Robustness of close-kin mark-recapture estimators to dispersal limitation and spatially varying sampling probabilities

Close-kin mark-recapture (CKMR) is a method for estimating abundance and vital rates from kinship relationships observed in genetic samples. CKMR inference only requires animals to be sampled once (e.g., lethally), potentially widening the scope of population-level inference relative to traditional monitoring programs.One assumption of CKMR is that, conditional on individual covariates like age, all animals have an equal probability of being sampled. However, if genetic data are collected opportunistically (e.g., via hunters or fishers), there is potential for spatial variation in sampling probability that can bias CKMR estimators, particularly when genetically related individuals stay in close proximity.We used individual-based simulation to investigate consequences of dispersal limitation and spatially biased sampling on performance of naive (nonspatial) CKMR estimators of abundance, fecundity, and adult survival. Population dynamics approximated that of a long-lived mammal species subject to lethal sampling.Naive CKMR abundance estimators were relatively unbiased when dispersal was unconstrained (i.e., complete mixing) or when sampling was random or subject to moderate levels of spatial variation. When dispersal was limited, extreme variation in spatial sampling probabilities negatively biased abundance estimates. Reproductive schedules and survival were well estimated, except for survival when adults could emigrate out of the sampled area. Incomplete mixing was readily detected using Kolmogorov-Smirnov tests.Although CKMR appears promising for estimating abundance and vital rates with opportunistically collected genetic data, care is needed when dispersal limitation is coupled with spatially biased sampling. Fortunately, incomplete mixing is easily detected with adequate sample sizes. In principle, it is possible to devise and fit spatially explicit CKMR models to avoid bias under dispersal limitation, but development of such models necessitates additional complexity (and possibly additional data). We suggest using simulation studies to examine potential bias and precision of proposed modeling approaches prior to implementing a CKMR program.

The influence of petroleum oil films on the feather structure of tropical and temperate seabird species

Feather fouling is a primary cause of seabird mortality during marine hydrocarbon oil spills. Understanding how oils interact with feathers is an important step in mitigating this threat. Seabird feathers from 12 taxa, representing most seabird families from the tropics and southern latitudes, were exposed to crude and condensate oil films under laboratory settings. Feathers were measured for changes in mass proportional to feather size, and for barbule clumping. Seabird feathers from six distinct families exposed to very thin oil sheens (<0.3 μm) showed no significant change in proportional mass relative to control treatments, and 10 of the 12 species exposed to these films revealed no significant difference in barbule clumping. By contrast, exposure to both crude and condensate oil films ≥3 μm resulted in significant increases in feather mass and clumping. Our findings highlight the importance of considering the influence of oil on feather structure when compiling threat assessments involving seabirds.

Development and performance of the vehicle-mounted radiation monitoring equipment used in the Maralinga rehabilitation project

The rehabilitation of the former nuclear test site at Maralinga involved (among other processes) the removal of contaminated soil from an area of approximately 2.5 km2. The two most stringent rehabilitation criteria required measurements to ensure that no radioactive particle exceeding 100 kBq of 241Am activity, and no area of 1 ha exceeding 3 kBq/m2 of 241Am activity, remained in the rehabilitated area. The project timetable required that the area be scanned at the rate of approximately 3 ha/day. Two vehicle-mounted detection systems were developed and constructed to obtain the necessary measurements in the available timeframe. The scientific basis for the designs are presented, together with details of the selected equipment and technical solutions found. The performance of this equipment in the field is discussed in terms of both its scientific and technical operation. Based on the experience gained at Maralinga, improved versions of this equipment were produced under contract for the People's Republic of China.