Real-time monitoring data for real-time multi-model validation: coupling ENSEMBLE and EURDEP

The ENSEMBLE system has been considerably expanded and improved. The system that allows the real-time collection of atmospheric dispersion forecasts their real-time consultation and ensemble dispersion analysis has been coupled with the EUropean Radiological Data Exchange Platform (EURDEP) for the acquisition of real-time monitoring data on environmental (mainly in air) radiological measurements. This paper explains how the coupling has been realized and presents the potentials of this unique system that is presently in use in more than 25 countries around the world.

An evaluation of particle deposition fluxes to cultural heritage sites in Florence, Italy

The pernicious effects of deposition of airborne particles on monumental stones have been widely demonstrated, but estimates of deposition fluxes on historic buildings remain a hard task because of the lack of careful experiments and modelling. AERBOX is a new box model developed by ENVIROWARE and ENEA, simulating the whole life cycle of aerosols. AERBOX takes into account all the relevant chemical and physical processes involved: emission, chemical reactions in gas and in gas-liquid phases, deposition, entrainment, condensation and nucleation. Concentration and deposition rates of 52 species of gaseous pollutants and 14 species of particulate pollutants are calculated on hourly basis. A modelling system composed by AERBOX and the emission pre-processor Tool for Hourly Speciation of CORINAIR Annual Emissions (THOSCANE) has been applied to estimate the flux of particulate matter deposited on the monumental area of Florence downtown starting from a CORINAIR emission inventory developed by the Tuscany Region including the industrial and mobile sources in the area of Florence and Prato counties. The time and chemical profiles of the emissions have been adapted to the Tuscany region from the reference profiles given by both the California Air Resource Board and EPA and meteorological inputs were given by the Tuscany Meteorological Centre. Concentrations and deposition fluxes were compared with field measurements available in the open literature.

Can the confidence in long range atmospheric transport models be increased? The pan-european experience of ensemble

Is atmospheric dispersion forecasting an important asset of the early-phase nuclear emergency response management? Is there a 'perfect atmospheric dispersion model'? Is there a way to make the results of dispersion models more reliable and trustworthy? While seeking to answer these questions the multi-model ensemble dispersion forecast system ENSEMBLE will be presented.

Forecasting the consequences of accidental releases of radionuclides in the atmosphere from ensemble dispersion modelling

The RTMOD system is presented as a tool for the intercomparison of long-range dispersion models as well as a system for support of decision making. RTMOD is an internet-based procedure that collects the results of more than 20 models used around the world to predict the transport and deposition of radioactive releases in the atmosphere. It allows the real-time acquisition of model results and their intercomparison. Taking advantage of the availability of several model results, the system can also be used as a tool to support decision making in case of emergency. The new concept of ensemble dispersion modelling is introduced which is the basis for the decision-making application of RTMOD. New statistical parameters are presented that allow gathering the results of several models to produce a single dispersion forecast. The devised parameters are presented and tested on the results of RTMOD exercises.

Proliferative response of human marginal gingiva to phlogistic process and titanium implant

In order to detect proliferative processes in human marginal gingiva in pathological conditions and after externalization of titanium implants, we have attempted BrdU incorporation after "in vitro" incubation of tissue fragments. In comparison with healthy controls, immunocytochemical detection of samples from patients affected by hypertrophic gengivitis shows a good number of proliferating cells in the basal layer of the epithelium, while only in one case can positiveness be detected after externalization of titanium implants. Since after reduction of inflammation by hygienic treatment a low number of proliferating cells can be observed only in the regions where pathological alterations are also present, we suggest that the increase in tissue proliferation may be closely dependent on the intensity of the inflammatory process. All these data demonstrate that in vitro BrdU incubation of tissue fragments represents a suitable method to evaluate cell proliferation in human tissue.