Breast conservation is the treatment of choice in small breast cancer: long-term results of a randomized trial

From 1973 to 1980, 701 women with small breast cancer (less than 2 cm in diameter) were randomized into two different treatments. 349 patients received classic Halsted mastectomy and 352 patients received quadrantectomy, axillary dissection and radiotherapy on the ipsilateral breast. 24.6% of the patients in the mastectomy group and 27.0% of the patients in the conservation group had axillary metastases. Overall 10 year survival was 76% in the Halsted patients and 79% in the quadrantectomy patients; 13 year survival was 69% and 71%, respectively. No differences were observed after analysis by site and size of the primary tumour and age of the patients. Patients with positive axillary nodes had consistently better survival curves in the quadrantectomy group compared with the Halsted group (not significant). Among the quadrantectomy patients there were 11 local recurrences (with 4 deaths) while among the Halsted patients, 7 had local recurrences (5 deaths). There were 19 cases of contralateral breast carcinomas in the quadrantectomy group and 20 in the Halsted group. At 16 years from the beginning of the trial no evidence of oncogenic radiation risk was observed. In patients with small size carcinomas total mastectomy should have no role.

Prognostic significance of vascular endothelial growth factor protein in node-negative breast carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The clinical outcome is generally positive for patients with node-negative breast carcinoma (i.e., those who do not have detectable metastases in the lymph nodes) who have been treated with surgery or surgery plus radiation therapy. In about 30% of the patients, however, the disease recurs, and they are at risk of death. Determination of valid new prognostic indicators would improve the ability to identify patients at high risk of recurrence. Breast cancer can entail substantial development of new blood vessels within the tumor tissue, and it is known that the growth and metastasis of solid tumors are dependent on such angiogenesis. The conversion of tumor cells to an angiogenic phenotype may be preceded by a change in the balance of angiogenic growth factors and angiogenesis inhibitors.

PURPOSE

This study was conducted to determine if the levels of vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) protein, a potent endothelial growth factor and mediator of vascular permeability and angiogenesis, measured in the primary tumors of women with node-negative breast cancer are associated with known prognostic factors and patient survival.

METHODS

By use of a selective enzymatic immunoassay, levels of VEGF protein were measured in cytosolic extracts of primary tumor tissue surgically obtained from 260 women with node-negative breast carcinoma who had been treated with surgery with or without radiation therapy but not with adjuvant therapy and who had been followed for a median time of 66 months. The relationships between VEGF concentrations and other prognostic dichotomous variables or clinical outcome were tested by the use of the Kolmogorov-Smirnov test and univariate and multivariate Cox analyses, respectively. The relationship between VEGF and hormone receptors (i.e., those for estrogen and progesterone) was examined by the use of Spearman's correlation analyses. All P values resulted from the use of two-sided statistical tests.

RESULTS

Tumors from 247 (95%) of the 260 patients had detectable VEGF, ranging in concentration from 5.0 to 6523 pg/mg protein (median, 126.25 pg/mg protein). No statistically significant associations were found between VEGF and the other prognostic factors (e.g., age, menopausal status, histologic tumor type, tumor size, and hormone receptors) examined. Levels of VEGF were found to be prognostic for both relapse-free and overall survival in univariate and multivariate analyses (likelihood ratio tests; all four P values < .001). In the multivariate analysis, the first-order interaction term of VEGF and estrogen receptor was also prognostic for overall survival (likelihood ratio test; P = .05).

CONCLUSIONS

The results show that cytosolic levels of VEGF in tumor tissue samples are indicative of prognosis for patients with node-negative breast carcinoma.

Tumor microvessel density, p53 expression, tumor size, and peritumoral lymphatic vessel invasion are relevant prognostic markers in node-negative breast carcinoma

PURPOSE

To determine the absolute and relative value of microvessel density (MVD), p53 and c-erbB-2 protein expression, peritumoral lymphatic vessel invasion (PLVI), and conventional prognosticators in predicting relapse-free (RFS) and overall survival (OS) rates in patients with node-negative breast carcinoma (NNBC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We monitored 254 consecutive patients with NNBC for a median of 62 months. Intratumoral MVD was measured after microvessels were immunostained using anti-CD31 antibody. p53 and c-erbB-2 protein and hormone receptors were also determined immunocytochemically. Results were analyzed by both univariate and multivariate statistical analysis.

RESULTS

Univariate analysis showed that MVD was significantly predictive of both RFS (odds ratio [OR], 8.30; P = .0001) and OS (OR, 4.50; P = .012) when tested as a continuous or dichotomous variable. Likewise, tumor size (OR, 3.16; P = .0012), PLVI (OR, 4.36; P = .0009), estrogen receptor (ER) status (OR, 2.35; P = .016), progesterone receptor (PR) status (OR, 2.00; P = .017), and expression of p53 protein (OR, 2.82; P = .004) were significantly associated with RFS. Tumor size (OR, 3.80; P = .0038) and expression of p53 protein (OR, 2.58; P = .024) were significantly associated with OS by univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis showed that MVD (P = .0004), p53 protein expression (P = .0063), tumor size (P = .0144), and PLVI (P = .0033) were all significant and independent prognostic factors for RFS. However, only tumor size (P = .004) and MVD (P = .047) were independent predictors for OS. c-erbB2 expression was not associated with outcome by either univariate or multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSION

MVD, p53 expression, PLVI, and tumor size are independent prognostic indicators of recurrence, which are useful in selection of high-risk NNBC patients who may be eligible to receive adjuvant therapies.

The Bcl-2 protein: a prognostic indicator strongly related to p53 protein in lymph node-negative breast cancer patients

BACKGROUND

The bcl-2 gene (also known as BCL2) encodes for a mitochondrial protein thought to prevent apoptosis of normal cells. The protein has been detected by immunohistochemical procedures in hormonally regulated epithelia.

PURPOSE

We analyzed the predictive relevance of Bcl-2 expression on 6-year relapse-free and overall survival in lymph node-negative breast cancers in relation to pathologic (tumor size) and biologic ([3H]thymidine-labeling index, p53 protein expression, and estrogen receptor [ER] status) features.

METHODS

The expression of Bcl-2 and p53 was detected by immunohistochemistry on paraffin-embedded sections from 283 node-negative resectable breast cancers treated with local-regional therapy alone until relapse. The [3H]thymidine-labeling index was evaluated on histologic sections after incubation of fresh tumor tissue with [3H]thymidine, and ER content was determined by the dextran-coated charcoal absorption technique.

RESULTS

A significantly higher fraction of Bcl-2-positive cells was observed in small, ER-positive, slowly proliferating, and p53-negative tumors than in large, ER-negative, rapidly proliferating, and p53-positive tumors. A stronger association was observed between Bcl-2 and p53 expression than between these variables and [3H]thymidine-labeling index. In univariate analysis, Bcl-2 and p53 expression, [3H]thymidine-labeling index, tumor size, and ER status were indicators for relapse-free and, with the exception of tumor size, overall survival within 6 years of surgery. In multivariate analysis, Bcl-2 failed to maintain its prognostic role for relapse-free and overall survival in the presence of p53 expression, whereas the [3H]thymidine-labeling index was still statistically significant as a predictor for both events.

CONCLUSION

The predictive role of Bcl-2 expression on 6-year relapse-free and overall survival was mainly dependent on p53 expression.

Intratumoral microvessel density and p53 protein: correlation with metastasis in head-and-neck squamous-cell carcinoma

Squamous-cell carcinoma of the head and neck includes a heterogeneous group of tumours of the upper air and food passages for which prognosis is difficult to assess. In fact, patients in comparable stages may have diverse clinical courses and responses to similar treatments. In order to better define the prognosis of each patient there is therefore a need to identify novel biological markers which reflect more accurately growth rate, progression and metastatic potential of each tumour. We assessed whether metastases correlate with microvessel counts (i.e. intratumoral vascularity) using the CD-31 monoclonal antibody (MAb) and p53 mutant protein expression, determined in the primary by immunocytochemical methods in 70 patients with locally advanced head and neck cancer. Patients were treated with concurrent chemo-radiotherapy; 50 of these presented loco-regional node metastasis at diagnosis whereas 3 cases, initially node-negative, developed distant metastasis during the period of observation. No feature was predictive for objective response to treatment. The overall mean and median blood vessel density at "hot spots" was 37.42 and 36, respectively, and 57% of the tumours expressed p53 mutant proteins. These 2 biological markers were significantly associated. Patients with metastases (loco-regional and distant) had a significantly higher mean blood-vessel density than those without tumour spread. Also, patients with p53-positive (+/++) tumours had a significantly higher incidence of metastasis than those with negative ones. Multivariate analysis showed that both vascularity and stage, but not p53 expression, are significant and independent predictors of metastasis in this series.

Adjuvant chemotherapy with vincristine, cyclophosphamide, and doxorubicin after radiotherapy in local-regional nasopharyngeal cancer: results of a 4-year multicenter randomized study

To evaluate the effect of adjuvant chemotherapy in patients with local-regional nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC) (squamous or undifferentiated) in complete remission at the end of curative radiotherapy (RT) 229 patients were randomized from 1979 to 1983 in a multicenter study to no further therapy (116 patients) or a combination of vincristine, cyclophosphamide, and Adriamycin (doxorubicin; Adria Laboratories, Columbus, OH) (VCA) for six monthly cycles (113 patients). The RT and RT + VCA groups were well balanced for median age (50 v 49 years), histology (undifferentiated carcinoma, 73% v 70%), tumor extent (tumor limited to nasopharynx, 57% v 57%), and nodal extent (negative nodes 26% v 24%, nodes in the lower cervical levels, 17% v 16%). RT was delivered to the nasopharynx, the base of the skull, and bilateral cervical nodes using a split course technique over 10 weeks up to the dose of 60 to 70 Gy in involved sites and 50 Gy to negative nodes. Response to RT was evaluated within 65 days post-RT treatment. Analysis at 48 months did not show significant difference between the two treatment groups in terms of relapse-free survival (RT, 55.8%, RT + VCA, 57.7%, P = .45) and overall survival (RT, 67.3%, RT + VCA, 58.5%, P = .13). The pattern of relapse was similar in the two treatment arms. Distant metastases were the cause of treatment failure in about 50% of relapsing patients. Although the results of the present study did not show any benefit from VCA administered after curative RT, combined systemic chemotherapy should be further explored due to the high incidence of local and distant failure after intensive RT.

p53 as an independent prognostic marker in lymph node-negative breast cancer patients

BACKGROUND

At present, most decisions concerning the use of adjuvant therapy in lymph node-negative breast cancer patients are made on the basis of traditional factors such as tumor size, nodal status, and histopathologic features. However, prognostic factors are being investigated that could identify high-risk groups and that could better address treatment efforts for those patients. Identification of more accurate prognostic markers, such as the expression of the mutant p53 protein encoded by the p53 (also known as TP53) tumor suppressor gene, that are reproducible, easily assessable, and independent in predicting clinical outcome would have a beneficial impact on cancer treatment decisions.

PURPOSE

Our purpose was to analyze the predictive relevance of mutant p53 protein expression on 6-year relapse-free and overall survival in node-negative breast cancer patients in relation to menopausal status, tumor size, cell kinetics, and estrogen receptor status.

METHODS

Expression of mutant p53 protein was detected by an immunohistochemical technique using a 1:50 dilution of PAb1801 monoclonal antibody on paraffin-embedded tumor specimens obtained from 256 axillary lymph node-negative breast cancer patients, with long-term follow-up (median, 72 months). The [3H]thymidine labeling index, a measure of cell kinetics, was evaluated on histologic sections after fresh tumor tissue was labeled with [3H]thymidine. Estrogen receptor status was determined by the dextran-coated charcoal absorption technique. Statistical comparisons were made for levels of p53 protein expression, [3H]thymidine labeling index, estrogen receptor status, tumor size, and menopausal status with respect to 6-year relapse-free survival and overall survival.

RESULTS

Overexpression of the p53 protein, defined as the presence of more than 5% positive cells, was detected in 113 (44%) of 256 tumors. Odds ratios (ORs) for multiple regression analysis of 6-year relapse-free survival were significantly higher for p53 (OR = 3.24; 95% confidence limits [CL] = 2.01-5.23) and [3H]thymidine labeling index (OR = 1.92; 95% CL = 1.19-3.12), both of which appeared to be the most relevant indicators of relapse, than for tumor size (OR = 1.49; 95% CL = 0.94-2.38) and estrogen receptor status (OR = 0.91; 95% CL = 0.55-1.51). Overexpression was found to be unrelated to menopausal status.

CONCLUSIONS

Immunohistochemically detected p53 overexpression is an independent marker for shortened 6-year relapse-free and overall survival in node-negative patients with resectable breast cancers. Based on these findings, p53 overexpression should be used with other established prognostic factors, such as [3H]thymidine labeling index and estrogen receptor status, to further refine the prognostic assessment of node-negative breast cancer.

Interferon adjuvant to radical nephrectomy in Robson stages II and III renal cell carcinoma: a multicentric randomized study

PURPOSE

Because interferon gave promising results in the management of metastatic renal cell carcinoma in the 1980s, a multicentric randomized controlled trial was planned to compare adjuvant recombinant interferon alfa-2b (rIFNalpha2b) with observation after radical nephrectomy in patients with Robson stages II and III renal cell carcinoma. Overall and event-free survival were to be evaluated together with prognostic factors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Overall and event-free survival curves for 247 patients (124 controls and 123 treated) were estimated by the Kaplan-Meier method and compared using the log-rank test. Cox's multiple regression models were adopted to perform a joint analysis of treatment and prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The 5-year overall and event-free survival probabilities were 0.665 and 0.671, respectively, for controls and 0.660 and 0.567, respectively, for the treated group; the differences were not statistically significant (2P = .861 for overall and 2P = .107 for event-free survival with the log-rank test). Regarding prognostic factors, only grade, pT, and pN demonstrated a significant prognostic role. First-order interactions of treatment with pT and pN category were investigated; a significant interaction was found between pN and treatment. A harmful effect of rIFNalpha2b in the 97 treated pN0 patients and a protective effect in the 13 treated pN2/pN3 patients were statistically significant.

CONCLUSION

Adjuvant rIFNalpha2b is not indicated after radical nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma. The protective effect in the small group of pN2/pN3 patients requires further investigation.

Feed forward neural networks for the analysis of censored survival data: a partial logistic regression approach

Flexible modelling in survival analysis can be useful both for exploratory and predictive purposes. Feed forward neural networks were recently considered for flexible non-linear modelling of censored survival data through the generalization of both discrete and continuous time models. We show that by treating the time interval as an input variable in a standard feed forward network with logistic activation and entropy error function, it is possible to estimate smoothed discrete hazards as conditional probabilities of failure. We considered an easily implementable approach with a fast selection criteria of the best configurations. Examples on data sets from two clinical trials are provided. The proposed artificial neural network (ANN) approach can be applied for the estimation of the functional relationships between covariates and time in survival data to improve model predictivity in the presence of complex prognostic relationships.

Response to cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil in lymph node-positive breast cancer according to HER2 overexpression and other tumor biologic variables

PURPOSE

There is considerable interest in biologic markers able to predict the response of cancer patients to therapy. HER2 overexpression is a potential indicator of responsiveness to doxorubicin and paclitaxel and of unresponsiveness to tamoxifen in breast carcinoma patients. However, the significance of HER2 overexpression in responsiveness to cyclophosphamide, methotrexate, and fluorouracil (CMF) has remained unclear. In this study, we investigated this issue in the 386 breast cancer patients in the first CMF controlled clinical trial with a 20-year follow-up.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Node-positive breast carcinoma patients were randomly assigned to receive either no further treatment after radical mastectomy (179 women) or 12 monthly cycles of adjuvant CMF chemotherapy (207 women). Overexpression of HER2 and the status of other tumor variables was assessed by immunohistochemistry in at least 324 (84%) of the 386 patients. Statistical analyses were performed to assess the efficacy of CMF treatment for the subgroups defined by HER2 and the status of other variables using a Bayesian approach. The end points considered were relapse-free survival (RFS) and cause-specific survival (CSS).

RESULTS

Bayesian analysis of the treatment effect for HER2 and other variables indicated a clinical benefit from CMF treatment in all subgroups defined according to variables status. In particular regarding HER2 status, Bayesian estimates of RFS hazard ratios were equal to 0.484 and 0.641 and estimates of CSS hazard ratios were equal to 0.495 and 0.730 for HER2-positive and -negative tumors, respectively.

CONCLUSION

CMF treatment showed a clinical benefit in the considered subgroups, defined according to HER2 and other tumor variables status. Patients with HER2-positive or HER2-negative tumors benefit from CMF treatment, and the poor prognosis associated with the HER2 overexpression in the untreated group could be completely overcome by the chemotherapy treatment.

Prognostic and predictive value of tumour angiogenesis in ovarian carcinomas

Experimental studies suggest that angiogenesis plays an important role in the pathogenesis of ascites and progression of ovarian cancer. To evaluate the association of intratumoral microvessel density (IMD) with the conventional clinicopathologic features and to determine the capability of these factors in predicting responsiveness to platinum-based chemotherapy and overall survival (OS) we studied 112 ovarian carcinomas. IMD was determined using the anti-CD31 antibody and immunocytochemistry. In the entire series, we correlated IMD with the other features. In the subgroup of patients with FIGO stage III-IV (60 cases), we correlated the factors studied, determined prior of treatment, with response to therapy and prognosis. The median IMD value, in the "hot spot", in the entire series was of 48 microvessels/field. IMD values were significantly higher in mucinous carcinomas than in the other histologic types. In FIGO stage III-IV patients IMD, age and performance status (PS) were significantly associated with the probability of pathologic response to chemotherapy in univariate analysis. However, only IMD and PS retained significance in multivariate analysis. The overall capability of the 2 variables to predict response was high. In FIGO stage III-IV patients IMD, age, PS, the amount of post-operative residual disease (PORD), histologic type and response to chemotherapy were significant prognostic indicators of OS in univariate analysis. In multivariate analysis only histologic type, PORD and PS retained significance. The overall capability of these 3 variables to predict OS was satisfactory.

Biologic and clinicopathologic factors as indicators of specific relapse types in node-negative breast cancer

PURPOSE AND METHODS

We evaluated, in 1,800 patients with node-negative tumors treated with locoregional therapy until relapse, the competitive risks for different types of metastasis by cell proliferation (3H-thymidine labeling index [3H-dT LI]), estrogen receptors (ERs), and progesterone receptors (PgRs), and by the integration of biologic and clinicopathologic information.

RESULTS

Hormone receptor status and proliferative activity of the primary tumor were not indicative of contralateral failures. Hormone receptors failed to predict the 8-year incidence of locoregional recurrence, but they were significant indicators of distant metastasis and overall survival. The latter finding was confirmed even in multivariate analysis. Conversely, cell proliferation predicted both locoregional and distant metastases and survival, regardless of patient age, tumor size, and ER and PgR status. Recursive partitioning and amalgamation analysis ascribed to cell proliferation an important prognostic role for locoregional recurrence together with patient age and tumor size.

CONCLUSION

Biologic markers, in particular cell proliferation, provide information for the different types of relapse and could complement the predictive role of pathologic staging.

Prognostic value of intratumoral microvessel density, a measure of tumor angiogenesis, in node-negative breast carcinoma--results of a multiparametric study

In the present study we update previous results on the prognostic value of intratumoral microvessel density (IMD), determined immunocytochemically using the monoclonal antibody CD-31 and a standard streptavidin-immunoperoxidase technique, published in the J Clin Oncol 12:454-466, 1994. This study was undertaken in those 211 node-negative breast cancer (NNBC) cases of that series of which we had pathological material available to determine all the prognostic indicators. The median period of follow-up has been extended to 78 and 80 months for relapse-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS), respectively, and new biological indicators (i.e. Ki-67 labeling and 67 kDa laminin receptor expression) were included in the analysis. The main results obtained are: i) a confirmation that IMD is not associated with the other biological markers studied, i.e. expression of p53 protein, c-erbB-2 protein, 67 kDa laminin receptor, and cell kinetics; IMD was weakly associated only with histological grade (p = 0.053); ii) IMD remains a highly significant prognostic factor for RFS and OS (p < 0.0001 and p = 0.018, respectively) in univariate analysis; iii) in multivariate analysis on RFS, IMD (likelihood ratio test (LRT) = 30.16; p < 0.0001), 67 kDa laminin receptor (LRT = 9.80; p = 0.0017), the IMD/67 kDa laminin receptor interaction (LRT = 8.62; p = 0.0033), tumor size (LRT = 8.56; p = 0.0034), and p53 protein (LRT = 4.96; p = 0.025) are significant and independent prognostic indicators. For OS, only tumor size (LRT = 8.34; p = 0.0038), menopausal status (LRT = 5.16; p = 0.023), p53 protein (LRT = 4.37; p = 0.036), and IMD (LRT = 4.05; p = 0.044) retain a significant and independent prognostic value. The results of this study confirm the prognostic importance on RFS of the variables previously tested, but not of peritumoral lymphatic vessel invasion. A novel finding is that 67 kDa laminin receptor and the IMD/67 kDa laminin receptor interaction are also significant and independent variables. For OS, the results confirm that both IMD and tumor size are significant and independent variables. With prolonged follow-up the novel finding that emerges is the prognostic importance of menopausal status and p53 protein. This new information could be useful for a more accurate selection of high-risk NNBC patients who require careful follow-up and may benefit from adjuvant therapy.

Prevention of local relapses and new localisations of oral leukoplakias with the synthetic retinoid fenretinide (4-HPR). Preliminary results

This paper analyses preliminary results of a randomised chemoprevention trial in patients surgically treated for oral leukoplakia started in 1988 at the Istituto Nazionale Tumori of Milan with the synthetic retinoid N-(4-hydroxyphenyl)-retinamide (4-HPR). To date 115 patients have been randomised, after surgical excision of oral leukoplakia, to receive 200 mg 4-HPR daily for 52 weeks versus no intervention. 80 patients completed the 1-year intervention, 41 in the control group and 39 in the 4-HPR group. During this period 12 local relapses or new lesions occurred in the control group and three in the 4-HPR group. Only 5 patients interrupted the intervention because of toxicity. No impaired dark adaptation was observed. It is concluded that 4-HPR is well tolerated and seems efficacious in preventing relapses and new localisations during the treatment period. This promising trend needs further confirmation.

Human breast cancer: prognostic significance of the c-erbB-2 oncoprotein compared with epidermal growth factor receptor, DNA ploidy, and conventional pathologic features

PURPOSE

A study was undertaken to define the prognostic value of the expression of the c-erbB-2 oncoprotein in a series of breast cancer patients when compared by multivariate analysis with expression of the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR), DNA ploidy, and conventional clinicopathologic features.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Prognostic indicators were analyzed in 165 primary breast cancers. The c-erbB-2 oncoprotein was recognized by the polyclonal antibody 21N using an immunocytochemical method. Expression of the EGFR was stated immunocytochemically using the monoclonal antibody EGFR1. DNA ploidy was assessed in paraffin-embedded sections using a standard flow-cytometric method.

RESULTS

Overall, 27% of carcinomas had membrane 21N-staining and were classified as c-erbB-2-positive. Overexpression of the c-erbB-2 oncoprotein was poorly associated with EGFR expression and the conventional pathologic features, and it was weakly associated with DNA ploidy and nodal status. Univariate analysis showed that c-erbB-2 expression, nodal status, DNA ploidy, and EGFR provided significant prognostic information concerning 4-year relapse-free survival (RFS) with the odds ratios (ORs) of not relapsing of 2.94, 2.83, 2.34, and 2.20, respectively. Regarding overall survival (OS) at 4 years, only nodal status and DNA ploidy had prognostic significance, with the ORs of not dying of 2.68 and 2.80, respectively. Applying multivariate analysis to RFS, 21N when adjusted for nodal status, EGFR, and DNA ploidy (full model) failed to retain prognostic value (P = .202), whereas nodal status was the most significant indicator of relapse (P = .027) followed by DNA ploidy (P = .056) and EGFR (P = .093).

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that overexpression of the c-erbB-2 oncoprotein appears to be an important indicator of relapse in stage I-II breast cancer when singly evaluated. Multivariate analysis shows that the determination both of nodal status and DNA ploidy improves our ability to identify subsets of patients with different prognoses, and allows for a better selection of patients for systemic adjuvant treatments.

Peritumoral lymphatic invasion in patients with node-negative mammary duct carcinoma

Five hundred six consecutive cases of ductal infiltrating carcinoma of the breast (T1-T2,N0,M0) were evaluated to define the frequency of peritumoral lymphatic invasion (PLI) and verify its possible prognostic significance. Histologically, PLI was characterized by the presence of neoplastic emboli within vascular lumina lined by recognizable endothelial cells, adjacent to but outside the margins of the carcinoma. In routine histopathologic assessment the frequency of PLI was 68% whereas in a randomly selected group of 234 reviewed cases the frequency rose to 20%. Patients with routinely evaluated PLI had a worse prognosis than those without PLI with reference both to disease-free survival (P = 0.0001) and total survival rates (P = 0.0001). The difference for local recurrences was prognostically highly significant (P = 0.0001) and also significant for the development of metastases (P = 0.0576). In the reviewed material the difference in prognosis between PLI-positive and PLI-negative cases was not confirmed for total survival whereas the significance for the disease-free interval persisted. The assessment of PLI, carried out following strict histopathologic criteria, appears to select a group of node-negative breast cancer patients who have an increased risk of recurrences and might benefit from a treatment different from that reserved for node-negative and PLI-negative patients.

Cell kinetics in human breast cancer: comparison between the prognostic value of the cytofluorimetric S-phase fraction and that of the antibodies to Ki-67 and PCNA antigens detected by immunocytochemistry

The determination of cell proliferation is one of the more widely used tools for assessing prognosis. However, additional research in this field is warranted because today there are several methodological procedures available for monitoring cell kinetics and it has still not been established which is the most reliable marker of proliferation and which possesses the greatest prognostic value. We performed this study in a series of primary invasive breast cancers to compare the prognostic value of S-phase fraction (SPF) by flow cytometry, the most widely used method for detecting proliferation at present, with that of antibodies to Ki-67 and PC-10 to proliferating-cell nuclear antigen (PCNA) detected by immunocytochemical methods. A significant linear relationship was observed only between SPF and Ki-67. In univariate analysis SPF and Ki-67 values, nodal status, histological grading and peritumoral lymphatic-vessel invasion were significant predictors of relapse-free survival (RFS). As far as overall survival (OS) is concerned, only SPF, Ki-67 and nodal status were significantly associated with the risk of death. PCNA had no prognostic value for either RFS or OS. In multivariate analysis only SPF and nodal status retained a significant and independent prognostic value. Neither the cell-kinetics parameters assessed by immunocytochemistry (i.e. Ki-67 and PCNA) nor histological grading were independent prognosticators. In conclusion, our results provide evidence that the determination of SPF by flow cytometry was the strongest cell-kinetics marker used to assess prognosis in this series of breast cancers. However, different and novel markers of cell kinetics need to be compared in larger series in order to identify the best one.

Follow-up of oral leukoplakia after carbon dioxide laser surgery

We evaluate the 3-year result of 145 oral leukoplakias operated on by outpatient carbon dioxide laser surgery at the Istituto Nazionale Tumori, Milan, Italy. The surgical technique that was used consisted of excision in 140 patients and vaporization in 5 patients. Cancer was found in 14 out of 140 patients who underwent excision (10%). In the analysis of the disease-free survival rate and of the unfavorable pattern of events, only 131 patients with benign postoperative histologic diagnosis were considered. Fifty-eight patients developed unfavorable events. The probabilities of remaining free of disease or of developing local relapses or new lesions at 3-year survival was 0.57, 0.27, and 0.19, respectively. Two patients had oral carcinomas after the operation. Forty patients modified their alcohol or tobacco habits or their teeth and/or prosthesis. Moreover, only two patients modified these factors before the unfavorable events occurred.

c-erbB-3 and c-erbB-2 protein expression in node-negative breast carcinoma--an immunocytochemical study

The type I growth factor receptor family has been found to play an important role in the control of normal growth and differentiation. Moreover, the epidermal growth factor receptor and the c-erbB-2 oncogene seem to be implicated in the pathogenesis and behaviour of several cancers, including breast cancer. c-erbB-3 is a new member of the type I receptor family for which there is currently little information available on its expression in neoplastic tissues, and on its possible prognostic significance. This study was undertaken to define the prognostic value of c-erbB-3 expression in a series of node-negative breast cancer (NNBC) patients when compared, by multivariate analysis, with expression of the c-erbB-2 protein and conventional clinicopathological features. cerbB-3 was recognised by the novel monoclonal antibody RTJ1, whereas c-erbB-2 was detected by the polyclonal antibody 21N, using immunocytochemical methods. We found that overexpression of c-erbB-3 occurs frequently in NNBC. Overall, 138 of 212 carcinomas (65%) had some degree of membrane RTJ1 staining, and 28 (13%) showed strong and generalised positivity ( ). Twenty-four per cent of carcinomas had membrane 21N staining, and 12% presented strong and generalised positivity ( ). c-erbB-3 protein expression was significantly associated only with that of c-erbB-2 (P = 0.05), whereas 21N positivity was significantly associated with small tumour size (P = 0.02) and ductal histotype (P = 0.04). No significant correlation between expression of either receptor proteins or relapse-free survival was observed after a median follow-up of 63 months. Applying multivariate analysis, only tumour size approached significance. Our results indicate that analysis of expression of c-erbB-3 and c-erbB-2 alone do not seem to be useful in identifying patients with NNBC at different risk of relapse or death.

67-kDa laminin-receptor expression adds prognostic information to intra-tumoral microvessel density in node-negative breast cancer

Experimental studies have shown that the 67-kDa laminin receptor (LRec) is an important molecule for the interaction of tumour cells with the extracellular matrix, and that it plays a role in the early steps of angiogenesis and in tumour invasion and metastasis. We performed a multi-parametric study in 171 node-negative breast cancers, followed for a median time of 6 years, to verify whether determination of the LRec provides prognostic information in addition to intra-tumoral microvessel density (IMD), a measure of tumour angiogenesis, and to other biological and conventional indicators. A positive association between LRec expression and high neovascularization was found, although it did not reach significance. LRec was not associated either with other biological markers (oestrogen receptor, progesterone receptor and p53 expression) or to the conventional prognostic features [menopausal status, tumour size, histological types, grading and peri-tumoral lymphatic vessel invasion (PLVI)]. In univariate analysis, IMD, p53, PgR, PLVI, grading and tumour size were significant prognostic indicators of relapse-free survival (RFS). LRec expression approached significance when considered as a dichotomous variable, after having selected the optimum cutoff of 10% to distinguish high-risk from low-risk patients. For overall survival (OS), tumour size and IMD (continuous variable) were significant prognostic factors, and p53 approached significance. In multivariate analysis for RFS, the joint variable LRec and vascularization was the strongest independent prognostic factor, followed by PgR, PLVI and p53. For OS, tumour size was the only independent prognostic indicator in this series.

Fenretinide (4-HPR) in chemoprevention of oral leukoplakia

A controlled clinical trial has been underway at the Istituto Nazionale Tumori (INT) of Milan since 1988. The goal of the trial is to evaluate the effectiveness of fenretinide (4-HPR) in preventing relapses, new localizations, and carcinomas in patients with benign postoperative diagnoses who have been surgically treated for oral leukoplakias. This paper presents the design and the preliminary results of this study. To date, 137 patients have been randomized, following surgical excision of oral leukoplakia, to receive either 200 mg 4-HPR daily for 52 weeks or no intervention. Twenty local relapses or new localizations have occurred so far in the control group and 9 in the 4-HPR group. Seven patients have interrupted the intervention because of toxicity. No impaired dark adaptation has been observed. We conclude that 4-HPR is well-tolerated and appears to be effective in preventing relapses and new localizations during the treatment period.

Risk of preneoplastic and neoplastic events in operated oral leukoplakias

We retrospectively analysed 167 consecutive patients with oral leukoplakias operated on by CO2 laser resection in the Day Hospital of the Istituto Nazionale Tumori in Milan from January 1981 to December 1988, with post-operative histological examination negative for cancer. Within 5 years there were 69 patients with at least one unfavourable event. First unfavourable events were: 31 local relapses, 27 new leukoplakias, 5 oral carcinomas and 6 other neoplasms elsewhere. To identify possible prognostic factors we recorded age, sex and history of previous oral leukoplakias or head and neck cancers; also number, site, size and type of lesion; as well as tobacco and alcohol consumption and oral hygiene. The Cox regression model was employed to compare disease-free survival between different patient groups, both by univariate and multivariate analysis. From this analysis it emerges that age of operated patients and size of resected lesion are significantly predictive for development of relapses, new leukoplakias and carcinomas.

Prognostic role of serum CA15.3 in 362 node-negative breast cancers. An old player for a new game

The aims of the present investigation were to evaluate the association between serum CA15.3 levels and other biological and clinical variables and its prognostic role in patients with node-negative breast cancer. We evaluated 362 patients operated upon primary breast cancer from 1982 to 1992 (median follow-up 69 months). Serum CA15.3 was measured by an immunoradiometric assay. The association between variables was investigated by a Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and the prognostic role of CA15.3 on relapse-free survival (RFS) was investigated by Cox regression models adjusting for age, oestrogen receptor (ER), tumour stage, and ER x age interaction, with both the likelihood ratio test and Harrell's c statistic. The prognostic contribution of CA 15.3 was highly significant. Log relative hazard of relapse was constant until approximately 10 (U/ml) of CA15.3 and increased thereafter with increasing marker levels. CA15.3 showed a significant contribution using as a cut-off point a value of 31 U/ml. However, the contribution to the model of the marker as a continuous variable is much greater. From these findings, we can conclude that: (i) CA15.3 is a prognostic marker in node-negative breast cancer; (ii) its relationship with prognosis is continuous, with the risk of relapse increasing progressively from approximately 10 U/ml.

Prognostic factors for metachronous contralateral breast cancer: a comparison of the linear Cox regression model and its artificial neural network extension

The purpose of the present study was to assess prognostic factor for metachronous contralateral recurrence of breast cancer (CBC). Two factors were of particular interest, namely estrogen (ER) and progesterone (PgR) receptors assayed with the biochemical method in primary tumor tissue. Information was obtained from a prospective clinical database for 1763 axillary node-negative women who had received curative surgery, mostly of the conservative type, and followed-up for a median of 82 months. The analysis was performed based on both a standard (linear) Cox model and an artificial neural network (ANN) extension of this model proposed by Faraggi and Simon. Furthermore, to assess the prognostic importance of the factors considered, model predictive ability was computed. In agreement with already published studies, the results of our analysis confirmed the prognostic role of age at surgery, histology, and primary tumor site, in that young patients (< or = 45 years) with tumors of lobular histology or located at inner/central mammary quadrants were at greater risk of developing CBC. ER and PgR were also shown to have a prognostic role. Their effect, however, was not simple in relation to the presence of interactions between ER and age, and between PgR and histology. In fact, ER appeared to play a protective role in young patients, whereas the opposite was true in older women. Higher levels of PgR implied a greater hazard of CBC occurrence in infiltrating duct carcinoma or tumors with an associated extensive intraductal component, and a lower hazard in infiltrating lobular carcinoma or other histotypes. In spite of the above findings, the predictive value of both the standard and ANN Cox models was relatively low, thus suggesting an intrinsic limitation of the prognostic variables considered, rather than their suboptimal modeling. Research for better prognostic variables should therefore continue.