Implications of Cardiopulmonary Risk for the Management of COPD: A Narrative Review

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) constitutes a major global health burden and is the third leading cause of death worldwide. A high proportion of patients with COPD have cardiovascular disease, but there is also evidence that COPD is a risk factor for adverse outcomes in cardiovascular disease. Patients with COPD frequently die of respiratory and cardiovascular causes, yet the identification and management of cardiopulmonary risk remain suboptimal owing to limited awareness and clinical intervention. Acute exacerbations punctuate the progression of COPD in many patients, reducing lung function and increasing the risk of subsequent exacerbations and cardiovascular events that may lead to early death. This narrative review defines and summarises the principles of COPD-associated cardiopulmonary risk, and examines respiratory interventions currently available to modify this risk, as well as providing expert opinion on future approaches to addressing cardiopulmonary risk.

The prevalence and mortality risks of PRISm and COPD in the United States from NHANES 2007-2012

BACKGROUND

We estimated the prevalence and mortality risks of preserved ratio impaired spirometry (PRISm) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) in the US adult population.

METHODS

We linked three waves of pre-bronchodilator spirometry data from the US National Health and Nutritional Examination Survey (2007-2012) with the National Death Index. The analytic sample included adults ages 20 to 79 without missing data on age, sex, height, BMI, race/ethnicity, and smoking status. We defined COPD (GOLD 1, 2, and 3-4) and PRISm using FEV1/FVC cut points by the Global Initiative for Chronic Obstructive Lung Disease (GOLD). We compared the prevalence of GOLD stages and PRISm by covariates across the three waves. We estimated adjusted all-cause and cause-specific mortality risks by COPD stage and PRISm using all three waves combined.

RESULTS

Prevalence of COPD and PRISm from 2007-2012 ranged from 13.1%-14.3% and 9.6%-10.2%, respectively. We found significant differences in prevalence by sex, age, smoking status, and race/ethnicity. Males had higher rates of COPD regardless of stage, while females had higher rates of PRISm. COPD prevalence increased with age, but not PRISm, which was highest among middle-aged individuals. Compared to current and never smokers, former smokers showed lower rates of PRISm but higher rates of GOLD 1. COPD prevalence was highest among non-Hispanic White individuals, and PRISm was notably higher among non-Hispanic Black individuals (range 31.4%-37.4%). We found associations between PRISm and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR]: 2.3 95% CI: 1.9-2.9) and various cause-specific deaths (HR ranges: 2.0-5.3). We also found associations between GOLD 2 (HR: 2.1, 95% CI: 1.7-2.6) or higher (HR: 4.2, 95% CI: 2.7-6.5) and all-cause mortality. Cause-specific mortality risk varied within COPD stages but typically increased with higher GOLD stage.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of COPD and PRISm remained stable from 2007-2012. Greater attention should be paid to the potential impacts of PRISm due to its higher prevalence in minority groups and its associations with mortality across various causes including cancer.

Association of Acute Respiratory Disease Events with Quantitative Interstitial Abnormality Progression at CT in Individuals with a History of Smoking

Background Acute respiratory disease (ARD) events are often thought to be airway-disease related, but some may be related to quantitative interstitial abnormalities (QIAs), which are subtle parenchymal abnormalities on CT scans associated with morbidity and mortality in individuals with a smoking history. Purpose To determine whether QIA progression at CT is associated with ARD and severe ARD events in individuals with a history of smoking. Materials and Methods This secondary analysis of a prospective study included individuals with a 10 pack-years or greater smoking history recruited from multiple centers between November 2007 and July 2017. QIA progression was assessed between baseline (visit 1) and 5-year follow-up (visit 2) chest CT scans. Episodes of ARD were defined as increased cough or dyspnea lasting 48 hours and requiring antibiotics or corticosteroids, whereas severe ARD episodes were those requiring an emergency room visit or hospitalization. Episodes were recorded via questionnaires completed every 3 to 6 months. Multivariable logistic regression and zero-inflated negative binomial regression models adjusted for comorbidities (eg, emphysema, small airway disease) were used to assess the association between QIA progression and episodes between visits 1 and 2 (intercurrent) and after visit 2 (subsequent). Results A total of 3972 participants (mean age at baseline, 60.7 years ± 8.6 [SD]; 2120 [53.4%] women) were included. Annual percentage QIA progression was associated with increased odds of one or more intercurrent (odds ratio [OR] = 1.29 [95% CI: 1.06, 1.56]; P = .01) and subsequent (OR = 1.26 [95% CI: 1.05, 1.52]; P = .02) severe ARD events. Participants in the highest quartile of QIA progression (≥1.2%) had more frequent intercurrent ARD (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 1.46 [95% CI: 1.14, 1.86]; P = .003) and severe ARD (IRR = 1.79 [95% CI: 1.18, 2.73]; P = .006) events than those in the lowest quartile (≤-1.7%). Conclusion QIA progression was independently associated with higher odds of severe ARD events during and after radiographic progression, with higher frequency of intercurrent severe events in those with faster progression. Clinical trial registration no. NCT00608764 © RSNA, 2024 Supplemental material is available for this article. See also the editorial by Little in this issue.

Vessel and Airway Characteristics in One-Year CT-defined Rapid Emphysema Progression: SPIROMICS

Rationale: Rates of emphysema progression vary in chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and the relationship with vascular and airway pathophysiology remain unclear. Objective: We sought to determine if indices of peripheral (segmental and beyond) pulmonary arterial (PA) dilation measured via computed tomography (CT) are associated with a 1-year index of emphysema (EI: %voxels<-950HU) progression. Methods: 599 GOLD 0-3 former and never-smokers were evaluated from the SubPopulations and InterMediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS) cohort: rapid-emphysema-progressors (RP, n=188; 1-year ΔEI>1%), non-progressors (NP, n=301; 1-year ΔEI±0.5%) and never-smokers (NS: N=110). Segmental PA cross-sectional areas were standardized to associated airway luminal areas (Segmental : Pulmonary Artery-to-Airway Ratio: PAARseg). Full inspiratory CT scan-derived total (arteries + veins) pulmonary vascular volume (TPVV) was compared to vessel volume with radius smaller than 0.75mm (SVV.75/TPVV). Airway-to-lung ratios (an index of dysanapsis and COPD risk) were compared to TPVV-lung-volume-ratios. Results: Compared with NP, RP exhibited significantly larger PAARseg (0.73±0.29 vs. 0.67±0.23; p=0.001), lower TPVV-to-lung-volume ratio (3.21%±0.42% vs. 3.48%±0.38%; p=5.0 x 10-12), lower airway-to-lung-volume ratio (0.031±0.003 vs. 0.034±0.004; p=6.1 x 10-13) and larger SVV.75/TPVV (37.91%±4.26% vs. 35.53±4.89; p=1.9 x 10-7). In adjusted analyses, a 1-SD increment in PAARseg was associated with a 98.4% higher rate of severe exacerbations (95%CI: 29 to 206%; p = 0.002) and 79.3% higher in odds of being in the rapid emphysema progression group (95%CI: 24% to 157%; p = 0.001). At year-2 followup, the CT-defined RP group demonstrated a significant decline in post-bronchodilator-FEV1% predicted. Conclusion: Rapid one-year progression of emphysema was associated with indices indicative of higher peripheral pulmonary vascular resistance and a possible role played by pulmonary vascular-airway dysanapsis.

The Effect of Chronic Altitude Exposure on COPD Outcomes in the SPIROMICS Cohort

RATIONALE

Individuals with COPD have airflow obstruction and maldistribution of ventilation. For those living at high altitude, any gas exchange abnormality is compounded by reduced partial pressures of inspired oxygen.

OBJECTIVES

Does residence at higher-altitude exposure affect COPD outcomes, including lung function, imaging characteristics, symptoms, health status, functional exercise capacity, exacerbations, or mortality?

METHODS

From the SPIROMICS cohort, we identified individuals with COPD living below 1,000 ft (305 m) elevation (n= 1,367) versus above 4,000 ft (1,219 m) elevation (n= 288). Multivariable regression models were used to evaluate associations of exposure to high altitude with COPD-related outcomes.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Living at higher altitude was associated with reduced functional exercise capacity as defined by 6MWD (-32.3 m, (-55.7 to -28.6)). There were no differences in patient-reported outcomes as defined by symptoms (CAT, mMRC), or health status (SGRQ). Higher altitude was not associated with a different rate of FEV1 decline. Higher altitude was associated with lower odds of severe exacerbations (IRR 0.65, (0.46 to 0.90)). There were no differences in small airway disease, air trapping, or emphysema. In longitudinal analyses, higher altitude was associated with increased mortality (HR 1.25, (1.0 to 1.55)); however, this association was no longer significant when accounting for air pollution.

CONCLUSIONS

Chronic altitude exposure is associated with reduced functional exercise capacity in individuals with COPD, but this did not translate into differences in symptoms or health status. Additionally, chronic high-altitude exposure did not affect progression of disease as defined by longitudinal changes in spirometry.

Association between CFTR modulators and changes in iron deficiency markers in cystic fibrosis

BACKGROUND

Iron deficiency (ID) is a common extrapulmonary manifestation in cystic fibrosis (CF). CF transmembrane conductance regulator (CFTR) modulator therapies, particularly highly-effective modulator therapy (HEMT), have drastically improved health status in a majority of people with CF. We hypothesize that CFTR modulator use is associated with improved markers of ID.

METHODS

In a multicenter retrospective cohort study across 4 United States CF centers 2012-2022, the association between modulator therapies and ID laboratory outcomes was estimated using multivariable linear mixed effects models overall and by key subgroups. Summary statistics describe the prevalence and trends of ID, defined a priori as transferrin saturation (TSAT) <20 % or serum iron <60 μg/dL (<10.7 μmol/L).

RESULTS

A total of 568 patients with 2571 person-years of follow-up were included in analyses. Compared to off modulator therapy, HEMT was associated with +8.4 % TSAT (95 % confidence interval [CI], +6.3-10.6 %; p < 0.0001) and +34.4 μg/dL serum iron (95 % CI, +26.7-42.1 μg/dL; p < 0.0001) overall; +5.4 % TSAT (95 % CI, +2.8-8.0 %; p = 0.0001) and +22.1 μg/dL serum iron (95 % CI, +13.5-30.8 μg/dL; p < 0.0001) in females; and +11.4 % TSAT (95 % CI, +7.9-14.8 %; p < 0.0001) and +46.0 μg/dL serum iron (95 % CI, +33.3-58.8 μg/dL; p < 0.0001) in males. Ferritin was not different in those taking modulator therapy relative to off modulator therapy. Hemoglobin was overall higher with use of modulator therapy. The prevalence of ID was high throughout the study period (32.8 % in those treated with HEMT).

CONCLUSIONS

ID remains a prevalent comorbidity in CF, despite availability of HEMT. Modulator use, particularly of HEMT, is associated with improved markers for ID (TSAT, serum iron) and anemia (hemoglobin).

Risk Factors for Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease Exacerbations among Individuals without a History of Recent Exacerbations: A COPDGene Analysis

Rationale: Acute exacerbations of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (AE-COPD) are detrimental events in the natural history of COPD, but the risk factors associated with future exacerbations in the absence of a history of recent exacerbations are not fully understood. Objectives: To identify risk factors for COPD exacerbations among participants in the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD Study (COPDGene) without a history of exacerbation in the previous year. Methods: We identified participants with a smoking history enrolled in COPDGene who had COPD (defined as forced expiratory volume in 1 second [FEV1]/forced vital capacity < 0.70), no exacerbation in the year before their second study site visit, and who completed at least one longitudinal follow-up questionnaire in the following 36 months. We used univariable and multivariable zero-inflated negative binomial regression models to identify risk factors associated with increased rates of exacerbation. Each risk factor's regression coefficient (β) was rounded to the nearest 0.25 and incorporated into a graduated risk score. Results: Among the 1,528 participants with a smoking history and COPD enrolled in COPDGene without exacerbation in the year before their second study site visit, 508 participants (33.2%) had at least one moderate or severe exacerbation in the 36 months studied. Gastroesophageal reflux disease, chronic bronchitis, high symptom burden (as measured by Modified Medical Research Council Dyspnea Scale and COPD Assessment Test), and lower FEV1% predicted were associated with an increased risk of exacerbation. Each 1-point increase in our graduated risk score was associated with a 25-30% increase in exacerbation rate in the 36 months studied. Conclusions: In patients with COPD without a recent history of exacerbations, gastroesophageal reflux disease, chronic bronchitis, high symptom burden, and lower lung function are associated with increased risk of future exacerbation using a simple risk score that can be used in clinical practice.

Topologic Parametric Response Mapping Identifies Tissue Subtypes Associated with Emphysema Progression

RATIONALE AND OBJECTIVES

Small airways disease (SAD) and emphysema are significant components of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), a heterogenous disease where predicting progression is difficult. SAD, a principal cause of airflow obstruction in mild COPD, has been identified as a precursor to emphysema. Parametric Response Mapping (PRM) of chest computed tomography (CT) can help distinguish SAD from emphysema. Specifically, topologic PRM can define local patterns of both diseases to characterize how and in whom COPD progresses. We aimed to determine if distribution of CT-based PRM of functional SAD (fSAD) is associated with emphysema progression.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We analyzed paired inspiratory-expiratory chest CT scans at baseline and 5-year follow up in 1495 COPDGene subjects using topological analyses of PRM classifications. By spatially aligning temporal scans, we mapped local emphysema at year five to baseline lobar PRM-derived topological readouts. K-means clustering was applied to all observations. Subjects were subtyped based on predominant PRM cluster assignments and assessed using non-parametric statistical tests to determine differences in PRM values, pulmonary function metrics, and clinical measures.

RESULTS

We identified distinct lobar imaging patterns and classified subjects into three radiologic subtypes: emphysema-dominant (ED), fSAD-dominant (FD), and fSAD-transition (FT: transition from healthy lung to fSAD). Relative to year five emphysema, FT showed rapid local emphysema progression (-57.5% ± 1.1) compared to FD (-49.9% ± 0.5) and ED (-33.1% ± 0.4). FT consisted primarily of at-risk subjects (roughly 60%) with normal spirometry.

CONCLUSION

The FT subtype of COPD may allow earlier identification of individuals without spirometrically-defined COPD at-risk for developing emphysema.

Local heterogeneity of normal lung parenchyma and small airways disease are associated with COPD severity and progression

BACKGROUND

Small airways disease (SAD) is a major cause of airflow obstruction in COPD patients and has been identified as a precursor to emphysema. Although the amount of SAD in the lungs can be quantified using our Parametric Response Mapping (PRM) approach, the full breadth of this readout as a measure of emphysema and COPD progression has yet to be explored. We evaluated topological features of PRM-derived normal parenchyma and SAD as surrogates of emphysema and predictors of spirometric decline.

METHODS

PRM metrics of normal lung (PRMNorm) and functional SAD (PRMfSAD) were generated from CT scans collected as part of the COPDGene study (n = 8956). Volume density (V) and Euler-Poincaré Characteristic (χ) image maps, measures of the extent and coalescence of pocket formations (i.e., topologies), respectively, were determined for both PRMNorm and PRMfSAD. Association with COPD severity, emphysema, and spirometric measures were assessed via multivariable regression models. Readouts were evaluated as inputs for predicting FEV1 decline using a machine learning model.

RESULTS

Multivariable cross-sectional analysis of COPD subjects showed that V and χ measures for PRMfSAD and PRMNorm were independently associated with the amount of emphysema. Readouts χfSAD (β of 0.106, p < 0.001) and VfSAD (β of 0.065, p = 0.004) were also independently associated with FEV1% predicted. The machine learning model using PRM topologies as inputs predicted FEV1 decline over five years with an AUC of 0.69.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated that V and χ of fSAD and Norm have independent value when associated with lung function and emphysema. In addition, we demonstrated that these readouts are predictive of spirometric decline when used as inputs in a ML model. Our topological PRM approach using PRMfSAD and PRMNorm may show promise as an early indicator of emphysema onset and COPD progression.

Any Decrease in Lung Function is Associated With Worse Clinical Outcomes: Post Hoc Analysis of the IMPACT Interventional Trial

This article does not contain an abstract.

Lung Structure and Risk of Sleep Apnea in SPIROMICS

Rationale

The SubPopulations and InteRmediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS) is a prospective cohort study that enrolled 2981 participants with the goal of identifying new chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) subgroups and intermediate markers of disease progression. Individuals with COPD and obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) experience impaired quality of life and more frequent exacerbations. COPD severity also associates with computed tomography scan-based emphysema and alterations in airway dimensions.

Objectives

The objective was to determine whether the combination of lung function and structure influences the risk of OSA among current and former smokers.

Methods

Using 2 OSA risk scores, the Berlin Sleep Questionnaire (BSQ), and the DOISNORE50 (Diseases, Observed apnea, Insomnia, Snoring, Neck circumference > 18 inches, Obesity with body mass index [BMI] > 32, R = are you male, Excessive daytime sleepiness, 50 = age ≥ 50) (DIS), 1767 current and former smokers were evaluated for an association of lung structure and function with OSA risk.

Measurements and Main Results

The study cohort's mean age was 63 years, BMI was 28 kg/m2, and forced expiratory volume in 1 second (FEV1) was 74.8% predicted. The majority were male (55%), White (77%), former smokers (59%), and had COPD (63%). A high-risk OSA score was reported in 36% and 61% using DIS and BSQ respectively. There was a 9% increased odds of a high-risk DIS score (odds ratio [OR]=1.09, 95% confidence interval [CI]:1.03-1.14) and nominally increased odds of a high-risk BSQ score for every 10% decrease in FEV1 %predicted (OR=1.04, 95%CI: 0.998-1.09). Lung function-OSA risk associations persisted after additionally adjusting for lung structure measurements (%emphysema, %air trapping, parametric response mapping for functional small airways disease, , mean segmental wall area, tracheal %wall area, dysanapsis) for DIS (OR=1.12, 95%CI:1.03-1.22) and BSQ (OR=1.09, 95%CI:1.01-1.18).

Conclusions

Lower lung function independently associates with having high risk for OSA in current and former smokers. Lung structural elements, especially dysanapsis, functional small airways disease, and tracheal %wall area strengthened the effects on OSA risk.

Associations Between Coronary Artery Calcium Score and Exacerbation Risk in BLOCK-COPD

Introduction

In 2019, the Beta-Blockers for the Prevention of Acute Exacerbations of Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease study (BLOCK-COPD) evaluated the effect of metoprolol on exacerbation risk and mortality in a COPD population without indications for beta-blocker use. We hypothesized that an imaging metric of coronary artery disease (CAD), the coronary artery calcium (CAC) score, would predict exacerbation risk and identify a differential response to metoprolol treatment.

Methods

The study population includes participants in the BLOCK-COPD study from multiple study sites. Participants underwent clinically indicated thoracic computed tomography (CT) scans ± 12 months from enrollment. The Weston scoring system quantified CAC. Adjusted Cox proportional hazards models evaluated for associations between CAC and time to exacerbation.

Results

Data is included for 109 participants. The mean CAC score was 5.1±3.7, and 92 participants (84%) had CAC scores greater than 0. Over a median (interquartile range) follow-up time of 350 (280 to 352) days, there were 61 mild exacerbations and 19 severe/very severe exacerbations. No associations were found between exacerbations of any severity and CAC>0 or total CAC. Associations were observed between total CAC and CAC>0 in the left circumflex (LCx) and time to exacerbation of any severity (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR]=1.39, confidence interval [CI]: 1.08-1.79, p=0.01) and (aHR=1.96, 95% CI: 1.04-3.70, p=0.04), respectively.

Conclusions

CAD is a prevalent comorbidity in COPD accounting for significant mortality. Our study confirms the high prevalence of CAD using the CAC score; however, we did not discover an association between CAC and exacerbation risk. We did find novel associations between CAC in the LCx and exacerbation risk which warrant further investigation in larger cohorts.

Loss of Airway Phylogenetic Diversity Is Associated with Clinical and Pathobiological Markers of Disease Development in COPD

RATIONALE

The airway microbiome has the potential to shape COPD pathogenesis, but its relationship to outcomes in milder disease is unestablished.

OBJECTIVES

Identify sputum microbiome characteristics associated with markers of COPD in participants of the SubPopulations and InteRmediate Outcome Measures of COPD Study (SPIROMICS).

METHODS

Sputum DNA from 877 participants were analyzed using 16S rRNA gene sequencing. Relationships between baseline airway microbiota composition and clinical, radiographic and muco-inflammatory markers, including longitudinal lung function trajectory, were examined.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Participant data represented predominantly milder disease (GOLD 0-2: N=732/877). Phylogenetic diversity (range of different species within a sample) correlated positively with baseline lung function, declined with higher GOLD stage, and correlated negatively with symptom burden, radiographic markers of airway disease, and total mucin concentrations (p<0.001). In co-variate adjusted regression models, organisms robustly associated with better lung function included members of Alloprevotella, Oribacterium, and Veillonella. Conversely, lower lung function, greater symptoms and radiographic measures of small airway disease associated with enrichment in members of Streptococcus, Actinobacillus, Actinomyces, and other genera. Baseline sputum microbiota features also associated with lung function trajectory during SPIROMICS follow up (stable/improved, decliner, or rapid decliner). The 'stable/improved' group (slope of FEV1 regression ≥ 66th percentile) had higher bacterial diversity at baseline, associated with enrichment in Prevotella, Leptotrichia, and Neisseria. In contrast, the 'rapid decliner' group (FEV1 slope ≤ 33rd percentile) had significantly lower baseline diversity, associated with enrichment in Streptococcus.

CONCLUSIONS

In SPIROMICS baseline airway microbiota features demonstrate divergent associations with better or worse COPD-related outcomes.

Can We Use Lung Function Thresholds and Respiratory Symptoms to Identify Pre-COPD? A Prospective, Population-based Cohort Study

RATIONALE

The term 'pre-COPD' refers to individuals at high-risk of developing Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease (COPD) who do not meet conventional spirometric criteria for airflow obstruction. New approaches to identifying these individuals are needed, particularly in younger populations.

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether lung function thresholds and respiratory symptoms can be used to identify individuals at-risk of developing COPD.

METHODS

The Tasmanian Longitudinal Health Study is a population-based cohort first studied in 1968 (age 7). Respiratory symptoms, pre- and post-bronchodilator (BD) spirometry, diffusing capacity and static lung volumes were measured on a subgroup at age 45, and incidence of COPD was assessed at age 53. For each lung function measure, z-scores were calculated using Global Lung Initiative references. The optimal threshold for best discrimination of COPD incidence was determined by the unweighted Youden Index.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Among 801 participants who did not have COPD at age 45, the optimal threshold for COPD incidence by age 53 was pre-BD FEV1/FVC z-score < -1.264, corresponding to the lowest 10th percentile. Those below this threshold had 36-fold increased risk of developing COPD over an eight-year follow-up period (RR 35.8, 95%CI 8.88 to 144), corresponding to a risk difference of +16.4% (95%CI 3.7-67.4). The sensitivity was 88% and specificity 87%. Positive and negative likelihood ratios were 6.79 and 0.14, respectively. Respiratory symptoms, post-BD spirometry, diffusing capacity and static lung volumes did not improve on the classification achieved by pre-BD FEV1/FVC alone.

CONCLUSION

Our findings support the inclusion of pre-BD spirometry in the physiological definition of pre-COPD and indicate that pre-BD FEV1/FVC at the 10th percentile accurately identifies individuals at high-risk of developing COPD in community-based settings.

Quantitative CT of Normal Lung Parenchyma and Small Airways Disease Topologies are Associated With COPD Severity and Progression

Objectives

Small airways disease (SAD) is a major cause of airflow obstruction in COPD patients, and has been identified as a precursor to emphysema. Although the amount of SAD in the lungs can be quantified using our Parametric Response Mapping (PRM) approach, the full breadth of this readout as a measure of emphysema and COPD progression has yet to be explored. We evaluated topological features of PRM-derived normal parenchyma and SAD as surrogates of emphysema and predictors of spirometric decline.

Materials and Methods

PRM metrics of normal lung (PRMNorm) and functional SAD (PRMfSAD) were generated from CT scans collected as part of the COPDGene study (n=8956). Volume density (V) and Euler-Poincaré Characteristic (χ) image maps, measures of the extent and coalescence of pocket formations (i.e., topologies), respectively, were determined for both PRMNorm and PRMfSAD. Association with COPD severity, emphysema, and spirometric measures were assessed via multivariable regression models. Readouts were evaluated as inputs for predicting FEV1 decline using a machine learning model.

Results

Multivariable cross-sectional analysis of COPD subjects showed that V and χ measures for PRMfSAD and PRMNorm were independently associated with the amount of emphysema. Readouts χfSAD (β of 0.106, p<0.001) and VfSAD (β of 0.065, p=0.004) were also independently associated with FEV1% predicted. The machine learning model using PRM topologies as inputs predicted FEV1 decline over five years with an AUC of 0.69.

Conclusions

We demonstrated that V and χ of fSAD and Norm have independent value when associated with lung function and emphysema. In addition, we demonstrated that these readouts are predictive of spirometric decline when used as inputs in a ML model. Our topological PRM approach using PRMfSAD and PRMNorm may show promise as an early indicator of emphysema onset and COPD progression.

Indoor Pollution and Lung Function Decline in Current and Former Smokers: SPIROMICS AIR

Rationale: Indoor pollutants have been associated with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease morbidity, but it is unclear whether they contribute to disease progression. Objectives: We aimed to determine whether indoor particulate matter (PM) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2) are associated with lung function decline among current and former smokers. Methods: Of the 2,382 subjects with a history of smoking in SPIROMICS AIR, 1,208 participants had complete information to estimate indoor PM and NO2, using individual-based prediction models, in relation to measured spirometry at two or more clinic visits. We used a three-way interaction model between time, pollutant, and smoking status and assessed the indoor pollutant-associated difference in FEV1 decline separately using a generalized linear mixed model. Measurements and Main Results: Participants had an average rate of FEV1 decline of 60.3 ml/yr for those currently smoking compared with 35.2 ml/yr for those who quit. The association of indoor PM with FEV1 decline differed by smoking status. Among former smokers, every 10 μg/m3 increase in estimated indoor PM was associated with an additional 10 ml/yr decline in FEV1 (P = 0.044). Among current smokers, FEV1 decline did not differ by indoor PM. The results of indoor NO2 suggest trends similar to those for PM ⩽2.5 μm in aerodynamic diameter. Conclusions: Former smokers with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease who live in homes with high estimated PM have accelerated lung function loss, and those in homes with low PM have lung function loss similar to normal aging. In-home PM exposure may contribute to variability in lung function decline in people who quit smoking and may be a modifiable exposure.

Plasma metabolomics and quantitative interstitial abnormalities in ever-smokers

BACKGROUND

Quantitative interstitial abnormalities (QIA) are an automated computed tomography (CT) finding of early parenchymal lung disease, associated with worse lung function, reduced exercise capacity, increased respiratory symptoms, and death. The metabolomic perturbations associated with QIA are not well known. We sought to identify plasma metabolites associated with QIA in smokers. We also sought to identify shared and differentiating metabolomics features between QIA and emphysema, another smoking-related advanced radiographic abnormality.

METHODS

In 928 former and current smokers in the Genetic Epidemiology of COPD cohort, we measured QIA and emphysema using an automated local density histogram method and generated metabolite profiles from plasma samples using liquid chromatography-mass spectrometry (Metabolon). We assessed the associations between metabolite levels and QIA using multivariable linear regression models adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, smoking status, pack-years, and inhaled corticosteroid use, at a Benjamini-Hochberg False Discovery Rate p-value of ≤ 0.05. Using multinomial regression models adjusted for these covariates, we assessed the associations between metabolite levels and the following CT phenotypes: QIA-predominant, emphysema-predominant, combined-predominant, and neither- predominant. Pathway enrichment analyses were performed using MetaboAnalyst.

RESULTS

We found 85 metabolites significantly associated with QIA, with overrepresentation of the nicotinate and nicotinamide, histidine, starch and sucrose, pyrimidine, phosphatidylcholine, lysophospholipid, and sphingomyelin pathways. These included metabolites involved in inflammation and immune response, extracellular matrix remodeling, surfactant, and muscle cachexia. There were 75 metabolites significantly different between QIA-predominant and emphysema-predominant phenotypes, with overrepresentation of the phosphatidylethanolamine, nicotinate and nicotinamide, aminoacyl-tRNA, arginine, proline, alanine, aspartate, and glutamate pathways.

CONCLUSIONS

Metabolomic correlates may lend insight to the biologic perturbations and pathways that underlie clinically meaningful quantitative CT measurements like QIA in smokers.

Pulmonary emphysema subtypes defined by unsupervised machine learning on CT scans

BACKGROUND

Treatment and preventative advances for chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) have been slow due, in part, to limited subphenotypes. We tested if unsupervised machine learning on CT images would discover CT emphysema subtypes with distinct characteristics, prognoses and genetic associations.

METHODS

New CT emphysema subtypes were identified by unsupervised machine learning on only the texture and location of emphysematous regions on CT scans from 2853 participants in the Subpopulations and Intermediate Outcome Measures in COPD Study (SPIROMICS), a COPD case-control study, followed by data reduction. Subtypes were compared with symptoms and physiology among 2949 participants in the population-based Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) Lung Study and with prognosis among 6658 MESA participants. Associations with genome-wide single-nucleotide-polymorphisms were examined.

RESULTS

The algorithm discovered six reproducible (interlearner intraclass correlation coefficient, 0.91-1.00) CT emphysema subtypes. The most common subtype in SPIROMICS, the combined bronchitis-apical subtype, was associated with chronic bronchitis, accelerated lung function decline, hospitalisations, deaths, incident airflow limitation and a gene variant near DRD1, which is implicated in mucin hypersecretion (p=1.1 ×10-8). The second, the diffuse subtype was associated with lower weight, respiratory hospitalisations and deaths, and incident airflow limitation. The third was associated with age only. The fourth and fifth visually resembled combined pulmonary fibrosis emphysema and had distinct symptoms, physiology, prognosis and genetic associations. The sixth visually resembled vanishing lung syndrome.

CONCLUSION

Large-scale unsupervised machine learning on CT scans defined six reproducible, familiar CT emphysema subtypes that suggest paths to specific diagnosis and personalised therapies in COPD and pre-COPD.

Returning incidentally discovered Hepatitis C RNA-seq results to COPDGene study participants

The consequences of returning infectious pathogen test results identified incidentally in research studies have not been well-studied. Concerns include identification of an important health issue for individuals, accuracy of research test results, public health impact, potential emotional distress for participants, and need for IRB permissions. Blood RNA-sequencing analysis for non-human RNA in 3984 participants from the COPDGene study identified 228 participants with evidence suggestive for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. We hypothesized that incidentally discovered HCV results could be effectively returned to COPDGene participants with attention to the identified concerns. In conjunction with a COPDGene Participant Advisory Panel, we developed and obtained IRB approval for a process of returning HCV research results and an HCV Follow-Up Study questionnaire to capture information about previous HCV diagnosis and treatment information and participant reactions to return of HCV results. During phone calls following the initial HCV notification letter, 84 of 124 participants who could be contacted (67.7%) volunteered that they had been previously diagnosed with HCV infection. Thirty-one of these 124 COPDGene participants were enrolled in the HCV Follow-Up Study. Five of the 31 HCV Follow-Up Study participants did not report a previous diagnosis of HCV. For four of these participants, subsequent clinical HCV testing confirmed HCV infection. Thus, 30/31 Follow-Up Study participants had confirmed HCV diagnoses, supporting the accuracy of the HCV research test results. However, the limited number of participants in the Follow-Up Study precludes an accurate assessment of the false-positive and false-negative rates of the research RNA sequencing evidence for HCV. Most HCV Follow-Up Study participants (29/31) were supportive of returning HCV research results, and most participants found the process for returning HCV results to be informative and not upsetting. Newly diagnosed participants were more likely to be pleased to learn about a potentially curable infection (p = 0.027) and showed a trend toward being more frightened by the potential health risks of HCV (p = 0.11). We conclude that HCV results identified incidentally during transcriptomic research studies can be successfully returned to research study participants with a carefully designed process.

Disparities in Guideline Concordant Statin Treatment in Individuals With Chronic Obstructive Pulmonary Disease

Rationale

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) affects the prognosis of patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). Black women with COPD have a disproportionate risk of CVD-related mortality, yet disparities in CVD prevention in COPD are unknown.

Objectives

We aimed to identify race-sex differences in the receipt of statin treatment for CVD prevention, and whether these differences were explained by factors influencing health care utilization in the REasons for Geographic And Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) COPD study sub-cohort.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis among REGARDS Medicare beneficiaries with COPD. Our primary outcome was the presence of statin on in-home pill bottle review among individuals with an indication. Prevalence ratios (PR) for statin treatment among race-sex groups compared to White men were estimated using Poisson regression with robust variance. We then adjusted for covariates previously shown to impact health care utilization.

Results

Of the 2032 members within the COPD sub-cohort with sufficient data, 1435 participants (19% Black women, 14% Black men, 28% White women, and 39% White men) had a statin indication. All race-sex groups were less likely to receive statins than White men in unadjusted models. After adjusting for covariates that influence health care utilization, Black women (PR 0.76, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.67 to 0.86) and White women (PR 0.84 95% CI 0.76 to 0.91) remained less likely to be treated compared to White men.

Conclusions

All race-sex groups were less likely to receive statin treatment in the REGARDS COPD sub-cohort compared to White men. This difference persisted in women after controlling for individual health care utilization factors, suggesting structural interventions are needed.

Mortality risk reduction with budesonide/glycopyrrolate/formoterol fumarate versus fluticasone furoate/umeclidinium/vilanterol in COPD: a matching-adjusted indirect comparison based on ETHOS and IMPACT

OBJECTIVE

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) is a leading cause of death worldwide. While two approved fixed-dose inhaled corticosteroid/long-acting muscarinic antagonist (LAMA)/long-acting β2-agonist (LABA) triple therapies reduce all-cause mortality (ACM) versus dual LAMA/LABA therapy in patients with COPD, head-to-head studies have not compared the effects of these therapies on ACM. We compared ACM in adults with moderate-to-very severe COPD receiving budesonide/glycopyrrolate/formoterol fumarate (BGF) in ETHOS versus fluticasone furoate/umeclidinium/vilanterol (FF/UMEC/VI) in IMPACT using a matching-adjusted indirect comparison (MAIC).

METHODS

A systematic literature review identified two studies (ETHOS [NCT02465567]; IMPACT [NCT02164513]) of ≥52 weeks reporting ACM as an efficacy endpoint in patients receiving triple therapy. As ETHOS and IMPACT lack a common comparator, an unanchored MAIC compared ACM between licensed doses of BGF (320/18/9.6 μg) from ETHOS and FF/UMEC/VI (100/62.5/25 μg) from IMPACT in patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD. Using on- and off-treatment data from the final retrieved datasets of the intention-to-treat populations, BGF data were adjusted according to aggregate FF/UMEC/VI data using 11 baseline covariates; a supplementary unadjusted indirect treatment comparison was also conducted. P-values for these post-hoc analyses are not adjusted for Type I error.

RESULTS

ACM over 52 weeks was statistically significantly reduced by 39% for BGF versus FF/UMEC/VI in the MAIC (hazard ratio [HR] [95% CI]: 0.61 [0.38, 0.95], p = 0.030) and unadjusted analysis (HR [95% CI]: 0.61 [0.41, 0.92], p = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

In this MAIC, which adjusted for population heterogeneity between ETHOS and IMPACT, ACM was significantly reduced with BGF versus FF/UMEC/VI in patients with moderate-to-very severe COPD.