Possible aerosol transmission of COVID-19 associated with an outbreak in an apartment in Seoul, South Korea, 2020

BACKGROUND

Scientists have strongly implied that aerosols could be the plausible cause of coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) transmission; however, aerosol transmission remains controversial.

THE STUDY

We investigated the epidemiological relationship among infected cases on a recent cluster infection of COVID-19 in an apartment building in Seoul, South Korea. All infected cases were found along two vertical lines of the building, and each line was connected through a single air duct in the bathroom for natural ventilation. Our investigation found no other possible contact between the cases than the airborne infection through a single air duct in the bathroom. The virus from the first infected case can be spread to upstairs and downstairs through the air duct by the (reverse) stack effect, which explains the air movement in a vertical shaft.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests aerosol transmission, particularly indoors with insufficient ventilation, which is underappreciated.

Urban vegetation and heat-related mortality in Seoul, Korea

Urban areas are particularly vulnerable to heat-related health outcomes. Simultaneous trends of climate change and urbanization may increase the urban heat-related health burden. We investigated the effects of urban vegetation on heat-related mortality, and evaluated whether different levels of vegetation and individuals' characteristics affect the temperature-mortality associations within Seoul, Korea 2000-2009. We used Normalized Difference Vegetation Index (NDVI) to assess the urban vegetation within Seoul. We applied an overdispersed Poisson generalized linear model with interaction term between temperature and indicator of NDVI group (categorized in 3 levels) to assess the effect modification of the temperature-mortality association by urban vegetation. We conducted stratified analysis to explore whether associations are affected by individual characteristics of sex and age. The association between total mortality and a 1°C increase in temperature above the 90th percentile (25.1°C) (the "heat effect") was the highest for gus with low NDVI. The heat effect was a 4.1% (95% confidence interval (CI) 2.3, 5.9%), 3.0% (95% CI 0.2, 5.9%), and 2.2% (95% CI -0.5, 5.0%) increase in mortality risk for low, medium, and high NDVI group, respectively. Estimated risks showed similar effects by sex and age. Our findings suggest a higher mortality effect of high temperature in areas with lower vegetation in Seoul, Korea.

Severe hypoglycemia and the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in type 2 diabetes: a nationwide population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

We investigated the association regarding severe hypoglycemia episodes with cardiovascular disease risk and all-cause mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

Baseline and follow-up data (n = 1,568,097) from patients with type 2 diabetes were retrieved from the National Health Insurance System database (covering the entire Korean population). Type 2 diabetes, severe hypoglycemia, and major comorbidities were identified using International Classification of Diseases 10 codes and medication information. Individuals who were classified as type 2 diabetes in the year of 2009 were screened, and we counted severe hypoglycemia episodes from 2007 to 2009. The primary outcome was newly developed myocardial infarction (MI), stroke, heart failure, or all-cause mortality. Participants were followed from the baseline index date to the date of death or until December 31, 2015.

RESULTS

In total, 19,660 (1.2%) patients developed at least one severe hypoglycemia event during the period from 2007 to 2009. Mean follow-up was 5.7 years. After adjustment for confounding factors, the hazard ratio (HR) of MI significantly and sequentially increased: 0 vs. 1 episode, HR 1.56, 95% CI 1.46-1.64; 0 vs. 2 episodes, HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.61-2.15; 0 vs. 3 or more episodes, HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.48-2.35, P for trend < 0.001. Similar findings were noted regarding the relationship of severe hypoglycemia episodes with stroke, heart failure, and all-cause mortality. Risks for all outcomes were highest within 1 year from the index date and showed decreasing trends with follow-up. Sensitivity analyses of the data from the subgroup population and 797,544 subjects who received a national health examination did not change the significance of the main findings.

CONCLUSION

Among adult Korean patients with type 2 diabetes, a severe hypoglycemia episode is associated with increased risk for cardiovascular outcomes and all-cause mortality. Significant results from dose-response, temporal, and sensitivity analyses may suggest the possibility of direct causality between severe hypoglycemia and cardiovascular outcomes and mortality.

Ambient temperature and hospital admissions for acute kidney injury: A time-series analysis

Some studies have suggested that high ambient temperatures are a risk factor for kidney-related diseases. However, none have examined the association between ambient temperature and acute kidney injury (AKI). This study aimed to examine the association between daily mean temperature and AKI and identify high-risk subgroups in this association. We obtained health insurance claim data from the Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA) for 24,800 admitted cases of AKI during the period 2007-2014 in Seoul, Korea. Using a time-series design and piecewise linear regression models, we estimated the percentage change in AKI admissions associated with daily mean temperature after controlling for relevant covariates. Daily mean temperature and AKI admissions displayed an inverse association in the cold season and a nonlinear relationship with a flexion point around 28.8°C in the warm season. AKI admissions increased by 23.3% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 14.3, 33.0) per 1°C increase in mean temperature above the 28.8°C flexion point in the warm season. The estimates were greatest among men with hypertension (55.1%; 95% CI: 25.1, 92.2). However, we did not observe significant increases in AKI admissions associated with ambient temperature in the cold season (0.4% [95% CI: -0.1, 0.9] per 1°C decrease in mean temperature). Our results suggest that hospital admissions for AKI increase in association with high temperature, particularly among men with hypertension in the warm season. Thus, early detection of AKI during heat wave periods is crucial. Our findings also provide evidence for the local government to target populations vulnerable to high ambient temperatures.

Risk factors for mortality in patients with Stenotrophomonas maltophilia bacteremia and clinical impact of quinolone-resistant strains

BACKGROUND

Stenotrophomonas maltophilia is an important nosocomial pathogen. This pathogen has intrinsic or acquired resistance to a number of antibiotics classes. Furthermore, Stenotrophomonas infections have been associated with high mortality, mainly in immunocompromised patients. Accordingly, we conducted a retrospective cohort study on the clinical data, microbiological characteristics, and outcomes of patients with S. maltophilia (SM) bacteremia.

METHODS

A retrospective cohort study was conducted at two tertiary care referral hospitals in Seoul, South Korea. Data were collected between January 2006 and December 2015 from electric medical records. Our analysis aimed to identify the risk factors associated with crude mortality, as well as the predictive factors of quinolone-resistant strains in SM bacteremia patients.

RESULTS

A total of 126 bacteremia patients were enrolled in the study. The mortality rate was 65.1%. On multivariable analysis, hypoalbuminemia (odds ratio [OR], 5.090; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.321-19.621; P = 0.018), hematologic malignancy (OR, 35.567; 95% CI, 2.517-502.515; P = 0.008) and quinolone-resistant strains (OR, 7.785; 95% CI, 1.278-47.432; P = 0.026) were independent risk factors for mortality. Alternatively, usage of an empirical regimen with quinolone (OR, 0.172; 95% CI, 0.034-0.875; P = 0.034) was an independent protective factor for mortality. The multivariable analysis of predictive factors revealed that high Charlson comorbidity index (OR, 1.190; 95% CI, 1.040-1.361; P = 0.011) and indwelling of a central venous catheter (CVC) (OR, 3.303; 95% CI, 1.194-9.139; P = 0.021) were independent predisposing factors associated with quinolone-resistant strains in SM bacteremia patients.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that a high Charlson comorbidity score and indwelling of a CVC were significantly independent predictors of quinolone-resistant strains in SM bacteremia patients. Therefore, we need to carefully consider the antibiotic use in SM bacteremia patients with these predictive factors.

Impact of the COVID-19 Outbreak on Trends in Emergency Department Utilization in Children: a Multicenter Retrospective Observational Study in Seoul Metropolitan Area, Korea

BACKGROUND

Understanding the changes in emergency department (ED) visit patterns during the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak is important for effectively operating EDs during the pandemic. We aimed to analyze the changes in pediatric ED visits during the COVID-19 pandemic and examine the relationship between the number of ED visits and the stringency of government social distancing measures.

METHODS

This multicenter retrospective study used data of pediatric (age < 18 years) ED visits in Seoul metropolitan area from June 1, 2018, to May 31, 2020. Patient demographics, ED results, and diagnoses were compared during the COVID-19 period and the previous year. To evaluate the effect of the stringency of social distancing measures on the number of ED visits, a Poisson regression model was developed with month, year, and the average monthly Government Response Stringency Index (GRSI) as fixed effects.

RESULTS

In total, 190,732 patients were included. The number of pediatric ED visits during the COVID-19 period was 58.1% lower than in the previous year. There were disproportionate decreases in the numbers of ED visits for children in early childhood (66.5%), low-acuity children (55.2-63.8%), those who did not use an ambulance (59.0%), and those visiting the ED for noninjury complaints (64.9%). The proportion of admissions increased from 11.9% to 16.6%. For every 10-point increase in the GRSI, there was a 15.1% decrease in monthly ED visits.

CONCLUSION

A striking decrease in pediatric ED visits was observed during the COVID-19 outbreak, the scale which was associated with the stringency of government policies. Changes in the number and characteristics of children visiting the ED should be considered to facilitate the effective operation of EDs during the pandemic.

Prognostic significance of sarcopenia and skeletal muscle mass change during preoperative chemoradiotherapy in locally advanced rectal cancer

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic impact of sarcopenia and skeletal muscle change in rectal cancer patients who underwent preoperative chemoradiotherapy (preop-CRT).

MATERIAL AND METHODS

From April 2004 to June 2013, we identified non-metastatic rectal cancer patients who underwent preop-CRT. Sarcopenia was evaluated according to previous cut-off value by computed tomography measured before starting preop-CRT (sarcopenia_pre) and 4-6 weeks after cessation of preop-CRT (sarcopenia_post). The severe muscle loss was defined as change in muscle mass < -4.2%/100 days. The hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) of sarcopenia and muscle change were estimated using a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for potential confounders.

RESULTS

Among 93 patients who underwent both pre and post-CRT CTs, 48 (51.6%) and 51 (54.8%) were identified as sarcopenia_pre and sarcopenia_post respectively. Twenty-three patients (24.7%) were included in the severe muscle loss group. Multivariable analysis identified sarcopenia_post (HR 2.6, 95% CI 1-6.2, p = 0.023), and severe muscle loss (HR 2.8, 95% CI 1.2-6.2, p = 0.011) along with age and ypStage as independent risk factors for overall survival. Clinical T4 stage was the only factor that can predict severe muscle loss (OR 3.4, 95% CI 1.2-9.4, p = 0.016).

CONCLUSIONS

Sarcopenia identified after the completion of preop-CRT and change in muscle mass < -4.2%/100 days during preop-CRT are promising parameters to predict overall survival in patents with locally advanced rectal cancer and should be investigated more rigorously.

Optimal Timing of Venoarterial-Extracorporeal Membrane Oxygenation in Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients Suffering From Refractory Cardiogenic Shock

BACKGROUND

Although there is an increase in the use of mechanical circulatory support devices to rescue patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) complicated by refractory cardiogenic shock (CS), the optimal timing of the application remains controversial. Therefore, this study aimed to compare the clinical outcomes between venoarterial-extracorporeal membrane oxygenation (VA-ECMO) insertion before and after coronary revascularization in AMI patients with refractory CS.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 253 patients with AMI who underwent revascularization therapy with VA-ECMO were included. The study population was stratified into extracorporeal cardiopulmonary resuscitation (E-CPR) before revascularization (N=106, reference cohort) and refractory CS without E-CPR before revascularization (n=147, comparison cohort). Patients with refractory CS but without E-CPR before revascularization were further divided into VA-ECMO before revascularization (N=50) and VA-ECMO after revascularization (n=97). The primary endpoint was a composite of in-hospital mortality, left ventricular assist device implantation, and heart transplantation. The primary endpoint occurred in 60 patients (40.8%) of the comparison cohort and 51 patients (48.1%) of the reference cohort. Among the comparison cohort, the primary endpoint was significantly lower in VA-ECMO before revascularization than in VA-ECMO after revascularization (32.0% vs. 49.5%, OR 0.480, 95% CI 0.235-0.982, P=0.045). A similar trend was observed after a 1-year follow up.

CONCLUSIONS

Early initiation of VA-ECMO before revascularization therapy might improve clinical outcomes in patients with AMI complicated by refractory CS.

Outdoor temperature changes and emergency department visits for asthma in Seoul, Korea: A time-series study

BACKGROUND

Extreme temperatures and temperature changes are known indicators of climate change, and large temperature variations for several consecutive days may affect human health such as exacerbating respiratory symptoms. The objective of this study was to determine the association between outdoor temperature change and asthma-related emergency department visits. In particular, this study examined seasonality and identified susceptible populations, such as the elderly.

METHODS

The health data for asthma-related emergency department visits were collected from July 1, 2007, to December 31, 2010 in Seoul, Korea, through the National Emergency Department Information System of the National Emergency Medical Center and we defined temperature change as the absolute difference of mean temperature between the current day and the previous day. We applied generalized linear models with an allowance of over-dispersion for quantifying the estimated effects of temperature change on asthma-related emergency department visits, adjusting for meteorological conditions, air pollution, and time trend.

RESULTS

In general, temperature change was adversely associated with asthma-related emergency department visits, with a 1-unit increase of temperature change associated with a 3.5% (95% CI 0.7, 6.4%) increase in emergency department visits. In addition, seasonal variation after adjusting for mean temperature and diurnal temperature range had an adverse effect in spring, summer, and fall and a protective effect in winter. Patients aged ≥65 years experienced the most prominent effect during the fall, with a 17.9% (95% CI 4.1, 33.6%) increase in emergency department visits per 1-unit increase of temperature change, whereas the other seasons showed no statistically significant association.

CONCLUSIONS

Along with diurnal temperature range, temperature change may be an alternative indicator of climate change. Temperature change variables are well-known and easy to communicate with the public relative to the health effects of outdoor temperature fluctuations.

Seroprevalence of Anti-SARS-CoV-2 Antibodies among Outpatients in Southwestern Seoul, Korea

Serosurveillance studies reveal the actual disease burden and herd immunity level in the population. In Seoul, Korea, a cross-sectional investigation showed 0.07% anti-severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 antibody seropositivity among 1,500 outpatients of the university hospitals. Low seroprevalence reflects well-implemented social distancing. Serosurveillance should be repeated as the pandemic progresses.

Epicardial adipose tissue is related to cardiac function in elderly women, but not in men

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Epicardial adipose tissue (EAT) is easily quantifiable visceral adipose tissue that is closely associated with cardiometabolic disease including heart failure with preserved left ventricular (LV) ejection fraction. As body fat distribution and metabolism are different between men and women, we evaluated the sex difference in EAT thickness and its relationship to cardiac function.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 152 consecutive patients (76 men) with mean age of 62 ± 9 years were enrolled. Conventional echocardiography was performed and EAT thickness was measured perpendicularly on the right ventricular free wall at end systole. Mean EAT thickness in all patients was 6.5 ± 2.0 mm. EAT thickness was associated with patient age, body mass index, and the presence of hypertension. EAT thickness was not different by sex in patients younger than 60 years (men, 6.4 ± 2.0 mm; women, 6.2 ± 1.8 mm, p = 0.716); however, among patients aged 60 years or older, EAT thickness was significantly greater in women than men (men, 6.0 ± 1.7 mm; women 7.7 ± 2.1 mm, p < 0.001). LV function represented by E/e' and s' was significantly related to EAT thickness only in women (E/e', β = 0.330, p = 0.002; lateral s', β = -0.225, p = 0.042).

CONCLUSION

EAT thickness was greater in women than men after 60 years old and its relationship with LV function was significant only in women. Greater increase in EAT thickness in elderly women after menopause might partially account for this difference.

Association between exposure to traffic-related air pollution and pediatric allergic diseases based on modeled air pollution concentrations and traffic measures in Seoul, Korea: a comparative analysis

BACKGROUND

Pediatric allergic diseases are a major public health concern, and previous studies have suggested that exposure to traffic-related air pollution (TRAP) exposure is a risk factor. These studies have typically assessed TRAP exposure using traffic measures, such as distance to major roads, or by modeling air pollutant concentrations; however inconsistent associations with pediatric allergic diseases have often been found. Using road proximity and density, we previously found an association between TRAP and atopic eczema among approximately 15,000 children living in Seoul, Korea, heavily populated and highly polluted city in which traffic is a major emission source. We aimed to conduct a parallel analysis using modeled air pollution concentrations and thus examine the consistency of the association. Specifically, we examined the associations of individual-level annual-average concentrations of NO₂, PM₁₀, and PM_2.5 with symptoms and diagnoses of three pediatric allergic diseases including asthma, allergic rhinitis, and atopic eczema.

METHODS

The study population included 14,614 children from the Seoul Atopy Friendly School Project Survey in Seoul, Korea, in 2010. To assess individual exposures to TRAP among these children, we predicted annual-average concentrations of NO₂, PM₁₀, and PM_2.5 at the children's home addresses in 2010 using universal kriging and land use regression models along with regulatory air quality monitoring data and geographic characteristics. Then, we estimated odds ratios (ORs) of the three allergic diseases for interquartile increases in air pollution concentrations after adjusting for individual risk factors in mixed effects logistic regression.

RESULTS

Symptoms and diagnoses of atopic eczema symptoms showed an association with NO₂ (OR = 1.07, 95% confidence interval = 1.02-1.13; 1.08, 1.03-1.14) and PM₁₀ (1.06, 1.01-1.12; 1.07, 1.01-1.13). ORs of PM_2.5 were positive but not statistically significant (1.01, 0.95-1.07; 1.04, 0.98-1.10). No association was found between asthma and allergic rhinitis, although PM_2.5 showed a marginal association with allergic rhinitis.

CONCLUSIONS

Our consistent findings regarding the association between TRAP and the prevalence of atopic eczema using traffic measures and surrogate air pollutants suggested the effect of TRAP on children's health. Follow-up studies should elucidate the causal link, to support subsequent policy considerations and minimize adverse health effects in children.

Effect modification of individual- and regional-scale characteristics on heat wave-related mortality rates between 2009 and 2012 in Seoul, South Korea

Many studies have investigated the associations between heat waves, ambient temperature, cold spells, and mortality or morbidity. Some studies have utilized effect modification to reveal the factors that increase an individual's susceptibility to temperature extremes, which can then be used to reshape public policy. In this study, we used a time-stratified case-crossover technique to examine how individual- and regional-scale characteristics modified heat wave-related impacts on mortality rates in Seoul, South Korea, between 2009 and 2012. We defined a heat wave as having at least two consecutive days with a daily mean temperature greater than or equal to the 95th percentile recorded in each of Seoul's twenty-five districts. At the individual scale, citizens classified as belonging to a lower education group had a higher vulnerability to heat wave-related morbidity or mortality [odds ratio (OR) 1.261; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.034-1.538]. At a regional scale, death during heat waves was more likely to occur in districts with a high deprivation index (OR=1.194; 95% CI: 1.028-1.388). And a low proportion of green space around buildings (OR=1.178; 95% CI: 1.016-1.366), a low proportion of rooftop green space (OR=1.207; 95% CI: 1.042-1.399), or those that had fewer hospitals (OR=1.186; 95% CI: 1.019-1.379). Our data show that mortality during heat waves is more likely where these individual and regional-scale vulnerabilities overlap. Our findings support evidence of mortality impacts from heat waves and provide a basis for selection to policy makers choose on the target groups to reduce the public health burden of heat waves.

The Association between Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Thyroid Cancer

AIM

The incidence of thyroid cancer is increasing worldwide. The prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) is also increasing. Therefore, we aimed to analyze the effect of T2DM on thyroid cancer.

METHODS

A case-control study was performed. A total of 415 healthy controls with thyroid ultrasound screening and physician consultation were selected from the Thyroid Cancer Longitudinal Study (T-CALOS). Among patients with thyroid cancer who were enrolled in T-CALOS, 415 patients were matched to the control group according to age and sex. We assessed the effects of T2DM, T2DM duration, and T2DM medication on thyroid cancer.

RESULTS

Women with T2DM had lower odds of thyroid cancer than women without T2DM (odds ratio [OR]: 0.40, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.20-0.81). Individuals receiving T2DM medication had higher odds of thyroid cancer compared to those without T2DM medication (OR: 5.21, 95% CI: 1.58-17.15). Individuals with T2DM duration <6 years had lower odds of thyroid cancer compared to those without T2DM (OR: 0.58, 95% CI: 0.34-0.97).

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with early T2DM are presumed to have a low incidence of thyroid cancer, and this effect seems to last up to 6 years after diagnosis of T2DM.

Traffic accident severity analysis with rain-related factors using structural equation modeling - A case study of Seoul City

Weather conditions are strongly correlated with traffic accident severity. In particular, rain-related factors are an important cause of traffic accidents due to the poor visibility and reduced friction resulting from slippery road conditions. This paper presents a systematic approach to analyze the extent to which the rainfall intensity and level of water depth are responsible for traffic accidents using Seoul City, Korea, as a case study. The rainfall and traffic accident data over a nine-year period (from 2007 to 2015) for Seoul were analyzed through Structural Equation Modeling to identify the relationships among variables by handling endogenous and exogenous variables simultaneously. In the model, four latent variables, namely those representing the road; traffic, environmental, and human factors; and rain and water depth factors, were defined and the coefficients of the latent, endogenous, and exogenous variables were estimated to obtain the level of accident severity. Furthermore, a statistical goodness of fit index was suggested for model fitting. In conclusion, traffic, environmental, and human factors; rain and water depth factors; and road factors are mutually correlated with the level of accident severity. Compact cars, young drivers, female drivers, heavy rain, deep water, and roads with a long drainage length are more likely to be associated with an increase in the level of accident severity, as are features like a tangent, down slope, right-hand curve, and shorter curve length.

Assessment of temporal variation for the risk of particulate matters on asthma hospitalization

Increased ambient concentration of particulate matters are considered as one of major causes for increased prevalence or exacerbation of asthma or asthma like symptoms. Recently, possible temporal variation in risks of PM on mortality has been suggested. We investigated short-term effect of both PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 on asthma hospitalization, and assessed temporal variation of PM risks in Seoul, Korea, 2003-2011. Generalized additive model was used to estimate PM risks on asthma hospitalization with consideration by long-term trend, influenza epidemic, day of week, meteorological factors. To assess temporal variation of PM risks, year-round PM risks were estimated. Stratified analysis by season and age-group were also conducted. Estimated RRs of PM on asthma hospitalization by an increase of 10㎍/㎥were 1.0084 (95% CI: 1.0041-1.0127) and 1.0156 (95% CI: 1.0055-1.0259) respectively with 7-days lag periods (lag06). PM_2.5 had stronger effect than PM₁₀ for all age group. Elderly group was most affected by PM. For the analysis of temporal variation of PM risks, we found increasing trend in total population and the elderly group. In the season-specific analysis, we also found increasing trend in winter for PM₁₀, and in spring for PM_2.5. PM₁₀ and PM_2.5 has adverse effect on asthma hospitalization with evidence suggesting temporal variation in PM risks. Further research will be needed to confirm the temporal variation of PM risk on asthma hospitalization, and to identify casual factors affecting this temporal variation. This study results could be evidentiary materials for establishing valid public health policies to reduce health burden or economic burden of asthma.

Spatiotemporal characteristics of elderly population's traffic accidents in Seoul using space-time cube and space-time kernel density estimation

The purpose of this study is to analyze how the spatiotemporal characteristics of traffic accidents involving the elderly population in Seoul are changing by time period. We applied kernel density estimation and hotspot analyses to analyze the spatial characteristics of elderly people's traffic accidents, and the space-time cube, emerging hotspot, and space-time kernel density estimation analyses to analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics. In addition, we analyzed elderly people's traffic accidents by dividing cases into those in which the drivers were elderly people and those in which elderly people were victims of traffic accidents, and used the traffic accidents data in Seoul for 2013 for analysis. The main findings were as follows: (1) the hotspots for elderly people's traffic accidents differed according to whether they were drivers or victims. (2) The hourly analysis showed that the hotspots for elderly drivers' traffic accidents are in specific areas north of the Han River during the period from morning to afternoon, whereas the hotspots for elderly victims are distributed over a wide area from daytime to evening. (3) Monthly analysis showed that the hotspots are weak during winter and summer, whereas they are strong in the hiking and climbing areas in Seoul during spring and fall. Further, elderly victims' hotspots are more sporadic than elderly drivers' hotspots. (4) The analysis for the entire period of 2013 indicates that traffic accidents involving elderly people are increasing in specific areas on the north side of the Han River. We expect the results of this study to aid in reducing the number of traffic accidents involving elderly people in the future.

The relationship between smoking cigarettes and metabolic syndrome: A cross-sectional study with non-single residents of Seoul under 40 years old

Introduction

Young adults receive health screenings at lower rates than other age groups, and it may be difficult to detect diseases in the early stages for this group. We examined differences in health status relative to smoking in a young age group using the results of health screenings conducted in engaged and newly married couples in a cross-sectional database.

Methods

The participants in this study were 808 young adults who visited a municipal hospital health screening center from July 2017 to March 2019. They completed a self-administered questionnaire, and physical measurements and a blood test were taken. They were classified into non-cigarette smokers, past cigarette smokers, and current cigarette smokers according to smoking behavior. In this study, we compared metabolic syndrome, the main components of which include obesity, high blood pressure, high blood triglycerides, low levels of HDL cholesterol and insulin resistance, with smoking behavior.

Results

The mean age of the participants was 30.9±3.3 years (males 32.0±3.2, females 29.8±3.1), and 13.9% were current cigarette smokers (males 22.8%, females 5.1%). The proportion of men in their 30s was 76.6% for male group and 50.0% for female group, indicating that the male group had a relatively higher proportion of older and current smokers. Significant differences were found in age, sex, blood pressure, metabolic abnormalities, and drinking status according to smoking status. Cigarette smokers had a 2.4-fold greater risk of metabolic syndrome (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.43–3.96) than non-cigarette smokers; in particular, they had a 2.6-fold (95% CI, 1.44–4.55) greater risk of hypertriglyceridemia and a three-fold (95% CI, 1.45–6.35) greater risk of low HDL cholesterol.

Conclusions

In comparison with non-single, young and generally healthy city dwellers, the risk of metabolic syndrome was significantly higher in smokers than in non-smokers, and in particular, it was confirmed that the risk of hypertriglyceridemia and low HDL cholesterolemia was higher. Smoking cessation is necessary, even for the young, because smoking may cause changes in blood lipids even if the smoking duration is short.

Prevalence and clinical significance of cardiovascular magnetic resonance adenosine stress-induced myocardial perfusion defect in hypertrophic cardiomyopathy

BACKGROUND

Hypertrophic cardiomyopathy (HCM) is thought to be associated with microvascular dysfunction. Adenosine stress-perfusion cardiovascular magnetic resonance imaging (CMR) is a sensitive method for assessing microvascular perfusion abnormalities. We evaluated the prevalence and clinical characteristics of HCM patients with adenosine-induced perfusion defects on CMR.

METHODS

Among 189 consecutive patients with HCM who underwent adenosine-stress perfusion CMR, 115 patients who had clinical, echocardiography, 24-h Holter monitoring and treadmill exercise test data were analyzed. We calculated myocardial perfusion ratio index from the intensity-over-time curve to quantify perfusion defects. The presence and extent of the stress-induced perfusion defect were compared with clinical characteristics, presence and extent of late gadolinium enhancement (LGE), left ventricular (LV) mass index and volume, presence of non-sustained ventricular tachycardia (NSVT) and results of treadmill exercise test.

RESULTS

The mean age of enrolled patients was 51.8 ± 11.3 years. Most patients were asymptomatic except 25 subjects presented with New York Heart Association Class II dyspnea and 16 patients with atypical non-exertional chest discomfort. LGE was present in 103 (89.6%) subjects. Adenosine stress-induced perfusion defects were present in 48 (42%) subjects. None of the perfusion defects corresponded with a single or multiple coronary artery territories, showing a multiple patchy pattern in 24 (50.0%), a concentric subendocardial pattern in 20 subjects (41.7%), and as a single blot-like defect in the remaining 4 (8.3%). A perfusion defect was associated with NSVT, LV apical aneurysm, higher LV mass index, and higher LGE volume on univariate analysis. Multivariate analysis revealed female gender (P = 0.008), presence of apical aneurysm and NSVT (P = 0.036 and 0.047, respectively), and LV mass index (P = 0.022) to be independently associated with adenosine stress-induced perfusion defects.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with HCM, adenosine-stress perfusion defects on CMR are present in more than 40% of subjects. This perfusion defect is associated with NSVT, higher LV mass index, and apical aneurysms. The prognostic value of this finding needs further elucidation.

Secular trends in the prognostic factors for papillary thyroid cancer

OBJECTIVE

With the recent increasing rates of screening for thyroid cancer, the cancers now tend to be smaller and less aggressive than those that are diagnosed when presented with symptoms, suggesting changes in the clinical validity of conventional prognostic factors for outcomes. We performed the retrospective study to identify the secular trends in the prognostic factors of thyroid cancer.

METHODS

We used medical records of 3147 patients diagnosed with papillary thyroid cancer (PTC) at the Seoul National University Hospital Thyroid Cancer Clinic between 1962 and 2009.

RESULTS

During the median 5.1-year follow-up, the overall recurrence rate was 13.3%, and male sex, tumor size, lymph node (LN) involvement, and extrathyroidal extension (ETE) were the significant prognostic factors for recurrence. Thyroid cancer-specific mortality was 1.4%, and the associated prognostic factors were older age, male sex, and LN involvement. For tumor recurrence, the hazard ratio (HR) for male sex decreased from 2.809 (95% CI, 1.497-5.269) in the pre-1989 period to 1.142 (95% CI, 0.736-1.772) in the post-1999 period. The pathologic characteristics, such as tumor size, LN involvement, and ETE, showed similar or increasing HRs over the time periods. For cancer-specific mortality, the HR for male sex decreased from 6.460 (95% CI, 1.714-24.348) in the pre-1990 period to 0.781 (95% CI, 0.083-7.379) in the post-1999 period.

CONCLUSION

The risk for poor outcomes in PTC associated with male sex decreased over time; in contrast, the risk associated with pathologic characteristics remained the same or increased over time. These trends might be associated with recent changes in the characteristics of patients with thyroid cancer.

Birt-Hogg-Dubé syndrome in Korean: clinicoradiologic features and long term follow-up

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Birt-Hogg-Dubé (BHD) syndrome is a rare autosomal dominant disorder that is characterized by skin fibrofolliculomas, pulmonary cysts, and renal tumors. The objective of this study was to describe the features of Korean patients with BHD syndrome.

METHODS

Clinical data were retrospectively reviewed in 12 patients (10 confirmed by direct sequencing of the folliculin (FLCN) gene and two confirmed by clinical diagnosis) diagnosed from 2004 to 2016 at Asan Medical Center, Seoul, South Korea. Criteria proposed by the European BHD consortium were used for diagnosis.

RESULTS

The median follow-up was 52 months. The mean age was 41.3 years and 66.7% were female. Eight patients (66.7%) had a history of pneumothorax, which was recurrent in 75%. Skin lesions were detected in 25.0% and renal cancer in 25.0%. Among mutations of the FLCN gene, the duplication of cytosine in the C8 tract of exon 11 (c.1285dupC) was the most common (40%); however, a novel heterozygous sequence variant of c.31T>C (p.C11R) in exon 4 was detected in one patient. All patients had multiple and bilateral pulmonary cysts, distributed in predominantly lower, peripheral and subpleural regions of the lungs. Most patients showed preserved lung function that remained unchanged during follow-up, and two (16.7%) developed cancers (renal cancer in one and breast cancer in one).

CONCLUSION

Our data suggest that Korean patients with BHD syndrome may have a higher risk of pneumothorax, less frequent skin lesions, and a novel FLCN mutation compared to previous reports. Multiple bilateral and basal-predominant cysts were the most common radiologic features.

Temporal trends in out-of-hospital cardiac arrest survival outcomes between two metropolitan communities: Seoul-Osaka resuscitation study

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to compare the temporal trends in survival after out-of-hospital cardiac arrest (OHCA) between two large metropolitan communities in Asia and evaluate the factors affecting survival after OHCA.

DESIGN

A population-based prospective observational study.

SETTING

The Cardiovascular Disease Surveillance (CAVAS) project in Seoul and the Utstein Osaka Project in Osaka.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 36,292 resuscitation-attempted OHCAs with cardiac aetiology from 2006 to 2011 in Seoul and Osaka (11,082 in Seoul and 25,210 in Osaka).

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was neurologically favourable survival. Trend analysis and multivariable Poisson regression models were conducted to evaluate the temporal trends in survival of two communities.

RESULTS

During the study period, the overall neurologically favourable survival was 2.6% in Seoul and 4.6% in Osaka (p<0.01). In both communities, bystander cardiopulmonary resuscitation (CPR) rates increased significantly from 2006 to 2011 (from 0.1% to 13.1% in Seoul and from 33.3% to 41.7% in Osaka). OHCAs that occurred in public places increased in Seoul (12.5% to 20.1%, p for trend <0.01) and decreased in Osaka (13.5% to 10.5%, p for trend <0.01). The proportion of OHCAs defibrillated by emergency medical service (EMS) providers was only 0.4% in 2006 but increased to 17.5% in 2011 in Seoul, whereas the proportion in Osaka decreased from 17.7% to 13.7% (both p for trend <0.01). Age-adjusted and gender-adjusted rates of neurologically favourable survival increased significantly in Seoul from 1.4% in 2006 to 4.3% in 2011 (adjusted rate ratio per year, 1.17; p for trend <0.01), whereas no significant improvement was observed in Osaka (3.6% in 2006 and 5.1% in 2011; adjusted rate ratio per year, 1.03; p for trend=0.08).

CONCLUSIONS

Survivals after OHCA were increased in Seoul while remained constant in Osaka, which may have been affected by the differences and improvements of patient, community, and EMS system factors.

Autonomic dysfunction in primary Sjogren's syndrome: a prospective cohort analysis of 154 Korean patients

BACKGROUND/AIMS

To determine the prevalence of autonomic dysfunction among Korean patients with primary Sjogren's syndrome (pSS) and its associations with the clinical features of pSS.

METHODS

We analyzed 154 participants from the Korean Initiative of primary Sjogren's Syndrome (KISS) as a prospective pSS cohort and 154 age- and sex-matched healthy controls. A standardized 5-minute, supine, resting heart rate variability (HRV) test was performed, and autonomic dysfunction was defined as standard deviation of normal-to-normal RR intervals (SDNN) < 30 ms in patients < 50 years old and SDNN < 20 ms in patients ≥ 50 years old. The associations between autonomic dysfunction and various clinical features of pSS were analyzed.

RESULTS

The overall autonomic activity in patients with pSS was significantly lower than that in controls. Autonomic dysfunction with the HRV test was observed in 35.7% of the KISS participants and was associated with a higher European League Against Rheumatism Sjogren's Syndrome Patient Reported Index fatigue score (p = 0.024). Raynaud's phenomenon was a more frequent clinical presentation in pSS patients with autonomic dysfunction than in those without autonomic dysfunction (29.4% and 14.4%, respectively; p = 0.048). Decreased parasympathetic activity was observed in 41.6% of pSS patients. No differences were found in the oral and ocular signs of pSS according to the decreased parasympathetic activity.

CONCLUSIONS

In Korean patients with pSS, decreased and imbalanced autonomic activity is prevalent and is associated with fatigue. However, an association between autonomic dysfunction and glandular manifestations was not detected.

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis and progression of carotid atherosclerosis in patients with type 2 diabetes: a Korean cohort study

BACKGROUND

There is increasing concern regarding cardiovascular risk in individuals with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease. This study was conducted to evaluate whether hepatic steatosis with or without fibrosis is associated with the progression of carotid atherosclerosis in patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

From a longitudinal cohort, we enrolled 1120 patients with type 2 diabetes who underwent repeated carotid artery ultrasonography every 1-2 years. Ultrasonographic findings at baseline and after 6-8 years were compared. Presence of hepatic steatosis was mainly assessed by abdominal ultrasonography; patients with hepatic steatosis were further evaluated for hepatic fibrosis according to fibrosis-4 index. We investigated the association between liver status and atherosclerosis progression.

RESULTS

Of 1120 patients, 636 (56.8%) were classified as having hepatic steatosis at baseline. After 6-8 years, 431 (38.5%) showed atherosclerosis progression. Hepatic steatosis was significantly associated with atherosclerosis progression (adjusted odds ratio[AOR]: 1.370, 95% CI 1.025-1.832; p < 0.05). Among patients with hepatic steatosis, only individuals with fibrosis showed significant association with atherosclerosis progression (AOR: 1.615, 95% CI 1.005-2.598; p < 0.05). The association between hepatic fibrosis and atherosclerosis progression was significant in all metabolic subgroups regardless of age, body mass index, presence of metabolic syndrome, or insulin sensitivity (all p < 0.05). Furthermore, subjects with hepatic steatosis & fibrosis and ≥ 4 components of metabolic syndrome criteria showed markedly increased risk of atherosclerosis progression (AOR: 2.430, 95% CI 1.087-5.458; p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Hepatic steatosis with fibrosis is independently associated with the progression of carotid atherosclerosis in patients with type 2 diabetes.