COVID-19 polymerase chain reaction testing before endoscopy: an economic analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The novel coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has limited endoscopy utilization, causing significant health and economic losses. We aim to model the impact of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) testing into resuming endoscopy practice.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective review of endoscopy utilization during the COVID-19 pandemic for a baseline reference. A computer model compared 3 approaches: strategy 1, endoscopy for urgent indications only; strategy 2, testing for semiurgent indications; and strategy 3, testing all patients. Analysis was made under current COVID-19 prevalence and projected prevalence of 5% and 10%. Primary outcomes were number of procedures performed and/or canceled. Secondary outcomes were direct costs, reimbursement, personal protective equipment used, and personnel infected. Disease prevalence, testing accuracy, and costs were obtained from the literature.

RESULTS

During the COVID-19 pandemic, endoscopy volume was 12.7% of expected. Strategies 2 and 3 were safe and effective interventions to resume endoscopy in semiurgent and elective cases. Investing 22 U.S. dollars (USD) and 105 USD in testing per patient allowed the completion of 19.4% and 95.3% of baseline endoscopies, respectively. False-negative results were seen after testing 4700 patients (or 3 months of applying strategy 2 in our practice). Implementing PCR testing over 1 week in the United States would require 13 and 64 million USD, with a return of 165 and 767 million USD to providers, leaving 65 and 325 healthcare workers infected.

CONCLUSIONS

PCR testing is an effective strategy to restart endoscopic practice in the United States. PCR screening should be implemented during the second phase of the pandemic, once the healthcare system is able to test and isolate all suspected COVID-19 cases.

Systematic review and meta-analysis on the prevalence of vitamin D deficiency in patients with chronic pancreatitis

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Patients with chronic pancreatitis (CP) are at risk of malnutrition due to malabsorption, pain and/or alcohol consumption. This can cause vitamin D insufficiency or deficiency, which is associated with osteoporosis and increased risks of fractures. We aimed to perform a meta-analysis to determine the prevalence of vitamin D insufficiency and deficiency in CP patients. Furthermore, we compared these results with healthy controls.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on the literature by searching PubMed and EMBASE (January 2000-December 2015) on CP and vitamin D. Primary outcome was prevalence of vitamin D insufficiency (<75 nmoL/L) and deficiency (<50 nmoL/L) in CP patients. When available, data of CP patients were compared with healthy controls.

RESULTS

Nine studies were included in our meta-analysis, reporting on the prevalence of vitamin D insufficiency/deficiency in 465 patients (mean age 41 years (range 18-60), 81% male) and in 378 controls (mean age 40 years (range 18-67), 76% male). Pooled prevalence of vitamin D insufficiency and deficiency in CP patients was 83% and 65%, respectively. Calculated odds ratio (OR) of vitamin D insufficiency and deficiency between CP patients and controls was 1.34 (0.54-3.29) and 1.14 (0.70-1.85), respectively (p > 0.05).

CONCLUSION

There is a high prevalence of vitamin D insufficiency and deficiency in CP patients. Nevertheless, there is no significant difference in prevalence of vitamin D insufficiency and deficiency compared to healthy controls. Further research should indicate the clinical relevance and consequences of these findings for clinical practice.

Pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer: A case of the chicken or the egg

Acute pancreatitis (AP), chronic pancreatitis (CP) and pancreatic cancer are three distinct pancreatic diseases with different prognoses and treatment options. However, it may be difficult to differentiate between benign and malignant disease. AP may be a first symptom of pancreatic cancer, particularly in patients between the ages of 56 and 75 with presumed idiopathic AP who had a concomitant diagnosis of new-onset diabetes mellitus or patients who present with CP at diagnosis of AP. In these patients, additional imaging is warranted, preferably by endoscopic ultrasonography. CP may lead to pancreatic cancer through oncogenic mutations, mostly in patients with hereditary CP, and in patients in whom risk factors for pancreatic cancer (e.g., nicotine and alcohol abuse) are also present. Patients with PRSS1-mediated CP and patients with a history of autosomal dominant hereditary CP without known genetic mutations may be considered for surveillance for pancreatic cancer. Pancreatic inflammation may mimic pancreatic cancer by appearing as a focal mass-forming lesion on imaging. Differentiation between the above mentioned benign and malignant disease may be facilitated by specific features like the duct-penetrating sign and the duct-to-parenchyma ratio. Research efforts are aimed towards developing a superior discriminant between pancreatitis and pancreatic cancer in the form of imaging modalities or biomarkers. This may aid clinicians in timely diagnosing pancreatic cancer in a potentially curable stage.

Artificial intelligence for the management of pancreatic diseases

Novel artificial intelligence techniques are emerging in all fields of healthcare, including gastroenterology. The aim of this review is to give an overview of artificial intelligence applications in the management of pancreatic diseases. We performed a systematic literature search in PubMed and Medline up to May 2020 to identify relevant articles. Our results showed that the development of machine-learning based applications is rapidly evolving in the management of pancreatic diseases, guiding precision medicine in clinical, endoscopic and radiologic settings. Before implementation into clinical practice, further research should focus on the external validation of novel techniques, clarifying the accuracy and robustness of these models.

Pancreatic steatosis on computed tomography is an early imaging feature of pre-diagnostic pancreatic cancer: A preliminary study in overweight patients

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) is on the rise, driven by factors such as aging and an increasing prevalence of obesity and diabetes mellitus. To improve the poor survival rate of PDAC, early detection is vital. Recently, pancreatic steatosis has gained novel interest as a risk factor for PDAC. This study aimed to investigate if pancreatic steatosis on computed tomography (CT) is an early imaging feature in patients with pre-diagnostic PDAC.

METHODS

A retrospective case-control study was performed. Patients diagnosed with PDAC (2010-2016) were reviewed for abdominal non-contrast CT-imaging 1 month-3 years prior to their diagnosis. Cases were matched 1:4 with controls based on age, gender and imaging date. Unenhanced CT-images were evaluated for pancreatic steatosis (pancreas-to-spleen ratio in Hounsfield Units <0.70) by a blinded radiologist and results were compared between cases and controls.

RESULTS

In total, 32 cases and 117 controls were included in the study with a comparable BMI (29.6 and 29.2 respectively, p = 0.723). Pancreatic steatosis was present in 71.9% of cases compared to 45.3% of controls (Odds ratio (OR) 3.09(1.32-7.24), p = 0.009). Adjusted for BMI and diabetes mellitus, pancreatic steatosis on CT remained a significant independent risk factor for PDAC (Adjusted OR 2.70(1.14-6.58), p = 0.037).

CONCLUSION

Pancreatic steatosis measured on CT is independently associated with PDAC up to three years before the clinical diagnosis in overweight patients. If these data are confirmed, this novel imaging feature may be used to identify high-risk individuals and to stratify the risk of PDAC in individuals that already undergo PDAC screening.

Prevalence, features, and explanations of missed and misinterpreted pancreatic cancer on imaging: a matched case-control study

PURPOSE

To characterize the prevalence of missed pancreatic masses and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC)-related findings on CT and MRI between pre-diagnostic patients and healthy individuals.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients diagnosed with PDAC (2010-2016) were retrospectively reviewed for abdominal CT- or MRI-examinations 1 month-3 years prior to their diagnosis, and subsequently matched to controls in a 1:4 ratio. Two blinded radiologists scored each imaging exam on the presence of a pancreatic mass and secondary features of PDAC. Additionally, original radiology reports were graded based on the revised RADPEER criteria.

RESULTS

The cohort of 595 PDAC patients contained 60 patients with a pre-diagnostic CT and 27 with an MRI. A pancreatic mass was suspected in hindsight on CT in 51.7% and 50% of cases and in 1.3% and 0.9% of controls by reviewer 1 (p < .001) and reviewer 2 (p < .001), respectively. On MRI, a mass was suspected in 70.4% and 55.6% of cases and 2.9% and 0% of the controls by reviewer 1 (p < .001) and reviewer 2 (p < .001), respectively. Pancreatic duct dilation, duct interruption, focal atrophy, and features of acute pancreatitis is strongly associated with PDAC (p < .001). In cases, a RADPEER-score of 2 or 3 was assigned to 56.3% of the CT-reports and 71.4% of MRI-reports.

CONCLUSION

Radiological features as pancreatic duct dilation and interruption, and focal atrophy are common first signs of PDAC and are often missed or unrecognized. Further investigation with dedicated pancreas imaging is warranted in patients with PDAC-related radiological findings.

Decreasing Colectomy Rates in Ulcerative Colitis in the Past Decade: Improved Disease Control?

BACKGROUND

Ulcerative colitis (UC) is primarily medically managed. Colectomy is required in patients with refractory disease or severe complications. Older studies have reported 20-year colectomy rates of over 50%, but recent studies showed decreased rates to 15%. Temporal trends in the use of colectomy in UC over the past decade (when the use of biologics has become widespread) are lacking.

METHODS

Case-control study using the National Inpatient Sample database for years of 2007, 2010, 2013, and 2016 was performed. The primary outcome was determining the temporal trends in the use of colectomy in hospitalized patients with UC. Secondary outcomes were determining the total number of admissions for patients with UC and associated trend in inflation-adjusted hospital costs, charge, and length of hospital stay (LOS). Multivariate regression analyses were used to adjust for other co-variables.

RESULTS

443,043 patients with UC were identified, of which 19,208 underwent colectomy in the study period. The mean patient age was 52 years, and 47% were female. Five percent of hospitalized patients with UC underwent colectomy in 2007, while 2.7% of patients with UC had colectomy in 2016, representing a 46% decrease in colectomies in hospitalized patients in the study period. Patients with UC displayed adjusted odds of colectomy of 0.51 (p < 0.01), adjusted additional mean hospital costs decrease by - $2898 (p < 0.01), hospital charges increase by $26,554 (p < 0.01), LOS decrease by - 2.2 days (p < 0.01) in 2016 compared to 2007.

CONCLUSION

The odds of colectomy in UC patients decreased significantly over the past decade, likely secondary to improved medical care.

Multimodal Pancreatic Cancer Detection Using Methylated DNA Biomarkers in Pancreatic Juice and Plasma CA 19-9: A Prospective Multicenter Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

In previous studies, methylated DNA markers (MDMs) have been identified in pancreatic juice (PJ) for detecting pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). In this prospective multicenter study, the sensitivity and specificity characteristics of this panel of PJ-MDMs was evaluated standalone and in combination with plasma carbohydrate antigen 19-9 (CA 19-9).

METHODS

Paired PJ and plasma were assayed from 88 biopsy-proven treatment-naïve PDAC cases and 134 controls (53 with normal pancreas, 23 with chronic pancreatitis [CP], 58 with intraductal papillary mucinous neoplasm). Bisulfite-converted DNA from buffered PJ was analyzed using long-probe quantitative amplified signal assay targeting 14 MDMs (NDRG4, BMP3, TBX15, C13orf18, PRKCB, CLEC11A, CD1D, ELMO1, IGF2BP1, RYR2, ADCY1, FER1L4, EMX1, and LRRC4) and a reference gene (methylated B3GALT6). Logistic regression was used to fit the previously identified 3-MDM PJ panel (FER1L4, C13orf18, and BMP3). Discrimination accuracy was summarized using area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC) with corresponding 95% confidence interval (CI).

RESULTS

Methylated FER1L4 had the highest individual AUROC of 0.83 (95% CI, 0.78-0.89). The AUROC for the 3-MDM PJ + plasma CA 19-9 model (0.95; 95% CI, 0.92-0.98) was higher than both the 3-MDM PJ panel (0.87; 95% CI, 0.82-0.92)) and plasma CA 19-9 alone (0.91; 95% CI, 0.87-0.96) (P = .0002 and .0135, respectively). At a specificity of 88% (95% CI, 81%-93%), the sensitivity of this model was 89% (95% CI, 80%-94%) for all PDAC stages and 83% (95% CI, 64%-94%) for stage I/II PDAC.

CONCLUSIONS

A panel combining PJ-MDMs and plasma CA 19-9 discriminates PDAC from both healthy and disease control groups with high accuracy. This provides support for combining PJ and blood-based biomarkers for enhancing diagnostic sensitivity and successful early PDAC detection.

High prevalence of pancreatic steatosis in pancreatic cancer patients: A meta-analysis and systematic review

OBJECTIVE

In the last decade there has been increasing interest in defining pancreatic steatosis (PS) and establishing its association with pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). However, no consensus guidelines have yet been published on the management of PS. In this systematic review and meta-analysis performed according to Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses (PRISMA) guidelines, we investigated the association between PS and PDAC.

DESIGN

Medical literature between 2007 and 2023 was reviewed for eligible trials investigating the prevalence of PS in patients with PDAC. Eligible studies reporting on PS, assessed via imaging or histology, were included. The primary objective was to determine the association between PDAC and PS by comparing the prevalence of PS in individuals with- and without PDAC. Secondary, an evaluation was conducted to establish whether the method of assessment correlated with the association of PDAC and PS, and the prevalence of PDAC in individuals with PS. Measures of effect size were determined using odds ratios (ORs) and corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (95 % CI).

RESULTS

The systematic review identified a total of 23 studies, of which seventeen studies examined PS prevalence among PDAC patients and were included in the meta-analysis. Overall, the pooled prevalence of PS in patients with PDAC was 53.6 % (95 % CI 40.9-66.2). No significant difference in PS prevalence was observed across various diagnostic methods or geographical regions. Overall, the pooled OR for PS in patients with PDAC compared to controls was 3.23 (95 % CI 1.86-5.60).

CONCLUSIONS

PDAC patients have a high prevalence of PS, and they are significantly more likely to have PS compared to controls. These findings emphasize the need to prioritize a standardized approach to the diagnosis, follow-up, and treatment of PS, with future studies focusing on identifying patients who would benefit from PDAC surveillance programs.