Does Public Financial Management Save Life? Evidence from a Quantitative Review of PFM and Health Outcomes in Sub-Saharan African Countries

Public financial management (PFM) theory suggests that improvements in the allocation, execution, and monitoring of public funds can result in improved sectoral outcomes, including in health. However, the existing literature on the relationship between PFM quality and health outcomes provides limited empirical documentation and insufficient explanation of the mechanics of that relationship. This paper contributes to the literature by estimating the correlation between PFM quality and health outcomes from a sample of sub-Saharan African countries over the period 2005-2018, using a pooled ordinary least squares (OLS) estimator. The analysis uses Public Expenditure and Financial Accountability (PEFA) scores as proxies for PFM quality. The findings indicate that countries with high-quality PFM tended to have the lowest maternal, under-five and noncommunicable diseases (NCDs) mortality. Among the standard PFM dimensions, the one associated with the higher correlation with maternal and under-five mortality was "predictability and control in budget execution." Better PFM quality was significantly associated with a drop in maternal and under-five mortality in countries which allocated a higher proportion of their budget to the health sector. In countries allocating a lower proportion of their budget to health, the correlations between PFM quality and the three mortality indicators were not significant. The negative correlations between PFM quality and maternal and under-five mortality were significant only in countries with more effective governance. These findings support an emphasis on strengthening PFM as a means of improving health service provision and health outcomes.

Prognostic value of the fibrinogen-to-albumin ratio (FAR) in patients with chronic heart failure across the different ejection fraction spectrum

The ratio of fibrinogen to albumin (FAR) is considered a new inflammatory biomarker and a predictor of cardiovascular disease risk. However, its prognostic value for patients with chronic heart failure (CHF) with different ejection fractions (EFs) remains unclear. A total of 916 hospitalized patients with CHF from January 2017 to October 2021 in the First Affiliated Hospital of Kunming Medical University were included in the study. Death occurred in 417 (45.5%) patients out of 916 patients during a median follow-up time of 750 days. Among these patients, 381 patients suffered from HFrEF (LVEF <40%) and 535 patients suffered from HFpEF or HFmrEF (HFpEF plus HFmrEF, LVEF ≥ 40%). Patients were categorized into high-level FAR (FAR-H) and low-level FAR (FAR-L) groups based on the optimal cut-off value of FAR (9.06) obtained from receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Upon analysing the Kaplan - Meier plots, the incidence of death was significantly higher in all patients with FAR-H and patients in both HF subgroups (p < 0.001). The multivariate Cox proportional hazard analyses indicated that the FAR was an independent predictor of all-cause mortality, regardless of heart failure subtype. (HR 1.115, 95% CI 1.089-1.142, p < 0.001; HFpEF plus HFmrEF, HR 1.109, 95% CI 1.074-1.146, p < 0.0001; HFrEF, HR 1.138, 95% CI 1.094-1.183, p < 0.0001) The optimal cut-off value of FAR in predicting all-cause mortality was 9.06 with an area under the curve value of 0.720 (95% CI: 0.687-0.753, p < 0.001), a sensitivity of 68.8% and a specificity of 65.6%. After adjusting for the traditional indicators (LVEF, Lg BNP, etc.), the new model with the FAR had better prediction ability in patients with CHF. Elevated FAR is an independent predictor of death in CHF and is not related to the HF subtype.

Interactive effects of atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves on the risk of residential mortality

BACKGROUND

The impact of heat waves and atmospheric oxidising pollutants on residential mortality within the framework of global climate change has become increasingly important.

OBJECTIVE

In this research, the interactive effects of heat waves and oxidising pollutants on the risk of residential mortality in Fuzhou were examined. Methods We collected environmental, meteorological, and residential mortality data in Fuzhou from 1 January 2016, to 31 December 2021. We then applied a generalised additive model, distributed lagged nonlinear model, and bivariate three-dimensional model to investigate the effects and interactions of various atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves on the risk of residential mortality.

RESULTS

Atmospheric oxidising pollutants increased the risk of residential mortality at lower concentrations, and O3 and Ox were positively associated with a maximum risk of 2.19% (95% CI: 0.74-3.66) and 1.29% (95% CI: 0.51-2.08). The risk of residential mortality increased with increasing temperature, with a strong and long-lasting effect and a maximum cumulative lagged effect of 1.11% (95% CI: 1.01, 1.23). Furthermore, an interaction between atmospheric oxidising pollutants and heat waves may have occurred: the larger effects in the longest cumulative lag time on residential mortality per 10 µg/m3 increase in O3, NO2 and Ox during heat waves compared to non-heat waves were [-3.81% (95% CI: -14.82, 8.63)]; [-0.45% (95% CI: -2.67, 1.81)]; [67.90% (95% CI: 11.55, 152.71)]; 16.37% (95% CI: 2.43, 32.20)]; [-3.00% (95% CI: -20.80, 18.79)]; [-0.30% (95% CI: -3.53, 3.04)]. The risk on heat wave days was significantly higher than that on non-heat wave days and higher than the separate effects of oxidising pollutants and heat waves.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, we found some evidence suggesting that heat waves increase the impact of oxidising atmospheric pollutants on residential mortality to some extent.

The influencing factors of the erythropoietin resistance index and its association with all-cause mortality in maintenance hemodialysis patients

Anemia is a common complication of chronic kidney disease with major option treatment of erythropoiesis-stimulating agents (ESAs). This study aimed to investigate the influencing factors of erythropoietin resistance index (ERI) and its association with mortality in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients. Patients enrolled from China Dialysis Outcomes and Practice Patterns Study (DOPPS) 5 were included. ERI was calculated as follows: ESA (IU/week)/weight (kg, post-dialysis)/hemoglobin level (g/dL). The Cox regression model was used to analyze the influencing factors on survival outcomes. Stepwise multivariate logistic regression was used to identify the related risk factors, and subgroup analyses were performed. A total of 1270 MHD subjects (687 males and 583 females) were included, with an average age of 60 (49.0, 71.0) years. All subjects were divided into two groups by the median ERI of 14.03. Multivariate logistic regression showed that dialysis vintage (OR 0.957, 95% CI: 0.929-0.986), white blood cells (OR 0.900, 95% CI: 0.844-0.960), high flux dialyzer use (OR 0.866, 95% CI: 0.755-0.993), body mass index (OR 0.860, 95% CI: 0.828-0.892), males (OR 0.708, 95% CI: 0.625-0.801), and albumin (OR 0.512, 95% CI: 0.389-0.673) had a negative association with high ERI baseline (all p < 0.05). There were 176 (13.9%) deaths in total including 89 cardiac/vascular deaths during follow-up. Cox regression analysis showed that ERI was positively associated with all-cause mortality, especially in some subgroups. ERI was associated with increased all-cause mortality in MHD patients, indicating the possibility of death prediction by ERI. Patients with high ERI warrant more attention.

Thresholds of handgrip strength for all-cause mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease: a secondary systematic review with dose-response meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Although handgrip strength is associated with all-cause mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD), whether this relationship is dose-related is unknown. Therefore, we examined dose-response relationships between handgrip strength and all-cause mortality in CKD patients based on previous studies by meta-analysis.

METHODS

Data sources included three electronic databases (PubMed, Web of Science, and Embase) from inception through October 2023. The included cohort was a CKD population not limited to disease stage, and their handgrip strength was objectively measured. Two researchers independently screened studies, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias. We utilized estimates of handgrip strength categories using robust-error meta-regression (REMR), pooled study-specific estimates, and established dose-response relationships. Outcomes of interest included only all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 18 studies with 4810 participants (aged 47-71 years) were included. REMR modeling showed a U-shaped trend of association between handgrip strength and all-cause mortality in patients with CKD. Higher handgrip strength values, from 10 kg to approximately 28 kg, were associated with lower mortality risk. After that, the risk of death increased slightly.

CONCLUSION

A U-shaped association exists between handgrip strength and all-cause mortality risk in CKD patients. Future studies with quantitative measurements for each CKD stage will help to determine precise relative risk estimates between handgrip strength and mortality risk in patients with different stages of CKD.

Sauna bathing and mortality risk: unraveling the interaction with systolic blood pressure in a cohort of Finnish men

Objectives: This cohort study aimed to investigate the potential interplay between systolic blood pressure (SBP), frequency of sauna bathing (FSB), and all-cause mortality risk among Caucasian men. Design: A prospective study was conducted, involving 2575 men aged 42 to 61 years. Baseline assessments included resting blood pressure measurements and self-reported sauna bathing habits. SBP levels were categorized as normal (<140 mmHg) or high (≥140 mmHg), while FSB was classified as low (≤2 sessions/week) or high (3-7 sessions/week). Hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using Cox regression analysis, while adjusting for lifestyle factors, lipids, inflammation, and comorbidities. Results: Over a median follow-up of 27.8 years, 1,618 deaths were recorded. In the adjusted analysis, individuals with high SBP versus low SBP showed a 29% increased all-cause mortality risk (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.16-1.43). Similarly, those with low FSB versus high FSB exhibited a 16% elevated mortality risk (HR 1.16, 95% CI 1.02-1.31). When considering combined effects, participants with high SBP-low FSB had a 47% higher mortality risk (HR 1.47, 95% CI 1.24-1.74) compared to those with normal SBP-high FSB. However, no significant association was observed between individuals with high SBP-high FSB and mortality risk (HR 1.24, 95% CI 0.98-1.57). There were potential additive and multiplicative interactions between SBP and sauna bathing concerning mortality risk. Conclusions: This study reveals a potential interplay between SBP, sauna bathing, and mortality risk in Finnish men. Frequent sauna bathing may mitigate the increased mortality risk associated with elevated SBP.

Cell-free DNA predicts all-cause mortality of sepsis-induced acute kidney injury

Background Sepsis-induced acute kidney injury (S-AKI) is a common complication in critically ill patients. Therefore, reliable biomarkers for predicting S-AKI outcomes are necessary. Serum cell-free DNA (cfDNA) is a circulating extracellular DNA fragment used as a noninvasive screening tool for many diseases, including sepsis. This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of cfDNA in S-AKI patients and its relationship with some other parameters.Methods A total of 89 S-AKI patients admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU) from June 2021 to December 2021 were enrolled in this study. The patients were categorized into the low cfDNA group (< 855 ng/ml) and high cfDNA group (≥ 855 ng/ml) and were followed up for three months. CfDNA was extracted from serum and quantified using Quant-iT PicoGreen dsDNA Reagent.Results Overall survival was significantly lower in the high cfDNA group than in the low cfDNA group (Log-Rank p = 0.012). Univariate Cox proportional hazard model showed that cfDNA was significantly associated with all-cause mortality (HR [hazard ratio] 2.505, 95% CI [95% confidence interval] 1.184-5.298, p = 0.016). Also, serum cfDNA was a significant risk factor for all-cause mortality after adjusting for covariates (HR 2.191, 95% CI 1.017-4.721, p = 0.045). Moreover, cfDNA was positively correlated with several baseline parameters, including serum creatine, aspartate aminotransferase, alanine aminotransferase, prothrombin time, and International Normalized Ratio.Conclusion High serum cfDNA level is associated with higher mortality among the S-AKI population, indicating that cfDNA is a valuable biomarker for S-AKI prognosis.

Prognostic value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio dynamics in patients with septic acute kidney injury: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been suggested to be a prognostic marker for various diseases, but whether NLR dynamics (ΔNLR) is related to mortality and disease severity in patients with septic acute kidney injury (AKI) has not been determined.

METHODS

Between August 2013 and August 2021, septic AKI patients at our center were retrospectively enrolled. ΔNLR was defined as the difference between the NLR at septic AKI diagnosis and at hospital admission. The relationship between the ΔNLR and mortality was evaluated by Kaplan-Meier curves, Cox proportional hazards, and cubic spline analyses. The prediction values were compared by area under the receiver-operating characteristic curve (AUROC), net reclassification improvement (NRI), and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) analyses.

RESULTS

Of the 413 participants, the mean age was 63 ± 17 years, and 134 were female (32.4%). According to the median value, patients in the high-ΔNLR group had significantly greater 90-d mortality (74.4% vs. 46.6%, p < 0.001). After adjustment for potential confounders, high ΔNLR remained an independent predictor of 90-d mortality (HR = 2.80; 95% CI = 1.74-4.49, p < 0.001). Furthermore, ΔNLR had the highest AUROC for 90-d mortality (0.685) among the various biomarkers and exhibited an improved NRI (0.314) and IDI (0.027) when incorporated with PCT and CRP. For secondary outcomes, patients with high ΔNLR had increased risk of 30-d mortality (p = 0.004), need for renal replacement therapy (p = 0.011), and developing stage-3 AKI (p = 0.040) according to the adjusted models.

CONCLUSIONS

High ΔNLR is independently associated with increased risk of patient mortality and adverse outcomes. ΔNLR might be utilized to facilitate risk stratification and optimize septic AKI management.

Association of albumin to non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio with mortality in peritoneal dialysis patients

OBJECTIVE

Malnutrition and inflammation are associated with mortality in peritoneal dialysis (PD) patients. Serum albumin and non-high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (non-HDL-C) are independently associated with mortality in PD patients. Combining albumin and non-HDL-C with mortality may be more plausible in clinical practice.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 1954 Chinese PD patients from 1 January 2009 to 31 December 2016. Kaplan-Meier curve was used to determine the relationship between albumin to non-HDL-C ratio and all-cause mortality. Cox regression analysis was applied to assess the independent predictive value while adjusting for confounding factors. Competitive risk analysis was used to examine the effects of other outcomes on all-cause mortality prognosis.

RESULTS

In the 33-month follow-up period, there were 538 all-cause deaths. Kaplan-Meier analysis presented significant differences in all-cause mortality. Multivariate Cox regression showed that the risk of all-cause mortality was lower in the moderate group (9.36-12.79) (HR, 0.731; 95% CI, 0.593-0.902, p = 0.004) and the highest group (>12.79) (HR, 0.705; 95% CI, 0.565-0.879, p = 0.002) compared to the lowest group (≤9.36). Competitive risk analysis revealed significant differences for all-cause mortality (p < 0.001), while there was no statistical significance for other competing events.

CONCLUSIONS

Low albumin to non-HDL-C ratio was associated with a high risk of all-cause mortality in PD patients. It may serve as a potential prognostic biomarker in PD patients.

Early referral to nephrological care improves long-term survival and hospitalization after dialysis initiation, independent of optimal dialysis start - a call for harmonization of reimbursement policies

Early treatment of kidney disease can slow disease progression and reduce the increased risk of mortality associated with end-stage kidney disease. However, uncertainty exists whether early referral (ER) to nephrological care per se or an optimal dialysis start impacts patient outcome after dialysis initiation. We determined the effect of ER and suboptimal dialysis start on the 3-year mortality and hospitalizations after dialysis initiation. Between January 2015 and July 2018, 349 patients with ≥1 month of follow-up started dialysis at nine Romanian dialysis clinics. After excluding patients with COVID-19 during follow-up, 254 patients (97 ER and 157 late referral) were included in this retrospective study. The observational period was truncated at 3 years, death, or loss to follow-up. Clinical and laboratory data were retrieved from the quality database of the nephrological care providers. Patients were followed for a median (25-75%) of 36 (16-36) months. At dialysis start, ER patients had higher hemoglobin, phosphate, and albumin levels and started dialysis less often via a central dialysis catheter (p < 0.001 for each). Logistic regression analysis demonstrated an independent lower risk for frequent hospitalizations for ER patients (odds ratio 0.22 (95% confidence interval 0.1-0.485), p < 0.001), and Cox regression analysis revealed an improved survival (hazard ratio 0.540 (95% confidence interval 0.325-0.899), p = 0.02), both independent of optimal dialysis start. In conclusion, early referral to nephrological care was associated with improved survival and lower hospitalization rates during the three years after dialysis initiation, independent of optimal dialysis start. These results strongly support the reimbursement of nephrological care before dialysis initiation.

The association between systemic inflammatory response index and contrast-associated acute kidney injury in patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention

BACKGROUND

The systemic inflammatory response index (SIRI), served as a novel inflammatory biomarker, is the synthesis of neutrophils, monocytes and lymphocytes.

AIMS

We hypothesized that SIRI has predictive value for contrast-associated acute kidney injury (CA-AKI) and long-term mortality in patients undergoing elective percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

We retrospectively observed 5685 patients undergoing elective PCI from January 2012 to December 2018. Venous blood samples were collected to obtain the experimental data on the day of admission or the morning of the next day. SIRI = neutrophil count × monocyte count/lymphocyte count. CA-AKI was defined as an increase of 50% or 0.3 mg/dl in SCr from baseline within 48 h after contrast exposure.

RESULTS

The incidence of CA-AKI was 6.1% (n = 352). The best cutoff value of SIRI for predicting CA-AKI was 1.39, with a sensitivity of 52.3% and a specificity of 67.3%. [AUC: 0.620, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.590-0.651, p < 0.001]. After adjusting for potential confounders, multivariate analysis showed that the high SIRI group (SIRI > 1.39) was a strong independent predictor of CA-AKI in patients undergoing elective PCI compared with the low SIRI group (SIRI ≤ 1.39) (odds ratio = 1.642, 95% CI: 1.274-2.116, p < 0.001). Additionally, COX regression analysis showed that SIRI > 1.39 was significantly associated with long-term mortality at a median follow-up of 2.8 years. [Hazard ratio (HR)=1.448, 95%CI: 1.188-1.765; p < 0.001]. Besides, Kaplan-Meier survival curve also indicated that the cumulative rate of mortality was considerably higher in the high SIRI group.

CONCLUSIONS

High levels of SIRI are independent predictors of CA-AKI and long-term mortality in patients undergoing elective PCI.

In Nordic countries 30-day mortality rate is half that estimated with EuroSCORE II in high-risk adult patients given aprotinin and undergoing mainly complex cardiac procedures

Objectives. To describe current on- (isolated coronary arterty bypass grafting, iCABG) and off-label (non-iCABG) use of aprotinin and associated safety endpoints in adult patients undergoing high-risk cardiac surgery in Nordic countries. Design. Data come from 10 cardiac surgery centres in Finland, Norway and Sweden participating in the European Nordic aprotinin patient registry (NAPaR). Results. 486 patients were given aprotinin between 2016 and 2020. 59 patients (12.1%) underwent iCABG and 427 (87.9%) non-iCABG, including surgery for aortic dissection (16.7%) and endocarditis (36.0%). 89.9% were administered a full aprotinin dosage and 37.0% were re-sternotomies. Dual antiplatelet treatment affected 72.9% of iCABG and 7.0% of non-iCABG patients. 0.6% of patients had anaphylactic reactions associated with aprotinin. 6.4% (95 CI% 4.2%-8.6%) of patients were reoperated for bleeding. Rate of postoperative thromboembolic events, day 1 rise in creatinine >44μmol/L and new dialysis for any reason was 4.7% (95%CI 2.8%-6.6%), 16.7% (95%CI 13.4%-20.0%) and 14.0% (95%CI 10.9%-17.1%), respectively. In-hospital mortality and 30-day mortality was 4.9% (95%CI 2.8%-6.9%) and 6.3% (95%CI 3.7%-7.8%) in all patients versus mean EuroSCORE II 11.4% (95%CI 8.4%-14.0%, p < .01). 30-day mortality in patients undergoing surgery for aortic dissection and endocarditis was 6.2% (95%CI 0.9%-11.4%) and 6.3% (95%CI 2.7%-9.9%) versus mean EuroSCORE II 13.2% (95%CI 6.1%-21.0%, p = .11) and 14.5% (95%CI 12.1%-16.8%, p = .01), respectively. Conclusions. NAPaR data from Nordic countries suggest a favourable safety profile of aprotinin in adult cardiac surgery.

Survival and causes of death in patients with alpha and beta-thalassemia in Northern Thailand

BACKGROUND

Thalassemia is the most prevalent hereditary anaemia worldwide. Severe forms of thalassemia can lead to reduced life expectancy due to disease-related complications.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the survival of thalassemia patients across varying disease severity, causes of death and related clinical factors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We conducted a retrospective review of thalassemia patients who received medical care at Chiang Mai University Hospital. The analysis focused on survival outcomes, and potential associations between clinical factors and patient survival.

RESULTS

A total of 789 patients were included in our study cohort. Among them, 38.1% had Hb H disease, 35.4% had Hb E/beta-thalassemia and 26.5% had beta-thalassemia major. Half of the patients (50.1%) required regular transfusions. Sixty-five patients (8.2%) had deceased. The predominant causes of mortality were infection-related (36.9%) and cardiac complications (27.7%). Transfusion-dependent thalassemia (TDT) (adjusted HR 3.68, 95% CI 1.39-9.72, p = 0.008) and a mean serum ferritin level ≥3000 ng/mL (adjusted HR 4.18, 95% CI 2.20-7.92, p < 0.001) were independently associated with poorer survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study highlights the primary contributors to mortality in patients with thalassemia as infection-related issues and cardiac complications. It also underscores the significant impact of TDT and elevated serum ferritin levels on the survival of thalassemia patients.

Effect of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors versus that of angiotensin receptor blockers on survival in patients undergoing hemodialysis: a nationwide observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to evaluate the patient survival rates based on the use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEI) or angiotensin II receptor blocker (ARB) in a large cohort of patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis (HD).

METHODS

Data from a national HD quality assessment program were used in this retrospective study. The patients were classified into four groups based on the use of renin-angiotensin system blockers (RASBs) as follows: No group, patients without a prescription of any anti-hypertensive drugs including RASBs; Other group, patients with a prescription of anti-hypertensive drugs excluding RASBs; ACEI group, patients with a prescription of an ACEI; and ARB group, patients with a prescription of an ARB.

RESULTS

The 5-year survival rates in the no, other, ACEI, and ARB groups were 68.6%, 67.8%, 70.6%, and 69.2%, respectively. The ACEI group had the best patient survival trend among the four groups. In multivariable Cox regression analyses, no differences were observed between the ACEI and ARB groups. Among young patients and patients without diabetes or heart disease, the ACEI group had the best patient survival among the four groups. However, among patients with DM or heart disease, the ARB group had the best patient survival.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study found that patients receiving ACEI and ARB had comparable survival. However, patients receiving ARB had better survival in the subgroups of patients with DM or heart disease, and patients receiving ACEI had better survival in the subgroup of young patients or patients without diabetes or heart disease.

Machine learning algorithm for predict the in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with congestive heart failure combined with chronic kidney disease

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) model for predict in-hospital mortality among critically ill patients with congestive heart failure (CHF) combined with chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

After employing least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression for feature selection, six distinct methodologies were employed in the construction of the model. The selection of the optimal model was based on the area under the curve (AUC). Furthermore, the interpretation of the chosen model was facilitated through the utilization of SHapley Additive exPlanation (SHAP) values and the Local Interpretable Model-Agnostic Explanations (LIME) algorithm.

RESULTS

This study collected data and enrolled 5041 patients on CHF combined with CKD from 2008 to 2019, utilizing the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care Unit. After selection, 22 of the 47 variables collected post-intensive care unit admission were identified as mortality-associated and subsequently utilized in the development of ML models. Among the six models generated, the eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) model demonstrated the highest AUC at 0.837. Notably, the SHAP values highlighted the sequential organ failure assessment score, age, simplified acute physiology score II, and urine output as the four most influential variables in the XGBoost model. In addition, the LIME algorithm explains the individualized predictions.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, our study accomplished the successful development and validation of ML models for predicting in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with CHF combined with CKD. Notably, the XGBoost model emerged as the most efficacious among all the ML models employed.

Mortality among US veterans with a physician-documented diagnosis of pyruvate kinase deficiency

Real-world studies of pyruvate kinase (PK) deficiency and estimates of mortality are lacking. This retrospective observational study aimed to identify patients with PK deficiency and compare their overall survival (OS) to that of a matched cohort without PK deficiency. Patients with ≥1 diagnosis code related to PK deficiency were selected from the US Veterans Health Administration (VHA) database (01/1995-07/2019); patients with a physician-documented diagnosis were included (PK deficiency cohort; index: date of first diagnosis code related to PK deficiency). Patients in the PK deficiency cohort were matched 1:5 to patients from the general VHA population (non-PK deficiency cohort; index: random visit date during match's index year). OS from index was compared between the two cohorts. Eighteen patients in the PK deficiency cohort were matched to 90 individuals in the non-PK deficiency cohort (both cohorts: mean age 57 years, 94% males; median follow-up 6.0 and 8.0 years, respectively). At follow-up, patients in the non-PK deficiency cohort had significantly longer OS than the PK deficiency cohort (median OS: 17.1 vs. 10.9 years; hazard ratio: 2.3; p = 0.0306). During their first-year post-index, 75% and 40% of the PK deficiency cohort had laboratory-confirmed anemia and iron overload, respectively. Among patients who died, cause of death was highly heterogeneous. These results highlight the increased risk of mortality and substantial clinical burden among patients with PK deficiency. While the intrinsic characteristics of the VHA database may limit the generalizability of the results, this is the first real-world study to characterize mortality in patients with PK deficiency.

Relationship of serum total cholesterol and triglyceride with risk of mortality in maintenance hemodialysis patients: a multicenter prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The relationship between serum total cholesterol (TC) and triglyceride (TG) levels and mortality in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients remains inconsistent. We aimed to explore the individual and combined association of TC and TG levels with the risk of mortality in Chinese MHD patients.

METHODS

1036 MHD patients were enrolled in this multicenter, prospective cohort study. The serum levels of total cholesterol and triglycerides were measured at baseline. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality and secondary outcome was cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up duration of 4.4 years (IQR= 2.0-7.9 years), 549 (53.0%) patients died, and 297 (28.7%) deaths were attributed to CVD. Compared with patients with TC levels in the first three quartiles (<182.5 mg/dL), a significantly higher risk of all-cause mortality was found in participants with TC in the fourth quartile (hazard ratio [HR], 1.43; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.17-1.76). However, a significantly lower risk of all-cause mortality was observed in participants with TG in the fourth quartile (≥193.9 mg/dL) (HR, 0.78; 95%CI: 0.63-0.98), compared with participants with TG in the first three quartiles. Similar trends were observed in CVD mortality. When analyzed jointly, patients with lower TC (<182.5 mg/dL) and higher TG (≥193.9 mg/dL) levels had the lowest risk of all-cause mortality and CVD mortality.Conclusions: In MHD patients in southern China, higher TC levels were associated with higher risk of mortality, while higher TG levels were related to lower risk of mortality. Patients with lower TC and higher TG levels had the best survival prognosis.

Body mass index and weight loss as risk factors for poor outcomes in patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

The association between nutritional status and prognosis of idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF) remains unclear. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to explore the effect of body mass index (BMI) and weight loss on the prognosis of IPF patients.

METHODS

We accumulated studies on IPF, BMI, and weight loss from databases including PubMed, Embase, Web of science, Scopus, Ovid and Cochrane Library up to 4 August 2023. Using Cox proportional hazard regression model for subgroup analysis, hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for BMI in relation to mortality, acute exacerbation (AE), and hospitalization in IPF patients were calculated, and HR, odds ratio (OR), and 95% CI for weight loss corresponding to IPF patient mortality were assessed. Sensitivity analysis was peformed by eliminating every study one by one, and publication bias was judged by Egger's test and trim-and-fill method.

RESULTS

A total of 34 eligible studies involving 18,343 IPF patients were included in the meta-analysis. The pooled results by univariate Cox regression analysis showed that baseline BMI was a predictive factor for IPF mortality (HR = 0.93, 95%CI = [0.91, 0.94]). Furthermore, the results by the multivariable regression model indicated that baseline BMI was an independent risk factor for predicting IPF mortality (HR = 0.94, 95%CI = [0.91, 0.98]). Weight loss was identified as a risk factor for IPF mortality (HR = 2.74, 95% CI = [2.12, 3.54]; OR = 4.51, 95% CI = [1.72, 11.82]) and there was no predictive value of BMI for acute exacerbation (HR = 1.00, 95% CI= [0.93, 1.07]) or hospitalization (HR = 0.95, 95% CI = [0.89, 1.02]).

CONCLUSION

Low baseline BMI and weight loss in the course of IPF may indicate a high risk of mortality in patients with IPF, so it is meaningful to monitor and manage the nutritional status of IPF patients, and early intervention should be conducted for low BMI and weight loss.

Comparison of morbidity and mortality after bloodstream infection with vancomycin-resistant versus -susceptible Enterococcus faecium: a nationwide cohort study in Denmark, 2010-2019

The emergence of bloodstream infections (BSI) caused by vancomycin-resistant Enterococci (VRE) has caused concern. Nonetheless, it remains unclear whether these types are associated with an excess risk of severe outcomes when compared with infections caused by vancomycin-susceptible Enterococci (VSE). This cohort study included hospitalized patients in Denmark with Enterococcus faecium-positive blood cultures collected between 2010 and 2019 identified in the Danish Microbiology Database. We estimated 30-day hazard ratio (HR) of death or discharge among VRE compared to VSE patients adjusted for age, sex, and comorbidity. The cohort included 6071 patients with E. faecium BSI (335 VRE, 5736 VSE) among whom VRE increased (2010-13, 2.6%; 2014-16, 6.3%; 2017-19; 9.4%). Mortality (HR 1.08, 95%CI 0.90-1.29; 126 VRE, 37.6%; 2223 VSE, 37.0%) or discharge (HR 0.89, 95%CI 0.75-1.06; 126 VRE, 37.6%; 2386 VSE, 41.6%) was not different between VRE and VSE except in 2014 (HR 1.87, 95% CI 1.18-2.96). There was no interaction between time from admission to BSI (1-2, 3-14, and >14 days) and HR of death (P = 0.14) or discharge (P = 0.45) after VRE compared to VSE, despite longer time for VRE patients (17 vs. 10 days for VSE, P < 0.0001). In conclusion, VRE BSI was not associated with excess morbidity and mortality. The excess mortality in 2014 only may be attributed to improved diagnostic- and patient-management practices after 2014, reducing time to appropriate antibiotic therapy. The high level of mortality after E. faecium BSI warrants further study.

A comprehensive evaluation of risk factors for mortality, infection and colonization associated with CRGNB in adult solid organ transplant recipients: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The burden of carbapenem-resistant gram-negative bacteria (CRGNB) among solid organ transplant (SOT) recipients has not been systematically explored. Here, we discern the risk factors associated with CRGNB infection and colonization in SOT recipients.

METHODS

This study included observational studies conducted among CRGNB-infected SOT patients, which reported risk factors associated with mortality, infection or colonization. Relevant records will be searched in PubMed, Embase and Web of Science for the period from the time of database construction to 1 March 2023.

RESULTS

A total of 23 studies with 13,511 participants were included, enabling the assessment of 27 potential risk factors. The pooled prevalence of 1-year mortality among SOT recipients with CRGNB was 44.5%. Prolonged mechanical ventilation, combined transplantation, reoperation and pre-transplantation CRGNB colonization are salient contributors to the occurrence of CRGNB infections in SOT recipients. Renal replacement therapy, post-LT CRGNB colonization, pre-LT liver disease and model for end-stage liver disease score increased the risk of infection. Re-transplantation, carbapenem use before transplantation and ureteral stent utilization increaesd risk of CRGNB colonization.

CONCLUSION

Our study demonstrated that SOT recipients with CRGNB infections had a higher mortality risk. Invasive procedure may be the main factor contribute to CRGNB infection.

Changes in serum sodium concentration during hemodialysis is a predictor of mortality and cardio-cerebrovascular event

BACKGROUND

Previous study consistently showed that lower serum sodium (SNa) was associated with a greater risk of mortality in hemodialysis (HD) patients. However, few studies have focused on the change in SNa (ΔSNa = post-HD SNa - pre-HD SNa) during an HD session.

METHODS

In a retrospective cohort of maintenance HD adults, all-cause mortality and cardio-cerebrovascular event (CCVE) were followed up for a medium of 82 months. Baseline pre-HD SNa and ΔSNa were collected; time-averaged pre-HD SNa and ΔSNa were computed as the mean values within 1-year, 2-year and 3-year intervals after enrollment. Cox proportional hazards models were used to evaluate the relationships of pre-HD and ΔSNa with outcomes.

RESULTS

Time-averaged pre-HD SNa were associated with all-cause mortality (2-year pre-HD SNa: HR [95% CI] 0.86 [0.74-0.99], p = 0.042) and CCVE (3-year pre-HD SNa: HR [95% CI] 0.83 [0.72-0.96], p = 0.012) with full adjustment. Time-averaged ΔSNa also demonstrated an association with all-cause mortality (3-year ΔSNa: HR [95% CI] 1.26 [1.03-1.55], p = 0.026) as well as with CCVE (3-year ΔSNa: HR [95% CI] 1.51 [1.21-1.88], p = <0.001) when fully adjusted. Baseline pre-HD SNa and ΔSNa didn't exhibit association with both outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower time-averaged pre-HD SNa and higher time-averaged ΔSNa were associated with a greater risk of all-cause mortality and CCVE in HD patients.

Patient Selection for Living Donor Liver Transplantation in Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure

Background and objectives

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is associated with high short-term mortality without liver transplantation (LT). The selection criteria for LT in these patients are not well defined. The objective of this study was to determine factors associated with post-transplant survival in ACLF.

Methods

This was a single-center retrospective study of patients who underwent living donor liver transplantation (LDLT) for ACLF between 2012 and 2022. Out of 1093 transplants, 110 patients had underlying ACLF, based on the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure Consortium (EASL-CLIF) criteria. We looked at factors associated with 1-year posttransplant survival.

Results

The median model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score was 33.5 (31-38), and the 1-year posttransplant survival was 72%. Six risk factors were associated with posttransplant survival, namely, body mass index > 30 kg/m2 [HR, 4.4; 95% CI, 1.8-10.7], platelet count < 66,000/μl [HR, 2.91; CI,1.2-6.6], poor response to medical treatment [HR, 2.6; CI, 1.1-5.7], drug-resistant bacterial or fungal cultures [HR, 4.2; CI, 1.4-12.4], serum creatinine > 2.5 mg/dl [HR, 3.4; CI, 1.5-7.7], and graft-to-recipient weight ratio < 0.7 [HR, 4.8; CI, 1.4-16.3]. The 1-year post-transplant survival was 84% in patients with 0-2 risk factors (n = 89) and was 6% with 3 risk factors (n = 15) (P < 0.001). For 1-year posttransplant survival, the area under curve (AUC) for the current model was 0.8 (0.69-0.9). The AUC for CLIF-ACLF, Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (CLIF-SOFA), and EASL-CLIF ACLF grades was < 0.5.

Conclusion

In LT for ACLF, acceptable survival can be achieved when less than three high-risk factors are present.

Greater upper limb muscle mass associated with reduced cardiovascular mortality compared with other muscle groups in diabetics

OBJECTIVES

Although muscle mass and its distribution have been shown to affect prognosis, the association between regional muscle mass and cardiovascular mortality risk in diabetic patients remains unclear.

METHODS

This prospective cohort study analyzed data from 2166 individuals with diabetes who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Survey conducted in the United States between 2003 to 2006 and 2011 to 2018, linked to the National Death Index. Weighted Kaplan-Meier analysis and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to explore the association between different regional lean mass and cardiovascular mortality.

RESULTS

The weighted Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed statistically significant differences in survival probabilities across lean upper limbs, lean lower limbs, lean gynoid, and lean trunk mass levels in diabetic participants (P < 0.05). In the multivariate adjusted Cox proportional hazards models, higher levels of upper limb lean mass were found to be associated with decreased cardiovascular mortality (hazard ratio, 0.589; 95% confidence interval, 0.332-0.976; P = 0.041). Notably, this correlation was more significant in men (hazard ratio, 0.378; 95% confidence interval, 0.171-0.834; P = 0.016), which was indicated by the results of the Cox regression and nonlinear regression analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher upper limb lean mass is associated with lower cardiovascular mortality compared with other regional lean mass in patients with diabetes, especially for men. Further research is needed to elucidate the mechanisms involved in muscle metabolic differentiation.

Prognostic significance of bone marrow fibrosis in diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

INTRODUCTION

Diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (DLBCL) is the most common subtype of non-Hodgkin lymphomas. The aim of this study is to determine the relationship between the increase in the degree of fibrosis in the bone marrow and prognosis and mortality in newly diagnosed DLBCL.

METHODS

Bone marrow biopsy of 153 newly diagnosed DLBCL patients was determined by staining with reticulin, Masson's trichrome histochemical stain, and the degree of fibrosis was determined.

RESULTS

In the bone marrow biopsy performed at the time of diagnosis, bone marrow fibrosis (BMF) was observed in 70 patients. While BMF-1 was detected in 42 patients (60%), BMF-2 was detected in 25 patients (35%) and BMF-3 was detected in 3 patients (4%). As the degree of BMF increased, the median overall survival and median progression-free survival times were significantly shorter (p: 0.008), (p < 0.001). In patients with an increased degree of BMF, a significant decrease in leukocyte and neutrophil counts was observed after chemotherapy (p: 0.004). According to the results of the multivariate Cox regression model, it was determined that high NCCN-IPI risk (HR: 8.25; %95 CI: 1.09-62.52; p = 0.041) and being BMF ≥ 2 (HR: 3.75; %95 CI: 1.65-8.51; p = 0.002), increased the risk of death (p = 0.002, -2 loglikelihood = 392,553).

CONCLUSION

When the literature was reviewed, it was seen that this study was the first to define that bone marrow fibrosis grade 2 and above in DLBCL is a prognostic marker associated with worse survival. In the bone marrow pathology, which is examined to detect advanced disease in DLBCL, besides lymphomatous involvement, the detection of fibrosis grade is very important.

Hospitalisation and mortality among privately insured individuals with COVID-19 in the United States: The role of intellectual disabilities and Neurogenetic disorders

BACKGROUND

Individuals with intellectual disabilities (IDs) and neurogenetic conditions (IDNDs) are at greater risk for comorbidities that may increase adverse outcomes for this population when they have coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19). The study aims are to examine the population-level odds of hospitalisation and mortality of privately insured individuals with COVID-19 with and without IDNDs IDs, controlling for sociodemographics and comorbid health conditions.

METHODS

This is a retrospective, cross-sectional study of 1174 individuals with IDs and neurogenetic conditions within a population of 752 237 de-identified, privately insured, US patients diagnosed with COVID-19 between February 2020 and September 2020. Odds of hospitalisation and mortality among COVID-19 patients with IDNDs adjusted for demographic characteristics, Health Resources and Services Administration region, states with Affordable Care Act and number of comorbid health conditions were analysed.

RESULTS

Patients with IDNDs overall had higher rates of COVID-19 hospitalisation than those without IDNDs (35.01% vs. 12.65%, P < .0001) and had higher rates of COVID-19 mortality than those without IDNDs (4.94% vs. .88%, P < .0001). Adjusting for sociodemographic factors only, the odds of being hospitalised for COVID-19 associated with IDNDs was 4.05 [95% confidence interval (CI) 3.56-4.61]. Adjusting for sociodemographic factors and comorbidity count, the odds of hospitalisation for COVID-19 associated with IDNDs was 1.42 (95% CI 1.25-1.61). The odds of mortality from COVID-19 for individuals with IDNDs adjusted for sociodemographic factors only was 4.65 (95% CI 3.47-6.24). The odds of mortality from COVID-19 for patients with IDNDs adjusted for sociodemographic factors and comorbidity count was 2.70 (95% CI 2.03-3.60). A major finding of the study was that even when considering the different demographic structure and generally higher disease burden of patients with IDNDs, having a IDND was an independent risk factor for increased hospitalisation and mortality compared with patients without IDNDs.

CONCLUSIONS

Individuals with IDNDs had significantly higher odds of hospitalisation and mortality after adjusting for sociodemographics. Results remained significant with a slight attenuation after adjusting for sociodemographics and comorbidities. Adjustments for comorbidity count demonstrated a dose-response increase in odds of both hospitalisation and mortality, illustrating the cumulative effect of health concerns on COVID-19 outcomes. Together, findings highlight that individuals with IDNDs experience vulnerability for negative COVID-19 health outcomes with implications for access to comprehensive healthcare.

Early warning scores for sepsis identification and prediction of in-hospital mortality in adults with sepsis: A systematic review and meta-analysis

AIM

The early warning scores (EWS), quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) criteria have been proposed as sepsis screening tools. This review aims to summarise and compare the performance of EWS with the qSOFA and SIRS criteria for predicting sepsis diagnosis and in-hospital mortality in patients with sepsis.

DESIGN

A systematic review with meta-analysis.

REVIEW METHODS

Seven databases were searched from January 1, 2016 until March 10, 2022. Study quality was assessed using the Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2 tool. Sensitivity, specificity, likelihood ratios and diagnostic odd ratios were pooled by using the bivariate random effects model. Overall performance was summarised by using the hierarchical summary receiver-operating characteristics curve. This paper adhered to the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses of Diagnostic Test Accuracy Studies (PRISMA-DTA) guidelines.

RESULTS

Ten studies involving 52,474 subjects were included in the review. For predicting sepsis diagnosis, the pooled sensitivity of EWS (65%, 95% CI: 55, 75) was similar to SIRS ≥2 (70%, 95% CI: 49, 85) and higher than qSOFA ≥2 (37%, 95% CI: 20, 59). The pooled specificity of EWS (77%, 95% CI: 64, 86) was higher than SIRS ≥2 (62%, 95% CI: 41, 80) but lower than qSOFA ≥2 (94%, 95% CI: 86, 98). Results were similar for the secondary outcome of in-hospital mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Although no one scoring system had both high sensitivity and specificity, the EWS had at least equivalent values in most measures of diagnostic accuracy compared with SIRS or qSOFA.

IMPLICATIONS FOR THE PROFESSION

Healthcare systems in which EWS is already in place should consider whether there is any clinical benefit in adopting qSOFA or SIRS.

NO PATIENT OR PUBLIC CONTRIBUTION

This systematic review did not directly involve patient or public contribution to the manuscript.

The Impact of Integrated Palliative Care on Survival in Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: A Retrospective Multicenter Comparison

Background: Early and integrated palliative care is recommended for patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis. Unfortunately, palliative care delivery remains poor due to various barriers in practice. This study describes various palliative care delivery models in a real-world cohort of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis, examines the predictors of survival in this cohort of patients, and explores the impact of palliative care on survival. Design: Charts were reviewed retrospectively and analyzed. The primary outcome was survival during a 4-year follow-up period. Two multivariable models were created to examine the impact of therapeutic strategies including palliative intervention on survival. Results: 298 patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis were enrolled from 3 interstitial lung disease clinics with different palliative care models in Edmonton, Canada; Bristol, UK; and Kingston, Canada. 200 (67%) patients received palliative care and 119 (40%) died during follow up. Primary palliative care models (Edmonton and Bristol) delivered palliative care to 96% and 100% respectively compared 21% in the referral model (Queens). Palliative care [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) .28 (.12-.65)] along with the use of antifibrotics [aHR .56 (.37-.84)], and body mass index >30 [aHR .47 (.37-.85)] reduced the risk of death in our idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis cohort. Opioid use was associated with worse survival [aHR 2.11 (1.30-23.43)]. Conclusions: Both palliative care and antifibrotic use were associated with survival benefit in this cohort of patients with idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis after adjusting for covariates. The benefit was seen despite differences in disease severity and different palliative care delivery models.

[Spatial and Temporal Distribution Characteristics of Ozone Concentration and Health Benefit Assessment in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region from 2015 to 2020]

To evaluate the spatial and temporal distribution characteristics of ambient ozone (O3) in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) Region, the land use regression (LUR) model and random forest (RF) model were used to simulate the ambient O3 concentration from 2015 to 2020. Meanwhile, all-cause, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortalities as well as economic losses attributed to O3 were also estimated. The results showed that upward trends with fluctuation were observed for ambient O3 concentration, mortalities, and economic losses attributable to O3 exposure in the BTH Region from 2015 to 2020. The areas with high O3 concentration and great changes were concentrated in the central and southwestern regions, whereas the concentration in the northern region was low, and the change degree was small. The spatial distribution of the mortalities was also consistent with the spatial distribution of O3 concentration. From 2015 to 2020, the economic losses regarding all-cause mortality and cardiovascular mortality increased in 13 cities of the BTH Region, whereas the economic losses of respiratory mortality decreased in 4 cities in the BTH Region. The results indicated that the priority areas for O3 control were not uniform. Specifically, Beijing, Tianjin, Hengshui, and Xingtai were vital areas for O3 pollution control in the BTH Region. Differentiated control measures should be adopted based on the characteristics of these target areas to decline O3 concentration and reduce health impacts and economic losses associated with O3 exposure.

Secondary Analysis of the Salt Substitute and Stroke Study (SSaSS): Effects of Potassium-Enriched Salt on Cardiac Outcomes

BACKGROUND

The SSaSS (Salt Substitute and Stroke Study) has shown that use of a potassium-enriched salt lowers the risk of stroke, total cardiovascular events, and premature death. The effects on cause-specific cardiac outcomes are reported here.

METHODS

SSaSS was an unblinded, cluster-randomised trial assessing the effects of potassium-enriched salt compared with regular salt among 20 995 Chinese adults with established stroke and older age and uncontrolled hypertension. Post hoc efficacy analyses were performed using an intention-to-treat method and a hierarchical Poisson regression model adjusting for clustering to obtain rate ratios and 95% CIs. We assessed acute coronary syndrome, heart failure, arrhythmia, and sudden death.

RESULTS

Over a mean 4.74 years follow-up, there were 695 acute coronary syndrome events, 454 heart failure events, 230 arrhythmia events, and 1133 sudden deaths recorded. The rates of events were lower in potassium-enriched salt group for all outcomes but CIs were wide for most: acute coronary syndrome (6.32 versus 7.65 events per 1000 person-years; rate ratio, 0.80 [95% CI, 0.65-0.99]); heart failure (9.14 versus 11.32 events per 1000 person-years; rate ratio, 0.88 [95% CI, 0.60-1.28]); arrhythmia (4.43 versus 6.20 events per 1000 person-years; rate ratio, 0.59 [95% CI, 0.35-0.98]); and sudden death (11.01 versus 11.76 events per 1000 person-years; rate ratio, 0.94 [95% CI, 0.82-1.07]; all P>0.05 with adjustment for multiple comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that use of potassium-enriched salt is more likely to prevent than cause cardiac disease but the post hoc nature of these analyses precludes definitive conclusions.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov; Unique identifier: NCT02092090.

Predicting Hospital Survival in Patients Admitted to ICU with Pulmonary Embolism

OBJECTIVE

The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) and simplified PESI (sPESI) predict mortality for patients with PE. We compared PESI/sPESI to the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation IV (APACHE-IV) in predicting mortality in patients with PE admitted to the intensive care unit (ICU). Additionally, we assessed the performance of a novel ICU-sPESI score created by adding three clinical variables associated with acuity of PE presentation (intubation, confusion [altered mental status], use of vasoactive infusions) to sPESI.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the eICU Collaborative Research Database from 2014 to 2015, we conducted a large retrospective cohort study of adult patients admitted to the ICU with a primary diagnosis of PE. We calculated APACHE-IV, PESI, sPESI, and ICU-sPESI scores and compared their performance for predicting in-hospital mortality using area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) curve. Score thresholds for >99% negative predictive values (NPV) were calculated for each score. Survival was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

We included 1424 PE cases. In-hospital mortality was 6.3% [95% CI: 5.1%-7.6%]. AUROC for APACHE-IV, PESI, and sPESI were 0.870, 0.848, and 0.777, respectively. APACHE-IV and PESI outperformed sPESI (P < 0.01 for both comparisons), while APACHE-IV and PESI demonstrated similar performance (P = 0.322). The ICU-sPESI performance was similar to APACHE-IV and PESI (AUROC = 0.847; AUROC comparison: APACHE-IV vs ICU-sPESI: P = 0.396; PESI vs ICU-sPESI: P = 0.945). Hospital mortality for ICU-sPESI scores 0-2 was 1.1%, and for scores 3, 4, 5, 6, and ≥7 was 8.6%, 11.7%, 29.2%, 37.5%, and 76.9%, respectively. Score thresholds for >99% NPV were ≤48 for APACHE-IV, ≤115 for PESI, and 0 points for sPESI and ICU-sPESI.

CONCLUSIONS

By accounting for severity of PE presentation, our newly proposed ICU-sPESI score provided improved PE mortality prediction compared to the original sPESI score and offered excellent discrimination of mortality risk.

Significance of clinical-immunological patterns and diagnostic yield of biopsies in microscopic polyangiitis and granulomatosis with polyangiitis

BACKGROUND

Microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) and granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) are the two major antineutrophil cytoplasmic antibody (ANCA)-associated vasculitis (AAV).

OBJECTIVES

To characterize a homogenous AAV cohort and to assess the impact of clinicopathological profiles and ANCA serotypes on clinical presentation and prognosis. Clinical differences in GPA patients according to ANCA serotype and the diagnostic yield for vasculitis of biopsies in different territories were also investigated.

RESULTS

This retrospective study (2000-2021) included 152 patients with AAV (77 MPA/75 GPA). MPA patients (96.1% myeloperoxidase [MPO]-ANCA and 2.6% proteinase 3 [PR3]-ANCA) presented more often with weight loss, myalgia, renal involvement, interstitial lung disease (ILD), cutaneous purpura, and peripheral nerve involvement. Patients with GPA (44% PR3-ANCA, 33.3% MPO, and 22.7% negative/atypical ANCA) presented more commonly with ear, nose, and throat and eye/orbital manifestations, more relapses, and higher survival than patients with MPA. GPA was the only independent risk factor for relapse. Poor survival predictors were older age at diagnosis and peripheral nerve involvement. ANCA serotypes differentiated clinical features in a lesser degree than clinical phenotypes. A mean of 1.5 biopsies were performed in 93.4% of patients in different territories. Overall, vasculitis was identified in 80.3% (97.3% in MPA and 61.8% in GPA) of patients.

CONCLUSIONS

The identification of GPA presentations associated with MPO-ANCA and awareness of risk factors for relapse and mortality are important to guide proper therapeutic strategies in AAV patients. Biopsies of different affected territories should be pursued in difficult-to-diagnose patients based on their significant diagnostic yield.

Outcomes following coronary artery bypass grafting with multiple arterial grafting by pump status in men and women

BACKGROUND

Multiple arterial grafting (MAG) and off-pump surgery are strategies proposed to improve outcomes with coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG). This study was conducted to determine the impact of off-pump surgery on outcomes after CABG with MAG in men and women.

METHODS

This cohort study used population-based data to identify all Ontarians undergoing isolated CABG with MAG between October 2008 and September 2019. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality. Secondary outcomes included major adverse cardiac and cerebrovascular events (MACCE; hospitalization for stroke, myocardial infarction hospitalization or heart failure, or repeat revascularization). Analysis used propensity-score overlap-weighted cause-specific Cox proportional hazard regression.

RESULTS

A total of 2989 women (1188 off-pump, 1801 on-pump) and 16,209 men (6065 off-pump, 10,144 on-pump) underwent MAG with a median follow-up of 5.0 years (interquartile range, 2.7-8.0) years. Compared to the on-pump approach, all-cause mortality was not changed with off-pump status (hazard ratio [HR] in women: 1.25 [95% CI, 0.83-1.88]; in men: 1.08 [95% CI, 0.85-1.37]). In women, the risk of MACCE was significantly higher off-pump (HR, 1.45; 95% CI, 1.04-2.03), with nonsignificantly increased risk observed for all component outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients undergoing CABG with MAG, this population-based analysis found no association between pump status and survival in either men or women. However, it did suggest that off-pump MAG in women may be associated with an increased risk of MACCE.

Nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding in COVID-19 patients: insights from the National Inpatient Sample

BACKGROUND

This retrospective study, conducted using the U.S. National Inpatient Sample (NIS), examines the outcomes and management of nonvariceal upper gastrointestinal bleeding (NVUGIB) in COVID-19 patients and identifies predictive factors to enhance patient prognosis.

METHODS

We analyzed the 2020 U.S. NIS data involving adult patients (≥18 years) admitted with NVUGIB and categorized them based on the presence of COVID-19. Primary and secondary outcomes, NVUGIB-related procedures, and predictive factors were evaluated.

RESULTS

Of 184,885 adult patients admitted with NVUGIB, 1.6% (2990) had COVID-19. Patients with NVUGIB and COVID-19 showed higher inpatient mortality, acute kidney injury, need for intensive care, and resource utilization metrics. Notably, there was a lower rate of early esophagogastroduodenoscopy (EGD). Multivariate logistic regression revealed conditions like peptic ulcer disease, mechanical ventilation, and alcohol abuse as significant positive predictors for NVUGIB in COVID-19 patients, whereas female gender and smoking were negative predictors.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that COVID-19 significantly increases the risk of mortality and complications in NVUGIB patients. The observed decrease in early EGD interventions, potentially contributing to higher mortality rates, calls for a review of treatment strategies. Further multicenter, prospective studies are needed to validate these results and improve patient care strategies.

Penile cancer care in the Netherlands: increased incidence, centralisation, and improved survival

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate penile squamous cell carcinoma (PSCC) incidence and centralisation trends in the Netherlands over the past three decades, as well as the effect of centralisation of PSCC care on survival.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In the Netherlands PSCC care is largely centralised in one national centre of expertise (Netherlands Cancer Institute [NCI], Amsterdam). For this study, the Netherlands Cancer Registry, an independent nationwide cancer registry, provided per-patient data on age, clinical and pathological tumour staging, follow-up, and vital status. Patients with treatment at the NCI were identified and compared to patients who were treated at all other centres. The age-standardised incidence rate was calculated with the European Standard Population. The probability of death due to PSCC was estimated using the relative survival. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to evaluate predictors of survival.

RESULTS

A total of 3160 patients were diagnosed with PSCC between 1990 and 2020, showing a rising incidence (P < 0.001). Annual caseload increased at the NCI (1% in 1990, 65% in 2020) and decreased at other (regional) centres (99% to 35%). Despite a relatively high percentage of patients with T2-4 (64%) and N+ (33%) at the NCI, the 5-year relative survival was higher (86%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 82-91%) compared to regional centres (76%, 95% CI 73-80%, P < 0.001). Patients with a pathological T2 tumour were treated with glans-sparing treatment more often at the reference centre than at the regional centres (16% vs 5.0%, P < 0.001). After adjusting for age, histological grading, T-stage, presence of lymph node involvement and year of diagnosis, treatment at regional centres remained a predictor for worse survival (hazard ratio 1.22, 95% CI 1.05-1.39; P = 0.006).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of PSCC in the Netherlands has been gradually increasing over the past three decades, with a noticeable trend towards centralisation of PSCC care and improved relative survival rate.

Injecting drug use increases the risk of death in HIV patients on antiretroviral therapy in Vietnam

The Human Immunodeficiency Virus (HIV) epidemic remains a major public health issue worldwide. In Vietnam, the HIV epidemic is essentially driven by people who inject drugs (PWID). This study aims to compare mortality and loss to follow-up (LTFU) between PWID and other patients. From June 2017 to April 2018, HIV-infected adults were enrolled in a prospective cohort from time of ART initiation in six provinces of North Vietnam. The end date was July 2020. Mortality and LTFU were described using competing-risk survival models. Factors associated with mortality and with LTFU were identified using Cox models with a competing-risk approach. Of the 578 participants, 261 (45.2%) were PWID and almost exclusively male. 49 patients died, corresponding to a mortality rate (95% confidence interval (CI)) of 3.7 (2.8-4.9) per 100 person-months, and 79 were lost to follow-up, corresponding to a rate (95% CI) of 6.0 (4.8-7.4) per 100 person-months. PWID were at higher risk of death but not of LTFU. Overall, LTFU was high in both groups. Latecomers to clinical visits were more at risk of both death and LTFU. Therefore, this should be a warning to clinical teams and preventive actions taken in these patients.Trial registration: ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03249493..

Absorbable antibiotic beads for treatment of LVAD driveline infections

BACKGOUND

Infections of the left ventricular assist device (LVAD) driveline are a dreaded complication that results in high mortality and morbidity.

METHOD

We retrospectively reviewed five consecutive patients with severe continuous-flow LVAD (HVAD, Heartmate 2, and Heartmate 3) driveline infection. These infections, which developed on an average of 960.4 ± 843.9 days after LVAD placement, were refractory to systemic antibiotics and local wound care. All were treated with extensive surgical debridement, local installation of absorbable antibiotic-loaded calcium sulfate beads (vancomycin and tobramycin), primary wound closure, and 6 weeks of systemic antibiotics after surgery.

RESULTS

Four patients had resolution of DLI, and one had a recurrent infection at another part of the driveline 7 months after the complete resolution of the previous site. This patient was successfully treated with debridement and bead placements. Three patients still have their LVADs, while two received orthotopic heart transplants. At the time of the transplant, there was no evidence of gross infection of the LVAD drivelines or pumps. At the average follow-up time of 425.8 ± 151 days, no patients have an active infection.

CONCLUSION

Treatment of LVAD driveline infection with absorbable antibiotic beads with primary wound closure is a viable option and merits further investigation.

Recent trends in cervical cancer incidence, stage at diagnosis, and mortality according to county-level income in the United States, 2000-2019

Early evidence suggests that declining cervical cancer incidence reversed in low-income regions in the United States in recent years; however, it is unclear whether there are distinct patterns by race/ethnicity and stage at diagnosis and if the increase has translated into rising mortality. Using Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data, we evaluated trends in hysterectomy-corrected cervical cancer incidence rates (2000-2019) and mortality rates (2005-2019) by county-level income and race/ethnicity, with further stratification of incidence by stage at diagnosis. Following a period of decline, hysterectomy-corrected cervical cancer incidence increased 1.0%/year (95% CI = 0.1% to 4.5%) among Non-Hispanic White women in low-income counties. Particularly, a statistically significant 4.4%/year (95% CI = 1.7% to 7.5%) increase in distant-stage cancer occurred in this group. Additionally, recent increases in cervical cancer mortality (1.1%/year [95% CI = -1.4% to 3.7%]) were observed among this group and Non-Hispanic Black women in low-income counties (2.9%/year [95% CI = -2.3% to 18.2%]), but trends were not statistically significant. Among Hispanic women in low-income counties, distant-stage cervical cancer incidence increased 1.5%/year (95% CI = -0.6% to 4.1%), albeit not statistically significant. The increasing incidence of distant-stage cervical cancer and mortality in specific racial/ethnic groups suggests that the recent introduction of higher sensitivity screening tests may not explain increasing trends in low-income counties. Our findings suggest that the observed rise in cervical cancer incidence may reflect disruptions along the screening and treatment continuum. Future research to further comprehend these trends and continued enhancements in prevention are crucial to combat rising cervical cancer incidence and mortality in low-income counties in the United States.

Neighborhood Socioeconomic Disadvantage and Long-Term Outcomes After Pediatric Tracheostomy

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether long-term outcomes after pediatric tracheostomy are impacted by neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage.

METHODS

A prospective cohort of children with tracheostomies was followed at an academic pediatric hospital between 2015 and 2020. Patients were grouped into low or high socioeconomic disadvantage using their neighborhood area deprivation index (ADI). Survival and logistic regression analyses determined the relationship between ADI group, decannulation, and mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 260 children were included with a median age at tracheostomy of 6.6 months (interquartile range [IQR], 3.9-42.3). The cohort was 53% male (N = 138), 55% White race (N = 143), and 35% Black or African American (N = 90). Tracheostomy was most frequently indicated for respiratory failure (N = 189, 73%). High neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage was noted for 66% of children (N = 172) and 61% (N = 158) had severe neurocognitive disability. ADI was not associated with time to decannulation (HR = 0.90, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 0.53-1.53) or time to death (HR = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.49-1.72).

CONCLUSIONS

Neighborhood socioeconomic disadvantage was not associated with decannulation or mortality among children with a tracheostomy. These findings suggest that long-term outcomes after pediatric tracheostomy are less dependent on socioeconomic factors in an individual community.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

3 Laryngoscope, 134:2415-2421, 2024.

Unclosing Premature Mortality Gap Among Patients With Gout in the US General Population, Independent of Serum Urate and Atherosclerotic Cardiovascular Risk Factors

OBJECTIVE

Gout flares are followed by transient major cardiovascular (CV) risk, implicating the role of inflammation; the aim of this study was to determine whether premature mortality rates in patients with gout and CV risk are independent of serum urate (SU) and atherosclerotic CV disease (ASCVD) risk factors.

METHODS

Using serial US nationwide prospective cohorts, we evaluated the independent association of prevalent gout with all-cause and CV mortality, adjusting for SU, ASCVD risk factors, comorbidities, medications, and kidney function and compared mortality rates between the early (1988-1994 baseline) and late cohorts (2007-2016 baseline). We replicated late cohort findings among patients with gout in a nationwide UK cohort (2006-2010 baseline).

RESULTS

Adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) for mortality rates in patients with prevalent gout were similar in early and late US cohorts (1.20 [1.03-1.40] and 1.19 [1.04-1.37], respectively); HRs with further adjustment for SU were 1.19 (1.02-1.38) and 1.19 (1.03-1.37), respectively. Adjusted HR among patients with gout from the UK late cohort was 1.61 (1.47-1.75); these associations were larger among women (P = 0.04) and prominent among Black individuals. Adjusted HR for CV mortality rates in the late US cohort was 1.39 (1.09-1.78); those for circulatory, CV, and coronary heart disease deaths among UK patients with incident gout were 1.48 (1.24-1.76), 1.49 (1.20-1.85), and 1.59 (1.26-1.99), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with gout experience a persistent mortality gap in all-cause and CV deaths, even adjusting for SU and ASCVD risk factors, supporting a role for gout-specific pathways (eg, flare inflammation). These findings suggest gaps in current care, particularly in women and possibly among Black patients.

Behavior-related risk factors and time to death among persons with alcohol consumption versus persons without: A general population study with mortality follow-up after 20 years

BACKGROUND

Evidence shows that low to moderate alcohol consumers seem to live longer than abstainers. Insufficient consideration of subgroups among abstainers and of further behavior-related risk factors for death might be reasons. The aim of this study was to compare alcohol lifetime abstainers, former drinkers, and current consumers with regard to mortality considering tobacco smoking, body overweight, and physical inactivity.

METHODS

A general adult population sample of residents aged 18 to 64 had been drawn at random in northern Germany. Among eligible persons, 4093 (70.2%) participated. Assessments included alcohol consumption by the Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test Consumption in addition to lifetime alcohol abstinence and former drinking. A score of behavior-related risk factors was built from tobacco smoking, body overweight, and physical inactivity. Twenty years later, a mortality follow-up was conducted. Data of 4028 study participants were analyzed.

RESULTS

At baseline, former alcohol consumers but not current low to moderate alcohol drinkers had more behavior-related risk factors than lifetime abstainers. At follow-up, former alcohol drinkers with two or more behavior-related risk factors had a shorter time to death than lifetime abstainers with 0 or one behavior-related risk factor (hazard ratio 3.43, 95% confidence interval: 1.63-7.20). Low to moderate alcohol drinkers did not survive longer than lifetime alcohol abstainers with 0 or one behavior-related risk factor.

CONCLUSION

The results provide evidence against the assumption that alcohol consumption has a beneficial effect on health and longevity.

Inpatient admissions and mortality of anorexia nervosa patients according to their preceding psychiatric and somatic diagnoses

OBJECTIVE

Anorexia nervosa (AN) is associated with increased risk of mortality, but little is known about the risk of inpatient admissions and mortality outcomes in individuals with diagnoses of both AN and other psychiatric and somatic conditions. We aimed to investigate the inpatient admissions and mortality among people with AN and other diagnosed conditions using Danish national registers.

METHOD

This retrospective cohort study included individuals diagnosed with AN in Denmark, born 1977-2010. We identified other mental and somatic conditions in this population. We used Cox proportional hazards regression to estimate the risk of inpatient admission and mortality, focusing on (i) the number of other diagnosed conditions, and (ii) specific combinations of conditions diagnosed prior to the AN diagnosis. Categories of inpatient admissions considered were due to: (i) AN, (ii) any psychiatric disorder, and (iii) any somatic disorder. Additionally, competing risks survival analysis was used to calculate the cumulative incidence of inpatient admission and all-cause mortality over the follow-up period.

RESULTS

The study population included 11,489 individuals. The most common conditions individuals had prior to their AN diagnosis were other eating disorders (34.5%) and anxiety disorders (32.7%). During the follow-up, 3184 (27.7%), 4604 (40.1%), and 6636 (57.8%) individuals were admitted for AN, any psychiatric disorder, and any somatic disorder, respectively; and in total 106 (0.9%) died. The risk of all outcomes was highest among those who had received a higher number of other diagnoses. For most combinations, the risks of admission and mortality were increased.

DISCUSSION

Our study presents the prevalence of other conditions in patients with AN in Denmark and elucidates their association with higher rates of inpatient admission and mortality. Our findings highlight the need for comprehensive, multidisciplinary care of patients with AN considering the spectrum of other diagnosed conditions to improve health outcomes.

How does staff and patient feedback on hospital quality relate to mortality outcomes? A provider-level national study

This study aimed to use national data to examine the relationship between staff and inpatient survey results (National Health Service (NHS) Friends and Family Test (FFT)) and assess how these align with more traditional measurements of hospital quality as captured by the summary hospital mortality indicator (SHMI). Provider level FFT responses were obtained for 128 English non-specialist acute providers for staff and inpatients between April 2016 and March 2019. Multilevel linear regression models assessed the relationship between staff and patient FFT recommendations, and separately how SHMI related to each of staff and patient FFT recommendations. A total of 1,536 observations were recorded across all providers and financial quarters. Patients were more likely to recommend their provider (95.5%) than staff (76.8%). In multivariable regression, a statistically significant association was observed between staff and patient FFT recommendations. A statistically significant negative relationship was also observed between staff FFT recommendations and SHMI. The association between SHMI and staff FFT recommendations suggests that staff feedback tools may provide a useful analogue for providers in potential need of intervention and improvement in care. For patients meanwhile, qualitative approaches and hospital organisations working in partnership with patients may provide better opportunities for patients to drive improvement.

Pre-diagnostic circulating resistin concentrations and mortality among individuals with colorectal cancer: Results from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition study

Resistin is a protein involved in inflammation and angiogenesis processes and may play a role in the progression of colorectal cancer (CRC). However, it remains unclear whether resistin is associated with increased mortality after CRC diagnosis. We examined pre-diagnostic serum resistin concentrations in relation to CRC-specific and all-cause mortality among 1343 incident CRC cases from the European Prospective Investigation into Cancer and Nutrition cohort. For CRC-specific mortality as the primary outcome, hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI) were estimated from competing risk analyses based on cause-specific Cox proportional hazards models and further in sensitivity analyses using Fine-Gray proportional subdistribution hazards models. For all-cause mortality as the secondary outcome, Cox proportional hazards models were used. Subgroup analyses were performed by sex, tumor subsite, tumor stage, body mass index and time to CRC diagnosis. Resistin was measured on a median of 4.8 years before CRC diagnosis. During a median follow-up of 8.2 years, 474 deaths from CRC and 147 deaths from other causes were observed. Resistin concentrations were not associated with CRC-specific mortality (HRQ4vsQ1  = 0.95, 95% CI: 0.73-1.23; Ptrend  = .97; and HRper doubling of resistin concentration  = 1.00; 95% CI: 0.84-1.19; P = .98) or all-cause mortality. Results from competing risk (sensitivity) analysis were similar. No associations were found in any subgroup analyses. These findings suggest no association between pre-diagnostic circulating resistin concentrations and CRC-specific or all-cause mortality among persons with CRC, and the potential insignificance of resistin in CRC progression.

Outcomes of Trauma "Walk-Ins" in the American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Program Database

BACKGROUND

Outcomes of trauma "walk-in" patients (using private vehicles or on foot) are understudied. We compared outcomes of ground ambulance vs walk-ins, hypothesizing that delayed resuscitation and uncoordinated care may worsen walk-in outcomes.

METHODS

A retrospective analysis 2020 American College of Surgeons Trauma Quality Programs (ACS-TQP) databases compared outcomes between ambulance vs "walk-ins." The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality, excluding external facility transfers and air transports. Data was analyzed with descriptive statistics, bivariate, multivariable logistic regression, including an Inverse Probability Weighted Regression Adjustment with adjustments for injury severity and vital signs. The primary outcome for the 2019 (pre-COVID-19 pandemic) data was similarly analyzed.

RESULTS

In 2020, 707,899 patients were analyzed, 556,361 (78.59%) used ambulance, and 151,538 (21.41%) were walk-ins. We observed differences in demographics, hospital attributes, medical comorbidities, and injury mechanism. Ambulance patients had more chronic conditions and severe injuries. Walk-ins had lower in-hospital mortality (850 (.56%) vs 23,131 (4.16%)) and arrived with better vital signs. Multivariable logistic regression models (inverse probability weighting for regression adjustment), adjusting for injury severity, demographics, injury mechanism, and vital signs, confirmed that walk-in status had lower odds of mortality. For the 2019 (pre-COVID-19 pandemic) database, walk-ins also had lower in-hospital mortality.

DISCUSSION

Our results demonstrate better survival rates for walk-ins before and during COVID-19 pandemic. Despite limitations of patient selection bias, this study highlights the need for further research into transportation modes, geographic and socioeconomic factors affecting patient transport, and tailoring management strategies based on their mode of arrival.

A large multicenter Ralstonia pickettii outbreak in critically ill patients during the COVID-19 pandemic: Epidemiological and clinical characteristics of 66 cases

Objective

To describe a multicenter outbreak of R. pickettii that occurred in a large number of critically ill patients in a city in Colombia, during the COVID-19 pandemic.

Methods

In April 2021, the National Institute for Food and Drug Surveillance (INVIMA) reported an outbreak of R. pickettii infection associated with contaminated intravenous medications. The Municipal Health Department began collecting data for all cases identified by the hospitals and the results of microbiological studies. Medical records and death certificates of included cases were reviewed.

Results

Between March and May 2021, 66 cases of R. pickettii bloodstream infections from nine hospitals were documented. The median age of the patients was 60 years (IQR 51-72), and most of them had comorbidities (78.8%), mainly arterial hypertension and diabetes mellitus. At the time of the R. pickettii bloodstream infection, 89.4% had COVID-19, 86.4% were on mechanical ventilation, and 98.5% were receiving corticosteroids. The overall mortality was 81.8%. Nearly 60% of the deaths were related to R. pickettii bloodstream infections. R. pickettii was identified in the cultures from intravenous medications.

Conclusions

This large multicenter outbreak caused by intravenous medications contaminated with R. pickettii mainly affected critically ill COVID-19 patients. Mortality was high and largely related to R. pickettii bloodstream infection.

It is not "just a fracture"

In their recent population-based study of nearly 100 000 patients from Ontario, Canada, who had suffered a fracture, Vincent et al. characterized postfracture survival rates. Their findings showed that overall survival was decreased particularly following fractures of the hip or vertebrae, and was worse in men and the oldest old. They found that relative survival, particularly after hip fracture, is strikingly poor with less than one-third of men and one-half of women surviving for 5 years following hip fracture, survival which was far less than that seen for patients afflicted by both prostate and breast cancers. Importantly, mortality risk increased immediately after fracture occurrence and was highest within 1 month of fracture. Collectively, their data suggest that a short, critical window may exist immediately following fracture in which application of interventions to improve survival is likely to be of greatest value. Future work is urgently needed to identify the best approaches to employ during this critical time period in order to optimize survival in patients who have suffered a fracture.

Estimating disparities of prostate cancer burden and its attributable risk factors for males across the BRICS-plus, 1990-2019: A comparable study of key nations with emerging economies

BACKGROUNDS

The study aimed to analyze epidemiology burden of male prostate cancer across the BRICS-plus, and identify potential risk factors by assessing the associations with age, period, birth cohorts and sociodemographic index (SDI).

METHODS

Data were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The average annual percent change (AAPC) was calculated to assess long-term trends, and age-period-cohort analysis was used to analyze these three effects on prostate cancer burden. Quantile regression was used to investigate the association between SDI and health outcomes.

RESULTS

The higher incidence and mortality were observed in Mercosur and SACU regions, increasing trends were observed in prostate cancer incidence in almost all BRICS-plus countries (AAPC > 0), and EEU's grew by 24.31% (%AAPC range: -0.13-3.03). Mortality had increased in more than half of countries (AAPC > 0), and SACU grew by 1.82% (%AAPC range: 0.62-1.75). Incidence and mortality risk sharply increased with age across all BRICS-plus countries and globally, and the peak was reached in the age group 80-84 years. Rate ratio (RR) of incidence increased with birth cohorts in all BRICS-plus countries except for Kazakhstan where slightly decrease, while mortality RR decreased with birth cohort in most of BRICS-plus countries. SDI presented significantly positive associations with incidence in 50 percentiles. The deaths attributable to smoking declined in most of BRICS-plus nations, and many countries in China-ASEAN-FTA and EEU had higher values.

CONCLUSION

Prostate cancer posed a serious public health challenge with an increasing burden among most of BRICS-plus countries. Age had significant effects on prostate cancer burden, and recent birth cohorts suffered from higher incidence risk. SDI presented a positive relationship with incidence, and the smoking-attributable burden was tremendous in China-ASEAN-FTA and EEU region. Secondary prevention should be prioritized in BRICS-plus nations, and health policies targeting important populations should be strengthened based on their characteristics and adaptability.

Clinical Surveillance vs Anticoagulation Therapy for Isolated Subsegmental Pulmonary Embolism: A Systematic Review of Clinical Outcomes

BACKGROUND

This systematic review aims to evaluate and compare differences in clinical outcomes for adult patients diagnosed with ISSPE who were managed with anticoagulation vs clinical surveillance.

METHODS

PubMed, Embase, ProQuest, Cochrane, and Google Scholar were searched to identify studies evaluating the use of anticoagulation and/or clinical surveillance in patients diagnosed with ISSPE. The search included studies published up to August 3, 2023. Outcomes of interest included 90-day recurrent venous thromboembolism (VTE), major bleeding, and all-cause mortality rates.

RESULTS

Ten studies were included with a total of 1224 patients. Of these patients, 791 were treated with anticoagulation and 433 underwent surveillance. Studies found no difference in recurrent VTE rates, with the majority of studies reporting no recurrence. Of the studies that reported VTE recurrence, rates were .5% to 1.4% for the anticoagulation groups and 3.1% to 3.2% for the surveillance groups. Major bleeding rates were also similar. In anticoagulated patients, major bleeding rates ranged from 1% to 10%. In clinical surveillance patients, the majority found no rate of major bleeding, with 2 studies reporting rates of .8% to 3.2%. Mortality rates ranged widely with no significant differences reported.

CONCLUSION

Clinical surveillance appears to be a safe and effective alternative to anticoagulation in patients with ISSPE. Ninety-day rates of recurrent VTE, major bleeding, and mortality were comparable between groups. These findings highlight the need for updated practice management guidelines to improve patient outcomes.

Risk factors for mortality in Stenotrophomonas maltophilia bacteremia - a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Stenotrophomonas maltophilia (S. maltophilia) is a nosocomial pathogen causing life-threatening invasive infections with a high mortality rate in some patient populations, especially those who are severely ill or immunocompromised. There is a need for data on mortality in patients with S. maltophilia bacteremia.

OBJECTIVE

In this meta-analysis, we aimed to investigate risk factors for mortality in S. maltophilia bacteremia.

METHODS

Studies comparing patients who died from S. maltophilia bacteremia with patients who survived were considered for inclusion. Studies were included if they reported one or more risk factors for mortality. Mortality risk factors included clinical predisposing factors, predisposing comorbidities and appropriateness of antibiotic therapy.

RESULTS

Nineteen studies with 1248 patients were included in the meta-analysis. Five hundred and six (40.5%) patients died. The following risk factors for mortality were identified: ICU admission, septic shock, need for mechanical ventilation, indwelling central venous catheter, neutropenia, comorbid hematological malignancies, chronic kidney disease, inappropriate antimicrobial therapy and prior antibiotic use.

CONCLUSIONS

Appropriate antimicrobial therapy had a protective effect against mortality in S. maltophilia bacteremia. Indwelling central venous catheter, neutropenia, hematological malignancies and chronic kidney disease were also risk factors for mortality.

The American Association for Thoracic Surgery (AATS) 2023 Expert Consensus Document: Recommendation for the care of children with trisomy 13 or trisomy 18 and a congenital heart defect

OBJECTIVES

Recommendations for surgical repair of a congenital heart defect in children with trisomy 13 or trisomy 18 remain controversial, are subject to biases, and are largely unsupported with limited empirical data. This has created significant distrust and uncertainty among parents and could potentially lead to suboptimal care for patients. A working group, representing several clinical specialties involved with the care of these children, developed recommendations to assist in the decision-making process for congenital heart defect care in this population. The goal of these recommendations is to provide families and their health care teams with a framework for clinical decision making based on the literature and expert opinions.

METHODS

This project was performed under the auspices of the AATS Congenital Heart Surgery Evidence-Based Medicine Taskforce. A Patient/Population, Intervention, Comparison/Control, Outcome process was used to generate preliminary statements and recommendations to address various aspects related to cardiac surgery in children with trisomy 13 or trisomy 18. Delphi methodology was then used iteratively to generate consensus among the group using a structured communication process.

RESULTS

Nine recommendations were developed from a set of initial statements that arose from the Patient/Population, Intervention, Comparison/Control, Outcome process methodology following the groups' review of more than 500 articles. These recommendations were adjudicated by this group of experts using a modified Delphi process in a reproducible fashion and make up the current publication. The Class (strength) of recommendations was usually Class IIa (moderate benefit), and the overall level (quality) of evidence was level C-limited data.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first set of recommendations collated by an expert multidisciplinary group to address specific issues around indications for surgical intervention in children with trisomy 13 or trisomy 18 with congenital heart defect. Based on our analysis of recent data, we recommend that decisions should not be based solely on the presence of trisomy but, instead, should be made on a case-by-case basis, considering both the severity of the baby's heart disease as well as the presence of other anomalies. These recommendations offer a framework to assist parents and clinicians in surgical decision making for children who have trisomy 13 or trisomy 18 with congenital heart defect.