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Angelini GD, Reeves BC, Culliford LA, Maishman R, Rogers CA, Anastasiadis K, Antonitsis P, Argiriadou H, Carrel T, Keller D, Liebold A, Ashkaniani F, El-Essawi A, Breitenbach I, Lloyd C, Bennett M, Cale A, Gunaydin S, Gunertem E, Oueida F, Yassin IM, Serrick C, Murkin JM, Rao V, Moscarelli M, Condello I, Punjabi P, Rajakaruna C, Deliopoulos A, Bone D, Lansdown W, Moorjani N, Dennis S. Conventional versus minimally invasive extra-corporeal circulation in patients undergoing cardiac surgery: A randomized controlled trial (COMICS). Perfusion 2024:2676591241258054. [PMID: 38832503 DOI: 10.1177/02676591241258054] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/05/2024]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The trial hypothesized that minimally invasive extra-corporeal circulation (MiECC) reduces the risk of serious adverse events (SAEs) after cardiac surgery operations requiring extra-corporeal circulation without circulatory arrest. METHODS This is a multicentre, international randomized controlled trial across fourteen cardiac surgery centres including patients aged ≥18 and <85 years undergoing elective or urgent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG), isolated aortic valve replacement (AVR) surgery, or CABG + AVR surgery. Participants were randomized to MiECC or conventional extra-corporeal circulation (CECC), stratified by centre and operation. The primary outcome was a composite of 12 post-operative SAEs up to 30 days after surgery, the risk of which MiECC was hypothesized to reduce. Secondary outcomes comprised: other SAEs; all-cause mortality; transfusion of blood products; time to discharge from intensive care and hospital; health-related quality-of-life. Analyses were performed on a modified intention-to-treat basis. RESULTS The trial terminated early due to the COVID-19 pandemic; 1071 participants (896 isolated CABG, 97 isolated AVR, 69 CABG + AVR) with median age 66 years and median EuroSCORE II 1.24 were randomized (535 to MiECC, 536 to CECC). Twenty-six participants withdrew after randomization, 22 before and four after intervention. Fifty of 517 (9.7%) randomized to MiECC and 69/522 (13.2%) randomized to CECC group experienced the primary outcome (risk ratio = 0.732, 95% confidence interval (95% CI) = 0.556 to 0.962, p = 0.025). The risk of any SAE not contributing to the primary outcome was similarly reduced (risk ratio = 0.791, 95% CI 0.530 to 1.179, p = 0.250). CONCLUSIONS MiECC reduces the relative risk of primary outcome events by about 25%. The risk of other SAEs was similarly reduced. Because the trial terminated early without achieving the target sample size, these potential benefits of MiECC are uncertain.
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Heys R, Angelini GD, Joyce K, Smartt H, Culliford L, Maishman R, de Jesus SE, Emanueli C, Suleiman MS, Punjabi P, Rogers CA, Gibbison B. Efficacy of propofol-supplemented cardioplegia on biomarkers of organ injury in patients having cardiac surgery using cardiopulmonary bypass: A protocol for a randomised controlled study (ProMPT2). Perfusion 2024; 39:722-732. [PMID: 36794486 DOI: 10.1177/02676591231157269] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/17/2023]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Cardiac surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass and cardioplegic arrest is known to be responsible for ischaemia and reperfusion organ injury. In a previous study, ProMPT, in patients undergoing coronary artery bypass or aortic valve surgery we demonstrated improved cardiac protection when supplementing the cardioplegia solution with propofol (6 mcg/ml). The aim of the ProMPT2 study is to determine whether higher levels of propofol added to the cardioplegia could result in increased cardiac protection. METHODS AND ANALYSIS The ProMPT2 study is a multi-centre, parallel, three-group, randomised controlled trial in adults undergoing non-emergency isolated coronary artery bypass graft surgery with cardiopulmonary bypass. A total of 240 patients will be randomised in a 1:1:1 ratio to receive either cardioplegia supplementation with high dose of propofol (12 mcg/ml), low dose of propofol (6 mcg/ml) or placebo (saline). The primary outcome is myocardial injury, assessed by serial measurements of myocardial troponin T up to 48 hours after surgery. Secondary outcomes include biomarkers of renal function (creatinine) and metabolism (lactate). ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION The trial received research ethics approval from South Central - Berkshire B Research Ethics Committee and Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency in September 2018. Any findings will be shared though peer-reviewed publications and presented at international and national meetings. Participants will be informed of results through patient organisations and newsletters. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN15255199. Registered in March 2019.
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Walker-Smith T, Fudulu D, Ramesh A, Sheehan K, Madden J, Culliford L, Evans J, D Angelini G, Upton T, Gibbison B. Correction: Challenges and solutions to recruitment of neonates and children having cardiac surgery into a study using a novel sampling device. BMC Res Notes 2024; 17:78. [PMID: 38486302 PMCID: PMC10941439 DOI: 10.1186/s13104-024-06729-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/18/2024] Open
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Chan J, Dong T, Angelini GD. The performance of large language models in intercollegiate Membership of the Royal College of Surgeons examination. Ann R Coll Surg Engl 2024. [PMID: 38445611 DOI: 10.1308/rcsann.2024.0023] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/07/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Large language models (LLM), such as Chat Generative Pre-trained Transformer (ChatGPT) and Bard utilise deep learning algorithms that have been trained on a massive data set of text and code to generate human-like responses. Several studies have demonstrated satisfactory performance on postgraduate examinations, including the United States Medical Licensing Examination. We aimed to evaluate artificial intelligence performance in Part A of the intercollegiate Membership of the Royal College of Surgeons (MRCS) examination. METHODS The MRCS mock examination from Pastest, a commonly used question bank for examinees, was used to assess the performance of three LLMs: GPT-3.5, GPT 4.0 and Bard. Three hundred mock questions were input into the three LLMs, and the responses provided by the LLMs were recorded and analysed. The pass mark was set at 70%. RESULTS The overall accuracies for GPT-3.5, GPT 4.0 and Bard were 67.33%, 71.67% and 65.67%, respectively (p = 0.27). The performances of GPT-3.5, GPT 4.0 and Bard in Applied Basic Sciences were 68.89%, 72.78% and 63.33% (p = 0.15), respectively. Furthermore, the three LLMs obtained correct answers in 65.00%, 70.00% and 69.17% of the Principles of Surgery in General questions (p = 0.67). There were no differences in performance in the overall and subcategories among the three LLMs. CONCLUSIONS Our findings demonstrated satisfactory performance for all three LLMs in the MRCS Part A examination, with GPT 4.0 the only LLM that achieved the pass mark set.
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Harris WM, Sinha S, Caputo M, Angelini GD, Vohra HA. Surgical outcomes and optimal approach to treatment of aortic valve endocarditis with aortic root abscess - systematic review and meta-analysis. Perfusion 2024; 39:256-265. [PMID: 36314050 PMCID: PMC10900848 DOI: 10.1177/02676591221137484] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Data on the postoperative outcomes for patients with infective endocarditis complicated by an aortic root abscess is sparse due to the condition's low incidence and high mortality rates. This systematic review and meta-analysis aims to evaluate existing data on the impact of aortic root abscesses on the postoperative outcomes and to inform optimal surgical approach. METHODS The online databases MEDLINE, EMBASE and Cochrane library were searched from 1990 to 2022 for studies comparing cohorts of surgically managed infective endocarditis patients with and without an aortic root abscess. Data was extracted by two independent investigators and aggregated in a random-effects model. Risk of bias was assessed using an adapted version of the Newcastle-Ottawa scale. RESULTS Six clinical studies were included in the meta-analysis (n 1982). The abscess group was associated with increased in-hospital mortality (OR 1.74 95%: CI 1.18-2.56) and late mortality (HR 1.27 95% CI:1.03-1.58). The reoperation meta-analysis was complicated by high rates of heterogeneity (I2 = 59%) and found no significant differences in reoperation between abscess and no abscess groups (HR=1.48: 95% CI:0.92-2.40). Post-hoc scatter graph showed a strong linear relationship (r 0.998), suggesting hospitals with higher rates of aortic root replacement achieve lower rates of reoperation for aortic root abscess patients compared with patch reconstruction. CONCLUSIONS The presence of an aortic root abscess in aortic valve endocarditis is associated with elevated early and late mortality despite modern standards of care. Additionally, aortic root replacement should be considered to have a favourable postoperative profile for use in this context.
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Smartt H, Angelini GD, Gibbison B, Rogers CA. Efficacy of propofol-supplemented cardioplegia on biomarkers of organ injury in patients having cardiac surgery using cardiopulmonary bypass: a statistical analysis plan for the ProMPT-2 randomised controlled trial. Trials 2024; 25:153. [PMID: 38424570 PMCID: PMC10903038 DOI: 10.1186/s13063-024-08016-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/30/2023] [Accepted: 02/22/2024] [Indexed: 03/02/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND The ProMPT-2 trial (Propofol for Myocardial Protection Trial #2) aims to compare the safety and efficacy of low- and high-dose propofol supplementation of the cardioplegia solution during adult cardiac surgery versus sham supplementation. This update presents the statistical analysis plan, detailing how the trial data will be analysed and presented. Outlined analyses are in line with the Consolidated Standards of Reporting Trials and the statistical analysis plan has been written prior to database lock and the final analysis of trial data to avoid reporting bias (following recommendations from the International Conference on Harmonisation of Good Clinical Practice). METHODS/DESIGN ProMPT-2 is a multi-centre, blinded, parallel three-group randomised controlled trial aiming to recruit 240 participants from UK cardiac surgery centres to either sham cardioplegia supplementation, low dose (6 µg/ml) or high dose (12 µg/ml) propofol cardioplegia supplementation. The primary outcome is cardiac-specific troponin T levels (a biomarker of cardiac injury) measured during the first 48 h following surgery. The statistical analysis plan describes the planned analyses of the trial primary and secondary outcomes in detail, including approaches to deal with missing data, multiple testing, violation of model assumptions, withdrawals from the trial, non-adherence with the treatment and other protocol deviations. It also outlines the planned sensitivity analyses and exploratory analyses to be performed. DISCUSSION This manuscript prospectively describes, prior to the completion of data collection and database lock, the analyses to be undertaken for the ProMPT-2 trial to reduce risk of reporting and data-driven analyses. TRIAL REGISTRATION ISRCTN ISRCTN15255199. Registered on 26 March 2019.
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Chan J, Narayan P, Fudulu DP, Dong T, Angelini GD. Trend in mitral valve prostheses of choice and early outcomes in the United Kingdom. Int J Cardiol 2024; 397:131607. [PMID: 38013051 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2023.131607] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/17/2023] [Revised: 11/17/2023] [Accepted: 11/20/2023] [Indexed: 11/29/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVE Despite the superiority of mitral valve repair, surgical mitral valve replacement (SMVR) remains an important intervention for patients with valve stenosis, infective endocarditis and complex mitral valve degeneration. There has been an increasing popularity in the worldwide use of biological valves due to the avoidance of long-term anti-coagulation and recent advancements in transcatheter techniques. We aim to evaluate the trend, early clinical outcomes and the choice of prostheses use in isolated SMVR over a 23 years period in the United Kingdom. METHODS All patients (n = 13,147) who underwent elective or urgent isolated SMVR from March 1996 to April 2019 were identified from the National Adult Cardiac Surgery Audit database. Trends in clinical outcomes, predicted/observed mortality of patients and the utilization of biological prostheses across 5 different age groups: <50, 50-59, 60-69, 70-79 and ≥80 years old were investigated. Early clinical outcomes associated with the use of mechanical and biological mitral valve prostheses in patients between the age of 60-70 years old were analysed. RESULTS The number of isolated SMVR performed has remained stable with approximately 600 cases annually since 2010. The in-hospital/30-day mortality rate has decreased from 7.41% (1996) to 3.92% (2018), despite the EuroScore II increasing from 1.42% in 1996 to 2.43% in 2018. Biological prostheses usage increased across all age group, and particularly in the 60-69 and 70-79 group, from 17.86% and 53.85% in 1996 to 48.85% and 82.38% in 2018, respectively. The use of mechanical prostheses was reduced in patients between the age of 50-59 from 100% in 1996 to 80.65% in 2018. There were no differences in short term outcomes among patients aged 60-70 years who received either a biological or mechanical prostheses. CONCLUSION There has been a significant reduction in surgical mitral valve replacement early in-hospital mortality, despite an observed increase in the risk profile of patients over 23 years. A shifting trend in valve replacement choices was observed with a rise in the use of biological prostheses, particularly within the 60-69 and 70-79 age group. Early in hospital outcomes for patients aged 60-70 were not determined by the implanted valve type.
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Fudulu DP, Argyriou A, Kota R, Chan J, Vohra H, Caputo M, Zakkar M, Angelini GD. Effect of on-pump vs. off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting in patients with non-dialysis-dependent severe renal impairment: propensity-matched analysis from the UK registry dataset. Front Cardiovasc Med 2024; 11:1341123. [PMID: 38414924 PMCID: PMC10897021 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2024.1341123] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/19/2023] [Accepted: 01/09/2024] [Indexed: 02/29/2024] Open
Abstract
Introduction On-pump coronary artery bypass (ONCABG) grafting in patients with a pre-existing poor renal reserve is known to carry significant morbidity and mortality. There is limited controversial evidence on the benefit of off-pump coronary artery bypass (OPCABG) grafting in these high-risk groups of patients. We compared early clinical outcomes in propensity-matched cohorts of patients with non-dialysis-dependent pre-operative severe renal impairment undergoing OPCABG vs. ONCABG, captured in a large national registry dataset. Methods All data for patients with a pre-operative creatinine clearance of less than 50 mL/min who underwent elective or urgent isolated OPCABG or ONCABG from 1996 to 2019 were extracted from the UK National Adult Cardiac Surgery Audit (NACSA) database. Propensity score matching was performed using 1:1 nearest neighbor matching without replacement using several baseline characteristics. We investigated the effect of ONCABG vs. OPCABG in the matched cohort using cluster-robust standard error regression. Results We identified 8,628 patients with severe renal impairment undergoing isolated CABG, of whom 1,142 (13.23%) underwent OPCABG during the study period. We compared 1,141 propensity-matched pairs of patients undergoing OPCABG vs. ONCABG. The median age of the matched population was 78 years in both groups, with no significant imbalance post-matching in the rest of the variables. There was no difference between OPCABG and ONCABG in in-hospital mortality rates, post-operative dialysis, and stroke rates. However, the return to theatre for bleeding or tamponade was higher in ONCABG vs. OPCABG (P > 0.02); however, OPCABG reduced the total length of stay in the hospital by 1 day (P = 0.008). After double adjustment in the matched population using cluster-robust standard regression, ONCABG did not increase mortality compared to OPCABG (OR, 1.05, P = 0.78), postoperative stroke (OR, 1.7, P = 0.12), and dialysis (OR, 0.7, P = 0.09); however, ONCABG was associated with an increased risk of bleeding (OR, 1.53, P = 0.03). Discussion In this propensity analysis of a large national registry dataset, we found no difference in early mortality and stroke in patients with pre-operative severe renal impairment undergoing OPCABG or ONCABG surgery; however, ONCABG was associated with an increased risk of return to theatre for bleeding and an increased length of hospital stay.
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Chotimol P, Lansdowne W, Machin D, Binas K, Angelini GD, Gibbison B. Hypobaric type oxygenators - physics and physiology. Perfusion 2024:2676591241232824. [PMID: 38323543 DOI: 10.1177/02676591241232824] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 02/08/2024]
Abstract
Brain injury is still a serious complication after cardiac surgery. Gaseous microemboli (GME) are known to contribute to both short and longer-term brain injury after cardiac surgery. Hypobaric and novel dual-chamber oxygenators use the physical behaviors and properties of gases to reduce GME. The aim of this review was to present the basic physics of the gases, the mechanism in which the hypobaric and dual-chamber oxygenators reduce GME, their technical performance, the preclinical studies, and future directions. The gas laws are reviewed as an aid to understanding the mechanisms of action of oxygenators. Hypobaric-type oxygenators employ a high oxygen, no nitrogen environment creating a steep concentration gradient of nitrogen out of the blood and into the oxygenator, reducing the risk of GMEs forming. Adequately powered clinical studies have never been carried out with a hypobaric or dual-chamber oxygenator. These are required before such technology can be recommended for widespread clinical use.
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Narayan P, Dong T, Dimagli A, Fudulu DP, Chan J, Sinha S, Angelini GD. Impact of explanted valve type on aortic valve reoperations: nationwide UK experience. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2024; 65:ezae031. [PMID: 38305431 PMCID: PMC10902681 DOI: 10.1093/ejcts/ezae031] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/29/2023] [Revised: 01/19/2024] [Accepted: 01/29/2024] [Indexed: 02/03/2024] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This nationwide retrospective cohort study assessed the impact of the explanted valve type on reoperative outcomes in aortic valve surgery within the UK over a 23-year period. METHODS Data were sourced from the National Institute for Cardiovascular Outcomes Research (NICOR) database. All patients undergoing first-time isolated reoperative aortic valve replacement between 1996 and 2019 in the UK were included. Concomitant procedures, homograft implantation or aortic root enlargement were excluded. Propensity score matching was utilized to compare outcomes and risk factors for in-hospital mortality was evaluated through multivariable logistic regression. Final model selection was conducted using Akaike Information Criterion through bootstrapping. The primary end point was in-hospital mortality, and secondary end points included postoperative morbidities. RESULTS Out of 2371 patients, 24.9% had mechanical and 75% had bioprosthetic valves implanted during the primary procedure. Propensity matched groups of 324 patients each, were compared. In-hospital mortality for mechanical and bioprosthetic valve explants was 7.1% and 5.9%, respectively (P = 0.632). On multivariable logistic regression analysis, valve type was not a risk factor for mortality [odds ratio (OR) 0.62, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.37-1.05; P = 0.1]. Age (OR 1.03, 95% CI 1.01-1.05; P < 0.05), left ventricular ejection fraction (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.08-2.42; P < 0.05), creatinine ≥ 200 mg/dl (OR 2.21, 95% CI 1.17-4.04; P < 0.05) and endocarditis (OR 2.66, 95% CI 1.71-4.14; P < 0.05) emerged as risk factors for mortality. CONCLUSIONS The type of valve initially implanted (mechanical or bioprosthetic) did not determine mortality. Instead, age, left ventricular ejection fraction, renal impairment and endocarditis were significant risk factors for in-hospital mortality.
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Asta L, Falco D, Benedetto U, Porreca A, Majri F, Angelini GD, Sensi S, Di Giammarco G. Stroke after Cardiac Surgery: A Risk Factor Analysis of 580,117 Patients from UK National Adult Cardiac Surgical Audit Cohort. J Pers Med 2024; 14:169. [PMID: 38392602 PMCID: PMC10890399 DOI: 10.3390/jpm14020169] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/03/2023] [Revised: 01/07/2024] [Accepted: 01/25/2024] [Indexed: 02/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Cerebrovascular accident is the most ominous complication observed after cardiac surgery, carrying an increased risk of morbidity and mortality. Analysis of the problem shows its multidimensional nature. In this study, we aimed to identify major determinants among classic variables, either demographic, clinical or type of surgical procedure, based on the analysis of a large dataset of 580,117 patients from the UK National Adult Cardiac Surgical Audit (NACSA). For this purpose, univariate and multivariate logistic regression models were utilized to determine associations between predictors and dependent variable (Stroke after cardiac surgery). Odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were constructed for each independent variable. Statistical analysis allows us to confirm with greater certainty the predictive value of some variables such as age, gender, diabetes mellitus (diabetes treated with insulin OR = 1.37, 95%CI = 1.23-1.53), and systemic arterial hypertension (OR = 1.11, 95%CI = 1.05-1.16);, to emphasize the role of preoperative atrial fibrillation (OR = 1.10, 95%CI = 1.03-1.16) extracardiac arteriopathy (OR = 1.70, 95%CI = 1.58-1.82), and previous cerebral vascular accident (OR 1.71, 95%CI = 1.6-1.9), and to reappraise others like smoking status (crude OR = 1.00, 95%CI = 0.93-1.07 for current smokers) or BMI (OR = 0.98, 95%CI = 0.97-0.98). This could allow for better preoperative risk stratification. In addition, identifying those surgical procedures (for example thoracic aortic surgery associated with a crude OR of 3.72 and 95%CI = 3.53-3.93) burdened by a high risk of neurological complications may help broaden the field of preventive and protective techniques.
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Dimagli A, Gemelli M, Kumar N, Mitra M, Sinha S, Fudulu D, Harik L, Cancelli G, Soletti G, Olaria RP, Bonaros N, Gaudino M, Angelini GD. A systematic review and meta-analysis of internal thoracic artery harvesting techniques: Skeletonized vs pedicled. Int J Cardiol 2024; 395:131577. [PMID: 37956758 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijcard.2023.131577] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/12/2023] [Revised: 09/14/2023] [Accepted: 11/09/2023] [Indexed: 11/15/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The aim of this meta-analysis was to compare clinical and angiographic outcomes of skeletonized versus pedicled internal thoracic artery for coronary artery bypass grafting. METHODS A comprehensive search on Ovid MEDLINE, Ovid EMBASE and Scopus was performed from inception to December 2022. The primary outcome was follow-up mortality and graft failure. Secondary outcomes were repeat revascularization, cardiovascular death and operative mortality, myocardial infarction, stroke, and sternal wound complications (SWCs). Pooled estimate for follow-up outcomes was summarized as incidence rate ratio (IRR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) while short-term outcomes were pooled as odds ratio (OR) and 95% CI. For all outcomes, inverse variance weighting was used for pooling. RESULTS Twenty-eight studies, including 7 randomized trials and 21 observational studies, for a total of 5664 patients in the skeletonized group and 7434 in the pedicled group, were included in the analysis. At a mean weighted follow-up of 4.8 years, there was no difference in mortality between the two groups (IRR 1.14; 95% CI 0.59-2.20). However, the skeletonized group had a higher incidence of graft failure compared to the pedicled group (IRR 1.87, 95% CI 1.33-2.63) but a lower risk of SWCs (OR 0.42; 95% CI 0.30-0.60). There was no difference in short-term outcomes. CONCLUSIONS Compared to the pedicled harvesting technique, skeletonization of the internal thoracic artery is associated with higher rate of graft failure and lower risk of SWCs without mortality difference.
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Fudulu DP, Dong T, Kota R, Sinha S, Chan J, Rajakaruna C, Dimagli A, Angelini GD, Ahmed EM. In-hospital outcomes predictors and trends of redo sternotomy aortic root replacements: insights from a UK registry analysis. Front Cardiovasc Med 2024; 10:1295968. [PMID: 38259318 PMCID: PMC10801157 DOI: 10.3389/fcvm.2023.1295968] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/17/2023] [Accepted: 12/15/2023] [Indexed: 01/24/2024] Open
Abstract
Background Redo sternotomy aortic root surgery is technically demanding, and the evidence on outcomes is mostly from retrospective, small sample, single-centre studies. We report the trend, early clinical results and outcome predictors of redo aortic root replacement over 20 years in the United Kingdom. Methods We retrospectively analysed collected data from the UK National Adult Cardiac Surgery Audit (NACSA) on all redo sternotomy aortic root replacements performed between 30th January 1998 and 19th March 2019. We analysed trends in the volume of operations, characteristics of hospital survivors vs. non-survivors, and predictors of in-hospital outcomes. Results During the study period, 1,107 redo sternotomy aortic root replacements were performed (median age 59, 26% of patients were females). Eighty-four per cent of cases (N = 931) underwent a composite root replacement, 11% (N = 119) had homograft root replacement and valve-sparing root replacement was performed in 5.1% (N = 57) of cases. There was a steady increase in the volume of redo sternotomy root replacements beyond 2006, from an annual volume of 22 procedures in 2006 to 106 procedures in 2017. Hospital mortality was 17% (n = 192), postoperative stroke or TIA occurred in 5.2% (n = 58), and postoperative dialysis was required in 11% (n = 109) of patients. Return to the theatre for bleeding/tamponade was required in 9% (n = 102) and median in-hospital stay was 9 days. Age >59 (OR: 2.99, CI: 1.92-4.65, P < 0.001), recent myocardial infarction (OR: 6.42, CI: 2.24-18.41, P = 0.001) were associated with increased in-hospital mortality. Emergency surgery (OR: 3.95, 2.27-6.86, P < 0.001), surgery for endocarditis (OR: 2.05, CI: 1.26-3.33, P = 0.001), salvage coronary artery bypass grafting (OR: 2.20, CI: 1.37-3.54, P < 0.001), arch surgery (OR: 2.47, CI: 1.30-3.61, P = 0.018) and aortic cross-clamp longer than 169 min (OR: 2.17, CI: 1.00-1.01, P = 0.003) were associated with increased risk of mortality. We found no effect of the centre or surgeon volume on mortality (P > 0.05). Conclusions Redo sternotomy aortic root replacement still carries significant morbidity and mortality and is sporadically performed across surgeons and centres in the UK.
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McQueen LW, Ladak SS, Layton GR, Wadey K, George SJ, Angelini GD, Murphy GJ, Zakkar M. Osteopontin Activation and Microcalcification in Venous Grafts Can Be Modulated by Dexamethasone. Cells 2023; 12:2627. [PMID: 37998362 PMCID: PMC10670684 DOI: 10.3390/cells12222627] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/28/2023] [Revised: 11/03/2023] [Accepted: 11/06/2023] [Indexed: 11/25/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Osteopontin has been implicated in vascular calcification formation and vein graft intimal hyperplasia, and its expression can be triggered by pro-inflammatory activation of cells. The role of osteopontin and the temporal formation of microcalcification in vein grafts is poorly understood with a lack of understanding of the interaction between haemodynamic changes and the activation of osteopontin. METHODS We used a porcine model of vein interposition grafts, and human long saphenous veins exposed to ex vivo perfusion, to study the activation of osteopontin using polymerase chain reaction, immunostaining, and 18F-sodium fluoride autoradiography. RESULTS The porcine model showed that osteopontin is active in grafts within 1 week following surgery and demonstrated the presence of microcalcification. A brief pretreatment of long saphenous veins with dexamethasone can suppress osteopontin activation. Prolonged culture of veins after exposure to acute arterial haemodynamics resulted in the formation of microcalcification but this was suppressed by pretreatment with dexamethasone. 18F-sodium fluoride uptake was significantly increased as early as 1 week in both models, and the pretreatment of long saphenous veins with dexamethasone was able to abolish its uptake. CONCLUSIONS Osteopontin is activated in vein grafts and is associated with microcalcification formation. A brief pretreatment of veins ex vivo with dexamethasone can suppress its activation and associated microcalcification.
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Dong T, Sunderland N, Nightingale A, Fudulu DP, Chan J, Zhai B, Freitas A, Caputo M, Dimagli A, Mires S, Wyatt M, Benedetto U, Angelini GD. Development and Evaluation of a Natural Language Processing System for Curating a Trans-Thoracic Echocardiogram (TTE) Database. Bioengineering (Basel) 2023; 10:1307. [PMID: 38002431 PMCID: PMC10669818 DOI: 10.3390/bioengineering10111307] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/26/2023] [Revised: 11/03/2023] [Accepted: 11/09/2023] [Indexed: 11/26/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although electronic health records (EHR) provide useful insights into disease patterns and patient treatment optimisation, their reliance on unstructured data presents a difficulty. Echocardiography reports, which provide extensive pathology information for cardiovascular patients, are particularly challenging to extract and analyse, because of their narrative structure. Although natural language processing (NLP) has been utilised successfully in a variety of medical fields, it is not commonly used in echocardiography analysis. OBJECTIVES To develop an NLP-based approach for extracting and categorising data from echocardiography reports by accurately converting continuous (e.g., LVOT VTI, AV VTI and TR Vmax) and discrete (e.g., regurgitation severity) outcomes in a semi-structured narrative format into a structured and categorised format, allowing for future research or clinical use. METHODS 135,062 Trans-Thoracic Echocardiogram (TTE) reports were derived from 146967 baseline echocardiogram reports and split into three cohorts: Training and Validation (n = 1075), Test Dataset (n = 98) and Application Dataset (n = 133,889). The NLP system was developed and was iteratively refined using medical expert knowledge. The system was used to curate a moderate-fidelity database from extractions of 133,889 reports. A hold-out validation set of 98 reports was blindly annotated and extracted by two clinicians for comparison with the NLP extraction. Agreement, discrimination, accuracy and calibration of outcome measure extractions were evaluated. RESULTS Continuous outcomes including LVOT VTI, AV VTI and TR Vmax exhibited perfect inter-rater reliability using intra-class correlation scores (ICC = 1.00, p < 0.05) alongside high R2 values, demonstrating an ideal alignment between the NLP system and clinicians. A good level (ICC = 0.75-0.9, p < 0.05) of inter-rater reliability was observed for outcomes such as LVOT Diam, Lateral MAPSE, Peak E Velocity, Lateral E' Velocity, PV Vmax, Sinuses of Valsalva and Ascending Aorta diameters. Furthermore, the accuracy rate for discrete outcome measures was 91.38% in the confusion matrix analysis, indicating effective performance. CONCLUSIONS The NLP-based technique yielded good results when it came to extracting and categorising data from echocardiography reports. The system demonstrated a high degree of agreement and concordance with clinician extractions. This study contributes to the effective use of semi-structured data by providing a useful tool for converting semi-structured text to a structured echo report that can be used for data management. Additional validation and implementation in healthcare settings can improve data availability and support research and clinical decision-making.
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Al-Zubaidi FI, Pufulete M, Salmasi MY, Angelini GD, Vohra HA. Sex-Based Differences in Early Outcomes Following Mitral Valve Surgery for Degenerative Disease. Heart Surg Forum 2023; 26:E566-E576. [PMID: 37920070 DOI: 10.59958/hsf.6741] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/21/2023] [Accepted: 10/09/2023] [Indexed: 11/04/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To determine whether sex-based differences exist following surgery for degenerative mitral valve disease. METHODS Using a national database, we analysed data on mitral valve surgery for degenerative disease (n = 22,658) between January 2000 and March 2019 in the UK. We split the cohort into men (n = 14,681) and women (n = 7977) and compared background characteristics, intraoperative variables and early postoperative outcomes. Our primary outcome was hospital mortality; secondary outcomes included re-exploration for bleeding, prolonged admission (>10 days) and mitral replacement. We used binary logistic regression models for all outcomes, with multiplicative interaction terms to determine the nature of any differences. RESULTS Women presented older (70 ± 11 years vs. 67 ± 11 years, p < 0.001) with worse symptom profiles (New York Heart Association Class III-IV 57% vs. 44%, p < 0.001). They had higher rates of preoperative atrial fibrillation (39% vs. 35%, p < 0.001) and tricuspid disease requiring surgery (21% vs. 15%, p < 0.001). They had lower repair rates (66% vs. 76%, p < 0.001), higher mortality (3% vs. 2%, p < 0.001) and were more likely to have a prolonged admission (48% vs. 40%, p < 0.001). Female sex was an independent predictor of mortality (odds ratio (OR): 1.52, 95% CI: 1.21-1.90, p < 0.001). Age and Canadian Cardiovascular Society (CCS) score showed significant interactions with sex. The relationship between advancing age and mortality was found to be more pronounced in women. CONCLUSIONS (1) Female sex is an independent predictor of hospital mortality, prolonged hospital admission and mitral valve replacement. (2) The relationship between female sex and mortality is exacerbated by worsening CCS score and advancing age. (3) Women have significantly lower repair rates.
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Fudulu DP, Layton GR, Nguyen B, Sinha S, Dimagli A, Guida G, Abbasciano R, Viviano A, Angelini GD, Zakkar M. Trends and outcomes of concomitant aortic valve replacement and coronary artery bypass grafting in the UK and a survey of practices. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2023; 64:ezad259. [PMID: 37462523 PMCID: PMC10580967 DOI: 10.1093/ejcts/ezad259] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/05/2022] [Revised: 07/03/2023] [Indexed: 10/18/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Concomitant revascularization of coronary artery disease at the same time as treatment for aortic valvopathy favourably impacts survival. However, combined surgery may be associated with increased adverse outcomes compared to aortic valve replacement (AVR) or coronary artery bypass grafting in isolation. METHODS We retrospectively analyzed all patients who underwent AVR with bypass grafting between February 1996 and March 2019 using data from the National Adult Cardiac Surgery Audit. We used a generalized mixed-effects model to assess the effect of the number and type of bypass grafts associated with surgical AVR on in-hospital mortality, postoperative stroke, and the need for renal dialysis. Furthermore, we conducted an international cross-sectional survey of cardiac surgeons to explore their views about concomitant AVR with coronary bypass grafting interventions. RESULTS Fifty-one thousand two hundred and seventy-two patients were included in the study. Patients receiving 2 or more bypass grafts demonstrated more significant preoperative comorbidity and disease severity. Patients undergoing 2 and >2 grafts in addition to AVR had increased mortality as compared to patients undergoing AVR and only 1 graft [odds ratio (OR) 1.17, 95% confidence interval (CI) [1.05-1.30], P = 0.005 and OR 1.15, 95% CI [1.02-1.30], P = 0.024 respectively]. A single arterial conduit was associated with a reduction in mortality (OR 0.75, 95% CI [0.68-0.82], P < 0.001) and postoperative dialysis (OR 0.87, 95% CI [0.78-0.96], P = 0.006), but this association was lost with >1 arterial conduit. One hundred and three surgeons responded to our survey, with only a small majority believing that the number of bypass grafts can influence short- or long-term postoperative outcomes in these patients, and an almost equal split in responders supporting the use of staged or hybrid interventions for patients with concomitant pathology. CONCLUSIONS The number of grafts performed during combined AVR and coronary artery bypass grafting is associated with increased morbidity and mortality. The use of an arterial graft was also associated with reduced mortality. Future studies are needed to assess the effect of incomplete revascularization and measure long-term outcomes. Based on our data, current published evidence, and the collective expert opinion we gathered, we endorse future work to investigate the short and long-term efficacy and safety of hybrid intervention for patients with concomitant advanced coronary and aortic valve disease.
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Narayan P, Dimagli A, Fudulu DP, Sinha S, Dong T, Chan J, Angelini GD. Risk Factors and Outcomes of Reoperative Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement in the United Kingdom. Ann Thorac Surg 2023; 116:759-766. [PMID: 36716908 DOI: 10.1016/j.athoracsur.2022.12.045] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/08/2022] [Revised: 12/07/2022] [Accepted: 12/29/2022] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Mortality after reoperative aortic valve surgery continues to decline but remains high compared with primary isolated replacement. We sought to examine temporal trends, morbidity, and mortality among patients undergoing isolated first-time reoperative aortic valve surgery. METHODS The study included all patients undergoing reoperative aortic valve surgery in the United Kingdom between January 2007 and March 2019. Patients undergoing isolated reoperative aortic valve replacement (AVR) were compared with a propensity matched cohort of patients undergoing isolated primary AVR. Outcomes measured included inhospital mortality, neurologic dysfunction, postoperative dialysis, deep sternal wound infections, and hospital length of stay. RESULTS During the study period, 40,858 primary isolated AVRs and 3015 first-time isolated reoperative AVRs were carried out in the United Kingdom. In the propensity matched reoperative group, median age of participants was 69.8 years (60.8-76.2) with median duration between the initial surgery and the reoperation being 7.69 years. Overall mortality was 3.1% (94) for reoperative AVR compared with 1.9% (56) for primary AVR. Mortality of both primary and reoperative AVR declined during the study period. Reoperation, age, New York Heart Association class, and chronic kidney disease were independently associated with early mortality. CONCLUSIONS Reoperative isolated AVR can be performed with acceptable inhospital mortality and provides a benchmark against which alternative strategies should be compared.
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Moscarelli M, Prestera R, Pernice V, Milo S, Violante F, Cuffari F, Di Pasquale C, Ferlisi A, Speziale G, Angelini GD, Fattouch K. Subclinical Leaflet Thrombosis Following Surgical and Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement: A Meta-Analysis. Am J Cardiol 2023; 204:171-177. [PMID: 37544140 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2023.07.089] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/18/2023] [Accepted: 07/13/2023] [Indexed: 08/08/2023]
Abstract
Subclinical leaflets valve thrombosis (SLT) is a recently identified phenomenon with multidetector computer tomography after tissue aortic valve replacement. Whether SLT is more frequent after transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) or surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) is currently not known. Thus, the aim of this pairwise meta-analysis was to investigate the incidence of SLT after both TAVR and SAVR, the association with anticoagulation therapy, and the risk for neurological events. We searched PubMed, Google Scholar, and Ovid MEDLINE/Embase (January 02, 2023, last update) (PROSPERO registration: CRD42022383295). Statistical analysis was performed according to a prespecified statistical analysis plan. Time-to-event outcomes were summarized as incidence rate ratios (IRR). Pooled estimates were calculated using inverse variance method and random effect model. Overall, 2 registries, 2 randomized trials, and 1 observational study (1,593 patients) were included in this meta-analysis. There was a statistically significant difference in the incidence rate at follow-up of SLT between patients who underwent TAVR and SAVR (IRR 2.07, 95% confidence interval [CI]: [1.06; 4.03], I2 79%, 95% CI: [44; 92], p = 0.03). Oral anticoagulation therapy was associated with a reduced incidence of SLT (IRR 7.51, 95% CI: [3.24; 17.37], I2 62%, 95% CI: [0; 87], p <0.001). However, the incidence of later neurological events did not differ between patients with or without SLT (IRR 1.05, 95% CI: [0.32; 3.47], p = 0.93). In conclusion, SLT was more frequently detected after TAVR than SAVR. However, it was not associated with an increased risk for neurological events. Oral anticoagulation therapy seemed to reduce the incidence of SLT.
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Aktaa S, Batra G, James SK, Blackman DJ, Ludman PF, Mamas MA, Abdel-Wahab M, Angelini GD, Czerny M, Delgado V, De Luca G, Agricola E, Foldager D, Hamm CW, Iung B, Mangner N, Mehilli J, Murphy GJ, Mylotte D, Parma R, Petronio AS, Popescu BA, Sondergaard L, Teles RC, Sabaté M, Terkelsen CJ, Testa L, Wu J, Maggioni AP, Wallentin L, Casadei B, Gale CP. Data standards for transcatheter aortic valve implantation: the European Unified Registries for Heart Care Evaluation and Randomised Trials (EuroHeart). EUROPEAN HEART JOURNAL. QUALITY OF CARE & CLINICAL OUTCOMES 2023; 9:529-536. [PMID: 36195332 PMCID: PMC10405164 DOI: 10.1093/ehjqcco/qcac063] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/23/2022] [Revised: 09/26/2022] [Accepted: 09/30/2022] [Indexed: 11/07/2022]
Abstract
AIMS Standardized data definitions are necessary for the quantification of quality of care and patient outcomes in observational studies and randomised controlled trials (RCTs). The European Unified Registries for Heart Care Evaluation and Randomised Trials (EuroHeart) project of the European Society of Cardiology (ESC) aims to create pan-European data standards for cardiovascular diseases and interventions, including transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI). METHODS AND RESULTS We followed the EuroHeart methodology for cardiovascular data standard development. A Working Group of 29 members representing 12 countries was established and included a patient representative, as well as experts in the management of valvular heart disease from the European Association of Percutaneous Cardiovascular Interventions (EAPCI), the European Association of Cardiovascular Imaging (EACVI) and the Working Group on Cardiovascular Surgery. We conducted a systematic review of the literature and used a modified Delphi method to reach consensus on a final set of variables. For each variable, the Working Group provided a definition, permissible values, and categorized the variable as mandatory (Level 1) or additional (Level 2) based on its clinical importance and feasibility. In total, 93 Level 1 and 113 Level 2 variables were selected, with the level 1 variables providing the dataset for registration of patients undergoing TAVI on the EuroHeart IT platform. CONCLUSION This document provides details of the EuroHeart data standards for TAVI processes of care and in-hospital outcomes. In the context of EuroHeart, this will facilitate quality improvement, observational research, registry-based RCTs and post-marketing surveillance of devices, and pharmacotherapies. ONE-SENTENCE SUMMARY The EuroHeart data standards for transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) are a set of internationally agreed data variables and definitions that once implemented will facilitate improvement of quality of care and outcomes for patients receiving TAVI.
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Chan J, Dimagli A, Dong T, Fudulu DP, Sinha S, Angelini GD. Trend and early clinical outcomes of off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting in the UK. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2023; 64:ezad272. [PMID: 37522886 PMCID: PMC10876163 DOI: 10.1093/ejcts/ezad272] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/23/2023] [Revised: 06/21/2023] [Accepted: 07/29/2023] [Indexed: 08/01/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES The popularity of off-pump coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) varies across the world, ranging from 20% in Europe and the USA to 56% in Asia. We present the trend and early clinical outcomes in off pump in the UK. METHODS All patients who underwent elective or urgent isolated CABG from 1996 to 2019 were extracted from the National Adult Cardiac Surgery Audit database. The trend in operating surgeons and units volume and training in off pump were analysed. Early clinical outcomes between off- and on-pump CABG were compared using propensity score matching. RESULTS A total of 351 422 patients were included. The overall off-pump rate during the study period was 15.17%, it peaked in 2008 (19.8%), followed by a steady decreased to 2018 (7.63%). Its adoption varied across centres and surgeons, ranging from <1% to 48.36% and <1% to 85.5%, respectively, of total cases performed. After propensity score matching for the period 1996-2019, off pump, when compared to on pump, was associated with a lower in-hospital/30-day mortality (1.2% vs 1.5%, P < 0.001), return to theatre (3.7% vs 4.5%, P < 0.001), cerebrovascular accident (transient ischaemic attack: 0.3% vs 0.6%, stroke: 0.3% vs 0.6%, P < 0.001) and deep sternal wound infection (0.8% vs 1.2%, P ≤ 0.001). In a sub-analysis from the introduction of EuroScore II (2012-2019), there were no differences in-hospital/30-day mortality (1.0% vs 1.0%, P = 0.71). However, on pump, had a higher return to theatre (4.2% vs 2.7%, P < 0.001), cerebrovascular accident (transient ischaemic attack: 0.4% vs 0.2%, stroke: 0.5% vs 0.3%, P = 0.003) and deep sternal wound infection (1.0% vs 0.6%, P = 0.004). CONCLUSIONS Our data show a decreasing trend in the use of off pump in the UK since 2008. This is likely to be multifactorial and raises the question of whether it should be a specialized revascularization technique.
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Sinha S, Dong T, Dimagli A, Vohra HA, Holmes C, Benedetto U, Angelini GD. Comparison of machine learning techniques in prediction of mortality following cardiac surgery: analysis of over 220 000 patients from a large national database. Eur J Cardiothorac Surg 2023; 63:ezad183. [PMID: 37154705 PMCID: PMC10275911 DOI: 10.1093/ejcts/ezad183] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/07/2022] [Revised: 04/19/2023] [Accepted: 05/05/2023] [Indexed: 05/10/2023] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES To perform a systematic comparison of in-hospital mortality risk prediction post-cardiac surgery, between the predominant scoring system-European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II, logistic regression (LR) retrained on the same variables and alternative machine learning techniques (ML)-random forest (RF), neural networks (NN), XGBoost and weighted support vector machine. METHODS Retrospective analyses of prospectively routinely collected data on adult patients undergoing cardiac surgery in the UK from January 2012 to March 2019. Data were temporally split 70:30 into training and validation subsets. Mortality prediction models were created using the 18 variables of EuroSCORE II. Comparisons of discrimination, calibration and clinical utility were then conducted. Changes in model performance, variable-importance over time and hospital/operation-based model performance were also reviewed. RESULTS Of the 227 087 adults who underwent cardiac surgery during the study period, there were 6258 deaths (2.76%). In the testing cohort, there was an improvement in discrimination [XGBoost (95% confidence interval (CI) area under the receiver operator curve (AUC), 0.834-0.834, F1 score, 0.276-0.280) and RF (95% CI AUC, 0.833-0.834, F1, 0.277-0.281)] compared with EuroSCORE II (95% CI AUC, 0.817-0.818, F1, 0.243-0.245). There was no significant improvement in calibration with ML and retrained-LR compared to EuroSCORE II. However, EuroSCORE II overestimated risk across all deciles of risk and over time. The calibration drift was lowest in NN, XGBoost and RF compared with EuroSCORE II. Decision curve analysis showed XGBoost and RF to have greater net benefit than EuroSCORE II. CONCLUSIONS ML techniques showed some statistical improvements over retrained-LR and EuroSCORE II. The clinical impact of this improvement is modest at present. However the incorporation of additional risk factors in future studies may improve upon these findings and warrants further study.
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Al-Zubaidi F, Pufulete M, Sinha S, Kendall S, Moorjani N, Caputo M, Angelini GD, Vohra HA. Mitral repair versus replacement: 20-year outcome trends in the UK (2000-2019). INTERDISCIPLINARY CARDIOVASCULAR AND THORACIC SURGERY 2023; 36:ivad086. [PMID: 37208195 PMCID: PMC10250075 DOI: 10.1093/icvts/ivad086] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/29/2023] [Revised: 05/10/2023] [Accepted: 05/18/2023] [Indexed: 05/21/2023]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES Using a large national database, we sought to describe outcome trends in mitral valve surgery between 2000 and 2019. METHODS The study cohort was split into mitral valve repair (MVr) or replacement, including all patients regardless of concomitant procedures. Patients were grouped by four-year admission periods into groups (A to E). The primary outcome was in hospital mortality and secondary outcomes were return to theatre, postoperative stroke and postoperative length of stay. We investigated trends over time in patient demographics, comorbidities, intraoperative characteristics and postoperative outcomes. We used a multivariable binary logistic regression model to assess the relationship between mortality and time. Cohorts were further stratified by sex and aetiology. RESULTS Of the 63 000 patients in the study cohort, 31 644 had an MVr and 31 356 had a replacement. Significant demographic shifts were observed. Aetiology has shifted towards degenerative disease; endocarditis rates in MVr dropped initially but are now rising (period A = 6%, period C = 4%, period E = 6%; P < 0.001). The burden of comorbidities has increased over time. In the latest time period, women had lower repair rates (49% vs 67%, P < 0.001) and higher mortality rates when undergoing repair (3% vs 2%, P = 0.001) than men. Unadjusted postoperative mortality dropped in MVr (5% vs 2%, P < 0.001) and replacement (9% vs 7%, P = 0.015). Secondary outcomes have improved. Time period was an independent predictor for reduced mortality in both repair (odds ratio: 0.41, 95% confidence interval: 0.28-0.61, P < 0.001) and replacement (odds ratio: 0.50, 95% confidence interval: 0.41-0.61, P < 0.001). CONCLUSIONS In-hospital mortality has dropped significantly over time for mitral valve surgery in the UK. MVr has become the more common procedure. Sex-based discrepancies in repair rates and mortality require further investigation. Endocarditis rates in MVS are rising.
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Kota R, Gemelli M, Dimagli A, Suleiman S, Moscarelli M, Dong T, Angelini GD, Fudulu DP. Patterns of cytokine release and association with new onset of post-cardiac surgery atrial fibrillation. Front Surg 2023; 10:1205396. [PMID: 37325422 PMCID: PMC10266410 DOI: 10.3389/fsurg.2023.1205396] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/13/2023] [Accepted: 05/17/2023] [Indexed: 06/17/2023] Open
Abstract
Introduction Postoperative Atrial Fibrillation (POAF) is a common complication of cardiac surgery, associated with increased mortality, stroke risk, cardiac failure and prolonged hospital stay. Our study aimed to assess the patterns of release of systemic cytokines in patients with and without POAF. Methods A post-hoc analysis of the Remote Ischemic Preconditioning (RIPC) trial, including 121 patients (93 males and 28 females, mean age of 68 years old) who underwent isolated coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) and aortic valve replacement (AVR). Mixed-effect models were used to analyze patterns of release of cytokines in POAF and non-AF patients. A logistic regression model was used to assess the effect of peak cytokine concentration (6 h after the aortic cross-clamp release) alongside other clinical predictors on the development of POAF. Results We found no significant difference in the patterns of release of IL-6 (p = 0.52), IL-10 (p = 0.39), IL-8 (p = 0.20) and TNF-α (p = 0.55) between POAF and non-AF patients. Also, we found no significant predictive value in peak concentrations of IL-6 (p = 0.2), IL-8 (p = >0.9), IL-10 (p = >0.9) and Tumour Necrosis Factor Alpha (TNF-α)(p = 0.6), however age and aortic cross-clamp time were significant predictors of POAF development across all models. Conclusions Our study suggests no significant association exists between cytokine release patterns and the development of POAF. Age and Aortic Cross-clamp time were found to be significant predictors of POAF.
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Todd R, Rogers CA, Pufulete M, Culliford L, Pretorius P, Voets N, Akowuah E, Sayeed R, Lazaroo M, Kaur S, Angelini GD, Gibbison B. Efficacy and safety of carbon dioxide insufflation for brain protection for patients undergoing planned left-sided open heart valve surgery: protocol for a multicentre, placebo-controlled, blinded, randomised controlled trial (the CO2 Study). BMJ Open 2023; 13:e074221. [PMID: 37197819 DOI: 10.1136/bmjopen-2023-074221] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/19/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Brain injury is common following open heart valve surgery. Carbon dioxide insufflation (CDI) has been proposed to reduce the incidence of brain injury by reducing the number of air microemboli entering the bloodstream in surgery. The CO2 Study will evaluate the efficacy and safety of CDI in patients undergoing planned left-sided open heart valve surgery. METHODS AND ANALYSIS The CO2 Study is a multicentre, blinded, placebo-controlled, randomised controlled trial. Seven-hundred and four patients aged 50 years and over undergoing planned left-sided heart valve surgery will be recruited to the study, from at least eight UK National Health Service hospitals, and randomised in a 1:1 ratio to receive CDI or medical air insufflation (placebo) in addition to standard de-airing. Insufflation will be delivered at a flow rate of 5 L/min from before the initiation of cardiopulmonary bypass until 10 min after cardiopulmonary bypass weaning. Participants will be followed up until 3 months post-surgery. The primary outcome is acute ischaemic brain injury within 10 days post-surgery based on new brain lesions identified with diffusion-weighted MRI or clinical evidence of permanent brain injury according to the current definition of stroke. ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION The study was approved by the East Midlands-Nottingham 2 Research Ethics Committee in June 2020 and the Medicines and Healthcare products Regulatory Agency in May 2020. All participants will provide written informed consent prior to undertaking any study assessments. Consent will be obtained by the principal investigator or a delegated member of the research team who has been trained in the study and undergone Good Clinical Practice training. Results will be disseminated through peer-reviewed publications and presentations at national and international meetings. Study participants will be informed of results through study notifications and patient organisations. TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER ISRCTN30671536.
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