Prediction of pulmonary complications and long-term survival in systemic sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To assess survival and incidence of organ-based complications in a large single-center cohort of unselected systemic sclerosis (SSc) patients, and to explore predictors of survival and clinically significant pulmonary fibrosis (PF) and pulmonary hypertension (PH).

METHODS

The study cohort consisted of 398 consecutive SSc patients, followed up for up to 15 years. Cox proportional hazards analysis with demographic, clinical, and laboratory characteristics as predictor variables was used to develop prediction models for pulmonary complications and survival.

RESULTS

The overall survival estimate at the end of followup was 57% among patients with limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc) and 50% among patients with diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) (P = 0.017). We found that greater age at disease onset, dcSSc, lower diffusing capacity for carbon monoxide (DLco), lower hemoglobin levels, higher serum creatinine levels, and the presence of PH or cardiac involvement were independent predictors of worse survival. Over the entire followup period, 42% of dcSSc patients and 22% of lcSSc patients developed clinically significant PF (P < 0.001). The variables that predicted clinically significant PF development were dcSSc, greater age at onset, lower forced vital capacity and DLco, and the presence of anti-topoisomerase I antibody, while the presence of anticentromere antibody was protective. There was no difference in cumulative incidence of PH between the 2 subsets-24% in lcSSc and 18% in dcSSc (P = 0.558). Incidence rates were 1-2% per year. The PH prediction model demonstrated that greater age at onset, increase in serum creatinine levels, lower DLco, and the presence of anti-RNA polymerase III or anti-U3 RNP antibodies were associated with increased risk of PH, while anti-topoisomerase I antibody positivity reduced the hazard.

CONCLUSION

Our study provides data on long-term outcome of SSc and the timing and frequency of major organ complications. The predictive models we present could be used as clinical tools for patient risk stratification and could facilitate cohort enrichment for event-driven studies.

Mycophenolate mofetil in diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis--a retrospective analysis

OBJECTIVES

We have assessed indications, duration and tolerability of treatment with mycophenolate mofetil (MMF) in patients with diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc), and compared clinical outcome with a control cohort treated with other immunosuppressive drugs.

METHODS

The clinical records of 109 patients treated with MMF and 63 control subjects receiving other immunosuppressive drugs were reviewed. Data covering a 5-yr period from commencement of treatment or until last assessment date were collected.

RESULTS

MMF and control groups were well-matched in terms of basic demographic and clinical parameters. Treatment with MMF was very well tolerated. Of all patients, 12% experienced adverse reactions with gastrointestinal (GI) tract disturbances and infections being most frequent. MMF was discontinued due to disease stabilization in 9%, side effects in 8% and no effect on the disease activity in 14% of the patients. There was a significantly lower frequency of clinically significant pulmonary fibrosis in the MMF-treated cohort (P = 0.037) and significantly better 5-yr survival from disease onset and from commencement of treatment (P = 0.027 and P = 0.012, respectively). There was no significant difference between the two groups in terms of modified Rodnan skin score and forced vital capacity (FVC) change.

CONCLUSIONS

MMF is very well tolerated and appears to be at least as effective as the other current therapies for dcSSc. Our results provide support for further evaluation of MMF in a prospective trial.

Using Autoantibodies and Cutaneous Subset to Develop Outcome-Based Disease Classification in Systemic Sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To describe the associations between autoantibodies, clinical presentation, and outcomes among patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) in order to develop a novel SSc classification scheme that would incorporate both antibodies and the cutaneous disease subset as criteria.

METHODS

Demographic and clinical characteristics, including cutaneous subset, time of disease and organ complication onset, and autoantibody specificities, were determined in a cohort of SSc subjects. Survival analysis was used to assess the effect of the autoantibodies on organ disease and death.

RESULTS

The study included 1,325 subjects. Among the antibody/skin disease subsets, anticentromere antibody-positive patients with limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc) (n = 374) had the highest 20-year survival (65.3%), lowest incidence of clinically significant pulmonary fibrosis (PF) (8.5%) and scleroderma renal crisis (SRC) (0.3%), and lowest incidence of cardiac SSc (4.9%), whereas the frequency of pulmonary hypertension (PH) was similar to the mean value in the SSc cohort overall. The anti-Scl-70+ groups of patients with lcSSc (n = 138) and patients with diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) (n = 149) had the highest incidence of clinically significant PF (86.1% and 84%, respectively, at 15 years). Anti-Scl-70+ patients with dcSSc had the lowest survival (32.4%) and the second highest incidence of cardiac SSc (12.9%) at 20 years. In contrast, in anti-Scl-70+ patients with lcSSc, other complications were rare, and these patients demonstrated the lowest incidence of PH (6.9%) and second highest survival (61.8%) at 20 years. Anti-RNA polymerase antibody-positive SSc patients (n = 147) had the highest incidence of SRC (28.1%) at 20 years. The anti-U3 RNP+ SSc group (n = 56) had the highest incidence of PH (33.8%) and cardiac SSc (13.2%) at 20 years. Among lcSSc patients with other autoantibodies (n = 295), the risk of SRC and cardiac SSc was low at 20 years (2.7% and 2.4%, respectively), while the frequencies of other outcomes were similar to the mean values in the full SSc cohort. Patients with dcSSc who were positive for other autoantibodies (n = 166) had a poor prognosis, demonstrating the second lowest survival (33.6%) and frequent organ complications.

CONCLUSION

These findings highlight the importance of autoantibodies, cutaneous subset, and disease duration when assessing morbidity and mortality in patients with SSc. Our novel classification scheme may improve disease monitoring and benefit future clinical trial designs in SSc.

Improved survival in systemic sclerosis is associated with better ascertainment of internal organ disease: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) has high mortality and morbidity. Current management focuses on early detection and treatment of organ-based manifestations.

AIM

To determine whether the ascertainment of major organ complications of SSc has changed over time and if this is associated with better survival.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort analysis.

METHODS

A total of 520 SSc patients, 234 with disease onset between 1990 and 1993 (historical cohort) and 286 with disease onset between 2000 and 2003 (contemporary cohort), were included. Survival and frequency of internal organ complications were compared between the two cohorts.

RESULTS

Five-year survival among diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc) patients has improved from 69% in the 1990-93 cohort to 84% in the 2000-03 cohort (P = 0.018), whereas 5-year survival among the limited cutaneous SSc (lcSSc) patients has remained unchanged-93 and 91%, respectively. Sixteen per cent of the lcSSc subjects and 38% of the dcSSc subjects from the contemporary cohort were diagnosed for the clinically significant pulmonary fibrosis compared with 3 and 7%, respectively, of the historical cohort (P < 0.001). Similarly, the diagnosis of pulmonary arterial hypertension was more frequent in the patients from the contemporary cohort (8 and 7% for lcSSc and dcSSc, respectively) compared with [ < 1% (P = 0.002) and 1% (P = 0.148), respectively] the historical cohort. There was no significant difference between the two cohorts in terms of scleroderma renal crisis and cardiac involvement.

CONCLUSION

Survival has substantially improved for the diffuse cutaneous subset of SSc with better and more complete ascertainment of lung complications as a result of systematic annual screening.

Clinical burden of digital vasculopathy in limited and diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Vascular damage is a key pathological process in systemic sclerosis (SSc) and accounts for significant disease-related morbidity. To determine the clinical burden of severe digital vasculopathy (SDV), we have reviewed hospital-based treatment for this important complication of SSc in a large single centre cohort.

METHODS

Cases were identified from a cohort of 1168 patients with a diagnosis of SSc who were reviewed during an 18-month period. Patients with recorded episodes of SDV-related complications (digital ulceration, critical digital ischaemia or digital gangrene), requiring surgical amputation, digital sympathectomy or admissions for intravenous prostacyclin or calcitonin gene related peptide (CGRP) and/or intravenous antibiotic treatment were identified.

RESULTS

From this large SSc cohort, 17.4% had SDV-related complications. Contrary to expectation, their frequency was significantly higher among the patients with the diffuse cutaneous subset of SSc (27.5%) compared with 13% among the patients with limited cutaneous SSc (p<0.0001). 16.6% had at least one recorded episode of digital ulcers, and 12% required at least one hospitalisation during the 18 months for treatment with intravenous prostacyclin/CGRP. Overall, there were 242 admissions with a mean duration of 6 days.

CONCLUSIONS

Digital vasculopathy is a serious complication of SSc contributing significant morbidity and often requiring hospital-based management.

Pathogenesis of systemic sclerosis associated interstitial lung disease

Systemic sclerosis is an autoimmune disease leading to vasculopathy and fibrosis of skin and internal organs. Despite likely shared pathogenic mechanisms, the patterns of skin and lung fibrosis differ. Pathogenesis of interstitial lung disease, a major cause of death in systemic sclerosis, reflects the intrinsic disease pathobiology and is associated with distinct clinical phenotypes and laboratory characteristics. The commonest histological pattern of systemic sclerosis–interstitial lung disease is non-specific interstitial pneumonia. Systemic sclerosis–interstitial lung disease pathogenesis involves multiple components, including susceptibility and triggering factors, which could be genetic or environmental. The process is amplified likely through ongoing inflammation and the link between inflammatory activity and fibrosis with IL6 emerging as a key mediator. The disease is driven by epithelial injury, reflected by markers in the serum, such as surfactant proteins and KL-6. In addition, mediators that are produced by epithelial cells and that regulate inflammatory cell trafficking may be important, especially CCL2. Other factors, such as CXCL4 and CCL18, point towards immune-mediated damage or injury response. Monocytes and alternatively activated macrophages appear to be important. Transforming growth factor beta appears central to pathogenesis and regulates epithelial repair and fibroblast activation. Understanding pathogenesis may help to unravel the stages of systemic sclerosis–interstitial lung disease, risks of progression and determinants of outcome. With this article, we set out to review the multiple factors, including genetic, environmental, cellular and molecular, that may be involved in the pathogenesis of systemic sclerosis–interstitial lung disease and the mechanisms leading to sustained fibrosis. We propose a model for the pathogenesis of systemic sclerosis–interstitial lung disease, based on the available literature.

Derivation and validation of a prediction rule for two-year mortality in early diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is associated with a reduction in life expectancy, but there are no validated prognostic models for determining short-term mortality. The objective of this study was to derive and validate a prediction rule for 2-year mortality in patients with early diffuse cutaneous SSc (dcSSc).

METHODS

We studied a prospectively enrolled cohort of 387 US Caucasian patients with early dcSSc (<2 years from the appearance of the first symptom), randomly divided into a derivation cohort (n = 260) and a validation cohort (n = 127). Predefined baseline predictor variables were analyzed in a stepwise multivariable logistic regression model in order to identify factors independently associated with 2-year all-cause mortality using a cutoff of P < 0.05. We rounded the beta values to the nearest integer and summed the points assigned to each variable in order to stratify patients into low-risk, moderate-risk, and high-risk groups. We then applied this rule to an external validation cohort of 110 Caucasian patients with early dcSSc from a single UK center and compared stratum-specific mortality using chi-square statistics.

RESULTS

Four independent predictor variables (with assigned integer values) comprised the model: age at first visit (points allotted: -1, 0, or 1), skin thickness progression rate (points allotted: 0 or 1), gastrointestinal tract severity (points allotted: 0, 1, or 2), and anemia (points allotted: 0 or 2). The prediction model performed well, with no significant differences between the derivation cohort and the US or UK validation cohorts in the low-risk and moderate-risk groups.

CONCLUSION

We derived a 4-variable prediction rule that can be used to stratify patients with early dcSSc into groups by risk of 2-year mortality, and we validated that prediction rule in US and UK cohorts.

Characteristics of patients with juvenile onset systemic sclerosis in an adult single-center cohort

OBJECTIVE

Systemic sclerosis (SSc) is a rare connective tissue disease in childhood. We compared the characteristics of adult patients with juvenile-onset SSc (jSSc) from a single-center cohort to an adult-onset group.

METHODS

Patients with disease onset before the age of 17 years were included in the jSSc cohort, while subjects with SSc onset after age 17 formed the adult-onset cohort.

RESULTS

We identified 52 adult subjects with jSSc and compared them to 954 patients with adult-onset SSc. The mean ± SD age at disease onset of the patients with jSSc was 14 ± 2 years, 39 (75%) of them were women, and 24 (46%) had the diffuse cutaneous subset of SSc (dcSSc). There were no differences between the 2 cohorts in terms of sex and disease subset. Overlaps were significantly more frequent among the jSSc cohort (37%) compared to the adult-onset group (18%; p = 0.002). Autoantibody analysis demonstrated significantly more antitopoisomerase I antibody-positive subjects (33% vs 20%; p = 0.034) and significantly fewer anticentromere antibody-positive subjects (2% vs 25%; p < 0.001) in the jSSc cohort. Compared to the adult-onset group at 10 years from disease onset, survival was significantly higher among the subjects with jSSc (98% vs 75%; p = 0.001), pulmonary arterial hypertension had a significantly lower incidence (2% vs 14%; p = 0.032), and there was no difference in terms of pulmonary fibrosis (22% vs 21%) and cardiac scleroderma (3% vs 2%) between the 2 groups.

CONCLUSION

The high survival rates and lower proportion of dcSSc in the adult jSSc cohort may represent a survival bias.

A longitudinal study of anti-RNA polymerase III antibody levels in systemic sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

Anti-RNA-polymerase antibodies (ARAs) are associated with the diffuse cutaneous subset of SSc (dcSSc) and particularly with scleroderma renal crisis (SRC). We analysed serial ARA levels and explored the relationship with clinical features and disease outcome.

METHODS

A commercially available ELISA method with a recombinant peptide of RNA polymerase III was used and ARA levels were measured in a well-characterized cohort of SSc cases.

RESULTS

ARA levels were measured in 64 SSc patients. Of them, 78% (n = 50) were females and 92% (n = 59) had dcSSc, 39% (n = 25) had SRC, 20% (n = 13) had pulmonary fibrosis (PF), 9% (n = 6) had pulmonary arterial hypertension and 3% (n = 2) had cardiac involvement. There was considerable inter- and intra-patient variability in ARA levels (11-210 U/ml). There was no correlation between absolute ARA levels (at baseline or throughout the disease course) and outcome. There was a moderate correlation between time to peak ARA level and development of significant PF (Pearson correlation = 0.669, P = 0.034), but no correlation between peak ARA levels and onset of SRC. ARA levels change correlated with change in skin score (correlation coefficient within subjects = 0.236, P = 0.011).

CONCLUSIONS

The pathogenic significance of ARA is unclear. Despite the very strong association of ARA with SRC, we could not show the clinically significant association between absolute levels of antibody and development of internal organ complications, which makes repeated measurements of ARA levels unnecessary. However, changes in ARA level over time occur and may reflect changes in skin score.

Analysis of Anti-RNA Polymerase III Antibody-positive Systemic Sclerosis and Altered GPATCH2L and CTNND2 Expression in Scleroderma Renal Crisis

OBJECTIVE

Scleroderma renal crisis (SRC) is a life-threatening complication of systemic sclerosis (SSc) strongly associated with anti-RNA polymerase III antibody (ARA) autoantibodies. We investigated genetic susceptibility and altered protein expression in renal biopsy specimens in ARA-positive patients with SRC.

METHODS

ARA-positive patients (n = 99) with at least 5 years' follow-up (49% with a history of SRC) were selected from a well characterized SSc cohort (n = 2254). Cases were genotyped using the Illumina Human Omni-express chip. Based on initial regression analysis, 9 single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNP) were chosen for validation in a separate cohort of 256 ARA-positive patients (40 with SRC). Immunostaining of tissue sections from SRC or control kidney was used to quantify expression of candidate proteins based upon genetic analysis of the discovery cohort.

RESULTS

Analysis of 641,489 SNP suggested association of POU2F1 (rs2093658; P = 1.98 × 10^-5), CTNND2 (rs1859082; P = 5.58 × 10^-5), HECW2 (rs16849716; P = 1.2 × 10^-4), and GPATCH2L (rs935332; P = 4.92 × 10^-5) with SRC. Further, the validation cohort showed an association between rs935332 within the GPATCH2L region, with SRC (P = 0.025). Immunostaining of renal biopsy sections showed increased tubular expression of GPATCH2L (P = 0.026) and glomerular expression of CTNND2 (P = 0.026) in SRC samples (n = 8) compared with normal human kidney controls (n = 8), despite absence of any genetic replication for the associated SNP.

CONCLUSION

Increased expression of 2 candidate proteins, GPATCH2L and CTNND2, in SRC compared with control kidney suggests a potential role in pathogenesis of SRC. For GPATCH2L, this may reflect genetic susceptibility in ARA-positive patients with SSc based upon 2 independent cohorts.

High proton pump inhibitor exposure increases risk of calcinosis in systemic sclerosis

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association between proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use and the presence and severity of calcinosis in SSc.

METHODS

We analysed data from two SSc cohorts from a single centre. Cohort 1 included 199 patients reviewed over 10 years, for whom retrospective data on PPI use and calcinosis were available. Cohort 2 was recruited prospectively and included 215 consecutive patients, who underwent clinical assessment. Outcomes of interest were presence of current calcinosis (CC) or calcinosis at any time (CAT).

RESULTS

The cohort 1 data analysis showed that among patients on standard dose PPI 20% had calcinosis, while in those on high doses of PPI calcinosis was present in 39% (P = 0.003). Analysis of the data from cohort 2 confirmed these findings, demonstrating that the odds of CAT increased significantly with longer PPI exposure [odds ratio (OR) 1.04, 95% CI: 1.02, 1.06; P < 0.001], longer disease duration (OR 1.08, 95% CI: 1.05, 1.12; P < 0.001) and greater age (OR 1.03, CI: 1.01, 1.05; P = 0.010). Multivariable logistic regression showed that higher exposure to PPI remained a significant predictor of calcinosis, with PPI exposure >10 years increasing the risk of CAT >6-fold, compared with no PPI (OR 6.37, 95% CI: 1.92, 21.17; P = 0.003) after adjusting for disease duration and antibodies.

CONCLUSION

We confirm a significant association between high PPI exposure with severity of calcinosis in SSc. Given the clinical impact of calcinosis and reflux in SSc, PPI exposure as a potentially modifiable risk factor for calcinosis requires further evaluation.

Outcomes linked to eligibility for stem cell transplantation trials in diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to explore outcomes in a cohort of diffuse cutaneous systemic sclerosis (dcSSc) patients fulfilling eligibility criteria for stem cell transplantation (SCT) studies but receiving standard immunosuppression.

METHODS

From a large single-centre dcSSc cohort (n = 636), patients were identified using the published SCT trials' inclusion criteria. Patients meeting the trials' exclusion criteria were excluded.

RESULTS

Of the 227 eligible patients, 214 met the inclusion criteria for ASTIS, 82 for SCOT and 185 for the UPSIDE trial, and 66 were excluded based on age > 65 years, low DLco, pulmonary hypertension or creatinine clearance <40ml/min. The mean follow-up time was 12 years (SD 7). Among the eligible patients, 103 (45.4%) died. Survival was 96% at 2-, 88% at 5-, 73% at 10- and 43% at 20 years. Compared with this 'SCT-eligible' cohort, those patients who would have been excluded from SCT trials had a worse long-term survival (97% at 2-, 77% at 5-, 52% at 10- and 15% at 20 years, log rank p< 0.001). Excluded patients also had a significantly worse long-term event free survival. Hazard of death was higher in patients with higher age at onset (HR 1.05, p< 0.001), higher ESR at baseline (HR 1.01, p= 0.025) and males (HR 2.12, p= 0.008).

CONCLUSION

SCT inclusion criteria identify patients with poor outcome despite current best practice treatment. Patients meeting the inclusion criteria for SCT but who would have been excluded from the trials because of age, pulmonary hypertension, poor kidney function or DLco <40%, had worse outcomes.

Distinctive clinical phenotype of anti-centromere antibody-positive diffuse systemic sclerosis

Objectives

The aim was to define clinical characteristics and long-term survival of patients with dcSSc and positive ACA.

Methods

We identified all cases of ACA⁺ SSc in our cohort (n = 1313). Those with dcSSc (ACA⁺ diffuse) were compared with representative groups of consecutive ACA⁺ patients with limited subset (ACA⁺ limited) and ACA⁻ dcSSc (non-ACA diffuse).

Results

Thirty-five patients (2.7%) were ACA⁺ diffuse. The peak modified Rodnan skin score was not significantly different between the dcSSc subgroups, but it occurred later in the disease course in ACA⁺ diffuse (88.54 vs 30.65 months, P < 0.001). Patterns of organ involvement were different between the groups. ACA⁺ diffuse had a higher incidence of interstitial lung disease than ACA⁺ limited (22.86 vs 4.43%, P = 0.001), but lower than non-ACA diffuse (41.18%, P = 0.042). More patients developed pulmonary hypertension in the ACA⁺ diffuse group (28.5 vs 12.0% ACA⁺ limited or 12.0% non-ACA diffuse), although this was attributable to the longer follow-up in these patients. The cumulative incidence of pulmonary hypertension was not different from the other two groups. The incidence of cardiac involvement was similar between the dcSSc groups, and scleroderma renal crisis was more frequent in the non-ACA diffuse group. Survival in ACA⁺ patients was similar in both subsets, whereas non-ACA diffuse had higher mortality.

Conclusion

ACA⁺ dcSSc is uncommon and has a distinct clinical phenotype, with a more insidious onset of skin and organ involvement. Even in dcSSc, ACA appears protective for organ-based complications, namely interstitial lung disease and scleroderma renal crisis, and is associated with a better survival than expected in dcSSc.

Therapy of pulmonary arterial hypertension in systemic sclerosis: An update

Pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) affects 10% to 15% of patients with systemic sclerosis and is a major cause for disease-related morbidity and mortality. Over the past decade, significant progress has been made in the understanding of the pathophysiologic mechanisms underlying PAH. This progress led to the development of several new treatment options and, as a result, dramatically improved survival among this severely affected cohort. The outcome in patients with scleroderma-related PAH is much worse than that in patients with idiopathic PAH, and unfortunately only a few studies have assessed treatment and outcome among patients suffering from connective tissue disease-related PAH. In recent years, publications of connective tissue disease subgroup analysis from large trials in PAH have emerged. We review the current treatment options for PAH and the evidence for their use in scleroderma-related PAH.

Comparing paediatric- and adult-onset linear morphoea in a large tertiary-referral scleroderma centre

BACKGROUND

Linear morphoea is a severe morphoea subtype associated with extracutaneous manifestations, potentially permanent disfigurement and functional impairment. Linear morphoea is more prevalent in paediatric patients, and knowledge of disease in adults is limited. The objective of this study was to compare paediatric- and adult-onset linear morphoea, in an exclusively adult population.

METHODOLOGY

This was a retrospective cohort study of adult patients with linear morphoea seen over a 3-year period at a single-site adult tertiary-referral Connective Tissue Disease centre. Clinical markers of disease severity and course, including anatomical distribution, extracutaneous manifestations, cutaneous symptoms, associated autoimmunity, inflammatory blood parameters, Dermatology Life Quality Index scores, treatment requirements and modified Localised Scleroderma Activity Tool were assessed and compared in paediatric- and adult-onset linear morphoea.

RESULTS

Of 298 patients with morphoea seen during the study period, 135 had linear morphoea and 133 were included in the study. Most were female (78.9%), the mean age was 36.5 years and almost half (43.6%) had adult-onset disease. Disease was similarly severe between groups with regard to anatomical distribution, cutaneous symptoms (n = 89, 66.9%), extracutaneous manifestations (n = 76, 57.1%), antinuclear antibody-positivity (n = 40, 40.4%), raised erythrocyte sedimentation rate (n = 27, 25.0%) and associated autoimmune diagnoses (n = 15, 11.3%). Prescribed treatments were similar between groups; 73.7% receiving methotrexate and almost one-third (32.3%) requiring more than one steroid-sparing agent. Those with paediatric-onset had more disease-related damage, with a mean modified Localised Scleroderma Skin Damage Index score of 19.5 (95% confidence interval: 17.0-22.0) versus 8.1 (95% confidence interval: 4.4-11.8; p < 0.001). Significantly more patients with adult-onset linear morphoea had quiescent disease (p = 0.0332), and even after correcting for disease duration, paediatric-onset patients still had 2.6 times greater odds of active disease (odds ratio = 2.59, 95% confidence interval: 0.9-7.6; p = 0.083).

CONCLUSION

Linear morphoea in adults can be a severe disease with extracutaneous, autoimmune and systemic features. Adults with paediatric-onset disease appear to have more severe cumulative damage, greater functional impairment and ongoing disease activity. This patient subgroup may require particularly close monitoring and more aggressive therapy.

Autoantibody Predictors of Gastrointestinal Symptoms in Systemic Sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

To assess the prevalence and burden of systemic sclerosis- (SSc) related gastrointestinal dysfunction (SSc-GI) and to evaluate associations with demographic, clinical and serological characteristics.

METHODS

Patients completed the UCLA SCTC GIT 2.0 questionnaire for SSc-GI disease to assess the burden of GI disease across multiple functional and psychological domains. Questionnaire scores were assessed using non-parametric and quantile regression analyses.

RESULTS

Our cohort included 526 patients with SSc, with a typical distribution of disease-associated autoantibodies (ACA, ARA, ATA, PM-Scl, U1RNP, U3RNP). We demonstrated associations between hallmark antibodies and the domain-specific burden of GI disease. In particular, ACA, ARA, and ENA-negative demonstrated increased SSc-GI disease burden, whilst PM-Scl conferred relative protection. In a distributional analysis, associations with autoantibodies were particularly marked in those with the highest burden of GI disease.

CONCLUSION

There is a significant burden of SSc-GI disease in patients with SSc; reflux and bloating symptoms are most prominent. SSc hallmark antibodies may predict increased risk of SSc-GI disease, in particular ACA and ARA, whilst PM-Scl may be protective.

Prognostic and predictive markers of systemic sclerosis-associated interstitial lung disease in a clinical trial and long-term observational cohort

OBJECTIVES

To explore prognostic and predictive markers of SSc-associated interstitial lung disease (SSc-ILD) outcomes in a phase 3 trial (focuSSced) and prognostic markers in a real-world cohort (SMART).

METHODS

The focuSSced SSc-ILD subgroup included 68 of 106 placebo-treated and 68 of 104 tocilizumab-treated patients. The SMART cohort included 505 patients with SSc-ILD. Linear mixed-effect models were used to identify factors associated with change in forced vital capacity (FVC). Kaplan-Meier estimation and Cox regression were used for time-to-event analyses.

RESULTS

In placebo-treated focuSSced patients, sex was a significant prognostic factor for FVC decline; males had increased risk for absolute decline ≥10% in percent-predicted FVC (ppFVC) and 0.22% faster weekly FVC decline than females (P = 0.0001). FVC was 9.8% lower in patients with CRP >6 mg/ml vs those with CRP ≤6 mg/ml (P = 0.0059). Tocilizumab reduced the risk for ≥10% decline in ppFVC in patients who were male, had earlier disease (<2 years duration), had IL-6 levels <10 pg/ml, or had anti-topoisomerase antibodies (ATA). In the SMART cohort, prognostic factors for ppFVC <70% were male sex, ATA, and low baseline FVC. Males had 3.3% lower FVC 1 year after disease onset (P < 0.001) and 0.6% faster yearly decline (P = 0.03) than females.

CONCLUSION

Prognostic markers in SSc-ILD were similar between focuSSced and SMART. Male sex and inflammatory markers were associated with lower FVC but IL-6 ≥10 pg/ml was not predictive of response to tocilizumab.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT02453256.