Abstract P2-13-06: Long term clinical follow up of real world HER2-positive patients since the introduction of trastuzumab

Background: The prognosis for patients with HER2-positive early breast cancer (EBC) has improved dramatically since the introduction of adjuvant trastuzumab therapy. With the addition of pertuzumab the prognosis has improved further. However, there is a need to study how these results from clinical controlled trials are transferred to the real-world clinical setting. In this study we aim to investigate all patients with early HER2-positive breast cancer in our region since the introduction of adjuvant trastuzumab to evaluate the implementation of trastuzumab treatment regarding treatment coverage, prognosis and survival.

Method: All patients with HER2-positve EBC, diagnosed between 2006 and 2014 in South-east Sweden were included in the study. The patients were identified using the Swedish national breast cancer register and then cross-referenced with data from the pathology department at each hospital in order to obtain complete coverage in a retrospective clinical follow up. In addition, data were collected from medical records for each patient to verify the actual given treatments and survival data.

Results: Preliminary data is available. 611 patients were included with a median follow-up time of 5 years. During the follow-up period the number of patients diagnosed with HER2-positive EBC cancer doubled. 73% of all patients received trastuzumab treatment; however the coverage increased successively from 56% in 2006 to 83% in 2013. ER-positive patients did receive trastuzumab therapy to the same extent as ER-negative patients. Local recurrence-free survival (LRFS), distant recurrence-free survival (DRFS) and breast cancer specific survival (BCSS) at 5 years were 85%, 76%, and 75% for patients not receiving trastuzumab. In the trastuzumab treated group LRFS, DRFS and BCSS was 95%, 85% and 83% respectively. The group not receiving trastuzumab was significantly older, had more frequently node negative disease and was not treated with chemotherapy to the same extent.

Conclusion: A significant amount of early HER2-positive breast cancer patients did not receive adjuvant trastuzumab therapy between 2006 and 2014. In this group fewer patients received chemotherapy and despite less nodal involvement LRFS, DRFS and BCSS were poor for these patients.

Citation Format: Ellegard S, Asowed M, Engvall K, Hallbeck A-L, Elander N, Stål O. Long term clinical follow up of real world HER2-positive patients since the introduction of trastuzumab [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-13-06.

Abstract P4-14-10: Withdrawn

This abstract was withdrawn by the authors.

Citation Format: Ekholm M, Bendahl P-O, Fernö M, Nordenskjöld B, Stål O, Rydén L. Withdrawn [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2018 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2018 Dec 4-8; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2019;79(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-14-10.

Effects of adjuvant tamoxifen over three decades on breast cancer-free and distant recurrence-free interval among premenopausal women with oestrogen receptor-positive breast cancer randomised in the Swedish SBII:2pre trial

AIMS

The primary aim was to compare 2 years of adjuvant tamoxifen versus no systemic treatment in premenopausal patients with oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive tumours, regarding breast cancer-free interval (BCFi) and distant recurrence-free interval (D-RFi), with 30 years of follow-up and for specified intervals. Moreover, we aimed to investigate the effects of adjuvant tamoxifen on the incidence of secondary malignancies and survival after distant recurrence.

METHODS

Premenopausal patients with primary breast cancer were randomised to 2 years of tamoxifen (n = 277) or no systemic treatment (n = 287), irrespective of ER status. Information regarding events was collected by a review of medical records and from national registers.

RESULTS

The median follow-up for all patients without events was 28 years, and only four of the patients alive had a follow-up of <20 years. With 30 years of follow-up, tamoxifen prolonged BCFi in the intention-to-treat population (hazard ratio [HR] = 0.76, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.61-0.94, p = 0.011) compared with no treatment. In patients with ER-positive tumours (n = 362), tamoxifen prolonged BCFi (HR = 0.62, 95% CI 0.47-0.82, p = 0.001) and D-RFi (HR = 0.73, 95% CI 0.54-0.99, p = 0.043). The positive effect on BCFi was significant also for the interval >15-30 years (HR = 0.53, 95% CI 0.28-0.98, p = 0.042). For patients with ER-positive tumours who were diagnosed with distant recurrence (n = 165), survival after distant recurrence was shorter among tamoxifen-treated patients (median, 29 months versus 43 months). The incidence of contralateral breast cancer was 42% lower in the tamoxifen group (HR = 0.58, 95% CI 0.35-0.96, p = 0.035), whereas no differences were observed regarding other secondary malignancies.

CONCLUSIONS

With three decades of follow-up, 2 years of adjuvant tamoxifen reduced the incidence of breast cancer-related events and distant recurrence, and the carryover effect seems to extend beyond 15 years. Moreover, adjuvant tamoxifen seems to be associated with shorter survival after diagnosis of distant recurrence.

Apoptosis and Bcl-2 Expression in Relation to Age, Tumor Characteristics and Prognosis in Breast Cancer

The extent of apoptosis and the expression of Bcl-2 was investigated in tumor samples from 165 women who underwent surgery for primary breast carcinoma between 1989 and 1990 in South-East Sweden. Apoptosis was assessed by a DNA fragmentation assay for flow cytometry. Bcl-2 protein expression was analyzed with immunocytochemistry Bcl-2 immunoreactivity correlated with estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) positivity and was inversely correlated with p53 accumulation. Apoptosis increased with patient age and a high degree of apoptosis was negatively associated with Bcl-2 immunostaining. Apoptosis showed no significant correlation with any of the other variables studied, including prognosis. The group with Bcl-2-positive tumors tended to have a lower risk of distant recurrence than others, but the association of Bcl-2 with recurrence was different in groups divided by ER and PgR status. Whereas Bcl-2 positivity indicated a low recurrence rate among PgR-negative patients, in the PgR-positive group, those with Bcl-2-positive tumors showed a non significantly higher recurrence rate than Bcl-2-negative cases. In the PgR-positive group, Bcl-2-positive tumors also appeared more frequently to be lymph node positive and DNA aneuploid. The results suggest that hormone receptor status is of importance for the prognostic role of Bcl-2. Likewise, patient age merits consideration when apoptosis is studied in human cancer.

Abstract PD7-02: Identification of breast cancers with an indolent disease course: 70 gene indolent threshold validation in a Swedish randomized trial of tamoxifen vs. not, with 20 year outcomes

Importance: The frequency of cancers with indolent behavior has increased with screening. We asked whether an ultralow risk threshold on a multigene classifier would identify women whose cancers had an indolent course over 2 decades of follow-up, and which features were most predictive of outcome.

Methods: An ultralow risk threshold of the FDA-cleared MammaPrint 70-gene expression score was set to predict long-term absence of breast cancer-specific mortality in the absence of systemic therapy. The Stockholm Tamoxifen (STO) trial conducted between 1976 and 1990, where postmenopausal women with clinically detected node-negative breast cancers &lt;3cm were randomized to receive tamoxifen versus not, was used for validation. Immunohistochemistry markers (n=727) and Agilent microarrays for MammaPrint risk scoring (n=652) were performed from formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded primary tumor blocks. Recursive partitioning was performed using the rpart package in R to select variables and construct a regression tree that best predicts 20-year breast cancer specific survival. Input variables include: age, period of diagnosis, grade, hormone receptor status, HER2 and Ki69 status, 70-gene risk categories (high, low but not ultra, or ultralow), treatment arm and tumor size; and cross-validation was used to select the final regression tree model.

Results: In this trial conducted in the era before mammographic screening, 58% and 42% were MammaPrint low and high risk, respectively, while 15% were above the ultralow threshold. In the tamoxifen treated arm, women with tumors above the ultralow threshold had no deaths at 15 years and their 20-year disease-specific survival rates of 97%; whereas if untreated, their survival rates were 94%. Recursive partitioning identified the ultralow threshold classification as the first primary split in the model. Once the indolent tumors were partitioned out, among women with tumors below the ultralow threshold, the next most prognostic feature was size, where patients with tumors &gt;20mm have worse breast cancer specific survival. The last split in the model divides the patients with tumors ≤20mm into 70-gene high risk vs low but not ultralow risk groups.

Conclusions and Relevance: A threshold of the 70-gene MammaPrint assay can identify patients with indolent disease whose long-term risk of death from breast cancer after surgery alone is exceedingly low. This threshold emerged as the most prognostic variable, followed by tumor size, and mammaprint high vs. low but not ultralow in our recursive partitioning analysis. This suggests that finding indolent tumors early at a small size may not have much impact on patient outcome. Determining the presence of an ultralow risk breast cancer may prevent overtreatment. Conversely, once the indolent tumors are taken out of consideration, both biology and size impact outcome, and finding these tumors at a small size is likely still important and supports screening in this postmenopausal node negative population.

Citation Format: Esserman LJ, Yau C, Thompson CK, van't Veer LJ, Borowsky AD, Hoadley KA, Tobin NP, Nordenskjöld B, Fornander T, Stål O, Benz CC, Lindström LS. Identification of breast cancers with an indolent disease course: 70 gene indolent threshold validation in a Swedish randomized trial of tamoxifen vs. not, with 20 year outcomes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2016 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2016 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(4 Suppl):Abstract nr PD7-02.

Abstract P2-05-03: Intra-tumor heterogeneity of the estrogen receptor predicts less benefit from tamoxifen therapy and poor long-term breast cancer patient survival – Retrospective analyses of the STO-3 randomized trial

Background

We and others have shown that the clinically used breast cancer markers alter their expression throughout tumor progression, influencing patient survival (Lindström et al, JCO 2012). What are the likely explanations to our findings? Here, we aimed to determine whether breast cancer intra-tumor heterogeneity of the estrogen receptor (ER) is a marker of tumor aggressiveness and benefit of tamoxifen therapy in a large randomized trial.

Material and methods

The Stockholm Tamoxifen (STO-3) trial enrolled postmenopausal lymph node negative breast cancer patients with a tumor size of less than 30 mm, between 1976 and 1990, to be randomized to receive adjuvant tamoxifen versus not. From the original randomized trial cohort approximately half of the patients (778 patients) had primary tumor formalin-fixed paraffin-embedded blocks available and were included in our study. No significant differences in age and period of diagnosis, type of surgery received, receptor status, tumor grade and size were observed between the treatment arms.

All tumor slides were immunostained in a central laboratory using the SP1 antibody. ER slides were scored by two independent breast cancer pathologists assessing the fraction of cancer cells for each ER intensity level (0, +1, +2 or +3) compared to established standards. The resulting distribution of ER stained tumor cells defines intra-tumor heterogeneity of ER (Rao's quadratic entropy (QE),Potts et al, Lab Invest 2012). Intra-tumor heterogeneity was categorized using the third tertile as cut-off for high heterogeneity (726 patients).

Analyses of long-term breast cancer specific survival (25 years) by intra-tumor heterogeneity of ER were performed using univariate Kaplan-Meier and multivariate Cox proportional hazard modeling adjusting for treatment arm, age and period of diagnoses, ER, progesterone receptor (PR), HER2, Ki-67, tumor grade, and tumor size. Further, a test of correlation was performed to investigate whether intra-tumor heterogeneity of ER was correlated to the percentage of ER positive cells, the H-Score or the Luminal A and B subtype (PAM50).

Results

In the univariate Kaplan-Meier analyses, a statistically significant difference in long-term survival by intra-tumor heterogeneity of ER was seen for all patients (log rank, P=0.018), tamoxifen treated arm (log rank, P=0.0033), but not untreated arm (log rank, P=0.19). However in the multivariate analysis, patients with high intra-tumor heterogeneity of ER in the treated arm as well as in the untreated arm had an almost two-fold increased long-term risk of fatal breast cancer disease as compared to patients with low or intermediate heterogeneity (Treated arm: HR, 2.06; 95% CI, 1.04-4.07 and Untreated arm: HR, 1.71; 95% CI, 1.01-2.87).

No significant correlation of intra-tumor heterogeneity to the tested variables was seen.

Conclusions

Patients with high intra-tumor heterogeneity of ER had less benefit from tamoxifen therapy and an increased long-term risk of fatal breast cancer disease. Our findings should be clinically relevant since therapy benefit was evaluated in a randomized trial with long-term follow-up.

Citation Format: Lindström LS, Yau C, Czene K, Thompson CK, van't Veer LJ, Nordenskjöld B, Stål O, Fornander T, Benz CC, Borowsky AD, Esserman LJ. Intra-tumor heterogeneity of the estrogen receptor predicts less benefit from tamoxifen therapy and poor long-term breast cancer patient survival – Retrospective analyses of the STO-3 randomized trial [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2016 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2016 Dec 6-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2017;77(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-05-03.

Abstract P3-07-19: Progesterone receptor positivity is an independent predictor of long-term benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen treatment of estrogen receptor positive breast cancer

Introduction:The expression of estrogen receptor (ER) and progesterone receptor (PgR) predicts the response to endocrine therapy of breast cancer. Nearly all PgR positive tumors are also ER positive. The independent predictive information of PgR has been questioned after an overview by the EBCTCG. However, the studies in the overview were performed before modern PgR immunohistochemistry (IHC) was developed.

Purpose: We aim to investigate the independent predictive value of PgR determined by IHC in ER positive tumors.

Materials and methods: Between 1976 and 1990 the Stockholm Breast Cancer Study Group conducted a randomized trial comparing adjuvant tamoxifen versus control. We evaluated 618 patients with ER-positive "low-risk" breast cancer ( tumor size≤ 30 mm and lymph node-negative) for whom PgR was determined by immunohistochemistry. The median follow-up was 17 years. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using the Cox's proportional hazards model.

Results: Patients with ER+/PgR+ tumors receiving tamoxifen had a reduced recurrence risk compared with those who were not treated with tamoxifen (HR= 0.40, 95% CI 0.27 – 0.59, p&lt; 0.001). For patients with ER+/PgR- tumors the difference between tamoxifen vs. no tamoxifen treatment was not statistically significant (HR= 0.88, 95% CI 0.51 – 1.52, p= 0.65). P for interaction between the groups was 0.02.

Tam vs. controlPgR (IHC)HR (95% CI)P valueP for interactionRecurrence-free survival≥ 10 %0.40 (0.27 - 0.59)&lt; 0.0010.02 &lt; 10 %0.88 (0.51 - 1.52)0.65 Distant recurrence-free survival≥ 10 %0.41 (0.25 - 0.65)&lt; 0.0010.08 &lt; 10 %0.80 (0.44 - 1.47)0.47 Breast-cancer specific survival≥ 10 %0.35 (0.21 - 0.60)&lt; 0.0010.11 &lt; 10 %0.70 (0.37 - 1.33)0.28 

Conclusion: Our results indicate that the PgR expression adds predictive value to the ER expression regarding benefit from tamoxifen treatment.

Citation Format: Fohlin H, Nordenskjöld A, Fornander T, Löfdahl B, Skoog L, Stål O. Progesterone receptor positivity is an independent predictor of long-term benefit from adjuvant tamoxifen treatment of estrogen receptor positive breast cancer. [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the Thirty-Eighth Annual CTRC-AACR San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium: 2015 Dec 8-12; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2016;76(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P3-07-19.

Physics at the [Formula: see text] linear collider

A comprehensive review of physics at an [Formula: see text] linear collider in the energy range of [Formula: see text] GeV-3 TeV is presented in view of recent and expected LHC results, experiments from low-energy as well as astroparticle physics. The report focusses in particular on Higgs-boson, top-quark and electroweak precision physics, but also discusses several models of beyond the standard model physics such as supersymmetry, little Higgs models and extra gauge bosons. The connection to cosmology has been analysed as well.

Abstract P1-08-12: G protein-coupled estrogen receptor in the plasma membrane is prognostic in early breast cancer

Background: G protein-coupled estrogen receptor (GPER), also known as GPR30, is a novel putative estrogen receptor. Although contradictory results have been presented e.g. regarding the subcellular localization and function of the receptor, previous studies have shown a prognostic value in breast cancer and proposed treatment predictive information for tamoxifen (Tam). This study aimed at clarifying the prognostic and treatment predictive value for Tam of GPER, in different subcellular localizations, by using samples from a randomized clinical trial - the ideal population for assessing treatment prediction.

Material and Methods: GPER levels were assessed semi-quantitatively by immunohistochemistry in tissue microarrays from 742 postmenopausal breast cancer patients with no lymph node metastasis and tumor size ≤ 30mm. Patients were originally included in the STO-3 trial 1976-1990. After surgery, they were randomized to Tam treatment (40mg for 2 years or no systemic treatment), regardless of classical estrogen receptor α (ER) status. GPER staining was evaluated in carcinoma both as intensity in 5 levels regardless of subcellular localization, and in the plasma membrane in 3 levels. Due to statistical considerations regarding group size, the final analysis was made with intensity in 3 levels and plasma membrane as positive or negative. The Kaplan-Meier method and logrank test (for trend when applicable) were used for survival analysis and Cox regression analysis for obtaining hazard ratios (HR), interaction testing and multivariate modeling. Distant disease-free survival (DDFS) was used as endpoint.

Results: Analyzing all patients, we found no association between DDFS and GPER intensity. However, positive plasma membrane staining showed a strong correlation with poor prognosis (HR 1.8 p = 0.002). This was only observed in the ER+ subgroup (ER+ patients HR 2.1, p&lt;0.001, ER- patients HR 1.1 p = 0.79). The prognostic value, in untreated patients only, was analyzed with similar results (plasma membrane staining positive vs. negative: all untreated patients HR 1.8 p = 0.008, ER+ patients HR 2.1 p = 0.003, ER- patients HR 1.1 p = 0.83).

No obvious difference in tamoxifen response was observed across plasma membrane or intensity groups, and tests for interaction were not significant.

A multivariate model including GPER in plasma membrane, ER, histological grade, HER2, tamoxifen and tumor size showed that GPER was an independent prognostic factor (HR 1.6 p = 0.01). Finally we created a group with ER+, progesterone receptor (PR) + patients treated with Tam, as this group today is treated with Tam and thought to have a good response. GPER in the plasma membrane significantly separated this group into an excellent prognosis group and a poor prognosis group (HR 3.3, p = 0.01). The excellent prognosis group, which constitutes more than half of ER+ patients, had a 20 year DDFS of 91% (95% CI 84-95).

Conclusion: We found no treatment predictive value of GPER for Tam. However, GPER expressed in the plasma membrane was a strong independent prognostic factor for a poor prognosis in ER+ breast cancer. Used in ER+, PR+, tamoxifen treated patients, it can distinguish patients with an excellent prognosis from patients with a poor outcome that may benefit from additional treatment.

Citation Information: Cancer Res 2013;73(24 Suppl): Abstract nr P1-08-12.

Oestrogen receptor co-activator AIB1 is a marker of tamoxifen benefit in postmenopausal breast cancer

Background

The oestrogen receptor (ER) co-activator amplified in breast cancer 1 (AIB1) has been suggested as a treatment predictive and prognostic marker in breast cancer. Studies have however not been unanimous.

Patients and methods

AIB1 protein expression was analysed by immunohistochemistry on tissue micro-arrays with tumour samples from 910 postmenopausal women randomised to tamoxifen treatment or no adjuvant treatment. Associations between AIB1 expression, clinical outcome in the two arms and other clinicopathological variables were examined.

Results

In patients with ER-positive breast cancer expressing low tumour levels of AIB1 (<75%), we found no significant difference in recurrence-free survival (RFS) or breast cancer-specific survival (BCS) between tamoxifen treated and untreated patients. In patients with high AIB1 expression (>75%), there was a significant decrease in recurrence rate (HR 0.40, 95% CI 0.26–0.61, P < 0.001) and breast cancer mortality rate (HR 0.38, 95% CI 0.21–0.69, P = 0.0015) with tamoxifen treatment. In the untreated arm, we found high expression of AIB1 to be significantly associated with lower RFS (HR 1.74, 95% CI 1.20–2.53, P = 0.0038).

Conclusion

Our results suggest that high AIB1 is a predictive marker of good response to tamoxifen treatment in postmenopausal women and a prognostic marker of decreased RFS in systemically untreated patients.

Pegylated liposomal doxorubicin as first-line monotherapy in elderly women with locally advanced or metastatic breast cancer: novel treatment predictive factors identified

We investigated the efficacy and safety of single-agent pegylated liposomal doxorubicin (PLD) as first-line treatment for elderly women with advanced breast cancer and evaluated predictive markers for response and toxicity. Twenty-five women ≥ 65 years received 40 mg/m(2) PLD every 28 days. Time to treatment failure (TTF), response rate, time to progression (TTP) and overall survival (OS) was calculated. The ABCB1 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP), tumor MRN complex, and TOPOIIα were analyzed. A mean of 7.4 cycles PLD were administered and TTF was 5.5 months and OS 20.6 months. ABCB1 SNPs were found to correlate to both efficacy and toxicity, while tumor expression of the MRN complex and TOPOIIα correlated to TTP. PLD is a safe and effective treatment for elderly breast cancer patients. Also potential predictive markers were identified.

Time dependent effects of adjuvant tamoxifen therapy on cerebrovascular disease: results from a randomised trial

Background:

Tamoxifen has been associated with an increased risk of stroke. There is, however, little information on the effect in the post-treatment period. Using data from the Swedish Breast Cancer Group adjuvant trial of 5 vs 2 years of tamoxifen treatment, we now report both short-term and long-term effects on morbidity as well as mortality because of cerebrovascular disease.

Methods:

Data from the Swedish National Hospital Discharge Registry combined with information from the Swedish Cause of Death Registry was used to define events of disease. Hazard ratios (HRs) were estimated using Cox regression.

Results:

Comparing patients randomised to 5 years of tamoxifen with patients randomised to 2 years of tamoxifen, the incidence of cerebrovascular diseases was increased (HR 1.70, 95% CI 1.05–2.75) during the active treatment phase and reduced after the active treatment period (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.63–0.96), and the difference in HR between the two time-periods was significant (P=0.0033). The mortality from cerebrovascular diseases was increased during the treatment period (HR 3.18, 95% CI 1.03–9.87) and decreased during the post-treatment period (HR 0.60, 95% CI 0.40–0.90) with a significant difference in HR between the two periods of follow-up (P=0.0066). Similar results were seen for subgroups of cerebrovascular diseases, such as stroke and ischaemic stroke.

Conclusion:

In an adjuvant setting, tamoxifen was associated with an increased risk of cerebrovascular disease during treatment, but a decreased risk in the post-treatment period.

Prolonged tamoxifen treatment increases relapse-free survival for patients with primary breast cancer expressing high levels of VEGF

Previous retrospective studies have shown that high intratumoural levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) correlate with an inferior outcome for patients treated with adjuvant tamoxifen. Our objectives were to validate the impact of VEGF on survival after adjuvant tamoxifen and to investigate the interaction between VEGF and treatment duration. For this purpose tumour homogenates from 402 patients with operable oestrogen receptor positive breast cancer (BC), treated with tamoxifen for 2 (n=149) or 5 years (n=253) as the only systemic adjuvant therapy were included. The median follow-up time for surviving patients was 9.8 years (range 0.5-14.8 years). Expression of VEGF was assessed by an enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay and investigated in relation to the standard BC parameters and survival. In the total population, higher VEGF was significantly correlated with shorter recurrence-free survival (RFS) (HR=1.63, 95%CI=1.11-2.39, p=0.010), breast cancer corrected survival (BCCS) (HR=1.82, 95%CI=1.13-2.93, p=0.014) and overall survival (OS) (HR=1.51, 95%CI=1.11-2.05, p=0.009). High VEGF was significantly associated with reduced RFS (HR=2.61, 95%CI=1.45-4.70, p=0.001) after two years of tamoxifen, whilst no difference was seen in patients treated for five years (HR=1.09, 95%CI=0.64-1.84, p=0.760). A statistically significant interaction was observed between high VEGF expression and improved RFS after 5-year tamoxifen (p=0.034). In concordance with previous studies, high VEGF was significantly correlated with shorter survival. We present data not reported previously revealing that patients expressing high levels of VEGF display a better outcome provided that tamoxifen is given for five years. Further studies on the impact of VEGF on a 5-year regimen are motivated.

Phosphorylation of the oestrogen receptor alpha at serine 305 and prediction of tamoxifen resistance in breast cancer

Phosphorylation of oestrogen receptor alpha at serine 305 (ERalphaS305-P) induces tamoxifen resistance in experimental studies, but does not influence response to other endocrine agents, such as fulvestrant. We evaluated ERalphaS305-P using immunohistochemistry in 377 breast carcinomas from premenopausal participants of a randomized trial (n=248) and patients with advanced disease (n=129). Among the premenopausal patients, adjuvant tamoxifen improved recurrence-free survival (RFS) for ERalphaS305-P-negative tumours (multivariate HR=0.53, 95% CI 0.32-0.86, p=0.010), but not for ERalphaS305-P-positive tumours (multivariate HR=1.01, 95% CI 0.33-3.05, p=0.99) (interaction p=0.131). Notably, ERalphaS305-P was not significantly associated with RFS in patients not treated with tamoxifen (multivariate HR=0.64, 95% CI 0.30-1.37, p=0.248), indicating that ERalphaS305-P is a marker for treatment outcome rather than tumour progression. Given the direct experimental link between ERalphaS305-P and tamoxifen resistance and these first clinical data suggesting that premenopausal patients with ERalphaS305-P-positive breast cancer are resistant to adjuvant tamoxifen, further research is encouraged to study whether alternative endocrine treatment should be considered for this subgroup.

Amplification of CCND1 and PAK1 as predictors of recurrence and tamoxifen resistance in postmenopausal breast cancer

The 11q13 region is amplified in approximately 15% of all breast tumors. Situated in this region are the cyclin D1 gene (CCND1) and the p-21-activated kinase 1 (PAK1) gene. Both genes encode proteins shown to activate the estrogen receptor (ER), leading to transcription of CCND1 and other ER-responsive genes. Here, we investigate the prognostic and treatment predictive role of CCND1 and PAK1 gene amplification in postmenopausal breast cancer patients randomized to tamoxifen treatment or no adjuvant treatment. Amplification of CCND1 and PAK1, assessed by real-time PCR, was observed in 12.5 and 9.3%, respectively. Amplification of PAK1 was seen in 37% of the CCND1-amplified tumors, indicating coamplification (P<0.001). In ER-positive patients, amplification of at least one of the genes indicated a reduced recurrence-free survival (P=0.025). When response to tamoxifen treatment was analysed, patients with PAK1 amplification showed decreased benefit from the drug (ER+; relative risk ratio (RR)=1.62; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.47-5.55) compared to patients without amplification (ER+; RR=0.53; 95% CI, 0.32-0.88). This was not evident for CCND1 amplification. We show that PAK1 may be a predictor of tamoxifen resistance and furthermore, we do not discard PAK1 as a potential candidate oncogene in the 11q13 amplicon. In addition, we show that high pak1 protein levels may predict tamoxifen insensitivity.

Prospects for lunar satellite detection of radio pulses from ultrahigh energy neutrinos interacting with the moon

The Moon provides a huge effective detector volume for ultrahigh energy cosmic neutrinos, which generate coherent radio pulses in the lunar surface layer due to the Askaryan effect. In light of presently considered lunar missions, we propose radio measurements from a Moon-orbiting satellite. First systematic Monte Carlo simulations demonstrate the detectability of Askaryan pulses from neutrinos with energies above 10(20) eV at the very low fluxes predicted in different scenarios.

Proliferative responses to altered 17beta-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase (17HSD) type 2 expression in human breast cancer cells are dependent on endogenous expression of 17HSD type 1 and the oestradiol receptors

The primary source of oestrogen in premenopausal women is the ovary but, after menopause, oestrogen biosynthesis in peripheral tissue is the exclusive site of formation. An enzyme group that affects the availability of active oestrogens is the 17beta-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase (17HSD) family. In breast cancer, 17HSD type 1 and type 2 have been mostly investigated and seem to be the principal 17HSD enzymes involved thus far. The question whether 17HSD type 1 or type 2 is of greatest importance in breast tumour development is still not clear. The aim of this study was to investigate how the loss of 17HSD type 2 expression, using siRNA in the non-tumour breast epithelial cells HMEC (human mammal epithelial cells) and MCF10A, and gain of 17HSD type 2 expression, using transient transfection in the breast cancer derived cell lines MCF7 and T47D, affect oestradiol conversion and proliferation rate measured as S-phase fraction. We further investigated how this was related to the endogenous expression of 17HSD type 1 and oestradiol receptors in the examined cell lines. The oestradiol level in the medium changed significantly in the MCF7 transfected cells and the siRNA-treated HMEC cells, but not in T47D or MCF10A. The S-phase fraction decreased in the 17HSD type 2-transfected MCF7 cells and the siRNA-treated HMEC cells. The results seemed to be dependent on the endogenous expression of 17HSD type 1 and the oestradiol receptors. In conclusion, we found that high or low levels of 17HSD type 2 affected the oestradiol concentration significantly. However, the response was dependent on the endogenous expression of 17HSD type 1. Expression of 17HSD type 1 seems to be dominant to 17HSD type 2. Therefore, it may be important to investigate a ratio between 17HSD type 1 and 17HSD type 2.

Pathology parameters and adjuvant tamoxifen response in a randomised premenopausal breast cancer trial

BACKGROUND

Subgroups of breast cancer that have an impaired response to endocrine treatment, despite hormone receptor positivity, are still poorly defined. Breast cancer can be subdivided according to standard pathological parameters including histological type, grade, and assessment of proliferation. These parameters are the net result of combinations of genetic alterations effecting tumour behaviour and could potentially reflect subtypes that respond differently to endocrine treatment.

AIMS

To investigate the usefulness of these parameters as predictors of the response to tamoxifen in premenopausal women with breast cancer.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Clinically established pathological parameters were assessed and related to the tamoxifen response in 500 available tumour specimens from 564 premenopausal patients with breast cancer randomised to either two years of tamoxifen or no treatment with 14 years of follow up. Proliferation was further evaluated by immunohistochemical Ki-67 expression.

RESULTS

Oestrogen receptor positive ductal carcinomas responded as expected to tamoxifen, whereas the difference in recurrence free survival between control and tamoxifen treated patients was less apparent in the relatively few lobular carcinomas. For histological grade, there was no obvious difference in treatment response between the groups. The relation between proliferation and tamoxifen response seemed to be more complex, with a clear response in tumours with high and low proliferation, whereas tumours with intermediate proliferation defined by Ki-67 responded more poorly.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinically established pathology parameters seem to mirror the endocrine treatment response and could potentially be valuable in future treatment decisions for patients with breast cancer.

17beta-Hydroxysteroid dehydrogenases involved in local oestrogen synthesis have prognostic significance in breast cancer

The 17β-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase (17HSD) enzymes are involved in the local regulation of sex steroids. The 17HSD type 1 enzyme catalyses the interconversion of the weak oestrone (E1) to the more potent oestradiol (E2), whereas 17HSD type 2 catalyses the oxidation of E2 to E1. The aim of this study was to correlate the expression of these enzymes in the tumour with the recurrence-free survival of tamoxifen-treated breast cancer patients. We used real-time reverse transcriptase PCR to investigate the mRNA expression of 17HSD types 1 and 2 in tumour samples from 230 postmenopausal patients. For the patients with oestrogen receptor (ER)-positive breast cancer, we found a statistically significant positive correlation between recurrence-free survival and expression of 17HSD type 2 (P=0.026). We examined the ratio of 17HSD types 2 and 1, and ER-positive patients with low ratios showed a significantly higher rate of recurrence than those with higher ratios (P=0.0047). ER positive patients with high expression levels of 17HSD type 1 had a significantly higher risk for late relapse (P=0.0051). The expression of 17HSD types 1 and 2 in breast cancer differs from the expression of these enzymes in normal mammary gland, and this study indicates that the expression has prognostic significance in breast cancer.

Activation of AKT/PKB in breast cancer predicts a worse outcome among endocrine treated patients

Akt/PKB is a serine/threonine protein kinase that regulates cell cycle progression, apoptosis and growth factor mediated cell survival in association with tyrosine kinase receptors. The protein is a downstream effector of erbB-2 with implications in breast cancer progression and drug resistance in vitro. We aimed to examine the role of Akt-1 in breast cancer patients, by determining whether the expression (Akt-1) and/or activation (pAkt) were related to prognostic markers and survival. The expression of erbB-2, heregulin beta 1 and Bcl-2 was also assessed by flow cytometry or immunohistochemistry. This study comprised 93 patients, aged <50 who were treated with tamoxifen and/or goserelin. We found that pAkt was associated with lower S-phase fraction (P=0.001) and the presence of heregulin beta 1-expressing stromal cells (P=0.017). Neither Akt-1 nor pAkt was related with other factors. Tumour cells-derived heregulin beta 1 was found mainly in oestrogen receptor negative (P=0.026) and node negative (P=0.005) cases. Survival analysis revealed that pAkt positive patients were more prone to relapse with distant metastasis, independently of S-phase fraction and nodal status (multivariate analysis; P=0.004). The results suggest that activation of Akt may have prognostic relevance in breast cancer.

DNA and cell cycle analysis as prognostic indicators in breast tumors revisited

Both DNA ploidy and S-phase ploidy are promising prognostic factors for node-negative breast cancer patients. Based largely on the analysis of one large study, much of the reported problems with these factors have been caused by some unappreciated complexities in categorizing DNA ploidy into low- and high-risk groups and the lack of some necessary adjustments to eliminate unwanted correlations between DNA S-phase and ploidy. When both DNA ploidy and S-phase are compensated properly, they become independent prognostic markers, forming a powerful prognostic model.

Abnormal expression of 17beta-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenases in breast cancer predicts late recurrence

The 17beta-hydroxysteroid dehydrogenase (17beta-HSD) enzymes are involved in the interconversion of biologically active and inactive sex steroids and are considered to play a critical role in the in situ metabolism of estrogen, especially in estrogen-dependent breast cancer. The gene encoding 17beta-HSD type 2 is located at 16q24.1-2, and earlier studies have shown that allelic loss in this region is an early and frequent event in breast cancer progression. Recurrence of hormone-dependent breast cancer frequently occurs several years after the primary treatment. The aim of this study was to investigate whether the expression of 17beta-HSD types 1 and 2 differs in tumors from patients with late relapses (>5 years) compared with controls without recurrence after long-term follow-up. Using real-time reverse transcription-PCR, we found that the normal mammary gland expressed both 17beta-HSD types 1 and 2, whereas the tumors frequently lacked detectable levels of type 2. Only 10% of the estrogen receptor-positive tumors expressed type 2, whereas 31% of the ER-negative tumors did so (P = 0.031). In a case-control series of 84 patients, a high level of 17beta-HSD type 1 indicated increased risk to develop late relapse of breast cancer (odds ratio, 3.0; 95% confidence interval, 1.0-12.6; P = 0.041), whereas retained expression of type 2 indicated decreased risk (odds ratio, 0.25; 95% confidence interval, 0.05-1.2; P = 0.050). In multivariate analysis of the estrogen receptor-positive patients, the absence of 17beta-HSD type 2 combined with a high expression of type 1 showed prognostic significance (P = 0.016) in addition to DNA aneuploidy (P = 0.0058), whereas progesterone receptor status did not (P = 0.71). These findings suggest that abnormal expression of 17beta-HSD isoforms has prognostic significance in breast cancer and that altered expression of these enzymes may have importance in breast cancer progression.

Decreased tumor cell proliferation as an indicator of the effect of preoperative radiotherapy of rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Rectal cancer is a common malignancy, with significant local recurrence and death rates. Preoperative radiotherapy and refined surgical technique can improve local control rates and disease-free survival.

PURPOSE

To investigate the relationship between the tumor growth fraction in rectal cancer measured with Ki-67 and the outcome, with and without short-term preoperative radiotherapy.

METHOD

Ki-67 (MIB-1) immunohistochemistry was used to measure tumor cell proliferation in the preoperative biopsy and the surgical specimen.

MATERIALS

Specimens from 152 patients from the Southeast Swedish Health Care region were included in the Swedish rectal cancer trial 1987-1990.

RESULTS

Tumors with low proliferation treated with preoperative radiotherapy had a significantly reduced recurrence rate. The influence on death from rectal cancer was shown only in the univariate analysis. Preoperative radiotherapy of tumors with high proliferation did not significantly improve local control and disease-free survival. The interaction between Ki-67 status and the benefit of radiotherapy was significant for the reduced recurrence rate (p = 0.03), with a trend toward improved disease-free survival (p = 0.08). In the surgery-alone group, Ki-67 staining did not significantly correlate with local recurrence or survival rates.

CONCLUSION

Many Ki-67 stained tumor cells in the preoperative biopsy predicts an increased treatment failure rate after preoperative radiotherapy of rectal cancer.

Optimizing flow cytometric DNA ploidy and S-phase fraction as independent prognostic markers for node-negative breast cancer specimens

Developing a reliable and quantitative assessment of the potential virulence of a malignancy has been a long-standing goal in clinical cytometry. DNA histogram analysis provides valuable information on the cycling activity of a tumor population through S-phase estimates; it also identifies nondiploid populations, a possible indicator of genetic instability and subsequent predisposition to metastasis. Because of conflicting studies in the literature, the clinical relevance of both of these potential prognostic markers has been questioned for the management of breast cancer patients. The purposes of this study are to present a set of 10 adjustments derived from a single large study that optimizes the prognostic strength of both DNA ploidy and S-phase and to test the validity of this approach on two other large multicenter studies. Ten adjustments to both DNA ploidy and S-phase were developed from a single node-negative breast cancer database from Baylor College (n = 961 cases). Seven of the adjustments were used to reclassify histograms into low-risk and high-risk ploidy patterns based on aneuploid fraction and DNA index optimum thresholds resulting in prognostic P values changing from little (P < 0.02) or no significance to P < 0.000005. Other databases from Sweden (n = 210 cases) and France (n = 220 cases) demonstrated similar improvement of DNA ploidy prognostic significance, P < 0.02 to P < 0.0009 and P < 0.12 to P < 0.002, respectively. Three other adjustments were applied to diploid and aneuploid S-phases. These adjustments eliminated a spurious correlation between DNA ploidy and S-phase and enabled them to combine independently into a powerful prognostic model capable of stratifying patients into low, intermediate, and high-risk groups (P < 0.000005). When the Baylor prognostic model was applied to the Sweden and French databases, similar significant patient stratifications were observed (P < 0.0003 and P < 0.00001, respectively). The successful transference of the Baylor prognostic model to other studies suggests that the proposed adjustments may play an important role in standardizing this test and provide valuable prognostic information to those involved in the management of breast cancer patients.

ErbB2 status and the benefit from two or five years of adjuvant tamoxifen in postmenopausal early stage breast cancer

AIM

We aimed to study the importance of erbB2 status in early stage postmenopausal breast cancer for patients who participated in a trial of five vs. two years of adjuvant tamoxifen.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We analysed the erbB2 status of the tumours from 577 patients participating in the trial, either by a DNA amplification assay (n = 181) or by measurement of the protein level with flow cytometry (n = 396).

RESULTS

ErbB2 was overexpressed or gene amplified in 102 of the patients (18%). Overall, erbB2-positive patients had a significantly lower recurrence-free probability than others, 62% at five years as compared to 83%, and showed a significantly decreased breast cancer survival rate (P = 0.0007). ErbB2 status was significantly associated with recurrence and death in Cox multivariate analysis, adjusting for nodal status, tumour size and estrogen receptor status. The relative risk of recurrence (RR) for five vs. two years of tamoxifen was analysed in relation to erbB2 status for patients still disease-free two years after surgery. Whereas erbB2-negative patients showed significant benefit from prolonged treatment (RR = 0.62, 95% confidence interval (95% CI): 0.42-0.93), no benefit was evident for erbB2-positive patients (RR = 1.1, 95% CI: 0.41-3.2). When the same analysis was restricted to ER-positive patients a similar difference in relative hazard was obtained but the difference was not strictly significant (P = 0.065).

CONCLUSIONS

For early stage breast cancer patients treated with adjuvant tamoxifen, overexpression of erbB2 is an independent marker of poor prognosis. The results suggest that overexpression decreases the benefit from prolonged tamoxifen treatment.

A comparison between flow cytometric assessment of S-phase fraction and Nottingham histologic grade as prognostic instruments in breast cancer

Flow cytometric DNA analysis with assessment of S-phase fraction and DNA ploidy was compared to Nottingham histologic grade. The study population consisted of 654 patients who presented between 1987 and 1996 with primary operable breast cancer and whose tumours had been analysed for S-phase fraction and DNA ploidy at the time of surgery. Grade, tumour size, node status, steroid receptor status, age, S-phase fraction and DNA ploidy were analysed univariately and multi-variately in a Cox proportional hazard analysis. In the univariate analyses all parameters were statistically significantly associated with breast cancer mortality during the follow-up period of 2-11 years. The most powerful predictor of death from breast cancer in the multiple regression analysis was grade. Patients with grade 1 tumours have excellent prognosis. We conclude that tumour grade is a strong prognostic indicator applicable to all breast cancer patients, regardless of size and nodal status, and advocate its general use.

C-erbB-2 overexpression and survival in early onset breast cancer

Young breast cancer patients have a decreased survival rate and it has been demonstrated that young age is an independent predictor of adverse prognosis. Overexpression of c-erbB-2 protein (also known as HER-2/neu) has been shown to be a prognostic indicator in breast cancer in general and especially among patients with axillary nodal metastases. The present study was initiated to determine the prognostic significance of c-erbB-2 protein overexpression in early onset breast cancer. A population consisting of 110 young breast cancer patients, < or = 36-year-old at diagnosis, was analyzed with immunohistochemical staining for c-erbB-2 protein. Thirty patients (27%) were found to overexpress the c-erbB-2 protein. C-erbB-2 positivity was significantly associated with poor survival when all patients were included in the analysis (P = 0.002) and for patients with axillary nodal metastases (P = 0.0007). No such association was found for node-negative patients. Furthermore, the difference in prognosis in relation to c-erbB-2 among node-positive patients was maintained, when these were stratified in groups treated or not treated with adjuvant chemotherapy. The study indicates that overexpression of c-erbB-2 protein is a strong prognostic factor in young breast cancer patients with axillary nodal metastases. Moreover, the adverse prognosis associated with c-erbB-2 overexpression in node-positive patients was observed whether or not the patients had received adjuvant chemotherapy.

Results of two or five years of adjuvant tamoxifen correlated to steroid receptor and S-phase levels. South Sweden Breast Cancer Group, and South-East Sweden Breast Cancer Group

A Swedish cooperative trial demonstrated that 5 years of adjuvant tamoxifen was more beneficial than 2 years of tamoxifen in the treatment of postmenopausal women with estrogen receptor (ER) positive, early stage, invasive breast cancer. The main aim of the present study was to investigate the importance of progesterone receptor (PgR) and ER concentration levels for patients participating in the trial and still distant recurrence free two years after the primary operation. Subgroup analyses revealed that only patients with ER positive and PgR positive breast cancer had improved distant recurrence free survival (DRFS) by prolonged tamoxifen therapy (p = 0.0016). Patients with ER negative and PgR negative as well as ER positive and PgR negative tumors showed no significant effect of prolonged tamoxifen (p = 0.53 and p = 0.80, respectively). The percentage of ER negative and PgR positive breast cancers was too small (2.2%) for any meaningful subgroup analysis. There was a significant positive trend that the concentration level of PgR (high positive vs. low positive vs. negative) decreased the recurrence rate for those with prolonged therapy. No corresponding pattern was found for the ER content. S-phase fraction did not correlate to the recurrence rate of PgR positive breast cancers. Patients recurring during tamoxifen therapy had receptor negative tumors to a greater extent than those recurring after tamoxifen treatment. In conclusion, prolonged tamoxifen therapy for 5 years instead of 2 years was found to be beneficial for patients with ER positive and PgR positive breast cancer, whereas three extra years of tamoxifen had little or no effect for patients with ER positive but PgR negative tumors as well as for steroid receptor negative patients.

p53 status: an indicator for the effect of preoperative radiotherapy of rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Rectal carcinoma is a common malignancy, with a history of high local recurrence rates following surgery. In recent years. preoperative radiotherapy and refined surgical technique have improved local control rates.

AIM

To investigate the relationship between expression of nuclear p53 protein and the outcome in rectal carcinoma, with and without short-term preoperative radiotherapy.

MATERIAL

Specimens from 163 patients from the Southeast Swedish Health Care region included in the Swedish rectal cancer trial between 1987-1990.

METHOD

New sections from the paraffin blocks of the preoperative biopsy and the surgical specimen were examined immunohistochemically using a p53 antibody (PAb 1801).

RESULT

Expression of nuclear p53 protein was seen in 41% of the tumours. The p53 negative patients treated with preoperative radiotherapy had a significant reduction of local failure compared with the non-irradiated p53 negative patients (P = 0.0008). In contrast, p53 positive patients showed no benefit from preoperative radiotherapy. The interaction between p53 status and the benefit of radiotherapy was statistically significant (P = 0.018).

CONCLUSION

Expression of nuclear p53 protein in rectal carcinoma seems to be a significant predictive factor for local treatment failure after preoperative radiotherapy. Further investigations are necessary to select patients for preoperative treatment based on analysis of the preoperative biopsies.

Tumour characteristics and survival in patients with invasive interval breast cancer classified according to mammographic findings at the latest screening: a comparison of true interval and missed interval cancers

The aim of this study was to investigate whether different mammographic categories of interval cancer classified according to findings at the latest screening are associated with different distributions of prognostic factors or with different survival rates. The series consisted of all patients with invasive interval cancer detected from May 1978 to August 1995 (n = 544). The tumours were evaluated with regard to age, radiological category, interval between the latest screen and diagnosis and tumour characteristics at the time of diagnosis. We investigated possible relationships between the survival rate of patients with interval cancer and the interval between the latest screen and diagnosis, tumour characteristics and radiological category of the interval tumours. The study focused on comparison of patients with true interval and missed interval cancer. Women with mammographically occult tumours were younger than those in the other radiological categories. Comparisons of true interval cancers with overlooked or misinterpreted tumours showed equal distributions of age, tumour size, TNM stage and lymph node status. The overlooked or misinterpreted tumours showed significantly higher proportions of grade-I tumours (22 vs 11 %), tumours with low S-phase fraction (SPF; 44 vs 24 %) and oestrogen receptor (ER) positive tumours (72 vs 57 %). However, analyses of survival rates disclosed no clear differences between the two radiological categories. Radiological category and interval between the latest screen and diagnosis were not genuine predictors of the prognosis in patients with invasive interval breast cancer. No certain prognostic difference existed between true interval cancers and overlooked or misinterpreted interval breast cancers, despite higher proportions of grade-I tumours, ER positive tumours and tumours with low SPF in the latter group.

Different calculation methods for flow cytometric S-phase fraction: prognostic implications in breast cancer? The Swedish Society of Cancer Study Group

S-phase fraction (SPF), estimated in the flow cytometric DNA histogram, is a prognostic factor in breast cancer. There are, however, some inherent difficulties in the estimation of SPF, such as the influence of debris, aggregates, and normal cells. Most of the available SPF calculation principles try to consider these difficulties, but so far no consensus has been reached with regard to which principle is to be recommended. The aim of the present study was to investigate the prognostic impact of SPF when estimated with different calculation methods in frozen breast cancer samples from 350 patients. Two nonparametric (Rman, Rmin/both rectangle) and three parametric (ACAS/DNA-base, ModFit, and MultiCycle) calculation methods, with and without correction for debris and aggregates, were used. The mean values for SPF varied from 4.3% (ACAS/DNA-base with correction for debris and aggregates) to 9.4% (MultiCycle without any correction for background). The pairwise correlation between methods varied considerably (R = 0.72-0.98). After categorization of SPF values into low SPF (lower two tertiles) and high SPF (upper tertile), all methods yielded statistically significant Pvalues for recurrence-free survival (median follow-up time 67 months), both univariately (0.0004-< 0.0001) and multivariately (0.048-0.0004), after adjusting for nodal status, tumor size, and estrogen receptor status. SPF with background correction did not yield lower P values than SPF without. Regardless of which method was used, SPF showed similar correlations with lymph node involvement, tumor size, and estrogen receptor content. In conclusion, as the mean value of SPF for different calculation methods varies, each laboratory must be restricted to use only one method. Background correction does not seem to improve the prognostic impact of SPF in DNA histograms. Based on the experiences obtained in the present study, S-phase calculation methods without background correction may therefore be the most suitable for routine evaluation of DNA histograms of fresh frozen breast cancer material (ModFit, MultiCycle, and Rman [the latter only for experienced operators]). The nonparametric Rmin, with an automatic setting of the region used for SPF calculation, may be an alternative, but suffers from the disadvantage of not being commercially available yet.

S-phase fraction assessed by a variant of the rectangular model adapted to the flow-cytometric DNA histogram profile

Measurement of S-phase fraction by DNA flow cytometry is widely used in the analysis of human tumors. The calculation of fraction of S-phase cells is performed either by means of curve-fitting techniques or by more simple planimetric methods. Estimates by the latter often suffer from subjectivity or poor adaptation to complex DNA histograms. We describe a variant which is based on the rectangular model. The height of the rectangle is automatically determined from the lowest density value in the S-phase interval. The variant was tested on 141 DNA histograms, and the results were compared with those obtained with other variants based on the rectangular model. The new variant is thought to circumvent some of the problems concerning subjectivity and disturbances caused by aggregate peaks.

Overexpression of MDM2 in acute childhood lymphoblastic leukemia

Mutation of the TP53 gene is one of the most common molecular alterations in a variety of tumors, but it occurs infrequently in childhood and adult hematological malignancies. Protein accumulation often results from mutations that lead to inactivation of the p53 protein. Other causes of functional inactivation of the p53 protein include stabilization of p53 via proteins such as MDM2, an oncoprotein capable of forming specific complexes with p53. In the present study, protein expressions of MDM2 and p53 were investigated by immunohistochemistry from bone marrow samples in 23 patients with acute lymphoblastic leukemia aged 1-13 years at diagnosis. p53 protein overexpression was detected in only one case, while overexpression of MDM2 was detected in samples from five patients. All five patients overexpressing MDM2 belonged to a group with unfavorable prognostic signs at diagnosis and three of them relapsed or died within 6 months after diagnosis.

Intra- and inter-laboratory reproducibility of estrogen and progesterone receptor enzyme immunoassay in breast cancer cytosol samples--a Swedish multicenter study. Swedish Society of Cancer Study Group

Estrogen and progesterone receptor analysis results were compared within and between six laboratories in Sweden using frozen breast cancer cytosol samples, and the same technique (enzyme immunoassay, Abbott Laboratories). The concordance in receptor status (positive vs. negative) was excellent (98.4% (571/580)). The discordant results were attributable to values near cut-off (n = 4) or outliers (n = 5), the latter probably being due to analytical errors. One laboratory reported significantly higher ER concentrations than the others; thus caution should be observed when comparing absolute values from different centers. For PgR there were similar differences between the laboratories. However, the intra- and inter-laboratory differences were small compared with the overall variability in ER and PgR content between different samples in a large database. The range of the median intra-laboratory coefficient of variation was 11-23% for ER and 12-19% for PgR, indicating that there is room for improvement in the quality of assay performance.

Interval cancers and cancers in non-attenders in the Ostergötland Mammographic Screening Programme. Duration between screening and diagnosis, S-phase fraction and distant recurrence

The study was based on a population mammographic screening programme for women aged 40-74 years. Metastatic potential was analysed in 843 invasive breast cancers with regard to mode of detection and a number of prognostic factors. There was a higher metastatic capacity in clinically detected cases, but multivariate analyses showed that neither the mode of detection (hazard rate ratio of distant recurrence RR = 1.39, 95% CI 0.78-2.46 interval cancers and RR = 1.6, 95% CI 0.76-3.36 non-attenders) nor the duration between screening and diagnosis for true interval cancers (RR = 0.47, 95% CI 0.16-1.35 in tumours detected later than one year after screening) were independent prognostic factors. A correlation was found between metastatic potential and the SPF (RR = 2.94, 95% CI 1.57-5.50 in tumours with a high SPF), the oestrogen receptor status and the tumour stage. In conclusion, interval cancers intrinsically are not different from other breast cancers with equivalent characteristics; the duration between screening and diagnosis in interval cancers was not clearly correlated to the prognosis, but the S-phase fraction was a powerful predictor of prognosis.

Proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) in relation to ras, c-erbB-2,p53, clinico-pathological variables and prognosis in colorectal adenocarcinoma

Proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) expression was studied by immunohistochemistry on paraffin-embedded sections of 293 primary colorectal adenocarcinomas and 56 corresponding lymph node metastases. PCNA-positive expression was detected in <25% of tumour cells in 172 (59%) cases and in > 25% in 121 (41%) cases. PCNA accumulation was related to over-expression of c-erbB-2 and p53 and tended to be increased in cases with ras over-expression. PCNA expression was identical in primary and corresponding metastases. No significant relationship was observed between PCNA expression and prognosis and other clinico-pathological variables, including grade of differentiation, growth pattern, Dukes' stage, site, age or sex. We conclude that PCNA expression may be related to alterations of oncoproteins but that PCNA itself could not provide additional information for the development of metastasis and prognosis in colorectal adenocarcinoma.

Proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) in relation to ras, c-erbB-2,p53, clinico-pathological variables and prognosis in colorectal adenocarcinoma

Proliferating cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) expression was studied by immunohistochemistry on paraffin-embedded sections of 293 primary colorectal adenocarcinomas and 56 corresponding lymph node metastases. PCNA-positive expression was detected in <25% of tumour cells in 172 (59%) cases and in > 25% in 121 (41%) cases. PCNA accumulation was related to over-expression of c-erbB-2 and p53 and tended to be increased in cases with ras over-expression. PCNA expression was identical in primary and corresponding metastases. No significant relationship was observed between PCNA expression and prognosis and other clinico-pathological variables, including grade of differentiation, growth pattern, Dukes' stage, site, age or sex. We conclude that PCNA expression may be related to alterations of oncoproteins but that PCNA itself could not provide additional information for the development of metastasis and prognosis in colorectal adenocarcinoma.

Interrelations of clinicopathologic variables and their prognostic value in colorectal adenocarcinoma

We analyzed the interrelations of sex, age, tumor site, Dukes' stage, growth pattern and differentiation, and their prognostic value in 293 patients with primary colorectal adenocarcinoma. Simultaneously, growth pattern, differentiation, DNA and S-phase fraction (SPF) in paired primary tumors and lymph node metastases from 97 colorectal cancer patients were compared. The results revealed that poorly differentiated and mucinous tumors, as against well/moderately differentiated tumors, were frequently located in the proximal colon, and their frequencies were increased as Dukes' stage advanced (p=0.03). Tumor differentiation was usually identical in primaries and corresponding metastases (p=0.002), but this was not true of tumor growth pattern, DNA ploidy or SPF. In multivariate survival analyses, Dukes' stage provided strongly prognostic information (p<0.001) and mucinous tumors tended to predict worse survival (p=0.08).

c-erbB-2 expression and benefit from adjuvant chemotherapy and radiotherapy of breast cancer

Frozen tissue from primary tumours of 152 premenopausal breast cancer patients, who participated in a trial comparing radiotherapy with adjuvant chemotherapy (cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, 5-fluorouracil, CMF), was analysed for c-erbB-2 protein expression, measured by flow cytometry. The relative risk of distant recurrence or death in the chemotherapy group as compared with the radiotherapy group was 3.0 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.1-7.8) for patients whose tumours showed high c-erbB-2 levels and 0.87 (95% CI 0.43-1.7) for those with tumours with low levels of c-erbB-2 protein. Patients with highly proliferative tumours that did not overexpress c-erbB-2 benefited most, in terms of survival, from CMF. In addition, we found an increased risk of locoregional recurrence for tumours overexpressing c-erbB-2 when radiotherapy was replaced by chemotherapy.

Loss of cytokeratins in breast cancer cells using multiparameter DNA flow cytometry is related to both cellular factors and preparation procedure

In breast carcinomas, S-phase fraction calculated after flow cytometric selection of epithelial cells improves the prediction of distant recurrence. However, the presence of DNA aneuploid cells registered as non-epithelial cells and the intertumoural variation of cytokeratin positivity may cause selective loss of tumour cells in flow cytometric analysis. In the present study, the expression of cytokeratins 8 and 18 was examined by both immunohistochemistry and flow cytometry. The proportion of cytokeratin-positive cells was decreased by 25% when estimated by flow cytometry compared with immunohistochemistry; however, the correlation between these two methods was significant (P < 0.01). Fewer cells were cytokeratin-positive in DNA hypodiploid tumours compared with DNA diploid and DNA aneuploid tumours (P = 0.006). Also, rapidly proliferating tumours tended to have a smaller proportion of cytokeratin-positive tumour cells. Our results indicate that loss of cytokeratins in breast cancer cells is related to both cellular factors and the preparation procedure.