The influence of diffusion cell type and experimental temperature on machine learning models of skin permeability

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to use Gaussian process regression (GPR) methods to quantify the effect of experimental temperature (T_exp ) and choice of diffusion cell on model quality and performance.

METHODS

Data were collated from the literature. Static and flow-through diffusion cell data were separated, and a series of GPR experiments was conducted. The effect of T_exp was assessed by comparing a range of datasets where T_exp either remained constant or was varied from 22 to 45 °C.

KEY FINDINGS

Using data from flow-through diffusion cells results in poor model performance. Data from static diffusion cells resulted in significantly greater performance. Inclusion of data from flow-through cell experiments reduces overall model quality. Consideration of T_exp improves model quality when the dataset used exhibits a wide range of experimental temperatures.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the problem of collating literature data into datasets from which models are constructed without consideration of the nature of those data. In order to optimise model quality data from only static, Franz-type, experiments should be used to construct the model and T_exp should either be incorporated as a descriptor in the model if data are collated from a range of studies conducted at different temperatures.

Model fitting for small skin permeability data sets: hyperparameter optimisation in Gaussian Process Regression

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to investigate how to improve predictions from Gaussian Process models by optimising the model hyperparameters.

METHODS

Optimisation methods, including Grid Search, Conjugate Gradient, Random Search, Evolutionary Algorithm and Hyper-prior, were evaluated and applied to previously published data. Data sets were also altered in a structured manner to reduce their size, which retained the range, or 'chemical space' of the key descriptors to assess the effect of the data range on model quality.

KEY FINDINGS

The Hyper-prior Smoothbox kernel results in the best models for the majority of data sets, and they exhibited significantly better performance than benchmark quantitative structure-permeability relationship (QSPR) models. When the data sets were systematically reduced in size, the different optimisation methods generally retained their statistical quality, whereas benchmark QSPR models performed poorly.

CONCLUSIONS

The design of the data set, and possibly also the approach to validation of the model, is critical in the development of improved models. The size of the data set, if carefully controlled, was not generally a significant factor for these models and that models of excellent statistical quality could be produced from substantially smaller data sets.

The application of machine learning to the modelling of percutaneous absorption: an overview and guide

Machine learning (ML) methods have been applied to the analysis of a range of biological systems. This paper reviews the application of these methods to the problem domain of skin permeability and addresses critically some of the key issues. Specifically, ML methods offer great potential in both predictive ability and their ability to provide mechanistic insight to, in this case, the phenomena of skin permeation. However, they are beset by perceptions of a lack of transparency and, often, once a ML or related method has been published there is little impetus from other researchers to adopt such methods. This is usually due to the lack of transparency in some methods and the lack of availability of specific coding for running advanced ML methods. This paper reviews critically the application of ML methods to percutaneous absorption and addresses the key issue of transparency by describing in detail - and providing the detailed coding for - the process of running a ML method (in this case, a Gaussian process regression method). Although this method is applied here to the field of percutaneous absorption, it may be applied more broadly to any biological system.