Trends in best-case, typical and worst-case survival scenarios of patients with non-metastatic esophagogastric cancer between 2006 and 2020: A population-based study

New treatment options and centralization of surgery have improved survival for patients with non-metastatic esophageal or gastric cancer. It is unknown, however, which patients benefitted the most from treatment advances. The aim of this study was to identify best-case, typical and worst-case scenarios in terms of survival time, and to assess if survival associated with these scenarios changed over time. Patients with non-metastatic potentially resectable esophageal or gastric cancer diagnosed between 2006 and 2020 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Best-case (20th percentile), upper-typical (40th percentile), typical (median), lower-typical (60th percentile) and worst-case (80th percentile) survival scenarios were defined, and regression analysis was used to investigate the change in survival time for each scenario across years. For patients with esophageal cancer (N = 24 352) survival time improved on average 12.0 (until 2011), 1.5 (until 2018), 0.7, 0.4 and 0.2 months per year for the best-case, upper-typical, median, lower-typical and worst-case scenario, respectively. For patients with gastric cancer (N = 9993) survival time of the best-case scenario remained constant, whereas the upper-typical, median, lower-typical and worst-case scenario improved on average with 1.0 (until 2018), 0.5, 0.2 and 0.2 months per year, respectively. Subgroup analyses showed that, survival scenarios improved for nearly all patients across treatment groups and for patients with squamous cell carcinomas or adenocarcinomas. Survival improved for almost all patients suggesting that in clinical practice the vast majority of patients benefitted from treatment advances. The clinically most meaningful survival advantage was observed for the best-case scenario of esophageal cancer.

The effect of definitive chemoradiotherapy on quality of life in patients with esophageal cancer: Analysis of the Dutch population-based POCOP registry

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Background: Definitive chemoradiotherapy (dCRT) can achieve durable local control and even curation in patients with locally advanced irresectable esophageal carcinoma. However, due to side-effects of this treatment, survival benefit may come at the cost of quality of life (QoL). This study aims to report prospectively collected patient-reported outcome measures (PROMs) after dCRT. Methods: Patients with squamous cell carcinoma or adenocarcinoma of the esophagus receiving dCRT and participating in the Prospective Observational Cohort Study of Oesophageal-gastric cancer Patients (POCOP) were eligible. dCRT was defined as radiotherapy consisting of at least 50.4Gy/28F with concomitant weekly carboplatin and paclitaxel. PROMs were extracted from the POCOP database, which uses validated questionnaires EORTC QLQ-C30 and OG25. Questionnaires were collected at baseline, at three months (3M), at six months (6M) and every three months thereafter for a total follow-up of 2 years. Clinical data were derived from the nationwide Netherlands Cancer Registry (NCR). PROMs were compared to baseline values using mixed effect models. Results: In total, 153 patients were included. The median age was 70 years and patients were predominantly male (73.2%). 51% of patients had esophageal adenocarcinoma and the majority had a performance status score 0 (39.9%) or 1 (46.4%). The number of returned questionnaires ranged from 96 at baseline to 106 at 3M and 36 at 2 years. Global Health Status at baseline was 69.9 (SD 17.6) and declined at 3M, although not significantly. At later time points, scores showed a trend towards improvement compared to baseline. Patients reported significantly lower physical (71.5, SD 19.4), role (67.8, SD 31.0) and social functioning (72.4, SD 29.1) at 3M compared to baseline (82.7, 79.7 and 81.5 respectively, all p<0.01). For social and role functioning, scores returned to baseline at 6M and subsequent time points, but physical functioning scores remained significantly lower compared to baseline. Patients reported more fatigue at 3M (42.0, SD 27.1) compared to baseline (28.9, p<0.001) but recovered at 6M. Emotional functioning significantly improved from baseline (73.5, SD 19.7) to 3M (80.1, SD 21.7, p=0.002) and subsequent time points. Patients reported an improvement of several disease-specific symptoms such as eating restrictions (-20.3, p<0.001), weight loss (-12.7, p<0.01), odynophagia (-21.9, p<0.001) and dysphagia (-17.9, p<0.001) at all time points, but most pronounced at 18 months after baseline. Conclusions: Prospectively collected PROMs showed that fatigue, social and role functioning temporarily deteriorated after dCRT. Physical functioning was decreased after three months and did not recover to baseline. Emotional functioning significantly improved and the burden of disease-specific symptoms decreased.

Population-based study of treatment and outcome of recurrent oesophageal or junctional cancer

BACKGROUND

Patients with cancer of the oesophagus or gastro-oesophageal junction have a high risk of recurrence after treatment with curative intent. The aim of this study was to analyse the site of recurrence, treatment, and survival in patients with recurrent disease.

METHODS

Patients with non-metastatic oesophageal or junctional carcinoma treated with curative intent between January 2015 and December 2016 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Data on recurrence were collected in the second half of 2019. Overall survival (OS) was assessed by Kaplan-Meier methods.

RESULTS

In total, 862 of 1909 patients (45.2 per cent) for whom information on follow-up was available had disease recurrence, and 858 patients were included. Some 161 of 858 patients (18.8 per cent) had locoregional recurrence only, 415 (48.4 per cent) had distant recurrence only, and 282 (32.9 per cent) had combined locoregional and distant recurrence. In all, 518 of 858 patients (60.4 per cent) received best supportive care only and 315 (39.6 per cent) underwent tumour-directed therapy. Patients with locoregional recurrence alone more often received chemoradiotherapy than those with distant or combined locoregional and distant recurrence (19.3 per cent versus 0.7 and 2.8 per cent), and less often received systemic therapy (11.2 per cent versus 30.1 and 35.8 per cent). Median OS was 7.6, 4.2, and 3.3 months for patients with locoregional, distant, and combined locoregional and distant recurrence respectively (P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Disease recurred after curative treatment in 45.2 per cent of patients. Locoregional recurrence developed in only 18.8 per cent. The vast majority of patients presented with distant or combined locoregional and distant recurrence, and received best supportive care.

Improving survival prediction of oesophageal cancer patients treated with external beam radiotherapy for dysphagia

INTRODUCTION

The recent POLDER trial investigated the effects of external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) on dysphagia caused by incurable oesophageal cancer. An estimated life expectancy of minimally three months was required for inclusion. However, nearly one-third of the included patients died within three months. The aim of this study was to investigate if the use of prediction models could have improved the physician's estimation of the patient's survival.

METHODS

Data from the POLDER trial (N = 110) were linked to the Netherlands Cancer Registry to retrieve patient, tumour, and treatment characteristics. Two published prediction models (the SOURCE model and Steyerberg model) were used to predict three-month survival for all patients included in the POLDER trial. Predicted survival probabilities were dichotomised and the accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the predictive performance.

RESULTS

The SOURCE and Steyerberg model had an accuracy of 79% and 64%, and an AUC of 0.76 and 0.60 (p = .017), respectively. The SOURCE model had higher specificity across survival cut-off probabilities, the Steyerberg model had a higher sensitivity beyond the survival probability cut-off of 0.7. Using optimal cut-off probabilities, SOURCE would have wrongfully included 16/110 patients into the POLDER and Steyerberg 34/110.

CONCLUSION

The SOURCE model was found to be a more useful decision aid than the Steyerberg model. Results showed that the SOURCE model could be used for three-month survival predictions for patients that are considered for palliative treatment of dysphagia caused by oesophageal cancer in addition to clinicians' judgement.

A population-based study in synchronous versus metachronous metastatic esophagogastric adenocarcinoma

Background:

Real-world data on treatment and outcomes in patients with synchronous metastatic disease compared with patients with metachronous metastatic disease in esophagogastric cancer have not been published before. The aim of our study was to explore treatment, overall survival (OS), and time to treatment fialure (TTF) in patients with synchronous and metachronous metastatic esophagogastric adenocarcinoma.

Methods:

Patients with synchronous metastatic disease (2015–2017) and patients with metachronous metastatic disease initially treated with curative intent for nonmetastatic disease (2015–2016) were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. OS and TTF were assessed from metastatic diagnosis for patients with synchronous, early metachronous (⩽6 months) or late metachronous (>6 months) metastatic disease using Kaplan–Meier curves with two-sided log-rank test.

Results:

Median OS was 4.2, 2.1, and 4.4 months in patients with synchronous, early metachronous, and late metachronous metastatic disease, respectively (p < 0.001). The proportion of patients receiving systemic treatment was 41.3%, 21.5%, and 32.5% for synchronous, early metachronous, and late metachronous metastatic disease, respectively (p = 0.001). Among patients receiving systemic treatment, median OS was 8.8, 4.5, and 9.1 months (p < 0.001) and median TTF was 6.1, 3.8, and 5.7 months (p < 0.001) in synchronous, early metachronous, and late metachronous metastatic disease, respectively.

Conclusion:

Patients with early metachronous metastatic disease have a worse survival compared with patients with synchronous or late metachronous metastatic disease. These patients less often receive systemic treatment, and even when treated, survival is worse compared with patients with synchronous or late metachronous metastatic disease, suggesting a more aggressive tumor behavior.

Survival expressed in best-case, typical and worst-case scenarios for patients with nonmetastatic esophagogastric cancer: A population-based study

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Background: In recent years new treatment options and the centralization of surgery have improved survival for patients with non-metastatic esophageal and gastric cancer. However, it is currently unknown which patients have mostly benefitted from these treatment advances. The aim of this study was to use population-based data to identify best-case, typical and worst-case scenarios in terms of survival time, and to assess if the survival of these scenarios have changed over time. Methods: Patients diagnosed between 2006-2019 with non-metastatic esophageal (including gastro-esophageal junction tumors) or gastric cancer were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Best-case, typical, and worst-case scenarios were calculated from the 20th (best-case scenario), 40th (upper-typical), 50th (median), 60th (lower-typical) and 80th (worst-case scenario) percentiles of the survival curves. Linear trend analysis was used to investigate the change in survival time for each scenario across diagnosis years. Results: We identified 23350 patients with non-metastatic esophageal cancer and 10150 patients with non-metastatic gastric cancer. Linear trend analyses across diagnosis years showed that for esophageal cancer patients, survival of all scenarios significantly increased over time: the best-case scenario increased from 55 to 112 months (p =.003); the upper typical increased from 18 to 33 months (p <.001); the median increased from 13 to 23 months (p <.001); the lower typical increased from 8 to 15 months (p <.001) and the worst-case scenario increased from 4 to 7 months (p <.001). For patients with gastric cancer, all scenarios also improved significantly: the best-case scenario increased from 73 to 99 months (p =.045); the upper-typical increased from 22 to 33 months (p <.001); the median increased from 14 to 18 months (p <.001); the lower-typical increased from 14 to 18 months (p <.001) and the worst-case scenario increased slightly from 2.9 months to 3.0 (p =.017). Conclusions: All patients with non-metastatic esophageal and gastric cancer have improved their survival over time.The largest survival advantage was among the best-case and upper-typical scenarios. Therefore, treatment advances over the last years have improved survival for all patients with non-metastatic esophagogastric cancer.

Improving survival prediction of patients treated with external beam radiotherapy for dysphagia in esophageal cancer using prediction models

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Background: The recently published POLDER trial investigated the effects of external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) on dysphagia caused by incurable esophageal cancer. As the effects of EBRT were presumed not to be immediate, an estimated life expectancy of minimally three months was required for inclusion. However, nearly a third of the included patients died within three months. The aim of this study was to investigate if the use of prediction models could have improved the physician’s estimation of the patient’s survival, and thus the eligibility for EBRT treatment. Methods: Data from the POLDER trial (N = 110) were linked to the Netherlands Cancer Registry to retrieve additional patient, tumor and treatment characteristics. Two published prediction models (the SOURCE model and Steyerberg model) were used to predict overall survival for all patients included in the POLDER trial. Predicted survival probabilities were dichotomized (predicted deceased/alive at three months) and the positive predictive value, negative predictive value, sensitivity, specificity and the area under the curve (AUC) were used to evaluate the predictive performance. DeLong’s test was used to test the difference between the AUCs of the SOURCE and Steyerberg models for statistical significance. Results: In the POLDER trial, 35 patients were unjustly presumed to survive three months. Predicting survival at three months, the SOURCE and Steyerberg model had an AUC of 0.76 and 0.60 respectively. The difference between the AUCs of the models was significant (p =.017). Under optimal survival cut-off scores, SOURCE would have incorrectly predicted 16 patients to survive three months. For the Steyerberg model this was 22 patients. Furthermore, using SOURCE under these cut-off scores, seven patients were incorrectly predicted to not survive three months compared to 18 patients using the Steyerberg model. Conclusions: Results showed that the SOURCE and Steyerberg models could have improved survival predictions compared to clinical judgement alone. The SOURCE model was found to be a more useful decision aid than the Steyerberg model as it was more accurate. Accepting that a small proportion of patients are incorrectly predicted not to survive three months and are not considered for EBRT treatment, we recommend using the SOURCE model for patients that are considered for palliative treatment of dysphagia caused by esophageal cancer.

Treatment patterns and survival in advanced unresectable esophageal squamous cell cancer: a population-based study

Data on treatment and survival of patients with advanced unresectable esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC) from Western populations are limited. Here we describe treatment and survival in patients with advanced unresectable ESCC: patients with cT4b disease without metastases (cT4b), metastases limited to the supraclavicular lymph nodes (SCLNM) or distant metastatic ESCC at population level. All patients with unresectable (cT4b) or synchronous metastatic ESCC at primary diagnosis (2015-2018) or patients with metachronous metastases after primary non-metastatic diagnosis in 2015-2016 were selected from the Netherlands Cancer Registry. Fifteen percent of patients had cT4b disease (n=146), 12% SCLNM (n=118) and 72% distant metastases (n=681). Median OS was 6.3, 11.2 and 4.4 months in patients with cT4b, SCLNM and distant metastases, respectively (P<0.001). Multivariable Cox regression showed that patients with cT4b (hazard ratio 1.44, 95% CI 1.04-1.99) and patients with distant metastases (hazard ratio 1.42, 95% CI 1.12-1.80) had a worse survival compared to patients with SCLNM. Among patients who received chemoradiotherapy and/or underwent resection (primary tumor and/or metastases), median OS was 11.9, 16.1 and 14.0 months in patients with cT4b, SCLNM and distant metastases, respectively (P=0.76). Patients with SCLNM had a better survival compared to patients with cT4b and patients with distant metastases. Survival of patients with advanced unresectable ESCC in clinical practice was poor, even in patients treated with curative intent.

Randomized Study on Dose Escalation in Definitive Chemoradiation for Patients With Locally Advanced Esophageal Cancer (ARTDECO Study)

PURPOSE

To analyze the effect of radiation dose escalation to the primary tumor on local tumor control in definitive chemoradiation (dCRT) for patients with esophageal cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with medically inoperable and/or irresectable esophageal carcinoma, referred for dCRT, were randomly assigned between a standard dose (SD) of 50.4 Gy/1.8 Gy for 5.5 weeks to the tumor and regional lymph nodes and a high dose (HD) up to a total dose of 61.6 Gy to the primary tumor. Chemotherapy consisted of courses of concurrent carboplatin (area under the curve 2) and paclitaxel (50 mg/m²) in both arms once a week for 6 weeks. The primary end point was local progression-free survival.

RESULTS

Between September 2012 and June 2018, 260 patients were included. Squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) was present in 61% of patients, and 39% had adenocarcinoma (AC). Radiation treatment was completed by 94%, and 85% had at least five courses of chemotherapy. The median follow-up time for all patients was 50 months. The 3-year local progression-free survival (LPFS) was 70% in the SD arm versus 73% in the HD arm (not significant). The LPFS for SCC and AC was 75% versus 79% and 61% versus 61% for SD and HD, respectively (not significant). The 3-year locoregional progression-free survival was 52% and 59% for the SD and HD arms, respectively (P = .08). Overall, grade 4 and 5 common toxicity criteria were 12% and 5% in the SD arm versus 14% and 10% in the HD arm, respectively (P = .15).

CONCLUSION

In dCRT for esophageal cancer, radiation dose escalation up to 61.6 Gy to the primary tumor did not result in a significant increase in local control over 50.4 Gy. The absence of a dose effect was observed in both AC and SCC.

TGF-β and PD-L1 inhibition combined with definitive chemoradiotherapy in esophageal squamous cell carcinoma: A phase II clinical trial (NCT04595149)

TPS4154

Background: Esophageal cancer is the 6th leading cause of mortality worldwide, with an overall 5-year survival rate of 10%. This is in part due to more than 50% of patients presenting with irresectable or metastatic disease. With the introduction of definitive chemoradiation, 3-year survival rates of patients with irresectable tumors have risen to up to 40% (Hulshof et al., ASCO GI Oral Presentation, 2020). However, treatment still fails in the majority of patients due to locoregional recurrences or development of metastatic disease. Recently, it has been shown that addition of TGF-β inhibition to chemoradiation may improve treatment efficacy (Steins et al., Int J Cancer, 2019). Additionally, PD-L1 inhibition has emerged as a relevant therapeutic strategy in specific patient subgroups, such as squamous cell carcinoma (Kato et al., The Lancet Oncology, 2019). In this phase II study, we will investigate the feasibility of addition of bintrafusp alfa, a bifunctional fusion protein blocking TGF-β and PD-L1, to definitive chemoradiation in patients with esophageal squamous cell carcinoma. Methods: To assess feasibility, 52 patients will receive definitive chemoradiation combined with three doses of bintrafusp alfa at week 1, 4 and 7 (Table). Feasibility is defined as ≥80% of patients completing 2 cycles of bintrafusp alfa and will be tested with a one-sample test for a binomial proportion, comparing the observed percentage to the fixed reference value of unfeasibility (62%). Secondary endpoints are toxicity, progression-free survival, overall survival and quality of life. Additionally, exploratory endpoints include development of biomarkers to predict treatment response. Eligible for inclusion are patients with surgically irresectable (T1-4a N+ M0) squamous cell carcinoma of the esophagus or gastro-esophageal junction, or patients with resectable tumors refraining from radical surgery. Patients with M1 disease solely on the basis of supraclavicular metastasis are eligible. Patients with locoregional recurrences are eligible, provided that full dose of radiation can be safely delivered. Currently, 2 of planned 52 patients have been enrolled. Clinical trial information: NCT04595149. [Table: see text]

Patterns of recurrence following definitive chemoradiation for patients with proximal esophageal cancer

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this retrospective study was to determine the patterns of recurrence and overall survival (OS) in patients achieving clinical complete response after treatment with definitive chemoradiation (CRT) for proximal esophageal cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with proximal esophageal cancer treated with CRT between 2004 and 2014 in 11 centers in the Netherlands were included. OS and progression-free survival (PFS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cumulative incidence of first recurrence (locoregional or distant) and locoregional recurrence (LRR) were assessed using competing risk analyses.

RESULTS

In 197 of the 200 identified patients, response was evaluated, 133 (68%) showed a complete response. In complete responders, median OS, three-year OS, and PFS were 45.0 months (95% CI 34.8-61.5 months), 58% (95% CI 48-66), and 49% (95% CI 40-57), respectively. Three- and five-year risk of recurrence were respectively 40% (95% CI 31-48), and 45% (95% CI 36-54). Three- and five-year risk of LRR were 26% (95% CI 19-33), and 30% (95% CI 22-38). Eight of 32 patients with an isolated LRR underwent salvage surgery, with a median OS of 32.0 months (95% CI 6.8-not reached).

CONCLUSION

In patients with a complete response after definitive CRT for proximal esophageal cancer, most recurrences were locoregional and developed within the first three years after CRT. These findings suggest to shorten locoregional follow-up from five to three years.

Patient-reported outcomes after external beam radiotherapy versus brachytherapy for palliation of dysphagia in esophageal cancer: A matched comparison of two prospective trials

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

A matched comparison of external beam radiotherapy (EBRT) versus brachytherapy recently demonstrated that EBRT appears at least as effective for palliating dysphagia in patients with incurable esophageal cancer. The aim of this analysis was to compare patient-reported outcomes (PROs) after EBRT versus brachytherapy.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In a multicenter prospective cohort study, patients with incurable esophageal cancer requiring palliation of dysphagia were included to undergo EBRT (20 Gy in 5 fractions). This EBRT cohort was compared to the single-dose 12 Gy brachytherapy cohort of the previously reported SIREC-trial. Propensity score matching was applied to adjust for baseline imbalances. The primary endpoint of dysphagia improvement was reported previously. PROs were secondary outcomes and assessed at baseline and 3 months after treatment using EORTC QLQ-C30 and QLQ-OES18 questionnaires.

RESULTS

A total of 115 enrolled EBRT patients and 93 brachytherapy patients were eligible. After matching, 69 well-balanced pairs remained. At follow-up, significant deteriorations in functioning (i.e. physical, role, social), pain, appetite loss, and trouble with taste were observed after brachytherapy. In the EBRT group, such deterioration was observed only for role functioning, while significant improvements in trouble with eating and pain were found. Between-group comparison showed mostly comparable PRO changes, but significantly favored EBRT with regard to nausea, vomiting, pain, and appetite loss.

CONCLUSION

Short course EBRT results in similar or better PROs at 3 months after treatment compared to single-dose brachytherapy for the palliation of malignant dysphagia. These findings further support its use and inclusion in clinical practice guidelines.

A national study to assess outcomes of definitive chemoradiation regimens in proximal esophageal cancer

Background: Proximal esophageal cancer (EC) is commonly treated with definitive chemoradiation (CRT). The radiation dose and type of chemotherapy backbone are still under debate. The objective of this study was to compare the treatment outcomes of contemporary CRT regimens.Material and Methods: In this retrospective observational cohort study, we included patients with locally advanced squamous cell cancer of the proximal esophagus, from 11 centers in the Netherlands, treated with definitive CRT between 2004 and 2014. Each center had a preferential CRT regimen, based on cisplatin (Cis) or carboplatin-paclitaxel (CP) combined with low (≤50.4 Gy) or high (>50.4 Gy) dose radiotherapy (RT). Differences in overall survival (OS) between CRT regimens were assessed using a fully adjusted Cox proportional hazards and propensity score (PS) weighted model. Safety profiles were compared using a multilevel logistic regression model.Results: Two hundred patients were included. Fifty-four, 39, 95, and 12 patients were treated with Cis-low-dose RT, Cis-high-dose RT, CP-low-dose RT, and CP-high-dose RT, respectively. Median follow-up was 62.6 months (95% CI: 47.9-77.2 months). Median OS (21.9 months; 95% CI: 16.9-27.0 months) was comparable between treatment groups (logrank p = .88), confirmed in the fully adjusted and PS weighted model (p > .05). Grades 3-5 acute adverse events were less frequent in patients treated with CP-low-dose RT versus Cis-high-dose RT (OR 3.78; 95% CI: 1.31-10.87; p = .01). The occurrence of grades 3-5 late toxicities was not different between treatment groups.Conclusion: Our study was unable to demonstrate a difference in OS between the CRT regimens, probably related to the relatively small sample size. Based on the superior safety profile, carboplatin and paclitaxel-based CRT regimens are preferred in patients with locally advanced proximal EC.

Low-Dose Versus High-Dose Radiation Therapy for the Palliation of Dysphagia From Esophageal Cancer: A Multicenter Retrospective Cohort Study

PURPOSE

Clinical evidence regarding optimal radiation dose for palliation of dysphagia from esophageal cancer is generally lacking. In an effort to investigate optimal radiation dose, we assessed 2 different radiation schedules for palliation of dysphagia.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

We performed a multicenter, retrospective study comparing low-dose radiation therapy (LR: 5 x 4 Gy external beam radiation therapy [EBRT]) with high-dose radiation therapy (HR: 10 x 3 Gy EBRT and 12-Gy single-dose intraluminal brachytherapy) for palliation of dysphagia in patients with inoperable or metastasized esophageal cancer. Primary outcome was improvement of dysphagia at 6 weeks after start of radiation therapy. Additional outcomes were persistent and recurrent dysphagia during patients' remaining life, severe adverse events, and survival.

RESULTS

In total, 292 patients (LR, n = 117; HR, n = 175) were included in this study. After matching, 144 patients (72 in each group) were compared. Improvement of dysphagia at 6 weeks was achieved in 50% of patients after LR and in 66% after HR (P = .071). Persistent or recurrent dysphagia occurred in 64% of patients after LR and in 42% after HR (P = .012). No difference in the rate of severe adverse events was found (P = .889). Median survival was 88 days (95% confidence interval, 64-112) after LR and 177 days (95% confidence interval, 131-223) after HR (P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that both LR and HR were well tolerated and effective in short-term relief of dysphagia in patients with inoperable or metastasized esophageal cancer. HR was associated with better long-term relief of dysphagia compared with LR. Our findings suggest that HR could be considered for patients with a longer life expectancy, but prospective studies are required.

Trends in treatment and overall survival among patients with proximal esophageal cancer

BACKGROUND

The management of proximal esophageal cancer differs from that of tumors located in the mid and lower part of the esophagus due to the close vicinity of vital structures. Non-surgical treatment options like radiotherapy and definitive chemoradiation (CRT) have been implemented. The trends in (non-)surgical treatment and its impact on overall survival (OS) in patients with proximal esophageal cancer are unclear, related to its rare disease status. To optimize treatment strategies and counseling of patients with proximal esophageal cancer, it is therefore essential to gain more insight through real-life studies.

AIM

To establish trends in treatment and OS in patients with proximal esophageal cancer.

METHODS

In this population-based study, patients with proximal esophageal cancer diagnosed between 1989 and 2014 were identified in the Netherlands Cancer Registry. The proximal esophagus consists of the cervical esophagus and the upper thoracic section, extending to 24 cm from the incisors. Trends in radiotherapy, chemotherapy, and surgery, and OS were assessed. Analyses were stratified by presence of distant metastasis. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression analyses was performed to assess the effect of period of diagnosis on OS, adjusted for patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics.

RESULTS

In total, 2783 patients were included. Over the study period, the use of radiotherapy, resection, and CRT in non-metastatic disease changed from 53%, 23%, and 1% in 1989-1994 to 21%, 9%, and 49% in 2010-2014, respectively. In metastatic disease, the use of chemotherapy and radiotherapy increased over time. Median OS of the total population increased from 7.3 mo [95% confidence interval (CI): 6.4-8.1] in 1989-1994 to 9.5 mo (95%CI: 8.1-10.8) in 2010-2014 (logrank P < 0.001). In non-metastatic disease, 5-year OS rates improved from 5% (95%CI: 3%-7%) in 1989-1994 to 13% (95%CI: 9%-17%) in 2010-2014 (logrank P < 0.001). Multivariable regression analysis demonstrated a significant treatment effect over time on survival. In metastatic disease, median OS was 3.8 mo (95%CI: 2.5-5.1) in 1989-1994, and 5.1 mo (95%CI: 4.3-5.9) in 2010-2014 (logrank P = 0.26).

CONCLUSION

OS significantly improved in non-metastatic proximal esophageal cancer, likely to be associated with an increased use of CRT. Patterns in metastatic disease did not change significantly over time.

Reduced inter-observer and intra-observer delineation variation in esophageal cancer radiotherapy by use of fiducial markers

Objective: Delineation variation of esophageal tumors remains a large source of geometric uncertainty. In the present study, we investigated the inter- and intra-observer variation in esophageal gross tumor volume (GTV) delineation and the impact of endoscopically implanted fiducial markers on these variations. Material/Methods: Ten esophageal cancer patients with at least two markers endoscopically implanted at the cranial and caudal tumor borders and visible on the planning computed tomography (pCT) were included in this study. Five dedicated gastrointestinal radiation oncologists independently delineated GTVs on the pCT without markers and with markers. The GTV was first delineated on pCTs where markers were digitally removed and next on the original pCT with markers. Both delineation series were executed twice to determine intra-observer variation. For both the inter- and intra-observer analyses, the generalized conformity index (CI_gen), and the standard deviation (SD) of the distances between delineated surfaces (i.e., overall, longitudinal, and radial SDs) were calculated. Linear mixed-effect models were used to compare the without and with markers series (α = 0.05). Results: Both the inter- and intra-observer CI_gen were significantly larger in the series with markers than in the series without markers (p < .001). For the series without markers vs. with markers, the inter-observer overall SD, longitudinal SD, and radial SD was 0.63 cm vs. 0.22 cm, 1.44 cm vs. 0.42 cm, and 0.26 cm vs. 0.18 cm, respectively (p < .05); moreover, the intra-observer overall SD, longitudinal SD, and radial SD was 0.45 cm vs. 0.26 cm, 1.10 cm vs. 0.41 cm, and 0.22 cm vs. 0.15 cm, respectively (p < .05). Conclusion: The presence of markers at the cranial and caudal tumor borders significantly reduced both inter- and intra-observer GTV delineation variation, especially in the longitudinal direction. Our results endorse the use of markers in GTV delineation for esophageal cancer patients.

Survival after whole brain radiotherapy for brain metastases from lung cancer and breast cancer is poor in 6325 Dutch patients treated between 2000 and 2014

BACKGROUND

Whole brain radiotherapy (WBRT) is considered standard of care for patients with multiple brain metastases or unfit for radical treatment modalities. Recent studies raised discussion about the expected survival after WBRT. Therefore, we analysed survival after WBRT for brain metastases 'in daily practice' in a large nationwide multicentre retrospective cohort.

METHODS

Between 2000 and 2014, 6325 patients had WBRT (20 Gy in 4 Gy fractions) for brain metastases from non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC; 4363 patients) or breast cancer (BC; 1962 patients); patients were treated in 15 out of 21 Dutch radiotherapy centres. Survival was calculated by the Kaplan-Meier method from the first day of WBRT until death as recorded in local hospital data registration or the Dutch Municipal Personal Records Database.

FINDINGS

The median survival was 2.7 months for NSCLC and 3.7 months for BC patients (p < .001). For NSCLC patients aged <50, 50-60, 60-70 and >70 years, survival was 4.0, 3.0, 2.8 and 2.1 months, respectively (p < .001). For BC patients, survival was 4.5, 3.8, 3.2 and 2.9 months, respectively (p = .047). In multivariable analyses, higher age was related to poorer survival with hazard ratios (HR) for patients aged 50-60, 60-70 and >70 years being 1.05, 1.19 and 1.34, respectively. Primary BC (HR: 0.83) and female sex (HR: 0.85) were related to better survival (p < .001).

INTERPRETATION

The survival of patients after WBRT for brain metastases from NSCLC treated in Dutch 'common radiotherapy practice' is poor, in breast cancer and younger patients it is disappointingly little better. These results are in line with the results presented in the QUARTZ trial and we advocate a much more restrictive use of WBRT. In patients with a more favourable prognosis the optimal treatment strategy remains to be determined. Prospective randomized trials and individualized prognostic models are needed to identify these patients and to tailor treatment.

Definitive chemoradiation for locoregional recurrences of esophageal cancer after primary curative treatment

The aim of this study was to determine the outcome of salvage definitive chemoradiation (dCRT) for a locoregional recurrence after any prior curative treatment outside previously irradiated areas. Thirty-nine patients treated between January 2005 and December 2014 were reviewed for locoregional recurrent esophageal cancer outside previously irradiated areas. All patients received salvage treatment with external beam radiotherapy (50.4 Gy in 28 fractions) combined with weekly concurrent paclitaxel and carboplatin. The median follow-up period was 15 months (range 1.7-120). The median overall survival (OS) for all patients after salvage dCRT was 22 months (95% CI 6.2-37.6). The 1-, 3-, and 5-year OS was 72%, 31%, and 28%, respectively. Median survival after salvage dCRT for a regional lymph node recurrence was 33 months (95% CI 5.8-60.3) versus 14 months (95% CI 6.8-21.6) for a recurrence at the anastomosis (P = 0.022, logrank). Median OS was 35 months for the squamous cell carcinoma group and 19 months for the adenocarcinoma group (P = 0.67). Sixteen of 39 patients developed a locoregional recurrence after salvaged dCRT. The median locoregional recurrence-free survival (LRFS) was 24 months. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year LRFS was 79%, 36%, and 36%, respectively. Median disease-free survival (DFS) was 15 months. The 1-, 3-, and 5-year DFS was 66%, 27%, and 27%, respectively. Of 16 patients, 8 (50%) with a primary failure at the site of the anastomosis developed a local recurrence after salvaged dCRT compared to 7 of 22 patients (32%) with a primary recurrence in a lymph node. Definitive chemoradiation is a feasible and effective treatment for locoregional recurrent esophageal cancer outside a previously irradiated area, and should be given with a curative intent. This holds true for recurrence of both squamous cell carcinoma and adenocarcinoma. Lymph node recurrences have a markedly better prognosis than recurrences at the site of the anastomosis.

Supraclavicular node disease is not an independent prognostic factor for survival of esophageal cancer patients treated with definitive chemoradiation

BACKGROUND

The prognostic value of supraclavicular lymph node (SCN) metastases in esophageal cancer is not well established. We analyzed the prognostic value of SCN disease in patients after definitive chemoradiation (dCRT) for esophageal cancer.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 207 patients treated between 2003 and 2013 to identify the prognostic value of metastasis in the SCN on treatment failure and survival. All patients were treated with external beam radiotherapy (50.4 Gy in 28 fractions) combined with weekly concurrent paclitaxel 50 mg/m² and carboplatin AUC2.

RESULTS

Median follow-up for patients alive was 43.3 months. The median overall survival (OS) for all patients was 17.5 months. OS at one, three and five years was 67%, 36% and 21%, respectively. For patients with metastasis in a SCN, OS was 23.6 months compared to 17.1 months for patients without metastasis in the SCN (p = .51). In multivariate analyses, higher cT status, cN status and adenocarcinoma were found to be prognostically unfavorable, but a positive SCN was not (p = .67). Median OS and median disease-free survival for tumors with SCN involvement and N0/1 disease was 49.0 months and 51.6 months, respectively, compared to 14.2 months and 8.2 months, respectively, in patients with N2/3 disease.

CONCLUSION

In esophageal cancer treated with dCRT, the number of affected lymph nodes is an important independent prognostic factor, whereas involvement of a SCN is not. Supraclavicular lymph nodes should be considered as regional lymph nodes and treated with curative intent if the total number of involved lymph nodes is limited.