Impact of stress hyperglycemia on long-term prognosis in acute pancreatitis without diabetes

Stress hyperglycemia has been confirmed as a strong predictor of poor short-term prognosis in acute pancreatitis. However, whether stress hyperglycemia affects the long-term prognosis of patients with acute pancreatitis is unclear. We aimed to investigate the effect of stress hyperglycemia on the long-term prognosis of non-diabetic patients with acute pancreatitis. This retrospective observational study was conducted on 4055 patients with acute pancreatitis from 1 January 2016 to 31 October 2020. The association between stress hyperglycemia and the prognosis was evaluated using regression modeling. There were 935(71.5%) normoglycemic and 373(28.5%) stress hyperglycemia patients. 46(12.3%) patients with stress hyperglycemia had evidence of diabetes compared with 33(3.5%) patients without stress hyperglycemia (P < 0.001). After multivariate adjustment, patients with stress hyperglycemia were more likely to have evidence of diabetes (OR 2.905, 95% CI 1.688-4.999) compared with normoglycemic. However, stress hyperglycemia is not associated with the recurrence of pancreatitis and progression to chronic pancreatitis. Stress hyperglycemia was independently associated with diabetes secondary to acute pancreatitis. Accordingly, a follow-up diabetes-screening program for AP with stress hyperglycemia is an important part of identifying the disease as soon as possible, delaying islet damage, and improving the prognosis of post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus.

Number of recurrences is significantly associated with the post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus in a population with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Twenty-three percent of patients are diagnosed with diabetes mellitus after the first episode of acute pancreatitis. The incidence of post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus is significantly higher than that of type 1 diabetes mellitus. Some studies have concluded that the all-cause mortality and worse prognosis of diabetes after pancreatitis are higher. We predicted that number of recurrences of pancreatitis would be significantly associated with the incidences of metabolic syndrome, abdominal obesity, and post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus.

METHODS

Patients admitted to our hospital for hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis from 2013-2021 were selected for a cross-sectional study. Statistical analysis methods were used to analyze the effect of recurrences on the long-term prognosis of patients with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

RESULTS

In this study, 101 patients with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis were included: 60 (59.41%) in the recurrent acute pancreatitis group and 41 (40.59%) in the only one episode of acute pancreatitis group. Among all hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis patients, approximately 61.4% were diagnosed with abdominal obesity, 33.7% of patients are diagnosed with metabolic syndrome, 34.7% of patients are diagnosed with diabetes mellitus, and 21.8% of patients are diagnosed with post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus. Recurrent acute pancreatitis were independent risk factors for post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus in patients with hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis (odds ratio [OR] = 3.964, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.230-12.774) and the risk of post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus in patients with three or more recurrent episodes was 6.607 times higher than that in patients without recurrent episodes (OR = 6.607, 95% CI = 1.412-30.916).

CONCLUSIONS

Recurrence is an independent risk factor for the development of post-acute pancreatitis diabetes mellitus and is significantly associated with the number of recurrences.