Spatial and temporal patterns of prostate cancer burden and their association with Socio-Demographic Index in Asia, 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer is the second most frequently diagnosed cancer for males worldwide, but the spatial and temporal trends of prostate cancer burden remain unknown in Asia. This study aimed to investigate the changing spatial and temporal trends of incidence, prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life year (DALY), and mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) of prostate cancer, and their association with the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) in 48 Asian countries from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

Data were extracted from the Global Health Data Exchange query tool, covering 48 Asian countries from 1990 to 2019. The average annual percent change was calculated to evaluate temporal trends. Spatial autocorrelation analysis was used to obtain spatial patterns, and the association between SDI and prostate cancer burden was estimated using a spatial panel model.

RESULTS

In Asia, the age-standardized incidence and prevalence of prostate cancer increased in almost all countries, and its mortality and DALY also increased in over half of the countries. Significantly regional disparities were found in Asia, and the hot spots for incidence, prevalence, mortality, and DALY were all located in Western Asia, the hot spots of percent change also occurred in Western Asia for incidence and DALY. Furthermore, SDI had a positive association with mortality (coef = 2.51, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 2.13-2.90) and negative association with DALY (coef = -14.99, 95% CI: -20.37 to -9.60) and MIR (coef = -0.95, 95%CI: -0.99 to -0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

Prostate cancer burden increased rapidly throughout Asia and substantial disparities had persisted between countries. Geographically targeted interventions are needed to reduce the prostate cancer burden throughout Asia and in specific countries.

The Global Burden of Type 2 Diabetes Attributable to Dietary Risks: Insights from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019

The Global Burden of Disease Study (GBD) 2019 reveals an increasing prevalence of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus (T2DM) from 1990 to 2019. This study delves into the role of dietary risk factors across different demographic and socioeconomic groups. Utilizing data from the GBD 2019, it analyzes age-adjusted T2DM metrics-death counts, Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), and Age-Standardized Rates (ASRs)-stratified by age, sex, and region. The study employed Estimated Annual Percentage Changes (EAPCs) to track trends over time. The results show that in 2019, 26.07% of T2DM mortality and 27.08% of T2DM DALYs were attributable to poor diets, particularly those low in fruits and high in red and processed meats. There was a marked increase in both the death rate and DALY rate associated with dietary risks over this period, indicating the significant impact of dietary factors on the global T2DM landscape. Geographic variations in T2DM trends were significant, with regions like Southern Sub-Saharan Africa and Central Asia experiencing the most substantial increases in Age-Standardized Mortality Rate (ASMR) and Age-Standardized DALY Rate (ASDR). A positive correlation was noted between Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) and T2DM burden due to dietary risk factors. The study concludes that targeted public health initiatives promoting dietary changes could substantially reduce the global T2DM burden.

Burden of inguinal, femoral, and abdominal hernias in India: A systematic analysis of prevalence, incidence, mortality, and DALYs from global burden of disease study 1990-2021 with projections to 2031

BACKGROUND

Hernias are a major health concern in India, with varying incidence and prevalence influenced by socio-demographic factors. Despite global advances in hernia management, regional disparities are evident within India.

METHOD

This analysis utilized data from the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) Study 2021 to examine inguinal, femoral, and abdominal hernias across India from 1990 to 2021, categorized by ICD-10 codes. Key metrics analyzed included prevalence, incidence, mortality, and Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), with age-standardized rates (ASRs). The Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) for incidence and mortality, Spearman correlation for assessing the relationship between Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) and hernia metrics, and ARIMA models for future trend projections were employed.

RESULT

Between 1990 and 2021, the age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) of hernias in India decreased from 143.85 to 137.05 per 100,000, a reduction of 4.72%, despite a 46% increase in the absolute number of hernia cases due to population growth. Mortality rates significantly declined by 57.05%. DALYs also decreased from 98.01 to 43.51 per 100,000. Projections for 2031 indicate stabilization of incidence rates and an increase in prevalence.

CONCLUSIONS

Significant improvements in hernia management in India have been achieved over three decades, driven by advances in healthcare and socio-demographic progress. However, the rising number of cases and expected increase in prevalence highlight the need for enhanced healthcare strategies and resource allocation to manage the hernia burden effectively.

Burden of female infertility in 204 countries and territories, 1990-2021: results from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021

OBJECTIVE

To explore the global burden of female infertility from 1990 to 2021 by examining trends in prevalence and years lived with disability (YLD).

METHODS

Data from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021 (GBD 2021) were analyzed with a focus on the prevalence and YLD of female infertility in women aged 15-49 years. Statistical models were used to estimate ASPRs and YLD across regions and countries.

RESULTS

The global prevalence of female infertility was 110.1 million in 2021, with an age-standardized rate of 2,764.6 per 100,000 population. The YLD for infertility in 2021 was 601,134, which represented a 33.1% increase since 1990. Regionally, East Asia and Eastern Europe had the highest rates of infertility, whereas Australasia had the lowest rate.

CONCLUSIONS

The study highlights a significant rise in the burden of female infertility, particularly in high-income regions. Study findings emphasize the need for targeted public health strategies and healthcare interventions to address this growing issue.

Trends in deaths and disability-adjusted life-years of ischemic heart disease attributable to high body-mass index worldwide, 1990-2019

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study is to evaluate the global burden of ischemic heart disease (IHD) attributable to High body mass index (HBMI) by utilizing data from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2019.

METHODS

This study utilized data from the GBD 2019 to examine the impact of HBMI on deaths and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs). The analysis focused on age-standardized rates and considered a 30-year time frame. Trends were assessed using estimated annual percentage changes (EAPCs).

RESULTS

Since 1990, a significant global increase in IHD attributable to HBMI has been observed. This increase is particularly notable among elderly males and in regions with low-middle Socio-Demographic Index (SDI), such as Central Asia and Eastern Europe. In 2019, IHD globally resulted in 1,662,339 deaths and 41,369,773 DALYs. Despite the high age-standardized death rate (20.73 per 100,000) and DALY rate (499.41 per 100,000), a declining trend was noted. This trend is reflected by the EAPCs of -0.35 for DALYs and - 0.67 for deaths. Notably, males and middle SDI countries exhibited higher rates of IHD, whereas high SDI regions such as High-income Asia Pacific and Western Europe showed decreasing trends in IHD.

CONCLUSION

Over the past three decades, there has been a significant increase in IHD caused by HBMI, especially in low-middle and low SDI regions. This highlights the importance of targeted interventions in addressing this issue. Notably, regions including Central Asia, Eastern Europe, North Africa, and the Middle East have been heavily affected.

Global, Regional and National Burden of Edentulism and Periodontal Diseases from 1990 to 2021: Analysis of Risk Factors and Prediction of Trends in 2050

BACKGROUND/AIM

Periodontal diseases and edentulism remain a prevalent and disabling oral health condition worldwide, with significant regional disparities. This study systematically evaluated the burden of periodontal disease and edentulism at global, regional, and national levels from 1990 to 2021, using the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 framework.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We analyzed trends in incidence, prevalence, and years lived with disability (YLD), exploring their associations with the socio-demographic index (SDI) and other risk factors.

RESULTS

The findings reveal considerable variations across SDI regions, with low and low-middle SDI regions experiencing the highest burden. In 2021, the global prevalence of periodontal diseases reached approximately 1.07 billion cases, and the age-standardized incidence and prevalence rates varied significantly by SDI levels. The burden of periodontal disease showed an increasing trend among middle-aged and elderly populations. While sex differences were present in both edentulism and periodontal diseases, they were relatively minor. ARIMA model projections indicate that the burden of edentulism will fluctuate by 2050, while the burden of periodontal diseases will remain stable.

CONCLUSION

This study underscores the need for targeted public health interventions, particularly in resource-limited regions, to improve access to oral healthcare and integrate preventive strategies into broader health initiatives.

Burden of acute hepatitis E virus in South Asia: Insights from Global Burden of Disease study 2021

BACKGROUND

Despite global progress, South Asian countries account for a disproportionate burden of Acute hepatitis E (AHE). Understanding the burden of AHE in this region is crucial for targeted interventions.

METHODS

We used Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 data to assess the burden of AHE across eight South Asian countries from 1990 to 2021. Joinpoint regression was used to analyze temporal trends and Estimated Annual Percentage Change (EAPC) was calculated to quantify trends. The relationship between age-standardized disability-adjusted life years rate (ASDR) and socio-demographic index (SDI) was assessed using smoothing spline model and Spearman rank correlation. Rates are expressed per 100,000 population.

RESULTS

Bangladesh had highest age-standardized prevalence rate (ASPR) [33.27 (95 % Uncertainty Interval: 27.64 to 39.95)] and age-standardized incidence rate (ASIR) [433.01 (359.61 to 519.76)], while India had highest ASDR [9.52 (4.33 to 18.42)]. Males had higher ASIR and ASPR than females in most South Asian countries, except Bhutan and India, and higher ASDR except in Nepal and Pakistan. Bhutan had the highest EAPC for both sexes in ASPR and ASIR, while India had the highest EAPC in ASDR, closely followed by Bhutan for both sexes. Age group 5-9 had the highest ASPR and ASIR whereas <1-year age group had the highest ASDR. There was an inverse relationship between ASDR and SDI (R = -0.49, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSION

South Asia bears a high burden of AHE, with variations across countries. Improvements in Water Sanitation and Hygiene (WASH) services are needed to achieve Sustainable Development Goals 3 and 6.

Global burden of viral infectious diseases of poverty based on Global Burden of Diseases Study 2021

BACKGROUND

Viral infectious diseases of poverty (vIDPs) remain a significant global health challenge. Despite their profound impact, the burden of these diseases is not comprehensively quantified. This study aims to analyze the global burden of six major vIDPs, including coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), HIV/AIDS, acute hepatitis, dengue, rabies, and Ebola virus disease (EVD), using data from the Global Burden of Diseases, Injuries, and Risk Factors Study 2021 (GBD 2021).

METHODS

Following the GBD 2021 framework, we analyzed the incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of the six vIDPs across 204 countries and territories from 1990 to 2021. We examined the association between the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI) and the burden of vIDPs. All estimates were reported as numbers and rates per 100,000 population, calculated using the Bayesian statistical model employed by GBD 2021, with 95% uncertainty intervals (UI).

RESULTS

In 2021, vIDPs caused approximately 8.7 million deaths and 259.2 million DALYs, accounting for 12.8% and 9.0% of the global all-cause totals, respectively. Globally, the burden of vIDPs varied significantly: COVID-19 caused around 7.9 million (95% UI: 7.5, 8.4) deaths and 212.0 million (95% UI 197.9, 234.7) DALYs in 2021. Acute hepatitis had the second-highest age-standardized incidence rate, with 3411.5 (95% UI: 3201.8, 3631.3) per 100,000 population, while HIV/AIDS had a high age-standardized prevalence rate, with 483.1 (95% UI: 459.0, 511.4) per 100,000 population. Dengue incidence cases rose from 26.5 million (95% UI: 3.9, 51.9) in 1990 to 59.0 million (95% UI: 15.5, 106.9) in 2021. Rabies, although reduced in prevalence, continued to pose a significant mortality risk. EVD had the lowest overall burden but significant outbreak impacts. Age-standardized DALY rates for vIDPs were significantly negatively correlated with SDI: acute hepatitis (r = -0.8, P < 0.0001), rabies (r = -0.7, P < 0.0001), HIV/AIDS (r = -0.6, P < 0.0001), COVID-19 (r = -0.5, P < 0.0001), dengue (r = -0.4, P < 0.0001), and EVD (r = -0.2, P < 0.005).

CONCLUSIONS

VIDPs pose major public health challenges worldwide, with significant regional, age, and gender disparities. The results underscore the need for targeted interventions and international cooperation to mitigate the burden of these diseases. Policymakers can use these findings to implement cost-effective interventions and improve health outcomes, particularly in regions with high or increasing burdens.

Disparities in global disease burden attributed to ambient particulate matter pollution and household air pollution from solid fuels

Air pollution from Ambient Particulate Matter (APM) and Household Air Pollution (HAP) is a significant global health issue, causing millions of deaths each year. This study provides a comprehensive assessment of their combined disease burden across 204 countries from 1990 to 2021, examining trends and associations with the Socio-Demographic Index (SDI). Using data from the Global Burden of Disease 2021 and World Bank databases, we extracted Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), age-standardized DALY rates (ASDR) for all-cause diseases and seven conditions, and covariant. Estimated Annual Percentage Change and quasi-Poisson generalized linear models were used. Results indicate a 54.93 % increase in APM-related DALYs and a 47.39 % decrease in HAP-related DALYs. APM-related DALYs were higher in male than female, yet in certain regions, the burden of some HAP-related diseases was higher in females than in males. Higher SDI regions showed a significant decline in HAP-related disease burden, while APM-related impacts continued to rise in lower SDI areas. Recently, APM-related DALYs have exceeded those from HAP in High, High-middle, and Middle SDI regions, while HAP remains the predominant burden in Low-middle and Low SDI regions. The Eastern Mediterranean and South-East Asian regions reported the highest APM-related ASDR, whereas the African region faced the largest HAP burden. For every 0.01 increase in SDI, APM-related ASDR rose by 1.03 %, and HAP-related ASDR fell by 0.79 %. Urgent actions, such as industrial emission reduction in high SDI areas and improved household energy access in low SDI areas, are essential.