Mortality associated with the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio in septic acute kidney injury requiring continuous renal replacement therapy

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is an important cause of acute kidney injury in intensive care unit patients, accounting for 15% to 20% of renal replacement therapy prescriptions. The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), a marker of systemic inflammation and immune response, was previously associated with the mortality rate in multiple conditions. Herein, we aimed to examine how the NLR relates to the mortality rate in septic acute kidney injury patients requiring continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT).

METHODS

The NLRs of 6 and 18 were used for dividing NLRs into three groups and, thus, were set higher than those in previous studies accounting for steroid use in sepsis. Cox proportional hazard models were used to calculate hazard ratios of mortality outcomes before and after matching their propensity scores.

RESULTS

A total of 798 septic acute kidney injury patients requiring CRRT were classified into three NLR groups (low, <6 [n = 277]; medium, ≥6 and <18 [n = 115], and high, ≥18 [n = 406], respectively). The in-hospital mortality rates per group were 83.4%, 74.8%, and 70.4%, respectively (p < 0.001). Per the univariable Cox survival analysis after propensity score matching, a high NLR was related to approximately 24% reduced mortality. The survival benefit of the high NLR group compared with the other two groups remained consistent across all subgroups, showing any p for interactions of >0.05.

CONCLUSION

A high NLR is associated with better clinical outcomes, such as low mortality, in septic acute kidney injury patients undergoing CRRT.

Unveiling the detrimental effects of polylactic acid microplastics on rice seedlings and soil health

The environmental impact of biodegradable polylactic acid microplastics (PLA-MPs) has become a global concern, with documented effects on soil health, nutrient cycling, water retention, and crop growth. This study aimed to assess the repercussions of varying concentrations of PLA-MPs on rice, encompassing aspects such as growth, physiology, and biochemistry. Additionally, the investigation delved into the influence of PLA-MPs on soil bacterial composition and soil enzyme activities. The results illustrated that the highest levels of PLA-MPs (2.5%) impaired the photosynthesis activity of rice plants and hampered plant growth. Plants exposed to the highest concentration of PLA-MPs (2.5%) displayed a significant reduction of 51.3% and 47.7% in their root and shoot dry weights, as well as a reduction of 53% and 49% in chlorophyll a and b contents, respectively. The activities of catalase (CAT), superoxide dismutase (SOD), peroxidase (POD), and ascorbate peroxidase (APX) in rice leaves increased by 3.1, 2.8, 3.5, and 5.2 folds, respectively, with the highest level of PLA-MPs (2.5%). Soil enzyme activities, such as CAT, urease, and dehydrogenase (DHA) increased by 19.2%, 10.4%, and 22.5%, respectively, in response to the highest level of PLA-MPs (2.5%) application. In addition, PLA-MPs (2.5%) resulted in a remarkable increase in the relative abundance of soil Proteobacteria, Nitrospirae, and Firmicutes by 60%, 31%, and 98.2%, respectively. These findings highlight the potential adverse effects of PLA-MPs on crops and soils. This study provides valuable insights into soil-rice interactions, environmental risks, and biodegradable plastic regulation, underscoring the need for further research.

Expansion of effector regulatory T cells in steroid responders of severe alcohol-associated hepatitis

While steroid therapy is the preferred treatment for severe alcohol-associated hepatitis, the role of effector regulatory T (eTreg) cells and their association with steroid response and clinical outcomes in these patients remains to be elucidated. We prospectively enrolled 47 consecutive patients with alcohol-associated hepatitis, consisting of severe alcohol-associated hepatitis treated with steroids (n=18; steroid-treated group) and mild alcohol-associated hepatitis (n=29; nontreated group). After isolating peripheral blood mononuclear cells from the patients at enrollment and again 7 days later, the frequency of eTreg cells was examined using flow cytometry. Single-cell RNA sequencing analysis was conducted using paired peripheral blood mononuclear cells. In vitro experiments were also performed to assess phenotype changes and the suppressive function of Treg cells following steroid treatment. The steroid-treated group exhibited significantly higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease scores than the nontreated group (p < 0.01). Within the steroid-treated group, the proportion of eTreg cells significantly expanded in the steroid responders (n=13; p = 0.01). Furthermore, a significant positive correlation was observed between the decrease in the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score and the increase in eTreg cells (p < 0.05). Single-cell RNA sequencing using paired peripheral blood mononuclear cells (pre-steroid and post-steroid therapy) from a steroid responder revealed gene expression changes in T cells and monocytes, suggesting enhancement of Treg cell function. In vitro results showed an elevation in the proportion of eTreg cells after steroid therapy. In conclusion, our findings suggest that the efficacy of steroid therapy in patients with severe alcohol-associated hepatitis is mediated by an increase in the number of eTreg cells.

Intrahepatic IgA complex induces polarization of cancer-associated fibroblasts to matrix phenotypes in the tumor microenvironment of HCC

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs) play key roles in the tumor microenvironment. IgA contributes to inflammation and dismantling antitumor immunity in the human liver. In this study, we aimed to elucidate the effects of the IgA complex on CAFs in Pil Soo Sung the tumor microenvironment of HCC.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

CAF dynamics in HCC tumor microenvironment were analyzed through single-cell RNA sequencing of HCC samples. CAFs isolated from 50 HCC samples were treated with mock or serum-derived IgA dimers in vitro. Progression-free survival of patients with advanced HCC treated with atezolizumab and bevacizumab was significantly longer in those with low serum IgA levels ( p <0.05). Single-cell analysis showed that subcluster proportions in the CAF-fibroblast activation protein-α matrix were significantly increased in patients with high serum IgA levels. Flow cytometry revealed a significant increase in the mean fluorescence intensity of fibroblast activation protein in the CD68 + cells from patients with high serum IgA levels ( p <0.001). We confirmed CD71 (IgA receptor) expression in CAFs, and IgA-treated CAFs exhibited higher programmed death-ligand 1 expression levels than those in mock-treated CAFs ( p <0.05). Coculture with CAFs attenuated the cytotoxic function of activated CD8 + T cells. Interestingly, activated CD8 + T cells cocultured with IgA-treated CAFs exhibited increased programmed death-1 expression levels than those cocultured with mock-treated CAFs ( p <0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Intrahepatic IgA induced polarization of HCC-CAFs into more malignant matrix phenotypes and attenuates cytotoxic T-cell function. Our study highlighted their potential roles in tumor progression and immune suppression.

Analyzing the contribution of gully erosion to land degradation in the upper Blue Nile basin, Ethiopia

Soil erosion has become a worldwide problem that threatens the environment and the future of economic and social development. The purpose of this study is to investigate the contribution of steep slopes and gullies to erosion in high precipitation tropical areas of the Ethiopian highlands. A trapezoidal weir was installed at the head and tail of the gully to monitor the discharge and sediment concentration from 2017 to 2020. Sediment yield and runoff are heavily influenced by the amount and timing of precipitation. The coefficients of variation for total sediment loads ranged from 65.1 to 96.1% at the head and 17.1-78.1% at the tail; the lowest coefficients were found in 2018 and the highest in 2020. Furthermore, 85% of the sediment at the tail comes from the gully, according to the four-year sediment budget. Further, a hysteretic analysis of suspended sediment concentration and runoff revealed that hilly sediment sources are limited (clockwise), then sediment can be transported through the gully via bank failures (counterclockwise). Study findings contributed to a classification of runoff patterns and an investigation of suspended sediment dynamics. In the gully tail, sediment yield was higher than in the head, suggesting gully sediment contributed more to sediment yield than large upland catchments. As a result of the study, we have been able to develop practical recommendations for managing gully erosion in the future.

In-situ physical and chemical remediation of Cd and Pb contaminated mine soils cultivated with Chinese cabbage: A three-year field study

Soils pollution with heavy metals (HMs) is a serious concern due to their toxic effects on crop yield, crop quality, soil environment, and human health. In the current study, four stabilizers of calcium carbonate (CC), dolomite (DL), zeolite (ZL), and steel slag (SS) were applied to cadmium (Cd) and lead (Pb)-contaminated soils as in-situ chemical remediation techniques along with in-situ physical remediation techniques i.e. soil covering (SC) and soil dilution (SD) under real field conditions. For three years, Chinese cabbage (Brassica rapa L.) was grown on the amended fields to examine how the amendments impacted Cd and Pb uptake in plants. The stabilization efficiency of SS, CC, and SC were 75.7 %, 66.0 %, and 71.1 %, respectively, for Cd, and 55.6 %, 55.6 %, and 70.0 %, respectively, for Pb. Results indicated that stabilizer soil amendments significantly decreased the exchangeable (F1) and carbonates bound (F2) fractions of both Cd and Pb. For instance, F1 fraction of Cd decreased from 10.2 (control) to 1.8-2.9 % (with stabilizers). The stabilizers increased Chinese cabbage dry weight by 11.4-22.5 % and decreased Cd and Pb uptake by 67.4 % and 24 %, respectively. The results demonstrated that in-situ chemical remediation technique showed promising results and maintained its efficiency for more than 130 weeks. Current study indicated that chemical remediation of Cd and Pb contaminated soil is more effective and last longer than physical remediation.

Risk of ventricular tachycardia and its outcomes in patients undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy due to acute kidney injury

Background

Despite efforts to treat critically ill patients who require continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) due to acute kidney injury (AKI), their mortality risk remains high. This condition may be attributable to complications of CRRT, such as arrhythmias. Here, we addressed the occurrence of ventricular tachycardia (VT) during CRRT and its relationship with patient outcomes.

Methods

This study retrospectively enrolled 2,397 patients who started CRRT due to AKI from 2010 to 2020 at Seoul National University Hospital in Korea. The occurrence of VT was evaluated from the initiation of CRRT until weaning from CRRT. The odds ratios (ORs) of mortality outcomes were measured using logistic regression models after adjustment for multiple variables.

Results

VT occurred in 150 patients (6.3%) after starting CRRT. Among them, 95 cases were defined as sustained VT (i.e., lasting ≥30 seconds), and the other 55 cases were defined as non-sustained VT (i.e., lasting <30 seconds). The occurrence of sustained VT was associated with a higher mortality rate than a nonoccurrence (OR, 2.04 and 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.23-3.39 for the 30-day mortality; OR, 4.06 and 95% CI, 2.04-8.08 for the 90-day mortality). The mortality risk did not differ between patients with non-sustained VT and nonoccurrence. A history of myocardial infarction, vasopressor use, and certain trends of blood laboratory findings (such as acidosis and hyperkalemia) were associated with the subsequent risk of sustained VT.

Conclusion

Sustained VT occurrence after starting CRRT is associated with increased patient mortality. The monitoring of electrolytes and acid-base status during CRRT is essential because of its relationship with the risk of VT.

Consulting to nephrologist when starting continuous renal replacement therapy for acute kidney injury is associated with a survival benefit

BACKGROUND

Several studies suggest improved outcomes for patients with kidney disease who consult a nephrologist. However, it remains undetermined whether a consultation with a nephrologist is related to a survival benefit after starting continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) due to acute kidney injury (AKI).

METHODS

Data from 2,397 patients who started CRRT due to severe AKI at Seoul National University Hospital, Korea between 2010 and 2020 were retrospectively collected. The patients were divided into two groups according to whether they underwent a nephrology consultation regarding the initiation and maintenance of CRRT. The Cox proportional hazards model was used to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) of mortality during admission to the intensive care unit after adjusting for multiple variables.

RESULTS

A total of 2,153 patients (89.8%) were referred to nephrologists when starting CRRT. The patients who underwent a nephrology consultation had a lower mortality rate than those who did not have a consultation (HR = 0.47 [0.40-0.56]; P < 0.001). Subsequently, patients who had nephrology consultations were divided into two groups (i.e., early and late) according to the timing of the consultation. Both patients with early and late consultation had lower mortality rates than patients without consultations, with HRs of 0.45 (0.37-0.54) and 0.51 (0.42-0.61), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Consultation with a nephrologist may contribute to a survival benefit after starting CRRT for AKI.

Hyperlactatemia is a predictor of mortality in patients undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy for acute kidney injury

BACKGROUND

Hyperlactatemia occurs frequently in critically ill patients, and this pathologic condition leads to worse outcomes in several disease subsets. Herein, we addressed whether hyperlactatemia is associated with the risk of mortality in patients undergoing continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) due to acute kidney injury.

METHODS

A total of 1,661 patients who underwent CRRT for severe acute kidney injury were retrospectively reviewed between 2010 and 2020. The patients were categorized according to their serum lactate levels, such as high (≥ 7.6 mmol/l), moderate (2.1-7.5 mmol/l) and low (≤ 2 mmol/l), at the time of CRRT initiation. The hazard ratios (HRs) for the risk of in-hospital mortality were calculated with adjustment of multiple variables. The increase in the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) for the mortality risk was evaluated after adding serum lactate levels to the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and the Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation (APACHE) II score-based models.

RESULTS

A total of 802 (48.3%) and 542 (32.6%) patients had moderate and high lactate levels, respectively. The moderate and high lactate groups had a higher risk of mortality than the low lactate group, with HRs of 1.64 (1.22-2.20) and 4.18 (2.99-5.85), respectively. The lactate-enhanced models had higher AUROCs than the models without lactates (0.764 vs. 0.702 for SOFA score; 0.737 vs. 0.678 for APACHE II score).

CONCLUSIONS

Hyperlactatemia is associated with mortality outcomes in patients undergoing CRRT for acute kidney injury. Serum lactate levels may need to be monitored in this patient subset.

Blood-based biomarkers for immune-based therapy in advanced HCC: Promising but a long way to go

The introduction of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) represents a key shift in the management strategy for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). However, there is a paucity of predictive biomarkers that facilitate the identification of patients that would respond to ICI therapy. Although several researchers have attempted to resolve the issue, the data is insufficient to alter daily clinical practice. The use of minimally invasive procedures to obtain patient-derived specimen, such as using blood-based samples, is increasingly preferred. Circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) can be isolated from the blood of cancer patients, and liquid biopsies can provide sufficient material to enable ongoing monitoring of HCC. This is particularly significant for patients for whom surgery is not indicated, including those with advanced HCC. In this review, we summarize the current state of understanding of blood-based biomarkers for ICI-based therapy in advanced HCC, which is promising despite there is still a long way to go.

Development of New Equations Predicting the Mortality Risk of Patients on Continuous RRT

Background

Predicting the risk of death in patients admitted to the critical care unit facilitates appropriate management. In particular, among patients who are critically ill, patients with continuous RRT (CRRT) have high mortality, and predicting the mortality risk of these patients is difficult. The purpose of this study was to develop models for predicting the mortality risk of patients on CRRT and to validate the models externally.

Methods

A total of 699 adult patients with CRRT who participated in the VolumE maNagement Under body composition monitoring in critically ill patientS on CRRT (VENUS) trial and 1515 adult patients with CRRT in Seoul National University Hospital were selected as the development and validation cohorts, respectively. Using 11 predictor variables selected by the Cox proportional hazards model and clinical importance, equations predicting mortality within 7, 14, and 28 days were developed with development cohort data.

Results

The equation using 11 variables had area under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) values of 0.75, 0.74, and 0.73 for predicting 7-, 14-, and 28-day mortality, respectively. All equations had significantly higher AUROCs than the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (SOFA) and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II (APACHE II) scores. The 11-variable equation was superior to the SOFA and APACHE II scores in the integrated discrimination index and net reclassification improvement analyses.

Conclusions

The newly developed equations for predicting CRRT patient mortality showed superior performance to the previous scoring systems, and they can help physicians manage patients.

Effect of exclosure on subsurface water level and sediment yield in the tropical highlands of Ethiopia

Grazing is a major cause of soil erosion and land degradation across many parts of Ethiopia. This study examined the effects of exclosure on subsurface water levels, soil erosion, and the relationship between daily rainfall and subsurface water levels. Piezometers were used to measure subsurface water levels in the exclosure area during 2017-2020. We found that sediment yield, runoff, and the volume of subsurface water vary greatly depending on the exclosure and temporal practices used. Exclosure of grazing land was the most effective sustainable land management practice in reducing runoff and sediment yield. In 2019 and 2020, the subsurface water level continued to rise at piezometers with exclosure, which shows that exclosure contributed to the subsurface water level rising. In addition, piezometers in grazing land and the exclosure indicate that runoff trapped by acacia decurrens trees can contribute to significant differences in subsurface water levels. Higher runoff coefficients were observed in 2017 and 2018 than in 2019 and 2020, indicating that the exclosure greatly affects runoff; therefore, its implementation is vital to reduce runoff and enhance water conservation. Sediment yields measured for 2017, 2018, 2019, and 2020 were 140.45, 133.15, 101.03, and 74.39 g L^-1 day^-1, respectively. In 2017 and 2018, sediment yield increased, while in 2019 and 2020 sediment yield decreased because of an exclosure around the gully's cross-section and communal grazing. This study shows that erosion is reduced by exclosure, possibly due to the restoration of protective vegetation cover. This study revealed that a minimum of human and livestock intervention during the study period considerably increased groundwater levels and decreased soil erosion. Generally, the results of this study indicated that exclosure has a considerable impact on runoff and sediment. Therefore, exclosure implementation is vital to reduce runoff and sediment and enhance water conservation, thus supporting the development of effective communal grazing land management measures on the study sites and other similar environmental settings.

Serum bilirubin and kidney function: a Mendelian randomization study

Background

Further investigation is needed to determine the causal effects of serum bilirubin on the risk of chronic kidney disease (CKD).

Methods

This study is a Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. Among the well-known single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) related to serum bilirubin levels, rs4149056 in the SLCO1B1 gene was selected as the genetic instrument for single-variant MR analysis, as it was found to be less related to possible confounders than other SNPs. The association between genetic predisposition for bilirubin levels and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) or CKD was assessed in 337 129 individuals of white British ancestry from the UK Biobank cohort. Two-sample MR based on summary-level data was also performed. SNPs related to total or direct bilirubin levels were collected from a previous genome-wide association study and confounder-associated SNPs were discarded. The independent CKDGen meta-analysis data for CKD were employed as the outcome summary statistics.

Results

The alleles of rs4149056 associated with higher bilirubin levels were associated with better kidney function in the UK Biobank data. In the summary-level MR, both of the genetically predicted total bilirubin {per 5 µmol/L increase; odds ratio [OR] 0.931 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.871-0.995]} and direct bilirubin [per 1 µmol/L increase; OR 0.910 (95% CI 0.834-0.993)] levels were significantly associated with a lower risk of CKD, supported by the causal estimates from various MR sensitivity analyses.

Conclusion

Genetic predisposition for higher serum bilirubin levels is associated with better kidney function. This result suggests that higher serum bilirubin levels may have causal protective effects against kidney function impairment.

Enhancement of soil physical properties and soil water retention with biochar-based soil amendments

The soil physical properties are deteriorating due to changing rainfall patterns and intensities, as well as climate change-induced temperature fluctuations. Pot experiments were carried out to examine the impacts of synthesized soil amendments on soil water retention and plant growth. Soil amendments (biochar, polyacrylamide (PAM), and moringa) were used at different rates (0 (control), 2.1, 4.2, and 8.3 g kg^-1) to improve the physical properties of the soil. As a result of soil amendment application, it was found that the mean weight diameter of soil aggregate increased by 188% during the 8.3 g kg^-1 treatment, forming stable soil particles. Soil water retention improved by up to 128.9% during the 8.3 g kg^-1 treatment, and it was analyzed that it was due to the high surface area of biochar, porosity, and high molecular weight of PAM. Pellet treatment increased all plant growth parameters (height, stem diameter, leaf number, and fresh and dry weight) for both beans and maize. The dry weight of beans (C₃ plant) and maize (C₄ plant) increased by 92.9 and 146.4%, respectively in an 8.3 g kg^-1 pot. The soil physical condition was stabilized by the high carbon content of biochar and the improvement of soil coagulation between PAM and moringa. This had a positive effect on the C₄ plant. The findings of this study indicate that if the soil amendments are properly mixed and applied based, they will improve soil stability and plant productivity.

Impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on emergency department utilization patterns in South Korea: A retrospective observational study

The purpose of analyzing changes in the use of emergency departments (EDs) was to better understand how to use ED resources efficiently during infectious disease outbreaks.Our study was a retrospective observational study. We analyzed the patterns of visits of adult and pediatric patients to separate EDs during 2020 coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) outbreak to know the changes in the ED utilization. We collected the patient's demographics and time of visit, patients' acuity level at triage, cause of visit, transportation used, disposition, symptom to visit time, length of stay, and top 10 most common complaints. We compared pediatric and adult EDs before and after COVID-19.The total number of patients who visited the EDs was 197,152 over 3 years. During the COVID-19 outbreak in 2020, the number of visits decreased significantly, especially the number of pediatric patients. The number of ED visits decreased in correlation with a surge in the number of confirmed COVID patients. The proportion of severe cases in pediatric emergency department (PED) visits increased, but there was no difference in adult emergency department. The number of hospitalized PED patients increased, and the number of hospitalized adult emergency department patients decreased. However, both types of ED patients increased in intensive care unit hospitalizations, proportion of deaths, and use of ambulances. The proportion of trauma patients in the PED increased significantly (P  < .001). The time from symptom onset to ED visit time was reduced for patients. The ED length of stay increased in adults, and decreased for pediatric patients.COVID-19 brought about many changes to ED utilization. A greater reduction in ED utilization occurred in pediatric patients compared to adult patients. Our study showed changes in the number and characteristics of patients visiting the ED during the COVID-19 period compared to 2018 and 2019.

Relation of Poor Handgrip Strength or Slow Walking Pace to Risk of Myocardial Infarction and Fatality

We aimed to investigate a causal effect of functional sarcopenia status, including poor handgrip strength and slow walking pace, on cardiovascular diseases. This study was an observational cohort study including observational analysis and Mendelian randomization. We studied the UK Biobank prospective cohort (n = 324,486) for observational analysis with poor handgrip strength or self-reported slow walking pace as the exposures, investigating risk of myocardial infarction or mortality. Genetic instruments for the exposures were developed in 337,138 individuals of white British ancestries, and coronary artery disease outcome (60,801 cases/123,504 controls) from the independent CARDIoGRAMplustC4D cohort was studied by two-sample Mendelian randomization. The findings were replicated by one-sample analysis by polygenic risk score analysis within the UK Biobank. Both slow walking pace and poor handgrip strength were significantly associated with higher risks of incident myocardial infarction and mortality, particularly from cardiovascular deaths, in the observational investigation. Genetically predicted poor handgrip strength (odds ratio: 1.128 [1.041 to 1.222]) and slow walking pace (odds ratio: 1.171 [1.022 to 1.342]) showed causal effects on the coronary artery disease risks in the independent cohort. The results were again identified by the one-sample Mendelian randomization, as the higher polygenic risk score for poor handgrip strength and slow walking pace was associated with a higher risk of mortality. In conclusion, this study supports the causal effects of slow walking pace and poor handgrip strength on the risks of cardiovascular disease and mortality. The functional sarcopenia status are targetable causative factors for interventions aiming to reduce risks of cardiovascular disease or mortality.

Red blood cell distribution width as a predictor of mortality among patients regularly visiting the nephrology outpatient clinic

The association between increased red blood cell distribution width (RDW) and mortality among patients treated on an outpatient basis in the nephrology outpatient clinic is unclear. Therefore, our study aimed to investigate the association between baseline and time-averaged RDW and mortality risk in patients treated in our nephrology outpatient clinic. Our multi-center retrospective analysis was based on data of 16,417 outpatient nephrology patients with available baseline renal function and RWD values. The median baseline RDW was 13.0% (range, 10.0–32.1%). The high-RDW group was defined as the top quartile (≥ 13.8%, n = 4302). The crude mortality rate was 15.0% (n = 1806) at a median follow-up of 127.5 months. From the results of the multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model adjusted for covariates, including eGFR, hemoglobin, and factors of anemia treatment, patients with a high time-averaged RDW had increased mortality risk (adjusted hazard ratio, 1.505; 95% confidence interval, 1.326–1.708; P < 0.001), irrespective of sex, presence of anemia, and chronic kidney disease, except in individuals aged < 45 years. Thus, increased baseline and time-averaged RDW were significantly associated with increased mortality in patients aged > 45 years treated on an outpatient basis in the nephrology clinic.

Atrial fibrillation and kidney function: a bidirectional Mendelian randomization study

AIMS

The aim of this study was to investigate the causal effects between atrial fibrillation (AF) and kidney function.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a bidirectional summary-level Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis implementing the results from a large-scale genome-wide association study for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) by the CKDGen (N = 765 348) and AF (N = 588 190) to identify genetic instruments. The inverse variance weighted method was the main MR method used. For replication, an allele score-based MR was performed by individual-level data within a UK Biobank cohort of white British ancestry individuals (N = 337 138). A genetic predisposition to AF was significantly associated with decreased eGFR [for log-eGFR, beta -0.003 (standard error, 0.0005), P < 0.001] and increased risk of chronic kidney disease [beta 0.059 (0.0126), P < 0.001]. The significance remained in MR sensitivity analyses and the causal estimates were consistent when we limited the analysis to individuals of European ancestry. Genetically predicted eGFR did not show a significant association with the risk of AF [beta -0.366 (0.275), P = 0.183]. The results were similar in allele score-based MR, as allele score for AF was significantly associated with reduced eGFR [for continuous eGFR, beta -0.079 (0.021), P < 0.001], but allele score for eGFR did not show a significant association with risk of AF [beta -0.005 (0.008), P = 0.530].

CONCLUSIONS

Our study supports that AF is a causal risk factor for kidney function impairment. However, an effect of kidney function on AF was not identified in this study.

Machine learning model to predict hypotension after starting continuous renal replacement therapy

Hypotension after starting continuous renal replacement therapy (CRRT) is associated with worse outcomes compared with normotension, but it is difficult to predict because several factors have interactive and complex effects on the risk. The present study applied machine learning algorithms to develop models to predict hypotension after initiating CRRT. Among 2349 adult patients who started CRRT due to acute kidney injury, 70% and 30% were randomly assigned into the training and testing sets, respectively. Hypotension was defined as a reduction in mean arterial pressure (MAP) ≥ 20 mmHg from the initial value within 6 h. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) in machine learning models, such as support vector machine (SVM), deep neural network (DNN), light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), and extreme gradient boosting machine (XGB) were compared with those in disease-severity scores such as the Sequential Organ Failure Assessment and Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II. The XGB model showed the highest AUROC (0.828 [0.796-0.861]), and the DNN and LGBM models followed with AUROCs of 0.822 (0.789-0.856) and 0.813 (0.780-0.847), respectively; all machine learning AUROC values were higher than those obtained from disease-severity scores (AUROCs < 0.6). Although other definitions of hypotension were used such as a reduction of MAP ≥ 30 mmHg or a reduction occurring within 1 h, the AUROCs of machine learning models were higher than those of disease-severity scores. Machine learning models successfully predict hypotension after starting CRRT and can serve as the basis of systems to predict hypotension before starting CRRT.

Machine learning-based prediction of acute kidney injury after nephrectomy in patients with renal cell carcinoma

The precise prediction of acute kidney injury (AKI) after nephrectomy for renal cell carcinoma (RCC) is an important issue because of its relationship with subsequent kidney dysfunction and high mortality. Herein we addressed whether machine learning (ML) algorithms could predict postoperative AKI risk better than conventional logistic regression (LR) models. A total of 4104 RCC patients who had undergone unilateral nephrectomy from January 2003 to December 2017 were reviewed. ML models such as support vector machine, random forest, extreme gradient boosting, and light gradient boosting machine (LightGBM) were developed, and their performance based on the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, accuracy, and F1 score was compared with that of the LR-based scoring model. Postoperative AKI developed in 1167 patients (28.4%). All the ML models had higher performance index values than the LR-based scoring model. Among them, the LightGBM model had the highest value of 0.810 (0.783-0.837). The decision curve analysis demonstrated a greater net benefit of the ML models than the LR-based scoring model over all the ranges of threshold probabilities. The application of ML algorithms improves the predictability of AKI after nephrectomy for RCC, and these models perform better than conventional LR-based models.

Causal linkage between adult height and kidney function: An integrated population-scale observational analysis and Mendelian randomization study

As adult height is linked to various health outcomes, further investigation of its causal effects on kidney function later in life is warranted. This study involved a cross-sectional observational analysis and summary-level Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis. First, the observational association between height and estimated GFR determined by creatinine (eGFRcreatinine) or cystatin C (eGFRcystatinC) was investigated in 467,182 individuals aged 40-69 using UK Biobank. Second, the genetic instrument for adult height, as reported by the GIANT consortium, was implemented, and summary-level MR of eGFRcreatinine and CKDcreatinine in a CKDGen genome-wide association study was performed (N = 567,460), with multivariable MR being adjusted for the effects of genetic predisposition on body mass index. To replicate the findings, additional two-sample MR using the summary statistics of eGFRcystatinC and CKDcystatinC in UK Biobank was performed (N = 321,405). In observational analysis, adult height was inversely associated with both eGFRcreatinine (per 1 SD, adjusted beta -1.039, standard error 0.129, P < 0.001) and eGFRcystatinC (adjusted beta -1.769, standard error 0.161, P < 0.001) in a multivariable model adjusted for clinicodemographic, anthropometric, metabolic, and social factors. Moreover, multivariable summary-level MR showed that a taller genetically predicted adult height was causally linked to a lower log-eGFRcreatinine (adjusted beta -0.007, standard error 0.001, P < 0.001) and a higher risk of CKDcreatinine (adjusted beta 0.083, standard error 0.019, P < 0.001). Other pleiotropy-robust sensitivity MR analysis results supported the findings. In addition, similar results were obtained by two-sample MR of eGFRcystatinC (adjusted beta -1.303, standard error 0.140, P < 0.001) and CKDcystatinC (adjusted beta 0.153, standard error 0.025, P < 0.001) in UK Biobank. In conclusion, the results of this study suggest that a taller adult height is causally linked to worse kidney function in middle-aged to elderly individuals, independent of the effect of body mass index.

Causal Effects of Positive Affect, Life Satisfaction, Depressive Symptoms, and Neuroticism on Kidney Function: A Mendelian Randomization Study

BACKGROUND

Further investigation of the causal effects of psychologic wellbeing on kidney function is warranted.

METHODS

In this Mendelian randomization (MR) study, genetic instruments for positive affect, life satisfaction, depressive symptoms, and neuroticism were introduced from a previous genome-wide association study meta-analysis of European individuals. Summary-level MR was performed using the CKDGen data of European ancestry (n=567,460), and additional allele score-based MR was performed in the individual-level data of White British UK Biobank participants (n=321,024).

RESULTS

In summary-level MR with the CKDGen data, depressive symptoms were a significant causative factor for kidney function impairment (CKD OR, 1.45; 95% confidence interval, 1.07 to 1.96; eGFR change [%] beta -2.18; 95% confidence interval, -3.61 to -0.72) and pleiotropy-robust sensitivity analysis results supported the causal estimates. A genetic predisposition for positive affect was significantly associated with better kidney function (CKD OR, 0.69; 95% confidence interval, 0.52 to 0.91), eGFR change [%] beta 1.50; 95% confidence interval, 0.09 to 2.93) and sensitivity MR analysis results supported the finding for CKD outcome, but was nonsignificant for eGFR. Life satisfaction and neuroticism exposures showed nonsignificant causal estimates. In the UK Biobank with covariate-adjusted allele score MR analysis, allele scores for positive affect and life satisfaction were causally associated with reduced risk of CKD and higher eGFR. In contrast, neuroticism allele score was associated with increased risk of CKD and lower eGFR, and depressive symptoms allele score was associated with lower eGFR, but showed nonsignificant association with CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

Health care providers in the nephrology field should be aware of the causal linkage between psychologic wellbeing and kidney function.

Observational or Genetically Predicted Higher Vegetable Intake and Kidney Function Impairment: An Integrated Population-Scale Cross-Sectional Analysis and Mendelian Randomization Study

BACKGROUND

Further exploration of the possible effects of vegetable intake on kidney function is warranted.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to study the causality of the association between vegetable intake and kidney function by implementing Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

METHODS

This study comprised a cross-sectional dietary investigation using UK Biobank data and MR analysis. For the cross-sectional investigation, 432,732 participants aged 40-69 y from the UK Biobank cohort were included. Self-reported vegetable intake was the exposure, and the outcomes were the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and chronic kidney disease (CKD). Next, we included 337,138 participants of white British ancestry in the UK Biobank, and a genome-wide association study (GWAS) was performed to generate a genetic instrument. For MR, we first performed polygenic score (PGS)-based 1-sample MR. In addition, 2-sample MR was performed with CKDGen GWAS for kidney function traits, and the inverse variance weighted method was the main MR method.

RESULTS

Higher vegetable intake was cross-sectionally associated with a higher eGFR (per heaped tablespoon increase; β: 0.154; 95% CI: 0.144, 0.165) and lower odds of CKD (OR: 0.975; 95% CI: 0.968, 0.982). A PGS for vegetable intake was significantly associated with a higher eGFR [per ordinal category increase (0, 1-3, 4-6, ≥7 tablespoons per day); β: 4.435; 95% CI: 2.337, 6.533], but the association with CKD remained nonsignificant (OR: 0.468; 95% CI: 0.143, 1.535). In the 2-sample MR, the causal estimates indicated that a higher genetically predicted vegetable intake was associated with a higher eGFR (percent change; β: 3.071; 95% CI: 0.602, 0.560) but nonsignificantly associated with the risk of CKD (OR: 0.560; 95% CI: 0.289, 1.083) in the European ancestry data from the CKDGen.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that higher vegetable intake may have a causal effect on higher eGFRs in the European population.