Improving Vaccine-Induced Immunity: Can Baseline Predict Outcome?

Immune signatures measured at baseline and immediately prior to vaccination may predict the immune response to vaccination. Such pre-vaccine assessment might allow not only population-based, but also more personalized vaccination strategies (‘precision vaccination’). If baseline immune signatures are predictive, the underlying mechanism they reflect may also determine vaccination outcome. Thus, baseline signatures might contribute to identifying interventional targets to be modulated prior to vaccination in order to improve vaccination responses. This concept has the potential to transform vaccination strategies and usher in a new approach to improve global health.

Extensive baseline variability in immune responses (e.g., antibody titers) among individuals in given populations is increasingly being appreciated as a major contributor to vaccine response heterogeneity.

The concept of ‘baseline may predict outcome’ has recently been reported for human influenza virus, yellow fever virus, and hepatitis B virus, as well as malaria vaccination. This concept might also apply to other vaccines.

The ability to predict who might respond to immunization (and to what extent) might offer avenues for optimization of current vaccination strategies.

We posit that this simple concept might be useful and significant for vaccine design: if ‘baseline determines outcome, then altering baseline prior to vaccination could alter outcome’.

This approach could potentially lead to tailored (precision) vaccines ensuring that the majority, or all individuals vaccinated, respond by eliciting a protective immune response (i.e., devoid of non-responder individuals). Presumably, this approach might also allow the administration of fewer vaccine doses, potentially arriving at one vaccine dose only.

A dose response study of hepatitis A vaccine in healthy adults who are > or = 30 years old and weigh > or = 77 kg

The dose response relationship of 25-, 50-, and 100-U doses of an inactivated hepatitis A vaccine was examined in 358-seronegative volunteers in a 2-dose schedule. The 50-U and 100-U groups had statistically significantly higher seroconversion rates than the 25-U group at weeks 2, 4, 8, and 24. Seroconversion was statistically significantly greater for the 100-U compared with the 25- and 50-U doses 2 weeks after the first injection but was not significantly different by 4 weeks after the first injection in the 50- and 100-U dose groups. After 2 injections, all subjects in all groups seroconverted. The vaccine was well tolerated at all dosage levels.