Outcome prediction in intensive care: results of a prospective, multicentre, Portuguese study

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of the New Simplified Acute Physiology Score (SAPS II) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II in an independent database, using formal statistical assessment.

DESIGN

Analysis of the database of a multicentre, prospective study.

SETTING

19 intensive care units (ICUs) in Portugal.

PATIENTS

Data for 1094 patients consecutively admitted to the ICUs were collected over a period of 4 months. Following the original SAPS II and APACHE II criteria, the analysis excluded patients younger than 18 years of age, readmissions, acute myocardial infarction, burns, patients in the post-operative period after coronary artery bypass surgery, and patients with a length of stay in the ICU of less than 24 h. The group analysed comprised 982 patients.

INTERVENTIONS

Collection of the first 24 h admission data necessary for the calculation of SAPS II, APACHE II, Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS), Simplified TISS, organ system failure and basic demographic statistics. Vital status at discharge from the hospital was registered.

MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS

In this cohort, discrimination was better for SAPS II than for APACHE II (SAPS II: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.817, standard error 0.015; APACHE II: 0.787, 0.015; p < 0.001); however, both models presented a poor calibration, with significant differences between observed and predicted mortality (Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit tests H and C, p < 0.001). In a stratified analysis, this study was unable to demonstrate any definite pattern of association between the poor performance of the models and specific subgroups of patients except for the most severely ill patients, where both models overestimated mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

SAPS II performed better than APACHE II in this independent database, but the results do not allow its use, at least without being customised, to analyse quality of care or performance among ICUs in the target population.

Validation of the simplified therapeutic intervention scoring system on an independent database

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the performance of the Simplified Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System on an independent database and determine its relation with the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System in the quantification of nursing workload in intensive care.

DESIGN

Analysis of the database of a multicenter prospective Portuguese study.

SETTING

19 intensive care units (ICUs) in Portugal.

PATIENTS

Data on 1094 patients consecutively admitted to the ICUs were collected during a period of 3 months.

METHODS

Collection of the data necessary for the calculation of the Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS-76) and the Simplified Therapeutic Intervention Scoring System (TISS-28) during the first 24 h in the ICU. Basic demographic statistics and all the variables necessary for the computation of the Simplified Acute Physiology Score II were also collected. Vital status at discharge from the hospital was registered. Regression techniques, Pearson's correlation and paired sample t-test were used. Results are presented as mean +/- standard deviation except when stated otherwise. Reliability was evaluated by the use of intraclass correlation coefficients in a 5% random sample.

MEASUREMENTS AND RESULTS

After exclusion of all the patients with missing data, 1080 patients were analysed. The overall mean TISS-28 (29.82 +/- 10.64) was significantly lower than the mean TISS-76 (31.14 +/- 11.95). Both systems showed very significant differences between ICUs (p < 0.001). The correlation between the two was good, with TISS-28 explaining 72% of the variation of TISS-76 (r = 0.85, r2 = 0.72). The relation between the two systems was TISS-28 = 6.22 + 0.85 TISS-76. In this cohort, reliability of data collection was very high, with intraclass correlation coefficients greater than 0.90 for both systems.

CONCLUSIONS

TISS-28 was validated on this independent population. The results indicate that TISS-28 can replace TISS-76 for the measurement of the nursing workload in Portuguese ICUs.

Role of splenectomy in homozygous sickle cell disease in childhood

60 Jamaican children with homozygous sickle cell (SS) disease underwent splenectomy, 14 for prophylaxis against recurrent acute splenic sequestration and 46 for treatment of sustained hypersplenism. Age at operation varied from 9 months to 16 years. Patients were followed up for 1 month to 27 years (median 6 years), with a total of 369 years of patient-observation. None of the 3 patients who died, at ages 2 1/2, 6 1/2, and 21 years, had received prophylaxis against infection. Overwhelming sepsis was possible but not confirmed in the first two deaths which occurred 11 months and 2 1/2 years after operation; the third died from chronic renal failure 11 years after splenectomy. After operation, there were no confirmed cases of pneumococcal septicaemia or meningitis, and the commonest clinical event was the acute chest syndrome.

Restrictive dermopathy--a lethal congenital laminopathy. Case report and review of the literature

Restrictive dermopathy (RD) is a rare, fatal, and genetically heterogeneous laminopathy with a predominant autosomal recessive heredity pattern. The phenotype can be caused by mutations in either LMNA (primary laminopathy) or ZMPSTE24 (secondary laminopathy) genes but mostly by homozygous or compound heterozygous ZMPSTE24 mutations. Clinicopathologic findings are unique, allowing a specific diagnosis in most cases. We describe a premature newborn girl of non-consanguineous parents who presented a rigid, translucent and tightly adherent skin, dysmorphic facies, multiple joint contractures and radiological abnormalities. The overall clinical, radiological, histological, and ultrastructural features were typical of restrictive dermopathy. Molecular genetic analysis revealed a homozygous ZMPSTE24 mutation (c.1085_1086insT). Parents and sister were heterozygous asymptomatic carriers. We conclude that RD is a relatively easy and consistent clinical and pathological diagnosis. Despite recent advances in our understanding of RD, the pathogenetic mechanisms of the disease are not entirely clarified. Recognition of RD and molecular genetic diagnosis are important to define the prognosis of an affected child and for recommending genetic counseling to affected families. However, the outcome for a live born patient in the neonatal period is always fatal.

Evaluation and selection of indicators for land degradation and desertification monitoring: methodological approach

An approach to derive relationships for defining land degradation and desertification risk and developing appropriate tools for assessing the effectiveness of the various land management practices using indicators is presented in the present paper. In order to investigate which indicators are most effective in assessing the level of desertification risk, a total of 70 candidate indicators was selected providing information for the biophysical environment, socio-economic conditions, and land management characteristics. The indicators were defined in 1,672 field sites located in 17 study areas in the Mediterranean region, Eastern Europe, Latin America, Africa, and Asia. Based on an existing geo-referenced database, classes were designated for each indicator and a sensitivity score to desertification was assigned to each class based on existing research. The obtained data were analyzed for the various processes of land degradation at farm level. The derived methodology was assessed using independent indicators, such as the measured soil erosion rate, and the organic matter content of the soil. Based on regression analyses, the collected indicator set can be reduced to a number of effective indicators ranging from 8 to 17 in the various processes of land degradation. Among the most important indicators identified as affecting land degradation and desertification risk were rain seasonality, slope gradient, plant cover, rate of land abandonment, land-use intensity, and the level of policy implementation.

Evaluation and selection of indicators for land degradation and desertification monitoring: types of degradation, causes, and implications for management

Indicator-based approaches are often used to monitor land degradation and desertification from the global to the very local scale. However, there is still little agreement on which indicators may best reflect both status and trends of these phenomena. In this study, various processes of land degradation and desertification have been analyzed in 17 study sites around the world using a wide set of biophysical and socioeconomic indicators. The database described earlier in this issue by Kosmas and others (Environ Manage, 2013) for defining desertification risk was further analyzed to define the most important indicators related to the following degradation processes: water erosion in various land uses, tillage erosion, soil salinization, water stress, forest fires, and overgrazing. A correlation analysis was applied to the selected indicators in order to identify the most important variables contributing to each land degradation process. The analysis indicates that the most important indicators are: (i) rain seasonality affecting water erosion, water stress, and forest fires, (ii) slope gradient affecting water erosion, tillage erosion and water stress, and (iii) water scarcity soil salinization, water stress, and forest fires. Implementation of existing regulations or policies concerned with resources development and environmental sustainability was identified as the most important indicator of land protection.

Efficacy and safety of propranolol in the treatment of parotid hemangioma

A 2-month-old female patient presented an extensive bilateral parotid hemangioma (PH) focally ulcerated. Additionally, hepatic ultrasonography revealed a hemangioendothelioma located at right lobe. She was treated with oral prednisolone (3 mg/kg/day) during 10 months with clinical improvement of PH, despite failure to thrive and arterial hypertension. However, regrowth of the lesion occurred after discontinuation of oral steroid. Propranolol hydrochloride (2 mg/kg/day divided into two doses) was then started and maintained for 16 months, with marked involution of the hemangioma and with no systemic side effects during treatment course. Curiously, also the liver hemangioendothelioma completely resolved after starting propranolol. PH is a threatening cervicofacial segmental hemangioma that frequently proliferates after the year of age and needs long-term treatment. On the other hand, hepatic hemangioendotheliomas may be associated with cutaneous hemangiomas in some patients and their natural history is similar to these, although patients may die of associated conditions. As for other infantile hemangiomas, propranolol proved to be an effective, safe, and well-tolerated treatment for PH. Its role in liver hemangiomas and hemangioendotheliomas should also be taken into account.

Infliximab in psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis

Psoriasis is a chronic inflammatory disorder of the skin and joints. Although rarely life threatening, psoriasis can significantly impair quality of life (QOL) and cause considerable physical and psychological distress. Between 6 and 42% of patients with psoriasis develop psoriatic arthritis, which is characterized by stiffness, pain, swelling and tenderness of the joints. Nail psoriasis is highly prevalent in both plaque-type psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis and is found in approximately 50% of patients with psoriasis and in 80% of patients with psoriatic arthritis. Infliximab, a chimeric human-murine monoclonal antibody directed against tumour necrosis factor α, is approved in the USA and EU for the treatment of plaque psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis at a recommended dosage of 5 mg/kg administered by intravenous infusion at 0,2 and 6 weeks, then every 8 weeks thereafter. The EXPRESS and EXPRESS II trials demonstrated that infliximab is efficacious as induction and maintenance therapy in the treatment of moderate to severe plaque psoriasis and also improved health-related QOL. Infliximab is also efficacious in the treatment of psoriatic arthritis, as shown in the IMPACT and IMPACT II studies. Infliximab is generally well tolerated, with a similar adverse event profile in both psoriasis and psoriatic arthritis. The use of infliximab in three case reports is presented. The patients are similar to those normally seen by clinicians, and include a male patient with plaque psoriasis and a history of severe psoriatic arthritis who was corticosteroid dependent and in whom other systemic treatments were not effective or were not able to be used. This patient showed a rapid response to infliximab with no skin lesions or arthritis after 7 weeks' treatment. Infliximab was also safe and effective in the treatment of a female patient with plaque and nail psoriasis and a history of psoriatic arthritis. Importantly, this case report supports the efficacy of infliximab in psoriatic nail disease in the context of severe skin and joint involvement. Case 3 describes a young male patient with moderate plaque-type psoriasis associated with severe nail involvement and early signs of psoriatic arthritis. Treatment with infliximab improved nail psoriasis and appears to be an effective biological treatment for nail psoriasis. Importantly, ultrasound was able to diagnose joint involvement, as seen from the proliferative synovitis in the distal interphalangeal joint and mild enthesitis, despite there being no clinical evidence of psoriatic arthritis. This case report highlights the importance of early screening. If such abnormalities are detected early on in the course of psoriasis, clinicians may be able to predict which patients are more likely to develop psoriatic arthritis, and therefore offer effective and long-term treatment that may reduce the disability and impairment of daily activities that can be associated with psoriatic arthritis.

Nonpigmented fixed drug eruption induced by esomeprazole

A 56-year-old white woman developed a distinctive skin eruption over her mammary, lumbosacral, and pubic areas 2 weeks after the start of esomeprazole therapy for dyspeptic symptoms. Skin biopsy disclosed a spongiotic dermatitis with predominantly lymphocytic dermal infiltrate. Treatment with a tapering dose of corticosteroid and withdrawal of the suspected drug led to a rapid resolution of the eruption without residual dyschromia. Patch testing with esomeprazole 2% in petrolatum was negative at 48 and 72 hours but became positive on day 6. Oral-controlled provocation test induced the reappearance of the lesions over the mammary areas, confirming the putative involvement of this drug. Therefore, the patient was diagnosed as having a nonpigmented fixed drug eruption associated with esomeprazole. This compound is a proton-pump inhibitor developed as the S-isomer of omeprazole to improve its pharmacokinetic properties. Reports of cutaneous reactions to proton-pump inhibitors are quite common, but reports of such reactions to esomeprazole are rare, which demonstrates the need for higher clinical awareness and knowledge of reactions to these drugs.

Photoletter to the editor: The Friar Tuck sign in trichotillomania

Trichotillomania (TTM) is an impulse-control disorder, in which patients chronically pull hair from the scalp and/or other sites. We herein report a 8-year-old male patient who developed TTM in the classical tonsure pattern ("Friar Tuck" sign). The diagnosis was confirmed by trichoscopy, which showed decreased hair density, broken hairs with different shaft lengths, black dots, signs of hemorrhage, and an absence of exclamation mark hairs.

Cardiac performance in children with homozygous sickle cell disease

Cardiac function was evaluated in 24 children from a Jamaican sickle cell cohort study. Ten patients with sickle cell disease underwent echocardiographic studies on their eighth birthday. The results were compared with 14 age- and sex-matched control children born within hours of the index patients. Left ventricular dimension index (systolic 2.89 +/- 0.31 versus 2.33 +/- 0.42 cm and diastolic 4.70 +/- 0.35 versus 3.64 +/- 0.48 cm, p = 0.001), diastolic volume (79.4 +/- 17.1 versus 60.8 +/- 7.8 ml, p = 0.01), left ventricular mass index (116.3 +/- 3.4 versus 74.3 +/- 15.2 g/m2, p = 0.001) and cardiac index (5.51 +/- 1.32 versus 3.38 +/- 0.85 liters/min per m2 p = 0.001) were significantly increased in patients with sickle cell disease compared with values in control subjects. However, there was no statistically significant difference between the two groups for ejection fraction, velocity of circumferential fiber shortening, percent fractional shortening, systolic time intervals, wall stress and ratio of wall stress-systolic volume. Although two mean ratios of wall stress-systolic volume index were lower in children with sickle cell disease as compared with control subjects (4.0 +/- 0.7 versus 5.4 +/- 1.7, p = 0.02 and 5.9 +/- 1.2 versus 8.3 +/- 2.5, p = 0.005, respectively), the range of ratios remained within normal limits (3.4 to 5.8 in children with sickle cell disease versus 2.8 to 9.5 in controls and 4.2 to 8.3 versus 3.8 to 12.5, respectively). Furthermore, only body surface area predicted group status independent of other variables (p = 0.01).(ABSTRACT TRUNCATED AT 250 WORDS)

The relative distribution of T cell subsets is altered in Jamaican children infected with human T cell lymphotropic virus type I

Early childhood infection with human T cell lymphotropic virus type I (HTLV-I) has been suggested to be involved in the pathogenesis of infective dermatitis and adult T cell leukemia/lymphoma. Since only a very small percentage of HTLV-I-infected children develop disease later in life, identification of early interim markers for persons at risk for developing disease would enable monitoring and might provide insight into the pathophysiology of the various diseases associated with HTLV-I infection. A cross-sectional study analyzed T cell subsets in 35 HTLV-I-seronegative and 16 HTLV-I-seropositive Jamaican children 11-31 months old. HTLV-I seropositivity was associated with an increase in the mean percentage of CD4 cells expressing HLA-DR, a marker for T cell activation (P = .02). This increase was positively correlated with duration of infection (r = .74, P = .009). These data demonstrate perturbation of regulatory cells of the immune system in HTLV-I-infected children.