Trend over time of HIV-1 drug resistance to nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) and their drivers: A cohort study from Antiviral Response Cohort Analysis (ARCA)

The rise of HIV-1 drug resistance to nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTIs) threatens the long-term success of NNRTI-based therapies. Our study aims to describe the circulation of major resistance-associated mutations (RAMs) for NNRTIs in people living with HIV (PLWH) in Italy from 2000 to 2020. We included 5982 naïves and 28 505 genotypes from 9387 treatment-experienced PLWH from the Antiviral Response Cohort Analysis (ARCA) cohort. Transmitted drug resistance (TDR) was found in 12.5% and declined from 17.3% in 2000-2003 to 10.9% in 2016-2020 (p = 0.003). Predictors of TDR were viral subtype B [vs. non-B, adjusted odds ratio (aOR) = 1.94, p < 0.001], zenith viral load (VL) (per 1 log10 higher, aOR = 0.86, p = 0.013), nadir CD4 cell count (per 100 cells/μL increase aOR = 0.95, p = 0.013). At least one RAM for NNRTIs among treatment experienced PLWH was detected in 33.2% and pre-treatment drug resistance (PDR) declined from 43.4% in 2000-2003 to 20.9% in 2016-2020 (p < 0.001). Predictors of PDR were sexual transmission route (vs. others, aOR = 0.78, p < 0.001), time since HIV diagnosis (per 1 month longer, aOR = 1.002, p < 0.001), viral subtype B (vs. non B, aOR = 1.37, p < 0.001), VL (per 1 log10 higher, aOR = 1.12, p < 0.001), nadir CD4 count (per 100 cells/μL increase, aOR = 0.91, p < 0.001), previous exposure to any NNRTI (aOR = 2.31, p < 0.001) and a more recent calendar year sequence (any time span > 2008 vs. 2000-2003, any aOR <1, p < 0.001). Circulation of RAMs to NNRTIs declined during the last 20 years in Italy. NNRTIs remain pivotal drugs for the management of HIV-1 due to safety concerns and long-acting options.