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Liang J, Wang W, Cai Q, Li X, Zhu Z, Zhai Y, Li X, Gao X, Yi Y. Prioritizing conservation efforts based on future habitat availability and accessibility under climate change. Conserv Biol 2023:e14204. [PMID: 37855159 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.14204] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/05/2022] [Revised: 09/17/2023] [Accepted: 10/09/2023] [Indexed: 10/20/2023]
Abstract
The potential for species to shift their ranges to avoid extinction is contingent on the future availability and accessibility of habitats with analogous climates. To develop conservation strategies, many previous researchers used a single method that considered individual factors; a few combined 2 factors. Primarily, these studies focused on identifying climate refugia or climatically connected and spatially fixed areas, ignoring the range shifting process of animals. We quantified future habitat availability (based on species occurrence, climate data, land cover, and elevation) and accessibility (based on climate velocity) under climate change (4 scenarios) of migratory birds across the Yangtze River basin (YRB). Then, we assessed species' range-shift potential and identified conservation priority areas for migratory birds in the 2050s with a network analysis. Our results suggested that medium (i.e., 5-10 km/year) and high (i.e., ≥ 10 km/year) climate velocity would threaten 18.65% and 8.37% of stable habitat, respectively. Even with low (i.e., 0-5 km/year) climate velocity, 50.15% of climate-velocity-identified destinations were less available than their source habitats. Based on our integration of habitat availability and accessibility, we identified a few areas of critical importance for conservation, mainly in Sichuan and the middle to lower reaches of the YRB. Overall, we identified the differences between habitat availability and accessibility in capturing biological responses to climate change. More importantly, we accounted for the dynamic process of species' range shifts, which must be considered to identify conservation priority areas. Our method informs forecasting of climate-driven distribution shifts and conservation priorities.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jie Liang
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Biology and Pollution Control (Hunan University), Ministry of Education, Changsha, P.R. China
| | - Wanting Wang
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Biology and Pollution Control (Hunan University), Ministry of Education, Changsha, P.R. China
| | - Qing Cai
- Hunan Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Changsha, P.R. China
| | - Xin Li
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Biology and Pollution Control (Hunan University), Ministry of Education, Changsha, P.R. China
| | - Ziqian Zhu
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Biology and Pollution Control (Hunan University), Ministry of Education, Changsha, P.R. China
| | - Yeqing Zhai
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Biology and Pollution Control (Hunan University), Ministry of Education, Changsha, P.R. China
| | - Xiaodong Li
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Biology and Pollution Control (Hunan University), Ministry of Education, Changsha, P.R. China
| | - Xiang Gao
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Biology and Pollution Control (Hunan University), Ministry of Education, Changsha, P.R. China
| | - Yuru Yi
- College of Environmental Science and Engineering, Hunan University, Changsha, P.R. China
- Key Laboratory of Environmental Biology and Pollution Control (Hunan University), Ministry of Education, Changsha, P.R. China
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Wheeler HC, Berteaux D, Furgal C, Cazelles K, Yoccoz NG, Grémillet D. Identifying key needs for the integration of social-ecological outcomes in arctic wildlife monitoring. Conserv Biol 2019; 33:861-872. [PMID: 30471146 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13257] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/31/2018] [Revised: 11/08/2018] [Accepted: 11/22/2018] [Indexed: 06/09/2023]
Abstract
For effective monitoring in social-ecological systems to meet needs for biodiversity, science, and humans, desired outcomes must be clearly defined and routes from direct to derived outcomes understood. The Arctic is undergoing rapid climatic, ecological, social, and economic changes and requires effective wildlife monitoring to meet diverse stakeholder needs. To identify stakeholder priorities concerning desired outcomes of arctic wildlife monitoring, we conducted in-depth interviews with 29 arctic scientists, policy and decision makers, and representatives of indigenous organizations and nongovernmental organizations. Using qualitative content analysis, we identified and defined desired outcomes and documented links between outcomes. Using network analysis, we investigated the structure of perceived links between desired outcomes. We identified 18 desired outcomes from monitoring and classified them as either driven by monitoring information, monitoring process, or a combination of both. Highly cited outcomes were make decisions, conserve, detect change, disseminate, and secure food. These reflect key foci of arctic monitoring. Infrequently cited outcomes (e.g., govern) were emerging themes. Three modules comprised our outcome network. The modularity highlighted the low strength of perceived links between outcomes that were primarily information driven or more derived (e.g., detect change, make decisions, conserve, or secure food) and outcomes that were primarily process driven or more derived (e.g., cooperate, learn, educate). The outcomes expand monitoring community and disseminate created connections between these modules. Key desired outcomes are widely applicable to social-ecological systems within and outside the Arctic, particularly those with wildlife subsistence economies. Attributes and motivations associated with outcomes can guide development of integrated monitoring goals for biodiversity conservation and human needs. Our results demonstrated the disconnect between information- and process-driven goals and how expansion of the monitoring community and improved integration of monitoring stakeholders will help connect information- and process-derived outcomes for effective ecosystem stewardship.
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Affiliation(s)
- Helen C Wheeler
- Canada Research Chair on Northern Biodiversity and Centre for Northern Studies, Université du Québec à Rimouski, 300 Allée des Ursulines, Rimouski, QC, G5L 3A1, Canada
- Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, UMR 5175, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Université de Montpellier - Université Paul-Valéry Montpellier - EPHE, 1919 route de Mende, Montpellier, 34090, France
- Department of Arctic and Marine Biology, UiT the Arctic University of Norway, Postboks 6050 Langnes, Tromsø, 9037, Norway
- School of Life Sciences, Anglia Ruskin University, East Road, Cambridge, CB1 1PT, U.K
| | - Dominique Berteaux
- Canada Research Chair on Northern Biodiversity and Centre for Northern Studies, Université du Québec à Rimouski, 300 Allée des Ursulines, Rimouski, QC, G5L 3A1, Canada
| | - Chris Furgal
- Indigenous Environmental Studies and Sciences, Trent University, 1600 West Bank Drive, Peterborough, ON, K9L 0G2, Canada
| | - Kevin Cazelles
- Department of Integrative Biology, University of Guelph, 50 Stone Rd E, Guelph, ON, N1G 2W1, Canada
| | - Nigel G Yoccoz
- Department of Arctic and Marine Biology, UiT the Arctic University of Norway, Postboks 6050 Langnes, Tromsø, 9037, Norway
| | - David Grémillet
- Centre d'Ecologie Fonctionnelle et Evolutive, UMR 5175, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique - Université de Montpellier - Université Paul-Valéry Montpellier - EPHE, 1919 route de Mende, Montpellier, 34090, France
- Department of Science and Technology - National Research Foundation Centre of Excellence, Percy FitzPatrick Institute, University of Cape Town, Rondebosch, South Africa
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Jucker T, Wintle B, Shackelford G, Bocquillon P, Geffert JL, Kasoar T, Kovacs E, Mumby HS, Orland C, Schleicher J, Tew ER, Zabala A, Amano T, Bell A, Bongalov B, Chambers JM, Corrigan C, Durán AP, Duvic-Paoli LA, Emilson C, Emilson EJS, da Silva JF, Garnett EE, Green EJ, Guth MK, Hacket-Pain A, Hinsley A, Igea J, Kunz M, Luke SH, Lynam W, Martin PA, Nunes MH, Ockendon N, Pavitt A, Payne CLR, Plutshack V, Rademacher TT, Robertson RJ, Rose DC, Serban A, Simmons BI, Tayleur C, Wordley CFR, Mukherjee N. Ten-year assessment of the 100 priority questions for global biodiversity conservation. Conserv Biol 2018; 32:1457-1463. [PMID: 29923638 DOI: 10.1111/cobi.13159] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [What about the content of this article? (0)] [Affiliation(s)] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/13/2017] [Revised: 06/13/2018] [Accepted: 06/14/2018] [Indexed: 06/08/2023]
Abstract
In 2008, a group of conservation scientists compiled a list of 100 priority questions for the conservation of the world's biodiversity. However, now almost a decade later, no one has yet published a study gauging how much progress has been made in addressing these 100 high-priority questions in the peer-reviewed literature. We took a first step toward reexamining the 100 questions to identify key knowledge gaps that remain. Through a combination of a questionnaire and a literature review, we evaluated each question on the basis of 2 criteria: relevance and effort. We defined highly relevant questions as those that - if answered - would have the greatest impact on global biodiversity conservation and quantified effort based on the number of review publications addressing a particular question, which we used as a proxy for research effort. Using this approach, we identified a set of questions that, despite being perceived as highly relevant, have been the focus of relatively few review publications over the past 10 years. These questions covered a broad range of topics but predominantly tackled 3 major themes: conservation and management of freshwater ecosystems, role of societal structures in shaping interactions between people and the environment, and impacts of conservation interventions. We believe these questions represent important knowledge gaps that have received insufficient attention and may need to be prioritized in future research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tommaso Jucker
- Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing St, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, U.K
- CSIRO Land & Water, 147 Underwood Avenue, Floreat, WA 6014, Australia
| | - Bonnie Wintle
- Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, Cambridge, U.K
- School of BioSciences, University of Melbourne, Royal Parade, Parkville, VIC 3010, Australia
| | - Gorm Shackelford
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Pierre Bocquillon
- School of Politics, Philosophy, Language and Communication Studies, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, U.K
- Department of Land Economy, Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance, University of Cambridge, 16-21 Silver Street, Cambridge, CB3 9EP, U.K
| | - Jan Laurens Geffert
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, 20 Downing Place, Cambridge, CB2 1QB, U.K
- UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K
| | - Tim Kasoar
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Eszter Kovacs
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, 20 Downing Place, Cambridge, CB2 1QB, U.K
- Corvinus University of Budapest, Fővám tér 8, Budapest, 1093, Hungary
| | - Hannah S Mumby
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
- Wissenschaftskolleg zu Berlin, Berlin, Germany, Wallotstraße 19, 14193 Berlin, Germany
| | - Chloé Orland
- Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing St, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, U.K
| | - Judith Schleicher
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, 20 Downing Place, Cambridge, CB2 1QB, U.K
- UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K
| | - Eleanor R Tew
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Aiora Zabala
- Department of Land Economy, Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance, University of Cambridge, 16-21 Silver Street, Cambridge, CB3 9EP, U.K
| | - Tatsuya Amano
- Centre for the Study of Existential Risk, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, Cambridge, U.K
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Alexandra Bell
- Ministerium für Umwelt, Energie, Ernährung und Forsten, Rheinland Pfalz, Kaiser-Friedrich-Straße 1, 55116 Mainz, Germany
| | - Boris Bongalov
- Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing St, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, U.K
| | - Josephine M Chambers
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, 20 Downing Place, Cambridge, CB2 1QB, U.K
| | - Colleen Corrigan
- UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K
- School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, University of Queensland, St Lucia, QLD 4067, Australia
| | - América P Durán
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
- UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K
- Luc Hoffmann Institute, c/o WWF International, Avenue du Mont Blanc, 1196 Gland, Switzerland
| | - Leslie-Anne Duvic-Paoli
- Department of Land Economy, Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance, University of Cambridge, 16-21 Silver Street, Cambridge, CB3 9EP, U.K
| | - Caroline Emilson
- Natural Resources Canada, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, P6A 2E5, Canada
| | - Erik J S Emilson
- Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing St, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, U.K
- Natural Resources Canada, Great Lakes Forestry Centre, Sault Ste. Marie, ON, P6A 2E5, Canada
| | | | - Emma E Garnett
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Elizabeth J Green
- UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K
| | - Miriam K Guth
- UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K
| | - Andrew Hacket-Pain
- Department of Geography and Planning, School of Environmental Science, University of Liverpool, 4 Brownlow Street, Liverpool Merseyside, L69 3GP, U.K
| | - Amy Hinsley
- Interdisciplinary Centre for Conservation Science, Department of Zoology, University of Oxford, 11a Mansfield Road, Oxford, OX1 3SZ, U.K
| | - Javier Igea
- Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing St, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, U.K
| | - Martina Kunz
- Department of Land Economy, Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance, University of Cambridge, 16-21 Silver Street, Cambridge, CB3 9EP, U.K
| | - Sarah H Luke
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
- Durrell Institute of Conservation and Ecology, School of Anthropology and Conservation, The University of Kent, Canterbury, Kent, CT2 7NR, U.K
| | - William Lynam
- Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing St, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, U.K
| | - Philip A Martin
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Matheus H Nunes
- Department of Plant Sciences, University of Cambridge, Downing St, Cambridge, CB2 3EA, U.K
| | - Nancy Ockendon
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Aly Pavitt
- UN Environment World Conservation Monitoring Centre, 219 Huntingdon Road, Cambridge, CB3 0DL, U.K
| | - Charlotte L R Payne
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Victoria Plutshack
- Department of Land Economy, Cambridge Centre for Environment, Energy and Natural Resource Governance, University of Cambridge, 16-21 Silver Street, Cambridge, CB3 9EP, U.K
| | - Tim T Rademacher
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, 20 Downing Place, Cambridge, CB2 1QB, U.K
- Department of Organismic and Evolutionary Biology, Harvard University, 26 Oxford Street, Cambridge, MA 02138, U.S.A
- School of Informatics and Cyber Security and Centre for Ecosystem Science and Society, Northern Arizona University, 1295 Knoles Drive, Flagstaff, AZ 86011, U.S.A
| | - Rebecca J Robertson
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - David C Rose
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
- School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich Research Park, Norwich, Norfolk, NR4 7TJ, U.K
| | - Anca Serban
- Department of Geography, University of Cambridge, 20 Downing Place, Cambridge, CB2 1QB, U.K
| | - Benno I Simmons
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Catherine Tayleur
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
- RSPB Centre for Conservation Science, The Lodge, Potton Road, Sandy, Bedfordshire, SG19 2DL, U.K
| | - Claire F R Wordley
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
| | - Nibedita Mukherjee
- Department of Zoology, University of Cambridge, Pembroke Street, Cambridge, CB2 3QZ, U.K
- Centre for Ecology and Conservation, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, Cornwall Campus, Treliever Road, Penryn, Cornwall TR10 9FE, U.K
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