Limited ability of the renal ablation-specific (MC)2 risk scoring system to predict major adverse events from percutaneous renal microwave ablation

PURPOSE

To access if the (MC)2 scoring system can identify patients at risk for major adverse events following percutaneous microwave ablation of renal tumors.

METHODS

Retrospective review of all adult patients who underwent percutaneous renal microwave ablation at two centers. Patient demographics, medical histories, laboratory work, technical details of the procedure, tumor characteristics, and clinical outcomes were collected. The (MC)2 score was calculated for each patient. Patients were assigned to low-risk (<5), moderate-risk (5-8) and high-risk (>8) groups. Adverse events were graded according to the criteria from the Society of Interventional Radiology guidelines.

RESULTS

A total of 116 patients (mean age = 67.8 [95%CI 65.5-69.9], 66 men) were included. 10 (8.6%) and 22 (19.0%) experienced major or minor adverse events, respectively. The mean (MC)2 score for patients with major adverse events (4.6 [95%CI 3.3-5.8]) was not higher than those with either minor adverse events (4.1 [95%CI 3.4-4.8], p = 0.49) or no adverse events (3.7 [95%CI 3.4-4.1], p = 0.25). However, mean tumor size was greater in those with major adverse events (3.1 cm [95%CI 2.0-4.1]) than minor adverse events (2.0 cm [95%CI 1.8-2.3], p = 0.01). Patients with central tumors were also more likely to experience major adverse events compared to those without central tumors (p = 0.02). The area under the receiver operator curve to predict major adverse events was 0.61 (p = 0.15), indicating a poor ability of the (MC)2 score to predict major adverse events.

CONCLUSION

The (MC)2 risk scoring system does not accurately identify patients at risk for major adverse events from percutaneous microwave ablation of renal tumors. The mean tumor size and central tumor location may serve as a better indicator for risk assessment of major adverse events.

External Validation of the Renal Ablation-Specific (MC)2 Risk Scoring System in Predicting Complications from Percutaneous Renal Cryoablation

PURPOSE

The (MC)2 score is a renal ablation-specific risk scoring system to predict major complications from percutaneous renal cryoablation (PRCA). However, it is untested in an external population of patients. The purpose of this study is to validate the ability of the (MC)2 score to predict major complications after PRCA in an external population.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Retrospective review of patients who underwent PRCA from 2004 to 2019. Patient demographics, medical histories, and tumor characteristics were collected. The (MC)2 score was calculated and patients were assigned to low risk (< 5), moderate risk (5-8) and high-risk (> 8) groups. Complications were recorded. Major complications were classified according to CIRSE guidelines.

RESULTS

Two hundred and one patients [M = 116; F = 85; median age = 65 (range 27-90)] met inclusion criteria. Eleven patients (5.5%) developed major complications and 50 patients (24.9%) developed minor complications. Of patients with major complications, mean tumor diameter was 39 mm (± 10.4), seven patients (63.6%) had a central tumor, four patients (36.4%) had complicated diabetes, and one patient (9.1%) had a prior MI. Major complication rates were 2.1%, 14%, and 14.3% in the (MC)2 low risk, moderate risk, and high risk groups, respectively. The mean (MC)2 score for patients with major complications [6.2 (± 2.4)] was higher than the mean score for patients with minor complications [4.7 (± 2.4) (p = 0.07)] and no complications [3.9 (± 1.9) (p < 0.01)]. The area under the ROC curve to predict major complications was 0.78.

CONCLUSION

The (MC)2 risk scoring system appropriately identifies patients at risk for major complications from PRCA in this external patient population.