Association of point-of-care testing for sST2 with clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized with heart failure

AIMS

This study aimed to investigate the association of soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (sST2) measured by point-of-care testing assay with clinical outcomes in patients hospitalized with heart failure after adjusting for other predictors including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT).

METHODS

A total of 1726 consecutive patients hospitalized with heart failure from July 2015 to December 2021 were enrolled. Baseline serum sST2 concentrations were measured by immunofluorescence assay. Primary endpoint event was the composite of all-cause death, heart transplantation, or left ventricular assist device.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up duration of 682 days, 434 patients (25.1%) suffered from primary endpoint events. Baseline sST2 remained an independent predictor of the primary endpoint event in patients hospitalized with heart failure after adjusting for other predictors including NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT [per log (unit) increase, adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) (CI): 1.20 (1.09, 1.32), P < 0.001]. And baseline sST2 had a better prognostic value for patients with chronic decompensated heart failure [per log (unit) increase, adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.19 (1.07, 1.31)] than for those with acute new onset heart failure [per log (unit) increase, adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.28 (0.94, 1.75), P value for interaction <0.001], as well as a better prognostic value for patients with New York Heart Association (NYHA) functional class I-II [per log (unit) increase, adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.67 (1.11, 2.52)] than for those with NYHA functional class III-IV [per log (unit) increase, adjusted HR (95% CI): 1.18 (1.07, 1.31), P value for interaction <0.001]. Baseline sST2 was also a good predictor of the primary endpoint event in patients hospitalized with heart failure at 1 month, 3 months, 1 year and 2 years (area under the curve: 0.789, 0.775, 0.736 and 0.733, respectively), and the best cut-off values were 27.2 ng/ml, 27.1 ng/ml, 27.1 ng/ml and 25.1 ng/ml, respectively. Furthermore, baseline sST2 could provide additional prognostic value when added to baseline NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT (all P values <0.05). According to the category of elevated biomarkers (including NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, and sST2), patients with three elevated biomarkers had a higher risk of the primary endpoint event compared with those with one or two elevated biomarkers (all P values <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Baseline sST2 remained an independent predictor of adverse events after adjusting for other predictors including NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT, particularly in patients with chronic decompensated heart failure and NYHA functional class I-II. And in the basis of baseline NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT, adding baseline sST2 could provide additional prognostic value for patients hospitalized with heart failure.

Improved Prognostic Performance of Right Atrial Pressure-Corrected Cardiac Power Output in Pulmonary Hypertension and Heart Failure with Preserved Ejection Fraction

Cardiac power output (CPO) is a powerful predictor of adverse outcomes in heart failure (HF). However, the original formula of CPO included the difference between mean arterial pressure and right atrial pressure (RAP). The prognostic performance of RAP-corrected CPO (CPORAP) remains unknown in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF). We studied 101 HF patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction > 40% who had pulmonary hypertension due to left heart disease. CPORAP was significantly more discriminating than CPO in predicting outcomes (Delong test, P = 0.004). Twenty-five (24.8%) patients presented with dis-concordantly high CPORAP and low CPO when stratified by the identified CPORAP threshold of 0.547 W and the accepted CPO threshold of 0.803 W. These patients had the lowest RAP, and their cumulative incidence was comparable with those with concordantly high CPO and CPORAP (P = 0.313). CPORAP might identify patients with right ventricular involvement, thereby providing better prognostic performance than CPO in HFpEF.

[The long-term efficacy of metformin in megestrol acetate-based fertility-sparing treatment for patients with endometrial atypical hyperplasia and endometrioid endometrial cancer]

Objective: To assess the long-term efficacy of metformin in megestrol acetate (MA)-based fertility-sparing treatment for patients with endometrial atypical hyperplasia (EAH) and endometrioid endometrial cancer (EEC). Methods: The randomized controlled trail study was conducted from October 2013 to October 2017 in the Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital of Fudan University, Shanghai, China. Patients with EAH or EEC were firstly stratified according to pathology, and randomized to receive MA (160 mg orally, daily) plus metformin (500 mg orally, three times a day) or MA (160 mg orally, daily). Baseline data between two groups of patients were compared. Estimates of time to complete remission (CR) and recurrence-free survival (RFS) were calculated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) of related factors for recurrence-free survival. Quantitative data were represented by M (Q1, Q3). Results: A total of 150 patients were included, and 76 patients were allocated to receive MA plus metformin with the age of 32.5 (28.0, 36.0), while 74 patients received MA alone with the age of 32.0 (28.0, 36.0). By the end of follow-up period, 96.7% (n=145) of patients achieved complete remission, with a median follow-up time of 57.7 (26.7, 70.5) months. The median CR time for the MA plus metformin group and the MA alone group were 6.3 (3.5, 8.3) months and 6.8 (4.0, 9.3) months, respectively (P=0.193), with 2-year cumulative CR rate of 98.6% and 98.5%, respectively (P=0.879). The median time of RFS was 28.1 (12.5, 57.3) months for the MA plus metformin group and 33.3 (14.1, 62.5) months for the MA alone group (P=0.213), with a cumulative RFS rate of 61.9% and 65.8%, respectively (P=0.560). In the subgroup of non-obese (body mass index<28 kg/m2) patients with EAH, the median RFS times were 25.7 (7.6, 60.3) months and 47.3 (17.5, 64.8) months for the MA plus metformin group and the MA alone group, respectively (P=0.033), with a cumulative RFS rate of 57.5% and 80.6%, respectively (P=0.029). According to Cox proportional hazards regression analysis, undergoing assisted reproductive treatment (HR=2.358, 95%CI: 1.069-5.204, P=0.034) was identified as an independent risk factor for recurrence-free survival after complete remission of endometrial lesions. Conclusion: The long-term follow-up outcome indicates that there is no significant difference in CR time and RFS time between MA plus metformin therapy and MA alone therapy for patients with EAH or EEC.

Sex differences in the associations between relative fat mass and all-cause and cardiovascular mortality: A population-based prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The novel sex-specific anthropometric equation relative fat mass (RFM) is a new estimator of whole-body fat %. The study aimed to investigate the predictive role of RFM in cardiometabolic abnormalities, cardiovascular disease (CVD), all-cause and cardiovascular mortality, and explored potential sex differences.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The study analyzed data from 26,754 adults in NHANES 1999-2010, with a median follow-up of 13.8 years. The correlation between RFM and body composition as well as fat distribution assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry was investigated. Weighted multivariable generalized linear models, Cox proportional hazards models and restricted cubic spline were applied to investigate the predictive role of RFM in metabolic markers, cardiovascular risk factors, CVD, all-cause and cardiovascular mortality. RFM exhibited a robust correlation with both whole-body fat % and trunk fat %. Higher RFM exhibited a stronger association with impaired glucose homeostasis, serum lipids, the incidence of hypertension, and coronary heart disease in males, while a stronger association with C-reactive protein in females. A U-shaped association between RFM and all-cause mortality was observed only in males. The hazard ratio (HR) of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality in males increased rapidly when RFM exceeded 30. However, in females, the HR of all-cause and cardiovascular mortality fluctuated until RFM exceeded 45, after which it increased rapidly.

CONCLUSION

RFM was a sex-specific estimator for both general and central obesity, sex-specific differences in predicting cardiometabolic abnormalities and adverse events using RFM might be partially attributed to differences in body composition and fat distribution between sexes.

The Clinical Significance of Subtle Distal Fallopian Tube Abnormalities: A Multicentre Prospective Observational Study

Background

Subtle distal fallopian tube abnormalities are a group of diseases characterised by small variations in tubal anatomy. The clinical significance of these abnormalities need to be studied.

Objectives

The purpose of this multicentre prospective observational study was to investigate whether subtle distal fallopian tube abnormalities are related to infertility and endometriosis.

Materials and Methods

The investigation was carried out in five medical centres in China and France from February to July 2021 and included reproductive-age patients who underwent gynaecological laparoscopy. Subtle abnormalities included Hydatid of Morgagni (HM) , fimbrial agglutination, tubal diverticula, accessory ostium, fimbrial phimosis, and accessory fallopian tube.

Results

642 patients were enrolled in the study and 257 (40.0%) were diagnosed with subtle tube abnormalities. Hydatid of Morgagni was the most common abnormality (22.7%; n=146), followed by fimbrial agglutination (19.8%; n=127), tubal diverticula (6.9%; n=44), accessory tube (2.0%; n=13), and tubal accessory ostium (1.9%; n=12). Fimbrial phimosis was the least common abnormality (0.3%; n=2). The prevalence of subtle fallopian tube abnormalities was significantly higher among infertile patients (188/375, 50.1%) than those without history of infertility (69/267, 25.8%, ᶍ2=38.332, P=0.000). 209 patients were diagnosed with endometriosis during surgery, and the prevalence of subtle abnormalities was significantly higher in the endometriosis group than in those without endometriosis (61.2%, [128/209] vs. 29.8% [129/433], ᶍ2=58.086, P=0.000).

Conclusions

Higher prevalence of subtle tubal abnormalities suggests that they may contribute to infertility. They are highly related to endometriosis and indicate fimbrial abnormalities of endometriosis.

What is new?

This is the largest multicentre study to investigate the subtle distal fallopian tube abnormalities in infertile women. Compared to previous studies, this study includes the main subtle distal abnormalities and the control group patients without a history of infertility.

[Evaluation of the efficacy and safety of intravenous infusion of ferric derisomaltose in the treatment of iron deficiency anemia: a single-center retrospective analysis]

Objective: To investigate the clinical efficacy and safety of ferric derisomaltose injection versus iron sucrose injection in the treatment of iron deficiency anemia (IDA) . Methods: A total of 120 patients with iron deficiency anemia admitted from June 2021 to March 2023 were given intravenous iron supplementation with ferric derisomaltose to assess the efficacy and safety of hemoglobin (HGB) elevation before and after treatment. Simultaneously, the clinical effects of iron supplementation with iron sucrose were compared to those of inpatient patients during the same period. Results: Baseline values were comparable in both groups. Within 12 weeks of treatment, the elevated HGB level in the ferric derisomaltose group was higher than that of the iron sucrose group, with a statistical difference at all time points, and the proportion of HGB increased over 20 g/L in the patients treated for 4 weeks was higher (98.7%, 75.9% ). During the treatment with ferric derisomaltose and iron sucrose, the proportion of mild adverse reactions in the ferric derisomaltose group was slightly lower than that of the iron sucrose group, and neither group experienced any serious adverse reactions. The patients responded well to the infusion treatment, with no reports of pain or pigmentation at the injection site. Conclusion: The treatment of IDA patients with ferric derisomaltose has a satisfactory curative effect, with the advantages of rapidity, accuracy, and safety. Therefore, it is worthy of widespread clinical use.

[Advances in chest imaging in early chronic obstructive pulmonary disease]

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease(COPD)is a heterogeneous and complex disease, and is characterized by exertional dyspnea and chronic cough. For many years, lung function testing have been used to diagnose COPD, but the sensitivity of lung function testing is low, so there is an urgent need for more sensitive diagnostic methods that show early changes in pathology. In recent years, with the rapid development of HRCT, quantitative CT, new magnetic resonance imaging technology, optical coherence tomography (OCT), artificial intelligence, electrical impedance tomography, etc, it provides a basis for the early diagnosis of COPD. This article reviewed the progress in imaging studies of early COPD in recent years.

Estimated plasma volume status adds prognostic value to hemodynamic parameters in advanced heart failure

BACKGROUND

Estimated plasma volume status (ePVS) is a marker of intravascular congestion and has prognostic value in patients with heart failure (HF). The elevation of intracardiac filling pressures is defined as hemodynamic congestion and is also associated with poor prognosis. However, the relationship between intravascular congestion and hemodynamic congestion remains unclear. This study sought to explore the correlation between ePVS and hemodynamic parameters and determine the association between ePVS and clinical outcomes in patients with advanced HF.

METHODS

Patients with advanced HF underwent right heart catheterization (RHC) for hemodynamic profiles. The sum of right atrial pressure (RAP) and pulmonary arterial wedge pressure (PAWP) > 30 mmHg was considered to present with hemodynamic congestion. Blood tests were conducted within 24 h of RHC. We calculated ePVS using the Strauss-derived Duarte formula. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 195 patients were divided into two groups based on the cut-off value of ePVS (4.08 dL/g) calculated from receiver operating characteristic analysis. Patients with ePVS > 4.08 dL/g were more likely to present with wet rales (21.2% vs. 9.9%, P = 0.032) and had a higher risk of death (HR 4.748, 95% CI 2.385-9.453), regardless of whether RAP + PAWP was normal or elevated (all P < 0.05). Hemodynamic parameters and ePVS were not correlated (all P > 0.05). High ePVS significantly improved the predictive value beyond the clinical plus hemodynamic prognostic model (area under the curve of 0.844, Delong test, P = 0.024).

CONCLUSION

ePVS could additionally add prognostic value to hemodynamic parameters in advanced heart failure, although not correlated with hemodynamic parameters.

sST2 and Big ET-1 as Alternatives of Multi-Biomarkers Strategies for Prognosis Evaluation in Patients Hospitalized with Heart Failure

Objective

To identify biomarkers with independent prognostic value and investigate the prognostic value of multiple biomarkers in combination in patients hospitalized with heart failure.

Methods

A total of 884 consecutive patients hospitalized with heart failure from 2015 to 2017 were enrolled. Twelve biomarkers were measured on admission, and the relationships between biomarkers and outcomes were assessed.

Results

During the median follow-up of 913 days, 291 patients (32.9%) suffered from primary endpoint events. Soluble suppression of tumorigenicity-2 (sST2) (per log [unit] increase, adjusted HR [95% CI]: 1.39 [1.13,1.72], P = 0.002) and big endothelin-1 (big ET-1) (per log [unit] increase, adjusted HR [95% CI]: 1.56 [1.23,1.97], P < 0.001) remained independent predictors of primary endpoint event after adjusting for other predictors including N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT). Both sST2 (C-statistic: 0.810 vs 0.801, P = 0.005, and 0.832 vs 0.826, P = 0.024, respectively) and big ET-1 (C-statistic: 0.829 vs 0.801, P = 0.001, and 0.843 vs 0.826, P < 0.001, respectively) significantly improved the predictive value for primary endpoint event at 1 year and 3 years. However, only big ET-1 (C-statistic: 0.852 vs 0.846, P = 0.014) significantly improved the predictive value at 3 months when added to clinical predictors and known biomarkers. According to the number of elevated biomarkers (including NT-proBNP, hs-cTnT, sST2, and big ET-1), patients with three or more elevated biomarkers had a higher risk of primary endpoint event compared to those with two elevated biomarkers (P = 0.001), as well as in patients with two elevated biomarkers compared to those with one elevated biomarker (P = 0.004). However, the risk of primary endpoint event was comparable between patients with one elevated biomarker and those with no elevated biomarker (P = 0.582).

Conclusion

Multiple biomarkers in combination could provide a better prognostic value than a single biomarker. sST2 and big ET-1 could act as alternatives of multi-biomarkers strategies for prognosis evaluation beyond NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT in patients hospitalized with heart failure.

Combined use of right ventricular coupling and pulmonary arterial elastance as a comprehensive stratification approach for right ventricular function

Right ventricular (RV)-pulmonary arterial uncoupling is the consequence of increased afterload and/or decreased RV contractility. However, the combination of arterial elastance (Ea) and end-systolic elastance (Ees)/Ea ratio to assess RV function is unclear. We hypothesized that the combination of both could comprehensively assess RV function and refine risk stratification. The median Ees/Ea ratio (0.80) and Ea (0.59 mmHg/mL) were used to classify 124 patients with advanced heart failure into four groups. RV systolic pressure differential was defined as end-systolic pressure (ESP) minus beginning-systolic pressure (BSP). Patients among different subsets showed dissimilar New York Heart Association functional class (V = 0.303, p = 0.010), distinct tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion/ pulmonary artery systolic pressure (mm/mmHg; 0.65 vs. 0.44 vs. 0.32 vs. 0.26, p < 0.001), and diverse prevalence of pulmonary hypertension (33.3% vs. 35% vs. 90% vs. 97.6%, p < 0.001). By multivariate analysis, Ees/Ea ratio (hazard ratio [HR] 0.225, p = 0.004) and Ea (HR 2.194, p = 0.003) were independently associated with event-free survival. Patients with Ees/Ea ratio greater than or equal to 0.80 and Ea less than 0.59 mmHg/mL had better outcomes (p < 0.05). In patients with Ees/Ea ratio greater than or equal to 0.80, those with Ea greater than or equal to 0.59 mmHg/mL had a higher adverse outcome risk (p < 0.05). Ees/Ea ratio less than or equal to 0.80 was associated with adverse outcomes, even when Ea was less than 0.59 mmHg/mL (p < 0.05). Approximately 86% of patients with ESP-BSP greater than 5 mmHg had an Ees/Ea ratio less than or equal to 0.80 and/or an Ea greater than or equal to 0.59 mmHg/mL (V = 0.336, p = 0.001). Combined use of Ees/Ea ratio and Ea could be a comprehensive approach to assessing RV function and predicting outcomes. An exploratory analysis demonstrated that Ees/Ea ratio and Ea might be roughly estimated based on RV systolic pressure differential.

Incorporating inflammatory biomarkers into a prognostic risk score in patients with non-ischemic heart failure: a machine learning approach

Objectives

Inflammation is involved in the mechanisms of non-ischemic heart failure (NIHF). We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of 21 inflammatory biomarkers and construct a biomarker risk score to improve risk prediction for patients with NIHF.

Methods

Patients diagnosed with NIHF without infection during hospitalization were included. The primary outcome was defined as all-cause mortality and heart transplantations. We used elastic net Cox regression with cross-validation to select inflammatory biomarkers and construct the best biomarker risk score model. Discrimination, calibration, and reclassification were evaluated to assess the predictive value of the biomarker risk score.

Results

Of 1,250 patients included (median age, 53 years, 31.9% women), 436 patients (34.9%) experienced the primary outcome during a median of 2.8 years of follow-up. The final biomarker risk score included high-sensitivity C-reactive protein-to-albumin ratio (CAR) and red blood cell distribution width-standard deviation (RDW-SD), both of which were 100% selected in 1,000 times cross-validation folds. Incorporating the biomarker risk score into the best basic model improved the discrimination (ΔC-index = 0.012, 95% CI 0.003-0.018) and reclassification (IDI, 2.3%, 95% CI 0.7%-4.9%; NRI, 17.3% 95% CI 6.4%-32.3%) in risk identification. In the cross-validation sets, the mean time-dependent AUC ranged from 0.670 to 0.724 for the biomarker risk score and 0.705 to 0.804 for the basic model with a biomarker risk score, from 1 to 8 years. In multivariable Cox regression, the biomarker risk score was independently associated with the outcome in patients with NIHF (HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.49-2.08, p < 0.001, per 1 score increase).

Conclusions

An inflammatory biomarker-derived risk score significantly improved prognosis prediction and risk stratification, providing potential individualized therapeutic targets for NIHF patients.

[Role and clinical significance of MUC4 gene mutations in thrombotic events in patients with classic paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria]

Objective: This study aimed to investigate the role and clinical significance of MUC4 gene mutations in thrombotic events in patients with classic paroxysmal nocturnal hemoglobinuria (PNH) patients. Methods: A retrospective analysis was conducted on the clinical data and gene sequencing results of 45 patients with classic PNH admitted to the Department of Hematology, Tianjin Medical University General Hospital, from June 2018 to February 2022. MUC4 gene mutations in patients with classic PNH were summarized, and the risk factors for thrombotic events in these patients were analyzed. Additionally, the effects of MUC4 gene mutations on the cumulative incidence and survival of thrombotic events in patients with classic PNH were determined. Results: The detection rate of MUC4 gene mutations in patients with classic PNH who experienced thrombotic events (thrombotic group) was 68.8% (11/16), which was significantly higher than that in the non-thrombotic group [10.3% (3/29) ] (P<0.001). All mutations occurred in exon 2. MUC4 mutation (OR=20.815, P=0.010) was identified as an independent risk factor for thrombotic events in patients with classic PNH. The cumulative incidence of thrombotic events was 78.6% (11/14) in the MUC4 gene mutation group (mutation group) and 16.1% (5/31) in the non-mutation group, showing a statistically significant difference between the two groups (P<0.001). Survival analysis showed a lower overall survival (OS) rate in the thrombotic group compared with that in the non-thrombotic group [ (34.4±25.2) % vs. (62.7±19.3) % ] (P=0.045). The OS rate of patients was (41.7±29.9) % in the mutation group and (59.1±18.3) % in the non-mutation group (P=0.487) . Conclusion: MUC4 gene mutations are associated with an increased incidence of thrombotic events in classic PNH patients, highlighting their role as independent risk factors for thrombosis in this population. These mutations can be considered a novel predictive factor that aids in evaluating the risk of thrombosis in patients with classic PNH.

Afterload-related cardiac performance is a powerful hemodynamic predictor of mortality in patients with chronic heart failure

Background

Afterload-related cardiac performance (ACP), a diagnostic parameter for septic cardiomyopathy, integrates both cardiac performance and vascular effects and could predict prognosis in septic shock.

Objectives

We hypothesized that ACP would also correlate with clinical outcomes in patients with chronic heart failure (HF).

Design

A retrospective study.

Methods

We retrospectively studied consecutive patients with chronic HF who underwent right heart catheterization and established an expected cardiac output-systemic vascular resistance (CO-SVR) curve model in chronic HF for the first time. ACP was calculated as COmeasured/COpredicted × 100%. ACP > 80%, 60% < ACP ⩽ 80%, and ACP ⩽ 60% represented less impaired, mildly impaired, and severely impaired cardiovascular function, respectively. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, and the secondary outcome was event-free survival.

Results

A total of 965 individual measurements from 290 eligible patients were used to establish the expected CO-SVR curve model (COpredicted = 53.468 × SVR -0.799). Patients with ACP ⩽ 60% had higher serum NT-proBNP levels (P < 0.001), lower left ventricular ejection fraction (P = 0.001), and required dopamine more frequently (P < 0.001). Complete follow-up data were available in 263 of 290 patients (90.7%). After multivariate adjustment, ACP remained associated with both primary outcome (hazard ratio (HR) 0.956, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.927-0.987) and secondary outcome (HR 0.977, 95% CI 0.963-0.992). Patients with ACP ⩽ 60% had the worst prognosis (all P < 0.001). ACP was significantly more discriminating (area under the curve of 0.770) than other conventional hemodynamic parameters in predicting mortality (Delong test, all P < 0.05).

Conclusion

ACP is a powerful independent hemodynamic predictor of mortality in patients with chronic HF. ACP and the novel CO-SVR two-dimensional graph could be useful in assessing cardiovascular function and making clinical decisions.

Clinical trial registration

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT02664818.

Spacer-Engineered Ionic Channels in Covalent Organic Framework Membranes toward Ultrafast Proton Transport

Side-chain engineering of covalent organic frameworks as advanced ion conductors is a critical issue to be explored. Herein, ionic covalent organic framework membranes (iCOFMs) with spacer-engineered ionic channel are de novo designed and prepared. The ionic channels are decorated with side chains comprising spacers having different carbon chain lengths and the -SO₃ H groups at the end. Attributed to the synergistic contribution from the spacers and the -SO₃ H groups, the iCOFM with moderate-length spacer exhibit the highest through-plane proton conductivity of 889 mS cm^-1 at 90 °C.

[A new form of familial platelet disorder caused by germline mutations in RUNX1 in a pedigree]

Objective: To investigate the clinical and biological characteristics of familial platelet disorder (FPD) with germline Runt-related transcription factor (RUNX) 1 mutations. Methods: Patients diagnosed with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS) or acute myeloid leukemia (AML) with RUNX1 mutations from February 2016 to December 2021 in Wuhan No.1 Hospital underwent pedigree analysis and were screened for gene mutations (somatic and germline). Patients diagnosed with FPD with germline RUNX1 mutations were enrolled and evaluated in terms of clinical characteristics and biological evolution. Bioinformatics analysis was used to assess the pathogenicity of mutations and to analyze the effect of mutated genes on the function of the corresponding protein. Results: Germline RUNX1 mutations were detected in three out of 34 patients suffering from MDS/AML who had RUNX1 mutations. A pedigree of FPD with RUNX1 (RUNX1-FPD) c.562A>C and RUNX1 c.1415T>C mutations was diagnosed, and the mutations were of patrilineal origin. Bioinformatics analysis indicated that the locus at positions 188 and 472 in the AML-1G type of RUNX1 was highly conserved across different species, and that variations might influence functions of the proteins. The mutations were evaluated to be highly pathogenic. Of the nine cases with germline RUNX1 mutations: two patients died due AML progression; one case with AML survived without leukemia after transplantation of hemopoietic stem cells; four patients showed mild-to-moderate thrombocytopenia; two cases had no thrombocytopenia. During the disease course of the proband and her son, mutations in RUNX1, NRAS and/or CEBPA and KIT appeared in succession, and expression of cluster of differentiation-7 on tumor cells was enhanced gradually. None of the gene mutations correlated with the tumor were detected in the four cases not suffering from MDS/AML, and they survived until the end of follow-up. Conclusions: RUNX1-FPD was rare. The mutations c.562A>C and c.1415T>C of RUNX1 could be the disease-causing genes for the family with RUNX1-FPD, and these mutations could promote malignant transformation. Biological monitoring should be carried out regularly to aid early intervention for family members with RUNX1-FPD.

A182 PREDICTING HIGH DIRECT HEALTHCARE COSTS IN PEDIATRIC PATIENTS WITH INFLAMMATORY BOWEL DISEASE IN THE FIRST YEAR FOLLOWING DIAGNOSIS

Background

The incidence of inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) continues to rise rapidly among Canadian children. The care of children results in higher direct healthcare costs than adults with IBD. It is imperative that we identify individuals who will become the highest-cost users of the health system in order to intervene early and decrease the individual- and system-level burden of IBD.

Purpose

To develop a predictive-model for high-cost health system users and (2) identify factors associated with high-cost healthcare use.

Method

Incident cases of IBD diagnosed ≤17y residing in Ontario and enrolled in the Canadian Children IBD Network (CIDsCaNN) between Dec 31 2013 and Jan 31 2019 were linked deterministically using health card number to health administrative data. Using a validated algorithm, direct healthcare costs accumulated between the 31^st and 365^th day after diagnosis were calculated using data from CIDsCaNN (medications) and health administrative data (health system encounters, including surgery). A predictive model was created to determine high-cost (≤25^th percentile) and medium-cost (26^th to 75^th) users, compared to low-cost users (>75th) using ordinal logistic regression. Potential predictive variables were determined a priori based on clinical significance and magnitude of univariable association, based on sample size-informed degrees of freedom. Variables from CIDsCaNN data included: IBD type, age at diagnosis, sex, first line of therapy (steroids, aminosalicylates, exclusive enteral nutrition; yes or no, not mutually exclusive), disease activity (severe vs. moderate vs. none/mild based on PUCAI [UC] or wPCDAI [Crohn’s]). Predictive variables from the health administrative data included: rural/urban residence, hospitalization at diagnosis, intestinal resection or colectomy within 3 months of diagnosis, emergency department visit ±1 month of diagnosis, and a mental health encounter within the first year following diagnosis. Anti-TNF treatment was excluded from models due to the strong correlation with the outcome (direct costs). Overall model fit was estimated with a c-statistic.

Result(s)

Among the 487 (57% Crohn’s) children included in the study, the mean (sd) direct costs accumulated between the 31^st and 365^th days following IBD diagnosis was $14,451 (14,665). The mean cost among high-cost users was $33,533 (16,530); medium-cost users, $11,038 (5322); low-cost users, $2530 (831). The predictive model identified high-cost users of the health system with acceptable model fit (c-statistic 0.69). The relative contribution of individual variables, as measured by odds ratio (OR), is reported in the Table.

Image

Conclusion(s)

The direct healthcare costs of pediatric IBD are substantial. Children with IBD who become high-cost users of the health system were identifiable using characteristics at diagnosis (e.g., need for mental health care, emergency visits, older age). Further research should assess whether interventions in patients at-risk for becoming high-cost users may help to reduce costs.

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Ontario Academic Health Sciences Centres Alternate Funding Plan Innovation Fund

Disclosure of Interest

E. Kuenzig: None Declared, R. Duchen: None Declared, T. Walters Grant / Research support from: Janssen, Abbvie, Psfizer, Ferring, Amgen, Consultant of: Janssen, Abbvie, Psfizer, Ferring, Amgen, D. Mack: None Declared, A. Griffiths Grant / Research support from: Abbvie, Consultant of: Abbvie, Amgen, BristolMyersSquibb, Janssen, Lilly, Takeda, Speakers bureau of: Abbvie, Janssen, Takeda, C. Bernstein Grant / Research support from: Research grants from Abbvie Canada, Amgen Canada, Pfizer Canada, and Sandoz Canada and contract grants from Janssen, Abbvie and Pfizer, Consultant of: Abbvie Canada, Amgen Canada, Bristol Myers Squibb Canada, JAMP Pharmaceuticals, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada, Sandoz Canada, Takeda, Speakers bureau of: Abbvie Canada, Janssen Canada, Pfizer Canada and Takeda Canada, G. Kaplan Grant / Research support from: Ferring, Consultant of: AbbVie, Janssen, Pfizer, Amgen, Sandoz, Pendophram, and Takeda, Speakers bureau of: AbbVie, Janssen, Pfizer, Amgen, Sandoz, Pendophram, and Takeda, A. Otley Grant / Research support from: Research support: AbbVie Global. Research site: AbbVie, Pfizer, Eli-Lily, Janssen, Consultant of: AbbVie Canada, W. Yu: None Declared, X. Wang: None Declared, J. Guan: None Declared, S. Fung: None Declared, E. Benchimol Consultant of: McKesson Canada, Dairy Farmers of Ontario (unrelated to medications used to treat inflammatory bowel disease)

Big Endothelin-1 as a Predictor of Reverse Remodeling and Prognosis in Dilated Cardiomyopathy

This study aimed to investigate the predictive value of Big endothelin-1(ET-1) for left ventricular reverse remodeling (LVRR) and prognosis in patients with dilated cardiomyopathy (DCM). Patients with DCM and a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 50% from 2008 to 2017 were included. LVRR was defined as the LVEF increased by at least 10% or follow-up LVEF increased to at least 50% with a minimum improvement of 5%; meanwhile, the index of left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDDi) decreased by at least 10% or LVEDDi decreased to ≤33 mm/m². The composite outcome for prognostic analysis consisted of death and heart transplantations. Of the 375 patients included (median age 47 years, 21.1% female), 135 patients (36%) had LVRR after a median of 14 months of treatment. An independent association was found between Big ET-1 at baseline and LVRR in the multivariate model (OR 0.70, 95% CI 0.55-0.89, p = 0.003, per log increase). Big ET-1, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diagnosis of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and treatment with ACEI/ARB were significant predictors for LVRR after stepwise selection. Adding Big ET-1 to the model improved the discrimination (∆AUC = 0.037, p = 0.042 and reclassification (IDI, 3.29%; p = 0.002; NRI, 35%; p = 0.002) for identifying patients with LVRR. During a median follow-up of 39 (27-68) months, Big ET-1 was also independently associated with the composite outcome of death and heart transplantations (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.13-1.85, p = 0.003, per log increase). In conclusion, Big ET-1 was an independent predictor for LVRR and had prognostic implications, which might help to improve the risk stratification of patients with DCM.

[Posterior atlanto-axial intraarticular distraction technique as revision surgery to treat atlanto-axial dislocation associated with basilar invagination]

Objective: To examine the effect of posterior atlanto-axial intraarticular distraction technique as revision surgery for failed posterior fossa decompression in patients with basilar invagination(BI) and atlanto-axial dislocation(AAD). Methods: The clinical data of 13 cases of AAD accompanied with BI treated at Department of Neurosurgery, Xuanwu Hospital, Capital Medical University were retrospectively analyzed. There were 3 males and 10 females,aged (42.6±9.5) years (range:30 to 63 years). All cases had assimilation of atlas and once underwent posterior fossa decompression. Anterior tissue was released through posterior approach followed by cage implantation into facet joint and occipital-cervical fixation with cantilever technique. The clinical results were evaluated using Japanese Orthopedic Association scale(JOA) and the main radiological measurements including atlantodental interval (ADI), the distance of odontoid tip above Chamberlain line(DCL),clivus-canal angle(CCA) and the length of syrinx were collected. Paired sample t test was used to compared the data before and after operation. Results: All patients underwent surgery successfully, the mean surgical time was (187.7±47.4) minutes (range from 116 to 261 minutes). Twenty occipital condyle screws, 26 C2 pedicle screws and 3 occipital plates were implanted. Clinical symptoms improved in all patients. Twelve patients had complete reduction of basilar invagination and atlanto-axial dislocation, 1 achieved near completely reduction of basilar invagination. The postoperative ADI, DCL and CCA significantly improved((4.3±1.1) mm vs. (1.8±0.8) mm, (11.7±5.0) mm vs. (6.4±2.8) mm, (142.4±7.9)° vs. (133.3±7.9)°, all P<0.01).There were 5 cases with syringomyelia before surgery, and shrinkage of syrinx was observed 1 week after surgery in all cases. Eight patients achieved bone fusion 3 months after surgery, all patients achieved bone fusion 6 months after surgery. The JOA score increased from 12.8±2.3 before surgery to 14.8±1.3 one year after surgery, with statistically significant difference (t=4.416, P<0.01).No implant failure, spacer subsidence and infection were observed. Conclusion: In cases of failure posterior fossa decompression of basilar invagination and atlanto-axial dislocation, using posterior atlanto-axial intraarticular distraction and cantilever technique with cage implantation could achieve complete reduction and symptomatic relief.

Use of a urinary catheter as a guidewire to facilitate safe nasotracheal intubation following iatrogenic retropharyngeal perforation

Nasotracheal intubation facilitates adequate access for surgical procedures in the oral cavity, is not limited by mouth opening and can be better tolerated by patients in intensive care. Complications of nasotracheal intubation can include epistaxis, turbinate injury and sinusitis. Retropharyngeal submucosal perforation by the tracheal tube has also been infrequently reported. Here, we report a case of difficult nasotracheal intubation resulting in retropharyngeal submucosal perforation in a patient with a history of obstructive sleep apnoea listed for uvulopalatopharyngoplasty. To facilitate successful tracheal re-intubation, we used a soft urinary catheter via the other nostril. In this report, we discuss the reasons why this complication may have occurred, how submucosal perforation could be avoided, and reflect on our management of this rare complication. Difficult nasotracheal intubation can present unique challenges, and airway management plans should be made accordingly.