Long term prognostic utility of exercise capacity in renal transplant candidates

Background

Pharmacological stress testing is commonly performed for cardiovascular risk stratification in potential renal transplant candidates due to a perceived inability for these patients to exercise. We have previously reported that exercise stress testing is feasible in renal transplant candidates but the prognostic utility of exercise capacity in this patient group is not known.

Purpose

This study prospectively evaluated the effect of exercise capacity on the risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE), defined as a composite of cardiac death, non-fatal myocardial infarction, and stroke, in renal transplant candidates undergoing exercise stress echocardiography (ESE) for pre-transplant cardiovascular assessment.

Methods

We evaluated 898 consecutive patients with chronic kidney disease stage 4/5 who underwent symptom-limited treadmill ESE over 5-year mean follow-up. Exercise capacity was measured by age and sex predicted metabolic equivalents (METs). The primary outcome was achievement of predicted METs with first MACE. Cox proportional hazard multivariable modelling was used to determine MACE predictors with transplantation treated as a time-varying covariate. We also performed secondary analysis using a 7 MET threshold.

Results

There were 106 MACE with an annual cumulative risk of 2.4%. During follow-up, 525 (58%) received transplantation. Achievement of predicted METs (48%) (hazard ratio (HR) 0.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.29–0.82, p=0.007) and transplantation (HR 0.52, 95% CI 0.30–0.91, p=0.02) were independently associated with reduced MACE. Similar results were observed using a 7 MET threshold achieved by 734 (82%) patients. Patients achieving predicted METs had no difference in MACE regardless of subsequent transplantation (HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.32–1.92, p=0.59). Patients who achieved predicted METs and did not receive transplantation had similar outcomes to those that did not achieve predicted METs and received transplantation (HR 0.97, 95% CI 0.42–2.25, p=0.95).

Conclusions

Exercise capacity is associated with reduced long-term MACE in renal transplant candidates undergoing ESE for pre-transplant cardiovascular assessment. Achievement of age and sex predicted METs confers excellent prognosis independent of subsequent transplantation.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None.

Measurement of Humoral Immune Competence and the Risk of Sinopulmonary Infection in a Cohort of Kidney Transplant Recipients

PURPOSE

The aim of this study was to determine if measurement of B cell protective immunity was associated with susceptibility to sinopulmonary infection in kidney transplant recipients.

METHODS AND MATERIALS

A prospective cohort of 168 patients with stable graft function (median 4.1 years) underwent assessment of B-lymphocyte antigen CD19 (CD19⁺) cell number, immunoglobulin G concentration, and seroresponses to influenza vaccination upon study entry. Patients received a single dose of a trivalent, seasonal influenza vaccine.

RESULTS

After 2 years follow-up, 31 patients (18%) developed sinopulmonary infection. CD19⁺ cell number was strongly associated with future sinopulmonary infection. A higher proportion of patients with CD19⁺ cell counts below the fifth percentile for controls developed sinopulmonary infections than those above the fifth percentile, 30% (23 of 77 patients) compared with 9% (7 of 79 patients; P = .001). There was a trend toward a higher proportion of patients with reduced immunoglobulin G concentrations developing infections than in the normal range for controls, 29% (14 of 48 patients) compared with 15% (16 of 108 patients; P = .060). Influenza vaccination seroresponses were poor in patients and controls such that they could not be used to identify a subgroup of patients at high risk for the development of severe pulmonary infection.

CONCLUSIONS

Monitoring B-cell numbers represents a simple, inexpensive means of stratifying transplant recipients' risk of sinopulmonary infection.