Non-linear correlation between amylase day 2 to day 1 ratio and incidence of severe acute pancreatitis

Background

This study aimed to assess whether the amylase day 2/amylase day 1 ratio was associated with severe acute pancreatitis (SAP).

Methods

We retrospectively enrolled 464 patients with acute pancreatitis. Serum amylase was measured on admission (day 1) and 24 h later (day 2). Univariable logistic regression with restricted cubic spline analysis, multivariable logistic analysis, and receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was used to evaluate the relationship between the amylase day 2/amylase day 1 ratio and SAP.

Results

A non-linear association between the amylase day 2/amylase day 1 ratio and SAP was observed. The multivariable logistic analysis confirmed that a high amylase day 2/amylase day 1 ratio (≥0.3) was independently associated with the development of SAP (OR: 6.62). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of the amylase day 2/amylase day 1 ratio, as a predictive factor for SAP, was 0.65. When amylase ratio ≥0.3 was counted as 1 point and added to the BISAP score to build a new model named the BISAPA (BISAP plus Amylase ratio) score (AUC = 0.86), it improved the diagnostic power of the original BISAP score (AUC = 0.83) for SAP. With a cut-off value of 3, the BISAPA score achieved a sensitivity of 66.0%, a specificity of 86.7%, and diagnostic accuracy of 84.48%.

Conclusions

There is a non-linear correlation between the amylase day 2/amylase day 1 ratio and the incidence of SAP. BISAPA score might also be a useful tool for the same purpose.

The state of melanoma: challenges and opportunities

The Melanoma Research Foundation (MRF) has charted a comprehensive assessment of the current state of melanoma research and care. Intensive discussions among members of the MRF Scientific Advisory Council and Breakthrough Consortium, a group that included clinicians and scientists, focused on four thematic areas - diagnosis/early detection, prevention, tumor cell dormancy (including metastasis), and therapy (response and resistance). These discussions extended over the course of 2015 and culminated at the Society of Melanoma Research 2015 International Congress in November. Each of the four groups has outlined their thoughts as per the current status, challenges, and opportunities in the four respective areas. The current state and immediate and long-term needs of the melanoma field, from basic research to clinical management, are presented in the following report.