Mesangial Expansion by Morphometry at 5 y After Kidney Transplantation: Incidence, Risk Factors, and Association With Graft Loss

Background

Mesangial expansion (ME) is an understudied histologic lesion in renal allografts. The current Banff mm score is not reproducible and may miss important ME features. The study aimed to improve the quantification of ME using morphometry, assess changes over time, and determine its association with allograft loss.

Methods

We studied ME in 1-y and 5-y surveillance biopsies in 835 kidney transplants performed between January 2000 and December 2013. ME was assessed using the Banff mm score by a central pathologist and by morphometry. We derived 3 different morphometric measures: (1) %ME mm (%glomeruli with ME in ≥2 lobules, like Banff mm); (2) %MEany (%glomeruli with any ME lesion); and (3) %ME area (sum of all ME areas/all glomerular tuft areas). Unadjusted and adjusted Cox models assessed the risk of death-censored allograft loss.

Results

From 1- to 5-y biopsies, the mean Banff mm score increased from 0.18 to 0.34, whereas %ME mm increased from 2.5% to 13.3%. Banff mm score had modest correlations with morphometric ME measures. Moderate-severe %ME mm was present in 20.1% of 5-y biopsies, whereas only 6.6% of Banff mm scores were. In general, higher ME on both 1- and 5-y biopsies was associated with a deceased donor, older recipient age, recipient diabetes/obesity (present in >50% of severely affected biopsies), higher hemoglobin A1c at 5 y posttransplant, and recurrent kidney disease. Higher ME on 5-y biopsies was associated with delayed graft function. A higher Banff mm score at 1-y biopsy and morphometry ME measures at 5-y biopsy were associated with rejection during the first year posttransplant. Morphometric ME measures were associated with allograft loss independent of Banff scores and all clinical characteristics, including kidney function and recurrent disease. The model with %MEany had the highest c-statistic (0.872).

Conclusions

Banff mm score underestimates the pervasiveness of ME in 5-y biopsies. ME is common and associated with alloimmune and nonalloimmune causes of graft loss.

Weight Loss Surgery Increases Kidney Transplant Rates in Patients With Renal Failure and Obesity

OBJECTIVE

To describe the outcomes of kidney transplant (KT) candidates with obesity undergoing sleeve gastrectomy (SG) to meet the criteria for KT.

METHODS

Retrospective analysis was conducted of electronic medical records of KT candidates with obesity (body mass index >35 kg/m2) who underwent SG in our institution. Weight loss, adverse health events, and the listing and transplant rates were abstracted and compared with the nonsurgical cohort.

RESULTS

The SG was performed in 54 patients; 50 patients did not have surgery. Baseline demographic characteristics were comparable at the time of evaluation. Mean body mass index ± SD of the SG group was 41.7±3.6 kg/m2 at baseline (vs 41.5±4.3 kg/m2 for nonsurgical controls); at 2 and 12 months after SG, it was 36.4±4.1 kg/m2 and 32.6±4.0 kg/m2 (P<.01 for both). In the median follow-up time of 15.5 months (interquartile range, 6.4 to 23.9 months), SG was followed by active listing (37/54 people), and 20 of 54 received KT during a median follow-up time of 20.9 months (interquartile range, 14.7 to 28.3 months) after SG. In contrast, 14 of 50 patients in the nonsurgical cohort were listed, and 5 received a KT (P<.01). Three patients (5.6%) experienced surgical complications. There was no difference in overall hospitalization rates and adverse health outcomes, but the SG cohort experienced a higher risk of clinically significant functional decline.

CONCLUSION

In KT candidates with obesity, SG appears to be effective, with 37% of patients undergoing KT during the next 18 months (P<.01). Further research is needed to confirm and to improve the safety and efficacy of SG for patients with obesity seeking a KT.

Electrocardiography-based Artificial Intelligence Algorithms Aid in Prediction of Long-term Mortality After Kidney Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Predicting long-term mortality postkidney transplantation (KT) using baseline clinical data presents significant challenges. This study aims to evaluate the predictive power of artificial intelligence (AI)-enabled analysis of preoperative electrocardiograms (ECGs) in forecasting long-term mortality following KT.

METHODS

We analyzed preoperative ECGs from KT recipients at three Mayo Clinic sites (Minnesota, Florida, and Arizona) between January 1, 2006, and July 30, 2021. The study involved 6 validated AI algorithms, each trained to predict future development of atrial fibrillation, aortic stenosis, low ejection fraction, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, amyloid heart disease, and biological age. These algorithms' outputs based on a single preoperative ECG were correlated with patient mortality data.

RESULTS

Among 6504 KT recipients included in the study, 1764 (27.1%) died within a median follow-up of 5.7 y (interquartile range: 3.00-9.29 y). All AI-ECG algorithms were independently associated with long-term all-cause mortality (P < 0.001). Notably, few patients had a clinical cardiac diagnosis at the time of transplant, indicating that AI-ECG scores were predictive even in asymptomatic patients. When adjusted for multiple clinical factors such as recipient age, diabetes, and pretransplant dialysis, AI algorithms for atrial fibrillation and aortic stenosis remained independently associated with long-term mortality. These algorithms also improved the C-statistic for predicting overall (C = 0.74) and cardiac-related deaths (C = 0.751).

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggest that AI-enabled preoperative ECG analysis can be a valuable tool in predicting long-term mortality following KT and could aid in identifying patients who may benefit from enhanced cardiac monitoring because of increased risk.

Exploring the single-cell immune landscape of kidney allograft inflammation using imaging mass cytometry

Kidney allograft inflammation, mostly attributed to rejection and infection, is an important cause of graft injury and loss. Standard histopathological assessment of allograft inflammation provides limited insights into biological processes and the immune landscape. Here, using imaging mass cytometry with a panel of 28 validated biomarkers, we explored the single-cell landscape of kidney allograft inflammation in 32 kidney transplant biopsies and 247 high-dimensional histopathology images of various phenotypes of allograft inflammation (antibody-mediated rejection, T cell-mediated rejection, BK nephropathy, and chronic pyelonephritis). Using novel analytical tools, for cell segmentation, we segmented over 900 000 cells and developed a tissue-based classifier using over 3000 manually annotated kidney microstructures (glomeruli, tubules, interstitium, and arteries). Using PhenoGraph, we identified 11 immune and 9 nonimmune clusters and found a high prevalence of memory T cell and macrophage-enriched immune populations across phenotypes. Additionally, we trained a machine learning classifier to identify spatial biomarkers that could discriminate between the different allograft inflammatory phenotypes. Further validation of imaging mass cytometry in larger cohorts and with more biomarkers will likely help interrogate kidney allograft inflammation in more depth than has been possible to date.

Outcomes of Kidney Transplantation in Patients That Underwent Bariatric Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

The impact of bariatric surgery (BS) on kidney transplantation (KT) outcomes in patients with obesity remains controversial. We systematically searched MEDLINE, EMBASE, Scopus, Web of Science, and Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials for studies reporting outcomes of KT recipients that underwent prior BS. Common/random effects meta-analyses were performed to obtain summary ratios of the postoperative outcomes. Eighteen eligible studies involving 315 patients were identified. Sleeve gastrectomy was the most common BS type (65.7%) followed by Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (27.6%) and gastric banding (4.4%). Across studies that provided the data, the %excess weight loss from BS to KT was 62.79% (95% confidence interval [CI], 52.01-73.56; range, 46.2%-80.3%). The rates of delayed graft function and acute rejection were 16% (95% CI, 7%-28%) and 16% (95% CI, 11%-23%) in 14 and 11 studies that provided this data, respectively. The rates of wound, urinary, and vascular complications following KT were 5% (95% CI, 0%-13%),19% (95% CI, 2%-42%), and 2% (95% CI, 0%-5%), in 12, 9, and 11 studies that provided this data, respectively. Follow-up time after KT was reported in 11 studies (61.1%) and ranged from 16 mo to >5 y. Graft loss was reported in 14 studies with an average of 3% (95% CI, 1%-6%). Four studies that included a comparator group of patients with obesity who did not undergo BS before KT showed comparable outcomes between the groups. We conclude that currently there is a paucity of robust evidence to suggest that pretransplant BS has a major effect on post-KT outcomes. High-quality studies are needed to fully evaluate the impact of BS on KT outcomes.

A Machine Learning-Driven Virtual Biopsy System For Kidney Transplant Patients

In kidney transplantation, day-zero biopsies are used to assess organ quality and discriminate between donor-inherited lesions and those acquired post-transplantation. However, many centers do not perform such biopsies since they are invasive, costly and may delay the transplant procedure. We aim to generate a non-invasive virtual biopsy system using routinely collected donor parameters. Using 14,032 day-zero kidney biopsies from 17 international centers, we develop a virtual biopsy system. 11 basic donor parameters are used to predict four Banff kidney lesions: arteriosclerosis, arteriolar hyalinosis, interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy, and the percentage of renal sclerotic glomeruli. Six machine learning models are aggregated into an ensemble model. The virtual biopsy system shows good performance in the internal and external validation sets. We confirm the generalizability of the system in various scenarios. This system could assist physicians in assessing organ quality, optimizing allograft allocation together with discriminating between donor derived and acquired lesions post-transplantation.

Characterizing the risk of human leukocyte antigen-incompatible living donor kidney transplantation in older recipients

Older compatible living donor kidney transplant (CLDKT) recipients have higher mortality and death-censored graft failure (DCGF) compared to younger recipients. These risks may be amplified in older incompatible living donor kidney transplant (ILDKT) recipients who undergo desensitization and intense immunosuppression. In a 25-center cohort of ILDKT recipients transplanted between September 24, 1997, and December 15, 2016, we compared mortality, DCGF, delayed graft function (DGF), acute rejection (AR), and length of stay (LOS) between 234 older (age ≥60 years) and 1172 younger (age 18-59 years) recipients. To investigate whether the impact of age was different for ILDKT recipients compared to 17 542 CLDKT recipients, we used an interaction term to determine whether the relationship between posttransplant outcomes and transplant type (ILDKT vs CLDKT) was modified by age. Overall, older recipients had higher mortality (hazard ratio: 1.632.072.65, P < .001), lower DCGF (hazard ratio: 0.360.530.77, P = .001), and AR (odds ratio: 0.390.540.74, P < .001), and similar DGF (odds ratio: 0.461.032.33, P = .9) and LOS (incidence rate ratio: 0.880.981.10, P = 0.8) compared to younger recipients. The impact of age on mortality (interaction P = .052), DCGF (interaction P = .7), AR interaction P = .2), DGF (interaction P = .9), and LOS (interaction P = .5) were similar in ILDKT and CLDKT recipients. Age alone should not preclude eligibility for ILDKT.

Age-Based Versus Young-Adult Thresholds for Nephrosclerosis on Kidney Biopsy and Prognostic Implications for CKD

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

Nephrosclerosis (glomerulosclerosis, interstitial fibrosis, and tubular atrophy) is the defining pathology of both kidney aging and CKD. Optimal thresholds for nephrosclerosis that identify persons with a progressive disease are unknown. This study determined a young-age threshold (18-29 years) and age-based 95th percentile thresholds for nephrosclerosis on the basis of morphometry of kidney biopsy sections from normotensive living kidney donors. These thresholds were 7.1-fold to 36-fold higher in older (70 years or older) versus younger (aged 18-29 years) normotensive donors. Age-based thresholds, but not young-age threshold, were prognostic for determining risk of progressive CKD among patients who underwent a radical nephrectomy or a for-cause native kidney biopsy, suggesting that age-based thresholds are more useful than a single young-age threshold for identifying CKD on biopsy.

BACKGROUND

Nephrosclerosis, defined by globally sclerotic glomeruli (GSG) and interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA), is a pathology of both kidney aging and CKD. A comparison of risk of progressive CKD using aged-based thresholds for nephrosclerosis versus a single young-adult threshold is needed.

METHODS

We conducted morphometric analyses of kidney biopsy images for %GSG, %IFTA, and IFTA foci density among 3020 living kidney donors, 1363 patients with kidney tumor, and 314 patients with native kidney disease. Using normotensive donors, we defined young-age thresholds (18-29 years) and age-based (roughly by decade) 95th percentile thresholds. We compared age-adjusted risk of progressive CKD (kidney failure or 40% decline in eGFR) between nephrosclerosis that was "normal compared with young," "normal for age but abnormal compared with young," and "abnormal for age" in patients with tumor and patients with kidney disease.

RESULTS

The 95th percentiles in the youngest group (18-29 years) to the oldest group (70 years or older) ranged from 1.7% to 16% for %GSG, 0.18% to 6.5% for %IFTA, and 8.2 to 59.3 per cm 2 for IFTA foci density. Risk of progressive CKD did not differ between persons with nephrosclerosis "normal compared with young" versus "normal for age but abnormal compared with young." Risk of progressive CKD was significantly higher with %GSG, %IFTA, or IFTA foci density that was abnormal versus normal for age in both cohorts.

CONCLUSIONS

Given that increased risk of progressive CKD occurs only when nephrosclerosis is abnormal for age, age-based thresholds for nephrosclerosis seem to be better than a single young-age threshold for identifying clinically relevant CKD.

Multiple abnormal peripheral blood gene expression assay results are correlated with subsequent graft loss after kidney transplantation

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to correlate peripheral blood gene expression profile (GEP) results during the first post-transplant year with outcomes after kidney transplantation.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective, multicenter observational study of obtaining peripheral blood at five timepoints during the first post-transplant year to perform a GEP assay. The cohort was stratified based on the pattern of the peripheral blood GEP results: Tx-all GEP results normal, 1 Not-TX had one GEP result abnormal and >1 Not-TX two or more abnormal GEP results. We correlated the GEP results with outcomes after transplantation.

RESULTS

We enrolled 240 kidney transplant recipients. The cohort was stratified into the three groups: TX n = 117 (47%), 1 Not-TX n = 59 (25%) and >1 Not-TX n = 64 (27%). Compared to the TX group, the >1 Not-TX group had lower eGFR (p < .001) and more chronic changes on 1-year surveillance biopsy (p = .007). Death censored graft survival showed inferior graft survival in the >1 Not-TX group (p < .001) but not in the 1 Not-TX group. All graft losses in the >1 Not-TX group occurred after 1-year post-transplant.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that a pattern of persistently Not-TX GEP assay correlates with inferior graft survival.

An Improved Method for Estimating Nephron Number and the Association of Resulting Nephron Number Estimates with Chronic Kidney Disease Outcomes

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

Nephron number currently can be estimated only from glomerular density on a kidney biopsy combined with cortical volume from kidney imaging. Because of measurement biases, refinement of this approach and validation across different patient populations have been needed. The prognostic importance of nephron number also has been unclear. The authors present an improved method of estimating nephron number that corrects for several biases, resulting in a 27% higher nephron number estimate for donor kidneys compared with a prior method. After accounting for comorbidities, the new nephron number estimate does not differ between kidney donors and kidney patients with tumor and shows consistent associations with clinical characteristics across these two populations. The findings also indicate that low nephron number predicts CKD independent of biopsy and clinical characteristics in both populations.

BACKGROUND

Nephron number can be estimated from glomerular density and cortical volume. However, because of measurement biases, this approach needs refinement, comparison between disparate populations, and evaluation as a predictor of CKD outcomes.

METHODS

We studied 3020 living kidney donors and 1354 patients who underwent radical nephrectomy for tumor. We determined cortex volume of the retained kidney from presurgical imaging and glomerular density by morphometric analysis of needle core biopsy of the donated kidney and wedge sections of the removed kidney. Glomerular density was corrected for missing glomerular tufts, absence of the kidney capsule, and then tissue shrinkage on the basis of analysis of 30 autopsy kidneys. We used logistic regression (in donors) and Cox proportional hazard models (in patients with tumor) to assess the risk of CKD outcomes associated with nephron number.

RESULTS

Donors had 1.17 million nephrons per kidney; patients with tumor had 0.99 million nephrons per kidney. A lower nephron number was associated with older age, female sex, shorter height, hypertension, family history of ESKD, lower GFR, and proteinuria. After adjusting for these characteristics, nephron number did not differ between donors and patients with tumor. Low nephron number (defined by <5th or <10th percentile by age and sex in a healthy subset) in both populations predicted future risk of CKD outcomes independent of biopsy and clinical characteristics.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with an older method for estimating nephron number, a new method that addresses several sources of bias results in nephron number estimates that are 27% higher in donors and 1% higher in patients with tumor and shows consistency between two populations. Low nephron number independently predicts CKD in both populations.

Race-free estimated glomerular filtration rate equation in kidney transplant recipients: development and validation study

OBJECTIVE

To compare the performance of a newly developed race-free kidney recipient specific glomerular filtration rate (GFR) equation with the three current main equations for measuring GFR in kidney transplant recipients.

DESIGN

Development and validation study SETTING: 17 cohorts in Europe, the United States, and Australia (14 transplant centres, three clinical trials).

PARTICIPANTS

15 489 adults (3622 in development cohort (Necker, Saint Louis, and Toulouse hospitals, France), 11 867 in multiple external validation cohorts) who received kidney transplants between 1 January 2000 and 1 January 2021.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

The main outcome measure was GFR, measured according to local practice. Performance of the GFR equations was assessed using P30 (proportion of estimated GFR (eGFR) within 30% of measured GFR (mGFR)) and correct classification (agreement between eGFR and mGFR according to GFR stages). The race-free equation, based on creatinine level, age, and sex, was developed using additive and multiplicative linear regressions, and its performance was compared with the three current main GFR equations: Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) equation, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) 2009 equation, and race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation.

RESULTS

The study included 15 489 participants, with 50 464 mGFR and eGFR values. The mean GFR was 53.18 mL/min/1.73m2 (SD 17.23) in the development cohort and 55.90 mL/min/1.73m2 (19.69) in the external validation cohorts. Among the current GFR equations, the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation showed the lowest performance compared with the MDRD and CKD-EPI 2009 equations. When race was included in the kidney recipient specific GFR equation, performance did not increase. The race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation showed significantly improved performance compared with the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation and performed well in the external validation cohorts (P30 ranging from 73.0% to 91.3%). The race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation performed well in several subpopulations of kidney transplant recipients stratified by race (P30 73.0-91.3%), sex (72.7-91.4%), age (70.3-92.0%), body mass index (64.5-100%), donor type (58.5-92.9%), donor age (68.3-94.3%), treatment (78.5-85.2%), creatinine level (72.8-91.3%), GFR measurement method (73.0-91.3%), and timing of GFR measurement post-transplant (72.9-95.5%). An online application was developed that estimates GFR based on recipient's creatinine level, age, and sex (https://transplant-prediction-system.shinyapps.io/eGFR_equation_KTX/).

CONCLUSION

A new race-free kidney recipient specific GFR equation was developed and validated using multiple, large, international cohorts of kidney transplant recipients. The equation showed high accuracy and outperformed the race-free CKD-EPI 2021 equation that was developed in individuals with native kidneys.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ClinicalTrials.gov NCT05229939.

Machine learning does not outperform traditional statistical modelling for kidney allograft failure prediction

Machine learning (ML) models have recently shown potential for predicting kidney allograft outcomes. However, their ability to outperform traditional approaches remains poorly investigated. Therefore, using large cohorts of kidney transplant recipients from 14 centers worldwide, we developed ML-based prediction models for kidney allograft survival and compared their prediction performances to those achieved by a validated Cox-Based Prognostication System (CBPS). In a French derivation cohort of 4000 patients, candidate determinants of allograft failure including donor, recipient and transplant-related parameters were used as predictors to develop tree-based models (RSF, RSF-ERT, CIF), Support Vector Machine models (LK-SVM, AK-SVM) and a gradient boosting model (XGBoost). Models were externally validated with cohorts of 2214 patients from Europe, 1537 from North America, and 671 from South America. Among these 8422 kidney transplant recipients, 1081 (12.84%) lost their grafts after a median post-transplant follow-up time of 6.25 years (Inter Quartile Range 4.33-8.73). At seven years post-risk evaluation, the ML models achieved a C-index of 0.788 (95% bootstrap percentile confidence interval 0.736-0.833), 0.779 (0.724-0.825), 0.786 (0.735-0.832), 0.527 (0.456-0.602), 0.704 (0.648-0.759) and 0.767 (0.711-0.815) for RSF, RSF-ERT, CIF, LK-SVM, AK-SVM and XGBoost respectively, compared with 0.808 (0.792-0.829) for the CBPS. In validation cohorts, ML models' discrimination performances were in a similar range of those of the CBPS. Calibrations of the ML models were similar or less accurate than those of the CBPS. Thus, when using a transparent methodological pipeline in validated international cohorts, ML models, despite overall good performances, do not outperform a traditional CBPS in predicting kidney allograft failure. Hence, our current study supports the continued use of traditional statistical approaches for kidney graft prognostication.

Changes in Glomerular Volume, Sclerosis, and Ischemia at 5 Years after Kidney Transplantation: Incidence and Correlation with Late Graft Failure

SIGNIFICANCE STATEMENT

Glomerular volume, ischemic glomeruli, and global glomerulosclerosis are not consistently assessed on kidney transplant biopsies. The authors evaluated morphometric measures of glomerular volume, the percentage of global glomerulosclerosis, and the percentage of ischemic glomeruli and assessed changes in these measures over time to determine whether such changes predict late allograft failure. All three features increased from transplant to five-year biopsy. Kidneys with smaller glomeruli at 5 years had more global glomerulosclerosis and a higher percentage of ischemic-appearing glomeruli. Smaller glomeruli and increasing percentages of global glomerulosclerosis and ischemic glomeruli at 5 years predicted allograft failure. Only increased percentage of ischemic glomeruli predicted allograft failure at 5 years independent of all Banff scores. Glomerular changes reflect pathologic processes that predicted allograft loss; measuring them quantitatively might enhance the current Banff system and provide biomarkers for intervention trials.

BACKGROUND

Histology can provide insight into the biology of renal allograft loss. However, studies are lacking that use quantitative morphometry to simultaneously assess changes in mean glomerular volume and in the percentages of globally sclerosed glomeruli (GSG) and ischemic-appearing glomeruli in surveillance biopsies over time to determine whether such changes are correlated with late graft failure.

METHODS

We used digital scans of surveillance biopsies (at implantation and at 1 and 5 years after transplantation) to morphometrically quantify glomerular volume and the percentages of GSG and ischemic-appearing glomeruli in a cohort of 835 kidney transplants. Cox proportional hazards models assessed the risk of allograft failure with these three glomerular features.

RESULTS

From implantation to 5 years, mean glomerular volume increased by nearly 30% (from 2.8×10 6 to 3.6×10 6 µm 3 ), mean percentage of GSG increased from 3.2% to 13.2%, and mean percentage of ischemic-appearing glomeruli increased from 0.8% to 9.5%. Higher percentages of GSG and ischemic-appearing glomeruli at 5-year biopsy predicted allograft loss. The three glomerular features at 5-year biopsy were related; the percentage of GSG and the percentage of ischemic glomeruli were positively correlated, and both were inversely correlated to glomerular volume. At 5 years, only 5.3% of biopsies had ≥40% ischemic glomeruli, but 45% of these grafts failed (versus 11.6% for <40% ischemic glomeruli). Higher Banff scores were more common with increasing percentages of GSG and ischemia, but at 5 years, only the percentage of ischemic glomeruli added to predictive models adjusted for Banff scores.

CONCLUSIONS

Glomerular changes reflect important pathologic processes that predict graft loss. Measuring glomerular changes quantitatively on surveillance biopsies, especially the proportion of ischemic-appearing glomeruli, may enhance the current Banff system and be a useful surrogate end point for clinical intervention trials.

PODCAST

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Convolutional Neural Networks for the Evaluation of Chronic and Inflammatory Lesions in Kidney Transplant Biopsies

In kidney transplant biopsies, both inflammation and chronic changes are important features that predict long-term graft survival. Quantitative scoring of these features is important for transplant diagnostics and kidney research. However, visual scoring is poorly reproducible and labor intensive. The goal of this study was to investigate the potential of convolutional neural networks (CNNs) to quantify inflammation and chronic features in kidney transplant biopsies. A structure segmentation CNN and a lymphocyte detection CNN were applied on 125 whole-slide image pairs of periodic acid-Schiff- and CD3-stained slides. The CNN results were used to quantify healthy and sclerotic glomeruli, interstitial fibrosis, tubular atrophy, and inflammation within both nonatrophic and atrophic tubuli, and in areas of interstitial fibrosis. The computed tissue features showed high correlation with Banff lesion scores of five pathologists (A.A., A.Dend., J.H.B., J.K., and T.N.). Analyses on a small subset showed a moderate correlation toward higher CD3⁺ cell density within scarred regions and higher CD3⁺ cell count inside atrophic tubuli correlated with long-term change of estimated glomerular filtration rate. The presented CNNs are valid tools to yield objective quantitative information on glomeruli number, fibrotic tissue, and inflammation within scarred and non-scarred kidney parenchyma in a reproducible manner. CNNs have the potential to improve kidney transplant diagnostics and will benefit the community as a novel method to generate surrogate end points for large-scale clinical studies.

Bone marrow derived long-lived plasma cell phenotypes are heterogeneous and can change in culture

Bone marrow derived long-lived plasma cells (LLPCs) are thought to be a major source of alloantibody in sensitized transplant patients. However, studies of LLPCs have been hampered not only by the fact that they are rare and difficult to isolate and culture but also due to the lack of consensus regarding a definitive cell-surface phenotype. The goal of the current study was to determine if LLPCs have a specific, stable cell-surface phenotype. PCs were isolated from high-volume (120 cc) bone marrow aspirates that were enriched first by negative selection then positive selection using anti-CD38 antibody-coated beads and purified by cell sorting. A typical isolation resulted in >100,000 PCs that were sorted into 4 populations with variable numbers of PCs: CD19+/CD138+/CD38Hi (64.1% of the PCs), CD19-/CD138+/CD38Hi (20.9%), CD19+/CD138-/CD38Hi (10.7%), and CD19-/CD138-/CD38Hi (4.3%). The purity of each subset was 96-99%. Each subset contained PCs secreting IgG and IgA. Measles- and tetanus-specific PCs (i.e. putative IgG secreting, antigen-specific LLPCs). LLPCs were identified in both the CD19+/CD138+/CD38Hi and CD19-/CD138+/CD38Hi subsets and in the smaller CD138- subsets (when pooled). Thus, all CD38Hi subsets contained LLPCs. Cultured PCs maintained viability (>50%) and function and could be retrieved for analyses. During 7 days of culture, cell surface expression changed from baseline in many PCs. For example, approximately 20% of CD19 + CD138+/CD38Hi cells (the largest PC subset) became CD19-. CFSE assays showed no division and only a small percentage of LLPCs were Ki-67 positive suggesting that the cells did not divide in culture and that the antibody detected was not from plasmablasts. We conclude that human bone marrow LLPCs have a heterogeneous expression of CD19 and CD138, which can change during cell culture. The fact that LLPCs were found in all four subsets raises the possibility that a large percentage of PCs in the bone marrow may be LLPCs.

Guiding Kidney Transplantation Candidates for Effective Weight Loss: A Clinical Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Obesity is increasingly common in kidney transplant candidates and may limit access to transplantation. Obesity and diabetes are associated with a high risk for post-transplant complications. The best approach to weight loss to facilitate active transplant listing is unknown, but bariatric surgery is rarely considered due to patient- and physician-related apprehension, among other factors.

METHODS

We aimed to determine the magnitude of weight loss, listing, and transplant rates in 28 candidates with a mean BMI of 44.4±4.6 kg/m² and diabetes treated conservatively for 1 year post weight-loss consultations (group 1). Additionally, we evaluated 15 patients (group 2) who met the inclusion criteria but received bariatric intervention within the same time frame. All patients completed a multidisciplinary weight management consultation with at least 1 year of follow-up.

RESULTS

In the conservatively managed group (group 1), the mean weight at the time of initial consultation was 126.5±18.5 kg, and the mean BMI was 44.4±4.6 kg/m². At 1 year post weight-loss consultation, the mean weight decreased by 4.4±8.2 kg to 122.9±17 kg, and the mean BMI was 43±4.8 kg/m², with a total mean body weight decrease of 3% (P=0.01). Eighteen patients (64%) did not progress to become candidates for active listing/transplantation during the follow-up time of 4±2.9 years, with 15 (54%) subsequently developing renal failure/diabetes-related comorbidities prohibitive for transplantation. In contrast, mean total body weight decreased by 19% at 6 months post bariatric surgery, and the mean BMI was 34.2±4 and 32.5±3.7 kg/m² at 6 and 12 months, respectively. Bariatric surgery was strongly associated with subsequent kidney transplantation (HR=8.39 [95% CI 1.71 to 41.19]; P=0.009).

CONCLUSIONS

A conservative weight-loss approach involving multidisciplinary consultation was ineffective in most kidney transplant candidates with diabetes, suggesting that a more proactive approach is needed.

Complications After Hand-Assisted Laparoscopic Living Donor Nephrectomy

OBJECTIVE

To study the complications of hand-assisted laparoscopic living donor nephrectomy (HALLDN) with an emphasis on complications occurring early after hospital discharge up to 120 days after surgery.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We retrospectively categorized complications using the Clavien-Dindo classification in 3002 HALLDNs performed at 1 center from January 1, 2000, through December 31, 2019. In addition to overall summaries, modeling was used to identify correlates of complications before and after living donation.

RESULTS

Of these donors, 87% were White, 59% were female, the mean age was 45 years (range, 18-77 years), 30.3% had a body mass index of at least 30, and 36.3% had previous abdominopelvic surgery. There were no deaths related to the surgery. The incidence of major complications (intraoperative complications plus Clavien-Dindo grade ≥III postoperatively) was 2.5% (n=74). The overall complication rate was 12.4% (n=371), including 15 intraoperative, 76 postoperative before discharge, and 280 after discharge to 120 days. Reoperation was required in 1.8% of patients (n=54), and all but 1 of these were incision-related problems. Seventy-six percent of all complications occurred after discharge, including 85% of the reoperations. For major complications, no risk factor was found. Risk factors for any complication included paramedian incision (hazard ratio [HR], 2.54; 95% CI, 1.49 to 4.34; P<.001); a history of abdominopelvic surgery (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.76; P=.01), male sex (HR, 1.37; 95% CI, 1.07 to 1.76; P=.01), non-White race (HR, 1.40; 95% CI, 1.05 to 1.88; P=.02), and early era of the experience.

CONCLUSION

Most major complications of HALLDN occur after discharge, suggesting that close follow-up is warranted and that the current literature may underestimate the true incidence.

Posttransplant recurrence of calcium oxalate crystals in patients with primary hyperoxaluria: Incidence, risk factors, and effect on renal allograft function

Primary hyperoxaluria (PH) is a metabolic defect that results in oxalate overproduction by the liver and leads to kidney failure due to oxalate nephropathy. As oxalate tissue stores are mobilized after transplantation, the transplanted kidney is at risk of recurrent disease. We evaluated surveillance kidney transplant biopsies for recurrent calcium oxalate (CaOx) deposits in 37 kidney transplants (29 simultaneous kidney and liver [K/L] transplants and eight kidney alone [K]) in 36 PH patients and 62 comparison transplants. Median follow-up posttransplant was 9.2 years (IQR: [5.3, 15.1]). The recurrence of CaOx crystals in surveillance biopsies in PH at any time posttransplant was 46% overall (41% in K/L, 62% in K). Higher CaOx crystal index (which accounted for biopsy sample size) was associated with higher plasma and urine oxalate following transplant (p < .01 and p < .02, respectively). There was a trend toward higher graft failure among PH patients with CaOx crystals on surveillance biopsies compared with those without (HR 4.43 [0.88, 22.35], p = .07). CaOx crystal deposition is frequent in kidney transplants in PH patients. The avoidance of high plasma oxalate and reduction of CaOx crystallization may decrease the risk of recurrent oxalate nephropathy following kidney transplantation in patients with PH. This study was approved by the IRB at Mayo Clinic.

Dynamic prediction of renal survival among deeply phenotyped kidney transplant recipients using artificial intelligence: an observational, international, multicohort study

BACKGROUND

Kidney allograft failure is a common cause of end-stage renal disease. We aimed to develop a dynamic artificial intelligence approach to enhance risk stratification for kidney transplant recipients by generating continuously refined predictions of survival using updates of clinical data.

METHODS

In this observational study, we used data from adult recipients of kidney transplants from 18 academic transplant centres in Europe, the USA, and South America, and a cohort of patients from six randomised controlled trials. The development cohort comprised patients from four centres in France, with all other patients included in external validation cohorts. To build deeply phenotyped cohorts of transplant recipients, the following data were collected in the development cohort: clinical, histological, immunological variables, and repeated measurements of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and proteinuria (measured using the proteinuria to creatininuria ratio). To develop a dynamic prediction system based on these clinical assessments and repeated measurements, we used a Bayesian joint models-an artificial intelligence approach. The prediction performances of the model were assessed via discrimination, through calculation of the area under the receiver operator curve (AUC), and calibration. This study is registered with ClinicalTrials.gov, NCT04258891.

FINDINGS

13 608 patients were included (3774 in the development cohort and 9834 in the external validation cohorts) and contributed 89 328 patient-years of data, and 416 510 eGFR and proteinuria measurements. Bayesian joint models showed that recipient immunological profile, allograft interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy, allograft inflammation, and repeated measurements of eGFR and proteinuria were independent risk factors for allograft survival. The final model showed accurate calibration and very high discrimination in the development cohort (overall dynamic AUC 0·857 [95% CI 0·847-0·866]) with a persistent improvement in AUCs for each new repeated measurement (from 0·780 [0·768-0·794] to 0·926 [0·917-0·932]; p<0·0001). The predictive performance was confirmed in the external validation cohorts from Europe (overall AUC 0·845 [0·837-0·854]), the USA (overall AUC 0·820 [0·808-0·831]), South America (overall AUC 0·868 [0·856-0·880]), and the cohort of patients from randomised controlled trials (overall AUC 0·857 [0·840-0·875]).

INTERPRETATION

Because of its dynamic design, this model can be continuously updated and holds value as a bedside tool that could refine the prognostic judgements of clinicians in everyday practice, hence enhancing precision medicine in the transplant setting.

FUNDING

MSD Avenir, French National Institute for Health and Medical Research, and Bettencourt Schueller Foundation.

Progressive decline of function in renal allografts with normal 1-year biopsies: Gene expression studies fail to identify a classifier

Histologic findings on 1-year biopsies such as inflammation with fibrosis and transplant glomerulopathy predict renal allograft loss by 5 years. However, almost half of the patients with graft loss have a 1-year biopsy that is either normal or has only interstitial fibrosis. The goal of this study was to determine if there was a gene expression profile in these relatively normal 1-year biopsies that predicted subsequent decline in renal function. Using transcriptome microarrays we measured intragraft mRNA levels in a retrospective Discovery cohort (170 patients with a normal/minimal fibrosis 1-year biopsy, 54 with progressive decline in function/graft loss and 116 with stable function) and developed a nested 10-fold cross-validated gene classifier that predicted progressive decline in renal function (positive predictive value = 38 ± 34%%; negative predictive value = 73 ± 30%, c-statistic = .59). In a prospective, multicenter Validation cohort (270 patients with Normal/Interstitial Fibrosis [IF]), the classifier had a 20% positive predictive value, 85% negative predictive value and .58 c-statistic. Importantly, the majority of patients with graft loss in the prospective study had 1-year biopsies scored as Normal or IF. We conclude predicting graft loss in many renal allograft recipients (i.e., those with a relatively normal 1-year biopsy and eGFR > 40) remains difficult.

Long-term Outcomes of Sequential Hematopoietic Stem Cell Transplantation and Kidney Transplantation: Single-center Experience

BACKGROUND

Experience with sequential hematopoietic stem cell transplant (HSCT) and kidney transplant (KT) is limited.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective observational study of adult patients who underwent both HSCT and KT at our center, with a median follow-up of 11 y.

RESULTS

In our 54 patients cohort (94% autologous HSCT), 36 (67%) patients received HSCT first followed by KT, while 18 (33%) received KT before HSCT. In both groups, AL amyloidosis represented 50% of hematologic diagnosis. Only 4 patients expired due to hematologic disease relapse (2 patients in each group) and only 3 allografts were lost due to hematologic disease recurrence (HSCT first n = 1 and KT first n = 2). Overall 1, 5, and 10 y death-censored graft survival rates were 94%, 94%, and 94%, respectively, for the HSCT first group and 89%, 89%, and 75%, respectively, for the KT first group. Overall 1, 5, and 10 y patients survival rates were 100%, 97% and 90%, respectively, for the HSCT first group and 100%, 76%, and 63%, respectively, for the KT first group.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study supports safety of sequential KT and HSCT, with improved overall patient survival compared to recipients of HSCT remaining on dialysis and good long-term kidney allograft outcome.

Prospective Longitudinal Study Evaluating Comprehensive Metabolic and Life Style Characteristics of Pancreas Transplantation Recipients

Introduction: Pancreas Transplantation (PT) improves quality of life in Type 1 Diabetes (T1D) patients but limited longitudinal data are available regarding comprehensive metabolic assessment and lifestyle. Our objective was to comprehensively assess T1D patients who underwent PT (PTA and SPK) ≥ 1 year prior on two separate visits 1 year apart. Methodology: We studied 12 PT recipients ≥1 year post PT. Two assessments 1 year apart included comprehensive assessment of graft function using standard mixed meal tolerance test (MMTT), Continuous Glucose Monitoring (CGM) for 1 week, body composition using DEXA scan, physical activity using ActiGraph for 1 week and dietary assessment by VIOCARE®.

Results: PT recipients (9F) were 55.5± 9.7 years old, 91.7 % Caucasian with 34.9 ± 12.3 years of diabetes, 6.7 ± 5.2 years (range-1.3–17.6 years) after PT. Ten participants underwent Pancreas Transplantation alone and two received Simultaneous Pancreas Kidney transplantation. Visit 1(V1) showed HbA1c 5.5 ± 0.7%, Fructosamine 238.4 ± 25.6 mcmol/L, BMI 31.2 ± 6.7 kg/m², fasting plasma glucose (FPG) 95.2 ± 19.4mg/dL and C-peptide 2.6 ± 1.0 ng/ml and visit 2 (V2) HbA1c 5.5 ± 0.6%, Fructosamine 244.4 ± 41.3 mcmol/L, BMI 29.9 ± 5.1kg/m², FPG 95.4 ± 27.7mg/dL, and C-peptide 2.5 ± 0.8 ng/ml (p-value not significant). One week CGM (n=9) showed excellent glucose control at both visits with mean glucose 117.8 ± 7.0 vs.112 ± 6.2 mg/dl and 96.3 ± 3.6 vs. 96.9±2.8 % time in target range (70-180mg/dl). Time >180mg/dl and >250mg/dl were 2.7 ± 3.0 vs. 1.3±1.7 % (p=0.0413) and 0.2 ± 0.6 vs. 0.1 ± 0.1 % respectively. Mild CGM hypoglycemia (<70 mg/dl) was observed during both visits (1.0 ± 1.0 vs. 1.7± 2 %). CV was 21.1 ± 5.5 and 20.1 ± 4.8 %. Eight recipients underwent MMTT and showed excellent response to Boost® with no significant difference between visits with exception of insulin concentrations at 60 mins (increased from V1) and 90 mins (decreased from V1) (p=0.0424 and 0.0235). DEXA (n=10) revealed similar total % mean fat, and fat distribution in arms, legs and trunk. ActiGraph (n=10) showed similar physical activity during both visits with 16761 ± 5176 and 14499 ± 4192 average steps/day respectively. Mean MET score was 1.6 ± 0.4 and 1.6 ± 0.2 indicating light intensity activity during both periods. Total mean sedentary bouts increased over 1 year (49.6 ± 39.1 vs. 60.8 ± 43.7, p=0.0038). Dietary assessment in 11 recipients showed no significant difference in dietary intake with calories intake 1.3± 0.4 vs. 1.2±0.5 daily Harris-Benedict and macronutrient intake with fat of 36.7 ± 4.3 % and 36.5 ± 5.7 %, CHO of 45.7 ± 5.5 % and 45.7 ± 5.5 % and Omega-3 of 0.1 ± 0.1 g and 0.05 ± 0.1 g respectively. Conclusion: PT recipients have excellent glucose control and pancreas graft function 1 or more years after PT when assessed over successive 2 years with suboptimal body composition and dietary intake and above average physical activity.