referrals for Dupuytren’s contractures met the eligibility criteria for the study. Seventy-one of the 153 (46%) agreed to participate and were randomly allocated to treatment with needle fasciotomy or limited fasciectomy. Sixty-seven of these underwent their allocated treatment, two were crossovers from limited fasciectomy to needle fasciotomy, and two (both allocated limited fasciectomy) received no treatment. Fifty-nine participants (85%) completed 6-month follow-up PROMs. Participants felt the MYMOP, PEM and URAM PROMs allowed them to better describe how their treatment affected their hand function than the DASH PROM. The estimated costs of limited fasciectomy (in an operating theatre) and needle fasciotomy (in a clinic room) were £777 and £111 respectively.

Conclusion

A large RCT comparing treatment of Dupuytren’s contractures by needle fasciotomy and limited fasciectomy is feasible. Data from this study will help determine the number of sites and duration of recruitment required to complete an adequately powered RCT and will assist the selection of PROMs in future studies on the treatment of Dupuytren’s contractures. (Level 1 feasibility study).

Trial registration

Trial registered with ISRCTN (registration number: ISRCTN11164292), date assigned - 28/08/2015.

3325Incidence, outcomes and microbiology in patients with infective endocarditis

Introduction

Despite recent improvements in management, infective endocarditis remains associated with high morbidity and mortality. Over the last few decades, several factors have impacted on both the incidence and outcomes following infective endocarditis.

Purpose

Using a national linkage approach, we describe the changing age- and sex-stratified incidence and outcomes of infective endocarditis in Scotland over the last 25 years.

Methods

We conducted a consecutive retrospective individual patient linkage study across multiple national databases. Using data extracted from the Scottish hospital discharge dataset held by the Information Services Division of NHS National Services Scotland, we extracted episodes for all patients aged 20 years or older who were admitted with infective endocarditis between January 1, 1990, and December 31, 2014 in Scotland, UK. Patient episodes with infective endocarditis were linked to national prescribing and microbiology databases. The primary outcome was 1-year mortality following the index presentation. Generalised additive models were constructed to estimate the crude and age- and sex-stratified incidence rates (using a poison distribution) as well as trends in mortality (using a binomial distribution) adjusted for age, sex and comorbidity.

Results

Across 12,446 individual patients, there were a total of 12,667 hospitalisations (mean age 68±17 years, 55% females) with infective endocarditis using a 5-year look back period. The estimated crude rate of hospitalisation increased from 7.38 per 100,000 (95% CI 6.58 to 8.28) in 1990 to 15.09 per 100,000 (95% CI 13.90 to 16.39) in 2014 (p<0.001). Over the period of the study, 31% (3,877/12,667) of people admitted to hospital with infective endocarditis died within one year of admission. Case fatality fell markedly in both men and women from 1990 to 2014 (Figure). Microbiology was status was available for 34% of all hospitalisations with staphylococcus cultures associated with worse outcomes.

Conclusions

Despite the crude incidence of infective endocarditis doubling over the last 25 years and case fatality remaining high, the risk of death has markedly fallen over the last two decades. Staphylococcus cultures remain an independent marker of poor prognosis in this cohort.

Acknowledgement/Funding

British Heart Foundation

Treatment preference and recruitment to pediatric RCTs: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Recruitment to pediatric randomised controlled trials (RCTs) can be a challenge, with ethical issues surrounding assent and consent. Pediatric RCTs frequently recruit from a smaller pool of patients making adequate recruitment difficult. One factor which influences recruitment and retention in pediatric trials is patient and parent preferences for treatment.

PURPOSE

To systematically review pediatric RCTs reporting treatment preference.

METHODS

Database searches included: MEDLINE, CINAHL, EMBASE, and COCHRANE.Qualitative or quantitative papers were eligible if they reported: pediatric population, (0-17 years) recruited to an RCT and reported treatment preference for all or some of the participants/parents in any clinical area. Data extraction included: Number of eligible participants consenting to randomisation arms, number of eligible patients not randomised because of treatment preference, and any further information reported on preferences (e.g., if parent preference was different from child).

RESULTS

Fifty-two studies were included. The number of eligible families declining participation in an RCT because of preference for treatment varied widely (between 2 and 70%) in feasibility, conventional and preference trial designs. Some families consented to trial involvement despite having preferences for a specific treatment. Data relating to 'participant flow and recruitment' was not always reported consistently, therefore numbers who were lost to follow-up or withdrew due to preference could not be extracted.

CONCLUSIONS

Families often have treatment preferences which may affect trial recruitment. Whilst children appear to hold treatment preferences, this is rarely reported. Further investigation is needed to understand the reasons for preference and the impact preference has on RCT recruitment, retention and outcome.

Genome-wide gene-environment interaction in depression: A systematic evaluation of candidate genes: The childhood trauma working-group of PGC-MDD

Gene by environment (GxE) interaction studies have investigated the influence of a number of candidate genes and variants for major depressive disorder (MDD) on the association between childhood trauma and MDD. Most of these studies are hypothesis driven and investigate only a limited number of SNPs in relevant pathways using differing methodological approaches. Here (1) we identified 27 genes and 268 SNPs previously associated with MDD or with GxE interaction in MDD and (2) analyzed their impact on GxE in MDD using a common approach in 3944 subjects of European ancestry from the Psychiatric Genomics Consortium who had completed the Childhood Trauma Questionnaire. (3) We subsequently used the genome-wide SNP data for a genome-wide case-control GxE model and GxE case-only analyses testing for an enrichment of associated SNPs. No genome-wide significant hits and no consistency among the signals of the different analytic approaches could be observed. This is the largest study for systematic GxE interaction analysis in MDD in subjects of European ancestry to date. Most of the known candidate genes/variants could not be supported. Thus, their impact on GxE interaction in MDD may be questionable. Our results underscore the need for larger samples, more extensive assessment of environmental exposures, and greater efforts to investigate new methodological approaches in GxE models for MDD.

When impatience is a virtue

There can be few paradoxes quite like the life and death of the former mayor of Toronto, Rob Ford[...]

Cost-effectiveness of community versus hospital eye service follow-up for patients with quiescent treated age-related macular degeneration alongside the ECHoES randomised trial

OBJECTIVES

To assess the cost-effectiveness of optometrist-led follow-up monitoring reviews for patients with quiescent neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD) in community settings (including high street opticians) compared with ophthalmologist-led reviews in hospitals.

DESIGN

A model-based cost-effectiveness analysis with a 4-week time horizon, based on a 'virtual' non-inferiority randomised trial designed to emulate a parallel group design.

SETTING

A virtual internet-based clinical assessment, conducted at community optometry practices, and hospital ophthalmology clinics.

PARTICIPANTS

Ophthalmologists with experience in the age-related macular degeneration service; fully qualified optometrists not participating in nAMD shared care schemes.

INTERVENTIONS

The participating optometrists and ophthalmologists classified lesions from vignettes and were asked to judge whether any retreatment was required. Vignettes comprised clinical information, colour fundus photographs and optical coherence tomography images. Participants' classifications were validated against experts' classifications (reference standard). Resource use and cost information were attributed to these retreatment decisions.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Correct classification of whether further treatment is needed, compared with a reference standard.

RESULTS

The mean cost per assessment, including the subsequent care pathway, was £411 for optometrists and £397 for ophthalmologists: a cost difference of £13 (95% CI -£18 to £45). Optometrists were non-inferior to ophthalmologists with respect to the overall percentage of lesions correctly assessed (difference -1.0%; 95% CI -4.5% to 2.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

In the base case analysis, the slightly larger number of incorrect retreatment decisions by optometrists led to marginally and non-significantly higher costs. Sensitivity analyses that reflected different practices across eye hospitals indicate that shared care pathways between optometrists and ophthalmologists can be identified which may reduce demands on scant hospital resources, although in light of the uncertainty around differences in outcome and cost it remains unclear whether the differences between the 2 care pathways are significant in economic terms.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN07479761; Pre-results.

Standardizing and monitoring the delivery of surgical interventions in randomized clinical trials

Background

The complexity of surgical interventions has major implications for the design of RCTs. Trials need to consider how and whether to standardize interventions so that, if successful, they can be implemented in practice. Although guidance exists for standardizing non‐pharmaceutical interventions in RCTs, their application to surgery is unclear. This study reports new methods for standardizing the delivery of surgical interventions in RCTs.

Methods

Descriptions of 160 surgical interventions in existing trial reports and protocols were identified. Initially, ten reports were scrutinized in detail using a modified framework approach for the analysis of qualitative data, which informed the development of a preliminary typology. The typology was amended with iterative sequential application to all interventions. Further testing was undertaken within ongoing multicentre RCTs.

Results

The typology has three parts. Initially, the overall technical purpose of the intervention is described (exploration, resection and/or reconstruction) in order to establish its constituent components and steps. This detailed description of the intervention is then used to establish whether and how each component and step should be standardized, and the standards documented within the trial protocol. Finally, the typology provides a framework for monitoring the agreed intervention standards during the RCT. Pilot testing within ongoing RCTs enabled standardization of the interventions to be agreed, and case report forms developed to capture deviations from these standards.

Conclusion

The typology provides a framework for use during trial design to standardize the delivery of surgical interventions and document these details within protocols. Application of this typology to future RCTs may clarify details of the interventions under evaluation and help successful interventions to be implemented.

Design a perfect study

Proceedings of the First International Conference on Stepped Wedge Trial Design

I1 Introduction

Mona Kanaan, Noreen Dadirai Mdege, Ada Keding

O1 The HiSTORIC trial: a hybrid before-and-after and stepped wedge design

RA Parker, N Mills, A Shah, F Strachan, C Keerie, CJ Weir

O2 Stepped wedge trials with non-uniform correlation structure

Andrew Forbes, Karla Hemming

O3 Challenges and solutions for the operationalisation of the ENHANCE study: a pilot stepped wedge trial within a general practice setting

Sarah A Lawton, Emma Healey, Martyn Lewis, Elaine Nicholls, Clare Jinks, Valerie Tan, Andrew Finney, Christian D Mallen, on behalf of the ENHANCE Study Team

O4 Early lessons from the implementation of a stepped wedge trial design investigating the effectiveness of a training intervention in busy health care settings: the Thistle study

Erik Lenguerrand, Graeme MacLennan, John Norrie, Siladitya Bhattacharya, Tim Draycott, on behalf of the Thistle group

O5 Sample size calculation for longitudinal cluster randomised trials: a unified framework for closed cohort and repeated cross-section designs

Richard Hooper, Steven Teerenstra, Esther de Hoop, Sandra Eldridge

O6 Restricted randomisation schemes for stepped-wedge studies with a cluster-level covariate

Alan Girling, Monica Taljaard

O7 A flexible modelling of the time trend for the analysis of stepped wedge trials: results of a simulation study

Gian Luca Di Tanna, Antonio Gasparrini

P1 Tackling acute kidney injury – a UK stepped wedge clinical trial of hospital-level quality improvement interventions

Anna Casula, Fergus Caskey, Erik Lenguerrand, Shona Methven, Stephanie MacNeill, Margaret May, Nicholas Selby

P2 Sample size considerations for quantifying secondary bacterial transmission in a stepped wedge trial of influenza vaccine

Leon Danon, Hannah Christensen, Adam Finn, Margaret May

P3 Sample size calculation for time-to-event data in stepped wedge cluster randomised trials

Fumihito Takanashi, Ada Keding, Simon Crouch, Mona Kanaan

P4 Sample size calculations for stepped-wedge cluster randomised trials with unequal cluster sizes

Caroline A. Kristunas, Karen L. Smith, Laura J. Gray

P5 The design of stepped wedge trials with unequal cluster sizes

John N.S. Matthews

P6 Promoting Recruitment using Information Management Efficiently (PRIME): a stepped wedge SWAT (study-within-a-trial)

R Al-Shahi Salman, RA Parker, A Maxwell, M Dennis, A Rudd, CJ Weir

P7 Implications of misspecified mixed effect models in stepped wedge trial analysis: how wrong can it be?

Jennifer A Thompson, Katherine L Fielding, Calum Davey, Alexander M Aiken, James R Hargreaves, Richard J Hayes

S1 Stepped Wedge Designs with Multiple Interventions

Vivian H Lyons, Lingyu Li, James Hughes, Ali Rowhani-Rahbar

S2 Analysis of the cross-sectional stepped wedge cluster randomised trial

Karla Hemming, Monica Taljaard, Andrew Forbes

Health professionals' and service users' perspectives of shared care for monitoring wet age-related macular degeneration: a qualitative study alongside the ECHoES trial

OBJECTIVES

To explore the views of eye health professionals and service users on shared community and hospital care for wet or neovascular age-related macular degeneration (nAMD).

METHOD

Using maximum variation sampling, 5 focus groups and 10 interviews were conducted with 23 service users and 24 eye health professionals from across the UK (consisting of 8 optometrists, 6 ophthalmologists, 6 commissioners, 2 public health representatives and 2 clinical eye care advisors to local Clinical Commissioning Groups). Data were transcribed verbatim and analysed thematically using constant comparative techniques derived from grounded theory methodology.

RESULTS

The needs and preferences of those with nAMD appear to be at odds with the current service being provided. There was enthusiasm among health professionals and service users about the possibility of shared care for nAMD as it was felt to have the potential to relieve hospital eye service burden and represent a more patient-centred option, but there were a number of perceived barriers to implementation. Some service users and ophthalmologists voiced concerns about optometrist competency and the potential for delays with referrals to secondary care if stable nAMD became active again. The health professionals were divided as to whether shared care was financially more efficient than the current model of care. Specialist training for optometrists, under the supervision of ophthalmologists, was deemed to be the most effective method of training and was perceived to have the potential to improve the communication and trust that shared care would require.

CONCLUSIONS

While shared care is perceived to represent a promising model of nAMD care, voiced concerns suggest that there would need to be greater collaboration between ophthalmology and optometry, in terms of interprofessional trust and communication.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

ISRCTN07479761.

Environmental & economic life cycle assessment of current & future sewage sludge to energy technologies

The UK Water Industry currently generates approximately 800GWh pa of electrical energy from sewage sludge. Traditionally energy recovery from sewage sludge features Anaerobic Digestion (AD) with biogas utilisation in combined heat and power (CHP) systems. However, the industry is evolving and a number of developments that extract more energy from sludge are either being implemented or are nearing full scale demonstration. This study compared five technology configurations: 1 - conventional AD with CHP, 2 - Thermal Hydrolysis Process (THP) AD with CHP, 3 - THP AD with bio-methane grid injection, 4 - THP AD with CHP followed by drying of digested sludge for solid fuel production, 5 - THP AD followed by drying, pyrolysis of the digested sludge and use of the both the biogas and the pyrolysis gas in a CHP. The economic and environmental Life Cycle Assessment (LCA) found that both the post AD drying options performed well but the option used to create a solid fuel to displace coal (configuration 4) was the most sustainable solution economically and environmentally, closely followed by the pyrolysis configuration (5). Application of THP improves the financial and environmental performance compared with conventional AD. Producing bio-methane for grid injection (configuration 3) is attractive financially but has the worst environmental impact of all the scenarios, suggesting that the current UK financial incentive policy for bio-methane is not driving best environmental practice. It is clear that new and improving processes and technologies are enabling significant opportunities for further energy recovery from sludge; LCA provides tools for determining the best overall options for particular situations and allows innovation resources and investment to be focused accordingly.

Dose dense cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, fluorouracil is feasible at 14-day intervals: a pilot study of every-14-day dosing as adjuvant therapy for breast cancer

PURPOSE

Cyclophosphamide/methotrexate/fluorouracil (CMF) is a proven adjuvant option for patients with early-stage breast cancer. Randomized trials with other regimens demonstrate that dose-dense (DD) scheduling can offer greater efficacy. We investigated the feasibility of administering CMF using a DD schedule.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Thirty-eight patients with early-stage breast cancer were accrued from March 2008 through June 2008. They were treated every 14 days with C 600, M 40, F 600 (all mg/m2) with PEG-filgrastim (Neulasta®) support on day 2 of each cycle. The primary endpoint was tolerability using a Simon's 2-stage optimal design. The design would effectively discriminate between true tolerability (as protocol-defined) rates of ≤ 60% and ≥ 80%.

RESULTS

The median age was 52-years-old (range, 38-78 years of age). Twenty-nine of the 38 patients completed 8 cycles of CMF at 14-day intervals.

CONCLUSION

Dose-dense adjuvant CMF is tolerable and feasible at 14-day intervals with PEG-filgrastim support.

Bone Mineral Density (BMD) Changes at 1 Year in Postmenopausal Women Who Are Not Receiving Adjuvant Endocrine Therapy for Breast Cancer (BCA)

Background: Adjuvant therapy for breast cancer (BCA) may be associated with an increased risk for osteoporosis. This prospective, observational study evaluates BMD changes in postmenopausal women undergoing adjuvant chemotherapy (CTX) for early stage BCA, in the absence of endocrine therapy.Methods: Women who have been postmenopausal for at least 5 years, and who were recently diagnosed with Stage 0-III BCA were eligible to undergo serial BMD if adjuvant endocrine therapy was not recommended. Study BMDs were performed at baseline, 1 and 2 years. All patients (pts) were counseled on calcium, vitamin D and weight bearing exercise. This study was designed to assess serial changes in BMD in the individual and to compare changes in those treated with CTX to those who received no systemic therapy (observation). The study was closed prior to reaching target sample size due to slow accrual.Results: Sixteen pts enrolled. Eleven pts received CTX with a dose dense anthracycline and taxane containing regimen and 5 pts received no systemic adjuvant therapy. Twelve pts, median age 63 (range 52-80), have completed the 1 year assessment and are reported here. Two pts treated with CTX and 1 pt on observation were on bisphosphonates at study entry. Baseline BMD mean in gm/cm2 at the lumbar spine (LS) was 1.112 (range 0.807-1.389) and total hip (TH) was 0.989 (range 0.760-1.213). At 1 year, mean BMD at LS was 1.078 (range 0.767-1.347) and TH was 0.956 (range 0.753-1.210). For all 12 pts at 1 year, the individual BMD changes in LS & TH BMD ranged from 10% loss to 2% gain, with 8 of the 9 CTX treated pts losing 1-10% of BMD and the 3 pts on observation staying within 2% of baseline. The mean dosage of dexamethasone used during CTX by the 9 CTX pts was 230 mg (range 156-288mg). The 3 observation pts had no exposure to steroids during the parallel time period.Conclusions: This prospective, observational study supports the hypothesis that adjuvant CTX, and/or its supportive medications, may be associated with acute changes in BMD in postmenopausal women. Patient follow up continues.Funded by Susan G. Komen for the Cure POP0402593

Citation Information: Cancer Res 2009;69(24 Suppl):Abstract nr 1066.

Influence of host size variation on the development of a koinobiont aphid parasitoid, Lysiphlebus ambiguus Haliday (Braconidae, Hymenoptera)

To determine whether host body size is the currency used by the aphidiine parasitoid, Lysiphlebus ambiguus Haliday (Hymenoptera: Braconidae), in assessing host quality, the aphid, Aphis fabae Scopoli (Homoptera: Aphididae), was reared at either high or low temperature to yield hosts of the same instar with different body sizes. Cohorts of A. fabae raised at 15 degrees C and 30 degrees C and exposed to individual female L. ambiguus in no-choice tests were successfully parasitized in all host stages from 1st instar nymphs to adults. However, younger and smaller aphids were more susceptible to parasitism than older and larger nymphs or adults, as measured by the number of mummies produced. For aphid cohorts reared at 15 degrees C, the proportion of female progeny, progeny adult size, and development time all increased linearly with aphid size at the time of attack. In contrast, for aphid cohorts raised at 30 degrees C, the proportion of female progeny and progeny adult size declined with aphid size, while development time remained unaffected. Through manipulation of host rearing temperature, we have shown that at cooler temperatures the koinobiont parasitoid, L. ambiguus, responds to host size in the same way as an idiobiont parasitoid, but that this response is compromised at higher temperatures. Our results suggest that differential mortality during development is likely to influence the observed secondary sex ratio in relation to aphid size for aphid cohorts raised at higher temperatures due to disruption of the activity of the host's primary endosymbiont and that such reduced nutritional quality of aphids cannot be compensated by increased development time.

The safety of dose-dense doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide followed by paclitaxel with trastuzumab in HER-2/neu overexpressed/amplified breast cancer

PURPOSE

Dose-dense (dd) doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide (AC) followed by paclitaxel (P) is superior to every 3-weekly AC followed by P. Given the demonstrated cardiac safety for trastuzumab (T) with conventionally scheduled AC followed by P, we tested the safety of dd AC followed by P with T. The primary end point was cardiac safety, and the secondary end points were time to recurrence and overall survival.

METHODS

Patients with HER-2/neu immunohistochemistry (IHC) 3+ or fluorescent in situ hybridization (FISH)-amplified breast cancer and baseline left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) of >or= 55% were enrolled, regardless of tumor size or nodal status. Treatment consisted of AC (60/600 mg/m(2)) x 4 followed by P (175 mg/m(2)) x 4 every 2-weekly with pegfilgrastim (6 mg on day 2) + T x1 year. LVEF by radionuclide scan was obtained at baseline, at months 2, 6, 9, and 18.

RESULTS

From January 2005 to November 2005, 70 patients were enrolled. The median age was 49 years (range, 27 to 72 years); median LVEF at baseline was 68% (range, 55% to 81%). At month 2 in 70 of 70 patients, the median LVEF was 67% (range, 58% to 79%); at month 6 in 67 of 70 patients, it was 66% (range, 52% to 75%); at month 9 in 68 of 70 patients, it was 65% (range, 50% to 75%); and at month 18 in 48 of 70 patients, it was 66% (range, 57% to 75%). As of December 1, 2007, the median follow-up was 28 months (range, 25 to 35 months). One patient (1%) experienced congestive heart failure (CHF). There were no cardiac deaths.

CONCLUSION

Dose-dense AC followed by P/T followed by T is feasible and is not likely to increase the incidence of cardiac events compared to established regimens.

Epidemiological, social, diagnostic and economic evaluation of population screening for genital chlamydial infection

OBJECTIVES

To investigate epidemiological, social, diagnostic and economic aspects of chlamydia screening in non-genitourinary medicine settings.

METHODS

Linked studies around a cross-sectional population-based survey of adult men and women invited to collect urine and (for women) vulvovaginal swab specimens at home and mail these to a laboratory for testing for Chlamydia trachomatis. Specimens were used in laboratory evaluations of an amplified enzyme immunoassay (PCE EIA) and two nucleic acid amplification tests [Cobas polymerase chain reaction (PCR), Becton Dickinson strand displacement amplification (SDA)]. Chlamydia-positive cases and two negative controls completed a risk factor questionnaire. Chlamydia-positive cases were invited into a randomised controlled trial of partner notification strategies. Samples of individuals testing negative completed psychological questionnaires before and after screening. In-depth interviews were conducted at all stages of screening. Chlamydia transmission and cost-effectiveness of screening were investigated in a transmission dynamic model.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

General population in the Bristol and Birmingham areas of England. In total, 19,773 women and men aged 16-39 years were randomly selected from 27 general practice lists.

RESULTS

Screening invitations reached 73% (14,382/19,773). Uptake (4731 participants), weighted for sampling, was 39.5% (95% CI 37.7, 40.8%) in women and 29.5% (95% CI 28.0, 31.0%) in men aged 16-39 years. Chlamydia prevalence (219 positive results) in 16-24 year olds was 6.2% (95% CI 4.9, 7.8%) in women and 5.3% (95% CI 4.4, 6.3%) in men. The case-control study did not identify any additional factors that would help target screening. Screening did not adversely affect anxiety, depression or self-esteem. Participants welcomed the convenience and privacy of home-sampling. The relative sensitivity of PCR on male urine specimens was 100% (95% CI 89.1, 100%). The combined relative sensitivities of PCR and SDA using female urine and vulvovaginal swabs were 91.8% (86.1, 95.7, 134/146) and 97.3% (93.1, 99.2%, 142/146). A total of 140 people (74% of eligible) participated in the randomised trial. Compared with referral to a genitourinary medicine clinic, partner notification by practice nurses resulted in 12.4% (95% CI -3.7, 28.6%) more patients with at least one partner treated and 22.0% (95% CI 6.1, 37.8%) more patients with all partners treated. The health service and patients costs (2005 prices) of home-based postal chlamydia screening were 21.47 pounds (95% CI 19.91 pounds, 25.99) per screening invitation and 28.56 pounds (95% CI 22.10 pounds, 30.43) per accepted offer. Preliminary modelling found an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (2003 prices) comparing screening men and women annually to no screening in the base case of 27,000 pounds/major outcome averted at 8 years. If estimated screening uptake and pelvic inflammatory disease incidence were increased, the cost-effectiveness ratio fell to 3700 pounds/major outcome averted.

CONCLUSIONS

Proactive screening for chlamydia in women and men using home-collected specimens was feasible and acceptable. Chlamydia prevalence rates in men and women in the general population are similar. Nucleic acid amplification tests can be used on first-catch urine specimens and vulvovaginal swabs. The administrative costs of proactive screening were similar to those for opportunistic screening. Using empirical estimates of screening uptake and incidence of complications, screening was not cost-effective.

The effect of electrolyte imbalance on weaning from cardiopulmonary bypass: an experimental study

An imbalance in electrolyte concentration during separation from cardiopulmonary bypass (CPB) may lead to a disruption in excitation-contraction coupling resulting in a failure to wean. The etiology of myocardial dysfunction is multifactorial, and includes alterations in acid-base balance, glucose metabolism, and cellular function. The purpose of this study was to assess the effect of hyperkalemia on myocardial function during separation from CPB. A porcine model (n = 5) of hypothermic (32 degrees C) CPB was used where hyperkalemia [K+ (6.5 +/- 1.0)] was created before weaning. A 3-minute weaning process was initiated once normothermia was achieved. Mixed venous and arterial samples were obtained during CPB, weaning, and 10 minutes postbypass. Samples were assayed for [K+], [Ca++], glucose, pH, CPK-MB, and lactic acid levels. Hyperkalemia resulted in the generation of severe arrhythmias in all animals. During the immediate prewean period, there was a significant correlation between venous [K+] and pH (p < .01, r2 =.891). Arterial pH did not change during the weaning or post-CPB period, while venous pH declined significantly throughout the same period (7.35 +/- 0.75 to 7.20 +/- 0.17, p < .05). No other measured variables correlated with hyperkalemia. In summary, hyperkalemia caused a significant decline in venous pH evidenced in the early separation period, but had no effect on other variables. Therefore, measurement of venous pH may be an early marker indicating myocardial dysfunction and dysrhythmia.

Effects of ethane dimethane sulfonate on the functional structure of the adult rat testis

In ethane dimethane sulfonate (EDS)-treated adult Sprague Dawley rats, Leydig cells (LC) were not present up to 14 days but seen at 21 days. They increased in number thereafter and reached the values of age-matching controls (i.e., 150-day-old untreated) at day 60. Mesenchymal cell number per testis also increased and reached a peak at day 21, and remained at a higher (p<.05) value than the controls at days 28-60. LC were smaller at day 21, but were larger at days 28-60 (compared to untreated 90- and 150-day-old rats) and secreted more testosterone at day 60 compared to both control groups. Testes of treated rats had greater numbers of macrophages (except at day 28) and they were smaller than those in untreated rats and 60-day EDS rats. Immunolabeling studies on 3beta-HSD, 11beta-HSD1, and LH receptor activity and androgen data agreed with morphological findings. The relationship between mesenchymal and LC numbers during LC differentiation following EDS treatment is reminiscent of this process in prepubertal testis. The presence of increased numbers of macrophages in treated testes agreed with the role of macrophages on LC differentiation. The absence of aging signs in LC of 60-day treated rats who were 150 days of age can be attributed at least in part to their newly differentiated status in older rats (i.e., equivalent to pubertal LC and not to aged LC). Larger LC observed in EDS rats at days 28-60 and their increased testosterone secretory capacity at day 60 (compared to controls) are attributed to elevated plasma LH levels and locally produced factors in EDS rats.

Capturing users' experiences of participating in cancer trials

Randomized controlled trials are accepted to be the research design of choice to evaluate the effectiveness of health care interventions and are commonly used to evaluate cancer treatments. There are concerns, however, that levels of recruitment to trials are often much lower than anticipated, particularly in cancer trials. Several research methods have been used to collect aspects of users' experiences of participating in cancer trials. Perhaps the most common method has been through measures of outcome and the impact of treatments on quality of life (QoL), using standardized schedules to capture physical, social and psychological health. In some areas of cancer, individual patient testimonies illuminate particular issues or narratives. Another body of research has grown around issues of user involvement in trials, including surveys of recruitment and participation, as well as investigations of patient preferences and experiences of participation. We searched MEDLINE and the Cochrane Trials Library from 1995 to 2001 for relevant publications. In this article, we review the literature in these areas and examine whether users' experiences of participating in cancer trials can be used to assist in the design or conduct of trials.

Predator-induced stress makes the pesticide carbaryl more deadly to gray treefrog tadpoles (Hyla versicolor)

Global declines in amphibians likely have multiple causes, including widespread pesticide use. Our knowledge of pesticide effects on amphibians is largely limited to short-term (4-d) toxicity tests conducted under highly artificial conditions to determine lethal concentrations (LC50). We found that if we used slightly longer exposure times (10-16 d), low concentrations of the pesticide carbaryl (3-4% of LC50(4-d)) killed 10-60% of gray treefrog (Hyla versicolor) tadpoles. If predatory cues also were present, the pesticide became 2-4 times more lethal, killing 60-98% of tadpoles. Thus, under more realistic conditions of increased exposure times and predatory stress, current application rates for carbaryl can potentially devastate gray treefrog populations. Further, because predator-induced stress is ubiquitous in animals and carbaryl's mode of action is common to many pesticides, these negative impacts may be widespread in nature.

Mindfulness of movement as a coping strategy in multiple sclerosis. A pilot study

This study investigated the effectiveness of a short course of mindfulness of movement to help with symptom management in eight people with multiple sclerosis. Progress was compared to a control group who were asked to continue with their current care. Each participant received six individual one-to-one sessions of instruction. They were also provided with audio and videotape aides. Each participant was assessed on a test of balance, pre- and post-intervention, and at 3-month follow-up. All participants completed a rating of change of 22 symptoms relevant to multiple sclerosis. A close relative or friend was also asked to assess independently the degree of change. The mindfulness group reported improvement over a broad range of symptoms. This was verified by the relatives' independent rating and maintained at 3 month follow-up. The control group showed no improvement but instead tended towards a deterioration on many of the items. The physical assessment of balance also showed a significant improvement for the mindfulness group. This improvement was maintained at 3 month follow-up. In conclusion, training in mindfulness of movement appeared to result in improved symptom management for this group of people with multiple sclerosis. This was a pilot study, using small numbers, so the results need to be treated with caution. Several improvements to the experimental design are suggested. The role of individual therapeutic ingredients is discussed.