Therapeutic lag: Is treatment effect delayed in progressive MS?

BACKGROUND

Randomized clinical trials (RCTs) in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) often revealed non-significant treatment effects on disability progression.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate whether the failure to detect a significant benefit from treatment may be motivated by a delay in treatment effect, possibly related to baseline characteristics.

METHODS

We re-analyzed data from two RCTs testing interferon-beta and glatiramer-acetate versus placebo in progressive MS with no significant effect on EDSS progression. We first designed a time-dependent Cox model with no treatment effect up to time = t0, and constant hazard ratio (HR) after time = t0. We selected the best-fitting t0 from 0 (standard Cox model) to 2.5 years. Furthermore, we modeled the delay as a function of baseline EDSS and fitted the resulting Cox model to the merged dataset.

RESULTS

The time-dependent Cox model revealed a significant benefit of treatment delayed by t0 = 2.5 years for the SPECTRIMS study (HR = 0.65 (0.43-0.98), p = 0.041), and delayed by t0 = 2 years for the PROMISE study (HR = 0.65, (0.42-0.99), p = 0.044). In the merged dataset, the HR for the EDSS-dependent delayed effect was 0.68 (0.56, 0.82), p < 0.001.

CONCLUSION

The assumption of a delayed treatment effect improved the fit to the data of the two examined RCTs, uncovering a significant, although shifted, benefit of treatment.

Myelitis features and outcomes in CNS demyelinating disorders: Comparison between multiple sclerosis, MOGAD, and AQP4-IgG-positive NMOSD

Inflammatory myelopathies can manifest with a combination of motor, sensory and autonomic dysfunction of variable severity. Depending on the underlying etiology, the episodes of myelitis can recur, often leading to irreversible spinal cord damage and major long-term disability. Three main demyelinating disorders of the central nervous system, namely multiple sclerosis (MS), aquaporin-4-IgG-positive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorders (AQP4+NMOSD) and myelin oligodendrocyte glycoprotein-IgG associated disease (MOGAD), can induce spinal cord inflammation through different pathogenic mechanisms, resulting in a more or less profound disruption of spinal cord integrity. This ultimately translates into distinctive clinical-MRI features, as well as distinct patterns of disability accrual, with a step-wise worsening of neurological function in MOGAD and AQP4+NMOSD, and progressive disability accrual in MS. Early recognition of the specific etiologies of demyelinating myelitis and initiation of the appropriate treatment is crucial to improve outcome. In this review article we summarize and compare the clinical and imaging features of spinal cord involvement in these three demyelinating disorders, both during the acute phase and over time, and outline the current knowledge on the expected patterns of disability accrual and outcomes. We also discuss the potential implications of these observations for patient management and counseling.

Anti-EBNA1 IgG titre is not associated with fatigue in multiple sclerosis patients

INTRODUCTION

Fatigue is the most frequent symptom in multiple sclerosis (MS), although it is still poorly understood due to its complexity and subjective nature. There is an urgent need to identify reliable biomarkers to improve disease prognosis and therapeutic strategies. Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is the major environmental risk factor associated with MS aetiology, and trials with EBV-targeted T cell therapies have reduced fatigue severity in MS patients.

AIM OF THE STUDY

We investigated whether the serum amount of immunoglobulin (Ig)G-specific for EBV antigens could be a suitable prognostic marker for the assessment of MS-related fatigue.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

A total of 194 MS patients were enrolled. We quantified EBV nuclear antigen 1 (EBNA1) and EBV viral capsid antigen (VCA) immunoglobulin (Ig) G levels and B cell-activating factor of the tumour necrosis factor family (BAFF) concentration in the serum of patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) and chronic progressive MS (CPMS), and we analysed their correlation with aspects of fatigue and other clinical disease parameters.

RESULTS

A complete EBV seropositivity could be detected in our cohort. After adjusting for confounding variables and covariates, neither EBNA1 nor VCA antibody titres were associated with levels of fatigue, sleepiness, depression, or with any of the clinical values such as expanded disability status scale, lesion count, annual relapse rate, or disease duration. However, patients with RRMS had significantly higher EBNA1 IgG titre than those with CPMS, whereas this was not the case under therapies targeting CD20+ cells. BAFF levels in serum were inversely proportional to anti-EBNA1 IgG.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPLICATIONS

Our results show that EBNA1 IgG titre is not associated with the presence or level of fatigue. Whether the increased EBNA1 titre in RRMS plays a direct role in disease progression, or is only a consequence of excessive B cell activation, remains to be answered in future studies.

Stronger Microstructural Damage Revealed in Multiple Sclerosis Lesions With Central Vein Sign by Quantitative Gradient Echo MRI

Background

Multiple sclerosis (MS) lesions typically form around a central vein that can be visualized with FLAIR* MRI, creating the central vein sign (CVS) which may reflect lesion pathophysiology. Herein we used gradient echo plural contrast imaging (GEPCI) MRI to simultaneously visualize CVS and measure tissue damage in MS lesions. We examined CVS in relation to tissue integrity in white matter (WM) lesions and among MS subtypes.

Objective

We aimed to determine if CVS positive lesions were specific to MS subtype, if CVS can be detected consistently among readers using the GEPCI method, and if there were differences in tissue damage in lesions with vs without CVS.

Subjects and Methods

Thirty relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS) subjects and 38 primary and secondary progressive MS (PMS) subjects were scanned with GEPCI protocol at 3T. GEPCI T2*-SWI images were generated to visualize CVS. Two investigators independently evaluated WM lesions for CVS and measured lesion volumes. To estimate tissue damage severity, total lesion volume, and mean lesion volume, R2t*-based tissue damage score (TDS) of individual lesions and tissue damage load (TDL) were measured for CVS+, CVS-, and confluent lesions. Spearman correlations were made between MRI and clinical data. One-way ANCOVA with age and sex as covariates was used to compare measurements of CVS+ vs CVS- lesions in each individual.

Results

398 of 548 lesions meeting inclusion criteria showed CVS. Most patients had ≥40% CVS+ lesions. CVS+ lesions were present in similar proportion among MS subtypes. Interobserver agreement was high for CVS detection. CVS+ and confluent lesions had higher average and total volumes vs CVS- lesions. CVS+ and confluent lesions had more tissue damage than CVS- lesions based on TDL and mean TDS.

Conclusion

CVS occurred in RRMS and PMS in similar proportions. CVS+ lesions had greater tissue damage and larger size than CVS- lesions.

Long-Term Clinical and Immunological Effects of Repeated Mesenchymal Stem Cell Injections in Patients With Progressive Forms of Multiple Sclerosis

Background: Mesenchymal stem cells (MSC) were shown to possess immunomodulatory and neurotrophic effects. Our previous trials, have shown that intrathecal (IT) and intravenous (IV) administration of MSCs were safe and provided indications of beneficial clinical effects.

Methods: This is an open prospective study to evaluate the safety and the long-term clinical and immunological effects of multiple injections of autologous MSCs in 24 patients with active-progressive MS. At inclusion, the mean age of the patients was 47.0 ± 9.22, and the mean EDSS score was 6.75 ± 0.68 (range: 5.5–7.5). Patients were initially treated with 1 ×10⁶ MSCS/kg of body weight (IT + IV) and subsequently with up to additional eight courses of MSCs, at intervals of 6–12 months. The duration of the trial was 4 years.

Results: No serious, treatment-related adverse events were observed during the follow-up period. Twenty-two of the 24 patients were either stable or improved at the last follow-up visit. Ten patients had a lower than baseline EDSS at the last follow-up (nine were among those who received >2 treatments and one in the subgroup of ≤ 2 treatments, p = 0.04). The mean EDSS score reduced from 6.75 ± 0.68 at baseline to 6.42 ± 0.84 at the last visit, during a median follow-up period of 27.8 months (p = 0.028). Immunological follow-up showed a transient upregulation of CD4+CD25+FoxP3+ cells and downregulation of the proliferative ability of lymphocytes.

Conclusions: Repeated MSC treatments in patients with progressive MS were shown safe at the short/intermediate term and induced clinical benefits (especially in patients treated with >2 injections) that lasted for up to 4 years, paralleled by short-term immunomodulatory effects.

Clinical Trial Registration:www.ClinicalTrials.gov, identifier: NCT04823000.

Dynamic Functional Connectivity in the Main Clinical Phenotypes of Multiple Sclerosis

Introduction: Dynamic functional connectivity (dFC) allows capturing recurring patterns (states) of interaction among functional networks. In this study, we investigated resting state (RS) dFC abnormalities across the different clinical phenotypes of multiple sclerosis (MS) and assessed their correlation with motor and cognitive performances. Methods: RS functional magnetic resonance imaging (fMRI) and 3D T1-weighted MRI data were acquired from 128 MS patients (69 relapsing-remitting [RR] MS, 34 secondary progressive [SP] MS, and 25 primary progressive [PP] MS) and 40 healthy controls (HC). RS fMRI data underwent independent component analysis and sliding-window correlations, to identify recurring dFC states and between-group dFC differences in the main networks. Results: dFC identified three recurring connectivity states: State 1 (frequency of appearance during fMRI acquisition = 57%, low dFC strength), State 2 (frequency = 19%, middle-high dFC strength), and State 3 (frequency = 24%, high sensorimotor and visual dFC strength). Compared to HC, MS (as a whole), RRMS, and PPMS patients exhibited lower State1/State 3 dFC (p = 0.0001, corrected) between sensorimotor, cerebellar, and cognitive networks, and some dFC increments (p = 0.001-0.05, uncorrected) in sensorimotor, visual, default-mode, and frontal/attention networks in States 2 and 3. Similar results were observed in SPMS versus RRMS patients. In MS, dFC decrease in sensorimotor, default-mode, and frontal/attention networks was correlated with worse motor and cognitive performances. Conclusions: MS patients exhibited overall lower dFC, and marginally higher dFC in sensorimotor/cognitive networks in the less-frequent middle/high-connected States. dFC abnormalities became more severe in progressive MS and correlated with motor and cognitive impairment, suggesting the presence of maladaptive mechanisms concomitant with accumulation of damage.

Preventive neurology concepts for training the next-generation and closing gaps in real-world Multiple Sclerosis Care

The field of Multiple sclerosis (MS) has entered an area of growth in the understanding of the MS immune dysregulation that has led to an impressive therapeutics expansion. However, results of surveys and proceedings of the American Academy of Neurology (AAN) support the notion that US neurology residents have fragmented exposure to MS training during residency, resulting in learning gaps in diagnosis, management and follow up of patients with MS. There are annual educational offerings by MS academic societies but limited and tailored to trainees interested in MS/neuroimmunology subespecialization. Therefore, the acquisition of MS clinical skills by all neurology residents is essential for the practice of unsupervised neurology after board certification. Here, we review the current elements and goals of care that are critical for the learning of trainees. We present these elements in a framework focused on current unmet needs to avoid progression in MS in a real-world setting, tailored to preventive and personalized care: The "Multiple Sclerosis 4-square Educational Matrix". This approach could help training neurologist and patients through the essential steps of care. The trainee side emphasizes a goal-oriented approach to satisfy the educational and management components of MS in four areas: burden of symptoms, burden of disease activity, personalized risk factors and personalized patient education. The patient side is similar but simplified for their benefit. This structured approach is based on the principles of personalized preventive neurology and could be useful to solidify trainees and patient education, promoting proactive participation of patients in vital areas of their care, in an anticipatory, and goal-oriented manner. We aim to improve the unmet needs at an individual level and the value of care of populations at risk for progression and disability in MS.

Relapsing and progressive MS: the sex-specific perspective

Background:

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is an inflammatory and neurodegenerative disease whose aetiology is not fully understood. The female sex is clearly predominant, with a sex ratio between 2 and 3. In primary progressive MS the sex ratio almost balances out. Since the age at onset is higher for patients with progressive onset (POMS) than for relapsing onset (ROMS), it can be hypothesized that the age at onset is a decisive factor for the sex ratio.

Methods:

To address this aspect, we compare clinical and demographic data between females and males for the different disease courses within the population of the German MS Register by the German MS Society. Only patients with complete details in mandatory data items and a follow-up visit since 01. Jan 2018 were included.

Results:

A total of 18,728 patients were included in our analyses, revealing a female-to-male ratio of 2.6 (2.7 for patients with ROMS and 1.3 for POMS). The age at diagnosis is higher in patients with POMS (43.3 and 42.3 years for females and males versus 32.1 and 33.2 years, respectively). Females irrespective of disease course are statistically significantly more often affected by cognitive impairment (POMS: p = 0.013, ROMS: p = 0.001) and depression (POMS: p = 0.002, ROMS: 0.001) and suffer more often from pain (POMS and ROMS: p < 0.001). Fatigue is significantly more often seen in females with ROMS (p < 0.001) but not in POMS. Females with ROMS retire significantly (p < 0.001) earlier (42.8 versus 44.2 years) and to a greater extent than males (28 versus 24%). Disease progression was similar for women and men.

Conclusion:

Our analysis shows that clinical and demographic data differ more between disease courses than between men and women. For pain, depression and cognitive impairment the female sex is the decisive factor. Whether these factors are responsible for the earlier retirement of females with ROMS is not clear. Appropriate measures for optimization of symptomatic treatment as well as to promote employment should be taken.

A Score Based on NfL and Glial Markers May Differentiate Between Relapsing-Remitting and Progressive MS Course

Background: The diagnostic use of biomarkers in body fluids of multiple sclerosis (MS) patients allows the monitoring of different pathophysiological aspects of the disease. We previously reported elevated cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) and serum levels of glial fibrillary acidic protein (GFAP) but not neurofilament light chain (NfL) in progressive (PMS) compared to relapsing–remitting MS (RRMS) patients.

Objectives: We analyzed the glial marker chitinase-3-like protein 1 (CHI3L1) in the CSF and serum of PMS and RRMS patients. To capture the extent of glial processes in relation to axonal damage in each individual patient, we established a score based on CHI3L1, GFAP, and NfL and compared this score between RRMS and PMS patients and its association with the extended disability status scale (EDSS).

Methods: For this retrospective study, we included 86 MS patients (47 RRMS and 39 PMS) and 20 patients with other non-inflammatory neurological diseases (OND) as controls. NfL and GFAP levels were determined by the single-molecule array (Simoa). CHI3L1 levels were measured with classical enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay. A score was calculated based on glial to axonal markers (CHI3L1^*GFAP/NfL, referred to as “Glia score”).

Results: CHI3L1 showed higher CSF levels in PMS vs. RRMS and controls (p < 0.001 and p < 0.0001, respectively), RMS vs. controls (p < 0.01), and higher serum levels for PMS vs. RRMS (p < 0.05). The Glia score was higher in the CSF of PMS compared to RRMS patients (p < 0.0001) and in the serum of PMS patients compared to RRMS (p < 0.01). Furthermore, the Glia score and CHI3L1 in serum but not in CSF correlated with the disability as determined by EDSS in the PMS group but not in the RRMS group (Spearman ρ = 0.46 and 0.45, p = 0.003 and 0.004, respectively).

Discussion: Our data indicate the involvement of glial mechanisms during the pathogenesis of PMS. Moreover, a calculated score may help to differentiate between PMS and RMS in the CSF and monitor disease progression in the serum of PMS patients.

Applying causal models to explore the mechanism of action of simvastatin in progressive multiple sclerosis

Understanding the mode of action of drugs is a challenge with conventional methods in clinical trials. Here, we aimed to explore whether simvastatin effects on brain atrophy and disability in secondary progressive multiple sclerosis (SPMS) are mediated by reducing cholesterol or are independent of cholesterol. We applied structural equation models to the MS-STAT trial in which 140 patients with SPMS were randomized to receive placebo or simvastatin. At baseline, after 1 and 2 years, patients underwent brain magnetic resonance imaging; their cognitive and physical disability were assessed on the block design test and Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS), and serum total cholesterol levels were measured. We calculated the percentage brain volume change (brain atrophy). We compared two models to select the most likely one: a cholesterol-dependent model with a cholesterol-independent model. The cholesterol-independent model was the most likely option. When we deconstructed the total treatment effect into indirect effects, which were mediated by brain atrophy, and direct effects, simvastatin had a direct effect (independent of serum cholesterol) on both the EDSS, which explained 69% of the overall treatment effect on EDSS, and brain atrophy, which, in turn, was responsible for 31% of the total treatment effect on EDSS [β = -0.037; 95% credible interval (CI) = -0.075, -0.010]. This suggests that simvastatin's beneficial effects in MS are independent of its effect on lowering peripheral cholesterol levels, implicating a role for upstream intermediate metabolites of the cholesterol synthesis pathway. Importantly, it demonstrates that computational models can elucidate the causal architecture underlying treatment effects in clinical trials of progressive MS.

Multicentre assessment of motor and sensory evoked potentials in multiple sclerosis: reliability and implications for clinical trials

Background

Motor and sensory evoked potentials (EP) are potential candidate biomarkers for clinical trials in multiple sclerosis.

Objective

To determine test -retest reliability of motor EP (MEP) and sensory EP (SEP) and associated EP-scores in patients with multiple sclerosis.

Methods

In three centres, 16 relapsing and five progressive multiple sclerosis patients had MEPs and SEPs 1-29 days apart. Five neurophysiologists independently marked latencies by central reading. By variance component analysis, we estimated the critical difference (absolute reliability) for cross-sectional group comparison, comparison of longitudinal group changes, within-subject minimal detectable change and defined within-subject improvement.

Results

Cortical SEP responses and cortico-muscular MEP latencies were more reliable than central conduction times. For comparison of 20 subjects per arm, cross-sectional group difference ranged from 0.7 to 3.9 ms and 1.1 to 1.7, group difference in longitudinal changes from 0.4 to 1.8 ms and 0.36 to 0.62, within-subject minimal detectable change from 1.2 to 5.8 ms and 1.2 to 2.0, within-subject improvement from 0.8 to 3.8ms and 0.8 to 1.3, for single EP modalities and EP scores, respectively.

Conclusions

Multicentre EP assessment with central EP reading is feasible and reliable. The critical difference is reasonably low to detect significant group changes and to define responders. The results support the concept of using EP and EP-scores as candidate response biomarkers for quantification of disease progression and for studying remyelination in multiple sclerosis.

Distribution of disease courses in familial vs sporadic multiple sclerosis

OBJECTIVES

The overall distribution of disease courses in multiple sclerosis (MS) is well established, but little is known about the distribution among familial MS cases. We examine the frequency of the different MS courses among familial and sporadic MS cases and determine whether MS cases within the same family had the same age at diagnosis and have experienced the same disease course.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a nationwide register study, based on data from the Danish MS Registry, the Danish Civil Registration System, and the Danish National Patient Registry. The main variables are MS diagnosis, MS course, and first-degree relatives with MS The statistical analyses were carried out using logistic regression analysis, Kappa coefficient, and intraclass correlations coefficient.

RESULTS

In total, 7402 MS cases were included in the study, of which 531 have an affected first-degree relatives, and 6871 are sporadic. We found that relapsing-remitting MS including secondary progressive MS was more common among familial MS cases than among sporadic MS cases (Odds ratio = 1.64, 95% CI: 1.20-2.24, P = 0.002). We subsequently analyzed data on 133 MS families and found that MS courses correlate between the first and the second MS case diagnosed, while age at diagnosis does not.

CONCLUSION

Familial MS cases are more likely to have relapsing-remitting MS than a progressive course compared to sporadic MS cases. Secondly, we find that within MS families, first-degree relatives are likely to have the same MS course, but we do not find that they are diagnosed at the same age.

Enhanced TLR2 responses in multiple sclerosis

The roles of the microbiome and innate immunity in the pathogenesis of multiple sclerosis (MS) remain unclear. We have previously documented abnormally low levels of a microbiome‐derived Toll‐like receptor (TLR)2‐stimulating bacterial lipid in the blood of MS patients and postulated that this is indicative of a deficiency in the innate immune regulating function of the microbiome in MS. We postulated further that the resulting enhanced TLR2 responsiveness plays a critical role in the pathogenesis of MS. As proof‐of‐concept, we reported that decreasing systemic TLR2 responsiveness by administering very low‐dose TLR2 ligands attenuated significantly the mouse model of MS, experimental autoimmune encephalomyelitis. Studies of Toll‐like receptor responses in patients with MS have been conflicting. Importantly, most of these investigations have focused on the response to TLR4 ligation and few have characterized TLR2 responses in MS. In the present study, our goal was to characterize TLR2 responses of MS patients using multiple approaches. Studying a total of 26 MS patients and 32 healthy controls, we now document for the first time that a large fraction of MS patients (50%) demonstrate enhanced responsiveness to TLR2 stimulation. Interestingly, the enhanced TLR2 responders include a significant fraction of those with progressive forms of MS, a subset of patients considered unresponsive to adaptive immune system‐targeting therapies. Our results suggest the presence of a pathologically relevant TLR2 related innate immune abnormality in patients with both relapsing–remitting and progressive MS. These findings may have significant implications for understanding the role of innate immunity in the pathogenesis of MS.

Advancing trial design in progressive multiple sclerosis

The failure of a majority of clinical trials in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) has highlighted the need to reconsider how these trials are designed and conducted, and many areas deserve focus. Basic scientists are reconceptualising the pathophysiology of progressive MS into three broad areas: systemic inflammation, compartmentalized inflammation and non-inflammatory neurodegeneration, with the latter two becoming predominant as the disease progresses. This framework will guide the choice of experimental therapies. Previous clinical trials have highlighted how participant selection can have a significant impact on study outcome. Phase 2 biomarkers which are biologically stable, dynamically changing over time, and easy to assess in multi-centre studies are greatly needed. Shortcomings inherent in the Expanded Disability Status Scale are prompting the development and validation of better clinical measures. The standard two-arm, fixed-duration trial paradigm has been challenged with new, innovative approaches that can test more therapies efficiently. International collaboratives such as the Progressive MS Alliance will support increased dialogue with regulators, industry and other funding agencies. Better engagement with people living with progressive MS will transform them from simply being the recipient of MS therapies to partners in the search for new treatments. Focused, targeted action will drive further development of effective therapies for progressive MS.

Ocrelizumab and Other CD20+ B-Cell-Depleting Therapies in Multiple Sclerosis

Selective depletion of CD20+ B cells by anti-CD20 monoclonal antibodies as monotherapy in multiple sclerosis (MS) profoundly suppresses acute inflammatory disease activity and signifies an important advance in the treatment of relapsing-remitting MS. Ocrelizumab, a humanized anti-CD20 monoclonal antibody, is also the first proven therapy to lessen disability progression in primary progressive MS-a breakthrough for patients with a disease that had no proven therapy. Ocrelizumab is generally well tolerated, with the most common adverse events experienced being infusion reactions and infections. In ocrelizumab trials in MS a numerical imbalance in the risk of malignancies was observed. In this article, we review advances in anti-CD20 B-cell-depleting biological therapies for MS, including ocrelizumab, rituximab, and ofatumumab.

Finger and foot tapping as alternative outcomes of upper and lower extremity function in multiple sclerosis

Background

While magnetic resonance imaging contrast-enhancing lesions represent an excellent screening tool for disease-modifying treatments in relapsing–remitting multiple sclerosis (RRMS), this biomarker is insensitive for testing therapies against compartmentalized inflammation in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS). Therefore, alternative sensitive outcomes are needed. Using machine learning, clinician-acquired disability scales can be combined with timed measures of neurological functions such as walking speed (e.g. 25-foot walk; 25FW) or fine finger movements (e.g. 9-hole peg test; 9HPT) into sensitive composite clinical scales, such as the recently developed combinatorial, weight-adjusted disability scale (CombiWISE). Ideally, these complementary simplified measurements of certain neurological functions could be performed regularly at patients’ homes using smartphones.

Objectives

We asked whether tests amenable to adaptation to smartphone technology, such as finger and foot tapping have comparable sensitivity and specificity to current non-clinician-acquired disability measures.

Results

We observed that finger and foot tapping can differentiate RRMS and progressive MS in a cross-sectional study and can also measure yearly and two-year disease progression in the latter, with better power (based on z-scores) in comparison to currently utilized 9HPT and 25FW.

Conclusions

Replacing the 9HPT and 25FW with simplified tests broadly adaptable to smartphone technology may enhance the power of composite scales for progressive MS.

Development of a Sensitive Outcome for Economical Drug Screening for Progressive Multiple Sclerosis Treatment

Therapeutic advance in progressive multiple sclerosis (MS) has been very slow. Based on the transformative role magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) contrast-enhancing lesions had on drug development for relapsing-remitting MS, we consider the lack of sensitive outcomes to be the greatest barrier for developing new treatments for progressive MS. The purpose of this study was to compare 58 prospectively acquired candidate outcomes in the real-world situation of progressive MS trials to select and validate the best-performing outcome. The 1-year pre-treatment period of adaptively designed IPPoMS (ClinicalTrials.gov #NCT00950248) and RIVITaLISe (ClinicalTrials.gov #NCT01212094) Phase II trials served to determine the primary outcome for the subsequent blinded treatment phase by comparing 8 clinical, 1 electrophysiological, 1 optical coherence tomography, 7 MRI volumetric, 9 quantitative T1 MRI, and 32 diffusion tensor imaging MRI outcomes. Fifteen outcomes demonstrated significant progression over 1 year (Δ) in the predetermined analysis and seven out of these were validated in two independent cohorts. Validated MRI outcomes had limited correlations with clinical scales, relatively poor signal-to-noise ratios (SNR) and recorded overlapping values between healthy subjects and MS patients with moderate-severe disability. Clinical measures correlated better, even though each reflects a somewhat different disability domain. Therefore, using machine-learning techniques, we developed a combinatorial weight-adjusted disability score (CombiWISE) that integrates four clinical scales: expanded disability status scale (EDSS), Scripps neurological rating scale, 25 foot walk and 9 hole peg test. CombiWISE outperformed all clinical scales (Δ = 9.10%; p = 0.0003) and all MRI outcomes. CombiWISE recorded no overlapping values between healthy subjects and disabled MS patients, had high SNR, and predicted changes in EDSS in a longitudinal assessment of 98 progressive MS patients and in a cross-sectional cohort of 303 untreated subjects. One point change in EDSS corresponds on average to 7.50 point change in CombiWISE with a standard error of 0.10. The novel validated clinical outcome, CombiWISE, outperforms the current broadly utilized MRI brain atrophy outcome and more than doubles sensitivity in detecting clinical deterioration in progressive MS in comparison to the scale traditionally used for regulatory approval, EDSS.