Development of a prognostic nomogram for cirrhotic patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB) is a complication with a high mortality rate in critically ill patients presenting with cirrhosis. Today, there exist few accurate scoring models specifically designed for mortality risk assessment in critically ill cirrhotic patients with upper gastrointestinal bleeding (CICGIB). Our aim was to develop and evaluate a novel nomogram-based model specific for CICGIB.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Overall, 540 consecutive CICGIB patients were enrolled. On the basis of Cox regression analyses, the nomogram was constructed to estimate the probability of 30-day, 90-day, 270-day, and 1-year survival. An upper gastrointestinal bleeding-chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (UGIB-CLIF-SOFA) score was derived from the nomogram. Performance assessment and internal validation of the model were performed using Harrell's concordance index (C-index), calibration plot, and bootstrap sample procedures. UGIB-CLIF-SOFA was also compared with other prognostic models, such as CLIF-SOFA and model for end-stage liver disease, using C-indices.

RESULTS

Eight independent factors derived from Cox analysis (including bilirubin, creatinine, international normalized ratio, sodium, albumin, mean artery pressure, vasopressin used, and hematocrit decrease>10%) were assembled into the nomogram and the UGIB-CLIF-SOFA score. The calibration plots showed optimal agreement between nomogram prediction and actual observation. The C-index of the nomogram using bootstrap (0.729; 95% confidence interval: 0.689-0.766) was higher than that of the other models for predicting survival of CICGIB.

CONCLUSION

We have developed and internally validated a novel nomogram and an easy-to-use scoring system that accurately predicts the mortality probability of CICGIB on the basis of eight easy-to-obtain parameters. External validation is now warranted in future clinical studies.

NAFL screening score: A basic score identifying ultrasound-diagnosed non-alcoholic fatty liver

BACKGROUND

Several non-invasive diagnostic scores for non-alcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) have been developed, but the clinical application is limited because of their complexity.

AIM

To develop and validate an easy-to-calculate scoring system to identify ultrasound-diagnosed NAFL.

METHODS

48,489 patients from 2 centers were included in this study. Multivariable logistic regression models were employed for model development. Ultrasonography was applied to diagnose NAFL. The selected variables were assigned an integer score proportional to the estimated coefficient from the logistic regression analysis, namely NAFL Screening Score (NSS). The ability of the NSS to identify NAFL was assessed by analyzing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) and was tested in an independent validation cohort. Additionally, the performance of NSS was compared with existing models.

RESULTS

NSS was developed as a basic score comprising of age, body mass index (BMI), triglyceride (TG), ALT/AST, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) and uric acid (UA) in both sexes. NSS showed a relatively good discriminative power (AUROC=0.825 for males, 0.861 for females in the validation cohort) in comparison with other models. The optimal cut-off point was 32 for males and 29 for females.

CONCLUSION

We developed and validated NSS, an easy-to-use score sheet identify ultrasound-diagnosed NAFL. NSS may be clinically useful for initial diagnosing NAFL.

Elevation of plateletcrit increasing the risk of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease development in female adults: A large population-based study

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the one of the most common form of chronic liver disease in China, so it is important to apply bio-marker in predict the development of NAFLD.

AIMS

This study aims to evaluate association between plateletcrit (PCT) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in Chinese female adults.

METHODS

NAFLD was defined as per ultrasound in this study and 9737 NAFLD-free female subjects from Wenzhou People's Hospital were followed for five years in average in the study. The determination of NAFLD PCT quartiles (Q1 to Q4) were defined: 0-0.16, 0.17-0.18, 0.19-0.21, ≥0.22. With Q1 used as reference, 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and hazard ratios (HRs) in different models were computed across each quartile.

RESULTS

From Q1 to Q4, the incidence ratios (95% CIs) were 8.30 (7.14-9.47), 11.51 (10.12-12.89), 12.68 (11.47-13.89) and 16.46 (15.03-17.88). Simply considering PCT, in the longitudinal population, values in Q2, Q3 and Q4 had HRs (95% CIs) are 1.51 (1.25-1.84), 1.72 (1.44-2.06) and 2.34 (1.96-2.79) versus Q1. After adjusting for all known confounding variables, values in Q2, Q3 and Q4 had HRs (95% CIs) of 1.31 (1.08-1.60), 1.30 (1.09-1.56) and 1.54 (1.29-1.84) in females compared with Q1.

CONCLUSIONS

We reported that elevated serum PCT levels are considered as an independently significant predictor for NAFLD development in females. The high PCT level contributes to the development of NAFLD.

Scoring model to predict outcome in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute respiratory failure: comparison with MELD scoring models and CLIF-SOFA score

BACKGROUND

Critically ill cirrhotic patients have a high mortality, particularly with concomitant respiratory failure on admission. There are no specific models in use for mortality risk assessment in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute respiratory failure (CICRF). The aim is to develop a risk prediction model specific to CICRF in order to quantify the severity of illness.

METHODS

We analyzed 949 CICRF patients extracted from the MIMIC-III database. The novel model (ARF-CLIF-SOFA) was developed from the CLIF-SOFA score. Cox regression analysis and AUROC were implemented to test the predictive accuracy, compared with existing scores including the CLIF-SOFA score and MELD-related scores.

RESULTS

ARF-CLIF-SOFA contains PaO₂/FiO₂ ratio, lactate, MAP, vasopressor therapy, bilirubin and creatinine (1 point each; score range: 0-6). Based on our patient cohort, the ARF-CLIF-SOFA score had good predictive accuracy for predicting the 30-, 90-day and 1-year mortality (AUROC = 0.767 at 30-day, 0.768 at 90-day, 0.765 at 1-year, respectively). Additionally, the performance of the ARF-CLIF-SOFA is superior to existing scores (all P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

The ARF-CLIF-SOFA score can be considered a CICRF specific score with a better predictive accuracy compared to the existing scores.

Remodeling the model for end-stage liver disease for predicting mortality risk in critically ill patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury

Serum creatinine measurement demonstrates a poor specificity and sensitivity for the early diagnosis of acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with cirrhosis. The existing model for end‐stage liver disease (MELD) score reveals multiple pitfalls in critically ill patients with cirrhosis and acute kidney injury (CAKI). The aim of this study was to re‐evaluate the role of creatinine values in the existing MELD score and to develop a novel score for CAKI, named the “acute kidney injury–model for end‐stage liver disease score” (AKI‐MELD score). We extracted 651 CAKI from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care database. A time‐dependent Cox regression analysis was performed for developing remodeled MELD scores (Reweight‐MELD score, Del‐Cr‐MELD score, and AKI‐MELD score). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve provided the discriminative power of scoring models related to outcome. The hazard ratio of creatinine was 1.104 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.945‐1.290; P = 0.211). Reweight‐MELD score and Del‐Cr‐MELD score (decreasing the weight of creatinine) were superior to the original MELD score (all P < 0.001). The new AKI‐MELD score consists of bilirubin, the international normalized ratio, and the ratio of creatinine in 48 hours to creatinine at admission. It had competitive discriminative ability for predicting mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.720 [95% CI, 0.653‐0.762] at 30 days, 0.688 [95% CI, 0.630‐0.742] at 90 days, and 0.671 [95% CI, 0.612‐0.725] at 1 year). Further, AKI‐MELD score had significantly higher predictive ability in comparison with MELD score, MELD‐Na score, and Updated MELD score (all P < 0.001). Conclusion: The predictive value of creatinine for CAKI should be re‐evaluated. AKI‐MELD score is a potentially reliable tool to determine the prognosis for mortality of CAKI. (Hepatology Communications 2017;1:748–756)

Quick chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment: an easy-to-use scoring model for predicting mortality risk in critically ill cirrhosis patients

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Critically ill cirrhosis patients have an increased risk of morbidity and mortality, even after admission to the ICU. Our objectives were to compare the predictive accuracy of model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), MELD-Na, UK model for end-stage liver disease, and chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (CLIF-SOFA) by the development and validation of an easy-to-use prognostic model [named quick CLIF-SOFA (qCLIF-SOFA)] for early risk prediction in critically ill patients with cirrhosis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Overall, 1460 patients were extracted from the MIMIC-III database and enrolled in this study at 30-day and 90-day follow-up. qCLIF-SOFA was developed in the established cohort (n=730) and a performance analysis was completed in the validation cohort (n=730) using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. Results were compared with CLIF-SOFA.

RESULTS

The performance of CLIF-SOFA was significantly better than that of MELD, MELD-Na, and UK model for end-stage liver disease for predicting both 30-day and 90-day mortality (all P<0.05). qCLIF-SOFA consisted of five independent factors (bilirubin, creatinine, international normalized ratio, mean arterial pressure, and vasopressin) associated with mortality. In the established cohort, CLIF-SOFA and qCLIF-SOFA predicted mortality with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve values of 0.768 versus 0.743 at 30-day, 0.747 versus 0.744 at 90-day, and 0.699 versus 0.706 at 1 year, respectively (all P>0.05). A similar result was observed in the validation cohort (0.735 vs. 0.734 at 30 days, 0.723 vs. 0.737 at 90 days, and 0.682 vs. 0.700 at 1 year, respectively, all P>0.05).

CONCLUSION

The utility of CLIF-SOFA was further shown to predict mortality for critically ill cirrhosis patients. The novel and simpler qCLIF-SOFA model showed comparable accuracy compared with existing CLIF-SOFA for prognostic prediction.

Immunosuppressive Agents for the Treatment of Primary Sclerosing Cholangitis: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

OBJECTIVES

Currently, there are no effective therapeutic agents for patients with primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC). This study aimed to evaluate the safety and efficiency of immunosuppressive agents (IAs) for the treatment of PSC.

METHODS

The literatures were searched using the following keywords singly or in combination: PSC, treatments, IAs. The primary outcome was defined as the need for liver transplantation or mortality.

RESULTS

Two hundred sixty six patients from 7 eligible studies were analyzed. IAs had no remarkable effects on the rate of mortality or liver transplantation (relative risk, RR 1.02, 95% CI 0.58-1.62, p = 0.92). Subgroup analyses showed no significant effect of IAs co-administration therapy (IAs co-administered with ursodeoxycholic acid, IA co-administered with IA; RR 1.41, 95% CI 0.40-4.95, p = 0.60). IAs caused adverse events (AEs) such as diarrhea, abdominal pain, and pruritus (RR 1.81, 95% CI 1.07-3.07, p = 0.03). IAs therapy did not significantly improve markers of liver function except for aspartate transaminase (weighted mean difference -9.76, 95% CI -12.92 to -6.6, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

IAs administrated as either monotherapy or combination therapy do not reduce the risk of mortality or liver transplantation. IAs monotherapy is associated with AEs.

Acute circulatory failure-chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment score: a novel scoring model for mortality risk prediction in critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute circulatory failure

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Acute circulatory failure (ACF) is associated with high mortality rates in critically ill cirrhotic patients. Only a few accurate scoring models exist specific to critically ill cirrhotic patients with acute circulatory failure (CICCF) for mortality risk assessment. The aim was to develop and evaluate a novel model specific to CICCF.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This study collected and analyzed the data on CICCF from the Multiparameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care-III database. The acute circulatory failure-chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure assessment (ACF-CLIF-SOFA) score was derived by Cox's proportional hazards regression. Performance analysis of ACF-CLIF-SOFA against CLIF-SOFA and model for end-stage liver disease systems was completed using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve.

RESULTS

ACF-CLIF-SOFA identified six independent factors: mean arterial pressure [hazard ratio (HR)=0.984, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.978-0.990, P<0.001], vasopressin (HR=1.548, 95% CI: 1.273-1.883, P<0.001), temperature (HR=0.764, 95% CI: 0.694-0.840, P<0.001), bilirubin (HR=1.031, 95% CI: 1.022-1.041, P<0.001), lactate (HR=1.113, 95% CI: 1.084-1.142, P<0.001), and urine output (HR=0.854, 95% CI: 0.767-0.951, P=0.004). ACF-CLIF-SOFA showed a better predictive performance than CLIF-SOFA and model for end-stage liver disease in terms of predicting mortality (0.769 vs. 0.729 vs. 0.713 at 30 days, 0.757 vs. 0.707 vs. 0.698 at 90 days, 0.733 vs. 0.685 vs. 0.691 at 1 year, respectively, all P<0.05).

CONCLUSION

ACF-CLIF-SOFA, as the first model specific to CICCF, enables a more accurate prediction at 30-day, 90-day, and 1-year follow-up periods than other existing scoring systems.

Stratified Platelet-to-lymphocyte Ratio: A Novel Target for Prognostic Prediction of Hepatocellular Carcinoma after Curative Liver Resection

Background and Aims: Platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) has been shown to predict prognosis of cancers. We aimed to evaluate the prognostic value of stratification of PLR in patients after curative liver resection (CLR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Methods: A total of 1804 patients who underwent CLR for suspected HCC between January 2007 and January 2014 were screened for the study. All of the patients were categorized into equal tertiles according to the number of patients and the distribution of PLR. Prognostic significance was determined for overall survival (OS) and was assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were evaluated for association of all independent parameters with disease prognosis. Results: The optimal cut-off points of preoperative PLR were: (T1) 11.98-75.00, (T2) 75.00-113.33 and (T3) 113.33-567.50. There were obvious differences in each PLR tertile with mortality within 36 months of CLR (p_log-rank < 0.001). Multivariable analysis suggested that the level of PLR (HR = 1.004, 95%CI: 1.001-1.008, p = 0.006), portal vein thrombosis (HR = 3.406, 95%CI: 1.185-9.794, p = 0.023), number of nodules (HR = 1.810, 95%CI: 1.345-2.437, p < 0.001), Child-Turcotte-Pugh score (HR = 1.741, 95%CI: 1.129-2.684, p = 0.012) and microvascular invasion (HR = 2.730, 95%CI: 1.777-4.196, p < 0.001) were significant predictors of mortality. Kaplan-Meier analysis of overall survival (OS) demonstrated that each PLR tertile showed a progressively worse OS and apparent separation (p_log-rank = 0.016). The highest 5-year OS rate following CLR (58%) was revealed in tertile 1. In contrast, the lowest 5-year OS rate (30%) was revealed in tertile 3. Conclusion: Stratified preoperative PLR could strengthen the predictive power for OS in HCC patients with CLR.

Serum alkaline phosphatase, a risk factor for non-alcoholic fatty liver, but only for women in their 30s and 40s: evidence from a large cohort study

BACKGROUND

Several risk factors are able to predict non-alcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) development, but the predictive value of serum alkaline phosphatase (ALP) remains uncertain. Our aim is to investigate the association between serum ALP levels and NAFL.

METHODS

21,331 NAFL-free subjects were included. Sex-specific ALP quartiles (Q1 to Q4) were defined. With Q1 used as reference, hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were calculated across each quartile.

RESULTS

After adjusting for confounding variables, values in Q2, Q3 and Q4 had HRs (95%CIs) of 1.16 (0.94-1.43), 1.38 (1.13-1.69), 1.51 (1.24-1.83) in females and 0.99 (0.90-1.09), 1.04 (0.95-1.14), 0.96 (0.87-1.05) in males, respectively. A subgroup analysis of age factors in females, from Q2 to Q4, adjusted HRs (95%CIs) were 1.31 (0.81-1.99), 1.86 (1.23-2.81), 2.44 (1.60-3.71) in their 30 s, 1.13 (0.83-1.54), 1.17 (0.85-1.62), 1.65 (1.22-2.25) in their 40 s, and 0.95 (0.51-1.78), 0.91 (0.52-1.62), 0.89 (0.53-1.52) in their 50 s.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher serum ALP levels are considered a significant predictor for NAFL development in females aged 30 to 50.

Classification and regression tree analysis of acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure: Seeing the forest for the trees

At present, there is no ideal model for predicting the short-term outcome of patients with acute-on-chronic hepatitis B liver failure (ACHBLF). This study aimed to establish and validate a prognostic model by using the classification and regression tree (CART) analysis. A total of 1047 patients from two separate medical centres with suspected ACHBLF were screened in the study, which were recognized as derivation cohort and validation cohort, respectively. CART analysis was applied to predict the 3-month mortality of patients with ACHBLF. The accuracy of the CART model was tested using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, which was compared with the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and a new logistic regression model. CART analysis identified four variables as prognostic factors of ACHBLF: total bilirubin, age, serum sodium and INR, and three distinct risk groups: low risk (4.2%), intermediate risk (30.2%-53.2%) and high risk (81.4%-96.9%). The new logistic regression model was constructed with four independent factors, including age, total bilirubin, serum sodium and prothrombin activity by multivariate logistic regression analysis. The performances of the CART model (0.896), similar to the logistic regression model (0.914, P=.382), exceeded that of MELD score (0.667, P<.001). The results were confirmed in the validation cohort. We have developed and validated a novel CART model superior to MELD for predicting three-month mortality of patients with ACHBLF. Thus, the CART model could facilitate medical decision-making and provide clinicians with a validated practical bedside tool for ACHBLF risk stratification.

The NAFL Risk Score: A simple scoring model to predict 4-y risk for non-alcoholic fatty liver

BACKGROUND

Although several risk factors for non-alcoholic fatty liver (NAFL) have been reported, there are few clinical scores that predict its incidence in the long term. We developed and validate a scoring model for individual prediction of 4-y risk for NAFL.

METHODS

Four-year follow-up data of 8226 initially NAFL-free subjects enrolled for an annual physical examination from Wenzhou Medical Center were analyzed. These subjects are randomly split into the training and the validation cohort. Univariate and multivariable logistic regression models were employed for model development. The selected variables were assigned an integer or half-integer risk score proportional to the estimated coefficient from the logistic model. Risk scores were tested in a validation cohort. We also compared the predictive performance of with that of the NAFLD Index by computing the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC).

RESULTS

The NAFL Risk Score was developed as 0 to 18 points comprising of BMI, TG×GGT, ALT/AST, LDL-C/HDL-C and UA in both sexes. Comparison of the observed with the estimated incidence of NAFL at both cohorts showed satisfactory precision. In addition, the NAFL Risk Score showed relatively good discriminative power (AUROC=0.739 for males, 0.823 for females) compared with the NAFLD Index (AUROC=0.661 for males, 0.729 for females) in these Chinese subjects.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated the NAFL Risk Score, a new scoring model to predict 4-y risk for NAFL. The NAFL Risk Score may be clinically simple and useful for assessing individual risk for NAFL.

Nasal NK/T cell lymphoma presents with long-term nasal blockage and fever: a rare case report and literature review

NK/T cell lymphoma (NKTCL) is a common disease which is a threat to human health. Nasal NKTCL is a rare but serious type of systemic lymphoma because of its high mortality rate and serious complications. In this case report, we describe a male who presented with nasal blockage in the right side, a fever of one month duration and a soy-like, painless and gradually increasing mass in the right submandibular region due to nasal NKTCL. The patient had no significant medical history and the initial clinical symptoms were nasal blockage. Contrast computed tomography showed that the nasopharyngeal mucosa was thickened and that the celiac and retroperitoneal lymphaden was intumescent. Finally a biopsy, guided by nasal endoscopy and examined using flow cytometry confirmed a diagnosis of NKTCL. Nasal NKTCL is rare and has no unique characteristics at first presentation, such as epidemiology and obvious clinical manifestation. As no effective therapy is currently available for this disease, early diagnosis and therapy of nasal NKTCL remains challenging.

The role of lncRNAs in hepatocellular carcinoma: opportunities as novel targets for pharmacological intervention

Long non-coding RNA (lncRNA) is commonly defined as an RNA with a length of greater than 200 nucleotides, frequently up to 100 kb. Numerous studies have shown that dysregulation of lncRNAs may directly relate to a number of human diseases, particularly in oncology where lncRNAs appear to play an important role. LncRNAs may also play a potentially novel and critical role in the development and progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This article discusses lncRNAs as a new possibility for diagnostic and therapeutic approaches for HCC. The authors introduce the relationship between some lncRNAs and HCC, including carcinogenesis, development, metastasis and prognosis. In addition, the authors suggest that the discovery of lncRNAs may encourage the discovery and development of new therapeutic modalities for HCC and that their regulation may be a promising potential treatment for HCC. Clinical studies are required to determine the therapeutic effect of regulating lncRNA in humans with HCC.

Increased levels of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol within the normal range as a risk factor for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Objectives

Dyslipidemia exists within the setting of NAFLD and the relationship of a normal level of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) with NAFLD is largely unknown. This large population-based study aimed to investigate the association between LDL-c levels within the normal range and the incidence of NAFLD.

Methods

A total of 60527 subjects from 2 medical centers who had undergone liver ultrasonography were initially enrolled into this study. NAFLD was defined by ultrasonographic detection of steatosis in the absence of other liver disease. Subjects were divided into 4 groups (Q1 to Q4) by normal LDL-c quartiles : Q1: ≤ 2.00, Q2: 2.10-2.35, Q3: 2.36-2.68 and Q4: 2.69-3.12 mmol/L. The odds ratios (OR), hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for NAFLD were calculated across each quartile of LDL-c, using the Q1 as reference.

Results

The prevalence rates of NAFLD in a cross-sectional population from Q1 to Q4 were 19.34%, 25.86%, 35.65% and 42.08%, respectively. The OR for NAFLD in the cross-sectional population were 1.31 (95% CI 1.14-1.54), 1.73 (95% CI 1.46-2.04), and 1.82 (95% CI 1.49-2.23), respectively, after adjusting for known confounding variables. The HR for NAFLD in the longitudinal population were 1.23 (95% CI 1.12-1.35), 1.57 (95% CI 1.44-1.72) and 2.02 (95% CI 1.86-2.21), compared with Q1. Subjects with higher LDL-c level within the normal range had an increased cumulative incidence rate of NAFLD.

Conclusions

Increased levels of LDL-c within the normal range may play a significant role in the prevalence and incidence of NAFLD, independent of other confounding factors.

Stratified neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio accurately predict mortality risk in hepatocellular carcinoma patients following curative liver resection

Objectives

Neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been shown to predict prognosis of cancers in several studies. This study was designed to evaluate the impact of stratified NLR in patients who have received curative liver resection (CLR) for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

Methods

A total of 1659 patients who underwent CLR for suspected HCC between 2007 and 2014 were reviewed. The preoperative NLR was categorized into quartiles based on the quantity of the study population and the distribution of NLR. Hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were significantly associated with overall survival (OS) and derived by Cox proportional hazard regression analyses. Univariate and multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression analyses were evaluated for association of all independent parameters with disease prognosis.

Results

Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models showed that the level of NLR (HR = 1.031, 95%CI: 1.002-1.060, P = 0.033), number of nodules (HR = 1.679, 95%CI: 1.285-2.194, P<0.001), portal vein thrombosis (HR = 4.329, 95%CI: 1.968-9.521, P<0.001), microvascular invasion (HR = 2.527, 95%CI: 1.726-3.700, P<0.001) and CTP score (HR = 1.675, 95%CI: 1.153-2.433, P = 0.007) were significant predictors of mortality. From the Kaplan-Meier analysis of overall survival (OS), each NLR quartile showed a progressively worse OS and apparent separation (log-rank P=0.008). The highest 5-year OS rate following CLR (60%) in HCC patients was observed in quartile 1. In contrast, the lowest 5-year OS rate (27%) was obtained in quartile 4.

Conclusions

Stratified NLR may predict significantly improved outcomes and strengthen the predictive power for patient responses to therapeutic intervention.

Association of low-density lipoprotein cholesterol within the normal range and NAFLD in the non-obese Chinese population: a cross-sectional and longitudinal study

OBJECTIVES

The relationship between normal low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-c) levels and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in non-obese individuals remains unclear. We aimed to investigate the precise prevalence and incidence of NAFLD within the normal LDL-c range in non-obese individuals.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional and longitudinal study.

SETTING

Wenzhou Medical Center of Wenzhou People's Hospital from 2010 to 2014.

PARTICIPANTS

183 903 non-obese individuals were enrolled from a cross-sectional population, and a total of 16 173 initially NAFLD-free non-obese individuals were included who completed a 5-year follow-up examination in the longitudinal population.

RESULTS

In our study, NAFLD was defined by ultrasonographic detection of steatosis in the absence of other liver disease. The cross-sectional study showed that at baseline, the prevalence of NAFLD was 13.9% in non-obese individuals with normal LDL-c levels. The prospective study demonstrated that NAFLD-free participants developed NAFLD during the 5-year follow-up period, with a cumulative incidence of 14.4%. In addition, the ORs for NAFLD in the cross-sectional population were 1.11 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.18), 1.37 (95% CI 1.27 to 1.47) and 1.56 (95% CI 1.43 to 1.69), respectively, after adjusting for known confounding variables. The HRs for NAFLD in the longitudinal population were 1.15 (95% CI 0.98 to 1.36), 1.32 (95% CI 1.10 to 1.58) and 1.82 (95% CI 1.47 to 2.52), compared with Q1. Individuals with higher LDL-c level within the normal range had an increased cumulative incidence rate of NAFLD in non-obese individuals.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD is prevalent in the non-obese Chinese population. Furthermore, this is the first study to demonstrate that increased normal LDL-c levels are independently associated with an elevated risk of NAFLD in non-obese individuals.

Methimazole-induced cholestatic hepatitis: two cases report and literature review

Methimazole is commonly prescribed for patients who are thyrotoxic. Cholestatic hepatitis is a rare but serious adverse event which may be associated with interventional therapy. In this case report, we present two Chinese women with cholestatic jaundice due to methimazole treatment. Both patients had a history of hyperthyroidism; initial laboratory studies of liver function were normal and cholestatic hepatitis occurred after treatment with methimazole. Concomitant liver disease, such as viral hepatitis (A, B, C, D, E), autoimmune hepatitis, primary biliary cirrhosis and calculus of bile duct, were excluded. Liver enzyme levels in both patients returned to normal after stopping methimazole therapy and taking hepatoprotective drugs. It is essential that patients are informed about the earliest symptoms of serious adverse effects of antithyroid drugs, such as hepatic toxicity, and that they are advised to stop taking the drug immediately and contact their physician if such symptoms occur.

Targeting endoplasmic reticulum stress in liver disease

INTRODUCTION

The accumulation of unfolded protein in the endoplasmic reticulum (ER) initiates an unfolded protein response (UPR) via three signal transduction cascades, which involve protein kinase RNA-like ER kinase (PERK), inositol requiring enzyme-1α (IRE1α) and activating transcription factor-6α (ATF6α). An ER stress response is observed in nearly all physiologies related to acute and chronic liver disease and therapeutic targeting of the mechanisms implicated in UPR signaling have attracted considerable attention.

AREAS COVERED

This review focuses on the correlation between ER stress and liver disease and the possible targets which may drive the potential for novel therapeutic intervention. Expert Commentary: We describe pathways which are involved in UPR signaling and their potential correlation with various liver diseases and underlying mechanisms which may present opportunities for novel therapeutic strategies are discussed.

New advances in liver decellularization and recellularization: innovative and critical technologies

Techniques for producing decellularized scaffolds for use in liver tissue engineering are emerging as promising methods for tissue reconstruction. In this article, the authors present an overview of liver decellularization methods developed and applied in recent years. These include the widespread use of various perfusion methods for the generation of a 3D scaffold, which may function as a template for either cell recellularization or direct biological application. The authors evaluate methods for scaffold production and explore some factors that may affect the decellularization process. In addition to tissue engineering, this overview includes a description of other potential applications for a decellularized liver scaffold. The authors also introduce the concept of fabrication of fragile biomaterial architecture and finally review the cell types applied to liver scaffold engineering.