Application of estimand framework in ICH E9 (R1) to safety evaluation

Defining the right question of interest is important to a clinical study. ICH E9 (R1) introduces the framework of an estimand and its five attributes, which provide a basis for connecting different components of a study with its clinical questions. Most of the applications of the estimand framework focus on efficacy instead of safety assessment. In this paper, we expand the estimand framework into the safety evaluation and compare/contrast the similarity and differences between safety and efficacy estimand. Furthermore, we present and discuss applications of a safety estimand to oncology trials and pooled data analyses. At last, we also discuss the potential usage of safety estimand to handle the impacts of COVID-19 pandemic on safety assessment.

Epidemiological trends and clinical features of the ongoing monkeypox epidemic: A preliminary pooled data analysis and literature review

An emerging outbreak of monkeypox infection is quickly spreading worldwide, being currently reported in more than 30 countries, with slightly less than 1000 cases. In the present preliminary report, we collected and synthesized early data concerning epidemiological trends and clinical features of the ongoing outbreak and we compared them with those of previous outbreaks. Data were pooled from six clusters in Italy, Australia, the Czech Republic, Portugal, and the United Kingdom, totaling 124 cases (for 35 of which it was possible to retrieve detailed information). The ongoing epidemic differs from previous outbreaks in terms of age (54.29% of individuals in their thirties), sex/gender (most cases being males), risk factors, and transmission route, with sexual transmission being highly likely. Also, the clinical presentation is atypical and unusual, being characterized by anogenital lesions and rashes that relatively spare the face and extremities. The most prevalent sign/symptom reported was fever (in 54.29% of cases) followed by inguinal lymphadenopathy (45.71%) and exanthema (40.00%). Asthenia, fatigue, and headache were described in 22.86% and 25.71% of the subjects, respectively. Myalgia was present in 17.14% of the cases. Both genital and anal lesions (ulcers and vesicles) were reported in 31.43% of the cases. Finally, cervical lymphadenopathy was described in 11.43% of the sample, while the least commonly reported symptoms were diarrhea and axillary lymphadenopathy (5.71% of the case series for both symptoms). Some preliminary risk factors can be identified (being a young male, having sex with other men, engaging in risky behaviors and activities, including condomless sex, human immunodeficiency virus positivity (54.29% of the sample analyzed), and a story of previous sexually transmitted infections, including syphilis). On the other hand, being fully virally suppressed and undetectable may protect against a more severe infectious course. However, further research in the field is urgently needed.

Sleep and high-risk behavior in military service members: a mega-analysis of four diverse U.S. Army units

Experimental sleep restriction and deprivation lead to risky decision-making. Further, in naturalistic settings, short sleep duration and poor sleep quality have been linked to real-world high-risk behaviors (HRB), such as reckless driving or substance use. Military populations, in general, tend to sleep less and have poorer sleep quality than nonmilitary populations due to a number of occupational, cultural, and psychosocial factors (e.g. continuous operations, stress, and trauma). Consequently, it is possible that insufficient sleep in this population is linked to HRB. To investigate this question, we combined data from four diverse United States Army samples and conducted a mega-analysis by aggregating raw, individual-level data (n = 2,296, age 24.7 ± 5.3). A negative binomial regression and a logistic regression were used to determine whether subjective sleep quality (Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index [PSQI], Insomnia Severity Index [ISI], and duration [h]) predicted instances of military-specific HRB and the commission of any HRB (yes/no), respectively. Poor sleep quality slightly elevated the risk for committing HRBs (PSQI Exp(B): 1.12 and ISI Exp(B): 1.07), and longer duration reduced the risk for HRBs to a greater extent (Exp(B): 0.78), even when controlling for a number of relevant demographic factors. Longer sleep duration also predicted a decreased risk for commission of any HRB behaviors (Exp(B): 0.71). These findings demonstrate that sleep quality and duration (the latter factor, in particular) could be targets for reducing excessive HRB in military populations. These findings could therefore lead to unit-wide or military-wide policy changes regarding sleep and HRB.

Cohort Profile: The Ganka-Ekigaku Network (GEN), a Network of Japanese Ophthalmological Epidemiology Studies

PURPOSE

Japan has been known as a super-aged society, and ageing is a well-known risk factor for blinding eye diseases. However, epidemiological studies in ophthalmology are still scarce in Japan, and the sizes of the cohorts are relatively small. "Ganka-Ekigaku Network" (GEN, an acronym for the epidemiological network in ophthalmology in Japanese) is established to develop a capacity to boost each epidemiological study and enrich a potential inter-study collaboration to identify risk factors of visual impairment in aged society.

METHODS

We reviewed cohort studies in Japan with the inclusion criteria as: (1) at least n = 1000 at baseline, (2) multiple modalities of ophthalmic data, and (3) diagnosis reviewed by ophthalmologist(s), and (4) ophthalmologists are involved in the investigators group. As of January 2020, GEN includes 4 individual Japanese epidemiological studies namely, Hisayama study, Yamagata Study (Funagata), Tsuruoka Metabolomics Cohort study, and the Nagahama Prospective Genome Cohort for Comprehensive Human Bioscience.

RESULTS

GEN includes approximately 25,000 Japanese participants. The baseline surveys started from 1998 to 2012, and since then the data has been prospectively collected approximately every 5 years. A variety of ophthalmic measurements and other factors have been collected in each study in GEN: ophthalmic measurements (fundus photography, optical coherence tomography, etc.), systemic conditions (laboratory data, etc.), and others (DNA, etc.).

CONCLUSION

GEN is an open platform for observational ophthalmic epidemiological studies to share standardized methodologies. While each study in GEN pursues specific and original research questions, standardization of the methods will enable us to conduct reliable meta-analysis/pooled data analyses.

Fenestrated/Branched Endovascular Repair for Postdissection Thoracoabdominal Aneurysms: A Systematic Review with Pooled Data Analysis

PURPOSE

Patients who have survived an acute aortic dissection remain at risk for postdissection thoracoabdominal aortic aneurysms (PD-TAAAs). Fenestrated/branched endovascular repair for PD-TAAA is increasingly used in some high-volume centers, but outcomes are still limited because of the additional challenges compared to atherosclerotic thoracoabdominal aneurysms. This study was performed to evaluate the literature on fenestrated/branched endovascular repair for PD-TAAAs.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, and the Cochrane Database were searched for relevant studies published until September 2019. Outcome data were extracted to evaluate the technical success, 30-day mortality, later survival, major complications, endoleaks, target vessel patency, and reintervention. Studies were analyzed in a pooled proportion meta-analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 143 patients from 4 studies were identified for the pooled data analysis. The pooled technical success rate was 98% (95% CI: 86%-100%). After the treatment, the overall estimated 30-day mortality rate was 3% (95% CI: 1%-8%), early spinal cord ischemia rate was 10% (95% CI: 4%-21%), early renal injury rate was 5% (95% CI: 1%-19%), endoleak rate was 33% (95% CI: 22%-47%), reintervention rate at a median follow-up of 22.5 months was 34% (95% CI: 27%-42%), and all-cause mortality rate was 12% (95% CI: 6%-24%).

CONCLUSIONS

The use of fenestrated/branched stent grafts for the treatment of PD-TAAA appears generally feasible based on the limited literature, but endoleaks and reinterventions are frequent.

Multidomain intervention for the prevention of cognitive decline after stroke - a pooled patient-level data analysis

Background and purpose

The aim of this pooled patient‐level data analysis was to test if multidomain interventions, addressing several modifiable vascular risk factors simultaneously, are more effective than usual post‐stroke care for the prevention of cognitive decline after stroke.

Methods

This pooled patient‐level data analysis included two randomized controlled trials using a multidomain approach to target vascular risk factors in stroke patients and cognition as primary outcome. Changes from baseline to 12 months in the trail making test (TMT)‐A, TMT‐B and 10‐words test were analysed using stepwise backward linear mixed models with study as random factor. Two analyses were based on the intention‐to‐treat (ITT) principle using different imputation approaches and one was based on complete cases.

Results

Data from 322 patients (157 assigned to multidomain intervention and 165 to standard care) were analysed. Differences between randomization groups for TMT‐A scores were found in one ITT model (P = 0.014) and approached significance in the second ITT model (P = 0.087) and for complete cases (P = 0.091). No significant intervention effects were found for any of the other cognitive variables.

Conclusion

We found indications that multidomain interventions compared with standard care can improve the scores in TMT‐A at 1 year after stroke but not those for TMT‐B or the 10‐words test. These results have to be interpreted with caution due to the small number of patients.

Multifaceted empathy of healthy volunteers after single doses of MDMA: A pooled sample of placebo-controlled studies

Previous placebo-controlled experimental studies have shown that a single dose of MDMA can increase emotional empathy in the multifaceted empathy test (MET) without affecting cognitive empathy. Although sufficiently powered to detect main effects of MDMA, these studies were generally underpowered to also validly assess contributions of additional parameters, such as sex, drug use history, trait empathy and MDMA or oxytocin plasma concentrations. The present study examined the robustness of the MDMA effect on empathy and investigated the moderating role of these additional parameters. Participants ( n = 118) from six placebo-controlled within-subject studies and two laboratories were included in the present pooled analysis. Empathy (MET), MDMA and oxytocin plasma concentrations were assessed after oral administration of MDMA (single dose, 75 or 125 mg). Trait empathy was assessed using the interpersonal reactivity index. We confirmed that MDMA increased emotional empathy at both doses without affecting cognitive empathy. This MDMA-related increase in empathy was most pronounced during presentation of positive emotions as compared with negative emotions. MDMA-induced empathy enhancement was positively related to MDMA blood concentrations measured before the test, but independent of sex, drug use history and trait empathy. Oxytocin concentrations increased after MDMA administration but were not associated with behavioral effects. The MDMA effects on emotional empathy were stable across laboratories and doses. Sex did not play a moderating role in this effect, and oxytocin levels, trait empathy and drug use history were also unrelated. Acute drug exposure was of significant relevance in the MDMA-induced emotional empathy elevation.