Time toxicity associated with early phase clinical trial participation

BACKGROUND

Early phase cancer clinical trials (EPCTs) involve experimental drugs being used for the first time in humans. These studies are designed for dose determination and safety, and represent the most time intensive of all clinical trials for both clinicians and patients. We sought to quantify the amount of patient time consumed through EPCT participation.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A retrospective audit of patients treated in the EPCT unit at Liverpool Hospital, Sydney was carried out from 2013 to 2023. We defined 'time toxicity' (TT) as a composite measure where time-toxic days were considered days with any health care system contact, including clinic visits, infusions, procedures or blood work.

RESULTS

A total of 219 patients across 36 EPCTs were included. The median age was 65 years (range 31-81 years). Patients spent a median of 29% (range 4%-100%) of their days in direct contact with the health care system during their study. Protocol-specified visits accounted for the greatest contribution to total TT in 101 (46%) patients. In 7% (n = 16) of patients, unscheduled visits due to either adverse events or cancer-related symptoms accounted for the greatest TT. TT reduced as patients completed additional cycles of treatment. Patients who completed >10 cycles spent 14% of their days interacting with health care systems compared with 35% for those who completed ≤2 cycles. No statistically significant difference in TT was noted between dose-expansion and dose-escalation studies or trials focusing on immune-oncology versus targeted therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study is the first to report TT in EPCTs with an extended follow-up. Clinicians should be aware of TT when discussing risks and benefits. TT also may not be the appropriate term when describing the time patients invest during EPCTs. Toxicity implies a negative impact, but for many patients, trial participation would be seen as positive. There should be efforts to streamline health care visits to limit TT in EPCTs.

Time for change: compliance with RCS green theatre checklist-facilitators and barriers on the journey to net zero

Background

Climate change is an era-defining health concern, with healthcare related emissions paradoxically compounding negative impacts. The NHS produces 5% of the UK's carbon footprint, with operating theatres a recognised carbon hotspot. NHS England aims to become Net Zero by 2045. Consequently, UK Royal Colleges of Surgery have published guidance to foster an evidence-based sustainable transformation in surgical practice.

Methods

A single-centre quality improvement project was undertaken, aiming to provide an overview of sustainable practice locally. The Intercollegiate "Green Theatre Checklist" was taken as an audit standard, focusing on "preparing for surgery" and "intraoperative equipment" subsections. Any general surgical procedure was eligible for inclusion. Usage of reusable textiles, non-sterile gloves, catheters, antibiotics, alcohol vs. water-based scrub techniques, skin sterilisation choices, and skin closure materials were recorded. Baseline data collection occurred over a 3 week period, followed by dissemination of results locally via clinical governance meetings and poster displays. A re-audit of practice was conducted using the same methodology and duration.

Results

Datasets 1 (n = 23) and 2 (n = 23) included open (n = 22), laparoscopic (n = 24), elective (n = 22) and non-elective (n = 24) cases. Good practice was demonstrated in reusable textiles (trolley covers 96%, 78%, drapes 100%, 92%) however procurement issues reduced otherwise good reusable gown use in Dataset 2 in (90%, 46%). No unnecessary catheter use was identified, and loose skin preparations were used unanimously. Uptake of alcohol-based scrubbing techniques was low (15%, 17%) and unnecessary non-sterile glove use was observed in >30% of procedures. All laparoscopic ports and scissors were single use. Carbon footprints were 128.27 kgCO2e and 117.71 kgCO2e in datasets 1 and 2 respectively.

Conclusion

This project evidences good practice alongside future local focus areas for improved sustainability. Adoption of hybrid laparoscopic instruments, avoiding unnecessary equipment opening, and standardising reusable materials could reduce carbon and environmental impact considerably. Successful implementation requires considered procurement practices, improved awareness and education, clear leadership, and a sustained cultural shift within the healthcare community. Collaboration among professional institutions and access to supporting evidence is crucial in driving engagement and empowering clinicians to make locally relevant changes a reality.

Feasibility of virtual reality-delivered pain psychology therapy for cancer-related neuropathic pain: a pilot randomised controlled trial

Virtual reality-delivered psychological therapies have recently been investigated as non-pharmacological management for acute and chronic pain. However, no virtual reality pain therapy software existed that met the needs of cancer patients with neuropathic pain. We created a bespoke virtual reality-delivered pain therapy software programme to help cancer patients manage neuropathic pain incorporating guided visualisation and progressive muscle relaxation techniques, whilst minimising the risk of cybersickness in this vulnerable patient population. This randomised controlled pilot study evaluated the feasibility, acceptability, recruitment rates and risk of cybersickness of this pain therapy software programme. Clinical outcomes including opioid consumption, pain severity, pain interference and global quality of life scores were secondary aims. Of 87 eligible cancer patients with neuropathic pain, 39 were recruited (47%), allocated to either the intervention (20 patients, virtual reality pain therapy software programme) or control (19 patients, viewing virtual reality videos). Four patients withdrew before the 3-month follow-up (all in the control group). Pre-existing dizziness (Spearman ρ 0.37, p = 0.02) and pre-existing nausea (Spearman ρ 0.81, p < 0.001) were significantly associated with risk of cybersickness in both groups. Patients in the intervention group reported less cybersickness, as well as tolerated and completed all therapy sessions. At 1- and 3-month follow-up, there were trends in the intervention group towards reductions in: oral morphine equivalent daily dose opioid consumption (-8 mg and -4 mg; vs. control: 0 mg and +15 mg respectively); modified Brief Pain Inventory pain severity (-0.4, -0.8; vs. control +0.4, -0.3); and pain interference (-0.9, -1.8; vs. control -0.2, -0.3) scores. The global quality of life subscale from the European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire-C30 was not significantly changed between groups at 1 and 3 months (intervention: -5, -8; vs. control: +3, +4). This newly created virtual reality-delivered pain therapy software programme was shown to be feasible and acceptable to cancer patients with neuropathic pain. These results will aid the design of a definitive multicentre randomised controlled trial.

Replicated gene expression changes in patients with atrial fibrillation

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): European Union Horizon 2020 CATCH ME; Cardiovascular Research Netherlands RACE V

Background

Little is known about changes in the atrial transcriptome associated with paroxysmal and persistent atrial fibrillation (AF).

Purpose

To identify major molecular mechanisms in AF, we determined consistent differential expression (DE) between atrial tissue samples from well-characterized patients with paroxysmal or persistent AF and patients without a history of AF (no AF) in two independent patient cohorts.

Methods

Poly-A tailed RNA from left and right atrial appendage tissue samples from independent discovery and replication cohorts CATCH ME (n=192) and RACE V (n=122) was sequenced and analyzed according to patient AF history. Analyses were performed stratified by atrial side, adjusting for age, sex, heart failure and a combination of clinical characteristics determined by principal component analysis. Transcripts were considered DE in CATCH ME if their fold change reached transcriptome-wide significance (false discovery rate (FDR) &lt; 0.05). DE transcripts in each rhythm comparison were replicated in RACE V if we observed a concordant direction of effect and a within-set FDR &lt; 0.05 in the same comparison.

Results

Persistent AF compared to no AF was associated with 184 left atrial DE transcripts in CATCH ME of which 85 (46%) were replicated in RACE V, and with 208 right atrial DE transcripts in CATCH ME of which 86 (41%) were replicated in RACE V. Overall, 26 transcripts were discovered and replicated in both atria. Discovered but non-replicated transcripts often did exhibit concordant direction of effect (left: 78%, right: 83%). Replicated transcripts consisted of protein coding genes, antisense and non-coding RNAs. Protein coding genes showed involvement in pathways linking persistent AF to cardiomyocyte structure, conduction properties, fibrosis, inflammation, molecule trafficking, and endothelial dysfunction. Interestingly, paroxysmal AF was not consistently associated with DE transcripts in any comparison. Principal component analysis of the expression of the 26 transcripts strongly associated with persistent AF did however reveal a distinct paroxysmal AF expression profile in-between no AF and persistent AF patients in the first principal component scores (Figure 1).

Conclusion

RNA sequencing of human atrial tissue samples identified many transcripts associated with persistent AF in left and/or right atria, discovered and replicated using two independent cohorts. These consistent findings of AF-induced changes provide a starting point for targeted proteomic analysis and single-nucleus sequencing to further unravel the molecular mechanisms underlying AF progression to persistent AF, and biomarker development to quantify AF progression and enable precision medicine in individual patients.

Dynamic changes of cardiovascular biomarkers after ablation for atrial fibrillation: observations from AXAFA-AFNET5

Background

The dynamic changes and stability of blood biomarkers over time and after treatment are not well known. In this study, we describe changes in 12 centrally quantified known and novel cardiovascular biomarkers, prior to and 3 months after ablation for atrial fibrillation (AF).

Purpose

In patients enrolled in the AXAFA-AFNET5 trial, we 1) characterised changes in 12 biomarker levels pre and post-ablation, 2) ascertained if biomarker changes are consistent between males and females, and 3) identified biomarkers which predict recurrent AF post-ablation.

Methods and results

Of the 674 patients who were recruited and randomised, 633 received the study drug and underwent ablation. Peripheral blood samples were available for 488 patients at baseline and 434 at 3 months follow-up (median age [Q1, Q3] 64 [58, 70] years; 34% female). Between baseline (BL) and follow-up (FU), paired comparisons revealed that 3 biomarkers decreased, ANG2 (median [Q1, Q3] BL 2.185 [1.711, 3.115], FU 1.827 [1.457, 2.297] ng/mL, p&lt;0.001), BMP10 (BL 2.056 [1.810, 2.380], FU 1.986 [1.757, 2.260] ng/mL, p&lt;0.001), and NTproBNP (BL 2.219 [0.858, 5.731] per 100pg/mL, p&lt;0.001), while 1 biomarker increased, FABP3 (BL 2.911 [2.425, 3.508], FU 2.911 [2.462, 3.521], p=0.005). The remaining 8 biomarkers remained unchanged.

Significant differences in ANG2, BMP10, NTproBNP and FABP3 were driven by patients who remained arrhythmia free at follow-up whereas biomarker levels remained unchanged in 121 patients who experienced recurrent AF (39%; Figure). Change scores were mainly consistent between males and females, however, CRP decreased significantly more in females. Recurrent AF episodes were not different between males and females (p=0.319).

Cox proportional hazards model assessed the relationship of individual biomarkers at baseline for predicting recurrent AF. Elevated ANG2 (hazard ratio, HR per ng/mL [95% confidence interval] 1.214 [1.113, 1.325]), BMP10 (HR per ng/mL 1.516 [1.039, 2.214]), and NTproBNP (HR per 100 pg/mL 1.050 [1.025, 1.076]) significantly predicted increased risk for recurrent AF, after adjustment for age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, stroke, heart failure, ablation type (PVI, PVI and other, other), ablation energy (radiofrequency, cryoablation, other), and treatment arm.

Conclusion

In this study, most cardiovascular biomarkers are unchanged after ablation for AF, however, ANG2, BMP10, and NTproBNP decreased at follow-up. These effects are driven by patients who remained arrhythmia free and could potentially reflect improvement in vascular (ANG2), endothelial (BMP10), and myocardial load (NTproBNP) parameters post-ablation. This outcome corresponds with the observation that elevated levels of these biomarkers at baseline predict recurrent AF at 3 months. Both males and females demonstrate similar changes in biomarker profiles and benefit equally from ablation for AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): DZHK (German Centre for Cardiovascular Research) and BMBF (German Ministry of Education and Research) to AFNET.Additional support from European Union [grant agreement No. 633196 (CATCH ME)]. Biomarker changes

Natriuretic peptides predict future heart failure and cardiovascular death in an unselected population of patients presenting to hospital: interactions with atrial fibrillation

Aims

Natriuretic peptides are routinely quantified to diagnose heart failure (HF). Their concentrations are also elevated in atrial fibrillation (AF). To clarify their interpretation, we measured natriuretic peptides in unselected patients with cardiovascular conditions and related their concentrations to AF and HF status and to outcomes.

Methods and results

Consecutive patients with cardiovascular conditions presenting to a large teaching hospital (median age 70 [IQR 60–78] years, 40% women) underwent clinical assessment, 7-day ECG-monitoring, and echocardiography to diagnose AF and HF. N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was centrally quantified. Clinical characteristics and NT-proBNP concentrations were related to HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death. Follow-up data was available in 1611/1616 patients (99.7%) and analysis performed at 2.5 years. Based on a literature review, four NT-proBNP groups were defined (&lt;300pg/ml, 300–999pg/ml, 1000–1999pg/ml and ≥2000pg/ml).

Multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis of the composite outcome against AF and HF phenotype groups. This was adjusted for confounding factors including age, sex, race, body mass index, hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease, severe valvular heart disease, left bundle branch block, hyponatraemia, urea, haemoglobin, estimated glomerular filtration rate, NT-proBNP, medical treatment with ACE inhibitors or angiotensin receptor blockers, beta-blockers, diuretic (thiazide or loop diuretics), and anticoagulants (novel oral anticoagulant or vitamin K antagonist). Cox proportional hazards analysis adjusted for confounding variables for the composite outcome against baseline NT-proBNP concentration ranges was also performed in each patient group based on AF and HF status.

HF hospitalization or cardiovascular death increased from patients with neither AF nor HF (36/488, 3.2/100 person-years), to 55/353 (7.1/100 person-years) in patients with AF only, 91/366 (12.1/100 person-years) in patients with HF only, and, 128/404 (17.7/100 person-years) in patients with AF plus HF (p&lt;0.001). Higher NT-proBNP concentrations predicted the outcome in patients with AF only (C-statistic 0.82 [95% CI 0.77 to 0.86], p-value&lt;0.001) and in other phenotype groups (C statistic in AF plus HF 0.66 [95% CI 0.61 to 0.70], p-value&lt;0.001)). Sensitivity analyses confirmed these findings.

Conclusion

Elevated NT-proBNP concentrations predict future HF events in patients with AF irrespective of the presence of HF. In line with previous studies in HF, an NT-proBNP threshold of 1000 pg/ml is useful to identify high-risk patients with AF whether or not they are diagnosed with HF at the time of assessment. Pending external validation, these findings encourage the routine quantification of NT-proBNP in the initial assessment of patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): 1) This study was partially supported by European Union BigData@Heart and 2) CATCH ME (Characterising Afib by Translating its Causes into Health Modifiers in the Elderly)

Pharmacist management of atrial fibrillation: a pilot educational intervention study

Introduction

AF increases the risk of stroke by a factor of five [1], oral anticoagulants (OACs) can reduce stroke by ∼60% and death by ∼25% [2]. Pharmacists, especially those based in primary care are well placed to support patients in this therapeutic area. However, research indicates that pharmacists do not always feel confident in supporting patients on OACs, which are the mainstay of AF management [3].

Purpose

The aim of this pilot study is to assess pharmacists' knowledge prior to an educational session on AF and its management. Training was provided on AF, its management and the use of an associated app, AF Manager (Figure) with the intention to re-assess pharmacists' knowledge and use of the app 3, 6 and 12-months post-training. Here, we report the assessment of pharmacist baseline knowledge.

Methods

Various social media platforms were used to invite UK-based, practicing primary care pharmacists to an educational session. Training was developed in collaboration with consultant pharmacists from an Academic Health Science Network, AF Programme. Participant knowledge was assessed immediately before the educational session by use of the Jessa Atrial Fibrillation Knowledge Questionnaire (JAKQ), adapted for use with pharmacists. Quantitative data were analysed using SPSS version 27.

Results

Twenty UK-based practicing pharmacists attended the educational session. Four pharmacists were excluded from analysis as they were not based in primary care. The mean practice experience of participants was 14.6±10.5 years; 62.5% were female and 50% had undertaken postgraduate qualifications. For this group of pharmacists, out of a maximum of 19 points, the mean score for the adapted JAKQ was 13.7±2.5. General knowledge about OACs (i.e. that which might be used to counsel patients taking OACs, such as time of day to take the medicines, side effects, drug interactions/contraindications) was high with knowledge about the different types of OACs similar (vitamin K antagonists (VKAs) 66.7±25.3% versus non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) 66.7±41.6%). However, several important knowledge gaps about AF and its management were identified. Only half of the participants knew that patients taking OACs for AF would continue to experience AF and only five participants (31.3%) knew that AF symptoms could be self-managed. Knowledge of INR monitoring frequency for VKAs and the use of NOAC patient alert cards was also lacking, with nine (56.2%) and thirteen (81.2%) of participants unable to answer these questions, respectively.

Conclusions

Primary care pharmacists are knowledgeable about the medicines used in AF management. However, there are specific knowledge gaps around AF management that need to be addressed via educational interventions to enable pharmacists to support patients effectively. Our follow-up research will investigate knowledge retention post-training and assess app usability for pharmacists in the management of patients with AF.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: None. Figure 1. Screenshots of the AF Manager app

Cross-sectional and longitudinal characterisation of cognitive function and outcomes in patients presenting to hospital with cardiovascular risk factors

Background/Introduction

Cardiovascular (CV) diseases including atrial fibrillation and arteriosclerosis are associated with impaired cognitive function. Cognitive dysfunction can impact the process of shared clinical decision making, reduce adherence to polypharmacy, and decrease quality of life. The prevalence of cognitive dysfunction in contemporary patients with CV diseases and its implication on future CV events is not well known.

Purpose

We 1) quantified cognitive function in patients presenting to hospital with CV diseases, 2) identified clinical variables and blood biomarkers associated with cognitive dysfunction, and 3) quantified the hazard of abnormal cognitive function for predicting MACCE (major adverse CV and cerebrovascular events).

Methods and results

Of 1625 consecutive patients presenting acutely to a large teaching hospital with CV diseases, 614 patients (median age [Q1, Q3] 68 [58, 76] years; 66% male) who completed the Montreal Cognitive Assessment (MoCA) were analysed. The median [Q1, Q3] MoCA score was 25 points [21, 27]. 360 patients (59%) had an abnormal score (&lt;26). At baseline, patients with abnormal scores were more likely to be female (odds ratio, OR [95% confidence intervals], 1.874 [1.287, 2.728]), have BMI&lt;30 (OR 0.584 [0.410, 0.831]), heart failure (OR 1.492 [1.043, 2.135]), diabetes (OR 2.212 [1.529, 3.199]), chronic kidney disease (CKD-EPI&lt;60 ml/min, OR 1.553 [1.021, 2.361]), and have more CV co-morbidities (OR per additional co-morbidity 1.415 [1.246, 1.605]). Amongst 12 CV biomarkers tested, elevated Bone Morphogenetic Protein 10 (OR 1.325 [1.022, 1.719]) and Growth Differentiation Factor 15 (OR 1.419 [1.054, 1.912]) increased odds of abnormal scores.

Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for competing risk of non-CV death assessed the relationship between abnormal cognitive function and MACCE (stroke, TIA, myocardial infarction, hospitalisation for heart failure, CV death). Follow-up time ranged from 2.7 to 6.1 years. Patients were censored at 2.5 years for this analysis. 130 out of 614 patients experienced a MACCE (21%) and 71 had a non-CV death (12%). Patients with abnormal MoCA scores were at higher risk for MACCE (subhazard ratio, sHR [95% CI] 1.827 [1.253, 2.664]). The hazard remained significant after adjustment for age, sex, obesity, atrial fibrillation, stroke, heart failure, hypertension, coronary artery disease, diabetes, peripheral artery disease and renal dysfunction (sHR 1.367 [1.056, 2.326]; Figure). All-cause mortality was 1.785 times higher for those with abnormal MoCA scores [1.061, 3.002].

Conclusion

In this study, 3 out of 5 patients with CV diseases had abnormal MoCA scores at baseline. Abnormal cognitive scores significantly predicted patients who went on to experience a MACCE within 2.5 years of follow-up. These observations call for further research and action to provide additional diagnostics, support and early intervention to address cognitive dysfunction in CV patients.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): EU H2020 CATCH ME Cumulative incidence function

Identification of novel biomarkers for predicting atrial fibrillation outcomes in patients with cardiovascular risk factors

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – EU funding. Main funding source(s): CATCH ME European Commission H2020 grant (no. 633196)

Background

Several novel blood biomarkers were recently found to reflect underlying pathophysiology implicated in atrial fibrillation (AF). These biomarkers could be used for stratifying patients at risk of developing AF or AF-related adverse events.

Purpose

We combined 9 clinical risk factors and 12 biomarkers to model composite outcomes of 1) incident AF, hospitalisation for arrhythmias, and cardiovascular death in sinus rhythm patients at risk of AF, and 2) recurrent AF, hospitalisation for arrhythmias, and cardiovascular death in patients with AF.

Methods

1455 patients presenting acutely to hospital with either diagnosed AF (n = 648) or sinus rhythm and ≥2 CHA2DS2-VASc risk factors (n = 807, silent AF ruled out by 7-day ECG monitoring) were followed up for two years. Outcomes were collected from linked hospital episode statistics (HES) and Office of National Statistics (ONS) data from NHS Digital. We univariately evaluated 12 cardiovascular biomarkers quantified from EDTA plasma collected at baseline (ANG2, BMP10, CA125, CRP, ESM1, FABP3, FGF23, GDF15, IGFBP7, IL6, NTproBNP, Troponin T). Two predictive models combining clinical characteristics and biomarkers were developed for each patient group, using Cox regression with backward elimination and considering non-cardiovascular death as a competing risk.

Results

In sinus rhythm patients (n = 117/807 with outcome), elevated BMP10, ANG2, CA125, IGFBP7, NTproBNP univariately predicted the composite outcome (adjusted for age, sex, body mass index (BMI), eGFR, heart failure, stroke/TIA, hypertension, diabetes, coronary artery disease – see Figure part A). In the combined model, age, prior stroke/TIA, coronary artery disease, ANG2, IGFBP7 and NTproBNP predicted the outcome (C-statistic [95% confidence interval (CI)] 0.733 [0.683, 0.784]).

In patients with AF (n = 193/648 with outcome), elevated BMP10, ANG2, CA125, troponin T, GDF15, IGFBP7, NTproBNP univariately predicted the composite outcome (adjusted for same variables as above – see Figure part B). In the combined model, high BMI, low eGFR, hypertension, IGFBP7, NTproBNP and troponin T were predictive of the composite outcome (C-statistic [95% CI]: 0.643 [0.596, 0.689]).

Conclusion

Combinations of clinical risk factors and biomarkers were predictive of two-year AF-related adverse events in sinus rhythm patients at risk of AF and in patients with AF. These markers could be used to identify patients for more intensive follow-up or therapy. IGFBP7 and NTproBNP were present in both models, implicating pathways involved with cardiac overload, inflammation, and oxidative stress. These findings call for external validation of these markers and prospective evaluation in at-risk populations. Abstract Figure. Biomarkers predicting 2-year AF outcomes

P5662Development of a prognostic model for prevalent atrial fibrillation using individual patient data: Results of CATCH ME

Background/Introduction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) can be challenging to diagnose due to asymptomatic and paroxysmal presentation. Identifying prognostic factors of AF would elucidate potential mechanisms causing AF and refine screening for at risk patients.

Purpose

To identify the main predictors of AF and to develop a prognostic model for prevalent AF.

Methods

Data of 120 potential predictors were harmonised in individual patient data from 4 independent European studies. A three stage Delphi expert consensus process identified predictors based on clinical knowledge. The predictors were further reduced using statistical selection (backward elimination), and a logistic regression model was fitted. We calculated odds ratios (OR) for each of the selected predictors and evaluated model performance using the C-statistic.

Results

Overall, 2420 patients (mean [standard deviation] age = 62.7 [14.5] years, 35.6% female, 43.1% with AF) were included in the analysis. Thirty-one potential predictors identified from the Delphi process which had sufficient data across all datasets were modelled. Of these 14 were deemed prognostic in predicting AF (age, sex, BMI, height, hypertension, diabetes, history of coronary artery disease, left atrial volume, left ventricular end systolic diameter, abnormality on echo, tricuspid valve disease of at least moderate intensity, aldosterone-antagonists, beta-blockers and P2Y12 blockers; see Figure 1). There was a clear interaction between age and sex indicating that males are at higher risk than females early in life, while females are at increased risk of AF at older age (Figure 1). The risk prediction model combining these prognostic factors performed well (C-statistic 0.79; 95% CI 0.77–0.81).

Figure 1. (a) Forest plot; (b) Interaction

Conclusion(s)

Our preliminary analysis identified important prognostic factors and a complex relationship between age and sex, which predicts prevalent AF, highlighting the different potential causes of AF in different patients. There is a clear need to validate these factors in external datasets and for further investigation into the molecular mechanism underlying these factors.

Acknowledgement/Funding

European Commission H2020 framework

A Study of a Caucasian Family with Variant von Willebrand’s Disease in Association with Vascular Telangiectasia and Haemoglobinopathy

A family was identified which carries multi-haematological disorders including Type IIA von Willebrand’s disease, vascular telangiectasia, and a haemoglobinopathy (haemoglobin S trait). In the affected individuals, the von Willebrand’s disease varies in its expression from an asymptomatic form to a severe form especially in those patients with telangiectasia. Some patients have vascular telangiectasia in the mucous membranes of the mouth and lips. In two patients endoscopy disclosed telangiectasia in the mucous membranes of the gastrointestinal tract. All of the patients who had telangiectasia also had von Willebrand’s disease. An incidental finding was the presence of an abnormal haemoglobin (haemoglobin S) in some family members. The pattern of inheritance of the haemoglobinopathy was unrelated to the inheritance pattern of von Willebrand’s disease. The presence of haemoglobin S did not interfere with the aggregation of platelets in response to ristocetin.

Upregulated Polo-Like Kinase 1 Expression Correlates with Inferior Survival Outcomes in Rectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

Human polo-like kinase 1 (PLK1) expression has been associated with inferior outcomes in colorectal cancer. Our aims were to analyse PLK1 in rectal cancer, and its association with clinicopathological variables, overall survival as well as tumour regression to neoadjuvant treatment.

METHODS

PLK1 expression was quantified with immunohistochemistry in the centre and periphery (invasive front) of rectal cancers, as well as in the involved regional lymph nodes from 286 patients. Scores were based on staining intensity and percentage of positive cells, multiplied to give weighted scores from 1-12, dichotomised into low (0-5) or high (6-12).

RESULTS

PLK1 scores in the tumour periphery were significantly different to adjacent normal mucosa. Survival analysis revealed that low PLK1 score in the tumour periphery had a hazard ratio of death of 0.59 in multivariate analysis. Other predictors of survival included age, tumour depth, metastatic status, vascular and perineural invasion and adjuvant chemotherapy. There was no statistically significant correlation between PLK1 score and histological tumour regression in the neoadjuvant cohort.

CONCLUSION

Low PLK1 score was an independent predictor of superior overall survival, adjusting for multiple clinicopathological variables including treatment.

Circulating tumour cells and the epithelial mesenchymal transition in colorectal cancer

Circulating tumour cells (CTCs) hold great potential as liquid biopsies to prognosticate disease and guide treatment in colorectal cancer. However, their emerging role in determining the molecular phenotype of tumour metastasis carries even more promising clinical use in the provision of comprehensive biomarker detection for targeted therapies and determination of drug resistance. The isolation of CTCs is technology dependent, and in the case of epithelial cell adhesion molecule-based platforms, the ability to detect cells that have undergone the epithelial to mesenchymal transition (EMT) is ineffective. CTCs displaying a mesenchymal phenotype are believed to have an increased metastatic potential. The rarity of CTCs provides another challenge in the enumeration of these cells. The future will likely involve the analysis of individual CTCs at any stage of the EMT in order to provide real-time phenotypic and molecular snapshots capable of tracking the dynamic evolution of tumour progression over time.

Circulating tumour cells and circulating free nucleic acid as prognostic and predictive biomarkers in colorectal cancer

The detection of circulating tumour cells or circulating free tumour nucleic acids can potentially guide treatment and inform prognosis in colorectal cancer using minimally invasive "liquid biopsies". Current literature supports the notion that high circulating tumour cell counts or presence of tumour nucleic acid correlate with inferior clinical outcomes for patients, but they are not yet part of routine clinical care. Future research evolves around the examination of the molecular phenotype of circulating tumour cells. The key unanswered areas include differentiating between circulating tumour cell presence and their proliferative capacity and dormancy, identifying tumour heterogeneity and understanding the epithelial-mesenchymal transition.

Ministry of Health clinical practice guidelines: schizophrenia

The Ministry of Health (MOH) has updated the clinical practice guidelines on Schizophrenia to provide doctors and patients in Singapore with evidence-based treatment for schizophrenia. This article reproduces the introduction and executive summary (with recommendations from the guidelines) from the MOH clinical practice guidelines on Schizophrenia, for the information of readers of the Singapore Medical Journal. Chapters and page numbers mentioned in the reproduced extract refer to the full text of the guidelines, which are available from the Ministry of Health website: http://www.moh.gov. sg/mohcorp/publications.aspx?id=26138. The recommendations should be used with reference to the full text of the guidelines. Following this article are multiple choice questions based on the full text of the guidelines.

Neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio predicts chemotherapy outcomes in patients with advanced colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Advances in the treatment of metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) in the last decade have significantly improved survival; however, simple biomarkers to predict response or toxicity have not been identified, which are applicable to all community oncology settings worldwide. The use of inflammatory markers based on differential white-cell counts, such as the neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio (NLR), may be simple and readily available biomarkers.

METHODS

Clinical information and baseline laboratory parameters were available for 349 patients, from two independent cohorts, with unresectable mCRC receiving first-line palliative chemotherapy. Associations between baseline prognostic variables, including inflammatory markers such as the NLR and tumour response, progression and survival were investigated.

RESULTS

In the training cohort, combination-agent chemotherapy (P=0.001) and NLR ≤ 5 (P=0.003) were associated with improved clinical benefit. The ECOG performance status 1 (P=0.002), NLR>5 (P=0.01), hypoalbuminaemia (P=0.03) and single-agent chemotherapy (P<0.0001) were associated with increased risk of progression. The ECOG performance status ≥ 1 (P=0.004) and NLR>5 (P=0.002) predicted worse overall survival (OS). The NLR was confirmed to independently predict OS in the validation cohort (P<0.0001). Normalisation of the NLR after one cycle of chemotherapy in a subset of patients resulted in improved progression-free survival (P=0.012).

CONCLUSION

These results have highlighted NLR as a potentially useful clinical biomarker of systemic inflammatory response in predicting clinically meaningful outcomes in two independent cohorts. Results of this study have also confirmed the importance of a chronic systemic inflammatory response influencing clinical outcomes in patients with mCRC.

Reporting clinical trial information: colorectal cancer trials at Sydney Cancer Centre

BACKGROUND

Clinical trial units are integral to the functioning of a medical oncology department with patient access to clinical trials an important component in patient care. There has been a paucity of potential key performance indicators in medical oncology and clinical trial information may be utilised for this purpose. The aim of this study was to record retrospectively and collate prospectively collected information regarding basic demographics, response rate, progression and survival plus grade 3 or 4 toxicity in patients enrolled in clinical trials for metastatic colorectal cancer at the Sydney Cancer Centre between 1999 and 2007.

METHODS

Baseline patient demographics, clinical response, progression dates, grade 3 or 4 toxicities plus treatment-related fatalities were collected from individual clinical trials. Outcome measures were clinical response, progression-free survival and overall survival.

RESULTS

There was a total of 14 trials undertaken during the defined period for patients with metastatic colorectal cancer. There was available information for 243 patient trials with sufficient information regarding response rates, toxicity, progression and survival. Tumour response rates ranged from 27% to 66% for first line chemotherapy trials and 0% to 20% for non-first line chemotherapy trials. The overall progression-free survival was 6.4 months and overall survival 14.0 months for all trials. There was one treatment-related fatality on clinical trial during this period.

CONCLUSIONS

Results of our clinical database have been used here to illustrate the concept and value of reporting clinical trial information in medical oncology. Public reporting of such information may allow for comparisons between units and for quality improvement.

Targeted plasma proteome profiling for early prediction of chemotherapy response and toxicity in colorectal cancer (CRC)

e15063

Background: Accurate predictors of chemotherapy response and toxicity in CRC are required to improve the safety, efficacy and costs of treatment. Plasma proteomic profiling using multiple reaction monitoring mass spectrometry (MRM-MS) couples assay multiplexing with high specificity to determine levels of pre-selected biomarker proteins. Our aims were to investigate the utility of plasma proteomic profiling using MRM-MS for predicting: (1) early haematological toxicity, (2) response and (3) survival for patients receiving chemotherapy for CRC. Methods: Patients with locally advanced and metastatic CRC receiving chemotherapy were enrolled. Plasma collection was performed pre-chemotherapy, at day 3 and day 15 of treatment. Toxicity assessments (NCI Criteria v3.0) were prospectively collected for all patients and treatment response (RECIST) assessed for patients with metastatic disease. MRM-MS assays were designed for 39 peptides representing 31 liver derived plasma proteins with reported roles in inflammation and/or cancer. Statistical analysis was performed using the 2-sample t-test to assess statistically significant fold change differences (p<0.05) between sample days for: (1) patients with absence or presence of ≥ Grade 2 neutropenia after two cycles and (2) responders (CR and PR) versus non-responders (SD or PD). Results: Plasma proteomic profiling for 39 peptides was performed for 17 patients. The greatest change in protein levels was observed between Day 3 and 15 with 9% of proteins showing a 1.5 fold or greater change with some proteins showing a ≥ 200-fold change in level. Three proteins (clusterin, paraoxanse and apolipoprotein A1) were significantly different in the group analysed for neutropenia and four proteins (kininogen I, serum paraoxonase/ arylestease 1, apolipoprotein A-1 and complement C4a) were significantly different in the group analysed according to response. Survival analysis was not performed due to the short follow up. Discussion: Our results are encouraging for the use of a robust mass spectrometry technique for early prediction of neutropenia and chemotherapeutic response in CRC.

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Evaluation of plasma total and cleaved cytokeratin 18 as predictive markers of chemotherapy in colorectal cancer

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Background: Cytokeratin 18 (CK18) is a cytoskeletal protein present in the circulation of cancer patients. Caspase-cleaved CK18 fragments are released from apoptotic cells and may be a simple non-invasive tool for measuring response to chemotherapy. This study aims to assess the associations between levels of CK18 with clinical parameters in patients with metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC) receiving palliative chemotherapy. Methods: Prospectively collected plasma from 23 mCRC patients were analysed for the presence of total CK18 (M65, Peviva) and cleaved CK18 (M30-Apoptosense, Peviva) using an ELISA assay. 8 patients received 2nd-line chemotherapy (irinotecan) and 15 patients received 1st-line 5FU-based chemotherapy. Levels of both total and cleaved CK18 were determined at day 0 prior to chemotherapy and +24 hours for 2nd-line patients or +72 hours for 1st-line patients post-chemotherapy. Patients were grouped as responders (CR + PR) or non-responders (SD + PD) and results were analysed by non-parametric tests (Mann- Whitney and Wilcoxon Signed Rank Tests). Results: The median age of patients was 62 (range 24–79) with 9 patients (39%) responding to chemotherapy. Pre-chemotherapy, both total and cleaved CK18 levels were significantly lower in patients that responded to chemotherapy compared to non-responders [mean total CK18 responders 447.8U/L (95%CI 286.6–609.0 U/L ) versus mean total CK18 non-responders 999.4U/L (95%CI 602.7–1396.1 U/L), p=0.033; mean cleaved CK18 responders 174.7 U/L (95% CI 26.4–323.0) versus mean cleaved CK18 non-responders 331.4 U/L (95%CI 185.3–477.6), p=0.046]. There was a statistically significant increase in the concentration of total CK18 in the post-chemotherapy samples compared to baseline (p=0.003) however there was no association with response (p=0.12). The mean ratio of cleaved: total CK18 was significantly lower after chemotherapy [baseline 0.33 (95% CI 0.28–0.38) versus post-chemotherapy 0.29 (95%CI 0.24–0.34), p=0.01]. The mean ratio of cleaved: total CK18 at baseline was unable to discriminate between responders and non responders (p=0.83). Conclusions: These data suggest that pre-chemotherapy total and cleaved CK18 plasma levels are potential predictors of chemotherapeutic response for patients with mCRC.

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Utility of the Health Belief Model in predicting compliance of screening in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

Regular surveillance is recommended for patients with chronic hepatitis B, to select candidates for anti-viral therapy and detect early complications. However, factors that determine compliance are not well studied.

AIM

To determine the utility of the Health Belief Model in explaining non-compliance, among a group of chronic hepatitis B patients for screening.

METHODS

A total of 192 chronic hepatitis B patients who responded to advertisement for free screening took part in a telephonic interview study. Subjects were asked about the five constructs of the Health Belief Model, and factors associated with recent screening were analysed.

RESULTS

The mean age of the subjects was 42.1 +/- 0.7 years; 77% white male, and 97% Chinese. About 108 patients (56%) had recent screening. At multivariate analysis, only the ability to remember date of follow-up (OR: 4.37; 95% CI: 2.07-9.17) and the perception of having to wait a long time for venepuncture (OR: 0.38; 95% CI: 0.19-0.79) were significantly associated with recent screening.

CONCLUSION

Future public health measures should include improving the logistics of follow-up procedures and providing reminders for screening to improve compliance.

The majority of hepatitis B carriers are not on regular surveillance in Singapore

INTRODUCTION

Carriers of hepatitis B virus (HBV) are at risk of developing long-term complications. Regular surveillance helps detect treatable chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis and liver cancer, and is recommended by practice guidelines in the United States, Europe and Singapore. However, there have been few studies evaluating the follow-up of HBV carriers. This study seeks to determine the proportion of HBV carriers on regular follow-up in Singapore and the impact on hepatitis B disease.

METHODS

An advertisement was taken in local newspapers advertising for free screening to HBV carriers. 387 persons answered the advertisement. The screening comprised history-taking, physical examination, blood tests (liver panel, alphafoetoprotein, hepatitis B surface antigen (Ag) and hepatitis B eAg) and ultrasonography of liver. Further evaluation was conducted if the screening results were abnormal.

RESULTS

Of the 387 HBV carriers, 346 (89 percent) were male and 375 (97 percent) were Chinese. Their mean age was 39 years (range 20-60 years) and 36 percent were positive for HBeAg. 247 (64 percent) were not on regular screening over the past 12 months. 19 (5.4 percent) patients were diagnosed to have complications, namely: 13 had HBeAg-positive chronic hepatitis, two had HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis, one had early liver cancer who recovered well after a curative resection and three had compensated cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

Our screening programme diagnosed 5.4 percent of complications among 387 asymptomatic HBV carriers. However, 64 percent of the study subjects were not screened regularly and may pose an important public health threat if they develop long-term complications. Further studies are needed to evaluate and improve patient compliance for screening.

Obstructive sleep apnea. Treatment improves quality of life--and may prevent death

Obstructive sleep apnea syndrome may be just an annoyance to an affected person's bed partner, or it can be a more serious and even dangerous condition for the person involved. One clue to the condition is daytime somnolence, although not all sleepy patients have the syndrome. If obstructive sleep apnea syndrome is confirmed by a polysomnogram, a trial of nasal continuous positive airway pressure (NCPAP) is warranted. If daytime somnolence is unaffected, then it is unlikely that the syndrome is the sole cause of the patient's sleepiness. Alternative diagnoses (eg, narcolepsy, atypical depression) should then be considered. Surgery, orthodontic devices, and pharmacotherapy are generally less effective than NCPAP and are usually reserved for patients who cannot tolerate NCPAP. Surgical techniques may be best suited for patients who have clearly defined craniofacial abnormalities and those who cannot tolerate NCPAP. Weight reduction to near ideal body weight and avoidance of benzodiazepines, opiates, and alcohol should be emphasized in all patients with suspected or confirmed sleep apnea.

Falsely elevated CSF total protein due to carryover in a discrete analyzer (Beckman Astra-8)

Falsely elevated values for CSF total protein, as determined in the Beckman Astra-8 Total Protein Module, were shown to be due to a combined effect of sample cross-contamination and reaction cup contamination by serum samples on the same sample tray. Normal CSF may be misdiagnosed as having an abnormally high protein concentration, due to this interference by normal serum samples. To avoid this carryover phenomenon, it is recommended that 3 saline samples be analysed for total protein before the analysis of the CSF samples; alternatively, all the CSF samples should be analysed separately in one batch.

Programmed electrical stimulation to determine the need for antiarrhythmic therapy in patients with complex ventricular ectopic activity

Patients with complex ventricular ectopy (greater than or equal to Lown grade III) and organic heart disease (OHD) are at increased risk for sudden cardiac death. Despite this fact, many such patients will remain free of symptomatic ventricular arrhythmia and thus are unnecessarily exposed to antiarrhythmic drug toxicity and arrhythmic potentiation. Programmed stimulation (PS) was used to direct therapy in 88 patients with asymptomatic ventricular ectopy complicating OHD. Thirty-three had inducible ventricular tachycardia (VT) and underwent treatment. The 55 patients without inducible VT (less than or equal to 6 repetitive ventricular responses) are the focus of this study. Three patients required treatment for persistent cardiac awareness. The remaining 52 have been followed for 22 months off antiarrhythmic drugs and all have remained free of subsequent major arrhythmic events. Therefore, in patients with complex ventricular ectopy, OHD, and absence of prior symptomatic ventricular arrhythmia, PS identifies patients at low risk for future disabling or life-threatening arrhythmic episodes and patients with absence of inducible VT can usually be managed without antiarrhythmic drugs.

A study of a Caucasian family with variant von Willebrand's disease in association with vascular telangiectasia and haemoglobinopathy

A family was identified which carries multi-haematological disorders including Type IIA von Willebrand's disease, vascular telangiectasia, and a haemoglobinopathy (haemoglobin S trait). In the affected individuals, the von Willebrand's disease varies in its expression from an asymptomatic form to a severe form especially in those patients with telangiectasia. Some patients have vascular telangiectasia in the mucous membranes of the mouth and lips. In two patients endoscopy disclosed telangiectasia in the mucous membranes of the gastrointestinal tract. All of the patients who had telangiectasia also had von Willebrand's disease. An incidental finding was the presence of an abnormal haemoglobin (haemoglobin S) in some family members. The pattern of inheritance of the haemoglobinopathy was unrelated to the inheritance pattern of von Willebrand's disease. The presence of haemoglobin S did not interfere with the aggregation of platelets in response to ristocetin.

Fibroplastic parietal endocarditis with eosinophilia

A 44-year-old woman with marked eosinophilia, leukocytosis, congestive heart failure, and the murmur of mitral stenosis had a restrictive type of pulse contour at cardiac catheterization. A right atrial angiogram revealed a huge right atrium, a small right ventricle, and a dilated contractile outflow tract consistent with the diagnosis of Loeffler's endocarditis. A marked conduction delay at the atrial level was demonstrated by His bundle electrogram studies.

Electrophysiological properties of phentolamine in man

The effects of phentolamine, 0-3 mg/min given intravenously for 15 minutes, on His bundle electrograms were studied in 11 patients with heart disease. Recordings were made at varied heart rates, using atrial pacing. Phentolamine significantly reduced the AH interval in every patient but it had no effect on the HV interval. Functional and effective refractory periods were measured with the use of the atrial extrastimulus technique. The effective refractory period of the atrium and atrioventricular node as well as the functional refractory period of the atrioventricular node all significantly decreased after phentolamine infusion. This improvement in conduction is probably mediated by a release of catecholamines.

The syndrome of normal electrocardiograms, accessory pathways and paroxysmal tachycardias

Tachycardias may be associated with the pre-excitation syndrome, a short PR interval or a prolonged QT interval. This report describes seven patients whose electrocardiograms (ECGs) did not reveal any of the above-named conditions. All of the patients presented with syncopal episodes, and the history of palpitations was elicited in five of the patients. His bundle electrogram studies in all of the patients showed an essentially unchanged AH interval with atrial pacing rates up to 180 beats/min. This can only be explained by a total bypass of the AV node. Two of the patients were also paced from the ventricle, and an unchanged pacing stimulus to A wave interval was observed. This signifies in these patients a functioning bypass pathway in the retrograde direction as well. Thus it would appear that pre-excitation cannot by eliminated as a diagnostic possibility even if the ECG is normal.

Hemodynamic effects of steroids in cardiac disease

The hemodynamic effects of intravenous methylprednisolone were documented by right heart catheterization in seven patients with an acute uncomplicated transmural myocardial infarction 1 to 9 days after the onset of symptoms. Intracardiac pressures, brachial artery pressure, and cardiac output were determined before and 1 hour after the termination of the methylprednisolone infusion. Two grams of methylprednisolone were infused over a 20 minute period. The brachial pressure rose from a mean of 82 to 90 mm. Hq (N.S.). The brachial artery mean pressure fell in the one patient with a 1-day-old infarction, and it rose in the six patients with an older infarction, from 83 to 94 mm. Hg (p less than 0.01). As the brachial artery pressure rose in one patient, chest pain and marked ST-segment elevation occurred which were relieved by nitroglycerin. This experience promoted us to terminate the steroid study. There was a nonsignificant increase in the cardiac index and wedge pressure. The raise in the brachial artery pressure with an infarction older than 1 day was an unexpected finding, since steroids are presumed to be vasodilating agents.

The effect of nitroglycerin on atrioventricular conduction in man

His bundle electrograms were performed on 10 patients with organic heart disease. Six patients had had a recent myocardial infarction. Recordings were made at various rates utilizing right atrial pacing. Nitroglycerin, 1/150 gr, was administered to all 10 subjects, and the P-A, A-H, H-Q and H-S intervals were determined before, and immediately after the disappearance of the sublingually administered nitroglycerin. A significant decrease in the A-H interval occurred with negligible effects on the P-A, H-Q and H-S intervals. At the atrial pacing rate of 100/min, the average A-H interval fell from the control value of 152 msec to 129 msec after the administration of nitroglycerin (p less than 0.02); at the pacing rate of 130/min, the A-H interval decreased from 194 to 133 msec (p less 0.05). Second degree heart block occurred at higher pacing rates in six patients after nitroglycerin administration as compared to the control value. The average postsuppression sinoatrial recovery time control value of 1,083 msec decreased to 906 msec after nitroglycerin administration (p less than 0.01). These findings demonstrate that nitroglycerin can improve conduction through the A-V node.