Relation between drug treatment and cancer in hypertensives in the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension 2: a 5-year, prospective, randomised, controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Is cancer related to hypertension and blood pressure? Do antihypertensive drugs promote cancer? Do antihypertensive drugs protect against cancer? We previously analysed the frequency of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in elderly people who participated in the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension 2 (STOP-Hypertension-2). We have also looked at the frequency of cancer in these patients.

METHODS

We randomly assigned 6614 elderly patients with hypertension (mean age 76 years, median time of follow-up 5.3 years) to one of three treatment strategies: conventional drugs (diuretics or b-blockers), calcium antagonists, or ACE inhibitors. We matched the patients to the Swedish Cancer Registry and compared our findings with expected values based on age, sex, and calendar-year-specific reference frequencies for the general Swedish population. We also compared the number of cancers between the three treatment groups.

FINDINGS

At baseline, 607 (9%) patients had previous malignant disease. Diagnoses were closely similar to the distribution of cancer types that might be seen in elderly patients. During follow-up, there were 625 new cases of cancer in 590 patients. The frequency of cancer did not differ significantly between the treatment strategies, including all cancers and those at individual sites. The standardised incidence ratios (SIRs) for all cancers were also close to unity: 0.92 (95% CI 0.80-1.06) for conventional drugs, 0.96 (0.83-1.10) for calcium antagonists, and 0.99 (0.86-1.13) for ACE inhibitors.

INTERPRETATIONS

No difference in cancer risk was seen between patients randomly assigned to conventional drugs, calcium antagonists, or ACE inhibitors. Thus, the general message to the practising physician is that more attention should be given to getting the blood pressure down than to the risk of cancer.

Comparison of antihypertensive treatments in preventing cardiovascular events in elderly diabetic patients: results from the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension-2. STOP Hypertension-2 Study Group

BACKGROUND

The benefits of treating hypertension in elderly diabetic patients, in terms of achieving reductions in cardiovascular morbidity and mortality, have been documented in several recent prospective trials. There has, however, been some controversy regarding the effect of different antihypertensive drugs on the frequency of myocardial infarction in this group of patients.

DESIGN

STOP Hypertension-2 was a prospective, randomized, open trial with blinded endpoint evaluation.

METHODS

We studied 6614 elderly patients aged 70-84 years; 719 of them had diabetes mellitus at the start of the study (mean age 75.8 years). Patients were randomly assigned to one of three treatment strategies: conventional antihypertensive drugs (diuretics or beta-blockers), calcium antagonists, or angiotensin converting enzyme (ACE) inhibitors.

RESULTS

Reduction in blood pressure was similar in the three treatment groups of diabetics. The prevention of cardiovascular mortality was also similar; the frequency of this primary endpoint did not differ significantly between the three groups. There were, however, significantly fewer (P = 0.025) myocardial infarctions during ACE inhibitor treatment (n = 17) than during calcium antagonist treatment (n = 32; relative risk 0.51, 95% confidence interval 0.28-0.92); but a (non-significant) tendency to more strokes during ACE inhibitor treatment (n = 34 compared with n = 29; relative risk 1.16, 95% confidence interval 0.71-1.91).

CONCLUSION

Treatment of hypertensive diabetic patients with conventional antihypertensive drugs (diuretics, beta-blockers, or both) seemed to be as effective as treatment with newer drugs such as calcium antagonists or ACE inhibitors.

Efficacy of diuretics and beta-blockers in diabetic hypertensive patients. Results from a meta-analysis. The INDANA Steering Committee

OBJECTIVE

To review the effectiveness of diuretic or beta-blocker-based treatment of hypertension in diabetic patients.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

A meta-analysis on individual patient data was performed on four trials of the treatment of hypertension in which diabetic patients were included and treated with first-line diuretics or beta-blockers. The main outcomes were the relative risk of death, fatal or nonfatal stroke, fatal or nonfatal coronary events, and major cardiovascular events.

RESULTS

There were 92 diabetic patients who received first-line beta-blockers and 1,008 who received diuretics. In the control groups, diabetic patients had nearly twice the risk of any outcome when compared with nondiabetic patients. The same blood pressure reduction was achieved under treatment in the diabetic and nondiabetic patients, except for systolic pressure, which decreased more in the nondiabetic patients at 1 year. In the 15,843 nondiabetic patients, the risk of all four outcomes was reduced significantly in the treated group. In the 2,254 diabetic patients, the risk reduction was significant only for fatal and nonfatal stroke (36%, P = 0.011) and major cardiovascular events (20%, P = 0.032), but not for death (5%, P = 0.65) and fatal or nonfatal coronary events (15%, P = 0.23). However, no heterogeneity was detected between diabetic patients and nondiabetic patients for any outcome. The numbers of outcomes avoided for 1,000 patients treated for 5 years were higher in diabetic patients (e.g., 38 major cardiovascular events) than with nondiabetic patients (e.g., 28 major cardiovascular events).

CONCLUSIONS

These results show that hypertensive diabetic patients benefit from first-line treatment with diuretics. No conclusion can be drawn for beta-blockers, owing to the small sample size.

Risks of untreated and treated isolated systolic hypertension in the elderly: meta-analysis of outcome trials

BACKGROUND

Previous meta-analysis of outcome trials in hypertension have not specifically focused on isolated systolic hypertension or they have explained treatment benefit mainly in function of the achieved diastolic blood pressure reduction. We therefore undertook a quantitative overview of the trials to further evaluate the risks associated with systolic blood pressure in treated and untreated older patients with isolated systolic hypertension

METHODS

Patients were 60 years old or more. Systolic blood pressure was 160 mm Hg or greater and diastolic blood pressure was less than 95 mm Hg. We used non-parametric methods and Cox regression to model the risks associated with blood pressure and to correct for regression dilution bias. We calculated pooled effects of treatment from stratified 2 x 2 contingency tables after application of Zelen's test of heterogeneity.

FINDINGS

In eight trials 15 693 patients with isolated systolic hypertension were followed up for 3.8 years (median). After correction for regression dilution bias, sex, age, and diastolic blood pressure, the relative hazard rates associated with a 10 mm Hg higher initial systolic blood pressure were 1.26 (p=0.0001) for total mortality, 1.22 (p=0.02) for stroke, but only 1.07 (p=0.37) for coronary events. Independent of systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure was inversely correlated with total mortality, highlighting the role of pulse pressure as risk factor. Active treatment reduced total mortality by 13% (95% CI 2-22, p=0.02), cardiovascular mortality by 18%, all cardiovascular complications by 26%, stroke by 30%, and coronary events by 23%. The number of patients to treat for 5 years to prevent one major cardiovascular event was lower in men (18 vs 38), at or above age 70 (19 vs 39), and in patients with previous cardiovascular complications (16 vs 37).

INTERPRETATION

Drug treatment is justified in older patients with isolated systolic hypertension whose systolic blood pressure is 160 mm Hg or higher. Absolute benefit is larger in men, in patients aged 70 or more and in those with previous cardiovascular complications or wider pulse pressure. Treatment prevented stroke more effectively than coronary events. However, the absence of a relation between coronary events and systolic blood pressure in untreated patients suggests that the coronary protection may have been underestimated.

Randomised trial of old and new antihypertensive drugs in elderly patients: cardiovascular mortality and morbidity the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension-2 study

BACKGROUND

The efficacy of new antihypertensive drugs has been questioned. We compared the effects of conventional and newer antihypertensive drugs on cardiovascular mortality and morbidity in elderly patients.

METHODS

We did a prospective, randomised trial in 6614 patients aged 70-84 years with hypertension (blood pressure > or = 180 mm Hg systolic, > or = 105 mm Hg diastolic, or both). Patients were randomly assigned conventional antihypertensive drugs (atenolol 50 mg, metoprolol 100 mg, pindolol 5 mg, or hydrochlorothiazide 25 mg plus amiloride 2.5 mg daily) or newer drugs (enalapril 10 mg or lisinopril 10 mg, or felodipine 2.5 mg or isradipine 2-5 mg daily). We assessed fatal stroke, fatal myocardial infarction, and other fatal cardiovascular disease. Analysis was by intention to treat.

FINDINGS

Blood pressure was decreased similarly in all treatment groups. The primary combined endpoint of fatal stroke, fatal myocardial infarction, and other fatal cardiovascular disease occurred in 221 of 2213 patients in the conventional drugs group (19.8 events per 1000 patient-years) and in 438 of 4401 in the newer drugs group (19.8 per 1000; relative risk 0.99 [95% CI 0.84-1.16], p=0.89). The combined endpoint of fatal and non-fatal stroke, fatal and non-fatal myocardial infarction, and other cardiovascular mortality occurred in 460 patients taking conventional drugs and in 887 taking newer drugs (0.96 [0.86-1.08], p=0.49).

INTERPRETATION

Old and new antihypertensive drugs were similar in prevention of cardiovascular mortality or major events. Decrease in blood pressure was of major importance for the prevention of cardiovascular events.

Identification of risk factors in hypertensive patients: contribution of randomized controlled trials through an individual patient database

BACKGROUND

Predicting individual risk is needed to target preventive interventions toward people with the highest probability of benefit over a given time period. We assessed which prognostic factors should be used in predicting risk for hypertensive patients and in searching for treatment modifiers.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data from 24 390 hypertensive participants who constituted the control groups from 8 controlled trials (1726 deaths over 5 years) were analyzed in multivariate survival models. Outcomes were coronary heart disease death, stroke death, and cardiovascular death. We explored systematically the heterogeneity of results between trials. Left ventricular hypertrophy was electrocardiographically confirmed to be a powerful risk factor and should be included in risk scoring. Height, glomerular filtration rate, and serum uric acid deserve further exploration. Body mass index and heart rate were not confirmed as independent cardiovascular risk factors in this population. The association between male sex and coronary heart disease death was significantly stronger in British cohorts. The lack of prognostic value of diastolic blood pressure was explained by an interaction with age, with a positive association before 65 years and a negative association thereafter. Previous antihypertensive treatment was a significant risk factor.

CONCLUSIONS

Clinical trials provide valuable information for risk prediction. Carefully exploring the heterogeneity among trials is a way to assess the generalizability of findings. This approach, if systematically performed, should increase the ability to identify risk modifiers and to predict individual therapeutic benefit.

Antihypertensive drugs in very old people: a subgroup meta-analysis of randomised controlled trials. INDANA Group

BACKGROUND

Beneficial clinical effects of treatment with antihypertensive drugs have been shown in middle-aged patients and in those hypertensive patients over 60 years old, but whether treatment is beneficial in patients over 80 years old is not known.

METHODS

We collected data from all participants aged 80 years and over in randomised controlled trials of antihypertensive drugs through direct contact with study investigators. Our primary outcome was fatal and non-fatal stroke. Secondary outcomes were death from all causes, cardiovascular death, fatal and non-fatal major coronary and cardiovascular events, and heart failure.

FINDINGS

There were 57 strokes and 34 deaths among 874 actively treated patients, compared with 77 strokes and 28 stroke deaths among 796 controls, representing 1 non-fatal stroke prevented for about 100 patients treated each year. The meta-analysis of data from 1670 participants aged 80 years or older suggested that treatment prevented 34% (95% CI 8-52) of strokes. Rates of major cardiovascular events and heart failure were significantly decreased, by 22% and 39%, respectively. However, there was no treatment benefit for cardiovascular death, and a non-significant 6% (-5 to 18) relative excess of death from all causes.

INTERPRETATIONS

The inconclusive findings for mortality contrast with the benefit of treatment for non-fatal events. Results of a large-scale specific trial are needed for definite conclusion that antihypertensive treatment is beneficial in very elderly hypertensive patients. Meanwhile, an age threshold beyond which hypertension should not be treated cannot be justified.

Effect of antihypertensive treatment in patients having already suffered from stroke. Gathering the evidence. The INDANA (INdividual Data ANalysis of Antihypertensive intervention trials) Project Collaborators

BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE

Drug treatment of high blood pressure has been shown to reduce the associated cardiovascular risk. Stroke represents the type of event more strongly linked with high blood pressure, responsible for a high rate of death or invalidity, and with the highest proportion of events that can be avoided by treatment. Hypertensive patients with a history of cerebrovascular accident are at particularly high risk of recurrence. Specific trials of blood pressure lowering drugs in stroke survivors showed inconclusive results in the past.

METHODS

We performed a meta-analysis using all available randomized controlled clinical trials assessing the effect of blood pressure lowering drugs on clinical outcomes (recurrence of stroke, coronary events, cause-specific, and overall mortality) in patients with prior stroke or transient ischemic attack.

RESULTS

We identified 9 trials, including a total of 6752 patients: 2 trials included 551 hypertensive stroke survivors; 6 trials of hypertensive patients included a small proportion of stroke survivors (536 patients); 1 trial included stroke survivors, whether hypertensive or not (5665 patients). The recurrence of stroke, fatal and nonfatal, was significantly reduced in active groups compared with control groups consistently across the different sources of data (relative risk of 0.72, 95% confidence interval: 0.61 to 0.85). There was no evidence that this intervention induced serious adverse effect.

CONCLUSIONS

Blood pressure lowering drug interventions reduced the risk of stroke recurrence in stroke survivors. Available data did not allow to verify whether such benefit depends on initial blood pressure level. More data are needed before considering antihypertensive therapy in normotensive patients at high cerebrovascular risk.

Effect of antihypertensive drug treatment on cardiovascular outcomes in women and men. A meta-analysis of individual patient data from randomized, controlled trials. The INDANA Investigators

BACKGROUND

Trials of drug therapy for hypertension have shown that such therapy has a clear overall benefit in preventing cardiovascular disease. Although these trials have included slightly more women than men, it is still not clear whether treatment benefit is similar for both sexes.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the average treatment effect in both sexes and to determine whether available data show significant differences in treatment effect between women and men.

DESIGN

Subgroup meta-analysis of individual patient data according to sex. Analysis was based on seven trials from the INDANA (INdividual Data ANalysis of Antihypertensive intervention trials) database and was adjusted for possible confounders.

PATIENTS

20,802 women and 19,975 men recruited between 1972 and 1990.

INTERVENTIONS

Primarily beta-blockers and thiazide diuretics.

RESULTS

In women, treatment effect was statistically significant for stroke (fatal strokes and all strokes) and for major cardiovascular events. In men, it was statistically significant for all categories of events (total and specific mortality, all coronary events, all strokes, and major cardiovascular events). The odds ratios for any category of event did not differ significantly between men and women. In absolute terms, the benefit in women was seen primarily for strokes; in men, treatment prevented as many coronary events as strokes. Graphical analyses suggest that these results could be completely explained by the difference in untreated risk.

CONCLUSIONS

In terms of relative risk, treatment benefit did not differ between women and men. The absolute risk reduction attributable to treatment seemed to depend on untreated risk. These findings underline the need to predict accurately the untreated cardiovascular risk of an individual person in order to rationalize and individualize antihypertensive treatment.

The Swedish Trial in old patients with hypertension-2 (STOP-hypertension-2): a progress report

OBJECTIVE

The Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension-2 (STOP-Hypertension-2) was designed by a project group of the Swedish Hypertension Society to test whether the "newer" treatment alternatives (ACE inhibitors and calcium antagonists) are as good as, better or less good than, the "older" ones (beta-blockers and diuretics) in terms of preventing cardiovascular morbidity and mortality in elderly hypertensives. The aim of the present paper is to report on the progress of the study.

DESIGN

Prospective, open trial with blinded end-point committee and centralized randomization (PROBE design). STOP-Hypertension-2 may be regarded as a scientific follow-up of the previously published Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertensioon-1) (6) using the same study organization.

SUBJECTS

By the end of 1994 when recruitment was stopped, 6628 hypertensive men (34%) and women (66%) aged 70-84 (mean age 76) had been included at 312 Swedish health centres (out of approximately 850). In the whole cohort 11% are diabetics and 9% smokers. The mean total cholesterol value is 6.5 mmol/L.

RESULTS

In the whole study cohort, blood pressure was lowered from 194/98 mmHg to 167/85 mmHg after one year. At the end of 1995, 319 fatal events (all-cause mortality) had been reported, corresponding to a mortality rate of 21.3 per 1000 person-years.

CONCLUSION

In STOP-Hypertension-2, 6628 elderly hypertensive have been randomized to three different treatment regimes: beta-blocker+diuretics (the active treatment arm in STOP-Hypertension-1), ACE inhibitors, or calcium antagonists. Their average lowering of blood pressure was 27/13 mmHg and end-points have occurred at the expected rate. Thus, it should be possible to terminate STOP-Hypertension-2 within two to three years.

Changes in cardiovascular risk factors by combined pharmacological and nonpharmacological strategies: the main results of the CELL Study

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of the Cost Effectiveness of Lipid Lowering (CELL) study were twofold: (i) to evaluate the effect on overall cardiovascular risk of two types of health care advice ("usual' and "intensive') given in primary care, with or without pharmacological medication, with the target being to attain a moderate decrease in cholesterol; (ii) to evaluate the ritual of daily medication on compliance with the health care advice.

DESIGN

A prospective, double-blind, randomized, controlled trial of 18 months' duration.

SETTING

The study was carried out in 32 health centres (out of a total of approximately 850) in Sweden.

SUBJECTS

In all, 681 subjects, aged 30-59 years, were randomized. They had at least two cardiovascular risk factors in addition to moderate primary hyperlipidaemia (total cholesterol of at least 6.50 mmol L-1 on three occasions measured by Reflotron triglycerides less than 4.0 mmol L-1 and an LDL:HDL cholesterol ratio of more than 4.0). Most (87%) of the subjects were males; 626 subjects (92%) completed the 18-month follow-up.

INTERVENTION

Half the subjects were randomized to 'intensive advice' given in group sessions led by doctors and nurses in primary care. The other half received 'usual advice'. In each of the two advice groups, one-third received an active lipid-lowering drug (pravastatin), one-third placebo, and one-third no drug at all. The tablets were titrated to achieve a 15% reduction in cholesterol.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Changes in the overall Framingham risk score, and the development of adverse events in each group.

RESULTS

The change in Framingham risk score was significantly reduced only in subjects taking lipid-lowering medication (together with intensive advice -0.13; 95% CI-0.20, -0.06, and together with usual advice -0.16; 95% CI -0.23, -0.09). The other subjects receiving intensive advice tended to fare better than those on usual advice. Lifestyle was not influenced significantly over the study period. The ritual of daily medication did not affect the outcome.

CONCLUSION

As expected, lipid-lowering medication reduced serum cholesterol as well as overall cardiovascular risk in subjects with several risk factors for cardiovascular disease. There was no additive effect of intensive advice to these subjects. However, there was a meagre but significant effect of intensive advice in subjects not receiving active lipid-lowering drugs. One explanation for this difference may be that those on active lipid-lowering medication who had substantial drops in cholesterol might have felt less inclined to change their lifestyle compared with those on other treatment regimens who had less successful drops in cholesterol. There was no benefit from the ritual of taking daily medication.

Decrease in high density lipoprotein cholesterol during prolonged storage. CELL Study Group

Different studies on the stability of high density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL) in frozen serum or plasma have yielded conflicting results, namely increase, decrease, or no change at all during prolonged storage under freezing conditions. As part of a major trial on lipid-lowering strategies we statistically demonstrated a time-related decrease in HDL cholesterol during storage up to 46 months at -20 degrees C. We therefore re-analysed 85 frozen samples that had been analysed fresh and then stored from 26 to 46 months, using the dextran sulphate 500/Mg2+ method. A linear regression analysis of change in HDL cholesterol on time was performed. The slope was significantly negative (p < 0.0005). The regression equation was (decrease in HDL) = 0.05 - 0.008 x (time in months), i.e. after 6 months' storage at -20 degrees C there was almost a 1% decrease in the HDL cholesterol concentration per month of storage.

INDANA: a meta-analysis on individual patient data in hypertension. Protocol and preliminary results

The overall effect of antihypertensive drug treatment has been well documented. The proportion of patients who benefit varies according to their baseline cardiovascular risk, and is small for the majority of people treated. Some investigators propose limiting the treatment target population to patients at high cardiovascular risk, but several assumptions must be made to justify this procedure. The INDANA project is a meta-analysis based on individual patient data, and thus offers the opportunity to check the validity of these assumptions. Its main objective is to identify responders (and non-responders) in the drug treatment of hypertension. The rationale and methods for such an approach are presented here, with the solution for some technical problems. The conclusion of the data collection has shown that the project is feasible. The results of the main analysis should be available in 1996, and should contribute to the selection of responders and to the individualization of the treatment of hypertension.

The impact of health care advice given in primary care on cardiovascular risk. CELL Study Group

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the additional benefit of "intensive" health care advice through six group sessions, compared with the advice usually offered to subjects with multiple risk factors for cardiovascular disease.

DESIGN

Prospective, randomised controlled clinical study lasting 18 months.

SETTING

681 subjects aged 30-59 years, with at least two cardiovascular risk factors in addition to moderately high lipid concentrations: total cholesterol > or = 6.5 mmol/l on three occasions, triglycerides < 4.0 mmol/l, and ratio of low density lipoprotein cholesterol to high density lipoprotein cholesterol > 4.0. Most (577) of the subjects were men.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

Percentage reduction in total cholesterol concentration (target 15%); quantification of the differences between the two types of health care advice (intensive v usual) for the Framingham cardiovascular risk and for individual risk factors.

RESULTS

In the group receiving intensive health care advice total cholesterol concentration decreased by 0.15 mmol/l more (95% confidence interval 0.04 to 0.26) than in the group receiving usual advice. The overall Framingham risk dropped by 0.068 more (0.014 to 0.095) in the group receiving intensive advice, and most of the risk factors showed a greater change in a favourable direction in this group than in the group receiving usual advice, but the differences were seldom significant. The results from questionnaires completed at the group sessions showed that the subjects improved their lifestyle and diet.

CONCLUSION

Limited additional benefit was gained from being in the group receiving the intensive health care advice. It is difficult to make an important impact on cardiovascular risk in primary care by using only the practice staff. Better methods of communicating the messages need to be devised.

The stroke preventive effect in elderly hypertensives cannot fully be explained by the reduction in office blood pressure--insights from the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension)

OBJECTIVE

To study whether the cardiovascular preventive effect of antihypertensive therapy can be explained solely by the reduction in office blood pressure, and to what extent the risk of stroke and cardiac events is associated with in-study diastolic blood pressure (DBP) and systolic blood pressure (SBP).

DESIGN

The Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension) was a prospective, randomized, double-blind, multicentre trial comparing active antihypertensive treatment with placebo in patients aged 70-84 years. The study group comprised 1,627 elderly patients (mean blood pressure 195/102 mm Hg; mean age 75.7, SD 3.7; 63% females). The average follow-up was 25 months (range 6-65 months). No patient was lost to follow-up.

METHOD

We applied a Poisson model taking current age, sex, treatment, DBP and SBP into account for all patients in the study. The constants of the model were estimated by the maximum likelihood method.

RESULTS

The risk of stroke was significantly lower (42%, p = 0.0402) for a patient on active therapy than for a patient on placebo having the same blood pressure level, age, and sex. There was a corresponding, non-significant, reduction in cardiac events of 21%. In the whole study group the risk of stroke increased by 3% per mmHg (p = 0.0247) with increasing diastolic blood pressure for a given systolic pressure. The corresponding value for cardiac events was 2% per mmHg (p = 0.0376).

CONCLUSION

In STOP-Hypertension we found a substantial risk reduction in stroke in actively treated patients, which was not solely explained by the blood pressure reduction obtained by treatment with beta-blockers and a potassium-sparing diuretic combination.

A 5-year prospective, observational study of the withdrawal of antihypertensive treatment in elderly people

OBJECTIVES

To observe blood pressure, cardiovascular events, and total mortality after withdrawing antihypertensive treatment for elderly patients.

DESIGN

Multicentre observational study.

SETTING

Sweden. A 5-year follow-up of 333 elderly hypertensive patients, aged 70-84 years (mean age 75.2 +/- SD 3.8 years, 68% females). In all, 74 out of the 333 patients (22%) died during the study period.

METHOD

After withdrawal of the antihypertensive therapy, all patients started in the untreated state and during the 5-year follow-up they could then either remain in the untreated state, or be reverted to blood-pressure-lowering drug treatment because of hypertension or other diseases, e.g. angina pectoris, oedema, congestive heart failure, etc.

RESULTS

The probability of remaining without treatment for 5 years was estimated to be 20%. During the state of no treatment the patients had a lower total mortality risk than that of the general Swedish population, matched for age and sex. They also had a lower risk of cardiovascular events than those in the treated states. Markers indicating a successful withdrawal were monotherapy in low doses and relatively low blood pressure before withdrawal.

CONCLUSION

These results suggest that with frequent check-ups, withdrawal of antihypertensive therapy in the elderly can be tried without increased risk of cardiovascular events.

Hypertension in the elderly

Several studies have demonstrated an increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD) in relation to high blood pressure in elderly patients aged below 70-75, whereas the risk seemed to decline with age in the older elderly. Early studies on the effect of treatment of mild to moderate hypertension in the elderly indicated (but did not convincingly show) a reduction of CVD. In the 1980s, both the EWPHE trial (European Working Party on High Blood Pressure in the Elderly) and the HEP study (The Randomised Trial of the Treatment of Hypertension in Elderly Patients in Primary Care) provided evidence of the benefit of treating high blood pressure in the elderly, at least up to the age of 70-74. These results have lately been confirmed by three major trials SHEP (Systolic Hypertension in the Elderly Program), STOP (Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension) and MRC (Medical Research Council), also including older patients (STOP) and those with isolated systolic hypertension (SHEP). This satisfactory effect was not impaired by a low tolerability of the drugs used (beta-blockers and diuretics). In conclusion, drug treatment with beta-blockers and diuretics in hypertensive men and women aged 70 and above confers highly significant and clinically relevant reductions in cardiovascular (especially stroke) morbidity and mortality. The clinical implication of this is that blood pressure lowering therapy should be considered in elderly hypertensives, at least up until they are 80. It should also be remembered that elderly hypertensives often have other diseases as well and that the drug treatment should be adjusted accordingly.

Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension) analyses performed up to 1992

Hypertension is increasingly common with advancing age and a risk factor for all kinds of cardiovascular complications. Moreover, cardiovascular disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality in the elderly. The Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension) was set up by the Swedish Hypertension Society to investigate the value of antihypertensive treatment in the elderly. In this placebo controlled randomised prospective study 1,627 men and women aged 70-84 years with a supine blood pressure > or = 180/105 mmHg (and/or) but not isolated systolic hypertension participated. Three beta-blockers and one diuretic were used as blood pressure lowering agents and the average follow-up in the study was 25 months (3,390 patient-years). Administration of active antihypertensive therapy, reduced supine blood pressure from 195/102 mmHg to 167/87 mmHg at longest follow-up in comparison with placebo. A majority of the patients needed combined treatment to reach the goal blood pressure (160/95 mmHg). Associated with a fall in blood pressure were significant reductions in all cardiovascular primary endpoints (-40%, p = 0.0031), in fatal and non-fatal stroke (-47%, p = 0.0081) and in total mortality (-43%, p = 0.0079). In addition to the substantial effects on primary endpoints active treatment also showed clinically relevant effects on secondary endpoints (e.g. heart failure). The impact on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality with antihypertensive treatment in this elderly cohort was greater than previously seen in middle-aged hypertensive patients, with maintained tolerability and a favourable cost-effectiveness ratio. Finally, women benefited from treatment at least as much as men.

The cost of screening for hypercholesterolaemia--results from a clinical trial in Swedish primary health care

The cost of screening for hypercholesterolaemia in a clinical trial was investigated at a primary health care centre. A convenience sample of the population was screened for inclusion in a study of the effectiveness of a lipid lowering programme. Included in the study were adults 30-59 years of age with a S-Cholesterol of 6.50-7.79 mmol l-1 at randomization, plus two previous values > or = 6.50 mmol l-1 at screening and selection, with at least two other cardiovascular risk factors. In total 447 persons were screened and 37 were randomized into the lipid lowering programme. The mean cost per randomized person was estimated at about SEK 7500 (Swedish Crowns). An analysis of different inclusion criteria for treatment was also carried out. The cost of finding a patient to treat in the clinical trial was estimated to be more than three times as high with a total cholesterol cut-off point of 7.80 mmol l-1 compared with a cut-off point of 5.20 mmol l-1.

The cost-effectiveness of treating hypertension in elderly people--an analysis of the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP Hypertension)

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study was to estimate the cost-effectiveness of antihypertensive treatment in elderly people based on the results of the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP Hypertension).

DESIGN

The STOP Hypertension study was a randomized trial comparing active antihypertensive treatment with a placebo. The risk of stroke, cardiovascular disease and total mortality was significantly reduced in the actively treated group compared to placebo.

SETTING

One hundred and sixteen primary health care centres in Sweden.

SUBJECTS

A total of 1627 hypertensive patients aged 70-84. No patient was lost to follow-up.

INTERVENTIONS

Antihypertensive treatment with beta blockers and diuretics for a mean follow-up of 25 months.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

The cost-effectiveness ratio estimated as the net cost (the treatment cost minus saved costs of reduced cardiovascular morbidity) divided by the number of life-years gained (the increase in life expectancy from treatment).

RESULTS

The cost per life-year gained was estimated as SEK 5000 for men and SEK 15,000 for women ($1 = SEK 6; 1 pound = SEK 10). The cost per life-year gained did not exceed SEK 100,000 in any of the sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

It is concluded that treatment of elderly hypertensive patients with beta blockers and/or diuretics is cost-effective according to the results of the STOP Hypertension study.

STOP-Hypertension 2: a prospective intervention trial of "newer" versus "older" treatment alternatives in old patients with hypertension. Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension

It is well established that hypertensive patients benefit from drug treatment of their disorder. In recent years three major out-come studies of antihypertensive treatment in elderly hypertensives have shown substantial benefits, i.e. a reduction in the risk of stroke and other cardiovascular mortality and morbidity. In all these studies beta-blockers and/or diuretics were used in comparison with placebo. Newer therapeutic alternatives have, however, at least theoretically, many advantages which could result in further improvements in prognosis. The initial Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension 1) was conducted in men and women aged 70-84 years. STOP-Hypertension 2 will evaluate the therapy used in STOP-Hypertension 1 against therapy based on either ACE-inhibitors (enalapril and lisinopril) or on calcium antagonists (isradipine and felodipine), using the PROBE design (Prospective, Randomised, Open, Blinded Endpoint evaluation). The primary aim will be to assess the effect on cardiovascular mortality. Statistical calculations indicate that 6,600 patients, followed for four years will be needed (2p < 0.05, power 90%) to obtain significance if there is a 25% difference between the new and the established therapy. Patients in primary health care (300 centres) will be included if their supine blood pressure is > or = 180/105 mmHg (and/or). Recruitment of patients started in September 1992 and so far more than 100 patients/week have been included.

Antihypertensive efficacy and side effects of three beta-blockers and a diuretic in elderly hypertensives: a report from the STOP-Hypertension study

OBJECTIVE

To compare the blood pressure-lowering efficacy, the frequency of side effects and changes in laboratory values of three beta-blockers and a potassium-sparing diuretic combination in elderly hypertensive patients.

DESIGN

The Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension) was a prospective, randomized, double-blind, multicentre trial comparing active antihypertensive treatment with placebo in patients aged 70-84 years.

METHODS

The study group consisted of 1627 elderly hypertensive patients (mean +/- SD age 75.7 +/- 3.7 years; 37% males, 63% females). Supine and standing blood pressure, heart rate and side effects were recorded at each visit. Blood was drawn for routine analysis. The mean length of follow-up was 25 months (range 6-65). No patient was lost to follow-up.

RESULTS

After 2-months' single-drug therapy, all four active drugs were found to be equally effective in reducing diastolic blood pressure (DBP). However, there were differences in their efficacy in reducing systolic blood pressure (SBP); the diuretic was significantly more effective than the beta-receptor blockers. The results of a series of multiple linear regression analyses showed that the observed differences in effect on SBP could not be explained by the different effects of the drugs on heart rate. More than two-thirds of the patients were given supplementary treatment, most of them already by the 2-month visit, after which there was no significant difference in blood pressure among the treatment regimens. The changes in laboratory values and in the prevalence of symptoms were minor for all four regimens.

CONCLUSION

Metoprolol (controlled release), atenolol, pindolol and the combination hydrochlorothiazide + amiloride were equally effective as single drugs in reducing DBP. There were differences in their efficacy in reducing SBP, the diuretic being more effective than the beta-blockers. After addition of supplementary treatment (beta-blocker to diuretic, or vice versa) there were no significant differences in blood pressure reduction among the groups. The changes in laboratory values and in the prevalence of symptoms were minor for all active treatment regimens. Thus, the satisfactory effect on cardiovascular morbidity and mortality was not impaired by low tolerability of the drugs.

Morbidity and mortality in the Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension)

Although the benefits of antihypertensive treatment in "young" elderly (under 70 years) hypertensive patients are well established, the value of treatment in older patients (70-84 years) is less clear. The Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension) was a prospective, randomised, double-blind, intervention study set up to compare the effects of active antihypertensive therapy (three beta-blockers and one diuretic) and placebo on the frequency of fatal and non-fatal stroke and myocardial infarction and other cardiovascular death in hypertensive Swedish men and women aged 70-84 years. We recruited 1627 patients at 116 health centres throughout Sweden, who were willing to participate, and who met the entry criteria of three separate recordings during a 1-month placebo run-in period of systolic blood pressure between 180 and 230 mm Hg with a diastolic pressure of at least 90 mm Hg, or a diastolic pressure between 105 and 120 mm Hg irrespective of the systolic pressure. The total duration of the study was 65 months and the average time in the study was 25 months. 812 patients were randomly allocated active treatment and 815 placebo. The mean difference in supine blood pressure between the active treatment and placebo groups at the last follow-up before an endpoint, death, or study termination was 19.5/8.1 mm Hg. Compared with placebo, active treatment significantly reduced the number of primary endpoints (94 vs 58; p = 0.0031) and stroke morbidity and mortality (53 vs 29; p = 0.0081). Although we did not set out to study an effect on total mortality, we also noted a significantly reduced number of deaths in the active treatment group (63 vs 36; p = 0.0079). The benefits of treatment were discernible up to age 84 years. We conclude that antihypertensive treatment in hypertensive men and women aged 70-84 confers highly significant and clinically relevant reductions in cardiovascular morbidity and mortality as well as in total mortality.

Key learnings from the STOP-Hypertension study: an update on the progress of the ongoing Swedish study of antihypertensive treatment in the elderly

The Swedish Trial in Old Patients with Hypertension (STOP-Hypertension) is an ongoing multicenter, randomized, double-blind study of antihypertensive treatment (beta-blockers or diuretics) compared to placebo in hypertensive men and women aged 70-84 years. The main trial, which is now in progress, is being carried out at approximately 120 primary health care centers in Sweden, the aim being to recruit 2000 patients, who will be studied for an average period of 3 years. The main study was preceded by a 1-year pilot study in 31 centers. Almost 5000 patients were screened in the pilot study, 55% of whom were labelled hypertensive, i.e., their recumbent blood pressure was greater than or equal to 180/105 mmHg or they were already receiving antihypertensive therapy. After 1 year, 89 patients (1.9%) had been randomized to double-blind treatment and 66 patients (1.4%) were in the run-in/washout period, whereas the remainder had not been included in the trial. The most common reason for not being included as a failure to reach the inclusion blood pressure criteria (greater than or equal to 180 mmHg systolic and/or greater than or equal to 105 mmHg diastolic) following withdrawal of previous antihypertensive medication. In the main trial, recruitment of new centers and new patients has improved gradually and by April 1989 approximately 900 patients had been randomized to double-blind treatment. In an analysis of 961 elderly patients (mean age 70.1 years), the relation between systolic and diastolic blood pressure and mortality was not significant.

Incidence of femoral and tibial shaft fractures. Epidemiology 1950-1983 in Malmö, Sweden

We studied 362 fractures of the femur that had occurred during the years 1950-57 and 1973-83, and 849 fractures of the tibia that occurred during the the years 1950-55 and 1980-83. There was an increase in age-specific incidence over aged 60 years. The risk of low-energy femoral shaft fractures also had increased in elderly women. Both fracture types shifted their age- and sex-specific incidence in the direction of a fragility pattern. There was no increase in the incidence of tibial shaft fractures. Fracture type, site, and degree of displacement of the tibial fractures remained unchanged during the 30 years, i.e, they were predominantly distal, longitudinal fractures with moderate displacement.

Blood pressure does not predict mortality in the elderly

The purpose of our study was to estimate the extent to which casual blood pressure measurements can predict mortality in elderly people in a defined population. A random sample of subjects born between 1890 and 1914 was extracted and their medical records were studied. Their earliest blood pressure record was chosen, provided the patient was at least 60 years old at the time of measurement. The population consisted of 961 patients (49.8% women), 560 of whom died between 1968 and 1987. Their mean age was 70.1 years and the total number of person-years involved was 8625. The mortality risk was estimated as a function of sex, present age, systolic (SBP) and diastolic (DBP) blood pressures, by a version of the Cox regression model. On the basis of close confidence intervals we conclude that blood pressure in the elderly is a very weak predictor of mortality.