Nomogram of Combining CT-Based Body Composition Analyses and Prognostic Inflammation Score: Prediction of Survival in Advanced Epithelial Ovarian Cancer Patients

PURPOSE

To investigate the value of body composition changes measured by quantitative computer tomography (QCT) in evaluating the prognosis of advanced epithelial ovarian cancer (AEOC) patients who underwent primary debulking surgery (PDS) and adjuvant platinum-based chemotherapy, and constructed a nomogram model for predicting survival in combination with prognostic inflammation score (PIS).

METHOD

Fifty-seven patients with AEOC between 2012 and 2016 were retrospectively enrolled. Pre- and post-treatment CT images were used to analyze the body composition biomarkers. The subcutaneous adipose tissue (SAT), visceral adipose tissue (VAT), cross-sectional area of paraspinal skeletal muscle area (PMA), skeletal muscle density (SMD), body mineral density (BMD) were measured from two sets of CT images.

RESULTS

In multivariate analyses, VFA gain, PMA loss, BMD loss, and PIS were independent risk factors of overall survival (OS) (HR = 3.7, 3.0, 2.8, 1.9, respectively, all p < 0.05). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves showed that the prognostic model combining body composition changes (BCC) and PIS had the highest predictive performance (area under the curve = 0.890). The concordance index (C-index) of the prognostic nomogram was 0.779 (95% CI, 0.673-0.886). Decision curve analysis (DCA) demonstrated the prognostic nomogram had a great distinguishing performance.

CONCLUSION

CT-based body composition analyses and PIS were associated with poor OS for AEOC patients who underwent PDS and adjuvant platinum-based chemotherapy. The prognostic nomogram with a combination of BCC and PIS was dependable in predicting survival for AEOC patients during treatment.