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Ma JI, Owunna N, Jiang NM, Huo X, Zern E, McNeill JN, Lau ES, Pomerantsev E, Picard MH, Wang D, Ho JE. Sex Differences in Pulmonary Hypertension and Associated Right Ventricular Dysfunction. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2024:2024.04.25.24306398. [PMID: 38712108 PMCID: PMC11071572 DOI: 10.1101/2024.04.25.24306398] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 05/08/2024]
Abstract
Background Prior studies have established the impact of sex differences on pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH). However, it remains unclear whether these sex differences extend to other hemodynamic subtypes of pulmonary hypertension (PH). Methods We examined sex differences in PH and hemodynamic PH subtypes in a hospital-based cohort of individuals who underwent right heart catheterization between 2005-2016. We utilized multivariable linear regression to assess the association of sex with hemodynamic indices of RV function [PA pulsatility index (PAPi), RV stroke work index (RVSWI), and right atrial: pulmonary capillary wedge pressure ratio (RA:PCWP)]. We then used Cox regression models to examine the association between sex and clinical outcomes among those with PH. Results Among 5208 individuals with PH (mean age 64 years, 39% women), there was no significant sex difference in prevalence of PH overall. However, when stratified by PH subtype, 31% of women vs 22% of men had pre-capillary (P<0.001), 39% vs 51% had post-capillary (P=0.03), and 30% vs 27% had mixed PH (P=0.08). Female sex was associated with better RV function by hemodynamic indices, including higher PAPi and RVSWI, and lower RA:PCWP ratio (P<0.001 for all). Over 7.3 years of follow-up, female sex was associated with a lower risk of heart failure hospitalization (HR 0.83, CI 95% CI 0.74- 0.91, p value <0.001). Conclusions Across a broad hospital-based sample, more women had pre-capillary and more men had post-capillary PH. Compared with men, women with PH had better hemodynamic indices of RV function and a lower risk of HF hospitalization. CLINICAL PERSPECTIVE What Is New? Although sex differences have been explored in pulmonary arterial hypertension, sex differences across pulmonary hypertension (PH) in broader samples inclusive of all hemodynamic subtypes remain less well definedWe delineate sex differences in hemodynamic subtypes of PH and associated right ventricular function in a large, heterogenous, hospital-based sample of individuals who underwent right heart catheterizationSex has a significant impact on prevalence of PH across hemodynamic subtypes as well as associated RV function What Are the Clinical Implications? Understanding sex differences across different PH hemodynamic subtypes is paramount to refining risk stratification between men and womenFurther elucidating sex differences in associated RV function and clinical outcomes may aid in developing sex-specific therapies or management strategies to improve clinical outcomes.
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Reynolds HR, Cyr DD, Merz CNB, Shaw LJ, Chaitman BR, Boden WE, Alexander KP, Rosenberg YD, Bangalore S, Stone GW, Held C, Spertus J, Goetschalckx K, Bockeria O, Newman JD, Berger JS, Elghamaz A, Lopes RD, Min JK, Berman DS, Picard MH, Kwong RY, Harrington RA, Thomas B, O'Brien SM, Maron DJ, Hochman JS. Sex Differences in Revascularization, Treatment Goals, and Outcomes of Patients With Chronic Coronary Disease: Insights From the ISCHEMIA Trial. J Am Heart Assoc 2024; 13:e029850. [PMID: 38410945 PMCID: PMC10944079 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.122.029850] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/22/2023] [Accepted: 11/09/2023] [Indexed: 02/28/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Women with chronic coronary disease are generally older than men and have more comorbidities but less atherosclerosis. We explored sex differences in revascularization, guideline-directed medical therapy, and outcomes among patients with chronic coronary disease with ischemia on stress testing, with and without invasive management. METHODS AND RESULTS The ISCHEMIA (International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness with Medical and Invasive Approaches) trial randomized patients with moderate or severe ischemia to invasive management with angiography, revascularization, and guideline-directed medical therapy, or initial conservative management with guideline-directed medical therapy alone. We evaluated the primary outcome (cardiovascular death, myocardial infarction, or hospitalization for unstable angina, heart failure, or resuscitated cardiac arrest) and other end points, by sex, in 1168 (22.6%) women and 4011 (77.4%) men. Invasive group catheterization rates were similar, with less revascularization among women (73.4% of invasive-assigned women revascularized versus 81.2% of invasive-assigned men; P<0.001). Women had less coronary artery disease: multivessel in 60.0% of invasive-assigned women and 74.8% of invasive-assigned men, and no ≥50% stenosis in 12.3% versus 4.5% (P<0.001). In the conservative group, 4-year catheterization rates were 26.3% of women versus 25.6% of men (P=0.72). Guideline-directed medical therapy use was lower among women with fewer risk factor goals attained. There were no sex differences in the primary outcome (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] for women versus men, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.77-1.13]; P=0.47) or the major secondary outcome of cardiovascular death/myocardial infarction (adjusted HR, 0.93 [95% CI, 0.76-1.14]; P=0.49), with no significant sex-by-treatment-group interactions. CONCLUSIONS Women had less extensive coronary artery disease and, therefore, lower revascularization rates in the invasive group. Despite lower risk factor goal attainment, women with chronic coronary disease experienced similar risk-adjusted outcomes to men in the ISCHEMIA trial. REGISTRATION URL: http://wwwclinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT01471522.
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Namasivayam M, Churchill TW, Capoulade R, Pibarot P, Danik JS, Picard MH, Levine RA, Hung J. Combined Value of Dimensionless Index and Transvalvular Flow Rate in Risk Stratification of Aortic Stenosis. Am J Cardiol 2024; 213:69-71. [PMID: 38103765 PMCID: PMC10842843 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2023.12.008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/02/2023] [Revised: 11/18/2023] [Accepted: 12/01/2023] [Indexed: 12/19/2023]
Abstract
Aortic stenosis (AS) is difficult to phenotype. The metrics of severity are frequently discordant, making prognostication challenging. Flow state is central to accurately determining severity. We sought to evaluate the prognostic value of dimensionless index (DI) and transvalvular flow rate (Q) in AS. We evaluated 2 independent, longitudinal registries of ≥ moderate severity AS (aortic valve area ≤1.5 cm2 or mean gradient ≥20 mm Hg) with complete data follow-up. In the primary cohort (n = 1,104, 77 ± 11 years, 40% female), the DI and Q category significantly predicted mortality (p <0.001) (Figure 1), with the highest risk being low DI and low Q (DI <0.25, Q ≤210 mL/s). In the validation cohort (n = 939, 70 ± 13 years, 42% female), similar results were seen in Kaplan-Meier (p <0.001) and multivariable Cox model analyses (p <0.01). We advocate for wider combined use of DI and Q in AS assessment to augment current diagnostic and prognostic approaches.
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Kim S, Ren H, Charton J, Hu J, Maraboto Gonzalez CA, Khambhati J, Cheng J, DeFrancesco J, Waheed AA, Marciniak S, Moura F, Cardoso RN, Lima BB, McKinney S, Picard MH, Li X, Li Q. Assessment of valve regurgitation severity via contrastive learning and multi-view video integration. Phys Med Biol 2024; 69:045020. [PMID: 38271727 DOI: 10.1088/1361-6560/ad22a4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/10/2023] [Accepted: 01/25/2024] [Indexed: 01/27/2024]
Abstract
Objective. This paper presents a novel approach for addressing the intricate task of diagnosing aortic valve regurgitation (AR), a valvular disease characterized by blood leakage due to incompetence of the valve closure. Conventional diagnostic techniques require detailed evaluations of multi-modal clinical data, frequently resulting in labor-intensive and time-consuming procedures that are vulnerable to varying subjective assessment of regurgitation severity.Approach. In our research, we introduce the multi-view video contrastive network, designed to leverage multiple color Doppler imaging inputs for multi-view video processing. We leverage supervised contrastive learning as a strategic approach to tackle class imbalance and enhance the effectiveness of our feature representation learning. Specifically, we introduce a contrastive learning framework to enhance representation learning within the embedding space through inter-patient and intra-patient contrastive loss terms.Main results. We conducted extensive experiments using an in-house dataset comprising 250 echocardiography video series. Our results exhibit a substantial improvement in diagnostic accuracy for AR compared to state-of-the-art methods in terms of accuracy by 9.60%, precision by 8.67%, recall by 9.01%, andF1-score by 8.92%. These results emphasize the capacity of our approach to provide a more precise and efficient method for evaluating the severity of AR.Significance. The proposed model could quickly and accurately make decisions about the severity of AR, potentially serving as a useful prescreening tool.
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Davis EF, Crousillat DR, Peteiro J, Lopez-Sendon J, Senior R, Shapiro MD, Pellikka PA, Lyubarova R, Alfakih K, Abdul-Nour K, Anthopolos R, Xu Y, Kunichoff DM, Fleg JL, Spertus JA, Hochman J, Maron D, Picard MH, Reynolds HR. Global Longitudinal Strain as Predictor of Inducible Ischemia in No Obstructive Coronary Artery Disease in the CIAO-ISCHEMIA Study. J Am Soc Echocardiogr 2024; 37:89-99. [PMID: 37722490 PMCID: PMC10842002 DOI: 10.1016/j.echo.2023.09.006] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/09/2023] [Revised: 08/18/2023] [Accepted: 09/05/2023] [Indexed: 09/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Global longitudinal strain (GLS) is a sensitive marker for identifying subclinical myocardial dysfunction in obstructive coronary artery disease (CAD). Little is known about the relationship between GLS and ischemia in patients with myocardial ischemia and no obstructive CAD (INOCA). OBJECTIVES To investigate the relationship between resting GLS and ischemia on stress echocardiography (SE) in patients with INOCA. METHODS Left ventricular GLS was calculated offline on resting SE images at enrollment (n = 144) and 1-year follow-up (n = 120) in the CIAO-ISCHEMIA (Changes in Ischemia and Angina over One year in International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness with Medical and Invasive Approaches trial screen failures with no obstructive CAD on computed tomography [CT] angiography) study, which enrolled participants with moderate or severe ischemia by local SE interpretation (≥3 segments with new or worsening wall motion abnormality and no obstructive (<50% stenosis) on coronary computed tomography angiography. RESULTS Global longitudinal strain values were normal in 83.3% at enrollment and 94.2% at follow-up. Global longitudinal strain values were not associated with a positive SE at enrollment (GLS = -21.5% positive SE vs GLS = -19.9% negative SE, P = .443) or follow-up (GLS = -23.2% positive SE vs GLS = -23.1% negative SE, P = .859). Significant change in GLS was not associated with positive SE in follow-up (P = .401). Regional strain was not associated with colocalizing ischemia at enrollment or follow-up. Changes in GLS and number of ischemic segments from enrollment to follow-up showed a modest but not clinically meaningful correlation (β = 0.41; 95% CI, 0.16, 0.67; P = .002). CONCLUSIONS In this cohort of INOCA patients, resting GLS values were largely normal and did not associate with the presence, severity, or location of stress-induced ischemia. These findings may suggest the absence of subclinical myocardial dysfunction detectable by echocardiographic strain analysis at rest in INOCA.
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Namasivayam M, Bertrand PB, Bernard S, Churchill TW, Khurshid S, Marcus FI, Mestroni L, Saffitz JE, Towbin JA, Zareba W, Picard MH, Sanborn DY. Utility of Left and Right Ventricular Strain in Arrhythmogenic Right Ventricular Cardiomyopathy: A Prospective Multicenter Registry. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging 2023; 16:e015671. [PMID: 38113321 PMCID: PMC10803132 DOI: 10.1161/circimaging.123.015671] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/06/2023] [Accepted: 11/13/2023] [Indexed: 12/21/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Imaging evaluation of arrhythmogenic right ventricular cardiomyopathy (ARVC) remains challenging. Myocardial strain assessment by echocardiography is an increasingly utilized technique for detecting subclinical left ventricular (LV) and right ventricular (RV) dysfunction. We aimed to evaluate the diagnostic and prognostic utility of LV and RV strain in ARVC. METHODS Patients with suspected ARVC (n = 109) from a multicenter registry were clinically phenotyped using the 2010 ARVC Revised Task Force Criteria and underwent baseline strain echocardiography. Diagnostic performance of LV and RV strain was evaluated using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis against the 2010 ARVC Revised Task Force Criteria, and the prognostic value was assessed using the Kaplan-Meier analysis. RESULTS Mean age was 45.3±14.7 years, and 48% of patients were female. Estimation of RV strain was feasible in 99/109 (91%), and LV strain was feasible in 85/109 (78%) patients. ARVC prevalence by 2010 ARVC Revised Task Force Criteria is 91/109 (83%) and 83/99 (84%) in those with RV strain measurements. RV global longitudinal strain and RV free wall strain had diagnostic area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.76 and 0.77, respectively (both P<0.001; difference NS). Abnormal RV global longitudinal strain phenotype (RV global longitudinal strain > -17.9%) and RV free wall strain phenotype (RV free wall strain > -21.2%) were identified in 41/69 (59%) and 56/69 (81%) of subjects, respectively, who were not identified by conventional echocardiographic criteria but still met the overall 2010 ARVC Revised Task Force Criteria for ARVC. LV global longitudinal strain did not add diagnostic value but was prognostic for composite end points of death, heart transplantation, or ventricular arrhythmia (log-rank P=0.04). CONCLUSIONS In a prospective, multicenter registry of ARVC, RV strain assessment added diagnostic value to current echocardiographic criteria by identifying patients who are missed by current echocardiographic criteria yet still fulfill the diagnosis of ARVC. LV strain, by contrast, did not add incremental diagnostic value but was prognostic for identification of high-risk patients.
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Lau ES, Di Achille P, Kopparapu K, Andrews CT, Singh P, Reeder C, Al-Alusi M, Khurshid S, Haimovich JS, Ellinor PT, Picard MH, Batra P, Lubitz SA, Ho JE. Deep Learning-Enabled Assessment of Left Heart Structure and Function Predicts Cardiovascular Outcomes. J Am Coll Cardiol 2023; 82:1936-1948. [PMID: 37940231 PMCID: PMC10696641 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2023.09.800] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/17/2023] [Revised: 08/22/2023] [Accepted: 09/05/2023] [Indexed: 11/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Deep learning interpretation of echocardiographic images may facilitate automated assessment of cardiac structure and function. OBJECTIVES We developed a deep learning model to interpret echocardiograms and examined the association of deep learning-derived echocardiographic measures with incident outcomes. METHODS We trained and validated a 3-dimensional convolutional neural network model for echocardiographic view classification and quantification of left atrial dimension, left ventricular wall thickness, chamber diameter, and ejection fraction. The training sample comprised 64,028 echocardiograms (n = 27,135) from a retrospective multi-institutional ambulatory cardiology electronic health record sample. Validation was performed in a separate longitudinal primary care sample and an external health care system data set. Cox models evaluated the association of model-derived left heart measures with incident outcomes. RESULTS Deep learning discriminated echocardiographic views (area under the receiver operating curve >0.97 for parasternal long axis, apical 4-chamber, and apical 2-chamber views vs human expert annotation) and quantified standard left heart measures (R2 range = 0.53 to 0.91 vs study report values). Model performance was similar in 2 external validation samples. Model-derived left heart measures predicted incident heart failure, atrial fibrillation, myocardial infarction, and death. A 1-SD lower model-left ventricular ejection fraction was associated with 43% greater risk of heart failure (HR: 1.43; 95% CI: 1.23-1.66) and 17% greater risk of death (HR: 1.17; 95% CI: 1.06-1.30). Similar results were observed for other model-derived left heart measures. CONCLUSIONS Deep learning echocardiographic interpretation accurately quantified standard measures of left heart structure and function, which in turn were associated with future clinical outcomes. Deep learning may enable automated echocardiogram interpretation and disease prediction at scale.
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Ma JI, Zern EK, Parekh JK, Owunna N, Jiang N, Wang D, Rambarat PK, Pomerantsev E, Picard MH, Ho JE. Obesity Modifies Clinical Outcomes of Right Ventricular Dysfunction. Circ Heart Fail 2023; 16:e010524. [PMID: 37886836 PMCID: PMC10841712 DOI: 10.1161/circheartfailure.123.010524] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2023] [Accepted: 08/18/2023] [Indexed: 10/28/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is associated with increased mortality across a spectrum of cardiovascular diseases. The role of obesity in RV dysfunction and adverse outcomes is unclear. METHODS We examined patients undergoing right heart catheterization between 2005 and 2016 in a hospital-based cohort. Linear regression was used to examine the association of obesity with hemodynamic indices of RV dysfunction (pulmonary artery pulsatility index, right atrial pressure:pulmonary capillary wedge pressure ratio, RV stroke work index). Cox models were used to examine the association of RV function measures with clinical outcomes. RESULTS Among 8285 patients (mean age, 63 years; 40% women), higher body mass index was associated with worse indices of RV dysfunction, including lower pulmonary artery pulsatility index (β, -0.23; SE, 0.01; P<0.001), higher right atrium:pulmonary capillary wedge pressure ratio (β, 0.25; SE, 0.01; P<0.001), and lower RV stroke work index (β, -0.05; SE, 0.01; P<0.001). Over median of 7.3 years of follow-up, we observed 3006 mortality and 2004 heart failure hospitalization events. RV dysfunction was associated with a greater risk of mortality (eg, pulmonary artery pulsatility index:hazard ratio, 1.11 per 1-SD increase [95% CI, 1.04-1.18]), with similar associations with risk of heart failure hospitalization. Body mass index modified the effect of RV dysfunction on all-cause mortality (Pinteraction≤0.005 for PAPi and RA:PCWP ratio), such that the effect of RV dysfunction was more pronounced at higher body mass index. CONCLUSIONS Patients with obesity had worse hemodynamic measured indices of RV function across a broad hospital-based sample. While RV dysfunction was associated with worse clinical outcomes including mortality and heart failure hospitalization, this association was especially pronounced among individuals with higher body mass index.
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Stone GW, Ali ZA, O'Brien SM, Rhodes G, Genereux P, Bangalore S, Mavromatis K, Horst J, Dressler O, Poh KK, Nath RK, Moorthy N, Witkowski A, Dwivedi SK, Bockeria O, Chen J, Smanio PEP, Picard MH, Chaitman BR, Berman DS, Shaw LJ, Boden WE, White HD, Fremes SE, Rosenberg Y, Reynolds HR, Spertus JA, Hochman JS, Maron DJ. Impact of Complete Revascularization in the ISCHEMIA Trial. J Am Coll Cardiol 2023; 82:1175-1188. [PMID: 37462593 PMCID: PMC10529674 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2023.06.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 13.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/24/2023] [Revised: 06/08/2023] [Accepted: 06/27/2023] [Indexed: 08/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Anatomic complete revascularization (ACR) and functional complete revascularization (FCR) have been associated with reduced death and myocardial infarction (MI) in some prior studies. The impact of complete revascularization (CR) in patients undergoing an invasive (INV) compared with a conservative (CON) management strategy has not been reported. OBJECTIVES Among patients with chronic coronary disease without prior coronary artery bypass grafting randomized to INV vs CON management in the ISCHEMIA (International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness with Medical and Invasive Approaches) trial, we examined the following: 1) the outcomes of ACR and FCR compared with incomplete revascularization; and 2) the potential impact of achieving CR in all INV patients compared with CON management. METHODS ACR and FCR in the INV group were assessed at an independent core laboratory. Multivariable-adjusted outcomes of CR were examined in INV patients. Inverse probability weighted modeling was then performed to estimate the treatment effect had CR been achieved in all INV patients compared with CON management. RESULTS ACR and FCR were achieved in 43.4% and 58.4% of 1,824 INV patients. ACR was associated with reduced 4-year rates of cardiovascular death or MI compared with incomplete revascularization. By inverse probability weighted modeling, ACR in all 2,296 INV patients compared with 2,498 CON patients was associated with a lower 4-year rate of cardiovascular death or MI (difference -3.5; 95% CI: -7.2% to 0.0%). In comparison, the event rate difference of cardiovascular death or MI for INV minus CON in the overall ISCHEMIA trial was -2.4%. Results were similar but less pronounced with FCR. CONCLUSIONS The outcomes of an INV strategy may be improved if CR (especially ACR) is achieved. (International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness With Medical and Invasive Approaches [ISCHEMIA]; NCT01471522).
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Rambarat P, Zern EK, Wang D, Roshandelpoor A, Zarbafian S, Liu EE, Wang JK, McNeill JN, Andrews CT, Pomerantsev EV, Diamant N, Batra P, Lubitz SA, Picard MH, Ho JE. Identifying high risk clinical phenogroups of pulmonary hypertension through a clustering analysis. PLoS One 2023; 18:e0290553. [PMID: 37624825 PMCID: PMC10456132 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0290553] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2023] [Accepted: 08/09/2023] [Indexed: 08/27/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION The classification and management of pulmonary hypertension (PH) is challenging due to clinical heterogeneity of patients. We sought to identify distinct multimorbid phenogroups of patients with PH that are at particularly high-risk for adverse events. METHODS A hospital-based cohort of patients referred for right heart catheterization between 2005-2016 with PH were included. Key exclusion criteria were shock, cardiac arrest, cardiac transplant, or valvular surgery. K-prototypes was used to cluster patients into phenogroups based on 12 clinical covariates. RESULTS Among 5208 patients with mean age 64±12 years, 39% women, we identified 5 distinct multimorbid PH phenogroups with similar hemodynamic measures yet differing clinical outcomes: (1) "young men with obesity", (2) "women with hypertension", (3) "men with overweight", (4) "men with cardiometabolic and cardiovascular disease", and (5) "men with structural heart disease and atrial fibrillation." Over a median follow-up of 6.3 years, we observed 2182 deaths and 2002 major cardiovascular events (MACE). In age- and sex-adjusted analyses, phenogroups 4 and 5 had higher risk of MACE (HR 1.68, 95% CI 1.41-2.00 and HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.24-1.87, respectively, compared to the lowest risk phenogroup 1). Phenogroup 4 had the highest risk of mortality (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.04-1.52, relative to phenogroup 1). CONCLUSIONS Cluster-based analyses identify patients with PH and specific comorbid cardiometabolic and cardiovascular disease burden that are at highest risk for adverse clinical outcomes. Interestingly, cardiopulmonary hemodynamics were similar across phenogroups, highlighting the importance of multimorbidity on clinical trajectory. Further studies are needed to better understand comorbid heterogeneity among patients with PH.
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Wasfy JH, Achanta A, Hidrue MK, Urbut S, Axtell AL, Berman AN, Zhao Y, Chen J, Gustus S, Picard MH. Association between implanted cardioverter-defibrillators and mortality for patients with left ventricular ejection fraction between 30% and 35. Open Heart 2023; 10:e002289. [PMID: 37625819 PMCID: PMC10462974 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2023-002289] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2023] [Accepted: 06/30/2023] [Indexed: 08/27/2023] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Consensus guidelines support the use of implanted cardioverter-defibrillators (ICD) for primary prevention of sudden cardiac death in patients with either non-ischaemic or ischaemic cardiomyopathy with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤35%. However, evidence from trials for efficacy specifically for patients with LVEF near 35% is weak. Past trials are underpowered for this population and future trials are unlikely to be performed. METHODS Patients with lowest LVEF between 30% and 35% without an ICD prior to the lowest-LVEF echo (defined as 'time zero') were identified by querying echocardiography data from 28 November 2001 to 9 July 2020 at the Massachusetts General Hospital linked to ICD treatment status. To assess the association between ICD and mortality, propensity score matching followed by Cox proportional hazards models considering treatment status as a time-dependent covariate was used. A secondary analysis was performed for LVEF 36%-40%. RESULTS Initially, 526 440 echocardiograms representing 266 601 unique patients were identified. After inclusion and exclusion criteria were applied, 6109 patients remained for the analytical cohort. In bivariate unadjusted comparisons, patients who received ICDs were substantially more often male (79.8% vs 65.4%, p<0.0001), more often white (87.5% vs 83.7%, p<0.046) and more often had a history of ventricular tachycardia (74.5% vs 19.1%, p<0.0001) and myocardial infarction (56.1% vs 38.2%, p<0.0001). In the propensity matched sample, after accounting for time-dependence, there was no association between ICD and mortality (HR 0.93, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.15, p=0.482). CONCLUSIONS ICD therapy was not associated with reduced mortality near the conventional LVEF threshold of 35%. Although this treatment design cannot definitively demonstrate lack of efficacy, our results are concordant with available prior trial data. A definitive, well-powered trial is needed to answer the important clinical question of primary prevention ICD efficacy between LVEF 30% and 35%.
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Churchill TW, Yucel E, Bernard S, Namasivayam M, Nagata Y, Lau ES, Deferm S, He W, Danik JS, Sanborn DY, Picard MH, Levine RA, Hung J, Bertrand PB. Sex Differences in Extensive Mitral Annular Calcification With Associated Mitral Valve Dysfunction. Am J Cardiol 2023; 193:83-90. [PMID: 36881941 PMCID: PMC10066827 DOI: 10.1016/j.amjcard.2023.02.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2023] [Revised: 02/01/2023] [Accepted: 02/06/2023] [Indexed: 03/07/2023]
Abstract
Mitral annular calcification (MAC)-related mitral valve (MV) dysfunction is an increasingly recognized entity, which confers a high burden of morbidity and mortality. Although more common among women, there is a paucity of data regarding how the phenotype of MAC and the associated adverse clinical implications may differ between women and men. A total of 3,524 patients with extensive MAC and significant MAC-related MV dysfunction (i.e., transmitral gradient ≥3 mm Hg) were retrospectively analyzed from a large institutional database, with the goal of defining gender differences in clinical and echocardiographic characteristics and the prognostic importance of MAC-related MV dysfunction. We stratified patients into low- (3 to 5 mm Hg), moderate- (5 to 10 mm Hg), and high- (≥10 mm Hg) gradient groups and analyzed the gender differences in phenotype and outcome. The primary outcome was all-cause mortality, assessed using adjusted Cox regression models. Women represented the majority (67%) of subjects, were older (79.3 ± 10.4 vs 75.5 ± 10.9 years, p <0.001) and had a lower burden of cardiovascular co-morbidities than men. Women had higher transmitral gradients (5.7 ± 2.7 vs 5.3 ± 2.6 mm Hg, p <0.001), more concentric hypertrophy (49% vs 33%), and more mitral regurgitation. The median survival was 3.4 years (95% confidence interval 3.0 to 3.6) among women and 3.0 years (95% confidence interval 2.6 to 4.5) among men. The adjusted survival was worse among men, and the prognostic impact of the transmitral gradient did not differ overall by gender. In conclusion, we describe important gender differences among patients with MAC-related MV dysfunction and show worse adjusted survival among men; although, the adverse prognostic impact of the transmitral gradient was similar between men and women.
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Nagata Y, Bertrand PB, Baliyan V, Kochav J, Kagan RD, Ujka K, Alfraidi H, van Kampen A, Morningstar JE, Dal-Bianco JP, Melnitchouk S, Holmvang G, Borger MA, Moore R, Hua L, Sultana R, Calle PV, Yum B, Guerrero JL, Neilan TG, Picard MH, Kim J, Delling FN, Hung J, Norris RA, Weinsaft JW, Levine RA. Abnormal Mechanics Relate to Myocardial Fibrosis and Ventricular Arrhythmias in Patients With Mitral Valve Prolapse. Circ Cardiovasc Imaging 2023; 16:e014963. [PMID: 37071717 PMCID: PMC10108844 DOI: 10.1161/circimaging.122.014963] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/07/2022] [Accepted: 03/08/2023] [Indexed: 04/20/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The relation between ventricular arrhythmia and fibrosis in mitral valve prolapse (MVP) is reported, but underlying valve-induced mechanisms remain unknown. We evaluated the association between abnormal MVP-related mechanics and myocardial fibrosis, and their association with arrhythmia. METHODS We studied 113 patients with MVP with both echocardiogram and gadolinium cardiac magnetic resonance imaging for myocardial fibrosis. Two-dimensional and speckle-tracking echocardiography evaluated mitral regurgitation, superior leaflet and papillary muscle displacement with associated exaggerated basal myocardial systolic curling, and myocardial longitudinal strain. Follow-up assessed arrhythmic events (nonsustained or sustained ventricular tachycardia or ventricular fibrillation). RESULTS Myocardial fibrosis was observed in 43 patients with MVP, predominantly in the basal-midventricular inferior-lateral wall and papillary muscles. Patients with MVP with fibrosis had greater mitral regurgitation, prolapse, and superior papillary muscle displacement with basal curling and more impaired inferior-posterior basal strain than those without fibrosis (P<0.001). An abnormal strain pattern with distinct peaks pre-end-systole and post-end-systole in inferior-lateral wall was frequent in patients with fibrosis (81 versus 26%, P<0.001) but absent in patients without MVP with basal inferior-lateral wall fibrosis (n=20). During median follow-up of 1008 days, 36 of 87 patients with MVP with >6-month follow-up developed ventricular arrhythmias associated (univariable) with fibrosis, greater prolapse, mitral annular disjunction, and double-peak strain. In multivariable analysis, double-peak strain showed incremental risk of arrhythmia over fibrosis. CONCLUSIONS Basal inferior-posterior myocardial fibrosis in MVP is associated with abnormal MVP-related myocardial mechanics, which are potentially associated with ventricular arrhythmia. These associations suggest pathophysiological links between MVP-related mechanical abnormalities and myocardial fibrosis, which also may relate to ventricular arrhythmia and offer potential imaging markers of increased arrhythmic risk.
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Namasivayam M, Churchill T, Capoulade R, Pibarot P, Danik JS, Picard MH, Levine RA, Hung JW. THE FLOW KNOWS: VALUE OF DIMENSIONLESS INDEX AND TRANSVALVULAR FLOW RATE IN RISK STRATIFICATION OF AORTIC STENOSIS. J Am Coll Cardiol 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(23)01843-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/06/2023]
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15
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Al-Alusi M, Kopparapu K, Singh P, Achille PD, Lau ESW, Reeder C, Khurshid S, Ellinor P, Ho J, Picard MH, Batra P, Lubitz S. RV SIZE MEASURED BY DEEP LEARNING PREDICTS ATRIAL FIBRILLATION, HEART FAILURE AND MORTALITY. J Am Coll Cardiol 2023. [DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(23)02719-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/06/2023]
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16
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Ma JI, Zern E, Jiang N, Wang D, Rambarat P, Pomerantsev E, Picard MH, Ho JE. Obesity Modifies Clinical Outcomes of Right Ventricular Dysfunction. MEDRXIV : THE PREPRINT SERVER FOR HEALTH SCIENCES 2023:2023.01.18.23284734. [PMID: 36711542 PMCID: PMC9882441 DOI: 10.1101/2023.01.18.23284734] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
Introduction Right ventricular (RV) dysfunction is associated with increased mortality across a spectrum of cardiovascular diseases. The role of obesity in RV dysfunction and adverse outcomes is unclear. Methods We examined patients undergoing right heart catheterization between 2005-2016 in a hospital-based cohort. Linear regression was used to examine the association of obesity with hemodynamic indices of RV dysfunction [pulmonary artery pulsatility index (PAPi), right atrial pressure: pulmonary capillary wedge pressure ratio (RAP:PCWP), RV stroke work index (RVSWI)]. Cox models were used to examine the association of RV function measures with clinical outcomes. Results Among 8285 patients (mean age 63 years, 40% women), higher BMI was associated with worse indices of RV dysfunction, including lower PAPi (β -0.26, SE 0.01, p <0.001), higher RA:PCWP ratio (β 0.25, SE 0.01, p-value <0.001), and lower RVSWI (β -0.05, SE 0.01, p-value <0.001). Over 7.3 years of follow-up, we observed 3006 mortality and 2004 heart failure (HF) hospitalization events. RV dysfunction was associated with greater risk of mortality (eg PAPi: HR 1.11 per 1-SD increase, 95% CI 1.04-1.18), with similar associations with risk of HF hospitalization. BMI modified the effect of RV dysfunction on outcomes (P-interaction <=0.005 for both), such that the effect of RV dysfunction was more pronounced at higher BMI. Conclusions Patients with obesity had worse hemodynamic measured indices of RV function across a broad hospital-based sample. While RV dysfunction was associated with worse clinical outcomes including mortality and HF hospitalization, this association was especially pronounced among individuals with higher BMI.
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Reynolds HR, Diaz A, Cyr DD, Shaw LJ, Mancini GBJ, Leipsic J, Budoff MJ, Min JK, Hague CJ, Berman DS, Chaitman BR, Picard MH, Hayes SW, Scherrer-Crosbie M, Kwong RY, Lopes RD, Senior R, Dwivedi SK, Miller TD, Chow BJW, de Silva R, Stone GW, Boden WE, Bangalore S, O'Brien SM, Hochman JS, Maron DJ. Ischemia With Nonobstructive Coronary Arteries: Insights From the ISCHEMIA Trial. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging 2023; 16:63-74. [PMID: 36115814 PMCID: PMC9878463 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmg.2022.06.015] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/02/2022] [Revised: 06/10/2022] [Accepted: 06/23/2022] [Indexed: 01/29/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Ischemia with nonobstructive coronary arteries (INOCA) is common clinically, particularly among women, but its prevalence among patients with at least moderate ischemia and the relationship between ischemia severity and non-obstructive atherosclerosis severity are unknown. OBJECTIVES The authors investigated predictors of INOCA in enrolled, nonrandomized participants in ISCHEMIA (International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness with Medical and Invasive Approaches), sex differences, and the relationship between ischemia and atherosclerosis in patients with INOCA. METHODS Core laboratories independently reviewed screening noninvasive stress test results (nuclear imaging, echocardiography, magnetic resonance imaging or nonimaging exercise tolerance testing), and coronary computed tomography angiography (CCTA), blinded to results of the screening test. INOCA was defined as all stenoses <50% on CCTA in a patient with moderate or severe ischemia on stress testing. INOCA patients, who were excluded from randomization, were compared with randomized participants with ≥50% stenosis in ≥1 vessel and moderate or severe ischemia. RESULTS Among 3,612 participants with core laboratory-confirmed moderate or severe ischemia and interpretable CCTA, 476 (13%) had INOCA. Patients with INOCA were younger, were predominantly female, and had fewer atherosclerosis risk factors. For each stress testing modality, the extent of ischemia tended to be less among patients with INOCA, particularly with nuclear imaging. There was no significant relationship between severity of ischemia and extent or severity of nonobstructive atherosclerosis on CCTA. On multivariable analysis, female sex was independently associated with INOCA (odds ratio: 4.2 [95% CI: 3.4-5.2]). CONCLUSIONS Among participants enrolled in ISCHEMIA with core laboratory-confirmed moderate or severe ischemia, the prevalence of INOCA was 13%. Severity of ischemia was not associated with severity of nonobstructive atherosclerosis. (International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness With Medical and Invasive Approaches [ISCHEMIA]; NCT01471522).
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18
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Crousillat DR, Amponsah DK, Camacho A, Kandanelly RR, Bapat D, Chen C, Selberg A, Shaqdan A, Tanguturi VK, Picard MH, Hung JW, Elmariah S. Racial and Ethnic Differences in the Clinical Diagnosis of Aortic Stenosis. J Am Heart Assoc 2022; 11:e025692. [PMID: 36533618 PMCID: PMC9798798 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.122.025692] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/23/2022]
Abstract
Background Racial and ethnic minority groups are underrepresented among patients undergoing aortic valve replacement in the United States. We evaluated the impact of race and ethnicity on the diagnosis of aortic stenosis (AS). Methods and Results In patients with transthoracic echocardiography (TTE)-confirmed AS, we assessed rates of AS diagnosis as defined by assignment of an International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) and Tenth Revision (ICD-10) code for AS within a large multicenter electronic health record. Multivariable Cox proportional hazard and competing risk regression models were used to evaluate the 1-year rate of AS diagnosis by race and ethnicity. Among 14 800 patients with AS, the 1-year diagnosis rate for AS following TTE was 37.4%. Increasing AS severity was associated with an increased likelihood of receiving an AS diagnosis (moderate: hazard ratio [HR], 3.05 [95% CI, 2.86-3.25]; P<0.0001; severe: HR, 4.82 [95% CI, 4.41-5.28]; P<0.0001). Compared with non-Hispanic White, non-Hispanic Black (HR, 0.65 [95% CI, 0.54-0.77]; P<0.0001) and non-Hispanic Asian individuals (HR, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.57-0.90], P=0.004) were less likely to receive a diagnosis of AS. Additional factors associated with a decreased likelihood of receiving an AS diagnosis included a noncardiology TTE ordering provider (HR, 0.92 [95% CI, 0.86-0.97]; P=0.005) and TTE performed in the inpatient setting (HR, 0.72 [95% CI, 0.66-0.78]; P<0.0001). Conclusions Rates of receiving an ICD diagnostic code for AS following a diagnostic TTE are low and vary significantly by race and ethnicity and disease severity. Further studies are needed to determine if efforts to maximize the clinical recognition of TTE-confirmed AS may help to mitigate disparities in treatment.
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Quinaglia T, Gongora C, Awadalla M, Hassan MZO, Zafar A, Drobni ZD, Mahmood SS, Zhang L, Coelho-Filho OR, Suero-Abreu GA, Rizvi MA, Sahni G, Mandawat A, Zatarain-Nicolás E, Mahmoudi M, Sullivan R, Ganatra S, Heinzerling LM, Thuny F, Ederhy S, Gilman HK, Sama S, Nikolaidou S, Mansilla AG, Calles A, Cabral M, Fernández-Avilés F, Gavira JJ, González NS, García de Yébenes Castro M, Barac A, Afilalo J, Zlotoff DA, Zubiri L, Reynolds KL, Devereux R, Hung J, Picard MH, Yang EH, Gupta D, Michel C, Lyon AR, Chen CL, Nohria A, Fradley MG, Thavendiranathan P, Neilan TG. Global Circumferential and Radial Strain Among Patients With Immune Checkpoint Inhibitor Myocarditis. JACC Cardiovasc Imaging 2022; 15:1883-1896. [PMID: 36357131 PMCID: PMC10334352 DOI: 10.1016/j.jcmg.2022.06.014] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/22/2021] [Revised: 05/25/2022] [Accepted: 06/22/2022] [Indexed: 12/14/2022]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Global circumferential strain (GCS) and global radial strain (GRS) are reduced with cytotoxic chemotherapy. There are limited data on the effect of immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) myocarditis on GCS and GRS. OBJECTIVES This study aimed to detail the role of GCS and GRS in ICI myocarditis. METHODS In this retrospective study, GCS and GRS from 75 cases of patients with ICI myocarditis and 50 ICI-treated patients without myocarditis (controls) were compared. Pre-ICI GCS and GRS were available for 12 cases and 50 controls. Measurements were performed in a core laboratory blinded to group and time. Major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) were defined as a composite of cardiogenic shock, cardiac arrest, complete heart block, and cardiac death. RESULTS Cases and controls were similar in age (66 ± 15 years vs 63 ± 12 years; P = 0.20), sex (male: 73% vs 61%; P = 0.20) and cancer type (P = 0.08). Pre-ICI GCS and GRS were also similar (GCS: 22.6% ± 3.4% vs 23.5% ± 3.8%; P = 0.14; GRS: 45.5% ± 6.2% vs 43.6% ± 8.8%; P = 0.24). Overall, 56% (n = 42) of patients with myocarditis presented with preserved left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF). GCS and GRS were lower in myocarditis compared with on-ICI controls (GCS: 17.5% ± 4.2% vs 23.6% ± 3.0%; P < 0.001; GRS: 28.6% ± 6.7% vs 47.0% ± 7.4%; P < 0.001). Over a median follow-up of 30 days, 28 cardiovascular events occurred. A GCS (HR: 4.9 [95% CI: 1.6-15.0]; P = 0.005) and GRS (HR: 3.9 [95% CI: 1.4-10.8]; P = 0.008) below the median was associated with an increased event rate. In receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curves, GCS (AUC: 0.80 [95% CI: 0.70-0.91]) and GRS (AUC: 0.76 [95% CI: 0.64-0.88]) showed better performance than cardiac troponin T (cTnT) (AUC: 0.70 [95% CI: 0.58-0.82]), LVEF (AUC: 0.69 [95% CI: 0.56-0.81]), and age (AUC: 0.54 [95% CI: 0.40-0.68]). Net reclassification index and integrated discrimination improvement demonstrated incremental prognostic utility of GRS over LVEF (P = 0.04) and GCS over cTnT (P = 0.002). CONCLUSIONS GCS and GRS are lower in ICI myocarditis, and the magnitude of reduction has prognostic significance.
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Chandra A, Picard MH, Huang S, Gupta DK, Agusala K, Buring JE, Lee I, Cook NR, Manson JE, Thadhani RI, Wang TJ. Impact of Vitamin D3 Versus Placebo on Cardiac Structure and Function: A Randomized Clinical Trial. J Am Heart Assoc 2022; 11:e025008. [PMID: 36285795 PMCID: PMC9673634 DOI: 10.1161/jaha.121.025008] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
Abstract
Background
Vitamin D supplementation leads to regression of left ventricular (LV) hypertrophy and improves LV function in animal models. However, limited data exist from prospective human studies. We examined whether vitamin D supplementation improved cardiac structure and function in midlife/older individuals in a large randomized trial.
Methods and Results
The VITAL (Vitamin D and OmegA‐3 Trial) was a nationwide double‐blind, placebo‐controlled randomized trial that tested the effects of vitamin D3 (2000 IU/d) and n−3 fatty acids (1 g/d) on cardiovascular and cancer risk in 25 871 individuals aged ≥50 years. We conducted a substudy of VITAL in which participants underwent echocardiography at baseline and 2 years. Images were interpreted by a blinded investigator at a central core laboratory. The primary end point was change in LV mass. Among 1054 Greater Boston–area participants attending in‐clinic visits, we enrolled 1025 into this study. Seventy‐nine percent returned for follow‐up and had analyzable echocardiograms at both visits. At baseline, the median age was 64 years (interquartile range, 60–69 years), 52% were men, and 43% had hypertension. After 2 years, the change in LV mass did not significantly differ between the vitamin D and placebo arms (median +1.4 g versus +2.6 g, respectively;
P
=0.32). Changes in systolic and diastolic LV function also did not differ significantly between arms. There were no significant changes in cardiac structure and function between the n−3 fatty acids and placebo arms.
Conclusions
Among adults aged ≥50 years, neither vitamin D3 nor n−3 fatty acids supplementation had significant effects on cardiac structure and function after 2 years.
Registration
URL:
https://clinicaltrials.gov/
; Unique identifiers: NCT01169259 (VITAL) and NCT01630213 (VITAL‐Echo)
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21
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Picard MH. Observations From My 5 Years at JASE. J Am Soc Echocardiogr 2022; 35:1199-1201. [DOI: 10.1016/j.echo.2022.10.002] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2022] [Accepted: 10/05/2022] [Indexed: 11/09/2022]
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22
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Namasivayam M, Myers PD, Guttag JV, Capoulade R, Pibarot P, Picard MH, Hung J, Stultz CM. Predicting outcomes in patients with aortic stenosis using machine learning: the Aortic Stenosis Risk (ASteRisk) score. Open Heart 2022; 9:openhrt-2022-001990. [PMID: 35641101 PMCID: PMC9157386 DOI: 10.1136/openhrt-2022-001990] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/11/2022] [Accepted: 05/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
Objective To use echocardiographic and clinical features to develop an explainable clinical risk prediction model in patients with aortic stenosis (AS), including those with low-gradient AS (LGAS), using machine learning (ML). Methods In 1130 patients with moderate or severe AS, we used bootstrap lasso regression (BLR), an ML method, to identify echocardiographic and clinical features important for predicting the combined outcome of all-cause mortality or aortic valve replacement (AVR) within 5 years after the initial echocardiogram. A separate hold out set, from a different centre (n=540), was used to test the generality of the model. We also evaluated model performance with respect to each outcome separately and in different subgroups, including patients with LGAS. Results Out of 69 available variables, 26 features were identified as predictive by BLR and expert knowledge was used to further reduce this set to 9 easily available and input features without loss of efficacy. A ridge logistic regression model constructed using these features had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.74 for the combined outcome of mortality/AVR. The model reliably identified patients at high risk of death in years 2–5 (HRs ≥2.0, upper vs other quartiles, for years 2–5, p<0.05, p=not significant in year 1) and was also predictive in the cohort with LGAS (n=383, HRs≥3.3, p<0.05). The model performed similarly well in the independent hold out set (AUC 0.78, HR ≥2.5 in years 1–5, p<0.05). Conclusion In two separate longitudinal databases, ML identified prognostic features and produced an algorithm that predicts outcome for up to 5 years of follow-up in patients with AS, including patients with LGAS. Our algorithm, the Aortic Stenosis Risk (ASteRisk) score, is available online for public use.
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Phillips LM, Hochman J, Maron DJ, Shaw LJ, Berman DS, Spertus JA, Mark DB, Picard MH, Chaitman BR, Jones P, Reynolds H, Celutkiene J, Stone GW, Vitola JV, Moorthy N. RELATIONSHIP OF HEALTH STATUS TO ISCHEMIA AND CORONARY ANATOMY IN THE ISCHEMIA TRIAL. J Am Coll Cardiol 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(22)01977-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/29/2022]
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Namasivayam M, Churchill T, Capoulade R, Pibarot P, Danik JS, Picard MH, Levine RA, Hung JW. DIMENSIONLESS INDEX COMPLEMENTS TRANSVALVULAR FLOW RATE IN SOLVING DISCORDANT LOW GRADIENT AORTIC STENOSIS. J Am Coll Cardiol 2022. [DOI: 10.1016/s0735-1097(22)02196-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/16/2022]
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Senior R, Reynolds HR, Min JK, Berman DS, Picard MH, Chaitman BR, Shaw LJ, Page CB, Govindan SC, Lopez-Sendon J, Peteiro J, Wander GS, Drozdz J, Marin-Neto J, Selvanayagam JB, Newman JD, Thuaire C, Christopher J, Jang JJ, Kwong RY, Bangalore S, Stone GW, O'Brien SM, Boden WE, Maron DJ, Hochman JS. Predictors of Left Main Coronary Artery Disease in the ISCHEMIA Trial. J Am Coll Cardiol 2022; 79:651-661. [PMID: 35177194 PMCID: PMC8875308 DOI: 10.1016/j.jacc.2021.11.052] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/20/2021] [Revised: 11/03/2021] [Accepted: 11/18/2021] [Indexed: 02/08/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Detection of ≥50% diameter stenosis left main coronary artery disease (LMD) has prognostic and therapeutic implications. Noninvasive stress imaging or an exercise tolerance test (ETT) are the most common methods to detect obstructive coronary artery disease, though stress test markers of LMD remain ill-defined. OBJECTIVES The authors sought to identify markers of LMD as detected on coronary computed tomography angiography (CTA), using clinical and stress testing parameters. METHODS This was a post hoc analysis of ISCHEMIA (International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness With Medical and Invasive Approaches), including randomized and nonrandomized participants who had locally determined moderate or severe ischemia on nonimaging ETT, stress nuclear myocardial perfusion imaging, or stress echocardiography followed by CTA to exclude LMD. Stress tests were read by core laboratories. Prior coronary artery bypass grafting was an exclusion. In a stepped multivariate model, the authors identified predictors of LMD, first without and then with stress testing parameters. RESULTS Among 5,146 participants (mean age 63 years, 74% male), 414 (8%) had LMD. Predictors of LMD were older age (P < 0.001), male sex (P < 0.01), absence of prior myocardial infarction (P < 0.009), transient ischemic dilation of the left ventricle on stress echocardiography (P = 0.05), magnitude of ST-segment depression on ETT (P = 0.004), and peak metabolic equivalents achieved on ETT (P = 0.001). The models were weakly predictive of LMD (C-index 0.643 and 0.684). CONCLUSIONS In patients with moderate or severe ischemia, clinical and stress testing parameters were weakly predictive of LMD on CTA. For most patients with moderate or severe ischemia, anatomical imaging is needed to rule out LMD. (International Study of Comparative Health Effectiveness With Medical and Invasive Approaches [ISCHEMIA]; NCT01471522).
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