Emergence of Long-Range Angular Correlations in Low-Multiplicity Proton-Proton Collisions

This Letter presents the measurement of near-side associated per-trigger yields, denoted ridge yields, from the analysis of angular correlations of charged hadrons in proton-proton collisions at sqrt[s]=13  TeV. Long-range ridge yields are extracted for pairs of charged particles with a pseudorapidity difference of 1.4<|Δη|<1.8 and a transverse momentum of 1 Collapse

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First Measurement of the |t| Dependence of Incoherent J/ψ Photonuclear Production

The first measurement of the cross section for incoherent photonuclear production of J/ψ vector mesons as a function of the Mandelstam |t| variable is presented. The measurement was carried out with the ALICE detector at midrapidity, |y|<0.8, using ultraperipheral collisions of Pb nuclei at a center-of-mass energy per nucleon pair of sqrt[s_{NN}]=5.02  TeV. This rapidity interval corresponds to a Bjorken-x range (0.3-1.4)×10^{-3}. Cross sections are given in five |t| intervals in the range 0.04<|t|<1  GeV^{2} and compared to the predictions by different models. Models that ignore quantum fluctuations of the gluon density in the colliding hadron predict a |t| dependence of the cross section much steeper than in data. The inclusion of such fluctuations in the same models provides a better description of the data.

Hyperon Polarization along the Beam Direction Relative to the Second and Third Harmonic Event Planes in Isobar Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200 GeV

The polarization of Λ and Λ[over ¯] hyperons along the beam direction has been measured relative to the second and third harmonic event planes in isobar Ru+Ru and Zr+Zr collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV. This is the first experimental evidence of the hyperon polarization by the triangular flow originating from the initial density fluctuations. The amplitudes of the sine modulation for the second and third harmonic results are comparable in magnitude, increase from central to peripheral collisions, and show a mild p_{T} dependence. The azimuthal angle dependence of the polarization follows the vorticity pattern expected due to elliptic and triangular anisotropic flow, and qualitatively disagrees with most hydrodynamic model calculations based on thermal vorticity and shear induced contributions. The model results based on one of existing implementations of the shear contribution lead to a correct azimuthal angle dependence, but predict centrality and p_{T} dependence that still disagree with experimental measurements. Thus, our results provide stringent constraints on the thermal vorticity and shear-induced contributions to hyperon polarization. Comparison to previous measurements at RHIC and the LHC for the second-order harmonic results shows little dependence on the collision system size and collision energy.

A Comparison of Treatment Plan Adaptation Methods on PTV Margin Coverage in MR-Linac Prostate SBRT

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

MRI-Linac guided radiotherapy is a novel treatment modality allowing for daily online adaptation of contours and treatment planning. MRI-Linac prostate SBRT (MRL-SBRT) has recently been shown to provide a tangible benefit in decreasing both acute and late toxicity, due to the ability to evaluate soft tissue contrast, directly monitor organ motion, and anatomical changes during the entire treatment course. Multiple MRI-Linac platforms are available, which provide different advantages with regards to imaging and motion management. We undertook this study to assess coverage of the clinical target volume with use of a standard PTV margin in patients receiving either adapt-to-position (ATP) only treatment or a combination of adapt-to-position and adapt-to-shape (ATP+ATS) on the Elekta Unity MR-Linac.

MATERIALS/METHODS

Data was collected retrospectively in patients who underwent prostate SBRT using a 1.5 T MR-Linac (Unity, Elekta AB, Stockholm, Sweden). Prior to each fraction, determination of ATP or ATS planning was at the discretion of the treating physician. Prostate and organs at risk (OAR's) were contoured on the reference MRI and daily MR image sets acquired prior to each fraction. The prostate PTV consisted of a 5mm margin, except 3mm posteriorly. Contours were merged to account for target and OAR volumes during all fractions. Target volumes from the reference plan were then compared to the clinical target volume (CTV) on pre-treatment MR-Linac imaging as well as intersection with OAR's.

RESULTS

Nineteen men, median age 72 years (range 67-75), with prostate cancer underwent treatment from May 2021 to January 2023 with MRL-SBRT. The average time for ATP vs ATP+ATS was 45 minutes (range 35-60) and 60 minutes (range 50-80), respectively. The mean CTV treated was 43.4cc (range 31-60) for ATP and 51.8cc (range 36-67) for ATP+ATS. Prior to plan adaptation, target volumes in 92.6% of fractions were not covered completely by the PTV. In the ATP cohort, 89% of fractions had a portion of the CTV uncovered with an average of 2.9cc. In the ATP+ATS cohort, 96.4% had a portion of the CTV uncovered, with an average of 6.9cc. There was no difference in the amount of PTV intersection for ATP or ATP+ATS plans with the rectum (1.1cc vs. 1.5cc) and bladder (9.2cc vs. 12.6cc), respectively. All patients completed the planned course of treatment.

CONCLUSION

Adaptive radiation therapy for prostate cancer utilizing an MR-Linac based approach with the Elekta Unity was feasible for patients requiring either ATP only or ATP+ATS plans. As expected, ATS plans required longer treatment time, allowing for improved coverage of the target when deemed clinically necessary. Despite a larger overall volume treated in ATS plans, there was no difference in overlap with OARs between ATP and ATS plans. Adaption for each daily fraction and intrafraction motion monitoring improved CT coverage with our pre-specified PTV margin.

Assessment of Daily Target Motion to Optimize ITV Margins in Online Adaptive Plan for Liver and Pancreatic SBRT on MR-LINAC

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Accurate measurement of daily target motion on online plan adaptation is essential for re-optimizing the internal target volume (ITV) margins. In this study, by analyzing 2D cine MR images acquired in a 1.5T MR-Linac, we assessed daily target motion and its inter-fractional variations, which is then used to customize ITV margins for MR-based online adaptive plan of liver and pancreatic stereotactic body radiotherapy (SBRT).

MATERIALS/METHODS

Twenty-threepatients, enrolled in this study, underwent MR-guided online adaptive SBRT on 1.5 T MR-Linac: liver (n = 12 without compression belt (CB), n = 2 with CB) and pancreas (n = 9 with CB). Target motion in a 2D coronal and sagittal MR images (> 200 cine images to cover multiple breathing cycles), as well as a set of 4D-CT images during the simulation, was analyzed to determine patient specific ITV margins for a reference plan. On every fraction of online adaptive SBRT, the 2D MR images were exported to commercially available software along with a planning MR images: a T1-wighted MR image set for pancreas and or a navigated T2-wighted MR image set for liver. Daily target motion was then measured by overlaying the orthogonal cine image set on the T1- or T2-wighted image set. The ITV margin was adjusted when required prior to online plan optimization RESULTS: Thisstudy successfully assessed the daily target motion and inter-fractional variations in 23 liver or pancreatic cancer patients. We found a discrepancy of daily target motion of orthogonal 2D cine MR images from that of 4D-CT, required to adjust the ITV margin for online plan adaptation. In liver SBRT without CB, 15 out of 45 fractions from 12 patients (33.3 %) went through adjusted ITV margin. The tumor motion was large up to a 2.2 cm along the inferior direction in a patient without CB and thus the patient was treated on a conventional Linac with the active breathing control (ABC) unit for breath-hold. On the other hand, no adjustments were necessary for 2 liver patients with CB. In 9 patients with pancreatic cancers, we found the inter-fractional ITV variations in 3 out of 45 fractions (6.7 %) adjusted the ITV margin. The daily target motion in the pancreatic patients with CB was more stable and relatively smaller than that of the liver patients.

CONCLUSION

Theorthogonal 2D cine MR images are evidently essential for assessing daily target motion to evaluate the inter-fractional variation and achieve daily ITV-customized liver and pancreatic SBRT in the 1.5 T MR-Linac. The customized ITV approach will improve the treatment outcome of the MR-guided online adaptive therapy.

Erratum: Global Polarization of Ξ and Ω Hyperons in Au+Au Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200 GeV [Phys. Rev. Lett. 126, 162301 (2021)]

This corrects the article DOI: 10.1103/PhysRevLett.126.162301.

Synthesis of Functionalized Triblock Copolyesters Derived from Lactic Acid and Macrolactones for Bone Tissue Regeneration

Synthetic and functional grafts are a great alternative to conventional grafts. They can provide a physical support and the precise signaling for cells to heal damaged tissues. In this study, a novel RGD peptide end-functionalized poly(ethylene glycol)-b-poly(lactic acid)-b-poly(globalide)-b-poly(lactic acid)-b-poly(ethylene glycol) (RGD-PEG-PLA-PGl-PLA-PEG-RGD) is synthetized and used to prepare functional scaffolds. The PGl inner block is obtained by enzymatic ring-opening polymerization of globalide. The outer PLA blocks are obtained by ring-opening polymerization of both, l-lactide or a racemic mixture, initiated by the α-ω-telechelic polymacrolactone. The presence of PGl inner block enhances the toughness of PLA-based scaffolds, with an increase of the elongation at break up to 300% when the longer block of PGl is used. PLA-PGl-PLA copolymer is coupled with α-ω-telechelic PEG diacids by esterification reaction. PEGylation provides hydrophilic scaffolds as the contact angle is reduced from 114° to 74.8°. That difference improves the contact between the scaffolds and the culture media. Moreover, the scaffolds are functionalized with RGD peptides at the surface significantly enhancing the adhesion and proliferation of bone marrow-derived primary mesenchymal stem cells and MC3T3-E1 cell lines in vitro. These results place this multifunctional polymer as a great candidate for the preparation of temporary grafts.

Measurements of the Elliptic and Triangular Azimuthal Anisotropies in Central ^{3}He+Au, d+Au and p+Au Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200 GeV

The elliptic (v_{2}) and triangular (v_{3}) azimuthal anisotropy coefficients in central ^{3}He+Au, d+Au, and p+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV are measured as a function of transverse momentum (p_{T}) at midrapidity (|η|<0.9), via the azimuthal angular correlation between two particles both at |η|<0.9. While the v_{2}(p_{T}) values depend on the colliding systems, the v_{3}(p_{T}) values are system independent within the uncertainties, suggesting an influence on eccentricity from subnucleonic fluctuations in these small-sized systems. These results also provide stringent constraints for the hydrodynamic modeling of these systems.

Observation of Directed Flow of Hypernuclei _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H in sqrt[s_{NN}]=3 GeV Au+Au Collisions at RHIC

We report here the first observation of directed flow (v_{1}) of the hypernuclei _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H in mid-central Au+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=3  GeV at RHIC. These data are taken as part of the beam energy scan program carried out by the STAR experiment. From 165×10^{6} events in 5%-40% centrality, about 8400 _{Λ}^{3}H and 5200 _{Λ}^{4}H candidates are reconstructed through two- and three-body decay channels. We observe that these hypernuclei exhibit significant directed flow. Comparing to that of light nuclei, it is found that the midrapidity v_{1} slopes of _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H follow baryon number scaling, implying that the coalescence is the dominant mechanism for these hypernuclei production in the 3 GeV Au+Au collisions.

Beam Energy Dependence of Triton Production and Yield Ratio (N_{t}×N_{p}/N_{d}^{2}) in Au+Au Collisions at RHIC

We report the triton (t) production in midrapidity (|y|<0.5) Au+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=7.7-200  GeV measured by the STAR experiment from the first phase of the beam energy scan at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider. The nuclear compound yield ratio (N_{t}×N_{p}/N_{d}^{2}), which is predicted to be sensitive to the fluctuation of local neutron density, is observed to decrease monotonically with increasing charged-particle multiplicity (dN_{ch}/dη) and follows a scaling behavior. The dN_{ch}/dη dependence of the yield ratio is compared to calculations from coalescence and thermal models. Enhancements in the yield ratios relative to the coalescence baseline are observed in the 0%-10% most central collisions at 19.6 and 27 GeV, with a significance of 2.3σ and 3.4σ, respectively, giving a combined significance of 4.1σ. The enhancements are not observed in peripheral collisions or model calculations without critical fluctuation, and decreases with a smaller p_{T} acceptance. The physics implications of these results on the QCD phase structure and the production mechanism of light nuclei in heavy-ion collisions are discussed.

Measurement of Sequential ϒ Suppression in Au+Au Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200 GeV with the STAR Experiment

We report on measurements of sequential ϒ suppression in Au+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV with the STAR detector at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC) through both the dielectron and dimuon decay channels. In the 0%-60% centrality class, the nuclear modification factors (R_{AA}), which quantify the level of yield suppression in heavy-ion collisions compared to p+p collisions, for ϒ(1S) and ϒ(2S) are 0.40±0.03(stat)±0.03(sys)±0.09(norm) and 0.26±0.08(stat)±0.02(sys)±0.06(norm), respectively, while the upper limit of the ϒ(3S) R_{AA} is 0.17 at a 95% confidence level. This provides experimental evidence that the ϒ(3S) is significantly more suppressed than the ϒ(1S) at RHIC. The level of suppression for ϒ(1S) is comparable to that observed at the much higher collision energy at the Large Hadron Collider. These results point to the creation of a medium at RHIC whose temperature is sufficiently high to strongly suppress excited ϒ states.

Beam Energy Dependence of Fifth- and Sixth-Order Net-Proton Number Fluctuations in Au+Au Collisions at RHIC

We report the beam energy and collision centrality dependence of fifth and sixth order cumulants (C_{5}, C_{6}) and factorial cumulants (κ_{5}, κ_{6}) of net-proton and proton number distributions, from center-of-mass energy (sqrt[s_{NN}]) 3 GeV to 200 GeV Au+Au collisions at RHIC. Cumulant ratios of net-proton (taken as proxy for net-baryon) distributions generally follow the hierarchy expected from QCD thermodynamics, except for the case of collisions at 3 GeV. The measured values of C_{6}/C_{2} for 0%-40% centrality collisions show progressively negative trend with decreasing energy, while it is positive for the lowest energy studied. These observed negative signs are consistent with QCD calculations (for baryon chemical potential, μ_{B}≤110  MeV) which contains the crossover transition range. In addition, for energies above 7.7 GeV, the measured proton κ_{n}, within uncertainties, does not support the two-component (Poisson+binomial) shape of proton number distributions that would be expected from a first-order phase transition. Taken in combination, the hyperorder proton number fluctuations suggest that the structure of QCD matter at high baryon density, μ_{B}∼750  MeV at sqrt[s_{NN}]=3  GeV is starkly different from those at vanishing μ_{B}∼24  MeV at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV and higher collision energies.

Collision-System and Beam-Energy Dependence of Anisotropic Flow Fluctuations

Elliptic flow measurements from two-, four-, and six-particle correlations are used to investigate flow fluctuations in collisions of U+U at sqrt[s_{NN}]=193  GeV, Cu+Au at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV and Au+Au spanning the range sqrt[s_{NN}]=11.5-200  GeV. The measurements show a strong dependence of the flow fluctuations on collision centrality, a modest dependence on system size, and very little if any, dependence on particle species and beam energy. The results, when compared to similar LHC measurements, viscous hydrodynamic calculations, and trento model eccentricities, indicate that initial-state-driven fluctuations predominate the flow fluctuations generated in the collisions studied.

Association between early rhythm control and the risk of dementia in patients with atrial fibrillation and prior history of stroke: a nationwide population-based study

Background

Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who experienced stroke before are at high risk for dementia. Although early rhythm control in patients with AF reduces the risk of stroke, there is a lack of evidence on whether early rhythm control reduces the risk of developing dementia in patients with new-onset AF and a history of prior stroke.

Purpose

To compare the risk of dementia between early rhythm control therapy and usual care in patients with new-onset AF and a history of prior stroke

Methods

Using the Korean nationwide claims database, we identified patients who were newly diagnosed as AF and had a history of prior stroke. Patients with prevalent dementia were excluded. Patients who received rhythm control therapy, including antiarrhythmic drug, direct current cardioversion, or AF catheter ablation, within 1 year after incident AF were defined as the early rhythm control group, otherwise as the usual care group. The inverse probability of treatment weighting method was used to balance baseline characteristics between the two groups. The incidence of all dementia, Alzheimer dementia, and vascular dementia were evaluated during follow-up.

Results

A total of 41,370 patients were included (mean age, 70±11 years; mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 5.3±1.6; 43% female); 10,213 were in the early rhythm control group and 31,157 in the usual care group. All patients received oral anticoagulants. During a median 2.7 years of follow-up, 6414 patients developed incident dementia (incidence rate, 4.9 per 100 person-years). Compared to usual care, early rhythm control was associated with lower risks of all dementia, Alzheimer dementia, and vascular dementia (weighted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], 0.825 [0.776–0.876], 0.831 [0.774–0.893], and 0.800 [0.702–0.913], respectively, all p&lt;0.001) (Figure 1). The beneficial effect of early rhythm control on the risk of dementia were consistent regardless of the characteristics of prior stroke, for example, recent stroke within 6-month from their enrollment, disabling stroke that required continuous rehabilitation therapy, and severe stroke causing intensive care unit admission.

Conclusion

Early rhythm control within 1 year after AF diagnosis might be beneficial to prevent dementia in patients with incident AF and a history of stroke. To prevent progression of further cognitive dysfunction, early rhythm control should be considered in these patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

The left atrial low-voltage area and persistent atrial fibrillation treated with pulmonary vein isolation alone

Background

There are limited data regarding the association between the burden of the left atrial low-voltage area (LVA) and the outcome of pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) alone in persistent atrial fibrillation (PeAF).

Purpose

The study aimed to investigate the impact of the burden of LVA on the patients with PeAF treated with PVI alone.

Methods

Using a retrospective cohort of PeAF patients who underwent PVI alone, both clinical and the left atrial voltage mapping data were reviewed. LVA was defined as an area of ≤0.5 mV (bipolar) when mapped during sinus rhythm and ≤0.2 mV during AF. The high burden of LVA was defined as a case when the LVA constitutes ≥10% of the total left atrial body area. The patients were categorized into either the high or low burden groups. The recurrence of any atrial tachyarrhythmia was followed up, and multivariable Cox's regression analysis was performed.

Results

A total of 50 and 25 patients were investigated for the low burden (LVA&lt;10%) and high burden (LVA≥10%) groups, respectively. Compared to the low burden group, the high burden group had a significantly less male proportion (56.0% versus 78.0%), a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score (median 3 versus 2), more chronic kidney disease (16.0% versus 2.0%), and a higher burden of LVA (20±11% versus 5±3%). During the median follow-up of 9.5 (6.2–16.2)months, there were 30.0% and 48.0% ofrecurrences for the low and high burden groups, respectively. Compared to the low burden group, the high burden group was associated with higher risks of both early and late recurrences (HR [95% CI] =2.67 [1.15–6.18] and 2.08 [1.03–4.20], respectively) (Figure 1). The best cut-off of LVA to predict 2-year recurrence was 10.1% (Figure 2).

Conclusion

The high burden of LVA was significantly associated with an increased risk of recurrence among PeAF patients treated with PVI alone. Tailored ablation in addition to PVI would be needed to improve outcomes in patients with PeAF having a high burden of LVA.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

A synergistic impact of early rhythm control and lifestyle modification on the risk of stroke in patients with new-onset atrial fibrillation: a Korean nationwide population-based cohort study

Background

Early rhythm control therapy and lifestyle modification have both been associated with a lower risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Although guidelines have emphasized integrated care for patients with AF to improve clinical outcomes, the synergistic impact of early rhythm control therapy and lifestyle modification on the risk of stroke is unclear.

Purpose

To evaluate the impact of the combination of early rhythm control therapy and lifestyle modification on the risk of stroke

Methods

Based on data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we included patients with new-onset AF between January 2009 and December 2016. Based on questionnaires from health checks, patients with ≥2 healthy lifestyle behaviors among quitting smoking, abstaining from alcohol, and performing regular exercise were defined as “healthy lifestyle” group. Patients who received rhythm control therapy within 2-year after new-onset AF were defined as the early rhythm control group. With a two-by-two factorial design, patients were categorized into 4 groups as follows: (i) those without early rhythm control and healthy lifestyle (group 1); (ii) those with a healthy lifestyle but without early rhythm control (group 2); (iii) those with early rhythm control but without healthy lifestyle (group 3); and (iv) those with both early rhythm control and healthy lifestyle (group 4). The primary outcome was stroke.

Results

Among a total of 208,662 patients, 46,972, 110,479, 15,133, and 36,078 patients were included in group 1, 2, 3, and 4, respectively. For the early rhythm control group, the mean duration from AF diagnosis to rhythm control therapy was 27±76 days. During a median follow-up of 4.2 years, 9905 patients had an incident stroke (incidence rate, 10.6 per 100 person-years). After multivariable adjustment, compared to group 1, group 2 (healthy lifestyle only) and group 3 (early rhythm control only) were associated with a lower risk of stroke (HR and 95% CI: 0.769, 0.728–0.881, and 0.774, 0.703–0.852, respectively) (Figure 1). Group 4 with early rhythm control and a healthy lifestyle had the lowest risk of stroke among all groups (HR 0.575, 95% CI 0.536–0.617 compared to group 1) (Figure 1). After propensity score (PS) weighting for group 2 and 4, additional early rhythm control based on healthy lifestyle was associated with a lowered risk of stroke by 22% (Figure 2). After PS weighting between groups 3 and 4, additional lifestyle modification based on early rhythm control was associated with a lowered risk of stroke by 27% (Figure 2).

Conclusion

In this large-scale observational cohort study, early rhythm control therapy and healthy lifestyle behavior might reduce the risk of stroke in patients with new-onset AF, consistent with the results from recent randomized clinical trials. Furthermore, implementing both early rhythm control therapy and a healthy lifestyle could synergize stroke prevention in these populations.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Protective effect of proton pump inhibitor against gastrointestinal bleeding in patients receiving oral anticoagulants: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

The concurrent use of proton pump inhibitor (PPI) in oral anticoagulant (OAC) treated patients may be associated with a lower risk of gastrointestinal bleeding (GIB), but evidence is still conflicting according to individual OACs.

Purpose

We conducted a meta-analysis to estimate the risk of GIB in patients with OAC and PPI co-therapy.

Methods

A systematic search of PubMed, EMBASE, and Cochrane was performed for studies reporting GIB risk in OAC and PPI co-therapy. Primary outcomes were total GIB and major GIB events. We calculated pooled estimates of GIB risk by a random-effect meta-analysis and reported as odds ratios (OR) and 95% CI. Stratified analyses according to the origin of GIB, ethnic groups, individual OACs, and the presence of underlying GIB risk factors were performed.

Results

A total of 10 studies (1 randomized controlled study and 9 observational studies) and 1,970,931 patients who received OAC were included. OAC and PPI co-therapy were associated with a lower risk of total GIB, and major GIB; OR (95% CI) was 0.67 (0.62–0.74) for total GIB and 0.68 (0.63–0.75) for major GIB, respectively. Among total GIB, only the risk of upper GIB was lower with OAC and PPI co-therapy (OR 0.67, 95% CI 0.64–0.70). No difference in the lower risk of primary GIB outcomes of PPI co-therapy was observed between Asians and non-Asians (p-for-difference, total GIB=0.695, major GIB=0.748, respectively) and among individual OACs except for edoxaban. The protective effect of PPI on total GIB was more significant in high-risk patients, defined as those with concurrent medication of antiplatelets or non-steroidal anti-inflammatory drugs (OR 0.62, 95% CI 0.52–0.73) and presence of high bleeding risk factors such as previous GIB history, HAS-BLED score ≥3, or underlying gastrointestinal diseases. (OR 0.65, 95% CI 0.61–0.70).

Conclusion

In patients who receive OAC, the use of PPI co-therapy was associated with a lower risk of total GIB and major GIB irrespective of ethnic group and OAC type except for edoxaban. PPI co-therapy can be considered particularly in patients on concomitant NSAID and antiplatelet use or patients with high GIB risk factors.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Impact of mental disease on the risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with diabetes mellitus: a nationwide population-based study

Background

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is known to increase the risk of mental disorders, which increases the health care burden in these patients. Also, DM is one of the risk factors leading to atrial fibrillation (AF), and the presence of concomitant AF and DM adds to the increased risks of stroke and death. It is uncertain whether mental disease is an independent risk factor of incident AF in patients with DM.

Purpose

To investigate whether diabetic patients with mental disease have an increased risk of AF.

Methods

Using the Korea National Health Insurance Service database, we enrolled 2,512,690 patients diagnosed with DM without AF between 2009 and 2021. Newly diagnosed AF was identified during the follow-up period. We compared the risk of AF between patients with mental disease and those without.

Results

Among the total population, 828,929 (32.99%; mean age 61.58±11.28; 56.71% female) patients were diagnosed with mental diseases (Figure 1). Anxiety (564,786 patients, 68.13%) was the most common mental disease, while depression was the second most common (313,773 patients, 37.85%). Diabetic patients with mental diseases had a higher percentage of women, hypertension, dyslipidemia, chronic kidney failure, congestive heart failure, obstructive sleep apnea, and thyroid disease. During a median 7.0 years (IQR 5.93–8.07) follow-up, 34,523 were diagnosed new-onset AF (4.66 per 1,000 person-year). In multivariate analysis, diabetic patients with mental disorders showed a higher risk of new-onset AF (HR 1.19; 95% CI 1.17–1.21; p-value &lt;0.0001) (Figure 2). Among mental diseases, depression, insomnia, and anxiety were associated with increased risks of new-onset AF (HR 1.15; 95% CI 1.12–1.17; HR 1.15; 95% CI 1.13–1.18; and HR 1.19; 95% CI, 1.67–1.21; all p-value &lt;0.0001, respectively), whereas bipolar disorder and schizophrenia showed non-statistically significant trends (due to small numbers). Subgroup analyses showed that younger age had significant interactions with depression, insomnia, and anxiety.

Conclusion

Mental diseases, especially depression, insomnia, and anxiety, showed an increased risk of AF in patients with DM. Awareness and prompt diagnosis and management of AF would be necessary for these high-risk populations at risk of incident AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Increased risk of atrial fibrillation in patients with uterine fibroids: a nationwide population-based study

Background

Uterine fibroid, the most common benign neoplasm of the uterus, is associated with an elevated risk of cardiovascular disease. The link between incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and the uterine fibroid is unclear because earlier studies focused primarily on the development of atherosclerosis and hypertension. We aimed to investigate the risk of AF in patients with uterine fibroid.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study using the Korean National Health Insurance Service database (NHIS). From 2009 to 2012, a total of 2,574,349 women (20 to 40 years old) who underwent general health examinations were included. Diagnosis of uterine fibroids and surgical treatment status was defined by the international classification of diseases, 10th revision codes, and procedural codes from the Korean NHIS. The primary outcome was newly diagnosed AF. The risk of AF according to the uterine fibroids and their surgical treatment status was evaluated using Cox proportional-hazard models.

Results

Of the total population, the mean age was 29.76±4.27 years, and 20,682 (0.8%) were identified to have uterine fibroid. Incident AF was identified in 3,868 patients (61 in the fibroid group, 3,807 in the control group) during a mean follow-up of 7.3±1.1 years. Patients of the uterine fibroid group showed a higher incidence of AF compared to the control group (0.41 and 0.20 per 1000 person-years, respectively, Figure 1). Multivariate Cox-regression analysis presented that uterine fibroid was an independent risk factor of AF: hazard ratio (HR) 1.50, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.16–1.93, p=0.002. Compared to the control group, uterine fibroid patients who underwent surgical treatment tend to show a lower risk for AF (HR 1.22, 95% CI 0.79–1.90) than patients without surgical treatment (HR 1.69, 95% CI 1.24–2.30), though statistical significance was indeterminate (Figure 2). After propensity score matching, patients of the uterine fibroid group showed higher risk of AF when compared to the control group (HR 1.77, 95% CI 1.32–2.63, p&lt;0.001), which was in line with our main results. The presence of uterine fibroid was consistently associated with higher risk of AF among all subgroups except for the stroke subgroup.

Conclusion

Patients with uterine fibroids are predisposed to an increased risk of AF compared to the control group. Careful monitoring of arrhythmia development would be warranted in patients of uterine fibroid and surgical treatment as it is associated with a modest risk decrement of incident AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Paradoxical association between lipid levels and incident atrial fibrillation according to statin usage

Background

In epidemiology studies, a higher level of total cholesterol (TC) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) is associated with a lower risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Statin use might exert possible confounding effects in the paradoxical relationship; however, the inverse link between AF and cholesterol level that distinguishes statin users from non-users has not been evaluated.

Objective

We investigated the epidemiological relationships of TC–AF and LDL-C–AF in statin users and non-users, respectively.

Methods

From the Korean National Health Insurance Service database, we included 9,778,014 adults who underwent a health examination in 2009 and had no prior AF history. The levels of TC and LCL-C at the health exam were categorized in quartile (Q) and decile (D) values of the total study population. The study population was grouped into statin users and non-users, and TC–AF and LDL-C–AF relationships were evaluated.

Results

867,336 (8.9%) were on statin use among the total population. Statin users showed higher TC level (208.4±55.6 vs. 194.1±39.5 mg/dL, p&lt;0.001) and LDL-C level (123.0±102.2 vs. 121.3±226.3, p&lt;0.001) compared to non-users. Inverse associations of TC–AF and LCL-C–AF were observed; higher levels of TC and LDL-C were associated with a lower risk of AF. The hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were 0.797 (0.786–0.809) for the highest quartile of TC (Q4, TC ≥218) and 0.832 (0.82–0.843) for the highest quartile of LDL-C (Q4, LDL-C ≥135) when adjusted by age, sex, lifestyle behaviors, comorbidities, and low-income status. Statin users exhibited higher AF incidence rate than non-statin users, but the association in statin users generally tracked that seen among non-statin users demonstrating similar HR in Q4 of TC [0.812 (0.790–0.835) for statin users and 0.812 (0.798–0.826) for non-statin users] and LDL-C [0.842 (0.819–0.865) for statin users and 0.849 (0.835–0.863) for non-statin users].

Conclusion

The paradoxical relationship between lipid levels (TC and LDL-C) and incident AF remained consistent both in statin users and non-users. Further research is required to investigate an underlying mechanism for the cholesterol paradox of AF which still seems evident despite the pleiotropic effects of statin.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Fish oil supplements increase atrial fibrillation risk in healthy individuals: a population-based cohort study and Mendelian randomization analysis

Background

There is a paucity of information on the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in healthy individuals taking fish oil supplements.

Purpose

We aimed to investigate the epidemiologic and causal relationships between fish oil supplement intake and the long-term risk of AF.

Methods

From the population-based UK Biobank, we selected healthy individuals without a history of AF, other cardiac arrhythmias, or cardiovascular diseases, who were not taking lipid-lowering medications or dietary supplements other than fish oil. The 10-year risk of AF in Fish-Oil-Users vs. Non-Users was evaluated in the total population and propensity-score matched cohort. The causal relationship between n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids (PUFA) and AF was evaluated using a two-sample summary-level Mendelian randomization analysis with fixed effects robust inverse-variance weighted method, using genetic instruments from previous studies genome-wide association studies for n-3 PUFA levels and AF, respectively.

Results

A total of 338,199 participants (aged 55.2±8.1, 44.3% men) were analysed. Of these, 35.0% (n=118,300) was taking fish oil supplements. The 10-year risk of AF was significantly higher in the Fish-Oil-Users than in the Non-Users (3.83% vs. 2.91%, adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.05, 95% CI [1.01–1.10], P=0.023). The result was consistent in the propensity-score matched cohort (propensity-score matched HR 1.06, 95% CI [1.00–1.12], P=0.043). The increased risk of AF by fish oil supplement was prominent in low-risk participants with healthy lifestyles. Among n-3 PUFA, the docosapentaenoic acid (DPA) showed significant causal estimates for the increased risk of AF (odds ratio [OR] 1.15, 95% CI [1.08–1.22], P&lt;0.001), while higher eicosapentaenoic acid (EPA) levels caused a decrease of AF risk (OR 0.85, 95% CI [0.80–0.90], P&lt;0.001).

Conclusion

Fish oil supplement intake significantly increased the long-term risk of AF in a healthy population. The causal effect of fish oil intake on the risk of AF may depend on the specific types of n-3 PUFA.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Impact of metabolic syndrome on the risk of ischemic stroke in non-anticoagulated atrial fibrillation patients having low CHA2DS2-VASc scores

Background

Metabolic syndrome (MetS) predisposes to a thromboembolic state. However, conflicting results have been reported on whether MetS confers an increased risk of ischemic stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF), especially in patients with low CHA2DS2-VASc score who are not indicated for oral anticoagulant therapy.

Purpose

We investigated the risk of ischemic stroke according to the presence of MetS, the number of MetS components (metabolic burden), and the individual metabolic components in non-anticoagulated AF patients with low CHA2DS2-VASc score.

Methods

A total of 76,015 oral anticoagulant-naïve AF patients with low CHA2DS2-VASc score (0,1 in male and 1 in female) were included from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. The status of MetS and individual metabolic components were evaluated based on health examination data within two years of AF diagnosis. We estimated the risk of ischemic stroke according to MetS, metabolic burden, and an individual component of MetS using Cox proportional-hazards models.

Results

The mean age was 49.8±11.1 years and 52,388 (68.9%) were male. The average CHA2DS2-VASc score was 0.7±0.5 and MetS was prevalent among 21,570 (28.4%) of the study population. During a mean follow-up of 5.1 years, ischemic stroke was developed in 1,395 (1.84%) patients. MetS was associated with a higher risk of ischemic stroke after adjustment for age, sex, lifestyle behaviors, low income, and cardiovascular comorbidities: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.19, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.06–1.33, p=0.002. A positive linear correlation was observed between metabolic burden and ischemic stroke risk. Patients with five MetS components showed the highest aHR of 1.55 (95% CI 1.14–2.11, Figure 1 and Figure 2), whereas those with a single MetS component had a marginal risk of ischemic stroke (aHR 1.18, 95% CI 0.99–1.41). Among individual metabolic components, elevated blood pressure and increased waist circumference was significantly associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke: aHR (95% CI), 1.45 (1.30–1.62), p&lt;0.001, and 1.15 (1.03–1.30), p=0.016, respectively.

Conclusions

Among AF patients initially with CHA2DS2-VASc score 0 and 1 with no anticoagulation, the presence of MetS is associated with an increased risk of ischemic stroke. Given the linear incremental correlation between metabolic burden and ischemic stroke, special attention to the care of metabolic derangements is required in AF patients who are not indicated for anticoagulation.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Atrial fibrillation detection in ambulatory patients using a smart ring powered by deep learning analysis of continuous photoplethysmography monitoring

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) detection could be effective with photoplethysmography (PPG) signal monitoring by a wearable device.

Purpose

We aimed to validate the performance of AF detection among ambulatory patients who underwent electrical cardioversion for AF using a smart ring capable of continuous PPG monitoring and deep learning analysis.

Methods

In this prospective single-arm study, participants who underwent successful electrical cardioversion for AF were enrolled. The participants equipped a smart ring (CardioTracker, Sky Labs Inc., Seongnam, Republic of Korea) after the electrical cardioversion. The smart ring then continuously monitored PPG over 14 days to detect AF recurrence. The smart ring alarmed AF episodes based on deep learning analysis of PPG. The participants were asked to measure at least three daily ECGs using the smart ring to validate AF recurrence detected by PPG. All ECG snapshots were recorded along with lead I and saved with simultaneous PPG. ECG data were examined by the three cardiologists independently (SK, SRL, and EKC). The monitoring time, analyzable proportions of monitored signals, detection rates of AF episodes, and the diagnostic performance of PPG-based deep learning were evaluated. At the end of the monitoring, a survey on the use of the smart ring was performed.

Results

A total of 35 participants (mean age 58.9 years, male 74.3%) were enrolled. Figure 1 illustrates an example of PPG monitoring and PPG-ECG snapshots by the smart ring. The study participation period was a median of 14 days and the wearing time of the smart ring was a median of 9.2 days (IQR 7.1–11.5 days). Signal artifacts during daily activity decreased the analyzable proportions of monitored PPG by 68.5%. Irregular pulse episodes were detected by the smart ring in 29 (82.9%) participants after a median of 1 day from the cardioversion (Figure 2). A total of 2532 PPG-ECG snapshots were acquired and 1623 (64.1%) were interpretable by both the cardiologists (using ECG) and the deep learning analysis (using PPG). Comparing PPG by simultaneous ECG, the performance of AF detection by the smart ring was 98.7% for sensitivity, 97.8% for specificity, 2.2% for false positives, and 1.3% for false negatives (Figure 2). After using the smart ring, 76.9% of the participants responded that they had no discomfort in using the smart ring in daily activity and another 76.9% responded that it was helpful to monitor their disease.

Conclusion

Despite the signal artifacts during daily activity, AF detection with PPG monitoring by a smart ring could be effective for AF screening among ambulatory patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): This work was supported by Sky Labs Inc, Seongnam, Republic of Korea, and by the grant No. 0320202040 from the Seoul National University Hospital Research Fund.

Evidence for Nonlinear Gluon Effects in QCD and Their Mass Number Dependence at STAR

The STAR Collaboration reports measurements of back-to-back azimuthal correlations of di-π^{0}s produced at forward pseudorapidities (2.6<η<4.0) in p+p, p+Al, and p+Au collisions at a center-of-mass energy of 200 GeV. We observe a clear suppression of the correlated yields of back-to-back π^{0} pairs in p+Al and p+Au collisions compared to the p+p data. The observed suppression of back-to-back pairs as a function of transverse momentum suggests nonlinear gluon dynamics arising at high parton densities. The larger suppression found in p+Au relative to p+Al collisions exhibits a dependence of the saturation scale Q_{s}^{2} on the mass number A. A linear scaling of the suppression with A^{1/3} is observed with a slope of -0.09±0.01.

POS0451 DEFICIENCY OF PPM1A IN MACROPHAGE AGGRAVATES PRISTANE-INDUCED LUPUS-LIKE DISEASE

Background

Protein phosphatase Mg2+/Mn2+-dependent 1A (PPM1A) is a phosphatase which regulates various intracellular cell signaling pathways including inflammation. We previously suggested that the inflammatory signal decreased the PPM1A protein level in macrophage and this reduction had correlation with the chronic inflammatory bone disease, implying the possible role of PPM1A in inflammatory responses of macrophage.

Objectives

In this study, we aim to elucidate the potential role of PPM1A in macrophage to regulate inflammatory response during the disease progression of systemic lupus erythematosus.

Methods

We generated macrophage-specific conditional gene-knockout (PPM1Afl/fl;LysM-Cre) mice and developed a lupus-like disease with immune complex glomerulonephritis in these PPM1Afl/fl;LysM-Cre mice by intraperitoneal pristane injection. Mouse serum was collected every 4 weeks after pristane injection. Serum anti-dsDNA IgG, anti-ssDNA IgG, interleukin-17 (IL-17) and tumor necrosis factor-α (TNF-α) was quantified by ELISA. After 41 weeks from pristane injection, histological changes in the kidney, spleen, and lung tissues were observed. To analyze M1/M2 polarization in vitro, LysM-Cre and PPM1Afl/fl;LysM-Cre mouse bone marrow-derived macrophages were cultured with lipopolysaccharide (LPS)/interferon-γ (IFN-γ) or interleukin-4 (IL-4) to check M1 or M2 related genes.

Results

We found that macrophages of PPM1Afl/fl;LysM-Cre mice displayed different gene expression with LPS stimulation especially in M1/M2 related genes through the RNA-seq analysis and showed a decrease in both M1 and M2 polarization induced by LPS/IFN-γ or IL-4 stimulation. Notably, we found that PPM1Afl/fl;LysM-Cre mice with pristane injection showed a significant increase of anti-ssDNA IgG compared to LysM-Cre mice. PPM1Afl/fl;LysM-Cre mice showed severe lupus-like phenotypes such as global glomerular enlargement indicated by endocapillary proliferation and glomerular cellularity in kidney and lung inflammation accompanied by fibrosis, compared to LysM-Cre mouse by pristane injection. Together, serum IL-17 and TNF-α, which are proinflammatory cytokines, were increased in PPM1Afl/fl;LysM-Cre after pristane injection. These results indicate that PPM1A depletion in macrophage deteriorates inflammation and contributes to the tissue damage in a lupus-like disease.

Conclusion

Our findings suggest that the deficiency of PPM1A in macrophages impairs M1/M2 macrophage polarization leading to an immune imbalance in lupus-like disease model, providing a potential link between the loss of function of PPM1A in macrophages and its molecular target for treatment of systemic lupus erythematosus.

References

[1]Kwon, O. C., Choi, B., Lee, E. J., Park, J. E., Lee, E. J., Kim, E. Y., Kim, S. M., Shin, M. K., Kim, T. H., Hong, S., Lee, C. K., Yoo, B., Robinson, W. H., Kim, Y. G., & Chang, E. J. (2020). Negative Regulation of Osteoclast Commitment by Intracellular Protein Phosphatase Magnesium-Dependent 1A. Arthritis & rheumatology (Hoboken, N.J.), 72(5), 750–760. https://doi.org/10.1002/art.41180

[2]Smith, S. R., Schaaf, K., Rajabalee, N., Wagner, F., Duverger, A., Kutsch, O., & Sun, J. (2018). The phosphatase PPM1A controls monocyte-to-macrophage differentiation. Scientific reports, 8(1), 902. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-017-18832-7

Disclosure of Interests

None declared.

Measurements of Proton High-Order Cumulants in sqrt[s_{NN}]=3 GeV Au+Au Collisions and Implications for the QCD Critical Point

We report cumulants of the proton multiplicity distribution from dedicated fixed-target Au+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=3.0  GeV, measured by the STAR experiment in the kinematic acceptance of rapidity (y) and transverse momentum (p_{T}) within -0.5<y<0 and 0.4<p_{T}<2.0  GeV/c. In the most central 0%-5% collisions, a proton cumulant ratio is measured to be C_{4}/C_{2}=-0.85±0.09 (stat)±0.82 (syst), which is 2σ below the Poisson baseline with respect to both the statistical and systematic uncertainties. The hadronic transport UrQMD model reproduces our C_{4}/C_{2} in the measured acceptance. Compared to higher energy results and the transport model calculations, the suppression in C_{4}/C_{2} is consistent with fluctuations driven by baryon number conservation and indicates an energy regime dominated by hadronic interactions. These data imply that the QCD critical region, if created in heavy-ion collisions, could only exist at energies higher than 3 GeV.

Measurements of _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H Lifetimes and Yields in Au+Au Collisions in the High Baryon Density Region

We report precision measurements of hypernuclei _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H lifetimes obtained from Au+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=3.0  GeV and 7.2 GeV collected by the STAR experiment at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider, and the first measurement of _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H midrapidity yields in Au+Au collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=3.0  GeV. _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H, being the two simplest bound states composed of hyperons and nucleons, are cornerstones in the field of hypernuclear physics. Their lifetimes are measured to be 221±15(stat)±19(syst)  ps for _{Λ}^{3}H and 218±6(stat)±13(syst)  ps for _{Λ}^{4}H. The p_{T}-integrated yields of _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H are presented in different centrality and rapidity intervals. It is observed that the shape of the rapidity distribution of _{Λ}^{4}H is different for 0%-10% and 10%-50% centrality collisions. Thermal model calculations, using the canonical ensemble for strangeness, describes the _{Λ}^{3}H yield well, while underestimating the _{Λ}^{4}H yield. Transport models, combining baryonic mean-field and coalescence (jam) or utilizing dynamical cluster formation via baryonic interactions (phqmd) for light nuclei and hypernuclei production, approximately describe the measured _{Λ}^{3}H and _{Λ}^{4}H yields. Our measurements provide means to precisely assess our understanding of the fundamental baryonic interactions with strange quarks, which can impact our understanding of more complicated systems involving hyperons, such as the interior of neutron stars or exotic hypernuclei.

Probing the Gluonic Structure of the Deuteron with J/ψ Photoproduction in d+Au Ultraperipheral Collisions

Understanding gluon density distributions and how they are modified in nuclei are among the most important goals in nuclear physics. In recent years, diffractive vector meson production measured in ultraperipheral collisions (UPCs) at heavy-ion colliders has provided a new tool for probing the gluon density. In this Letter, we report the first measurement of J/ψ photoproduction off the deuteron in UPCs at the center-of-mass energy sqrt[s_{NN}]=200  GeV in d+Au collisions. The differential cross section as a function of momentum transfer -t is measured. In addition, data with a neutron tagged in the deuteron-going zero-degree calorimeter is investigated for the first time, which is found to be consistent with the expectation of incoherent diffractive scattering at low momentum transfer. Theoretical predictions based on the color glass condensate saturation model and the leading twist approximation nuclear shadowing model are compared with the data quantitatively. A better agreement with the saturation model has been observed. With the current measurement, the results are found to be directly sensitive to the gluon density distribution of the deuteron and the deuteron breakup process, which provides insights into the nuclear gluonic structure.

Metabolic Responses of Dietary Fiber during Heat Stress: Effects on Reproductive Performance and Stress Level of Gestating Sows

Heat stress is an important issue, and the addition of fiber to the diet is an option in modifying intestinal health. This study evaluated the effect of acid detergent fiber (ADF) levels on reproductive performance, intestinal integrity, and metabolism of gestating sows, and its carry-over effect on the lactation period during heat stress. The diets included 4.3% (Low fiber; LF), 5.4% (Medium fiber; MF), and 6.5% (High fiber; HF) ADF. Sows fed the HF diet showed a lower respiratory rate, hair cortisol concentration, and farrowing duration compared with the LF treatment. The HF diet increased the pyruvate, citrate cycle, glyoxylate, dicarboxylate, and thiamine metabolism compared with the MF. The concentration of acetate and total short-chain fatty acids were increased in the sows fed the HF diet. The gene expression of glucose transporter 3 and glucose transporter 4 was increased in the HF treatment. The gene expression of heat shock protein 70 was decreased in the HF treatment. The HF diet during gestation increased feed intake, constipation index, piglet weight, and litter weight compared with the LF. Sows in the LF treatment showed the greatest digestibility of crude protein and the lowest digestibility of ADF. In conclusion, a 6.5% ADF level is recommended for gestating sows during heat stress.

Search for the Chiral Magnetic Effect via Charge-Dependent Azimuthal Correlations Relative to Spectator and Participant Planes in Au+Au Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=200 GeV

The chiral magnetic effect (CME) refers to charge separation along a strong magnetic field due to imbalanced chirality of quarks in local parity and charge-parity violating domains in quantum chromodynamics. The experimental measurement of the charge separation is made difficult by the presence of a major background from elliptic azimuthal anisotropy. This background and the CME signal have different sensitivities to the spectator and participant planes, and could thus be determined by measurements with respect to these planes. We report such measurements in Au+Au collisions at a nucleon-nucleon center-of-mass energy of 200 GeV at the Relativistic Heavy-Ion Collider. It is found that the charge separation, with the flow background removed, is consistent with zero in peripheral (large impact parameter) collisions. Some indication of finite CME signals is seen in midcentral (intermediate impact parameter) collisions. Significant residual background effects may, however, still be present.

Measurement of the Sixth-Order Cumulant of Net-Proton Multiplicity Distributions in Au+Au Collisions at sqrt[s_{NN}]=27, 54.4, and 200 GeV at RHIC

According to first-principle lattice QCD calculations, the transition from quark-gluon plasma to hadronic matter is a smooth crossover in the region μ_{B}≤T_{c}. In this range the ratio, C_{6}/C_{2}, of net-baryon distributions are predicted to be negative. In this Letter, we report the first measurement of the midrapidity net-proton C_{6}/C_{2} from 27, 54.4, and 200 GeV Au+Au collisions at the Relativistic Heavy Ion Collider (RHIC). The dependence on collision centrality and kinematic acceptance in (p_{T}, y) are analyzed. While for 27 and 54.4 GeV collisions the C_{6}/C_{2} values are close to zero within uncertainties, it is observed that for 200 GeV collisions, the C_{6}/C_{2} ratio becomes progressively negative from peripheral to central collisions. Transport model calculations without critical dynamics predict mostly positive values except for the most central collisions within uncertainties. These observations seem to favor a smooth crossover in the high-energy nuclear collisions at top RHIC energy.

Development and validation of a prediction model for bothersome stress urinary incontinence after prolapse surgery: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To develop and validate a prediction model for bothersome stress urinary incontinence after prolapse surgery and to compare it with an existing clinical prediction model (CUPIDO model).

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Two tertiary hospitals in South Korea.

POPULATION

A total of 1142 patients who underwent prolapse surgery with or without a concomitant midurethral sling.

METHODS

To construct a prediction model, we performed logistic regression using both exhaustive and stepwise variable selection, validating the model both internally and externally.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Bothersome stress urinary incontinence defined as the presence of bothersome symptoms of stress urinary incontinence and/or subsequent continence procedure one year after surgery.

RESULTS

Postoperative bothersome stress urinary incontinence occurred in 10% of patients. A model containing six predictors (age, diabetes mellitus, subjective urinary incontinence, prolapse reduction stress test result, type of prolapse surgery, and a concomitant midurethral sling) showed excellent performance for predicting bothersome stress urinary incontinence (area under the curve 0.74, 95% confidence interval 0.62-0.86) and outperformed the CUPIDO model (area under the curve 0.63, 95% confidence interval 0.49-0.76; DeLong's test P = 0.014).

CONCLUSIONS

This prediction model might be a useful tool to guide patient decision making regarding a concomitant continence procedure at the time of prolapse surgery. The predictive value of this model needs to be validated further in cohorts with different characteristics.

TWEETABLE ABSTRACT

The proposed prediction model for bothersome stress urinary incontinence after prolapse surgery outperforms an existing model.

Net clinical benefit of direct oral anticoagulants in very elderly and high bleeding risk patients with atrial fibrillation who are often excluded from oral anticoagulation therapy: a nationwide popul

Background

In the Edoxaban Low-Dose for Elder Care Atrial Fibrillation Patients (ELDERCARE-AF) trial, low-dose edoxaban (15mg once daily) showed better efficacy for stroke prevention and positive net clinical benefit compared to placebo in very elderly and high bleeding risk patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) who often excluded from oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy. However, there are limited data to generalize the ELDERCARE-AF results into daily practice.

Purpose

To investigate the optimal OAC strategy for the best net clinical benefit in ELDERCARE-AF-like patients.

Methods

Using the Korean nationwide claims database, we included patients with incident non-valvular AF aged 80 years or older between 2014 and 2017. Among these, patients with one or more of the following criteria were finally included in the analysis: a low creatinine clearance (15 to 30 mL/min), a history of bleeding from a critical area or organ or gastrointestinal bleeding, low body weight (≤45kg), continuous use of nonsteroidal anti-inflammatory drugs, or current use of an antiplatelet drug. The risks of ischemic stroke, major bleeding, all-cause death, and composite clinical outcome (ischemic stroke+major bleeding+all-cause death) as a measure of net clinical outcome were evaluated during follow-up. The inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) method was used to balance covariates between the groups.

Results

A total of 23,858 patients were finally included (no OAC, n=16,575; warfarin, n=2390; and direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs), n=4893, respectively). Among DOAC group, 69% used low-dose including rivaroxaban 15 mg once daily, dabigatran 110 mg twice daily, apixaban 2.5 mg twice daily, and edoxaban 30 mg once daily and 9% used very low dose including rivaroxaban 10 mg once daily and edoxaban 15 mg once daily (Figure). Median follow-up duration was 2 years (interquartile ranges, 1 to 3 years). Baseline characteristics were well-balanced after IPTW. Compared to the no OAC group, the DOAC group was associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR], 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.81, 0.68–0.95) and all-cause death (0.90, 0.85–0.95), and a higher risk of major bleeding (1.43, 1.20–1.69) (Figure). Patients treated with DOAC showed a lower risk of composite clinical outcome compared to those without OAC treatment (0.93, 0.88–0.98). Warfarin treatment did not reduce the risk of ischemic stroke (1.03, 0.85–1.23) and all-cause death (1.05, 0.99–1.12), but increased the risk of major bleeding (1.60, 1.32–1.92) and the composite clinical outcome (1.08, 1.02–1.15) compared to no OAC group.

Conclusion

In very elderly patients with non-valvular AF who had one or more frail components, DOACs which were currently prescribed in usual clinical practice showed better effectiveness and positive net clinical benefit compared to no OAC treatment. Compared to the latter, warfarin did not show benefit and possible harm.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Less dementia in patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation adhering with a clustering of healthy lifestyle behaviours: a nationwide population-based cohort study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) increases the risk of dementia. A new paradigm for AF management should include a new pillar targeting lifestyle modification. There are limited data on the clinical impact of healthy lifestyle behaviours on the risk of dementia in patients with newly diagnosed AF.

Purpose

To evaluate the association between the combination(s) of healthy lifestyle behaviours and the risk of incident dementia in patients with AF

Methods

Using the Korean National Health Insurance database between 2009 and 2016, we identified adult patients who were newly diagnosed as AF without dementia and underwent national health screening examination within 2-year after their AF diagnosis. Patients were categorized into 4 groups according to a healthy lifestyle-behavior score (HLS) 0, 1, 2, and 3 by assigning 1 point each for no current smoking, abstaining alcohol, and performing regular exercise. For the comparison, each group was balanced using the inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW). The primary outcome was incident dementia during follow-up.

Results

Among a total of 199,952 patients (mean age 63.2; 60.2% male) were included, the number of patients within the HLS 0, 1, 2, and 3 groups were 8709 (4.4%), 34839 (17.4%), 106796 (53.4%) and 49608 (24.8%), respectively. After IPTW, weighted incidence rates of dementia were 21.8, 16.8, 16.8, and 13.6 per 1000 person-years for HLS 0, 1, 2, and 3 groups, respectively. After multivariable adjustment of subjects edited by IPTW, HLS 1,2, and 3 groups were associated with a lower risk of dementia compared to HLS 0 group: Hazard Ratio [HR] 0.769, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.704–0.842 for score 1; HR 0.770, 95% CI 0.709–0.836 for score 2; HR 0.622, 95% CI 0.569–0.679 for score 3. The effect of healthy lifestyle was similar for Alzheimer's dementia (HR 0.823, 95% CI 0.739–0.917 for score 1; HR 0.839, 95% CI 0.760–0.927 for score 2; HR 0.660, 95% CI 0.594–0.734 for score 3) and vascular dementia (HR 0.532, 95% CI 0.437–0.648 for score 1; HR 0.503 95% CI 0.422–0.600 for score 2; HR 0.458, 95% CI 0.378–0.554 for score 3). There was consistency in subgroup analyses stratified by age, sex, CHA2DS2-VASc score, oral anticoagulation use and prior stroke history.

Conclusion

A combination of a healthy lifestyle, including quitting smoking, abstaining from alcohol consumption, and performing regular physical activity, was associated with a significantly lower risk of dementia in both Alzheimer's dementia and vascular dementia in patients with new-onset AF. These findings support the promotion of a healthy lifestyle within an integrated care approach to AF patient management, which could reduce the risk of dementia.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

A population-based study for difference in contribution of type 2 diabetes mellitus to cardiovascular outcomes in adult cancer survivors and general population without history of cancer

Background/Introduction

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is a well-established risk factor for cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, evidence is scarce on the difference in burden of T2DM as a cardiovascular risk factor in adult cancer survivors compared to the general population without history of cancer. This evidence gap needs to be addressed as increased risk for CVD in adult cancer survivors compared to the general population has been consistently reported from observational studies.

Purpose

To investigate the association of T2DM with CVD in adult cancer survivors and general population without history of cancer and compare the magnitude of associations for each population using propensity score-matched analyses

Methods

For this population-based cohort study, we used the National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort (NHIS-NSC) established in the Republic of Korea (2002–2015) to identity adult cancer survivors who were aged 18 years or older and survived more than 12 months after the first-ever cancer diagnosis and general population without history of cancer matched for age and sex in a 1:1 ratio. In both cohorts, those with history of CVD prior to the index date were excluded. We used Cox proportional hazards model to compute hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) for incident CVD in those with T2DM compared to those without T2DM in both adult cancer survivors and the general population after adjusting for shared confounding factors (income status, cigarette smoking, alcohol consumption, physical inactivity, body mass index, blood pressure, lipid abnormalities, family history of CVD, and aspirin use). Furthermore, we used Q statistic to compare the magnitude of association between T2DM and CVD in this matched cohort.

Results

The overall age and sex matched cohort in the NHIS-NSC comprised of 5,163 adult cancer survivors and the equivalent number of participants categorized as general population without history of cancer. The adjusted HR for CVD among adult cancer survivors with T2DM, as compared to without T2DM was 2.27 (95% CI: 1.25–4.11). Similarly, T2DM was associated with an increased risk of CVD in the general population without cancer (HR=1.88; 95% CI: 1.03–3.42). However, no strong statistical evidence was found for difference in contribution of T2DM to CVD risk between adult cancer survivors and general population without history of cancer (Pheterogeneity = 0.662).

Conclusions

In this population-based cohort study, T2DM was associated with an increased risk for CVD in both adult cancer survivors and those without history of cancer. Difference in magnitude of T2DM-CVD associations between adult cancer survivors and the general population without history of cancer was not substantial from a statistical standpoint. However, adult cancer survivor with T2DM may still need additional clinical attention for CVD prevention compared to those without history of cancer.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): National Cancer Center (Republic of Korea)

Dual antithrombotic therapy on early clinical outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation after percutaneous coronary intervention: a nationwide study in the era of NOAC

Background/Introduction

Recent evidence has confirmed low bleeding risk with double antithrombotic therapy, combining oral anticoagulant (OAC) and single platelet inhibitor, in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). Among the Asian AF population, most of the patients received dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT) without OACs, even after the introduction of non-vitamin K oral anticoagulants (NOACs).

Purpose

The current nationwide study assessed 3-month ischemic and bleeding risks of DAPT in comparison to triple antithrombotic therapy among the Korean AF population undergoing PCI.

Methods

We analyzed the claims records of 11,039 patients (mean age 70 years, 66.3% male, and mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.2) between 2013 to 2018. Patients were categorized into triple therapy group with vitamin K antagonists (VKAs-TT), or NOACs (NOACs-TT), and DAPT group according to the antithrombotic therapy after PCI. 3-month risks of ischemic stroke, non-fatal myocardial infarction, any in-hospital death, and major bleeding were compared between groups after baseline adjustment using inverse probability weighting.

Results

A total of 1,786, 1,997, and 7,256 patients were allocated to the VKAs-TT, NOACs-TT, and DAPT groups. The DAPT group had a higher prevalence of prior MI and coronary revascularization, but had lower thromboembolic and bleeding risks than the triple antithrombotic therapy groups (mean CHA2DS2-VASc score 3.8, 4.1, and 3.5; and mean HAS-BLED score 3.3, 3.4, and 3.1 for VKAs-TT, NOACs-TT, and DAPT groups, respectively). The NOACs-TT group was associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke (hazard ratio [HR] 0.38, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.20–0.70) and any in-hospital death (HR 0.70, 95% CI 0.49–0.98) compared with the VKAs-TT group. The DAPT group showed a lower risk of ischemic stroke (HR 0.41, 95% CI 0.27–0.63) and major bleeding (HR 0.55, 95% CI 0.37–0.84) than the VKAs-TT group, especially in patients without prior OAC treatment. The DAPT group showed a comparable ischemic risk against the NOACs-TT group, although the risk of major bleeding was lower in the DAPT group, especially among old age (HR 0.47, 95% CI 0.29–0.78) or OACs-naive patients (HR 0.50, 95% CI 0.29–0.86).

Conclusion

Among the Asian AF population, using short-term DAPT for 3-month after PCI was associated with a lower risk of bleeding without increasing ischemic risk compared to triple antithrombotic therapy with OAC. This may be a therapeutic option in very high bleeding risk patients who have had complex PCI necessitating focus on DAPT in the initial 3 month period.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public Institution(s). Main funding source(s): This study was supported by grant no 3020200200 from the Seoul National University Hospital Research Fund, by the Korea Medical Device Development Fund grant funded by the Korea government (the Ministry of Science and ICT, the Ministry of Trade, Industry and Energy, the Ministry of Health & Welfare, Republic of Korea, the Ministry of Food and Drug Safety) (Project Number: 202013B14), and by the Korea National Research Foundation funded by the Ministry of Education, Science and Technology (grant 2020R1F1A106740). Figure 1Figure 2

Clustering of healthy lifestyle behaviors is associated with a lower incidence of adverse events in patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation: a nationwide cohort study

Background

Although unhealthy or healthy lifestyle behaviors tend to be clustered, studies on the risk of clinical outcomes depending on how the lifestyle behaviors are managed after atrial fibrillation (AF) diagnosis remain limited.

Purpose

We aimed to evaluate the association between a cluster of healthy lifestyle behaviors and the risk of adverse outcomes in patients with AF.

Methods

Using the Korean National Insurance Service database, patients who were newly diagnosed as nonvalvular AF between 2009 and 2016 and received national health screening examination within 2-year after AF diagnosis were included. A healthy lifestyle behavior score (HLS) was calculated by assigning 1 point each for “non-current” smoking, for non-drinking, and for performing regular exercise from the self-reported questionnaire in health screening examinations. The primary outcome was defined as major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), including ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, and hospitalization for heart failure. The secondary outcomes included individual components of the primary composite outcome and all-cause death.

Results

A total of 208,662 patients were included and 7.1%, 22.7%, 58.6%, and 11.6% were HLS 0, 1, 2, and 3 group, respectively. After multivariable adjustment, patients with HLS 1, 2, and 3 were associated with lower risks of MACE compared to those with HLS 0 (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 0.788 [0.762–0.855], 0.654 [0.604–0.708], and 0.579 [0.527–0.636], respectively) (Figure). Increased number of healthy lifestyle behaviors were associated with lower risks of ischemic stroke, hospitalization for heart failure, and all-cause death. The risk reduction of healthy lifestyle combinations was consistently observed in various subgroups, regardless of CHA2DS2-VASc score and oral anticoagulant use.

Conclusion

Increased number of healthy lifestyle behaviors were significantly associated with lower MACE and all-cause death risks in patients with new-onset AF. These findings support the promotion of a healthy lifestyle to reduce the risk of adverse events in AF patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Risk of atrial fibrillation in young adults aged 20 to 39 years with isolated diastolic, isolated systolic, and systolic-diastolic hypertension: a nationwide population-based study

Background

There is limited evidence regarding the comparative risks of incident atrial fibrillation (AF) associated with stage 1 isolated systolic hypertension (ISH), isolated diastolic hypertension (IDH), and systolic-diastolic hypertension (SDH), especially amongst young adults aged 20–39 years.

Purpose

To evaluate the association between early-stage of hypertension and AF in young adults aged 20–39 years.

Methods

From the Korean nationwide health screening database, 2,958,544 subjects aged 20–39 years who were not prescribed antihypertensive medication at the index examination in 2009 were included. Subjects were categorized into eight groups according to the 2017 American College of Cardiology/American Heart Association blood pressure (BP) guidelines: normal BP, elevated BP, stage 1 IDH, stage 1 ISH, stage 1 SDH, stage 2 IDH, stage 2 ISH, and stage 2 SDH. The primary outcome was new-onset AF during follow-up.

Results

During a median follow-up of 8.3 years, 7,347 subjects had incident AF (incidence rate, 0.3 per 1,000 person-years). Compared to the normal BP group, stage 1 IDH (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 1.160; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.086–1.240) and stage 1 SDH (1.250; 1.165–1.341) were associated with higher risks of incident AF, but not stage 1 ISH. Stage 2 IDH, ISH, and SDH were associated with higher risks of incident AF by 24%, 37%, and 61%, respectively (Figure).

Conclusion

Among young adults, stage 1 IDH and SDH were associated with higher risks of incident AF compared to normal BP. The risk of incident AF with stage 2 IDH was similar to that of stage 1 SDH. Optimal BP control including diastolic BP is crucial for preventing new-onset AF, even amongst young adults.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Type and severity of migraine determines long-term risk of atrial fibrillation in women: a nationwide population-based study

Background

Migraine, especially when accompanied by aura, increases the risk of ischemic stroke and has also shown a close relationship with the occurrence of atrial fibrillation (AF). Although the risk of stroke and cardiovascular diseases is higher in women with migraine than in men, there is a lack of evidence for gender differences in the risk of AF in migraineurs.

Purpose

We sought to evaluate the gender-specific risk of AF according to the type and severity of migraine.

Methods

The study population included all national health checkup examinees (2009) without a history of AF from the Korean National Health Insurance Service data. The diagnosis and type or severity of migraine were determined using claims data, including diagnostic, procedural, and medication prescription codes. Newly developed non-valvular AF was identified during 10 years of follow-up. Gender-difference in the effect of migraine on AF occurrence was evaluated according to the type and severity of migraine. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to adjust for baseline differences between comparison groups, including age, smoking status, drinking habit, regular physical activity, income level, diabetes mellitus, hypertension, dyslipidemia, body mass index, and glomerular filtration rate as covariates.

Results

Of a total of 4,020,488 subjects (men, n=2,213,147, women, n=1,807,341) enrolled, 4,986 had migraine with aura (mean age 50.6±14.0, men 29.3%) and 105,029 without aura (mean age 51.6±14.3, men 30.9%). The proportion of migraine with aura among migraine patients was 4% in both gender groups. In the total population, migraine or migraine with aura did not significantly increase the risk of AF. The risk of AF did not increase in a mild degree of migraine, irrespective of gender or the presence of aura. Severe migraine without aura modestly increased the risk of AF in both men and women compared to the control group. (Men, incidence rate [IR] 4.51 per 1,000 person-year, adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 1.21, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12–1.31; Female, IR 3.00 per 1,000 person-year, adjusted HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.09–1.22) The increase of AF risk was the most prominent in women who had severe migraine with aura (IR 3.39 per 1,000 person-year, adjusted HR 1.48, 95% CI 1.18–1.85). In contrast, no significant association was observed between AF and migraine with aura in men. (IR 2.28, adjusted HR 0.63, 95% CI 0.39–1.01; P for interaction 0.011)

Conclusions

Mild migraine was not associated with an increase in AF risk regardless of gender or the presence of aura. Severe migraine without aura showed a mild increase in AF risk without gender-difference, while severe migraine with aura significantly increased the risk of AF only in women, not in men. Surveillance for incident AF and prompt stroke prevention would be beneficial, particularly for young-aged women suffering from severe migraine with aura.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1

Antithrombotic therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation and stable coronary artery disease of 1-year and 3-year after percutaneous coronary intervention: a nationwide population-based study

Background

In a recent trial, rivaroxaban monotherapy was noninferior for efficacy and superior for safety to rivaroxaban plus single antiplatelet therapy, as antithrombotic therapy for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and stable coronary artery disease (CAD). However, there are limited data regarding the comparative effectiveness and safety of oral anticoagulant (OAC) monotherapy versus OAC plus single antiplatelet therapy (SAPT) in real-world practice, especially after the introduction of direct oral anticoagulants (DOAC).

Purpose

To compare the effectiveness, safety, and net clinical benefit of OAC monotherapy to OAC plus SAPT in patients with AF and stable CAD of 1-year and 3-year after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) in a contemporary real-world observational cohort.

Methods

Using the Korean nationwide claims database, we included AF patients who underwent PCI from January 1, 2009 to February 28, 2019. Considering dynamic changes of antithrombotic therapy according to the period after receiving PCI, the index antithrombotic treatment was independently defined at the different time after receiving PCI and we conducted two cohort: 1-year and 3-year after PCI. In each cohort, the baseline characteristics of OAC monotherapy and OAC plus SAPT groups were balanced using inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) methods. To assess clinical outcomes, ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, major bleeding, and composite clinical outcomes of each outcome were analyzed.

Results

In cohort with 1-year after PCI, 678 patients with OAC monotherapy and 3159 patients with OAC plus SAPT were included. In cohort with 3-year after PCI, 1038 patients with OAC monotherapy and 2128 patients with OAC plus SAPT were enrolled. The baseline characteristics were well-balanced after IPTW between the two groups in both cohorts. Among total population, about 45% of patients prescribed DOAC as OAC treatment. Among patients with 1-year after PCI, OAC monotherapy and OAC plus SAPT showed comparable results for ischemic stroke, myocardial infarction, major bleeding, and composite clinical outcomes (Figure). In cohort with 3-year after PCI, OAC monotherapy and OAC plus SAPT showed comparable results for ischemic stroke and myocardial infarction, but OAC monotherapy was associated with a lower risk of the composite clinical outcome (hazard ratio [HR] 0.762, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.607–0.950), mainly driven by reduction of major bleeding risk (HR 0.762, 95% CI 0.607–0.950) compared to OAC plus SAPT (Figure).

Conclusion

OAC monotherapy might be, at least, comparable choice for patients with AF and stable CAD compared to OAC plus SAPT. In patients with stable CAD more than 3-years after index PCI, OAC monotherapy could be better therapeutic choice to achieve less major bleeding and positive net clinical benefit.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Impact of cumulative burden of body mass index and waist circumference on risk of atrial fibrillation: an analysis of 3,700,000 participants who underwent 4-year consecutive annual health examination

Background

There is limited evidence for the significance of the combination of waist circumference (WC), as a surrogate marker of central obesity, with body mass index (BMI) for predicting the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). Furthermore, the additive value of the burden of BMI and WC cumulated over time on AF risk has not been reported.

Purpose

We sought to investigate the effect of cumulative burden of BMI, WC, and their combinations on the risk of AF using health check-up data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service.

Methods

This study included subjects aged &gt;20 years who underwent four times of annual national health check-ups serially during 2009 to 2013, excluding those with a previous history of AF. The 4-year cumulative burden of BMI and WC was represented as burden-score calculated by the summation of BMI score (BMI 18.5–23 kg/m2, score 0; BMI 23–25 kg/m2, score 1; BMI ≥25 kg/m2, score 2) and WC score (WC &lt;90 cm for men or &lt;85 cm for women, score 0; WC ≥90 cm for men or ≥85 cm for women, score 1) at each year of health check-up. Newly developed AF was identified using claims data during a median follow-up of 5.2 years. AF risk was evaluated according to the burden of BMI, WC, and their combinations. A multivariate Cox regression model was used to adjust for baseline differences.

Results

Of 3,726,172 subjects (mean age 44.5±11.1, men 69.5%) enrolled, 27% had BMI burden-score of zero, while 23% had maximal burden-score of 8. For WC, 71% had zero burden-score and 7% had the highest burden-score of 4. Compared to the zero burden-score, maximal burden-score of BMI mildly increased the risk of AF, whereas the risk of AF predominantly increased in the group of maximal burden-score of WC. The different burdens of BMI in the same WC burden group did not significantly affect the risk of AF. Adjusted HR of each BMI burden-score (BMI burden zero as a reference) ranged from 1.01 to 1.12 in the group with WC burden-score zero, 0.84 to 1.06 in WC burden-score 1, 0.84 to 1.19 in WC burden-score 2, 0.59 to 0.83 in WC burden-score 3, and 0.62 to 1.55 in WC burden-score 4 without statistical significance. In contrast, high WC burden-score further increased the risk of AF even in groups with moderate to high burden of BMI (adjusted HR of maximal WC burden versus zero burden 1.97 [1.49–2.59] in the group with BMI burden-score 4; 1.66 [1.23–2.24] in BMI burden-score 5; 1.49 [1.16–1.91] in BMI burden-score 6; 1.43 [1.18–1.73] in BMI burden-score 7; and 1.49 [1.38–1.60] in BMI burden-score 8).

Conclusions

The 4-year cumulative burden of WC was a stronger determinant of future AF risk than BMI burden. Particularly in middle-ranged BMI burden groups that include persistently overweight but not obese population, high burden of WC substantially increased the risk of AF. The strategy of active surveillance for AF and comprehensive management of lifestyle and risk factors should focus on high-risk populations determined by the burden of WC.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.