Combining γ-GT, PIVKA-II, and AFP to predict long-term prognosis in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the top five contributors to the cancer burden in China, with a poor prognosis and heavy disability-adjusted life year burden. The criteria used for HCC prognosis are complicated and therefore restricted in routine clinical practice. Multiple factors influence HCC malignancy and progression. In this study, we retrospectively evaluated 173 patients with HCC who underwent curative resection for 9 years to evaluate the correlation of a combination of γ-glutamyl transferase (γ-GT), protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), and α-fetoprotein (AFP) with the long-term survival of patients with HCC. Multivariate analysis revealed that the γ-GT level was an independent prognostic factor for recurrence. The prediction rate of early recurrence with γ-GT, PIVKA-II, and AFP levels individually was 63.5%, 79.4%, and 39.7%, respectively, whereas the prediction rate of early recurrence was 95.2% with the combination of γ-GT, PIVKA-II, and AFP levels as a composite indicator. Our long-term retrospective study revealed that γ-GT, PIVKA-II, and AFP can aid in predicting long-term prognosis of HCC recurrence. The combination of γ-GT, PIVKA-II, and AFP can further aid in identifying patients with early recurrence. Together, γ-GT, PIVKA-II, and AFP may a be used to develop a new prediction method to improve the prognosis of patients with HCC, and our results indicate the requirement of more active HCC treatment strategies.

Prognostic model for predicting outcome and guiding treatment decision for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with lenvatinib monotherapy or lenvatinib plus immunotherapy

Background

Lenvatinib monotherapy and combination therapy with immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICI) were widely applied for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). However, many patients failed to benefit from the treatments. A prognostic model was needed to predict the treatment outcomes and guide clinical decisions.

Methods

304 patients receiving lenvatinib monotherapy or lenvatinib plus ICI for uHCC were retrospectively included. The risk factors derived from the multivariate analysis were used to construct the predictive model. The C-index and area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUC) were calculated to assess the predictive efficiency.

Results

Multivariate analysis revealed that protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) (HR, 2.05; P=0.001) and metastasis (HR, 2.07; P<0.001) were independent risk factors of overall survival (OS) in the training cohort. Herein, we constructed a prognostic model called PIMET score and stratified patients into the PIMET-low group (without metastasis and PIVKA-II<600 mAU/mL), PIMET-int group (with metastasis or PIVKA-II>600 mAU/mL) and PIMET-high group (with metastasis and PIVKA-II>600 mAU/mL). The C-index of PIMET score for the survival prediction was 0.63 and 0.67 in the training and validation cohort, respectively. In the training cohort, the AUC of 12-, 18-, and 24-month OS was 0.661, 0.682, and 0.744, respectively. The prognostic performances of the model were subsequently validated. The AUC of 12-, 18-, and 24-month OS was 0.724, 0.726, and 0.762 in the validation cohort. Subgroup analyses showed consistent predictive value for patients receiving lenvatinib monotherapy and patients receiving lenvatinib plus ICI. The PIMET score could also distinguish patients with different treatment responses. Notably, the combination of lenvatinib and ICI conferred survival benefits to patients with PIMET-int or PIMET-high, instead of patients with PIMET-low.

Conclusion

The PIMET score comprising metastasis and PIVKA-II could serve as a helpful prognostic model for uHCC receiving lenvatinib monotherapy or lenvatinib plus ICI. The PIMET score could guide the treatment decision and facilitate precision medicine for uHCC patients.

ASAP Score versus GALAD Score for detection of hepatitis C-related hepatocellular carcinoma: A multicenter case-control analysis

Background

The GALAD and ASAP scores are two well-recognized algorithms to estimate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) based on gender, age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), protein induced by vitamin K absence or Antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) and AFP-L3 (included in the GALAD score but not in the ASAP score). The current study sought to compare the diagnostic performance of each score to detect HCC among patients infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV).

Methods

A multicenter case-control study was undertaken in which blood samples were collected from HCVinfected patients with and without HCC. Using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC), ASAP and GALAD scores were compared relative to diagnostic performance to detect any stage HCV-HCC and early-stage HCV-HCC.

Results

The analytic cohort included 168 HCV-HCC patients and a control group of 193 HCV-infected patients. The ASAP score had a higher AUROC to detect any stage HCV-HCC versus the GALAD score, both in the overall group (0.917 vs. 0.894, P=0.057) and in the cirrhosis subgroup (0.909 vs. 0.889, P=0.132). Similar results were noted relative to the detection of early-stage HCV-HCC, whether defined by BCLC staging (stage 0-A: 0.898 vs. 0.860, P=0.026) or 8^th TNM staging (stage I: 0.899 vs. 0.870, P=0.070). In subgroup analysis to detect AFP-negative HCV-HCC, the ASAP score also demonstrated a higher AUROC than the GALAD score to detect any stage HCV-HCC in the AFP-negative subgroup (0.815 vs. 0.764, P=0.063).

Conclusions

The ASAP score had better diagnostic performance for early detection of HCV-HCC compared with the GALAD score. The ASAP score may be preferrable to the GALAD score for HCC screening and surveillance among HCV-infected patients.

Surveillance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is becoming the leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver-related mortality, and liver transplantation. There is sufficient epidemiological cohort data to recommend the surveillance of patients with NAFLD based upon the incidence of HCC. The American Gastroenterology Association (AGA) expert review published in 2020 recommends that NAFLD patients with cirrhosis or advanced fibrosis estimated by non-invasive tests (NITs) consider HCC surveillance. NITs include the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, the enhanced liver fibrosis (ELF) test, FibroScan, and MR elastography. The recommended surveillance modality is abdominal ultrasound (US), which is cost effective and noninvasive with good sensitivity. However, US is limited in obese patients and those with NAFLD. In NAFLD patients with a high likelihood of having an inadequate US, or if an US is attempted but inadequate, CT or MRI may be utilized. The GALAD score, consisting of age, gender, AFP, the lens culinaris-agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), and the protein induced by the absence of vitamin K or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), can help identify a high risk of HCC in NAFLD patients. Innovative parameters, including a Mac-2 binding protein glycated isomer, type IV collagen 7S, free apoptosis inhibitor of the macrophage, and a combination of single nucleoside polymorphisms, are expected to be established. Considering the large size of the NAFLD population, optimal screening tests must meet several criteria, including high sensitivity, cost effectiveness, and availability.

Usefulness of plasma full-length glypican-3 as a predictive marker of hepatocellular carcinoma recurrence after radial surgery

Predicting the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence before treatment is necessary for developing subsequent treatment policies. Several tumor markers found in blood, such as alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II), are presently used to determine the occurrence and recurrence of HCC and to predict patient prognosis. However, these markers are insufficient for these purposes as certain patients have HCC recurrence despite exhibiting negative AFP and PIVKA-II. The present study identified glypican-3 (GPC3), an embryonal carcinoma antigen that is expressed specifically in HCC and is secreted into blood. Although the N-terminal domain of GPC3 in sera may be a potential prognostic factor for HCC, its biological role remains unclear. By contrast, full-length GPC3 (FL-GPC3) is reported to serve important roles in cell differentiation, proliferation and signaling events that cause HCC. Given the biological roles of FL-GPC3 in HCC progression, the present study evaluated its potential as a predictive marker of HCC recurrence. In the present study, a novel measurement system was constructed to specifically measure plasma FL-GPC3. Subsequently, its ability to predict recurrence after radical surgery in 39 HCC patients was evaluated. The results revealed that preoperative FL-GPC3 levels in patients with recurrence were significantly higher than those in patients without recurrence, suggesting that FL-GPC3 could be a better predictive maker of risk of recurrence than AFP or PIVKA-II. Furthermore, it was determined that the combination of FL-GPC3, AFP and PIVKA-II could predict recurrence within one year of radical surgery with high sensitivity and specificity. Based on these results, the validation of FL-GPC3 as a predictive marker of HCC recurrence in a larger population is warranted.

[Diagnostic value of serum alpha-fetoprotein, alpha-fetoprotein variant and abnormal prothrombin in primary hepatocellular carcinoma]

Objective: To explore the diagnostic value of single or combined detection of serum tumor markers alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), α-fetoprotein (AFP)-L3 and abnormal clotting (PIVKA-II) in the primary hepatic carcinoma. Methods: Serum AFP, AFP-L3 and PIVKA-II of 56 cases with primary hepatic carcinoma, 46 cases with cirrhosis, 45 cases with other liver disease and 41 healthy persons (control group) were examined by chemiluminescence method, and the differences in the levels of AFP, AFP-L3 and PIVKA-II in each group were compared. Results: Serum level of AFP, AFP-L3 and PIVKA-II in patients with primary liver cancer was significantly higher than that of the cirrhosis, other liver disease and control groups, and the difference was statistically significant (P < 0.05). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis showed that the areas under the curve for the diagnosis of primary hepatic carcinoma by AFP, AFP-L3 and PIVKA-II were 0.887, 0.846 and 0.885, respectively. The combined use of the three tumor markers for the diagnosis of primary hepatic carcinoma increased the area under the curve to 0.899. Among the single detection, AFP had the highest sensitivity of 91.07% and PIVKA-II had the highest specificity at 88.63%. In the combined detection, AFP/PIVKA-II combination had the highest sensitivity of 94.64 %, while the AFP + AFP-L3 + PIVKA-II combination had the highest specificity at 98.48%. Conclusion: Combined detection of AFP, AFP-L3 and PIVKA-II could improve the diagnostic specificity and the sensitivity of primary hepatic carcinoma; thereby make up the deficiency of single detection and improve the early diagnosis rate.

Transient increases in serum α fetoprotein and protein induced by vitamin K antagonist II levels following proton therapy does not necessarily indicate progression of hepatocellular carcinoma

Transient increases in α-fetoprotein (AFP) and protein induced by vitamin K antagonist II (PIVKA-II), so-called flares, are frequently observed after treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In the present study, changes in AFP and PIVKA-II levels after proton therapy (PT), and the relationship between the flare phenomenon and clinical response were investigated. In 82 patients with stage I/II HCC (59 with no recurrence and 23 with out-of-field recurrence within 1 year), serum AFP and PIVKA-II levels were measured at 1, 3, 6, 9 and 12 months post-PT. AFP and PIVKA-II flares were defined as a >20% increase from the preceding serum level above 20 ng/ml (AFP) or 40 mAU/ml (PIVKA-II), followed by a >20% drop. Among the 59 patients with no recurrence, 3 (5.1%) had an AFP flare, while 23 (39%) had a PIVKA-II flare. The median time to AFP and PIVKA-II flare peaks was 1 and 6 months, respectively. In 4 patients, PIVKA-II flares were observed twice during follow-up. In 1 patient, AFP and PIVKA-II flares were observed simultaneously at 1 month post-PT. The PIVKA-II level pre-PT was significantly higher in the PIVKA-II flare-positive group compared with that in the flare-negative group (P=0.015, odds ratio 4.3, 95% confidence interval, 1.3-14.0). In the 23 patients with out-of-field recurrence, the median increase rate of PIVKA-II (203%) was higher than that in the PIVKA-II-flare-positive group (111%, P=0.035) and the time to recurrence (median, 9 months) was longer than the time to peak AFP level (1 month) in the AFP-flare-positive group (P=0.033). There was no significant association between flares and clinical response. Increases in AFP and PIVKA-II levels following PT should be assessed with caution to avoid misinterpretation of therapeutic outcome.

Performance of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II assessed by chemiluminescence enzyme immunoassay for hepatocellular carcinoma detection: a meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

In the setting of surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) detection, the use of serum biomarkers in addition to ultrasonography (US) is still a matter of debate. Hence, we performed a meta-analysis to evaluate the diagnostic accuracy of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) alone or in combination for HCC detection in patients at risk of tumor development.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We performed a systematic search in PubMed and Scopus database for original articles published in English from 2011 to 2017, investigating the accuracy of PIVKA-II alone or in combination with AFP (reported as area under the curve [AUC]) for HCC detection among patients at risk of tumor development. Furthermore, we focused on studies in which serum PIVKA-II was assessed by highly sensitive chemiluminescence immunoassay (CLEIA).

RESULTS

A total of 11 studies (873 patients with HCC and 1244 patients with advanced liver disease/cirrhosis) were included in the meta-analysis. The weighted summary AUC (sAUC) of PIVKA-II and AFP for the discrimination between patients with HCC and those without was 0.791 (0.746-0.837) and 0.767 (0.732-0.803), respectively. The combination of PIVKA-II + AFP results in a sAUC of 0.859 (0.837-0.882). The performance for HCC detection of PIVKA-II + AFP was significantly superior to each biomarker used alone (ΔsAUC = 0.068, p = .032 and ΔsAUC = 0.092, p < .001, respectively).

CONCLUSION

In clinical practice, the use of PIVKA-II + AFP in addition to US examination may improve the effectiveness of surveillance among patients at risk for HCC development.

Clinical utility of protein induced by vitamin K absence in patients with chronic hepatitis B virus infection

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) is a leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). α-fetoprotein (AFP) is a common tumor marker for the diagnosis of HCC, although not for protein induced by the absence of vitamin K or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II). The present study aimed to evaluate the role of PIVKA-II in the diagnosis of HCC in HBV-infected Vietnamese patients. A total of 166 consecutive HBV-infected Vietnamese patients were enrolled, including 41 HCC, 43 liver cirrhosis (LC), 26 chronic hepatitis (CH) and 56 asymptomatic carriers (ASC). AFP was examined using ELISA, while PIVKA-II was analyzed using Eitest PIVKA-II. The cut-off level of AFP and PIVKA-II was 20 ng/ml and 40 mAU/ml, respectively. Although the markers, AFP (344±356 ng/ml) and PIVKA-II (16,200±25,386 mAU/ml), were the highest in the HCC groups, only PIVKA-II in HCC was significantly higher compared to the other groups (P<0.001). The univariate analysis demonstrated that age over 50, male, genotype C, AFP and PIVKA-II were risk factors of LC and HCC. Results of the receiver operating characteristics (ROC) analysis showed that PIVKA-II was more sensitive to HCC compared to AFP. Moreover, PIVKA-II was strongly correlated with the portal venous thrombosis in HCC, as opposed to AFP. Results of the multivariate analysis demonstrated that PIVKA-II was the strongest independent risk factor of LC and HCC. In conclusion, PIVKA-II is likely to be a better marker for the diagnosis of HCC in chronic HBV-infected Vietnamese patients.