Spatial Distribution of Cancer Cases Seen in Three Major Public Hospitals in KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa

Background:

Noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) like cancer are posing a challenge in the health system especially in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). In South Africa, cancer is under-reported due to the lack of a comprehensive cancer surveillance system. The limited knowledge on the extent of cancer burden has led to inaccurate allocation of public health resources. The aim of this study was to describe cancer incidence and spatial distribution of cancer cases seen at 3 main public oncology facilities in KwaZulu-Natal.

Methods:

In this retrospective study, cases of cancer observed from year 2015 to 2017 were extracted from medical records. The crude incidence rate was estimated for the total cancer cases and for different type of cancer reported over that period. Age-standardised incidence rates (ASR) per 100 000 was calculated per year using age groups and sex according to the district population data of KwaZulu-Natal. The comparisons of cancer diagnosed incidences were made between 11 districts using the ASR. Choropleth spatial maps and Moran’s Index were used to assess the ASR cancer spatial distribution along with geographical patterns among the districts. One sample chi-square test was used to assess the significant increase/decrease over time.

Results:

The study lost numerous cases due to incompleteness. A total of 4909 new cases were diagnosed with cancer during 2015 to 2017, 62% of which were female. Both uMgungundlovu and eThekwini districts had the highest ASR among district municipalities of KwaZulu-Natal for both male and female (83.6 per 100 000 per men year for men, 158.2 per 100 000 women per year, and 60.1 per 100 000 men per year and 96.9 per 100 000 women per year, respectively). Random distribution of reported cancer cases in KwaZulu-Natal was observed with a high concentration being in and around 2 metropolitan districts. Spatial variation showed a significant difference from year to year between the districts with the random spatial distribution. Overall, there was a significant decline of cancer incidences observed from 2015 to 2017 (P < .05) in the province.

Conclusion:

The overall cancer incidence in the study shows that female cancers (breast and cervical) are still on the rise and still need to be given priority as they were most prevalent in KwaZulu-Natal. Spatial analysis (choropleth maps) was used to show a pattern of higher concentration of cancer incidence in the north-western parts of the province.

Global burden of 34 cancers among women in 2020 and projections to 2040: Population-based data from 185 countries/territories

Globally women face inequality in cancer outcomes; for example, smaller improvements in life expectancy due to decreased cancer-related deaths than men (0.5 vs 0.8 years, 1981-2010). However, comprehensive global evidence on the burden of cancer among women (including by reproductive age spectrum) as well as disparities by region, remains limited. This study aimed to address these evidence gaps by considering 34 cancer types in 2020 and their projections for 2040. The cancer burden among women in 2020 was estimated using population-based data from 185 countries/territories sourced from GLOBOCAN. Mortality to Incidence Ratios (MIR), a proxy for survival, were estimated by dividing the age-standardised mortality rates by the age-standardised incidence rates. Demographic projections were performed to 2040. In 2020, there were an estimated 9.3 million cancer cases and 4.4 million cancer deaths globally. Projections showed an increase to 13.3 million (↑44%) and 7.1 million (↑60%) in 2040, respectively, with larger proportional increases in low- and middle-income countries. MIR among women was higher (poorer survival) in rare cancers and with increasing age. Countries with low Human Development Indexes (HDIs) had higher MIRs (69%) than countries with very high HDIs (30%). There was inequality in cancer incidence and mortality worldwide among women in 2020, which will further widen by 2040. Implementing cancer prevention efforts and providing basic cancer treatments by expanding universal health coverage through a human rights approach, expanding early screening opportunities and strengthening medical infrastructure are key to improving and ensuring equity in cancer control and outcomes.