Evaluation of prognostic risk models for postoperative pulmonary complications in adult patients undergoing major abdominal surgery: a systematic review and international external validation cohort study

BACKGROUND

Stratifying risk of postoperative pulmonary complications after major abdominal surgery allows clinicians to modify risk through targeted interventions and enhanced monitoring. In this study, we aimed to identify and validate prognostic models against a new consensus definition of postoperative pulmonary complications.

METHODS

We did a systematic review and international external validation cohort study. The systematic review was done in accordance with the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses guidelines. We searched MEDLINE and Embase on March 1, 2020, for articles published in English that reported on risk prediction models for postoperative pulmonary complications following abdominal surgery. External validation of existing models was done within a prospective international cohort study of adult patients (≥18 years) undergoing major abdominal surgery. Data were collected between Jan 1, 2019, and April 30, 2019, in the UK, Ireland, and Australia. Discriminative ability and prognostic accuracy summary statistics were compared between models for the 30-day postoperative pulmonary complication rate as defined by the Standardised Endpoints in Perioperative Medicine Core Outcome Measures in Perioperative and Anaesthetic Care (StEP-COMPAC). Model performance was compared using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROCC).

FINDINGS

In total, we identified 2903 records from our literature search; of which, 2514 (86·6%) unique records were screened, 121 (4·8%) of 2514 full texts were assessed for eligibility, and 29 unique prognostic models were identified. Nine (31·0%) of 29 models had score development reported only, 19 (65·5%) had undergone internal validation, and only four (13·8%) had been externally validated. Data to validate six eligible models were collected in the international external validation cohort study. Data from 11 591 patients were available, with an overall postoperative pulmonary complication rate of 7·8% (n=903). None of the six models showed good discrimination (defined as AUROCC ≥0·70) for identifying postoperative pulmonary complications, with the Assess Respiratory Risk in Surgical Patients in Catalonia score showing the best discrimination (AUROCC 0·700 [95% CI 0·683-0·717]).

INTERPRETATION

In the pre-COVID-19 pandemic data, variability in the risk of pulmonary complications (StEP-COMPAC definition) following major abdominal surgery was poorly described by existing prognostication tools. To improve surgical safety during the COVID-19 pandemic recovery and beyond, novel risk stratification tools are required.

FUNDING

British Journal of Surgery Society.

The effect of vitamin D status on the severity of bone disease and on the other features of primary hyperparathyroidism (pHPT) in a vitamin D deficient region

A clear relationship between vitamin D status and the clinical indices of primary hyperparathyroidism (pHPT) severity has not been convincingly established. We proposed that such a relationship might exist, in so far as vitamin D deficiency could contribute to the severity of metabolic bone disease and promote the growth of the parathyroid tumor. Accordingly, we undertook a retrospective study and analyzed the clinical, biochemical, radiological and histopathological findings in a group of 49 patients who underwent parathyroidectomy at our center. Patients who had skeletal X-rays were grouped, according to their X-ray findings, in group A (19 patients; 45%) if they had severe bone changes, or group B (23 patients; 55%) if they had mild or no bone changes. Patients were also stratified according to their 25-hydroxyvitamin D (25-OHD) levels in tertiles. The 2 groups were compared using Fisher's exact test or analysis of variance as appropriate. Group A patients were younger (p=0.001), had more musculoskeletal symptoms (p=0.0003), and complained more frequently of fatigue (p=0.02). They had higher alkaline phosphatase (AP; p=0.0002), PTH index (p=0.0007), and serum Ca level (p=0.006). There were more patients from the lower and middle vitamin D tertiles and fewer patients from the upper vitamin D tertile in group A (p=0.02). Post-operative severe hypo-calcemia was more prevalent in group A patients (p<0.0001). Resected parathyroid tumors were larger in size in group A patients (p=0.01), and weighed more (p=0.01). There was a positive correlation between the weight of the parathyroid tumor and the PTH index (p=0.002), and AP level (p=0.0007). We concluded that vitamin D deficiency is a contributing factor to both the severity of bone disease and the high activity of parathyroid tumors seen in many patients with pHPT in vitamin D deficient regions.

Symptoms in patients attending services for diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis in Sudan

OBJECTIVE

To describe the variation in clinical features of individuals presenting to a health facility with chest symptoms according to their ultimate diagnosis.

METHODS

Of 16735 patients (52.6% males and 47.4% females) presenting at respiratory centres in seven states in Sudan, 5338 patients were identified with respiratory tract symptoms: 2917 (54.6%) men and 2421 (45.4%) women, with a mean age of 32 years. Those who had cough for more than 3 weeks that was not responsive to a course of antibiotics were screened by microscopy of two or three sputum specimens and chest radiography.

RESULTS

A total of 504 (9.44%) were smear-positive, 259 (4.85%) were smear-negative, and 166 (3.11%) had extra-pulmonary tuberculosis, of whom 59 (1.11%) had pleural involvement; the remaining 4409 suspects (82.6%) were non-tuberculous.

CONCLUSION

Tuberculosis patients had a constellation of presenting symptoms, with the principal symptom being cough for more than 3 weeks. The accompanying symptoms with greatest predicted significance were weight loss, tiredness and night sweats.

A new placental enzyme in the metabolism of cocaine: an in vitro animal model

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to analyze placental metabolism in a genetically controlled in vitro animal model.

STUDY DESIGN

Placentas from Sprague-Dawley rats were centrifuged, and microsomes were isolated. Four treatment groups were incubated with cocaine over four time periods: placental microsomes + cocaine, placental microsomes + diisopropyl fluorophosphate (an anticholinesterase) + cocaine, placental microsomes + cocaine + butyrylcholinesterase, and a blank (cocaine only). Gas chromatography was used to quantify cocaine (Limit of quantitation = 19 ng/ml) and metabolites. Gas chromatography/mass spectrometry was used to verify the identity of the metabolites.

RESULTS

Butyrylcholinesterase enhanced cocaine metabolism to ecgonine methyl ester. More than 40% of cocaine was metabolized to norcocaine by rat placental when diisopropyl fluorophosphate suppressed cocaine. Norcocaine is produced by hepatic N-demethylase action on methyl-bearing nitrogen in cocaine, suggesting that placenta and liver have this capacity. Gas chromatography/mass spectrometry was essential to the identification of norcocaine, because norcocaine is frequently not identified.

CONCLUSIONS

This biotransformation of cocaine to norcocaine may be a primary metabolic pathway induced in the cholinesterase-deficient placenta. This has clinical implications because norcocaine is ninefold more active physiologically than cocaine or ecgononine methylesterase.

The maternal-fetal transfer of bisheteroypiperazine (U-87201-E) in the ex vivo human placenta

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to elucidate the maternal-fetal transfer of bisheteroypiperazine (U-87201-E), a nonnucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitor of human immunodeficiency virus-1.

STUDY DESIGN

Placentas from normal term deliveries were used in this study to determine the maternal-fetal transfer of bisheteroypiperazine. The studies were conducted at several concentrations with the circulation either open-open or closed-closed.

RESULTS

In this study we determined that the clearance index of bisheteroypiperazine was 0.72 +/- 0.17 at maternal concentrations of 1.0 and 20.0 micrograms/ml. This is at least twice the clearance index of 3'-azido-2',3'-dideoxythymidine and more than five times greater than that of 2',3'-dideoxyinosine.

CONCLUSIONS

Bisheteroypiperazine crosses the maternal-fetal membranes by simple diffusion, in some instances almost equivalent to the reference compound antipyrine. Placental tissue concentrations were equivalent at all maternal concentrations, suggesting saturation. This high rate of maternal-fetal transfer suggests that it may be an effective prophylactic drug for fetuses of human immunodeficiency virus-infected mothers.

The transfer of the nucleoside analog ganciclovir across the perfused human placenta

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to compare the maternal-fetal placental transfer of the antiviral nucleoside analog ganciclovir to that of acyclovir and to investigate the mechanism of transport.

STUDY DESIGN

The ex vivo human placental cotyledon model was used. Carbon 14-labeled antipyrine was used as the reference compound to determine the clearance index of both antiviral agents. Dinitrobenzylthioinosine was used as a nucleoside transport inhibitor to help determine the transfer mechanism of each agent.

RESULTS

The clearance index for ganciclovir was 0.17 +/- 0.08 and 0.20 +/- 0.10 at 1 and 10 micrograms/ml maternal concentrations. This was similar to the clearance index for acyclovir, which was 0.17 +/- 0.06 and 0.18 +/- 0.12, respectively. The clearance index for ganciclovir was not significantly affected by the addition of 5 mumol/L dinitrobenzylthionosine to the perfusate (0.25 +/- 0.09 vs 0.20 +/- 0.05). The same was true for acyclovir (0.29 +/- 0.06 vs 0.22 +/- 0.07). When the closed system and maternal ganciclovir concentrations of 1.0, 10.0, and 100 micrograms/ml were used, the percent fetal levels compared with maternal levels at 1 hour were 17.2%, 19.2%, and 17.3%, respectively. For acyclovir the fetal levels were 15.6%, 9.1%, and 8.9% compared with maternal levels.

CONCLUSION

The antiviral agents ganciclovir and acyclovir appear to cross the placenta by simple diffusion, at least at therapeutic levels, and this transfer is not affected by the nucleoside transport inhibitor dinitrobenzylthioinosine.

The ex vivo transfer of the anti-HIV nucleoside compound d4T in the human placenta

The purpose of this study was to determine the ex vivo maternal-fetal placental transfer of 2',3'-didehydro-3'-deoxythymidine (d4T) and to compare it to the perfusion characteristics of 3'-azido-2',3-dideoxythymidine (AZT). This study used the single cotyledon perfusion system and antipyrine to determine the clearance index of this thymidine-containing anti-human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) compound. The endogenous base thymidine and the inhibitor dipyridamole were used to determine if this anti-HIV compound crossed the placenta by simple diffusion. The clearance index of d4T was 0.24 +/- 0.07 at 1.0 micrograms/ml and 0.235 +/- 0.045 at 10.0 micrograms/ml. These data suggest that the clearance index of d4T is 77-81% of AZT. The presence of high concentrations of dipyridamole and endogenous thymidine did not alter the clearance of d4T. In studies in which both the maternal and fetal circulations were closed, the accumulation in the fetal circulation was linear when the maternal concentration was in the range of 1-100 micrograms/ml. These data suggest that d4T crosses the human placenta by simple diffusion, and has similar perfusion characteristics to that of AZT.

The transfer of anti-human immunodeficiency virus nucleoside compounds by the term human placenta

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to compare the maternal-fetal placental transfer of 2',3'-dideoxyinosine and 2',3'-dideoxycytidine with that of 3'-azido-2', 3-dideoxythymidine (azidothymidine).

STUDY DESIGN

The perfusion system used carbon 14-labeled antipyrine as a reference compound to determine the clearance index of each compound. The inhibitor dipyridamole and the endogenous bases were used to determine if these anti-human immunodeficiency virus compounds crossed the placenta other than by simple diffusion.

RESULTS

The clearance index of azidothymidine was 0.29 +/- 0.04 at maternal concentrations of 1.0 to 10 micrograms/ml, and the clearance index of 2',3'-dideoxyinosine was 0.14 +/- 0.05, which was 48% of the clearance index of azidothymidine. The clearance index of 2',3'-dideoxyinosine was essentially identical to azidothymidine in the range from 1 to 10 micrograms/ml. The results of the closed-closed studies suggest that at therapeutic peak concentrations of 1 to 2 micrograms/ml of these compounds in the maternal circulation therapeutic levels will be reached in the fetal circulation.

CONCLUSION

These anti-human immunodeficiency virus inhibitors appear to cross the placenta rapidly by simple diffusion because (1) the transfer of the drugs to the fetal circulation was not saturable even at 100 micrograms/ml, (2) there was no change in clearance index with the addition of 300 mumol/L of thymidine, inosine, cytosine, or 30 mumol/L dipyridamole, and (3) there was no accumulation against the maternal fetal or fetal maternal concentration gradient.

Transfer of Timentin (ticarcillin and clavulanic acid) across the in vitro perfused human placenta: comparison with other agents

OBJECTIVES

In vitro perfusion of human placentas was used to quantify the net placental transfer of ticarcillin and clavulanic acid.

STUDY DESIGN

Placentas were obtained from uncomplicated pregnancies at term. The maternal and fetal circulations were reestablished at flow rates of 17.5 ml/min and 5 ml/min, respectively. Open circulations were used to evaluate steady-state pharmacodynamics and transplacental gradient formation. Drug levels were measured by high-pressure liquid chromatography.

RESULTS

The clearance index of ticarcillin was 0.037 +/- 0.004. The fetal/maternal ratio was 0.91. Therapeutic concentrations of clavulanate (2 to 6 micrograms/ml) in the maternal media resulted in undetectable transfer to the fetal compartment. By using higher levels of clavulanate, a clearance index of 0.061 +/- 0.001 (mean +/- SEM) and 1:1 fetal/maternal gradient was obtained.

CONCLUSIONS

These data correspond to relatively low transfer of ticarcillin with a cord/maternal ratio of < 1. Clavulanate transfer is slightly greater. Agents with similar activity and superior transfer would optimize intrauterine treatment.

Pharmacokinetics of pentamidine in Sprague-Dawley rats in late pregnancy

To our knowledge, placental transfer of pentamidine has not been previously studied in vivo. In the present study, the pharmacokinetics of pentamidine were analyzed in late gestation (18 days) among Sprague-Dawley rats. Pentamidine's kinetics were assessed in the following maternal compartments over a 12-hour period in 16 timed-pregnant rats: serum, liver, and kidney. Placentas were also analyzed for pentamidine concentration as were fetal brain, liver, and kidney tissues. Significant placental transfer of the drug was found, with pentamidine reaching all fetal compartments studied. Notably, by the twelfth hour fetal brain tissue achieved pentamidine concentrations that were not significantly different from those of maternal serum at the second hour of the experiment. This is an interesting observation because adult mouse and rat brains were found to be unexposed to the drug.

Pharmacokinetics of azidothymidine during late pregnancy in Long-Evans rats

Azidothymidine (Zidovudine) is used to treat symptomatic human immunodeficiency virus infection. It has the ability to reverse seropositivity as well as decrease serum viral titers, and perhaps decrease potential for transmission of the virus. An animal model (pregnant Long-Evans rats) was used to investigate the potential for placental transmission of azidothymidine. The drug crosses the placenta to reach concentrations in the placenta and fetus that are comparable to 75% and 58%, respectively, of those in the maternal serum by 2 hours after administration. By 4 to 6 hours after administration azidothymidine concentrations in the placenta and fetal liver significantly exceed maternal concentrations.