Social frailty provides additive prognostic impact on one-year outcome in aged patients with congestive heart failure

Background

Frailty is associated with multisystem declines in physiologic reserve and increased vulnerability to stressors, resulting in increased risks of adverse clinical outcomes in patients with heart failure (HF). Although frailty is conceptualized as an accumulation of deficits in multiple areas, most of the studies have focused mainly on physical frailty, and the social domains is one of the least investigated area.

Objectives

We prospectively evaluated the incidence and prognostic implication of social frailty (SF) in older patients with HF.

Methods

The FRAGILE-HF is a multicenter, prospective cohort study including patients hospitalized for HF and aged ≥65 years old. We defined SF by Makizako's 5 items, which are 5 questions proposed and validated to be associated with future disability. The primary endpoint of this study was a composite of death from any cause and rehospitalization due to HF. The impact of SF on all-cause mortality alone was also evaluated.

Results

Among 1,240 hospitalized HF patients, 5 simple questions revealed that 825 (66.5%) were in SF. During 1-year observation period after the discharge, the combined endpoint was observed in 399 (32.2%) patients, and 145 (11.7%) patients died. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that SF patients had significantly higher rates of both the combined endpoint and all-cause mortality than those without SF (Log-rank test: p<0.05 for both, Figures). Moreover, SF remained independently associated with higher event rate of the combined endpoint (hazard ratio: 1.30; 95% confidence interval: 1.02 to 1.66; p=0.038) and all-cause mortality (hazard ratio: 1.53; 95% confidence interval: 1.01 to 2.30; p=0.044), even after adjusting for other covariates. Significant incremental prognostic value was shown when information on social frailty was added to known risk factors for combined endpoint (NRI: 0.189, 95% confidence interval: 0.063–0.316, p=0.003) and all-cause mortality (NRI: 0.234, 95% confidence interval: 0.073–0.395, p=0.004).

Conclusions

Among older hospitalized patients with heart failure, two-thirds of the population was with SF. Evaluating SF provides additive prognostic information in elderly patients with heart failure.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding source: Private grant(s) and/or Sponsorship. Main funding source(s): Novartis Pharma Research Grants, Japan Heart Foundation Research Grant

New physician specialty training system impact on distribution of trainees in Japan

OBJECTIVES

The problem of uneven distribution of medical services and inequitable distribution of physicians is drawing much attention worldwide. Revealing how changes in the specialty training system in Japan have affected the distribution of doctors could help us understand this problem. In 2018, a new and standardized specialty training system was implemented by the Japanese Medical Specialty Board, which is recognized by the Ministry of Health, Labor and Welfare. The purpose of this study was to investigate how this new system has affected the geographical distribution of doctors commencing specialty training (trainees) and choice of specialty in Japan.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective observational study.

METHODS

The change in the number of trainees between the control period (2012-2014) and 2018 was investigated, taking into account the prefecture and specialty selected. Population, the proportion of residents aged 65 years or older (aging rate), and the total number of overall doctors in each prefecture were considered as the background characteristics of each prefecture. We created a Lorenz curve and calculated the Gini coefficient for the distribution of trainees.

RESULTS

In 2018, the number of trainees per 100,000 population increased to 6.6 nationwide compared with 5.5 during the control period. The number of trainees per 100,000 population in 2018 increased in prefectures with a large population of ≧ 2,000,000, a low aging rate (<27%), and a high doctor density (≧ 250 doctors per 100,000 population). The Gini coefficient showed an increase to 0.226 in 2018 compared with only 0.160 during the control period.

CONCLUSIONS

After the implementation of the new training system, there was an increase in the number of doctors enrolling in specialty programs, and the specialties other than internal medicine and surgery have attracted more trainees. Inequality in the distribution of doctors between urban and rural prefectures worsened. This indicates the need to explore new ways of balancing distribution while maintaining optimal opportunities for specialist training.

Final overall survival results of WJTOG3405, a randomized phase III trial comparing gefitinib versus cisplatin with docetaxel as the first-line treatment for patients with stage IIIB/IV or postoperative recurrent EGFR mutation-positive non-small-cell lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Primary analysis of the phase III study WJTOG 3405 demonstrated superiority of progression-free survival (PFS) for gefitinib (G) in patients treated with the epidermal growth factor receptor (EGFR)-tyrosine kinase inhibitor (TKI) gefitinib compared with cisplatin plus docetaxel (CD) as the first-line treatment of stage IIIB/IV or postoperative recurrent EGFR mutation-positive non-small-cell lung cancer. This report presents final overall survival (OS) data.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were randomized between G (250 mg/day orally) and cisplatin (80 mg/m2 intravenously) plus docetaxel (60 mg/m2 i.v.), administered every 21 days for three to six cycles. After the exclusion of 5 patients, 172 patients (86 in each group, modified intention-to-treat population) were included in the survival analysis. OS was re-evaluated using updated data (data cutoff, 30 September 2013; median follow-up time 59.1 months). The Kaplan-Meier method and the log-rank test were used for analysis, and hazard ratios (HRs) for death were calculated using the Cox proportional hazards model.

RESULTS

OS events in the G group and CD group were 68 (79.1%) out of 86 and 59 (68.6%) out of 86, respectively. Median survival time for G and CD were 34.9 and 37.3 months, respectively, with an HR of 1.252 [95% confidence interval (CI): 0.883-1.775, P = 0.2070]. Multivariate analysis identified postoperative recurrence and stage IIIB/IV disease as independent prognostic factors, with an HR of 0.459 (95% CI: 0.312-0.673, P < 0.001). Median survival time (postoperative recurrence versus stage IIIB/IV disease) were 44.5 and 27.5 months in the G group and 45.5 and 32.8 months in the CD group, respectively.

CONCLUSION

G did not show OS benefits over CD as the first-line treatment. OS of patients with postoperative recurrence was better than that of stage IIIB/IV disease, even though both groups had metastatic disease.This study was registered with UMIN (University Hospital Medical Information Network in Japan), number 000000539.

P4516Incremental prognostic values of cognitive impairment diagnosed by mini-mental state examination and mini-cog in older hospitalized patients with heart failure

Introduction

Cognitive impairment (CI) is associated with worse prognosis in patients with heart failure, especially in the elderly; however, its incremental prognostic ability in pre-existing prognostic models has not been well elucidated. Moreover, although some tools have been proposed for evaluating cognitive function, their difference in prognostic prediction has not been explicitly compared.

Methods

A total of 352 heart failure patients aged ≥75 years admitted to three hospitals were evaluated for their cognitive function using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE) and Mini-cog during index hospitalization. We diagnosed CI if MMSE and Mini-cog were ≤23 and ≤2, respectively. The primary endpoint was all-cause death.

Results

The median age of the entire cohort was 85 (IQR: 80–88) years, and 47.7% of the subjects were male. Based on the MMSE and Mini-cog, the CI was diagnosed in 167 (47.4%) and 159 (45.2%) patients, respectively. The two diagnostic tools showed poor to moderate agreement (Cohen's kappa coefficient: 0.37, 95% CI: 0.27–0.47). During the follow-up period of median 346 (IQR: 195–489) days, 53 patients (15.1%) died. Although the Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that CI diagnosed using Mini-cog (CI-MC) was associated with significantly higher mortality (P=0.001), this association was not significant for CI diagnosed using MMSE (CI-MMSE) (P=0.059). On multivariate Cox regression analysis, CI-MMSE and CI-MC were individually associated with worse prognosis in older heart failure patients even after adjustment for Meta-Analysis Global Group in Chronic Heart Failure (MAGGIC) risk model and log B-type natriuretic peptide levels (CI-MMSE, HR: 2.05 [95% CI: 1.16–3.61]; and CI-MC, HR: 2.57 [95% CI: 1.46–4.53]). The receiver operating characteristic curve analysis for Mini-cog showed significantly higher area under the curve (AUC) than that for MMSE (0.61 vs. 0.52, p=0.045). To test the incremental prognostic capability, models were constructed by individually adding each score to the MAGGIC risk model, and the net reclassification improvement (NRI) and integrated discrimination improvement (IDI) were evaluated. CI-MMSE did not show incremental prognostic predictability (NRI: 0.28, p=0.069; IDI: 0.01, p=0.090), whereas CI-MC (NRI: 0.45, p=0.001; IDI: 0.03, p=0.001) did. Adding CI-MC instead of CI-MMSE to the MAGGIC risk model showed significant reclassification improvement (NRI: 0.45, p=0.002, IDI: 0.02, p=0.041).

Conclusion

In older patients with heart failure, CI defined by Mini-Cog is superior in providing additive prognostic value than that defined by CI based on MMSE.

Acknowledgement/Funding

This study is partially funded by Japan Heart Foundation Research Grant and Novartis Research Grants.

Oral administration of heat-killed Lactobacillus brevis SBC8803 elevates the ratio of acyl/des-acyl ghrelin in blood and increases short-term food intake

It is known that gastrointestinal microbiota, probiotics and heat-killed microbes can regulate intestinal immunity; however, their effect on the secretion of gastrointestinal hormones is unclear. The secretion of gastrointestinal hormones can be mediated by the elevation of intracellular Ca2+ concentration, suggesting that these hormones may act through common mechanisms. We have previously shown that heat-killed Lactobacillus brevis SBC8803 (hk-SBC8803) induced the secretion of serotonin and elevated intracellular Ca2+ concentration in serotonin-producing RIN-14B cells, suggesting that hk-SBC8803 could potentially cause the same effect on other gastrointestinal hormones, including hunger hormone ghrelin. Here, we tested this hypothesis by treating cultured cells and experimental animals with hk-SBC8803 and assessing ghrelin secretion, expression of ghrelin-related genes, and food intake. The results indicated that hk-SBC8803 treatment for 30 min significantly upregulated the secretion of acyl ghrelin (active form) (P=0.046) and mRNA expression of the Syt3 (synaptotagmin 3) gene related to ghrelin exocytosis (P<0.05) in primary mouse stomach cells. In addition, oral administration of 500 mg/kg hk-SBC8803 to rats tended to upregulate acyl ghrelin concentration (P=0.10) and significantly increased the ratio of acyl to des-acyl (inactive) ghrelin (P=0.027) in blood, which corresponded to a tendency of stimulating food intake (P=0.087) at 30 min post-treatment. However, when in order to minimise individual differences we normalised the data on food intake to those on one-day food intake prior to food deprivation, the resultant food intake ratio showed a significant increase (by 5% compared to control; P=0.032) at 30 min after hk-SBC8803 treatment, indicating that hk-SBC8803 administration stimulated rats to take more food during the first meal after fasting. These results suggest that hk-SBC8803 induces short-term ghrelin secretion and transiently increases appetite, which is an important effect for individuals with low energy intake.

Regulatory T cells and M2-polarized tumour-associated macrophages are associated with the oncogenesis and progression of oral squamous cell carcinoma

Regulatory T cells (Tregs) and tumour-associated macrophages (TAMs) contribute to the tumour microenvironment by inhibiting anti-tumour immune responses. This study was performed to investigate the roles of Tregs and TAMs in oral squamous cell carcinoma (OSCC) and oral epithelial precursor lesions (OEPL). The expression of Treg markers CD25 and FoxP3 and TAM markers CD163 and CD204 was investigated in 82 OSCC and 45 OEPL specimens, and their associations with clinicopathological parameters were analyzed. Correlations were found among CD25, FoxP3, CD163, and CD204 levels (P <  0.001), and these targets were up-regulated in OSCC compared to OEPL (P <  0.001). In OSCC, infiltration of Tregs and/or M2 TAMs was associated with sex and clinicopathological features, such as tumour size, nodal metastasis, tissue differentiation, stromal reaction, invasive behaviour, and invasive depth. In OEPL, CD25, FoxP3, CD163, and CD204 immunoreactivities were significantly associated with sex, postoperative recurrence, and cancerization to OSCC. This study is novel in showing that the infiltration of Tregs and M2 TAMs is significantly associated with the progression of premalignant lesions to OSCC. This suggests that these cells represent prognostic biomarkers for premalignant lesion progression and that immunotherapeutic approaches to control Treg/M2 TAM numbers could protect against progression to malignancy.