A method to predict space radiation biological effectiveness for non-cancer effects following intense Solar Particle Events

In addition to the continuous exposure to cosmic rays, astronauts in space are occasionally exposed to Solar Particle Events (SPE), which involve less energetic particles but can deliver much higher doses. The latter can exceed several Gy in a few hours for the most intense SPEs, for which non-stochastic effects are thus a major concern. To identify adequate shielding conditions that would allow respecting the dose limits established by the various space agencies, the absorbed dose in the considered organ/tissue must be multiplied by the corresponding Relative Biological Effectiveness (RBE), which is a complex quantity depending on several factors including particle type and energy, considered biological effect, level of effect (and thus absorbed dose), etc. While in several studies only the particle-type dependence of RBE is taken into account, in this work we developed and applied a new approach where, thanks to an interface between the FLUKA Monte Carlo transport code and the BIANCA biophysical model, the RBE dependence on particle energy and absorbed dose was also considered. Furthermore, we included in the considered SPE spectra primary particles heavier than protons, which in many studies are neglected. This approach was then applied to the October 2003 SPE (the most intense SPE of solar cycle 23, also known as "Halloween event") and the January 2005 event, which was characterized by a lower fluence but a harder spectrum, i.e., with higher-energy particles. The calculation outcomes were then discussed and compared with the current dose limits established for skin and blood forming organs in case of 30-days missions. This work showed that the BIANCA model, if interfaced to a radiation transport code, can be used to calculate the RBE values associated to Solar Particle Events. More generally, this work emphasizes the importance of taking into account the RBE dependence on particle energy and dose when calculating equivalent doses.

Thick shielding against galactic cosmic radiation: A Monte Carlo study with focus on the role of secondary neutrons

The exposure to galactic cosmic radiation (GCR) is a major health concern for astronauts. Crewed missions with durations of several years are foreseen in future space exploration projects such as permanent habitats on the Moon and flights to Mars. This aim requires elaborate space radiation shielding concepts and a proper understanding of the underlying radiation physics and radiobiology as well as their interplay. In the present work, Monte Carlo simulations to assess the performance of different materials (polyethylene, aluminum, Moon regolith) as thick shields (up to 400 g/cm²) against GCR were conducted using the FLUKA code. Absorbed dose, dose equivalent and the mean quality factor at 1 cm depth in the ICRU sphere as a function of shielding thickness were calculated in a spherical shell configuration for both solar minimum and solar maximum GCR conditions. Large differences were observed in the performance of the studied materials as thick GCR shields. Special attention was paid to the build-up and moderation of secondary neutrons. A method to reduce the neutron contributions to ambient dose equivalent by means of a two-layer shielding combination is proposed. The present study can be useful for considerations on thick shielding of Moon or Mars habitats built from local regolith.

A bespoke health risk assessment methodology for the radiation protection of astronauts

An alternative approach that is particularly suitable for the radiation health risk assessment (HRA) of astronauts is presented. The quantity, Radiation Attributed Decrease of Survival (RADS), representing the cumulative decrease in the unknown survival curve at a certain attained age, due to the radiation exposure at an earlier age, forms the basis for this alternative approach. Results are provided for all solid cancer plus leukemia incidence RADS from estimated doses from theoretical radiation exposures accumulated during long-term missions to the Moon or Mars. For example, it is shown that a 1000-day Mars exploration mission with a hypothetical mission effective dose of 1.07 Sv at typical astronaut ages around 40 years old, will result in the probability of surviving free of all types of solid cancer and leukemia until retirement age (65 years) being reduced by 4.2% (95% CI 3.2; 5.3) for males and 5.8% (95% CI 4.8; 7.0) for females. RADS dose-responses are given, for the outcomes for incidence of all solid cancer, leukemia, lung and female breast cancer. Results showing how RADS varies with age at exposure, attained age and other factors are also presented. The advantages of this alternative approach, over currently applied methodologies for the long-term radiation protection of astronauts after mission exposures, are presented with example calculations applicable to European astronaut occupational HRA. Some tentative suggestions for new types of occupational risk limits for space missions are given while acknowledging that the setting of astronaut radiation-related risk limits will ultimately be decided by the Space Agencies. Suggestions are provided for further work which builds on and extends this new HRA approach, e.g., by eventually including non-cancer effects and detailed space dosimetry.

Cancer incidence risks above and below 1 Gy for radiation protection in space

The risk assessment quantities called lifetime attributable risk (LAR) and risk of exposure-induced cancer (REIC) are used to calculate the cumulative cancer incidence risks for astronauts, attributable to radiation exposure accumulated during long term lunar and Mars missions. These risk quantities are based on the most recently published epidemiological data on the Life Span Study (LSS) of Japanese A-bomb survivors, who were exposed to γ-rays and neutrons. In order to analyze the impact of a different neutron RBE on the risk quantities, a model for the neutron relative biological effectiveness (RBE) relative to gammas in the LSS is developed based on an older dataset with less follow-up time. Since both risk quantities are based on uncertain quantities, such as survival curves, and REIC includes deterministic radiation induced non-cancer mortality risks, modelled with data based on the general population, the risks for astronauts may not be optimally estimated. The suitability of these risk assessment measures for the use of cancer risk calculation for astronauts is discussed. The work presented here shows that the use of a higher neutron RBE than the value of 10, traditionally used in the LSS risk models, can reduce the risks up to almost 50%. Additionally, including an excess absolute risk (EAR) baseline scaling also increases the risks by between 0.4% and 8.1% for the space missions considered in this study. Using just an EAR model instead of an equally weighted EAR and excess relative risk (ERR) model can decrease the cumulative risks for the considered missions by between 0.4% and 4.1% if no EAR baseline scaling is applied. If EAR baseline scaling is included, the calculated risks with the EAR- and the mixed model, as well as the risks calculated with just the ERR model are almost identical and only small differences in the uncertainties are visible.

A water-filled garment to protect astronauts during interplanetary missions tested on board the ISS

As manned spaceflights beyond low Earth orbit are in the agenda of Space Agencies, the concerns related to space radiation exposure of the crew are still without conclusive solutions. The risk of long-term detrimental health effects needs to be kept below acceptable limits, and emergency countermeasures must be planned to avoid the short-term consequences of exposure to high particle fluxes during hardly predictable solar events. Space habitat shielding cannot be the ultimate solution: the increasing complexity of future missions will require astronauts to protect themselves in low-shielded areas, e.g. during emergency operations. Personal radiation shielding is promising, particularly if using available resources for multi-functional shielding devices. In this work we report on all steps from the conception, design, manufacturing, to the final test on board the International Space Station (ISS) of the first prototype of a water-filled garment for emergency radiation shielding against solar particle events. The garment has a good shielding potential and comfort level. On-board water is used for filling and then recycled without waste. The successful outcome of this experiment represents an important breakthrough in space radiation shielding, opening to the development of similarly conceived devices and their use in interplanetary missions as the one to Mars.