1
|
Lindborg T, Thorne M, Andersson E, Becker J, Brandefelt J, Cabianca T, Gunia M, Ikonen ATK, Johansson E, Kangasniemi V, Kautsky U, Kirchner G, Klos R, Kowe R, Kontula A, Kupiainen P, Lahdenperä AM, Lord NS, Lunt DJ, Näslund JO, Nordén M, Norris S, Pérez-Sánchez D, Proverbio A, Riekki K, Rübel A, Sweeck L, Walke R, Xu S, Smith G, Pröhl G. Climate change and landscape development in post-closure safety assessment of solid radioactive waste disposal: Results of an initiative of the IAEA. J Environ Radioact 2018; 183:41-53. [PMID: 29291453 DOI: 10.1016/j.jenvrad.2017.12.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/16/2017] [Revised: 12/11/2017] [Accepted: 12/13/2017] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
The International Atomic Energy Agency has coordinated an international project addressing climate change and landscape development in post-closure safety assessments of solid radioactive waste disposal. The work has been supported by results of parallel on-going research that has been published in a variety of reports and peer reviewed journal articles. The project is due to be described in detail in a forthcoming IAEA report. Noting the multi-disciplinary nature of post-closure safety assessments, here, an overview of the work is given to provide researchers in the broader fields of radioecology and radiological safety assessment with a review of the work that has been undertaken. It is hoped that such dissemination will support and promote integrated understanding and coherent treatment of climate change and landscape development within an overall assessment process. The key activities undertaken in the project were: identification of the key processes that drive environmental change (mainly those associated with climate and climate change), and description of how a relevant future may develop on a global scale; development of a methodology for characterising environmental change that is valid on a global scale, showing how modelled global changes in climate can be downscaled to provide information that may be needed for characterising environmental change in site-specific assessments, and illustrating different aspects of the methodology in a number of case studies that show the evolution of site characteristics and the implications for the dose assessment models. Overall, the study has shown that quantitative climate and landscape modelling has now developed to the stage that it can be used to define an envelope of climate and landscape change scenarios at specific sites and under specific greenhouse-gas emissions assumptions that is suitable for use in quantitative post-closure performance assessments. These scenarios are not predictions of the future, but are projections based on a well-established understanding of the important processes involved and their impacts on different types of landscape. Such projections support the understanding of, and selection of, plausible ranges of scenarios for use in post-closure safety assessments.
Collapse
Affiliation(s)
- T Lindborg
- Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB, Evenemangsgatan 13, 169 79, Solna, Sweden.
| | - M Thorne
- Mike Thorne and Associates Limited, Quarry Cottage, Hamsterley, Bishop Auckland, DL13 3NJ, UK
| | - E Andersson
- Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB, Evenemangsgatan 13, 169 79, Solna, Sweden
| | - J Becker
- National Cooperative for the Disposal of Radioactive Waste, Hardstrasse 73, Wettingen, Switzerland
| | - J Brandefelt
- Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB, Evenemangsgatan 13, 169 79, Solna, Sweden
| | - T Cabianca
- Public Health England, Wellington House, 133-155 Waterloo Road, London, UK
| | - M Gunia
- Arbonaut Oy, Kaislakatu, 280130, Joensuu, Finland
| | - A T K Ikonen
- EnviroCase Ltd, Hallituskatu 1 D 4, 28100, Pori, Finland
| | - E Johansson
- Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB, Evenemangsgatan 13, 169 79, Solna, Sweden
| | - V Kangasniemi
- EnviroCase Ltd, Hallituskatu 1 D 4, 28100, Pori, Finland
| | - U Kautsky
- Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB, Evenemangsgatan 13, 169 79, Solna, Sweden
| | - G Kirchner
- Universität Hamburg - Carl Friedrich von Weizsäcker Centre for Science and Peace Research, Beim Schlump 83, 20144, Hamburg, Germany
| | - R Klos
- Aleksandria Sciences Limited, Unit 44a Avenue 2, Storforth Lane Trading Estate Hasland, Chesterfield, Derbyshire, UK
| | - R Kowe
- Radioactive Waste Management Ltd, Building 587, Curie Avenue, Harwell Oxford, Didcot, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - A Kontula
- Posiva Oy, Olkiluoto, 27160, Eurajoki, Finland
| | - P Kupiainen
- Fortum Power and Heat Oy, Keilaniementie 1, 02150, Espoo, Finland
| | - A-M Lahdenperä
- Saanio & Riekkola Oy, Laulukuja 4, FI-00420, Helsinki, Finland
| | - N S Lord
- School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, University Road, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
| | - D J Lunt
- School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, University Road, Bristol, BS8 1SS, UK
| | - J-O Näslund
- Svensk Kärnbränslehantering AB, Evenemangsgatan 13, 169 79, Solna, Sweden
| | - M Nordén
- Swedish Radiation Safety Authority, 171 16, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - S Norris
- Radioactive Waste Management Ltd, Building 587, Curie Avenue, Harwell Oxford, Didcot, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - D Pérez-Sánchez
- Centro de Investigaciones Energéticas, Medioambientales y Tecnológicas, Avenida Complutense 40, Madrid, Spain
| | | | - K Riekki
- Posiva Oy, Olkiluoto, 27160, Eurajoki, Finland
| | - A Rübel
- Gesellschaft für Anlagen- und Reaktorsicherheit, Schwertnergasse 1, 50667, Köln, Germany
| | - L Sweeck
- Belgian Nuclear Research Center, Avenue Herrmann-Debrouxlaan 40, 1160, Brussels, Belgium
| | - R Walke
- Quintessa Limited, The Hub, 14 Station Road, Henley-on-Thames, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - S Xu
- Swedish Radiation Safety Authority, 171 16, Stockholm, Sweden
| | - G Smith
- GMS Abingdon Ltd, Tamarisk, Radley Road, Abingdon, Oxfordshire, UK
| | - G Pröhl
- International Atomic Energy Agency, Vienna International Centre, PO Box 100, 1400, Vienna, Austria
| |
Collapse
|