Impact of Artificial Intelligence System and Volumetric Density on Risk Prediction of Interval, Screen-Detected, and Advanced Breast Cancer

PURPOSE

Artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms improve breast cancer detection on mammography, but their contribution to long-term risk prediction for advanced and interval cancers is unknown.

METHODS

We identified 2,412 women with invasive breast cancer and 4,995 controls matched on age, race, and date of mammogram, from two US mammography cohorts, who had two-dimensional full-field digital mammograms performed 2-5.5 years before cancer diagnosis. We assessed Breast Imaging Reporting and Data System density, an AI malignancy score (1-10), and volumetric density measures. We used conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios (ORs), 95% CIs, adjusted for age and BMI, and C-statistics (AUC) to describe the association of AI score with invasive cancer and its contribution to models with breast density measures. Likelihood ratio tests (LRTs) and bootstrapping methods were used to compare model performance.

RESULTS

On mammograms between 2-5.5 years prior to cancer, a one unit increase in AI score was associated with 20% greater odds of invasive breast cancer (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.17 to 1.22; AUC, 0.63; 95% CI, 0.62 to 0.64) and was similarly predictive of interval (OR, 1.20; 95% CI, 1.13 to 1.27; AUC, 0.63) and advanced cancers (OR, 1.23; 95% CI, 1.16 to 1.31; AUC, 0.64) and in dense (OR, 1.18; 95% CI, 1.15 to 1.22; AUC, 0.66) breasts. AI score improved prediction of all cancer types in models with density measures (PLRT values < .001); discrimination improved for advanced cancer (ie, AUC for dense volume increased from 0.624 to 0.679, Δ AUC 0.065, P = .01) but did not reach statistical significance for interval cancer.

CONCLUSION

AI imaging algorithms coupled with breast density independently contribute to long-term risk prediction of invasive breast cancers, in particular, advanced cancer.

Artificial Intelligence in Oncology: Current Capabilities, Future Opportunities, and Ethical Considerations

The promise of highly personalized oncology care using artificial intelligence (AI) technologies has been forecasted since the emergence of the field. Cumulative advances across the science are bringing this promise to realization, including refinement of machine learning- and deep learning algorithms; expansion in the depth and variety of databases, including multiomics; and the decreased cost of massively parallelized computational power. Examples of successful clinical applications of AI can be found throughout the cancer continuum and in multidisciplinary practice, with computer vision-assisted image analysis in particular having several U.S. Food and Drug Administration-approved uses. Techniques with emerging clinical utility include whole blood multicancer detection from deep sequencing, virtual biopsies, natural language processing to infer health trajectories from medical notes, and advanced clinical decision support systems that combine genomics and clinomics. Substantial issues have delayed broad adoption, with data transparency and interpretability suffering from AI's "black box" mechanism, and intrinsic bias against underrepresented persons limiting the reproducibility of AI models and perpetuating health care disparities. Midfuture projections of AI maturation involve increasing a model's complexity by using multimodal data elements to better approximate an organic system. Far-future positing includes living databases that accumulate all aspects of a person's health into discrete data elements; this will fuel highly convoluted modeling that can tailor treatment selection, dose determination, surveillance modality and schedule, and more. The field of AI has had a historical dichotomy between its proponents and detractors. The successful development of recent applications, and continued investment in prospective validation that defines their impact on multilevel outcomes, has established a momentum of accelerated progress.

Leveling the Workload for Radiologists in Diagnostic Mammography: Application of Lean Principles and Heijunka

To facilitate the delivery of accurate and timely care to patients in complex environments, process improvement methodologies such as Lean can be very effective. Lean is a quality improvement methodology that seeks to add value for patients and employees by continuously improving processes and eliminating waste. At our institution, Lean principles were applied to improve efficiency and minimize waste in the diagnostic breast imaging reading room. This paper describes how we applied Lean principles, including plan-do-study-act testing, level-loading (heijunka), and visual management, to level the workload of the diagnostic radiologists in our practice. Implementation of these principles to improve the diagnostic workflow in breast imaging is described along with examples from our practice, including challenges and future opportunities.