A population-based study of ethnicity and breast cancer stage at diagnosis in Ontario

BACKGROUND

Breast cancer stage at diagnosis is an important predictor of survival. Our goal was to compare breast cancer stage at diagnosis (by American Joint Committee on Cancer criteria) in Chinese and South Asian women with stage at diagnosis in the remaining general population in Ontario.

METHODS

We used the Ontario population-based cancer registry to identify all women diagnosed with breast cancer during 2005-2010, and we applied a validated surname algorithm to identify South Asian and Chinese women. We used logistic regression to compare, for Chinese or South Asian women and for the remaining general population, the frequency of diagnoses at stage ii compared with stage i and stages ii-iv compared with stage i.

RESULTS

The registry search identified 1304 Chinese women, 705 South Asian women, and 39,287 women in the remaining general population. The Chinese and South Asian populations were younger than the remaining population (mean: 54, 57, and 61 years respectively). Adjusted for age, South Asian women were more often diagnosed with breast cancer at stage ii than at stage i [odds ratio (or): 1.28; 95% confidence interval (ci): 1.08 to 1.51] or at stages ii-iv than at stage i (or: 1.27; 95% ci: 1.08 to 1.48); Chinese women were less likely to be diagnosed at stage ii than at stage i (or: 0.82; 95% ci: 0.72 to 0.92) or at stages ii-iv than at stage i (or: 0.73; 95% ci: 0.65 to 0.82).

CONCLUSIONS

Breast cancers were diagnosed at a later stage in South Asian women and at an earlier stage in Chinese women than in the remaining population. A more detailed analysis of ethnocultural factors influencing breast screening uptake, retention, and care-seeking behavior might be needed to help inform and evaluate tailored health promotion activities.

Evidence that insulin signalling in gonadotrophin-releasing hormone and kisspeptin neurones does not play an essential role in metabolic regulation of fertility in mice

Insulin in the brain plays an important role in regulating reproductive function, as demonstrated via conditional brain-specific insulin receptor (Insr) deletion (knockout). However, the specific neuronal target cells mediating the central effects of insulin on the reproductive axis remain unidentified. We first investigated whether insulin can act via direct effects on gonadotrophin-releasing hormone (GnRH) neurones. After clearly detecting Insr mRNA in an immunopurified GnRH cell fraction, we confirmed the presence of insulin receptor protein (InsR) in approximately 82% of GnRH neurones using dual-label immunohistochemistry. However, we did not observe any insulin-induced phospho-Akt (pAkt) or phospho-extracellular-signal-regulated kinase 1/2 in GnRH neurones, and therefore we investigated whether insulin signals via kisspeptin neurones to modulate GnRH release. Using dual-label immunohistochemistry, InsRs were detected only in approximately 5% of kisspeptin-immunoreactive cells. Insulin-induced pAkt was not observed in any kisspeptin-immunoreactive cells in either the rostral periventricular region of the third ventricle or arcuate nucleus in response to 200 mU of insulin treatment, although a more pharmacological dose (10 U) induced pronounced (> 20%) pAkt-kisspeptin coexpression in both regions. To confirm that insulin signalling via kisspeptin neurones does not critically modulate reproductive function, we generated kisspeptin-specific InsR knockout (KIRKO) mice and assessed multiple reproductive and metabolic parameters. No significant differences in puberty onset, oestrous cyclicity or reproductive competency were observed in the female or male KIRKO mice compared to their control littermates. However, significantly decreased fasting insulin (P < 0.05) and a nonsignificant trend towards reduced body weight were observed in male KIRKO mice. Thus, InsR signalling in kisspeptin cells is not critical for puberty onset or reproductive competency, although it may have a small metabolic effect in males.

Modelling preventive effectiveness to estimate the equity tipping point: at what coverage can individual preventive interventions reduce socioeconomic disparities in diabetes risk?

INTRODUCTION

Most individual preventive therapies potentially narrow or widen health disparities depending on the difference in community effectiveness across socioeconomic position (SEP). The equity tipping point (defined as the point at which health disparities become larger) can be calculated by varying components of community effectiveness such as baseline risk of disease, intervention coverage and/or intervention efficacy across SEP.

METHODS

We used a simple modelling approach to estimate the community effectiveness of diabetes prevention across SEP in Canada under different scenarios of intervention coverage.

RESULTS

Five-year baseline diabetes risk differed between the lowest and highest income groups by 1.76%. Assuming complete coverage across all income groups, the difference was reduced to 0.90% (144 000 cases prevented) with lifestyle interventions and 1.24% (88 100 cases prevented) with pharmacotherapy. The equity tipping point was estimated to be a coverage difference of 30% for preventive interventions (100% and 70% coverage among the highest and lowest income earners, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Disparities in diabetes risk could be measurably reduced if existing interventions were equally adopted across SEP. However, disparities in coverage could lead to increased inequity in risk. Simple modelling approaches can be used to examine the community effectiveness of individual preventive interventions and their potential to reduce (or increase) disparities. The equity tipping point can be used as a critical threshold for disparities analyses.

Benzodiazepine drug use and adverse respiratory outcomes among older adults with COPD

Our purpose was to evaluate the association of new benzodiazepine use relative to non-use with adverse clinical respiratory outcomes among older adults with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD). This was a retrospective population-based cohort study of Ontario, Canada, residents between 2003 and 2010. A validated algorithm was applied to health administrative data to identify adults aged 66 years and older with COPD. Relative risks (RRs) of several clinically important respiratory outcomes were examined within 30 days of incident benzodiazepine use compared with non-use, applying propensity score matching. New benzodiazepine users were at significantly higher risk for outpatient respiratory exacerbations (RR 1.45, 95% CI 1.36-1.54) and emergency room visits for COPD or pneumonia (RR 1.92, 95% CI 1.69-2.18) compared to non-users. Risk of hospitalisation for COPD or pneumonia was also increased in benzodiazepine users, but was nonsignificant (RR 1.09, 95% CI 1.00-1.20). There were no significant differences in intensive care unit admissions between the two groups and all-cause mortality was slightly lower among new versus non-users. Benzodiazepines were associated with increased risk for several serious adverse respiratory outcomes among older adults with COPD. The findings suggest that decisions to use benzodiazepines in older patients with COPD need to consider potential adverse respiratory outcomes.

Evidence that hypothalamic RFamide related peptide-3 neurones are not leptin-responsive in mice and rats

Leptin, a permissive hormonal regulator of fertility, provides information about the body's energy reserves to the hypothalamic gonadotrophin-releasing hormone (GnRH) neuronal system that drives reproduction. Leptin does not directly act on GnRH neurones, and the neuronal pathways that it uses remain unclear. RFamide-related peptide-3 (RFRP-3) neurones project to GnRH neurones and primarily inhibit their activity. We tested whether leptin could act via RFRP-3 neurones to potentially modulate GnRH activity. First, the effects of leptin deficiency or high-fat diet-induced obesity on RFRP-3 cell numbers and gene expression were assessed in male and female mice. There was no significant difference in Rfrp mRNA levels or RFRP-3-immunoreactive cell counts in wild-type versus leptin-deficient ob/ob animals, or in low-fat versus high-fat diet fed wild-type mice. Second, the presence of leptin-induced signalling in RFRP-3 neurones was examined in male and female wild-type mice and rats. Dual label immunohistochemistry revealed leptin-induced phosphorylated signal transducer and activator of transcription-3 in close proximity to RFRP-3 neurones, although there was very little (2-13%) colocalisation and no significant differences between vehicle and leptin-treated animals. Furthermore, we were unable to detect leptin receptor mRNA in a semi-purified RFRP-3 cell preparation. Because GABA neurones form critical leptin-responsive GnRH inputs, we also determined whether RFRP-3 and GABA cells were colocalised. No such colocalisation was detected. These results support the concept that leptin has little or no effects on RFRP-3 neurones, and that these neurones are unlikely to be an important neuronal pathway for the metabolic regulation of fertility by leptin.

Effects of dementia on postoperative outcomes of older adults with hip fractures: a population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association between dementia and postoperative outcomes of older adults with hip fractures.

DESIGN

Population-based, retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Province of Ontario, Canada.

PARTICIPANTS

All individuals with hip fractures who underwent hip fracture surgery in Ontario, Canada between April 1, 2003 and March 31, 2010 were identified. Physician-diagnosed dementia, prior to hip fracture, was identified using a diagnostic algorithm in the administrative databases.

MEASUREMENTS

The preoperative characteristics of older adults with and without dementia were compared separately for individuals admitted to hospital from community or long-term care (LTC). Multivariable regression was used to compare postoperative health service utilization, time with LTC admission, and mortality for individuals with and without dementia.

RESULTS

A total of 45,602 older adults had hip fractures and individuals with dementia accounted for 23.9% and 83.5% of all hip fractures from the community and LTC settings, respectively. Compared with those without dementia, individuals with dementia were less likely to be admitted to rehabilitation facilities. Among community-dwelling older adults, dementia was associated with an increased risk of LTC admission [hazard ratio (HR) = 2.49, 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.38-2.61, P < .0001]. Dementia was also associated with a higher mortality for older adults from community (HR = 1.47, 95% CI: 1.41-1.52, P < .0001) and LTC (HR = 1.10; 95% CI: 1.02-1.18, P = .005) settings.

CONCLUSIONS

Dementia is common among older adults with hip fractures and associated with poor prognosis following hip fracture surgery. Specialized services targeting the growing number of older adults with dementia may help to prevent hip fractures and optimize postoperative care for this vulnerable population.

Influenza and seasonal patterns of hospital use by older adults in long-term care and community settings in Ontario, Canada

OBJECTIVES

We compared seasonal influenza hospital use among older adults in long-term care (LTC) and community settings.

METHODS

We used provincial administrative data from Ontario to identify all emergency department (ED) visits and hospital admissions for pneumonia and influenza among adults older than 65 years between 2002 and 2008. We used sentinel laboratory reports to define influenza and summer seasons and estimated mean annual event rates and influenza-associated rates.

RESULTS

Mean annual pneumonia and influenza ED visit rates were higher in LTC than the community (rate ratio [RR] for influenza season = 3.9; 95% confidence interval [CI] = 3.8, 4.0; for summer = 4.9; 95% CI = 4.8, 5.1) but this was attenuated in influenza-associated rates (RR = 2.4; 95% CI = 2.1, 2.8). The proportion of pneumonia and influenza ED visits attributable to seasonal influenza was 17% (15%-20%) in LTC and 28% (27%-29%) in the community. Results for hospital admissions were comparable.

CONCLUSIONS

We found high rates of hospital use from LTC but evidence of lower impact of circulating influenza in the community. This differential impact of circulating influenza between the 2 environments may result from different influenza control policies.

Effects of impairment in activities of daily living on predicting mortality following hip fracture surgery in studies using administrative healthcare databases

BACKGROUND

Impairment in activities of daily living (ADL) is an important predictor of outcomes although many administrative databases lack information on ADL function. We evaluated the impact of ADL function on predicting postoperative mortality among older adults with hip fractures in Ontario, Canada.

METHODS

Sociodemographic and medical correlates of ADL impairment were first identified in a population of older adults with hip fractures who had ADL information available prior to hip fracture. A logistic regression model was developed to predict 360-day postoperative mortality and the predictive ability of this model were compared when ADL impairment was included or omitted from the model.

RESULTS

The study sample (N = 1,329) had a mean age of 85.2 years, were 72.8% female and the majority resided in long-term care (78.5%). Overall, 36.4% of individuals died within 360 days of surgery. After controlling for age, sex, medical comorbidity and medical conditions correlated with ADL impairment, addition of ADL measures improved the logistic regression model for predicting 360 day mortality (AIC = 1706.9 vs. 1695.0; c -statistic = 0.65 vs 0.67; difference in - 2 log likelihood ratios: χ(2) = 16.9, p = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Direct measures of ADL impairment provides additional prognostic information on mortality for older adults with hip fractures even after controlling for medical comorbidity. Observational studies using administrative databases without measures of ADLs may be potentially prone to confounding and bias and case-mix adjustment for hip fracture outcomes should include ADL measures where these are available.

Maternal and newborn outcomes among women with schizophrenia: a retrospective population-based cohort study

OBJECTIVE

More women with schizophrenia are becoming pregnant, such that contemporary data are needed about maternal and newborn outcomes in this potentially vulnerable group. We aimed to quantify maternal and newborn health outcomes among women with schizophrenia.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Population based in Ontario, Canada, from 2002 to 2011.

POPULATION

Ontario women aged 15-49 years who gave birth to a liveborn or stillborn singleton infant.

METHODS

Women with schizophrenia (n = 1391) were identified based on either an inpatient diagnosis or two or more outpatient physician service claims for schizophrenia within 5 years prior to conception. The reference group comprised 432 358 women without diagnosed mental illness within the 5 years preceding conception in the index pregnancy.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary maternal outcomes were gestational diabetes mellitus, gestational hypertension, pre-eclampsia/eclampsia, and venous thromboembolism. The primary neonatal outcomes were preterm birth, and small and large birthweight for gestational age (SGA and LGA). Secondary outcomes included additional key perinatal health indicators.

RESULTS

Schizophrenia was associated with a higher risk of pre-eclampsia (adjusted odds ratio, aOR 1.84; 95% confidence interval, 95% CI 1.28-2.66), venous thromboembolism (aOR 1.72, 95% CI 1.04-2.85), preterm birth (aOR 1.75, 95% CI 1.46-2.08), SGA (aOR 1.49, 95% CI 1.19-1.86), and LGA (aOR 1.53, 95% CI 1.17-1.99). Women with schizophrenia also required more intensive hospital resources, including operative delivery and admission to a maternal intensive care unit, paralleled by higher neonatal morbidity.

CONCLUSIONS

Women with schizophrenia are at higher risk of multiple adverse pregnancy outcomes, paralleled by higher neonatal morbidity. Attention should focus on interventions to reduce the identified health disparities.

Kisspeptin neurones do not directly signal to RFRP-3 neurones but RFRP-3 may directly modulate a subset of hypothalamic kisspeptin cells in mice

The neuropeptides kisspeptin (encoded by Kiss1) and RFamide-related peptide-3 (also known as GnIH; encoded by Rfrp) are potent stimulators and inhibitors, respectively, of reproduction. Whether kisspeptin or RFRP-3 might act directly on each other's neuronal populations to indirectly modulate reproductive status is unknown. To examine possible interconnectivity of the kisspeptin and RFRP-3 systems, we performed double-label in situ hybridisation (ISH) for the RFRP-3 receptors, Gpr147 and Gpr74, in hypothalamic Kiss1 neurones of adult male and female mice, as well as double-label ISH for the kisspeptin receptor, Kiss1r, in Rfrp-expressing neurones of the hypothalamic dorsal-medial nucleus (DMN). Only a very small proportion (5-10%) of Kiss1 neurones of the anteroventral periventricular region expressed Gpr147 or Gpr74 in either sex, whereas higher co-expression (approximately 25%) existed in Kiss1 neurones in the arcuate nucleus. Thus, RFRP-3 could signal to a small, primarily arcuate, subset of Kiss1 neurones, a conclusion supported by the finding of approximately 35% of arcuate kisspeptin cells receiving RFRP-3-immunoreactive fibre contacts. By contrast to the former situation, no Rfrp neurones co-expressed Kiss1r in either sex, and Tacr3, the receptor for neurokinin B (NKB; a neuropeptide co-expressed with arcuate kisspeptin neurones) was found in <10% of Rfrp neurones. Moreover, kisspeptin-immunoreactive fibres did not readily appose RFRP-3 cells in either sex, further excluding the likelihood that kisspeptin neurones directly communicate to RFRP-3 neurones. Lastly, despite abundant NKB in the DMN region where RFRP-3 soma reside, NKB was not co-expressed in the majority of Rfrp neurones. Our results suggest that RFRP-3 may modulate a small proportion of kisspeptin-producing neurones in mice, particularly in the arcuate nucleus, whereas kisspeptin neurones are unlikely to have any direct reciprocal actions on RFRP-3 neurones.

Parental broader autism subphenotypes in ASD affected families: relationship to gender, child's symptoms, SSRI treatment, and platelet serotonin

Relationships between parental broader autism phenotype (BAP) scores, gender, selective serotonin reuptake inhibitor (SSRI) treatment, serotonin (5HT) levels, and the child's symptoms were investigated in a family study of autism spectrum disorder (ASD). The Broader Autism Phenotype Questionnaire (BAPQ) was used to measure the BAP of 275 parents. Fathers not taking SSRIs (F-SSRI; n = 115) scored significantly higher on BAP Total and Aloof subscales compared to mothers not receiving treatment (M-SSRI; n = 136.) However, mothers taking SSRIs (M + SSRI; n = 19) scored higher than those not taking medication on BAP Total and Rigid subscales, and they were more likely to be BAPQ Total, Aloof, and Rigid positive. Significant correlations were noted between proband autism symptoms and parental BAPQ scores such that Total, Aloof, and Rigid subscale scores of F-SSRI correlated with proband restricted repetitive behavior (RRB) measures on the ADOS, CRI, and RBS-R. However, only the Aloof subscale score of M + SSRI correlated with proband RRB on the ADOS. The correlation between the BAPQ scores of mothers taking SSRIs and child scores, as well as the increase in BAPQ scores of this group of mothers, requires careful interpretation and further study because correlations would not withstand multiple corrections. As expected by previous research, significant parent-child correlations were observed for 5HT levels. However, 5HT levels were not correlated with behavioral measures. Study results suggest that the expression of the BAP varies not only across parental gender, but also across individuals using psychotropic medication and those who do not.

A systematic review and methodological evaluation of published cost-effectiveness analyses of aromatase inhibitors versus tamoxifen in early stage breast cancer

BACKGROUND

A key priority in developing policies for providing affordable cancer care is measuring the value for money of new therapies using cost-effectiveness analyses (CEAs). For CEA to be useful it should focus on relevant outcomes and include thorough investigation of uncertainty. Randomized controlled trials (RCTs) of five years of aromatase inhibitors (AI) versus five years of tamoxifen in the treatment of post-menopausal women with early stage breast cancer, show benefit of AI in terms of disease free survival (DFS) but not overall survival (OS) and indicate higher risk of fracture with AI. Policy-relevant CEA of AI versus tamoxifen should focus on OS and include analysis of uncertainty over key assumptions.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of published CEAs comparing an AI to tamoxifen. We searched Ovid MEDLINE, EMBASE, PsychINFO, and the Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews without language restrictions. We selected CEAs with outcomes expressed as cost per life year or cost per quality adjusted life year (QALY). We assessed quality using the Neumann checklist. Using structured forms two abstractors collected descriptive information, sources of data, baseline assumptions on effectiveness and adverse events, and recorded approaches to assessing parameter uncertainty, methodological uncertainty, and structural uncertainty.

RESULTS

We identified 1,622 citations and 18 studies met inclusion criteria. All CE estimates assumed a survival benefit for aromatase inhibitors. Twelve studies performed sensitivity analysis on the risk of adverse events and 7 assumed no additional mortality risk with any adverse event. Sub-group analysis was limited; 6 studies examined older women, 2 examined women with low recurrence risk, and 1 examined women with multiple comorbidities.

CONCLUSION

Published CEAs comparing AIs to tamoxifen assumed an OS benefit though none has been shown in RCTs, leading to an overestimate of the cost-effectiveness of AIs. Results of these CEA analyses may be suboptimal for guiding policy.

Incidence of diabetes among postmenopausal breast cancer survivors

AIMS/HYPOTHESIS

Evidence is emerging of an association between breast cancer and diabetes; however, it is uncertain whether diabetes incidence is increased in postmenopausal breast cancer survivors compared with women without breast cancer. The objective of this study was to determine whether postmenopausal women who develop breast cancer have a higher incidence of diabetes than those who do not develop breast cancer.

METHODS

We used population-based data from Ontario, Canada to compare the incidence of diabetes among women with breast cancer, aged 55 years or older, from 1996 to 2008, with that of age-matched women without breast cancer. We used Cox proportional hazard models to estimate the effect of breast cancer on the cause-specific hazard of developing diabetes overall and in the subgroup of women who received adjuvant chemotherapy.

RESULTS

Of 24,976 breast cancer survivors and 124,880 controls, 9.7% developed diabetes over a mean follow-up of 5.8 years. The risk of diabetes among breast cancer survivors compared with women without breast cancer began to increase 2 years after diagnosis (HR 1.07 [95% CI, 1.02, 1.12]), and rose to an HR of 1.21 (95% CI, 1.09, 1.35) after 10 years. Among those who received adjuvant chemotherapy (n = 4,404), risk was highest in the first 2 years after diagnosis (HR 1.24 [95% CI 1.12, 1.38]) and then declined.

CONCLUSIONS/INTERPRETATION

We found a modest increase in the incidence of diabetes among postmenopausal breast cancer survivors that varied over time. In most women the risk began to increase 2 years after cancer diagnosis but the highest risk was in the first 2 years in those who received adjuvant therapy. Our study suggests that greater diabetes screening and prevention strategies among breast cancer survivors may be warranted.

Older men with dementia are at greater risk than women of serious events after initiating antipsychotic therapy

OBJECTIVES

To understand how drug therapy differently affects older women and men.

DESIGN

Population-based, retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Ontario, Canada.

PARTICIPANTS

Twenty-one thousand five hundred twenty-six older adults (13,760 women, 7,766 men) with dementia newly started on oral atypical antipsychotic therapy between April 1, 2007, and March 1, 2010.

MEASUREMENTS

Numbers and rates of serious events. Serious events were defined as a hospital admission or death within 30 days of treatment initiation. Unadjusted and adjusted odds ratios of women and men were compared in the full cohort and in strata based on setting of care, age, Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI), and antipsychotic dose.

RESULTS

Of 21,526 older adults with a median age of 84, 1,889 (8.8%) had a serious event (1,044 women, 7.6%; 845 men, 10.9%). Of these, 363 women (2.6%) and 355 men (4.6%) died. Men were more likely than women to be hospitalized or die during the 30-day follow-up period (adjusted odds ratio = 1.47, 95% confidence interval = 1.33-1.62) and consistently more likely to experience a serious event in each stratum. A gradient of risk according to drug dose was found for the development of a serious event in women and men.

CONCLUSION

The risk of developing a serious event shortly after the initiation of antipsychotic therapy was high in women and men with dementia but was consistently higher in older men. This pattern remained the same in strata based on setting of care, age, CCI, and antipsychotic dose.

Comparative ability of comorbidity classification methods for administrative data to predict outcomes in patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease

PURPOSE

Administrative healthcare databases are used for health services research, comparative effectiveness studies, and measuring quality of care. Adjustment for comorbid illnesses is essential to such studies. Validation of methods to account for comorbid illnesses in administrative data for patients with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) has been limited. Our objective was to compare the ability of the Charlson index, the Elixhauser method, and the Johns Hopkins' Aggregated Diagnosis Groups (ADGs) to predict outcomes in patients with COPD.

METHODS

Retrospective cohorts constructed using population-based administrative data of patients with incident (n = 216,735) and prevalent (n = 638,926) COPD in Ontario, Canada, were divided into derivation and validation datasets. The primary outcome was all-cause death within 1 year. Secondary outcomes included all-cause hospitalization, COPD-specific hospitalization, non-COPD hospitalization, and COPD exacerbations.

RESULTS

In both the incident and prevalent COPD cohorts, the three methods had comparable discrimination for predicting mortality (c-statistics in the validation sample of incident patients of 0.819 for the Charlson method versus 0.822 for the Elixhauser method versus 0.830 for the ADG method). All three methods had lower predictive accuracy for predicting nonfatal outcomes.

CONCLUSIONS

In a disease-specific cohort of COPD patients, all three methods allowed for accurate prediction of mortality, with the Johns Hopkins ADGs having marginally higher discrimination.

Systematic review of bone health in older women treated with aromatase inhibitors for early-stage breast cancer

OBJECTIVES

To review data from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) that evaluate adverse bone outcomes in older women using aromatase inhibitors (AIs) for early-stage hormone receptor-positive breast cancer.

DESIGN

Systematic review.

SETTING

International RCTs referenced in Medline and EMBASE databases through August 1, 2011.

PARTICIPANTS

Postmenopausal women with early-stage hormone receptor-positive breast cancer receiving adjuvant endocrine therapy.

MEASUREMENTS

Fracture rates and changes in bone turnover markers and bone mineral density.

RESULTS

Eleven RCTs were identified. The majority of trials included women with a mean age in the 60s; and women aged 75 and older and 80 and older were excluded from two studies. Fracture rates ranged from 0.9% to 11%, with AIs having a 1.5 times higher risk than tamoxifen or placebo. Fracture data were not systematically collected in many of these trials. In a small subpopulation of women, AIs were associated with higher markers of bone turnover and lower bone density. The relationship between age and fracture was not described.

CONCLUSION

AIs are associated with low bone density and high fracture risk in women with a mean age in their early 60s. There is a paucity of data describing the effect of baseline fracture risk factors, particularly age, and the longer-term effects on bone health in older women. Future research is needed regarding baseline fracture risk, interventions, and long-term effects on bone in this vulnerable population to inform management decisions to optimize AI duration and ensure quality of life after breast cancer.

Association between evidence-based standardized protocols in emergency departments with childhood asthma outcomes: a Canadian population-based study

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether children treated in emergency departments (EDs) with evidence-based standardized protocols (EBSPs) containing evidence-based content and format had lower risk of hospital admission or ED return visit and greater follow-up than children treated in EDs with no standardized protocols in Ontario, Canada.

DESIGN

Retrospective population-based cohort study of children with asthma. We used multivariable logistic regression to estimate risk of outcomes.

SETTING

All EDs in Ontario (N = 146) treating childhood asthma from April 2006 to March 2009.

PARTICIPANTS

Thirty-one thousand one hundred thirty-eight children (aged 2 to 17 years) with asthma. MAIN EXPOSURE Type of standardized protocol (EBSPs, other standardized protocols, or none).

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Hospital admission, high-acuity 7-day return visit to the ED, and 7-day outpatient follow-up visit. RESULTS The final cohort made 46 510 ED visits in 146 EDs. From the index ED visit, 4211 (9.1%) were admitted to the hospital. Of those discharged, 1778 (4.2%) and 7350 (17.4%) had ED return visits and outpatient follow-up visits, respectively. The EBSPs were not associated with hospitalizations, return visits, or follow-up (adjusted odds ratio, 1.17 [95% CI, 0.91-1.49]; adjusted odds ratio, 1.10 [95% CI, 0.86-1.41]; and adjusted odds ratio, 1.08 [95% CI, 0.87-1.35], respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The EBSPs were not associated with improvements in rates of hospital admissions, return visits to the ED, or follow-up. Our findings suggest the need to address gaps linking improved processes of asthma care with outcomes.

Family physicians providing regular care to residents in Ontario long-term care homes: characteristics and practice patterns

OBJECTIVE

To describe the characteristics and practice patterns of family physicians who regularly treat long-term care (LTC) residents in order to inform quality improvement strategies.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study involving a 2005 province-wide census of LTC residents' charts linked to additional health care administrative databases.

SETTING

All LTC homes in Ontario.

PARTICIPANTS

Residents aged 66 years and older (n = 50375) and the family physicians (n = 1190) most responsible for their care.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Distribution of LTC residents across family physicians, and physician demographic characteristics and practice patterns.

RESULTS

The distribution of residents across physicians was highly skewed (median 27 residents, mean 42.5 residents). The care of 90.4% of residents was accounted for by 628 (52.8%) identified physicians. Family physicians practising in LTC facilities were more likely to be older (mean age 52.4 years vs 48.2 years, P < .001) and male (82.4% vs 61.5%, P < .001) than other family physicians. Urban physicians who provided care to LTC residents had bigger LTC practices than rural LTC physicians did (median 50 residents vs median 12 residents).

CONCLUSION

About 600 family physicians are responsible for the regular care of more than 90% of LTC residents in Ontario and quality improvement efforts could be aimed at this relatively small group of physicians. Half of the urban physicians who practise in LTC homes are responsible for 50 or more LTC residents. This might represent a key part of their overall practice.

Quality measures for medication continuity in long-term care facilities, using a structured panel process

BACKGROUND

Patient transitions, such as transfers between acute and long-term care (LTC), aposare times when the likelihood of communication failure between healthcare providers is increased. Employing appropriate health quality indicators helps support improvement efforts. To date, few quality indicators that evaluate the continuity of medication use between acute and LTC facilities have been described.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of the study was to develop quality indicators signalling the potential discontinuation of previously prescribed medications for chronic diseases when residents return to LTC following an acute-care hospitalization.

METHODS

A literature review for the selection of potential indicators was conducted, followed by a three-step process: (i) initial screening round that rated the indicators; (ii) a 1-day in-person consensus meeting in which the panel refined the parameters regarding the proposed quality indicators; and (iii) a final anonymous survey that assessed consensus among panel members. The study setting was a survey and consensus meeting with national representation, held in Toronto, ON, Canada. A ten-member expert panel with broad geographical and clinical representation participated and was made up of registered nurses, physicians, pharmacists, policy makers and academic researchers. A 75% agreement threshold was required for consensus, as measured on a 9-point Likert-type scale. The panel evaluated quality indicators for effectiveness, relevance and feasibility, using currently available healthcare administrative data.

RESULTS

The panel reached consensus on four quality indicators to assess the unintentional discontinuation of medications prescribed to LTC residents for chronic diseases upon return to LTC after an acute-care admission. The selected indicators were (i) HMG-CoA reductase inhibitors (statins) for all indications; (ii) anticoagulants (e.g. warfarin) for the indication of atrial fibrillation; (iii) proton-pump inhibitors for the indication of post-gastrointestinal haemorrhage; and (iv) thyroxine for all indications. The panel identified three additional treatment groups for future consideration as quality indicators: anti-Parkinson's disease, anti-diabetes and antidepressant medications.

CONCLUSION

A novel set of quality indicators has been developed to evaluate medication continuity between acute and LTC facilities. The adoption and implementation of these indicators in clinical practice can help inform quality improvement efforts at various local and regional levels.

Using the Johns Hopkins' Aggregated Diagnosis Groups (ADGs) to predict 1-year mortality in population-based cohorts of patients with diabetes in Ontario, Canada

AIMS

There are limited validated methods to ascertain comorbidities for risk adjustment in ambulatory populations of patients with diabetes using administrative health-care databases. The objective was to examine the ability of the Johns Hopkins' Aggregated Diagnosis Groups to predict mortality in population-based ambulatory samples of both incident and prevalent subjects with diabetes.

METHODS

Retrospective cohorts constructed using population-based administrative data. The incident cohort consisted of all 346,297 subjects diagnosed with diabetes between 1 April 2004 and 31 March 2008. The prevalent cohort consisted of all 879,849 subjects with pre-existing diabetes on 1 January, 2007. The outcome was death within 1 year of the subject's index date.

RESULTS

A logistic regression model consisting of age, sex and indicator variables for 22 of the 32 Johns Hopkins' Aggregated Diagnosis Group categories had excellent discrimination for predicting mortality in incident diabetes patients: the c-statistic was 0.87 in an independent validation sample. A similar model had excellent discrimination for predicting mortality in prevalent diabetes patients: the c-statistic was 0.84 in an independent validation sample. Both models demonstrated very good calibration, denoting good agreement between observed and predicted mortality across the range of predicted mortality in which the large majority of subjects lay. For comparative purposes, regression models incorporating the Charlson comorbidity index, age and sex, age and sex, and age alone had poorer discrimination than the model that incorporated the Johns Hopkins' Aggregated Diagnosis Groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Logistical regression models using age, sex and the John Hopkins' Aggregated Diagnosis Groups were able to accurately predict 1-year mortality in population-based samples of patients with diabetes.

Neighborhood income and stroke care and outcomes

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate factors that may contribute to the increased stroke case fatality rates observed in individuals from low-income areas.

METHODS

We conducted a cohort study on a population-based sample of all patients with stroke or TIA seen at 153 acute care hospitals in the province of Ontario, Canada, between April 1, 2002, and March 31, 2003, and April 1, 2004, and March 31, 2005. Socioeconomic status measured as income quintiles was imputed from median neighborhood income. In the study sample of 7,816 patients we determined 1-year mortality by grouped income quintile and used multivariable analyses to assess whether differences in survival were explained by cardiovascular risk factors, stroke severity, stroke management, or other prognostic factors.

RESULTS

There was no significant gradient across income groups for stroke severity or stroke management. However, 1-year mortality rates were higher in those from the lowest income group compared to those from the highest income group, even after adjustment for age, sex, stroke type and severity, comorbid conditions, hospital and physician characteristics, and processes of care (adjusted hazard ratio for low- vs high-income groups, 1.18; 95 confidence interval 1.03 to 1.29).

CONCLUSIONS

In Ontario, 1-year survival rates after an index stroke are higher for those from the richest compared to the least wealthy areas, and this is only partly explained by age, sex, comorbid conditions, and other baseline risk factors.

Temporal trends in general and age-specific fertility rates among women with schizophrenia (1996-2009): a population-based study in Ontario, Canada

PURPOSE

There is substantial evidence that women with schizophrenia in many parts of the world have fewer children than their peers. Our objective was to analyze recent trends in general and age-specific fertility rates among women with schizophrenia in Ontario, Canada.

METHODS

We conducted a repeated cross-sectional population-based study from 1996 to 2009 using population-based linked administrative databases for the entire province of Ontario. Women aged 15-49 years were classified into schizophrenia and non-schizophrenia groups in each successive 12-month period. Annual general and age-specific fertility rates were derived.

RESULTS

The general fertility rate (GFR) among women with schizophrenia was 1.16 times higher in 2007-2009 than in 1996-1998 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.04-1.31). The annual GFR ratio of women with vs. without schizophrenia was 0.41 (95% CI 0.36-0.47) in 2009, which was slightly higher than the same ratio in 1996 of 0.30 (95% CI 0.25-0.35). Annual age-specific fertility rates (ASFR) increased over time among women with schizophrenia aged 20-24, 25-29, 35-39 and 40-44 years, but the increase was not always statistically significant. Among women aged 20-24 years, the ASFR ratio in women with vs. without schizophrenia was not significant by the end of the study period (0.93, 95% CI 0.70-1.22).

CONCLUSIONS

The general fertility rate among women with schizophrenia appears to have increased modestly over the past 13 years. Clinical care and health policy should consider new strategies that focus on the mental health of women with schizophrenia as new mothers, while optimizing healthy pregnancies and child rearing.